Intelligence gathering on the eve of the war
The following abbreviations are used in the article: GSh - General base, GraA - army group Spacecraft - Red Army, cd (kn) - cavalry division (regiment), md (mp) - motorized division (regiment), pd (pp) - infantry division (regiment), PT - anti-tank Goals Difference - intelligence materials, Ro - intelligence department of the military district, RU - Reconnaissance GSh KA, TGr - tank Group, td (mn) - tank division (regiment).
In the previous part materials on the concentration of German mobile forces near our border in 1940 and in early 1941 were examined. In the Republic of Moldova, which arrived by 26.4.41, it was said that there were 16 motorized and tank divisions at the border. This information was considered verified as has been confirmed by several sources.
In fact, there were only three German TDs near the border, of which only one began to arrive in the area of the city of Poznan. There was not a single md at the border. In terms of the number of motorized and tank divisions, our intelligence was mistaken more than five times ... Why did such a gross mistake appear? Why did the leadership of the Soviet Union and the spacecraft not raise troops until June 22? In the article, the author will present his version, which will answer these and other questions.
Since May 1941, in the Republic of Uzbekistan it was believed that the German grouping concentrated against the USSR was deployed on the territory of East Prussia, former Poland, Romania (in Moldova and Northern Dobrudja), the Carpathian Ukraine (Hungary) and Slovakia.
The mobile forces in the German armed forces included motorized infantry, motorized rifle, tank and cavalry regiments, anti-tank divisions, motorcycle rifle, scooter and reconnaissance battalions. The author will limit himself to considering only materials related to the presence and deployment of infantry regiments, infantry regiments, infantry motorized regiments, infantry motorized regiments (hereinafter - megapixels), cd, army divisions, infantry motorized divisions (hereinafter - md).
The lack of some RM in the public domain
When discussing events that occurred on the eve of the war, the official point of view diligently does not consider some issues. For example, all published RM RUs, which describe in detail the number of divisions and places of their deployment near our border, are limited to the date of 31.5.41. After this date, there is no published RU information on the number and deployment of German troops. The next published RU report refers to the evening of June 22. This suggests that this information is hidden from the public.
The same thing happens with the published RM, received from the reconnaissance of the NKVD border troops. Until the end of May, there are published reports and information on the deployment of enemy troops, and since June 1941, only documents containing the specified information are absent from the published ones.
A similar situation can be observed with maps in the Russian-German project for digitizing captured German documents. At present, there are no maps in the public domain with the situation after May 27 and until 21.6.41. Therefore, there are documents whose contents should not be disclosed, and it was they that should determine the decisions taken by the leadership of the country and the spacecraft on the eve of the war. Let's try to figure out what may be hiding in the Republic of Moldova, which arrived in June 1941.
The absence of this information allows individual writers to falsify our historyusing fictional versions of them. A typical example is the version that the spacecraft’s top command did not specifically comply with Stalin’s instructions on the eve of the war, or they specifically carried out activities that should have led to the defeat of the spacecraft and, consequently, of our country.
The author decided to repeat some material that had previously been published in other articles. This is due to the fact that articles published on the Military Review website began to be posted on numerous other sites. Without repeating this material, it will be difficult for new readers to sort out the individual details. Therefore, readers who expect publication of links to maps of the operational department of the General Staff of the Wehrmacht, will be forced to wait until the fourth part is released.
Intelligence on the organization of German tank and motorized divisions
From 1939 to 1940, the German TD consisted of a tank brigade (two military regiments), an infantry brigade (two megapixels), an artillery regiment (two divisions), a battalion of reconnaissance, reconnaissance, motorcycle and sapper battalions, a communications battalion and other units.
MD consisted of three MPs, an artillery regiment, reconnaissance, motorcycle, combat engineer, anti-tank battalions, communications battalion and other units. Mp (md) SS did not belong to the Wehrmacht mobile forces. The figure shows the change in the number of compounds that could be attributed to the mobile forces. In the assessment, it was assumed that two brigades or three regiments are equal to one settlement division.
In the autumn of 1940, the formation of 10 new TDs for staffing began, with respect to which it was decided to remove one TP from existing compounds. After the reorganization, in all the military units there was one TP of two or three battalion personnel. A similar situation was observed during the formation of new MD. Since the end of 1940, in all md of the Wehrmacht, instead of three mp, two remained.
