Military Review

Trump will not defend the poor. On the intention to withdraw part of the US forces from Europe

39

News about the withdrawal of part of the US military from Germany and the transfer of the headquarters of the European Command of the US Armed Forces (Eucom) from German Stuttgart (Baden-Württemberg) to Belgian Mons excited ... journalists. No serious conversations, let alone any action by the department, which seems to be supposed to react, did not undertake. Meanwhile, Washington has announced a truly global restructuring.


To begin with, a few figures were announced by officials in the American and German governments, as well as in NATO. Let's start with President Trump's statement. For most analysts, this American president has long since become not so much a political president as a businessman-president.

So, the United States intends to reduce its contingent to 25 thousand people. Today, according to Trump, there are 52 troops in Germany. That is, 27 thousand Americans have to pack their bags? Alas, Mr. Trump is disingenuous. In fact, only 34,5 thousand soldiers are serving at bases in Germany. The American president somehow, probably by accident, added another 17 thousand civilians to the military. Donald Trump's arithmetic fails.

Moreover, US Secretary of Defense Mark Esper announced on July 29 the withdrawal of 11900 troops. Moreover, Esper said that only 6400 soldiers would return home to the United States. The rest will simply be transferred to other bases in Eastern and Southern Europe. Probably, we are talking about the Baltics and Poland for ground units and Italy for the Air Force. At least, it was these countries that were already heard by the alliance command.

All means are good to win


So why are there no angry statements from German politicians, from the head of NATO? Angela Merkel is silent. On this occasion, only the official representative of our Ministry of Foreign Affairs Maria Zakharova spoke ironically:

"The fewer American soldiers in Europe, the better."

The perception of the American military in Europe as occupiers has become so commonplace that no one even thinks about the fact that, in fact, for the majority of Germans living in the area of ​​these bases, this is nothing more than a place of work. Stable work with a good salary. And the American military, with their dollars, is a great way to make money. About the same as tourists in resorts. By the way, Americans leave up to 40% of their salaries in German shops and cafes.

And there is only one reason for the silence of the European elite. Trump the businessman has once again got the better of Trump the politician. Numerous statements by the American president that Europe "must pay the United States for protection from evil Russians" are already bored with everything.

Europeans agree that today the armies of their countries are more amusing troops than a real military force. Moreover, they agree to pay to revive their own armies. Pay the same 2% of the budget that NATO should pay according to the agreement. But where can I get them?

For example, Germany, according to the letter of the treaty, "owes the alliance" 2019 billion euros in 66 alone! This is 2% of the 3,34 trillion euros of Germany's GDP last year. Despite the fact that for 10 years the FRG has been pursuing a tough policy of cutting government spending to pay off the huge national debt - two trillion euros! It is clear that it is simply impossible for the Germans to find such money, even theoretically.

Some time ago, Angela Merkel agreed with Trump that Germany should still bring payments to 2%. But it will be able to do this only in the next 10-20 years. Not earlier. Today, even these dates seem fantastic. The pandemic has done its job, spending in most countries has grown exponentially.

So why did President Trump bring up the issue of the US military in Europe again? In my opinion, this is another attempt by presidential candidate Donald Trump to win the next election. Nothing more than a game directed more towards the interior of the United States than towards the outer contour. An attempt to show the American people their concern for American prosperity.

Trump's statements are another soap bubble


The silence of European politicians about the statements of Washington politicians is also due to the fact that they are simply impossible in principle. No, it is quite possible to relocate a small part of the military personnel from the base in the FRG to the Baltic states or Poland. A couple of battalions or even brigades with equipment. Moreover, local governments, with the stubbornness of a donkey, declare that they are even ready to pay for the construction of bases.

Outwardly, it looks good. The Americans are moving units closer to the borders of Russia at no special cost. But in essence? Where does the same Poland want to get money for the construction of military bases? In the EU and the USA! Now the question is, are there free funds there in such volumes? Unfortunately no. So these very battalions and brigades will be located in Poland and the Baltic states on a rotational basis. Like going to the training ground.

Now on the territory of Germany there are about 40 American military bases. Most of which have long performed completely different functions than those announced by the American president. What is Europe's defense against Russia? What is the confrontation between East and West? The days of the Cold War are over.

