The multi-vector nature of the Belarusian government and the upcoming presidential election

The multi-vector nature of the Belarusian government and the upcoming presidential election

About a month and a half remains until the presidential election in the Republic of Belarus. The main contender for victory is again considered Alexander Lukashenko. However, these elections, as a considerable number of experts believe, will be special for the republic. The fact is that those political forces that express Western interests in the Republic of Belarus are already trying to make big bets.


The situation for Alexander Lukashenko is not simple because he himself is trying to vary between the West and the East (EU and EAEU), trying to make the best use of not only the geographical position of the country, but also its political component. This is often called an attempt to sit on two chairs at once, or a multi-vector policy.

In this case, Alexander Lukashenko will not succeed in completely clearing the political field from those who may turn out to be a lobbyist of Western interests. Otherwise, even in case of victory in the elections, the West may not recognize such a victory, which in turn will lead to a new decrease in the level of contacts between Minsk and Western countries. And this promises economic problems for the republic.

Vladimir Boglaev presents his thoughts on the political situation in Belarus on the air of the Day channel:

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  1. Mavrikiy 22 June 2020 16: 17 New
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    The multi-vector nature of the Belarusian government
    Where the vector appears and to the West, the state is being disassembled. request
    1. The comment was deleted.
    2. aleksejkabanets 22 June 2020 16: 24 New
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      Quote: Mavrikiy
      Where the vector appears and to the West, the state is being disassembled.

      What is the difference between the empire of the Rothschilds-Rockefellers and the empire of the Abramovich-Deripassos?
      1. neri73-r 22 June 2020 16: 28 New
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        Quote: aleksejkabanets
        Quote: Mavrikiy
        Where the vector appears and to the West, the state is being disassembled.

        What is the difference between the empire of the Rothschilds-Rockefellers and the empire of the Abramovich-Deripassos?

        To everyone! The Rothschilds and Rockefellers really control their empire, the Abramovich-Deripaska are not allowed to control.
        1. aleksejkabanets 22 June 2020 16: 30 New
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          Quote: neri73-r
          To everyone! The Rothschilds and Rockefellers really control their empire, the Abramovich-Deripaska are not allowed to control.

          It's time to wake up already.
          1. neri73-r 22 June 2020 16: 30 New
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            Quote: aleksejkabanets
            It's time to wake up already.

            I agree, wake up.
      2. Mavrikiy 22 June 2020 16: 53 New
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        Quote: aleksejkabanets
        What is the difference between the empire of the Rothschilds-Rockefellers and the empire of the Abramovich-Deripassos?

        empire of the Rothschilds-Rockefellers: "All to me, to me" - empire of the Abramovich-Deripaska: "all to you, to you." Why them? Because then, everything can be done to the Abramovich-Deripaskarequest
      3. iouris 23 June 2020 18: 57 New
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        The first cannot be defeated.
    3. SS-18 22 June 2020 18: 07 New
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      The situation for Alexander Lukashenko is not simple because he himself is trying to vary between the West and the East (EU and EAEU),

      - I know one such thing .. now lives on Rubles. also liked to try to maneuver and vary .. with balancing did not guess)
      1. Nyrobsky 22 June 2020 20: 46 New
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        Quote: SS-18
        The situation for Alexander Lukashenko is not simple because he himself is trying to vary between the West and the East (EU and EAEU),

        - I know one such thing .. now lives on Rubles. also liked to try to maneuver and vary .. with balancing did not guess)

        So he seems to be like a donkey, not on Rublevka, but on Rostovontonetschina. You are not talking about Yanukovych did Vitya say an hour? This pretzel, too, tore off his pants on the cross in three chairs sedentarily, while maneuvering between those interested until the freaks in his balaclava came over his head.
    4. Uncle Izya 22 June 2020 19: 14 New
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      Tired of people from Lukashenko, woke up tired of him about harvesting and tractor
  2. I beg of you! You should not expect surprises like showman from the elections in Belarus! Everything is 99% predictable there!
    1. neri73-r 22 June 2020 16: 35 New
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      Quote: Leader of the Redskins
      I beg of you! You should not expect surprises like showman from the elections in Belarus! Everything is 99% predictable there!

