Military Review

There will be no “zeroing” of the NWF: oil rose above $ 41 per barrel

70

Step by step. Dollar by dollar. This is how it is possible to describe how the winning back of positions with a barrel of oil. For the first time since March, the price of Brent crude oil rose above $ 41 per barrel, having passed the well-known “failure” when it fell below 20.


Specialists traditionally come out with their versions regarding what primarily affects the rise in oil prices. It is reported that investors are waiting for reports from leading oil producers about a new, record, reduction in production volumes.

We are talking about a planned meeting of representatives of countries that previously concluded an agreement in the OPEC + format (also called OPEC ++). The West expects that Russia and Saudi Arabia, together with their “partners”, will decide on additional volumes of reduction.

There will be no “zeroing” of the NWF: oil rose above $ 41 per barrel


In turn, new agreements may lead to a new increase in oil prices. Experts believe that if it is possible to reach a consensus in the OPEC + negotiations, then prices will not only continue to rise above $ 40-41 per barrel, but they will quickly reach the so-called “oil shale margin”. To date, it is estimated at $ 45-50 per barrel. This is despite the fact that a few years ago, the level of profitability of shale oil production began at around $ 60 per barrel. Such data indicate that shale hydrocarbon production costs are reduced due to the development of new technologies.

For Russia, oil output above $ 40 per barrel indicates a positive budget. The fact is that precisely with these parameters, it becomes possible to fulfill social obligations without withdrawing funds from the so-called "oil" funds, including from the NWF segment. Recall that at oil prices in the region of $ 30-35 per barrel, some forecasters predicted a “zeroing” of the NWF within 5-6 years, others did at all within a few months. When the barrel reaches the mark of more than 40 dollars, there will be no “zeroing” of the National Welfare Fund with the planned volume of expenditures.
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  1. The comment was deleted.
    1. The comment was deleted.
  2. KVU-NSVD
    KVU-NSVD 5 June 2020 13: 30 New
    +3
    , but also quickly enough will reach the so-called "line of shale profitability." To date, it is estimated at $ 45-50 per barrel.
    There is a deal on cuts and kapets
    1. Sky strike fighter
      Sky strike fighter 5 June 2020 13: 36 New
      +8
      Do you think no one will guess that after the transaction is broken, the prices will go down again? The transaction will be valid only for this reason. If only it would not be worse.
      1. The comment was deleted.
        1. Far B
          Far B 5 June 2020 13: 53 New
          +3
          Well, it’s better for us not to be sure that the NWF will remain untouched. As denyuzhki lay dead for the country, so they will lie. Well, it’s only by name the National Welfare Fund, but in fact the welfare of the population of Russia has been declining for a year now, and there is no end to this process. Unless, of course, Rosstat again doesn’t change any calculation methods.
          1. military_cat
            military_cat 5 June 2020 14: 13 New
            +3
            "In Russia, direct disbursement of funds will launch a mechanism to accelerate inflation, which will automatically lead to an increase in the key rate and deterioration of the conditions for the functioning of Russian companies."

            The whole essence of the national welfare and the personifying fund is contained in this unsophisticated bureaucratic quote.
            1. Roman123567
              Roman123567 5 June 2020 15: 43 New
              +6
              This is something else .. I can find interesting quotes ..))

              21.11.2017
              Medvedev called tax collection the basis for economic development

              Tax collection in the federal budget is the basis for the development of the country's economy. This was stated by Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev in a congratulatory telegram for employees and veterans of the Federal Tax Service, who on Tuesday, November 21, celebrated their professional holiday.
              According to Medvedev, the employees of the Federal Tax Service, which provide the budget with fees from business and the population, "perform an important state task" on which "the successful economic development of the country depends."
              The situation is paradoxical: profit in the economy as a whole is falling (by 9% since the beginning of the year, according to the Federal State Statistics Service), while income tax fees are growing.


              Remind me who is there after Medvedev with us .. and from what sphere did he come ..))
              1. Mordvin 3
                Mordvin 3 5 June 2020 18: 24 New
                -1
                Quote: Roman123567
                who is there after Medvedev with us .. and from what sphere did he come ..))