On 20.5.41, a report was prepared by the head of the Main Armored Directorate, which provides data that does not take into account changes in the structure of German tank and motorized divisions. The report was heard at a meeting of the Main Military Council of the SC on May 21. The co-rapporteurs were the chiefs of the RU and the Main Directorate of the Air Force.
From the presented figures it is seen that the RM did not correspond to reality. The leadership of the spacecraft fully trusted the RM, which came from intelligence. Therefore, one of the proposals of the report read: “... to bring in the future the organization of the TD to 9 tank battalions with a total number of tanks of up to 500 units.” Thus, it was proposed in the future to increase the number of tanks in our TD, so that it was not weaker than the German division.
However, the important advantage of the German TD was not the number of tanks, but the interaction of tanks, motorized infantry, artillery, reconnaissance, sapper units, supply and reinforcement units. The interaction of the division with aviation, but in the composition of the compound, the groups responsible for liaison with the Luftwaffe were not included.
Conducting operations over vast areas of Eastern Europe, taking into account the experience gained by the German command, required the formation of large motorized formations, including motorized corps, reinforcement units, tank repair, sapper and engineering units, communications and supply units. To control them in battle, the headquarters of the TGr were created, which were entrusted with the same tasks for the operational command of the troops, as with the headquarters of the field armies.
In the fall of 1940, our intelligence knew about the presence of up to 10 motorized corps in the Wehrmacht. At a meeting of the highest command personnel in December 1940, it was said about the use by the Wehrmacht in the war with Poland and in France from 3 to 5 mobile groups (TGr), but our reconnaissance could not establish the redeployment of such groups to the border. Also, it was not possible to find a concentration at the border of a single motorized corps. Therefore, on the eve of the war, the SC command had no idea of the places of concentration of the enemy's mobile strike groupings: neither corps nor army.
As an example in article the German group in the area of the city of Brest was considered. According to the RO of the ZAPOVO headquarters, on June 21, the presence of the 2nd TGr was not found near the border. The entire grouping consisted of three infantry divisions, two cavalry brigades, and up to two TP. Therefore, such a grouping did not pose a threat to the southern flank of the Western Military District.
Confirmation that the RU did not have any other information about the enemy troops in this direction is evidenced by the RU report at 20-00 on June 22: "Western Front: The groupings are confirmed: ... b) The grouping of troops in the Brest, Sedlets, Domachev area on the operational direction Brest - Kobrin, consisting of at least three infantry and one tank division ..." Therefore, in the operational reports of the General Staff (in two reports of June 22 and in the morning report of June 23), nothing dangerous was noted in this direction.
In fact, it was not intelligence that was bad, but our intelligence simply did not have sources of information in the German headquarters. We must pay tribute to the Germans: they turned out to be masters at disinformation, at lightning-fast and covert redeployment of their troops to the border. Much later, the right to the same skill passed to our command.
Concentration of German troops at our border
The absence of our sources of information in the German headquarters also confirms the significant discrepancies between the actual data and the RM on the number of German divisions in Germany and on the number of divisions concentrated on our border.
Intelligence also did not have reliable information about the presence of German large offensive groupings and their headquarters near the border (headquarters of the GRA, TGR and armies ), and headquarters of army and motorized corps.
Couldn't fix the situation and radio intelligence, parts of which were subordinate to the RO of military districts. With the use of radio intelligence data, the RM did not become more reliable neither in the RO, nor in the RU.
RM on the presence of the border of infantry units and formations
Previously, the author assessed the reliability of the RM with the actual data in terms of the correspondence of the numbers of pd and pp, which were focused PribOVO and ZAPOVOas well as against Cova.
Of the 51 infantry divisions concentrated against ZAPOVO and PribOVO, our intelligence knew exactly the numbers of the 43rd. At first glance, it seems that RMs are good. However, fourteen PDs with "exact" numbers did not exist by 22.6.41. Eight more divisions, which, according to the RM, were concentrated against the PribOVO and ZAPOVO, were actually located in completely different places: 5 divisions - in France, 2 - in Romania and one - against KOVO. Another division (14th Infantry Division) in the fall of 1940 was reorganized into the 14th MD and was located in Germany. It should be noted that the insignia of infantry and motorized troops are different.