      Not a fact, the West succeeded very well in such matters. They will buy the top and go to Rostov-papa. Sasha will grow potatoes.
  3. knn54 22 June 2020 16: 52 New
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    In politics, multi-vectorism is akin to duplicity.
    Remember what their multi-vector approach turned to for Kuchma and Shevarnadze.
    1. Anatole Klim 22 June 2020 18: 14 New
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      Quote: knn54
      In politics, multi-vectorism is akin to duplicity.

      Something with multi-vector Rygorych went completely into the distance. He didn’t bother, as we did with Grudinin, but he took and simply arrested candidate Babariko, accusing him of economic crimes and declaring Babariko a puppet of Gazprom - puppeteers who are sitting in Moscow. Then Minister Makey gathered the ambassadors of Western countries and tried to hint at the aggression of Moscow, which is pushing its candidate from Belgazprombank. Western (Polish) project - Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, also under pressure, arrested her husband blogger Tikhanovsky. But the top of immorality and the fall of Lukashenko was his statement in the direction of yet another candidate Valery Tsepkalo and his wife. According to Lukashenko, “from a boar like this man there will be stillborn piglets”, because “the quality of piglets does not depend on the sow.” The fact is that in the Tsepkalo family they used the method of artificial insemination. This is the election campaign in Belarus am
      1. Terrible GMO 24 June 2020 10: 48 New
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        Quote: Anatole Klim
        This is the election campaign in Belarus

        You didn’t mention this about the actions of the policemen (we already have the right to call it that).
        People are not allowed out of the punishment cells; those released report torture (and it’s impossible to check, “coronovirus”).

        The same Babariko was intercepted on a deserted road when he was taking signatures to the CEC. Lawyers have not been allowed to visit him for almost a week because of the “coronovirus”. And there’s nothing for the brave KGB officers.

        They arrest everyone, passers-by, women, the elderly, deaf-mute, DOCTORS celebrating their professional holiday. When people gathered at the store with the symbols of the unflattering AG (Just a joke about its rating), an avtozak arrived there five minutes later and people started packing good And the store itself was "suddenly" covered by dozens of inspections.

        Doctors have fun. What did the top officials tell them about tiny salaries? You knew where you were going.

        Provocations from the government are already being prepared, they will try to blame the "Krajina huragou, all the Bandera people will tear apart."
  4. Zaurbek 22 June 2020 17: 56 New
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    She must be. You just need to clearly understand the vector of sale of what you produce and where the country gets the money from and who guarantees you to stay in power. And, most importantly, do not crap in this direction. And please playpads.
  5. demo 22 June 2020 19: 01 New
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    I carefully look at what is happening in the republic.
    And it’s not so important for me where it seems to whom Luke is looking, as I know for sure his essence of thinking.
    One, but very vivid example, which shows how Luka builds relationships even with his closest friends.
    Yuri Chizh has long been considered one of the most influential businessmen in the country. The oligarch was in the immediate circle of Alexander Lukashenko, he was even called the "purse" of the head of state. Belsat.eu figured out what path the oligarch had to go and what assets he had lost in recent years.
    In 2013, Yuri Chizh headed the rating of 200 most successful and influential businessmen, which is regularly compiled by the Diary daily online portal. Since then, Chizh went through criminal prosecution and slipped to 88th place in the ranking.
    At least until 2013, Chizh was one of the closest businessmen to Lukashenko. Chizh and Lukashenko often appeared together in public, including on traditional republican subbotniks. Lukashenko even set Chizh as an example to other business representatives. When in 2008 the oligarch financed the construction of an ice arena in Berez, Lukashenko noted:
    “Yuri Chizh became a pioneer in a good deed. I really expect other business representatives to follow suit. ”
    In 2012, the government awarded Chizh the Certificate of Honor, and in 2013 the oligarch received the Order of the Fatherland of the III degree personally from Alexander Lukashenko.
    Due to the oligarch’s proximity to Lukashenko, in 2012 the EU imposed sanctions against him, explaining that “Chizh is associated with the president and his sons and receives preferences and support from the regime, especially through its Triple holding. But in 2015, a court of the European Union canceled a decision of the EU Council on imposing sanctions against Yuri Chizh and its enterprises. The court found that there was not enough evidence of the businessman’s involvement in financing the Lukashenko regime.
    It is difficult to say when and why Chizh fell into disgrace. However, they started talking about the problems of the oligarch in the summer of 2015 after the arrest of the “right hand” Yuri Chizh, co-owner of Triple, Vladimir Yaprintsev and his son Kazbek. And in March 2016, Chizh himself was arrested, a search was held in the Triple office. The oligarch was accused of tax evasion on a particularly large scale.
    KGB Chairman Valery Vakulchik said that since 2012, Chizh has cashed out and evaded taxation through a Moscow company. When the Triple office was ransacked, Chizh allegedly tried to flee the country - a businessman at a speed of 220 kilometers per hour moved first towards the Lithuanian and then the Polish border. To intercept him, the Interception plan was introduced, the KGB said. But the most interesting thing was different: according to the KGB, earlier Chizh himself wrote a denunciation of his partner Vladimir Yaprintsev, who, in turn, during the investigation gave evidence to Chizh, which became the basis for criminal prosecution.
    In September 2016, Chizh was released from the KGB jail - security officers noted that the suspect pleaded guilty and compensated for the damage (the amount of damage was estimated at $ 12 million). The trial of Chizh did not happen. In 2017, Chizh was again noticed in the company of Alexander Lukashenko: the oligarch was invited to a reception on the occasion of the 20th anniversary of the hockey team of the President of Belarus. But the oligarch’s business was still rapidly declining.
    The compiler of the rating of the most successful and influential businessmen of Belarus Vadim Sekhovich, in an interview with belsat.eu, noted that the criminal prosecution of Chizh in 2016 is not the main reason for the crisis of the oligarch’s business empire.