                From the HSE ... crying
          2. Sergey39
            Sergey39 5 June 2020 14: 20 New
            -1
            Quote: Dalny V
            Well, we’d better not be sure that the NWF will remain untouched

            Yes, the NWF has already been planned to boost the economy.
            1. Malyuta
              Malyuta 5 June 2020 16: 52 New
              +2
              Quote: Sergey39
              Yes, the NWF has already been planned to boost the economy.

              I am very sorry, hi Are you sure that the NWF exists and has not been plundered?
              1. Sergey39
                Sergey39 5 June 2020 17: 19 New
                +1
                Quote: Malyuta
                Are you sure that the NWF exists and has not been plundered?

                Example: RIA Novosti. Russian President Vladimir Putin instructed to allocate 2020 billion rubles from the NWF to the Baikal-Amur Mainline and the Trans-Siberian Railway in 60,5, according to the Kremlin’s website.
              2. hydrox
                hydrox 6 June 2020 09: 38 New
                +1
                And in vain are you trying to open the highest secret of state ... lol
          3. Voyager
            Voyager 5 June 2020 17: 29 New
            +2
            As denyuzhki lay dead for the country, so they will lie.

            A similar "dead weight" has prevented a full ass in our country since 2008.
      2. Roman123567
        Roman123567 5 June 2020 15: 38 New
        +1
        Nobody is who ??
        Russia or CA will comply with the terms of the transaction ..
        But the United States did not participate in any transaction .. as soon as the price becomes profitable to them, deliveries will immediately increase ..
        I mean. let's get back to where we started ..))
        1. alexmach
          alexmach 5 June 2020 18: 41 New
          +2
          But the United States did not participate in any transaction

          In the sense of not participating? also reduced production, even often assumed the obligation of Mexico to reduce.
    2. Kuroneko
      Kuroneko 5 June 2020 13: 47 New
      -6
      Quote: KVU-NSVD
      There is a deal on cuts and kapets

      No. The shale bubble has inflated to such a size (as the shale debts) that America has nosebleed, but it takes at least $ 70 a barrel to raise the price at least.
      PS In fact, the term "shale oil" was initially completely inaccurate - it is generally a kind of oxymoron. It just took root.
      1. Vadim237
        Vadim237 5 June 2020 15: 09 New
        -3
        Now is the best time for rates on the growth of oil quotes on the stock exchange.
    3. Civil
      Civil 5 June 2020 13: 55 New
      +2
      Oil mother! Damned dollars brings to the budget. The fund has been saved, thanks to Igor Ivanovich. Already on a tear broke.
    4. Mountain shooter
      Mountain shooter 5 June 2020 15: 38 New
      +1
      Quote: KVU-NSVD
      There is a deal on cuts and kapets

      So how will they repay debts? Firms are already on credit - on credit ... profitability at 40 is without credit burden. wassat
  3. Moxolov
    Moxolov 5 June 2020 13: 31 New
    -3
    In the oil war, Russia pulled out .... And there it will be seen! Protests and pogroms in the USA began, but not in Russia laughing
    1. The comment was deleted.
    2. WILL
      WILL 5 June 2020 13: 45 New
      -13
      Quote: Moxolov
      In the oil war, Russia pulled out .... And there it will be seen! Protests and pogroms in the USA began, but not in Russia laughing

      Gold words! Here the local "Vlasovites" were so worried, they want riots and revolutions ... they dream of becoming closer to the authorities ... only they are Kukish!
      1. The comment was deleted.
      2. The comment was deleted.
        1. Vladimir_6
          Vladimir_6 5 June 2020 16: 41 New
          0
          Quote: Andobor
          Quote: ANIMAL
          Here the local "Vlasovites" were so worried, so they want riots and revolutions

          This is not the Vlasovites, this is a hired country, Ukrainians usually work as a hack, - they know the language and are very cheap - no one canceled the information war.

          These are not Vlasovites, nor Ukrainians. In fact, they are employees of the 77th Brigade of the British Armed Forces.
          The 77th Brigade is the British Army's cyber formation, whose task is to monitor the media and social networks around the clock, conduct psychological operations on social networks and detect non-violent methods of warfare.