The information on the numbers of the pd, concentrated against PribOVO and ZAPOVO, rechecked with the help of several sources, in more than 50% of cases turned out to be unreliable.
The same happens with the "exact" numbers of the md, which were concentrated against KOVO. Of the 25 divisions with numbers known to our reconnaissance, 22 did not exist as of June 10nd. Three divisions were actually in other places: one in the GRA "Sever" reserve, one in the Balkans and one in France. Another (18th Infantry Division) in the fall of 1940 was reorganized into the 18th Infantry Division and was located in Germany.
Intelligence regularly monitored the presence of divisions with "accurate" numbers at the points of deployment where they were originally discovered, and cross-checked this information. The information was confirmed, but in fact there were no such divisions in the area or they did not even exist ... How could this be? ..
The site "Electronic exhibition of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation. The first day of the war" there is a map with the position of the ZAPOVO troops and the enemy as of June 21. This map began to be prepared after the outbreak of the war, probably to justify the surprise of the German attack. On the map, a lot of German divisions and regiments on June 21 are deployed in the same areas in which they were recorded by our intelligence by May 31. Some of the divisions and regiments by June 21 simply disappeared ...
Interestingly, out of the missing nine units, six were never in the areas in which they were discovered and tracked by intelligence. The same thing happened with the PP: out of the missing 52 regiments, 37 were never in the zone of responsibility of the ZAPOVO and PribOVO.
The above regiments and divisions could regularly represent certain groups of military personnel in front of our intelligence. They spread rumors among the local population, they were seen with insignia of fictitious military units, and when the intensive movement of troops to the border began, the need for these blanks disappeared, and they disappeared ...
Methods for obtaining RM by our intelligence
Before the war, our intelligence services collected information at the strategic, operational-tactical and tactical levels. Information was collected on the military-economic potential of Germany and its allies. Any information about Germany's plans was collected in diplomatic circles, in conversations with the military who belonged to the highest echelons of power in different countries.
There were isolated scouts in the German headquarters and in the headquarters of Germany's allies. However, as shown above, these sources could not get reliable information about the structure of German divisions and about their redeployment to the border.
There were numerous sources of information living on the territory of Germany and its allies, on the territory of occupied Poland. Border guards, reconnaissance of artillery units, and reconnaissance aircraft of the spacecraft observed the adjacent territory. Repeated flights of Soviet aircraft over the border territory of Germany were noted. Every day, at least twice a day, aircraft of the border troops flew along the border, whose task was also to monitor the movements of troops in the adjacent territory.
They tried to get information from Soviet employees traveling on the Reich railways, from smugglers and defectors. According to the memoirs of P. A. Sudoplatov, our counterintelligence officers knew that among the deserters there were many Abwehr agents. Therefore, their testimony could not be particularly trusted. However, RM's analysis showed that the testimony of the defectors contained a lot of reliable information.
The fact that war with the USSR is inevitable and will begin in June, not many people knew in Germany itself. For example, in the Ministry of Propaganda, only Goebbels knew about this. Numerous German officials were exposed to misinformation that was supposedly true but contradictory. These officials believed they had learned reliable gossip ...
Information came either about an attack on Ukraine alone, or about setting conditions under which the war with the USSR would not start, or about the fact that Britain would be defeated first, and only then the Soviet Union. All these officials at different levels shared this information, which reached our leadership through intelligence officers located in many countries. The information received did not contain an unambiguous answer about the inevitable start of the war on June 15-22. When reliable information about the beginning of the war began to arrive in 1-3 days, they did not believe her because of the inertia of thinking and the inertia of the receipt of information from border regions. In addition, this information contradicted the vision of the SC leadership on the tactics of warfare by the German command.
Since our scouts were not in the German headquarters, the main methods of obtaining information about the deployment of enemy troops near the border were visual observation (for traffic, the movement of columns, for insignia of German military personnel, etc.) and collecting information from the local population or tracking rumors ... Consider two examples with the mention in the RM of information about the insignia on the shoulder straps of German servicemen. The first is a message from Arnold (30.5.41). The report also talks about ways to obtain RM through visual observation and rumor.