    “The main reason is in the economy. His companies worked according to the old methods, used various state preferences, as a business close to power. Chizh companies are similar to our state-owned industry - they could not switch to new working conditions when state support decreased. The arrest and restructuring of the business are additional factors, ”says the journal of the Daily Journal.
    The epic with the Kempinski hotel at the Minsk Circus is a great example of the preferences that Chizh enjoyed. The hotel began to build a subsidiary of the Triple group of companies oligarch Yuri Chizh - Elite Estate JLCC company. The company received extraordinary benefits by special decree of Alexander Lukashenko on May 11, 2010. It was planned to hand over the facility before May 1, 2014, however, Yuri Chizh had financial difficulties and froze the construction. As a result, the project was given to the Russian Sberbank. The Russians bought back the Elite Estate JLCC company for a symbolic sum of 1,99 Belarusian rubles (at that time about $ 100 million had already been invested in the project).
    The building near the Belarusian State Circus on the bank of the Svisloch is the so-called non-Kempinski. Belsat.eu
    Kempinski is not the only project that Chizh lost in recent years. The oligarch also abandoned the project for the construction of the Holiday Inn hotel in Nemiga - the land for development at one time was allocated to Triple. The land was taken away and in 2017 the plot was put up for auction.
    According to Sekhovich, Chizh with a lack of resources was forced to abandon the development of the territory of the former factory to them. Krupskaya (a very promising area near Drozdy as a result of which the company “Ayran” left). Projects in the field of transport logistics, as well as a number of foreign projects, were curtailed.
    Vadim Sekhovich notes that recently the Chizh business has not received any bonuses from the state.
    “The situation with Dynamo shows that nothing is left of these preferences,” he adds.
    Over the past three years, Triple has been working in the red: in 2018, the company's net losses amounted to 5065 thousand rubles, in 2017 they were 9321 thousand, and in 2016 - 38 832 thousand. The tax included Triple in the list of legal entities in arrears to the country's budget. Now Chizh has a lot of debts, a significant part of the property is pledged. So hypermarkets "ProStore" on the street. Back in 2016, Chizh Chizh sold Kamenogorskaya and Dzerzhinsky Avenue to BPS-Sberbank, and the Arena City shopping center to Belagroprombank.
    Sekhovich believes that the 55-year-old oligarch will continue to sell his assets and will seek to reduce costs. In this sense, the loss of Dynamo is even for the benefit of Chizhu, since it did not lead to additional costs.
    “Yes, Chizh could earn (by selling shares) 500 thousand dollars. But what does not work is not scary. After all, providing the club was quite difficult; it never became a business project, ”the journalist notes.