          The number of about 1500 people, of which 440 are military personnel with experience in journalism and an understanding of the work of social networks; the rest are reservists, active users of Facebook and Twitter. Place of deployment - Denison Barracks in the suburbs of Newbury, the unit responsible for media operations is based in London
          1. The comment was deleted.
            1. Vladimir_6
              Vladimir_6 5 June 2020 18: 51 New
              +2
              Quote: Andobor
              At the lower levels, Ukrainians work

              I am not saying that there are no representatives from Ukraine at the VO forum. I am talking about professional, well-trained trolls working for Britain.
              A report by the Russian BBC service that several groups of servicemen from the secret 77th brigade of the British army specializing in information wars arrived in Ukraine, provoked an angry reaction from the Ministry of Defense of the United Kingdom.

              As the British press notes, it was the specialists of the 77th brigade who created the fake news, including production shots of chemical attacks in Syria, allegedly committed by pro-government forces.

              As for her presence in Ukraine (which is so carefully concealed by the British military), then, as some experts emphasize, this is not so much for the “help” of Kiev in the Donbas, but rather for developing skills in influencing a Russian-speaking audience. By the way, back in 2016, servicemen of the 77th brigade underwent special training under the guidance of Russian-speaking instructors from Lithuania. These same facts were unearthed by the same journalist from Wyeard, after which the British Ministry of Defense ordered that the servicemen of the 77th brigade communicate with the press.

              https://zvezdaweekly.ru/news/t/20181261330-nlqd7.html
              1. Andobor
                Andobor 5 June 2020 18: 55 New
                -1
                Quote: Vladimir_6
                I am talking about professional, well-trained trolls working for Britain.

                Rather, they set tasks, and Ukrainians work as performers for a penny — the network is buried.
      3. Moxolov
        Moxolov 5 June 2020 14: 03 New
        -11
        Quote: ANIMAL
        Quote: Moxolov
        In the oil war, Russia pulled out .... And there it will be seen! Protests and pogroms in the USA began, but not in Russia laughing

        Gold words! Here the local "Vlasovites" were so worried, they want riots and revolutions ... they dream of becoming closer to the authorities ... only they are Kukish!

        Thank you Alexandrovich ..! You understood me correctly ... hi
        The fight goes on soldier
      4. Moxolov
        Moxolov 5 June 2020 14: 57 New
        -4
        Quote: ANIMAL
        Quote: Moxolov
        In the oil war, Russia pulled out .... And there it will be seen! Protests and pogroms in the USA began, but not in Russia laughing

        Gold words! Here the local "Vlasovites" were so worried, they want riots and revolutions ... they dream of becoming closer to the authorities ... only they are Kukish!

        There they are like a crowd thrown at you .. Hold on Alexey!
        I’m used to taking this pack on myself .. Let it be better than these mongrel torment me! Fight off, not the first time! hi
        1. tatra
          tatra 5 June 2020 15: 18 New
          +2
          And who do you call the "pack" and "mongrel"? Those who dared to think differently from what the Yeltsin-Putin government wants? Do you want everyone to "walk in line", think, speak, write, only "in accordance with the policy of the party and government"?
          1. Moxolov
            Moxolov 5 June 2020 15: 34 New
            -7
            Quote: tatra
            And who do you call the "pack" and "mongrel"? Those who dared to think differently from what the Yeltsin-Putin government wants? Do you want everyone to "walk in line", think, speak, write, only "in accordance with the policy of the party and government"?

            No, of course .. But I’m not setting myself such avatars for Irish. love
            I was born in the USSR and I know a lot .. But to scribble it and for someone Irisha just shoot me! Change the sight of Irene, not on that aim ..
            In recent years, nevertheless, I began to respect Stalin and read along with Lenin .. They write interestingly, just as they knew what would happen !!!
            PS That I do not remember you Tatra .. For your 4 years ..? Obviously from the Outskirts ..)))
            1. tatra
              tatra 5 June 2020 15: 54 New
              +1
              It is strange that you still did not enroll me as agents of the State Department. As I constantly write here, on the territory of the USSR, all 100 years after the October Revolution, the people are divided into Soviet and ANTI-Soviet, radically different in everything, including the fact that the Soviet people always had and have ideological beliefs FOR, and he never hid them, but the anti-Soviet people always stupid malignancy AGAINST, and no ideological beliefs FOR, only benefit always and in everything.
              1. Moxolov
                Moxolov 5 June 2020 16: 10 New
                -4
                Quote: tatra
                It is strange that you still did not enroll me as agents of the State Department