Special message of the NKGB BSSR People's Commissar for State Security of the USSR Merkulov on the military mobilization preparations of the Germans (10.5.41): "On April 25, the deployment of an infantry unit was marked in Terespol, the soldiers of which wear the sign" No. 11 and 14 "on their collar tabs ..."
Terespol is located almost at the border near the city of Brest. On the map of the operational department of the General Staff of the Wehrmacht ground forces from 23.4.41 to 27.5.41, units of the 1st cd are stationed in this area. There are no servicemen in this division who could wear insignia on their shoulder straps. «11» or «14»... Somewhat to the side is the 131st front-line servicemen, who also could not wear the indicated signs.
On April 12, the deployment of units of the 292nd Infantry Division is noted in Sedlec, but the servicemen of this division could only wear the signs "292", "507", "508" and "509". Thus, reconnaissance recorded the presence of an infantry unit, which could not be in the area.
There is a lot of information about signs on shoulder straps in RM. Here are some of them:
“According to the violator of the state border ... in the second half of April 1941, 48 tonnage units (75-80 tanks) arrived in the city of Johaninsburg, the tanks were armed with 105 mm artillery. Up to two regiments of artillery (60-65 guns) horse-drawn ... Most of the soldiers have numbers 76 on their shoulder straps ... "
“[29.5.41] ... Data on the deployment of 1, 56, 66, 98 and 531 points in Warsaw # 711 received from shoulder straps. There are no numbers on the shoulder straps - they were cut off, but the prints remained on them. He saw such soldiers with numbers in the ranks from the company, passing through the city.
17 pp in Vyshkov was also identified by the disputed numbers, in addition, he specified in conversations with the population ...
50 pp was established in conversations with the population, and No. 711 himself saw soldiers with prints on their shoulder straps before the company: "50" ...
537 pp has not yet cut off the numbers on uniform and continues to wear them, in addition, the whole Island knows about him that he arrived from the Greek front ... ”
It is interesting that the 537th pp will be formed only in 1942 and, of course, he could not participate in the Greek campaign. We came across one example of German misinformation using insignia and rumors spread through the local population. Somewhere around June 8–9, 1941, intelligence agencies began to doubt numerous information based on the open wearing of uniforms on shoulder straps by German military personnel.
The deployment of the parts of Warsaw marked on shoulder straps and conversations of local residents is doubtful and requires careful verification ... ”
“According to the data on 20.6.1941/XNUMX/XNUMX ... According to the latest verified data, it is known that ordinary, non-commissioned officers and officers of the entire army are strictly forbidden to wear uniforms or divulge the valid numbers of units and formations ..."
It turns out that until the beginning of June in the Republic of Uzbekistan they believed that the German command was so short-sighted that it was not aware of the determination of the deployment of their units and formations by their insignia.
Now we know that after the end of the war in Poland with the aim of masking the names of field armies and GRA, the vast majority of them changed their names. Therefore, it is unbelievable that the German command missed such an obvious intelligence sign as the presence of true signs on uniform. After all, hiding them is quite simple: it is enough to put on cloaks from uniform cloth on shoulder straps, which was acceptable, but for some reason this was not done ...
RM on SS divisions
In pre-war RM there is little information about SS divisions. Of course, exotic information like "68th SS Tank Regiment". A regiment with such a number was not in the SS units, nor in the tank troops of the Wehrmacht.
The RU report dated 26.4.41 refers to the presence in the German armed forces: "... SS divisions - 18 (of which up to 10 motorized) ..." Similar information is available in the RU report dated 15.6.41 (with the situation on 1.6.41): "... SS divisions - 18 ...".
By June 22, the border had up to 4,3 SS divisions, but in the RM there was no information about any of them. Although the SS divisions "Dead Head", "Reich" and the regiment "Great Germany" arrived at the border in early June. Only they were not found ... This is strange, because the shape of the SS in the insignia differs from the shape of the Wehrmacht.