    This is a reprint of the article from the Belarusian site.
    I’ll add on my own that I am personally familiar with \ Yura Chizh.
    And from him, after the third glass of tea, I heard a lot of interesting things.
    And even the fact that the article did not say - Luke specifically created conditions so that people like Chizh could steal, but at the same time each step was fixed.
    And when, once again, Luka demanded (in the form of a request) to build “for the people” (and how to lure people to his side) another ice palace / to finance a football team / to pay for the trips of Luka's relatives to Bali / Maldives / Fiji, etc. , and having received a negative answer, in the form of a refusal, here daddy appears in the light of God. And then the pre-trial detention center of the KGB RB.
    Where businessmen become very quickly flexible and much poorer.

    Here's the lifestyle of this twisted pig tail with a mustache.
    Sometimes, as I see his son Kolenka, I think that Luka cherishes the hope to recreate the Grand Duchy in miniature, not just Lithuanian, but Lukashenka's.
    The abbreviation will be the same - ON!
  6. Tatyana Sementsova 22 June 2020 19: 15 New
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    Yanukovych was also multi-vector ..... So what? Multivectorness in politics is called in one word, the one that called the representatives of the most ancient profession ..... It didn’t really help Yanukovych to sit on the “chair” ...
  7. Andrey Vasilievich 22 June 2020 21: 58 New
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    Quote: demo
    I carefully look at what is happening in the republic.
    And it’s not so important for me where it seems to whom Luke is looking, as I know for sure his essence of thinking.
    One, but very vivid example, which shows how Luka builds relationships even with his closest friends.
    Yuri Chizh has long been considered one of the most influential businessmen in the country. The oligarch was in the immediate circle of Alexander Lukashenko, he was even called the "purse" of the head of state. Belsat.eu figured out what path the oligarch had to go and what assets he had lost in recent years.
    In 2013, Yuri Chizh headed the rating of 200 most successful and influential businessmen, which is regularly compiled by the Diary daily online portal. Since then, Chizh went through criminal prosecution and slipped to 88th place in the ranking.
    At least until 2013, Chizh was one of the closest businessmen to Lukashenko. Chizh and Lukashenko often appeared together in public, including on traditional republican subbotniks. Lukashenko even set Chizh as an example to other business representatives. When in 2008 the oligarch financed the construction of an ice arena in Berez, Lukashenko noted:
    “Yuri Chizh became a pioneer in a good deed. I really expect other business representatives to follow suit. ”
    In 2012, the government awarded Chizh the Certificate of Honor, and in 2013 the oligarch received the Order of the Fatherland of the III degree personally from Alexander Lukashenko.
    Due to the oligarch’s proximity to Lukashenko, in 2012 the EU imposed sanctions against him, explaining that “Chizh is associated with the president and his sons and receives preferences and support from the regime, especially through its Triple holding. But in 2015, a court of the European Union canceled a decision of the EU Council on imposing sanctions against Yuri Chizh and its enterprises. The court found that there was not enough evidence of the businessman’s involvement in financing the Lukashenko regime.
    It is difficult to say when and why Chizh fell into disgrace. However, they started talking about the problems of the oligarch in the summer of 2015 after the arrest of the “right hand” Yuri Chizh, co-owner of Triple, Vladimir Yaprintsev and his son Kazbek. And in March 2016, Chizh himself was arrested, a search was held in the Triple office. The oligarch was accused of tax evasion on a particularly large scale.
    KGB Chairman Valery Vakulchik said that since 2012, Chizh has cashed out and evaded taxation through a Moscow company. When the Triple office was ransacked, Chizh allegedly tried to flee the country - a businessman at a speed of 220 kilometers per hour moved first towards the Lithuanian and then the Polish border. To intercept him, the Interception plan was introduced, the KGB said. But the most interesting thing was different: according to the KGB, earlier Chizh himself wrote a denunciation of his partner Vladimir Yaprintsev, who, in turn, during the investigation gave evidence to Chizh, which became the basis for criminal prosecution.
    In September 2016, Chizh was released from the KGB jail - security officers noted that the suspect pleaded guilty and compensated for the damage (the amount of damage was estimated at $ 12 million). The trial of Chizh did not happen. In 2017, Chizh was again noticed in the company of Alexander Lukashenko: the oligarch was invited to a reception on the occasion of the 20th anniversary of the hockey team of the President of Belarus. But the oligarch’s business was still rapidly declining.
    The compiler of the rating of the most successful and influential businessmen of Belarus Vadim Sekhovich, in an interview with belsat.eu, noted that the criminal prosecution of Chizh in 2016 is not the main reason for the crisis of the oligarch’s business empire.