                Yes, the first time I’m talking to you .. And who agents and liberties I know! Who bore you interesting me? hi Here, under the guise of the USSR and the Communists, a lot of sussers pretend to be .. You need to be careful Irina! I have the honor soldier
          2. The comment was deleted.
            1. tatra
              tatra 5 June 2020 19: 14 New
              0
              Ha, judging by the comments of "loyal putintsev" in Russia there is only Putin, those who are for Putin, all the rest are agents of the State Department.
              1. The comment was deleted.
    3. Pashhenko Nikolay
      Pashhenko Nikolay 5 June 2020 13: 47 New
      +2
      And what will be visible there? New pipelines in all directions?
    4. Thrall
      Thrall 5 June 2020 13: 51 New
      -1
      Quote: Moxolov
      Protests and riots in the US began

      The American cops have it all under control. And there is even an abundance of "material evidence" - you have to take home for temporary storage smile


      1. Moxolov
        Moxolov 5 June 2020 14: 06 New
        +2
        Quote: Thrall
        The American cops have it all under control. And there is even an abundance of "material evidence" - you have to take home for temporary storage

        Someone is kneeling in front of protests, and someone under the guise of taking out "things" .. And then everything will be blamed on blacks ... wassat
        1. Nosgoth
          Nosgoth 6 June 2020 17: 49 New
          0
          Do not behave like a housewife who can only watch obrygalov's "Dom2". In your opinion, material evidence should always be thrown, is it not worth taking away anything? Or what is seized by the teleport to the station is transferred? For example, they caught a huckster, threw all the drugs out of his pockets on the ground and left? You should be smarter, and understand that now everything is "taken out of context" for the sake of those who incite this topic.
    5. Pvi1206
      Pvi1206 5 June 2020 14: 16 New
      -1
      - And when will all restrictions be lifted in Moscow?
      - When scientists invent a vaccine against rallies.
    6. Deniska999
      Deniska999 5 June 2020 15: 46 New
      +1
      In America over the past hundred years, such riots have been more than once. And nothing, pulled out.
    7. New Year day
      New Year day 5 June 2020 16: 41 New
      +4
      Quote: Moxolov
      ! Protests and pogroms in the USA began, but not in Russia

      because of oil pogroms in America? Or just to say?
      1. Andobor
        Andobor 5 June 2020 18: 16 New
        +1
        Quote: Silvestr
        because of oil pogroms in America?

        The pogroms in America because of social tension, including because the Americans lost the oil war and lost millions of jobs, is an elementary and obvious connection.
    8. Oleg Zorin
      Oleg Zorin 5 June 2020 16: 46 New
      -1
      Do you think the war is all over? Alas, there will be no end to it
  4. The comment was deleted.
  5. iouris
    iouris 5 June 2020 13: 49 New
    -5
    .... AND FOR IT WILL HAVE TO PAY!
  6. silberwolf88
    silberwolf88 5 June 2020 13: 51 New
    +5
    The oil price is still very unstable and depends on many factors ... there is not enough information to assess sustainable growth or stabilize the hydrocarbon market ... more precisely, we will know closer to the fall, taking into account the forecast for the expected winter temperatures ... the launch of a number of industries after the peak of COVID 19 semi-annual releases on reserves (there are also critical topics related to the unpredictability of conflicts in oil-bearing regions) ... Growth is certainly pleasing ... especially since this is a positive factor for the budget of our country ...
    1. Kuroneko
      Kuroneko 5 June 2020 14: 02 New
      +4
      I am still interested in the strange "silence" when in the US several of the largest oil storage facilities were full of so-called "contaminated oil". Moreover, this infa of 2019 at the moment on the Internet turned out to be very good .. neatly "cleaned up". About "Friendship" - yes, the sea of ​​mentions, but about the same Texas and Louisiana oil storage facilities now fig what you will find. = _ =
      I'm talking about this:
      https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Стратегический_нефтяной_резерв_США
      In 2019, approximately one-third of U.S. strategic oil reserves in U.S. strategic reserves were infected with bacteria. Bacteria that have grown in tanks turn sulfur (found in oil) into hydrogen sulfide

      It seems to me that someone is playing with a speckled deck again.
      1. The comment was deleted.
      2. Sergey39
        Sergey39 5 June 2020 14: 22 New
        0
        Quote: Kuroneko
        It seems to me that someone is playing with a speckled deck again.