During the existence of the USSR and the Warsaw Pact Organization, the Americans really performed the function of the defenders of Europe. But then there really was a confrontation between systems. Let me remind you of our recent past. Just on the example of the FRG and the GDR. Remember the 80s of the last century?

Army of the GDR - 180 thousand soldiers and officers with Soviet weapons and military equipment. Plus the GSVG, equipped with the latest military technology, numbering at least 500 thousand people. On the opposite side, behind the fence, in the FRG - the Bundeswehr with American equipment and weapons and very good examples of its own equipment, numbering 500 thousand local and 250 thousand Americans.

Today, I repeat, military bases on the territory of the Federal Republic of Germany are engaged in a completely different matter. Not by the defense of the EU, but by the coordination of military actions of NATO countries and the United States in other countries, logistics, support and others. This is the rear of NATO. Even more, these are strongholds close to the theater of operations, where the Americans are fighting!

The NATO headquarters in Stuttgart, which I already mentioned, is actually responsible not so much for Europe as for Africa. The European theater of operations is more concerned with the headquarters in Wiesbaden. And where is the largest US military hospital in the world? A hospital where more than 3000 people serve only doctors? And where is the largest US air base in the world? I don't want to write about reconnaissance centers and other training camps. All this is in the Federal Republic of Germany!

I wonder how the Ramstein airbase will be cleaned up? Yes, there are only about 9 thousand military personnel. But this is the flight and technical personnel of the Air Force. So add to this another 50 Americans living near the base. This is 1400 hectares of area. These are state-of-the-art control points aviation drones operating far beyond the borders of not only Germany, but also Europe.

Well, and the last argument in favor of the "soap bubble" from Trump. We remember what happened to the Soviet Army, when Mikhail Gorbachev did something like Trump plans to do. We remember regiments and divisions in an open field. Remember hundreds tanks, which stood "on conservation" in the fields on the outskirts of some cities. The American president's plan looks about the same.

The withdrawal of troops and the redeployment of units and formations require not only huge funds, but years. It was years. It is impossible to create infrastructure in a new location by simply increasing funds. It's just technologically impossible. And the Americans know how to count, unlike their president. So that…

Don't dig a hole for another, you will fall into it yourself


Donald Trump has once again become a little bit Russian. I think that we will soon get acquainted with such conclusions of Western experts. The logic of these experts is simple. Moscow sleeps and sees how it will conquer Warsaw, Berlin, Lisbon and London. The Americans are withdrawing ten thousand of their soldiers from the FRG, and Moscow, seeing such a weakening of the defense, begins an attack on Europe. Well, maybe not for all of Europe at once, but for some weakly protected part of it. Like the Baltics, Poland or Ukraine.

I understand the smiles of the military readers. However, I bet that such conclusions will definitely appear in the expert community. I am already accustomed to such turns of human thought, therefore I will not be surprised at all. At least, there is already a statement by Peter Bayer, coordinator of transatlantic cooperation under the German government, that such actions of President Trump "are not in the interests of Germany and NATO."

Trump really scared the Europeans seriously. Playing on the feelings of American voters, he received a huge number of enemies among European politicians. Although the American president is already accustomed to the fact that Europeans are nobody for the United States. They will do what Washington says.

Understanding that the US plans to withdraw its own soldiers in a short time are unrealizable a priori does not mean that in the event of Donald Trump's re-election for a second term, these plans will not be implemented. And this will mean a real breakdown of the existing NATO mechanism. Moreover, it will call into question the existence of the bloc itself as such.

The Alliance today faces the same problems as the EU. The thoughtless increase in "equal members" has led to the fact that some pay and others decide. This situation does not suit many. Especially from the countries of old Europe. So, it is quite possible that President Trump really played, if not on the side of Moscow, then against Brussels for sure.

The US elections are truly becoming an important event for Europe ...
Author:
Photos used:
Max Goldberg, commons.wikimedia.org
39 comments
Information
Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must to register.