    “The main reason is in the economy. His companies worked according to the old methods, used various state preferences, as a business close to power. Chizh companies are similar to our state-owned industry - they could not switch to new working conditions when state support decreased. The arrest and restructuring of the business are additional factors, ”says the journal of the Daily Journal.
    The epic with the Kempinski hotel at the Minsk Circus is a great example of the preferences that Chizh enjoyed. The hotel began to build a subsidiary of the Triple group of companies oligarch Yuri Chizh - Elite Estate JLCC company. The company received extraordinary benefits by special decree of Alexander Lukashenko on May 11, 2010. It was planned to hand over the facility before May 1, 2014, however, Yuri Chizh had financial difficulties and froze the construction. As a result, the project was given to the Russian Sberbank. The Russians bought back the Elite Estate JLCC company for a symbolic sum of 1,99 Belarusian rubles (at that time about $ 100 million had already been invested in the project).
    The building near the Belarusian State Circus on the bank of the Svisloch is the so-called non-Kempinski. Belsat.eu
    Kempinski is not the only project that Chizh lost in recent years. The oligarch also abandoned the project for the construction of the Holiday Inn hotel in Nemiga - the land for development at one time was allocated to Triple. The land was taken away and in 2017 the plot was put up for auction.
    According to Sekhovich, Chizh with a lack of resources was forced to abandon the development of the territory of the former factory to them. Krupskaya (a very promising area near Drozdy as a result of which the company “Ayran” left). Projects in the field of transport logistics, as well as a number of foreign projects, were curtailed.
    Vadim Sekhovich notes that recently the Chizh business has not received any bonuses from the state.
    “The situation with Dynamo shows that nothing is left of these preferences,” he adds.
    Over the past three years, Triple has been working in the red: in 2018, the company's net losses amounted to 5065 thousand rubles, in 2017 they were 9321 thousand, and in 2016 - 38 832 thousand. The tax included Triple in the list of legal entities in arrears to the country's budget. Now Chizh has a lot of debts, a significant part of the property is pledged. So hypermarkets "ProStore" on the street. Back in 2016, Chizh Chizh sold Kamenogorskaya and Dzerzhinsky Avenue to BPS-Sberbank, and the Arena City shopping center to Belagroprombank.
    Sekhovich believes that the 55-year-old oligarch will continue to sell his assets and will seek to reduce costs. In this sense, the loss of Dynamo is even for the benefit of Chizhu, since it did not lead to additional costs.
    “Yes, Chizh could earn (by selling shares) 500 thousand dollars. But what does not work is not scary. After all, providing the club was quite difficult; it never became a business project, ”the journalist notes.

    This is a reprint of the article from the Belarusian site.
    I’ll add on my own that I am personally familiar with \ Yura Chizh.
    And from him, after the third glass of tea, I heard a lot of interesting things.
    And even the fact that the article did not say - Luke specifically created conditions so that people like Chizh could steal, but at the same time each step was fixed.
    And when, once again, Luka demanded (in the form of a request) to build “for the people” (and how to lure people to his side) another ice palace / to finance a football team / to pay for the trips of Luka's relatives to Bali / Maldives / Fiji, etc. , and having received a negative answer, in the form of a refusal, here daddy appears in the light of God. And then the pre-trial detention center of the KGB RB.
    Where businessmen become very quickly flexible and much poorer.

    Here's the lifestyle of this twisted pig tail with a mustache.
    Sometimes, as I see his son Kolenka, I think that Luka cherishes the hope to recreate the Grand Duchy in miniature, not just Lithuanian, but Lukashenka's.
    The abbreviation will be the same - ON!

    Tax evasion? Even so?
  8. nikvic46 23 June 2020 07: 06 New
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    You can’t go far on potassium salts. Each country comes out of its capabilities. A small country needs flexibility in relations with Russia. Any concession should be used in its own interests. Take the deployment of a Russian military base on the territory of Belarus. This will allow Belarus to spend less on weapons. And to use this money for other needs. Germany militarily spends more on social programs. And nothing lives. There is no such kind of industry or natural resources in Belarus that we should set our own terms on an equal basis with everyone. We must benefit from any kind of weakness. Some countries do not have industry, but they have famous resorts. The main thing is not to rest, but to be flexible in relations with a neighboring country.