        Not someone, but the Fed.
      3. hydrox
        hydrox 6 June 2020 10: 03 New
        0
        This happens from time to time for everyone who keeps oil "in reserve".
        And how the production workers will cope with this - either they will store the "sulfur color" in thousands of tons (so many tires are not produced in the world), or they will drive to a candle to produce "acid rain" - for some reason they have not invented other ways to get rid of sulfur.
  7. knn54
    knn54 5 June 2020 13: 52 New
    0
    If only the coronavirus would not return.
    1. Moxolov
      Moxolov 5 June 2020 14: 08 New
      -1
      Quote: knn54
      If only the coronavirus would not return.

      And everyone has already forgotten about him in the USA especially .. They have a new plan matured !!!!
      1. The comment was deleted.
  8. Break through
    Break through 5 June 2020 13: 54 New
    -5
    The good news good
    1. The comment was deleted.
  9. Atlant-1164
    Atlant-1164 5 June 2020 14: 12 New
    +3
    I think gentlemen Sechin and Alekperov, and others like them, should sleep dead today ... against the backdrop of such positive news for them.
    1. The comment was deleted.
  10. Nikolaevich I
    Nikolaevich I 5 June 2020 14: 25 New
    +3
    Mdaaaa ... "From session to session," students "live fun ...! tongue When will the next "session" break out there? what
    1. The comment was deleted.
  11. rocket757
    rocket757 5 June 2020 14: 27 New
    +1
    Again, the forecasts were different ...
    Someone hit the sky with a finger, some straight to the bullseye!
    Whoever is almost always a bullseye ... here we are from and listen, and the rest there and there again, they themselves will not go anywhere. not that breed.
    1. The comment was deleted.
  12. Operator
    Operator 5 June 2020 14: 40 New
    -4
    There are 45 bucks a barrel in Russia (supposedly the cost price of shale oil) - 44 bucks will suit us as well.

    And let 10 million American oil workers join the ranks of the American spring bully
  13. Ross xnumx
    Ross xnumx 5 June 2020 14: 41 New
    +2
    There will be no “zeroing” of the NWF: oil rose above $ 41 per barrel

    fellow And then we were so scared for the state of the NWF: every time it was allowed to increase the well-being of the whole nation, but all the people who knew Forbes got it.
    Horseradish will not be sweeter, but gas prices, tariffs and just the price of goods will not decrease.
  14. Pvi1206
    Pvi1206 5 June 2020 14: 56 New
    +2
    Morning in a black family:
    - Mom, mom, I washed the dishes, can I go and rob shops with the guys?
    - The mask is now!
  15. Connor MacLeod
    Connor MacLeod 5 June 2020 14: 58 New
    0
    With each new petrodollar the heroic body is poured with the power of a good one! angry Eeehhh! fellow
  16. VicktorVR
    VicktorVR 5 June 2020 15: 17 New
    -2
    a few years ago, the level of profitability of shale oil production began at around $ 60 per barrel. Such data indicate that shale hydrocarbon production costs are reduced due to the development of new technologies.

    Rather, they learned to work and saw less. By analogy with 2008-2009, when in our office, at first, almost all (but not all!) Channels were blocked, I drank some dough (does anyone believe that in a private company they don’t saw, they don’t roll back?), Then they actually optimized production and organization (but not all the parasites were expelled, the most "thieves" were left). They counted and shed a tear - the cost fell by 20 ... 30%.

    I am sure if you launch the Chinese or at least the Japanese on the "slate", the level of profitability will decrease even more, and significantly.
  17. Junior Private
    Junior Private 5 June 2020 15: 38 New
    +1
    Quote: Sergey39
    Quote: Kuroneko
    It seems to me that someone is playing with a speckled deck again.