I have an account? Sign in

  1. Poetry
    Poetry 1 August 2020 11: 17 New
    0
    The cat left the kittens
    Let them meow as they want.
    1. SRC P-15
      SRC P-15 1 August 2020 11: 35 New
      +2
      Trump will not defend the poor. On the intention to withdraw part of the US forces from Europe

      Thus, Trump runs the risk of infuriating some of the congressmen and the Pentagon! yes
      1. PSih2097
        PSih2097 1 August 2020 14: 43 New
        +1
        Quote: SRC P-15
        Trump will not defend the poor. On the intention to withdraw part of the US forces from Europe

        Thus, Trump runs the risk of infuriating some of the congressmen and the Pentagon! yes

        yes no, Trump is doing everything that the US costs - paid off handsomely.
    2. Petrik66
      Petrik66 2 August 2020 06: 29 New
      0
      This is Putin's fault
    3. Lelek
      Lelek 2 August 2020 10: 57 New
      0
      Quote: Poetiszaugla
      The cat abandoned the kittens, let them meow as they want.

      hi
      Well, this "cat" to do "scam" for their "kittens" is not a problem or a problem. The other day, the Polish utyrkas got it from the "cat" about the mustals. And how many pleas and hopes were in the American defenders - they were ready to erect monuments to the "cowboys" and call bases by their names - an bummer. Sadness, Panov, however.
    4. Incvizitor
      Incvizitor 5 August 2020 16: 23 New
      0
      They won't get rid of the occupation so easily, they will use it for a long time.
  2. Mitroha
    Mitroha 1 August 2020 11: 21 New
    +5
    An interesting analysis, thanks to the author. But I completely agree with M. Zakharova:
    "The fewer American soldiers in Europe, the better."
  3. Thrifty
    Thrifty 1 August 2020 11: 31 New
    +5
    Alexander, he is not a smart trump, he is a progmatist and a businessman, his clever political technologists who assess the situation in the world well and soberly. The departure of Britain from the EU has widened the hole in the European pocket, proficiency has long been a deficit, in the United States, too, there is no honey in the economy, there is simply not enough money for everything, so Donald has to go to blackmail in order to keep his occupation troops in Europe "afloat" So, this is just the beginning, a series of Old World blackouts will only grow - the USA will either bend Europe completely, or they will leave it if they do not receive the expected amounts for their expenses.
    1. domokl
      1 August 2020 12: 20 New
      +4
      Quote: Thrifty
      Alexander, smart is not a Trump, he is a progmatist and a businessman, his smart political technologists who assess the situation in the world well and soberly

      It is quite a sound judgment. Only in the victories and defeats of any army is the commander blamed or glorified in the first place
  4. tihonmarine
    tihonmarine 1 August 2020 11: 49 New
    -2
    This is the rear of NATO. Even more, these are strongholds close to the theater of operations, where the Americans are fighting!
    Or rather, where the Americans are fighting to control foreign territories.
  5. knn54
    knn54 1 August 2020 11: 55 New
    +2
    -Trump will not protect the poor.
    And:
    -No, it is quite possible to relocate some small part of the military personnel from the base in the FRG to the Baltic states or Poland. A couple of battalions or even brigades with equipment.
    As it does not fit.
  6. HAM
    HAM 1 August 2020 12: 08 New
    +3

    Trump doesn't want to "defend" poor Germansbut will protect rich Balts and Georgians with Ukrainians ..... and who to milk? ...
    1. Clear
      Clear 1 August 2020 16: 03 New
      +6
      Quote: HAM
      Trump doesn't want to "defend" poor Germansbut will protect rich Balts and Georgians with Ukrainians ..... and who to milk? ...

      Well, what about wink remember remember
      Donald Trump, who is running for the US presidency from the Republicans, dumbfounded Lithuanian journalists with the statement that the Baltic states should "move" to Africa.

      “The Baltic countries have recently announced that they cannot develop, since they have Russia in their neighbors. We will relocate all the Balts to the African continent, and the African population to the territory of the Baltic countries. We will rename the countries accordingly - I think many people in African countries will only be happy. "

      According to Trump, Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia will begin to develop at an unprecedented pace on the African continent.