Perhaps this was due to strict observance of the rules and norms of the regime of secrecy by SS troops or the concealment of their insignia. The only mention of SS divisions was in a message from Arnold dated 30.5.41 to the Zapovo RO:
Information was based only on rumors. Visually, none of these divisions or military personnel were seen. And of course "Selected armored divisions of SS units" in the armed forces of Germany did not exist. In the area of Peremyshl there were also neither SS divisions nor so on. Therefore, the issue of SS divisions in the Przemysl region was never considered again.
The information from the Arnold message was included in the report of the headquarters of ZapOVO from 4.6.41: “During the second half of May, the Germans increased their group of forces by 2-3 infantry units, two SS armored divisions ... SS divisions - in Suwalki (data require verification) ...” The report was sent on June 6 to subordinate armies, in RU and in Pribovo. The author was unable to find information on whether such reports were sent or not sent from ZAPOVO to KOVO.
15.6.41 RU issues Summary No. 5 (in the West), which also includes the information: “There are allegedly two SS armored divisions in the Suwalki region (data require verification) ...” Regarding this information, it is twice specified that it may be erroneous: "Supposedly" и “Data needs verification”.
Since the data may be false, in the June 15 report the indicated SS armored divisions are not taken into account in the number of troops opposing PribOVO and ZAPOVO. On May 15, according to intelligence, there were 23 ... 24 and 30 divisions, respectively, against the troops of PribOVO and ZAPOVO, respectively. The same number of divisions against these districts remained in the June 15 report.
Reports from ZAPOVO from June 4 and from RU from June 15 arrived at the headquarters of PribOVO. However, in the RO reports of the headquarters of PribOV dated June 18 and 21, there is no mention of these SS armored divisions. Consequently, this information was not trusted at the headquarters of PribOVO.
The summary of RO Pribovo speaks only of the only TD (20th), which has long been listed against the troops of the district:
They did not find in RO Pribovo and RU information about the arrival of two TD SSs believable. Supporting information on the arrival of these divisions was not received until the outbreak of the war. On June 21, information on the SS armored divisions was no longer included in the prepared RO ZAPOVO report “On the Grouping of German Forces on 20.6.41”, because this information could not be confirmed or disproved.
Our intelligence is not to blame for this, because Germans simply blocked this area and civilians could not get there:
The German command, together with the city government, issued an order that prohibits entry and entry into the forest to the south and north-east of Suwalki. All persons detained in the forest and not living in the area are to be executed as spies ...
It is possible that similar measures were taken in all places of concentration of mobile groups. This may explain the fact of non-disclosure of these groups.
On the evening of June 21, a new report on the grouping of German troops is being prepared at the ZapOVO headquarters RO. Since ZAPOVO intelligence detected a massive movement of German troops to the border, and in the evening discovered their return to their original positions near the border, the report probably noted the presence of SS divisions for safety reasons: “Presumably two SS divisions”.
There were no tank or motorized divisions on the Suvalkinsky ledge at least until the evening of June 19. This can be seen from fragments of maps of the operational department of the General Staff of the Wehrmacht. The attacks from the Suvalkinsky ledge should have been unexpected and the German command did not want to alert the command of the spacecraft in advance. Therefore, there were no motorized and tank troops on the ledge until June 20. On June 22, only the only part of the SS (part of the connection) is noted in this area - “SS Verb.”.
On the map with the situation on June 21, which is being prepared at the headquarters of the Western Front after the outbreak of war, the mention of two SS armored divisions has a question mark, and in another inscription the word “presumably ". Even after the outbreak of war, the headquarters of the Western Front did not consider this information reliable.
Below is a fragment of a similar map, which was prepared after the outbreak of war at the headquarters of the North-Western Front. It also shows that on June 21 on the Suvalka ledge, according to intelligence from the mobile forces, there were only two md, two infantry regiments, and a tank battalion.
In accordance with the first operational report of the General Staff from the Suvalkinsky ledge, only one strike is made in the composition of 3-4 front and 500 tanks. In the evening GS report, the number of APs advancing from the Suvalkinsky ledge increases to 3-4.