    Not someone, but the Fed.

    Really. The next money supply, in the amount of 100500 billion dollars, was officially thrown. Nobody has canceled inflation yet, and it is quite possible that it was not oil that rose in price, but the dollar itself that dipped in price! And if you take into account the very virtuality of the polymer market, you can play with quotes as you like.
  18. Mountain shooter
    Mountain shooter 5 June 2020 15: 46 New
    0
    Oil is already 42.15 and Urals is trading ALWAYS with Brent, so ... But Putin still "lost everything ..."
    tongue whatever one may say, and from the virus we lost 10 times less than we could, and hid in gold "on business", and the Arabs with oil were "put" in time ... We live on.
  19. Old Horseradish
    Old Horseradish 5 June 2020 15: 57 New
    +2
    I generally crap what a fart is about the fact that oil has allegedly strengthened. Well, it has strengthened by 3 kopecks, so why should we? In general, you can read anything on the site: what they write in China, what they say in Ukraine, what the weather is like in Belarus, but at the same time the news about the strategic ecological disaster in Norilsk was stupidly silenced. Thanks to the oligarch Potanin, 21 thousand tons of diesel fuel has poured into rivers, lakes and is successfully moving towards the Kara Sea. Now the West can say with good reason that Russia is destroying the ecology of the Arctic and the North. And the oligarch Potanin not only ......... nickel, he also ruined the nature of Siberia and the North. Why, an "effective owner" of the national treasure. There are no others there. So do not discuss here for 3 bucks where the oil is jumping, but rather look at the pictures from space. We are again ahead of the whole planet. "Oligarch" and "ecological disasters of entire regions" are synonymous.

    1. rocket757
      rocket757 5 June 2020 18: 52 New
      -1
      Well, yes, of course ours are still those ... "responsible owners". The laurels of BP and other foreign colleagues do not give them peace of mind, which covered the Gulf of Mexico with a film of oil so badly .......
      By the way, diesel fuel is already being caught / cleaned and Potanin has already "threatened" to pay for everything there himself.
      We'll see.
    2. silberwolf88
      silberwolf88 5 June 2020 23: 54 New
      +1
      oh how I love different guardians ... Potanin in general with? ... stupid history of the State Inspectorate (technical director of the facility) that violated the operating rules for oil and oil products commodity parks (the rules for the operation of vertical steel tanks) there is no collapse of the tank and the fleet as a whole from the oil spill ... Where did Rostekhnadzor look ?? ... plus various squeals about the need to reduce pressure on the business and reduce checks and the number of bans ... well, that’s the accident ... and not at all unique ... this happens ... under a number of airfield parks from Soviet times, lenses two to three meters deep underground jet fuel ... also a problem ...
  20. dgonni
    dgonni 5 June 2020 15: 59 New
    +1
    Well, especially for the author! At the moment, the level of profitability of oil shale is at the level of 30-35 killed raccoons! 40-45 was 3-4 years ago!
  21. Oleg Zorin
    Oleg Zorin 5 June 2020 16: 18 New
    -2
    If OPEC + cuts production by half, then the price will skyrocket. But they won’t cut
  22. boriz
    boriz 5 June 2020 17: 08 New
    +3
    They wrote about Brent, but did not say that Urals, which used to be a couple of dollars lower than Brent, is now on par with it. In recent days, there have even been times when Urals was more expensive. And WTI has remained cheaper.
  23. 123456789
    123456789 5 June 2020 19: 46 New
    0
    Quote: Sergey39
    Yes, the NWF has already been planned to boost the economy.

    To raise the economy, it is enough to reduce taxes. The economy itself will rise if it does not interfere.

    Laffer curve (English Laffer curve) - a graphical display of the relationship between tax revenue and tax rates. The concept of the curve implies the presence of an optimal level of taxation at which tax revenues reach a maximum. Dependence is deduced by the American economist Arthur Laffer.

    The essence of the Laffer effect is based on the provisions:
    - a reduction in the tax rate contributes to the development of production;
    - a reduction in tax rates leads only to a temporary decrease in tax revenues.