      "Everyone will be fine," Donald Trump said.
  7. parusnik
    parusnik 1 August 2020 12: 16 New
    +2
    Why are you holding him? Let him go! He had a year ... Three for an escape, five for a kindergarten. Go-go, Vasya. (C)
  8. Sergei 777
    Sergei 777 1 August 2020 12: 26 New
    +5
    Conclusion of the article: a partial and quick withdrawal of Americans from Europe is impossible for purely economic and logistical reasons.
    I was only confused by the comparison of the GSPG withdrawal and the American withdrawal.
    1. Our country took out almost 500 thousand people. The Americans want to withdraw a little more than 10 thousand. The scale of the task is 50 TIMES less.
    2. We were withdrawing troops with empty pockets. Americans don't.
    3. The Americans have already massively reduced their contingent in Europe in the 90s. So there is experience.
    1. Reptiloid
      Reptiloid 1 August 2020 13: 35 New
      +5
      Just recently there were articles about Gorbchev.
      ...... we were withdrawing troops with empty pockets .......
      ... All property was abandoned. Somehow about it to the hunchback am do not remember.
    2. Clear
      Clear 1 August 2020 16: 06 New
      +4
      Quote: Sergey 777
      2. We were withdrawing troops with empty pockets.

      What would the "tagged" stutter again negative
  9. Alien From
    Alien From 1 August 2020 12: 54 New
    0
    Trump looks like he will finish badly, there will be a stronger arms lobby, there are too many interested parties ....!
  10. Andrey Krasnoyarsky
    Andrey Krasnoyarsky 1 August 2020 13: 02 New
    +1
    Europe is ready to defend world civilization from the Russian bear to the last American soldier and the American dollar. And Trump doesn't understand wise European politics.
  11. Ilshat
    Ilshat 1 August 2020 13: 15 New
    0
    Understanding that the US plans to withdraw its own soldiers in a short time are unrealizable a priori does not mean that in the event of Donald Trump's re-election for a second term, these plans will not be implemented.

    That's it!
    I approve of Trump specifically, with all my heart!
  12. Charik
    Charik 1 August 2020 13: 25 New
    +1
    For example, Germany, according to the letter of the treaty, in 2019 alone "owes the alliance" 66 billion euros! -This is how it should-borrowed soldiers or something I don't understand
    1. domokl
      1 August 2020 13: 50 New
      +1
      Quote: Charik
      this is how it should be, I borrowed the soldiers or I don’t understand

      laughing did not try to read completely ... I strongly advise. Everything is written there. And about GDP and about 2% ... If you haven't paid, then you must ...
      1. Avior
        Avior 1 August 2020 15: 14 New
        +2
        It is not entirely correct what you have written, unfortunately, it is misleading
        NATO should not pay, but should spend at least 2 percent of GDP on its own army
      2. Charik
        Charik 1 August 2020 15: 32 New
        +1
        I immediately read everything but did not understand why they should - they did not pay and they would be kicked out of NATO laughing
  13. 123456789
    123456789 1 August 2020 15: 20 New
    -1
    Anecdote They are floating, so Gerasim and Mu-mu are on a boat
    Mu-mu: - Something you, Gerasim, do not finish
  14. Olddetractor
    Olddetractor 1 August 2020 15: 56 New
    0
    Quote: HAM
    Trump does not want to "protect" the poor Germans, but he will defend the rich Balts and Georgians with the Ukrainians ..... and who is to milk?