Since a large strike group unexpectedly appeared on the ledge, it was necessary to somehow explain the appearance of tank divisions there. By evening, a report from ZAPOVO dated June 21 stating the availability of the TD SS was received in RU: “Presumably two SS divisions”. The phrase about the SS tank divisions was inserted into the RU report on 20-00 on June 22. Just decided not to mention the word "Supposedly"... In the report of the RU, another TD appeared in the Letzen-Lyk-Avgustov area, operating from the road in the direction of Grodno.
Interestingly, our intelligence has no information about the presence of tank divisions on the Suvalka salient or in the Letzen-Lyk-Avgustov area on the evening of June 21. The summary of RO ZAPOVO says:
1. East Prussian direction. Within the borders on the right - Suwalki, Heilsberg; left - Shuchin, Naydenburg: the headquarters of the 9th Army Allenstein, four headquarters of the army corps - Elk (Lykk), Letzen, Ortelsburg, Allenstein; nine headquarters of infantry divisions - Seyny, Bryzgel, Suwalki, Oletsko (Troyburg, Margrabovo), Elk (Lykk), Aris and in the depths - Allenstein, Lyubava (Lebau), Lidzbark; up to two infantry divisions, two motorized divisions (PribOVO data), ten artillery regiments (up to two heavy artillery regiments); presumably two SS divisions, an anti-aircraft artillery regiment, up to four CP ...
On the fragment of the map with the situation for June 22, the zone indicated in item 1 of the above summary is indicated.
No full-fledged TD was found in the PribOVO area of responsibility: north of the Suwalki - Helsberg line. The 3rd TGr turned out to be undetected by the intelligence services of PribOVO, ZAPOVO and RU. The same as the 2nd TGr ...
The lack of information about the presence of a strike group in the form of the 3rd TGr is confirmed by the recollections of the chief of staff of the 3rd Army of the ZAPOVO General A.K. Kondratyev:
On the Lykk-Graevo direction, up to 35000-40000 German soldiers are allegedly concentrated. He ordered the immediate transfer of this data to the headquarters of the district, on the establishment of surveillance of the state border.
New divisions are being pulled up from our rear to the state border. The 85th Rifle Division comes to us with Major General Bandovsky. The 17th Rifle Division, which I met on the march on 16.6, was moving, the 37th Rifle Division moved from Vitebsk and Lepel, and the headquarters of the 21st Rifle Division - from Vitebsk.
What does this all mean ???
Yes, apparently, the clouds are gathering, serious days are approaching!
21.6.41 ... Why, however, there are no instructions on the command line? ..
Recently, during my report to Pavlov, I asked him what to do with the families of the command personnel in case of any complications.
Oh, what a question I was! .. “Do you know that I have 6 tank corps at the ready ?! I forbid not only talking, but also thinking about evacuation! "
“I'm listening,” I replied, but the thought remains in my head: are we too arrogant ?!
The 3rd Army is the right-flank army of the ZAPOVO. The command of this army should be greatly concerned about a possible strike by a mechanized group from the side of the Suvalka salient. However, General A.K. Kondratyev writes only about the concentration of 35000-40000 people. Apparently, these are the PDs, which are mentioned in the latest peace report of the RO ZAPOVO, which will be sent to addressees at 15-00 on June 22.
In the zone of the 3rd Army, a possible increase in infantry formations near the border was recorded. But it was not supposed to frighten the commander of the ZAPOVO, because intelligence did not tell him the main thing: about the completion of the concentration of two tank groups on the flanks of his district ...
The situation on the Suvalka ledge did not cause concern among the command of the spacecraft. When the command of the ZAPOVO sent an encrypted message to Moscow about the continuous movement of the columns towards the ledge, probably few people in Moscow believed it ... But they did not believe this information because, according to intelligence, neither the PribOVO nor the ZapOVO had so many tank divisions. And numerous echelons with tanks did not move from Germany to East Prussia and to former Poland ... In addition, each TD had about 2900 vehicles. If the reconnaissance at the very least found something on the TP, but such a huge number of cars on the territory of East Prussia and former Poland did not pass through the Republic of Moldova ... Therefore, the strike from the Suwalki salient turned out to be unexpected for the command of the spacecraft, PribOVO and ZapOVO ...
To be continued ...
- Eugene
- https://yandex.ru/collections/user/wikids/front
- The beginning of the concentration of the Wehrmacht mobile forces near our border
Information