    In general, at the beginning, with the increase in the tax rate, the size of taxes also grows, the dependence at the initial stage is close to linear. Further, a proportional increase in the interest rate causes a smaller increase in taxes in kind. Then the maximum - there is great dissatisfaction in society, and the GDP of the whole country is not maximum, but the country receives the maximum tax in kind.

    With a further increase in the tax burden, the amount of collected taxes decreases due to significant oppression of the business. A business has no resources for development and, accordingly, is losing market position. A high tax rate leads first to a lack of profit, and then to production losses. Dissatisfaction, lack of profitability, motivation to do business, motivation to work leads to the closure of the business or to conceal profits from taxes.

    Withdrawal from a taxpayer of a significant amount of income (about 40-50%) is the limit beyond which incentives for entrepreneurial initiative and the expansion of production are eliminated. Entire groups of taxpayers are formed, engaged in the search for methods of avoiding taxation and seeking to concentrate financial resources in the shadow sector of the economy.

    Accordingly, if the rate is reduced, then in the short term the state will receive less money, however, in the long run, the business has free funds that it can use for development.

    This pattern is described by the Laffer curve:

    As you can see on the graph, if the rate is 0%, then the state has no money. And if the rate is 100%, then the state also has no money, because the whole business has died. At a rate of tmax, the state will achieve a profit of Tmax. Maximum profit.


    Thus, a reduction in the tax burden can stimulate the growth of production and producer profits. Arthur Laffer analyzed the data, and found a way to find the potential maximum tax in kind, a way to determine the most effective interest rate.
    There is no single answer as to which critical bid value is critical. Based on the Laffer concept, the seizure of more than 35-40% of added value from producers provokes unprofitable investments for expanded reproduction, which is equivalent to falling into a vicious circle - the so-called “tax trap”.
    For example, in the USA there is no federal VAT at all, there is only state VAT, and it differs in each. Somewhere 9%, somewhere 14%. In Russia, VAT is now 20%, except for goods for children, food and some others.

    Sources: Wikipedia
  24. Tomich3
    Tomich3 5 June 2020 20: 34 New
    -1
    A IS HE - NWF?
  25. Gennady Fomkin
    Gennady Fomkin 5 June 2020 20: 44 New
    0
    Last week, the Urals finished almost half a dollar more expensive than Brent. This is generally not quite an ordinary situation - usually he was at a discount to Brent. It has recently begun. When the United States banned oil from Venezuela, Syria, Iran and so on. Then they themselves had nowhere to buy laughing Moreover, they are now also purchasing fuel oil from us. Apparently, this is some kind of eco-fuel oil, although in past years they strongly opposed its use as marine fuel. But it was pressed - and now we even manage such garbage as fuel oil, we manage to sell it overseas for currency. This is generally a non-standard situation. Well, the budget rule was introduced a little earlier than what was in the plans voiced by RBC. The cut-off by $ 40 was already, now they slightly increased this year 42,4 dollars.
  26. syndicalist
    syndicalist 5 June 2020 20: 50 New
    +1
    NWF will not be “nullified”

    And some even rolled their lips - the NWF is reset, the president, too
  27. Gennady Fomkin
    Gennady Fomkin 5 June 2020 20: 52 New
    -5
    Quote: 123456789
    Quote: Sergey39
    Yes, the NWF has already been planned to boost the economy.

    To raise the economy, it is enough to reduce taxes. The economy itself will rise if it does not interfere.

    Laffer curve (English Laffer curve) - a graphical display of the relationship between tax revenue and tax rates. The concept of the curve implies the presence of an optimal level of taxation at which tax revenues reach a maximum. Dependence is deduced by the American economist Arthur Laffer.

    The essence of the Laffer effect is based on the provisions:
    - a reduction in the tax rate contributes to the development of production;
    - a reduction in tax rates leads only to a temporary decrease in tax revenues.

    In general, at the beginning, with the increase in the tax rate, the size of taxes also grows, the dependence at the initial stage is close to linear. Further, a proportional increase in the interest rate causes a smaller increase in taxes in kind. Then the maximum - there is great dissatisfaction in society, and the GDP of the whole country is not maximum, but the country receives the maximum tax in kind.