    And they will milk themselves. In the states, every man for himself "vertical of power" there is only an appearance. So through the satellites the money controlled by the government is redistributed.
  15. Mikhail3
    Mikhail3 1 August 2020 16: 42 New
    0
    And all this is amusing. The question is how is it? In the confrontation with China, it turned out that the United States is no longer economically pulling. The competition between the capitalist and socialist economies without betrayal of the upper classes easily proved that socialism has no alternatives, the capitalists are doomed. Deng Xiaoping instead of Khrushchev and Gorbachev - and everything becomes crystal clear.
    And what now? The logic of capitalism is merciless - the poor are destroyed. The United States is being forced to regain its status as one of the world's greatest economies, or it will end. But how can this be done in conditions when there is NO ONE to be robbed ?! That's the problem))
    The United States has two ways - to continue what they did, that is, Clinton and his comrades. But then China will inevitably break the green printer technique. It simply has no way out - the logic of economic confrontation is merciless, it is necessary to show that the "power" of the US economy is an inflated value. And China will show, followed by a blinding collapse of everything and everyone.
    The second way is to somehow tighten up and raise the economy again. "Let's make America ..." Do-do. All of America's economic leaps have been looted from the plunder of the rich South by the greedy, resourceful but poor North. But in the modern world there is simply no one to rob on the required scale! And Trump tried to rip off money from his gang, frightening them with the "Russian threat." Pfff ...
    The Russian threat at the moment is that the Terrible Russia wants to sell cheap and high-quality resources to Europe without hindrance, gradually integrating technologies into itself. And the United States is doing everything to prevent this, ripping money out of the pockets of Europeans. It’s a strange threat that it doesn’t work at all in the right way on the EU ...))
  16. fif21
    fif21 1 August 2020 16: 45 New
    0
    After the drunkard surrendered the Warsaw NATO bloc, Germany became a rear country. NATO is moving troops to Russia's borders. Strategically, everything is being done correctly. How will Russia respond? Another concern of the Foreign Ministry? Moving the capital to Eburg or Novosib? A preemptive strike? Placing their bases in Cuba, Venezuela, Mexico? Most likely, he will not answer with anything, he will be wiped out by another spit of "partners" hi
  17. Ros 56
    Ros 56 1 August 2020 18: 56 New
    -1
    Yes, it's time to bring your troops home to Trump, to restore order there.
    1. iouris
      iouris 1 August 2020 19: 50 New
      +1
      The author is trying to orient the potential reader in the wrong direction. The US troops in Europe are not to defend it from anyone else. Europe is not threatened. US troops threaten everyone: those who are "protected" and those from whom they are "protected." Soviet propaganda was right: "The US is the warmongers." The regrouping of military personnel is not a "withdrawal of troops" but a regrouping. with the aim of increasing opportunities in accordance with the changed tasks.
  18. Baron pardus
    Baron pardus 3 August 2020 08: 14 New
    0
    There is such a concept as a contract: "We, Izya and Yasha from ONE side and Odessa Shipping Company from the OTHER side - we undertake to paint the ship." So, there is a contract, no one beat anyone with a blued Colt M1911 with mother-of-pearl handles to sign it. But SIGNED. We - Germany undertake to spend X dough on our defense, and the United States undertakes to establish with us the number of soldiers who in OUR GERMAN cafes, restaurants, bars, shops will spend millions of dollars a year helping our German economy. This is a CONTRACT. And the Germans have long used this agreement as a toilet paper, proving the rule that an agreement that cannot be forced to fulfill is not worth the ink it was written with. And it got away with it. In the United States, there were either downright weak leaders, or globalists, or both. Well, the Germans simply, specifically, lost their shores. The contract says 2% - if you please, do it. If, for example, I do not pay the agreed money to Commonwealth Addison, they will turn off my electricity. For a long time, the freebies and scammers from the Germans were punishing. And Opana, American Nationalist Trump came to power. His "Make America Great Again" is not too different from "America Uber Alles" which is correct. For a Russian, Russia should be Uber Alles, for a Pole - Poland, but for an American, of course, America. Businessman Trump got the money from the kidalov, tried to negotiate with the Germans, but failed. In response, I received some bleating that they say in 10 years maybe (either the Emir, or I, or the donkey will die). Trump was offended at such a scam and saw that Poland, Romania, Hungary, not only give money under the CONTRACT, but are also ready to build the bases themselves, since they EXCELLENTly understand that the money that American soldiers will leave in their bars, cafes, shops is VERY useful to them. Since the Germans refuse to fulfill their part of the treaty, why on earth should the United States fulfill its part? Moreover, already 3 countries are trembling and squealing with impatience imagining what kind of money they will receive from the generous waste of American soldiers. Those who earn robust and robust rubbish. So Trump is absolutely right - you don't want to fulfill the treaties? Defend yourself and here's to you bullshit, not tens of millions of dollars that our soldiers and officers leave in German stores and other businesses. Trump refuses to defend not the beggars, but those who banally threw his country and threw them into money. Something like this.
  19. jncnfdybr
    jncnfdybr 3 August 2020 11: 51 New
    0
    And let him withdraw all the troops from Europe. Don't fucking protect the beggars. Leave troops only in the rich Baltic countries))
  20. Viktor Sergeev
    Viktor Sergeev 5 August 2020 07: 56 New
    0
    Let them at least shoot themselves.