    With a further increase in the tax burden, the amount of collected taxes decreases due to significant oppression of the business. A business has no resources for development and, accordingly, is losing market position. A high tax rate leads first to a lack of profit, and then to production losses. Dissatisfaction, lack of profitability, motivation to do business, motivation to work leads to the closure of the business or to conceal profits from taxes.

    Withdrawal from a taxpayer of a significant amount of income (about 40-50%) is the limit beyond which incentives for entrepreneurial initiative and the expansion of production are eliminated. Entire groups of taxpayers are formed, engaged in the search for methods of avoiding taxation and seeking to concentrate financial resources in the shadow sector of the economy.

    Accordingly, if the rate is reduced, then in the short term the state will receive less money, however, in the long run, the business has free funds that it can use for development.

    This pattern is described by the Laffer curve:

    As you can see on the graph, if the rate is 0%, then the state has no money. And if the rate is 100%, then the state also has no money, because the whole business has died. At a rate of tmax, the state will achieve a profit of Tmax. Maximum profit.


    Thus, a reduction in the tax burden can stimulate the growth of production and producer profits. Arthur Laffer analyzed the data, and found a way to find the potential maximum tax in kind, a way to determine the most effective interest rate.
    There is no single answer as to which critical bid value is critical. Based on the Laffer concept, the seizure of more than 35-40% of added value from producers provokes unprofitable investments for expanded reproduction, which is equivalent to falling into a vicious circle - the so-called “tax trap”.
    For example, in the USA there is no federal VAT at all, there is only state VAT, and it differs in each. Somewhere 9%, somewhere 14%. In Russia, VAT is now 20%, except for goods for children, food and some others.

    Sources: Wikipedia
    Sources: Wikipedia - throw this source out.
  28. Petrol cutter
    Petrol cutter 5 June 2020 21: 29 New
    -1
    There will be no “zeroing” of the NWF: "
    And what is NWF? Forgive my incompetence ...
    1. Petrol cutter
      Petrol cutter 6 June 2020 21: 48 New
      +1
      Always amazing. They put a minus, but did not explain anything.
      With such initiative we will go far. However.
      Then I for the constitution spite all.
  29. APASUS
    APASUS 5 June 2020 21: 42 New
    -1
    . When the barrel reaches the mark of more than 40 dollars, there will be no “zeroing” of the National Welfare Fund with the planned volume of expenditures.

    Not the price of oil is a decisive factor in the state of the NWF, but the actions of officials! They transferred the shares of Sberbank from the left pocket to the right one, they wrote off 2,8 trillion rubles from the NWF. With these tricks, the NWF will end quickly
  30. Gennady Fomkin
    Gennady Fomkin 5 June 2020 22: 49 New
    -1
    So far, this has been mostly circulating zero-handed in computers, without a significant breakthrough into the consumer market. Of course, it splashes out a little, but the economy is large and the money turnover is slowed down by the quid. This is a big danger - they can not keep track of and stop when it will be difficult to break through. Going to the cache also supports the dollar, but this is also a time bomb - as soon as the dollar starts to quickly depreciate - everyone will rush to turn the cache into something tangible - from household goods to immobilized goods. And it will also be difficult to stop or at least control it. Well and so on. So far, these imbalances accumulate more than they affect, but they can rumble all at once)
  31. Andrei Nikolaevich
    Andrei Nikolaevich 6 June 2020 08: 56 New
    -2
    When we finally understand that, brothers, we do not. There are parasites.
  32. Comrade Kim
    Comrade Kim 6 June 2020 11: 32 New
    +1
    Quote: Dalny V
    Rosstat again

    Rosstat is the selling girl of capitalism!
    Something is coming if the rich began to export tons of gold to London from Russia.
    Not dollars or euros, but gold.
    Papers they (in the West) themselves can print in any volume.
    Under this outcome of gold from the Russian Federation, they even allowed certain flights over the hill.

    "Despite the quarantine and the ban on international air traffic, tons of gold are exported from Russia by special flights. Banks have sharply increased the export of precious metal. Since the beginning of this year, 17 tons have been sold abroad. In 2019, a record was set - 113,5 tons were exported from Russia. . Experts warn of extreme alarms. "

    Another "breakthrough" worth celebrating.
    Nature itself purifies Russia from bloodsuckers, who have been reveling in the national treasure for decades.