Military Review

Pipelines - dry, tankers - empty: a 180-degree turn of the oil situation has been announced

141

A report from Rystad Energy, an analytical company on the situation in the oil market, was published. The report provides data that make oil producers clutch their hearts.


In particular, we are talking about the fact that global spending on geological exploration and development of oil production infrastructure by the end of 2020 will collapse by about $ 100 billion. It is additionally noted that in the oil and gas sector, including the US shale sector, massive reductions began - and their scale is such that it has not been in recent years (even during the crises of 2008-2009 and 2013-2014).

From the report:

Total investment by the end of the year will be reduced to a 13-year low. Up to 450 billion dollars. Thus, US producers of shale hydrocarbons intend to reduce capital costs by 30 percent.

Analysts say that up to $ 450 billion (from last year's 550 billion), investments will be reduced if the average annual price of a barrel of Brent crude oil meets the level of $ 34. If the indicator for the year is lower, then a further reduction of investment of $ 70 billion is projected.

In turn, this will lead to a new crisis in the oil industry, stemming from the current one. And with a possible turn of the situation by 180 degrees. The point is that when the economies of countries begin to recover actively and when energy resources (oil and gas) are required, then there will simply be nobody and nothing to provide for the needs of buyers. The argument is as follows: the staff was reduced, the activity of geological exploration of new deposits fell significantly, existing projects were frozen or closed - the pipelines would become dry, and the tankers would be empty. And this is a new wave of crisis already in the resource transport industry, and indeed throughout the economy.

From analysis:

About 60 percent of the world's oil comes from 25 oil fields, mainly in Saudi Arabia and the Middle East, whose average age is over 70 years old and which already have experienced an annual decline of 6-7 percent.

The corresponding result is an acute shortage of energy resources on the world market and prices will soar to such levels that even the once-proven $ 125 per barrel will not seem so high.

In this situation, analysts talk about the need to balance the market so as not to be in a situation in which oil will become a truly scarce commodity without the availability of sufficient volumes of alternative energy resources. But the whole question is how to achieve this balance? No one has given an answer to it yet.
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  1. Zanika
    Zanika 29 May 2020 10: 20 New
    -26
    Let the oligarchy shake .. Well, our power!
    1. Civil
      Civil 29 May 2020 10: 41 New
      -2


      Oil mother and gas father. Bless and save.
      1. Stas157
        Stas157 29 May 2020 10: 54 New
        29
        Analysts say the need to balance the market so as not to be in a situation in which oil will become a truly scarce commodity without the availability of sufficient volumes of alternative energy resources. But the whole question is how to achieve this balance? No one has given an answer to it yet.

        Socialist planned economy. And no cyclic crises for you, no overproduction and all that the world of capitalism systematically suffers from.
        1. Blackmokona
          Blackmokona 29 May 2020 11: 15 New
          -19
          But the eternal deficit, planned excesses, and other schools of the planned economy
          1. Stas157
            Stas157 29 May 2020 11: 31 New
            20
            Quote: BlackMokona
            But perpetual deficit

            If you are talking about sausage, then you introduced co-trading, where the sausage was sold freely (at a more expensive price). As you see, they could solve the deficit problem if desired.

            The deficit problem in the USSR did exist, but this does not mean that it should be mandatory a feature of socialism (any) that it was impossible to introduce market elements (as regards the light and food industries, responsible for meeting the needs of citizens).
            1. Tatyana
              Tatyana 29 May 2020 13: 52 New
              10
              Quote: BlackMokona
              But the eternal deficit, planned excesses, and other schools of the planned economy

              Deficit is not the main thing for people. The main thing for people's lives is the social security of the population.

              For instance. What is the use of the fact that everything is full on the shelves in stores under capitalism? Yes, there are no queues in stores.
              However, the quality of food under capitalism is for the most part fake - i.e. it’s not quite natural, as manufacturers write about it on labels - and besides, not all citizens can afford not only its variety, but simply the most elementary at its price.
              Under capitalism in the Russian Federation, about 30 million of today's working-age population will have no pensions at all in 20 years. They will be homeless under the fence, as if they did not fit into the market.

              Andrei Fursov - Perestroika - How the USSR was Dismantled • Jun 18. 2016 year
            2. Kent0001
              Kent0001 29 May 2020 18: 44 New
              +1
              I agree, the NEP as a good example.
          2. Lopatov
            Lopatov 29 May 2020 11: 36 New
            12
            Quote: BlackMokona
            But the eternal deficit, planned excesses, and other schools of the planned economy

            These are problems of no theory, these are problems of filthy execution. For example, in a normal planned economy, overfulfillment of the plan should have been as punishable as non-fulfillment. An ideology that goes into planning is an absolute evil

            Although, of course, a planned economy requires a powerful bureaucratic mechanism, even in modern conditions of informatization
            1. carstorm 11
              carstorm 11 29 May 2020 12: 39 New
              -11
              there is not even a performance. if the factory of children's toys according to the plan is to produce a million, say wooden idols, then it will be producing. 50 years) they do not need to invest in the development of new ones. A planned economy is a trap. although it sounds beautiful.
              1. Roman123567
                Roman123567 29 May 2020 14: 41 New
                12
                And if according to the plan Gagarin should fly into space, then Gagarin flies ..
                And do not let dogs 50 years ..
              2. Lopatov
                Lopatov 29 May 2020 17: 47 New
                +7
                Quote: carstorm 11
                there is not even a performance. if the factory of children's toys according to the plan is to produce a million, say wooden idols, then it will be producing. 50 years) they do not need to invest in the development of new ones. A planned economy is a trap. although it sounds beautiful.

                Vooot.
                This is where honest and professional officials are needed, who will promptly reorient the plant from the production of idols to the "Rubik's cube".

                That is the problem with a planned economy. The need for excellent managers.

                That is, if we go further, then a normal planned economy is possible only if technocracy
            2. NEOZ
              NEOZ 29 May 2020 13: 46 New
              +2
              Quote: Spade
              these are problems of filthy execution.

              and with this approach, the execution will always be filthy!
              1. Lopatov
                Lopatov 29 May 2020 17: 50 New
                +6
                Quote: NEOZ
                and with this approach, the execution will always be filthy!

                It is believed that it was the planned economy that pulled Japan to the top lines in development, and not the unrestricted market that foreign "advisers" offered Russia at one time.
                And in China, the presence of this is clearly observed.
                1. NEOZ
                  NEOZ 1 June 2020 11: 00 New
                  0
                  Quote: Spade
                  It is believed that it was the planned economy that pulled Japan to the top of the development line, and not the unlimited market

                  yes you what !!!
                  and where was this planned production exported?
                  But is this planned production, by chance, not an analogue of the Marshall plan?
            3. LORD-72
              LORD-72 3 June 2020 07: 22 New
              +1
              In short ...
          3. strannik1985
            strannik1985 29 May 2020 11: 57 New
            13
            and other shoals of a planned economy

            No factories - no problem. The planned economy has one, but a huge advantage - the volume of goods and services is not tied to the money supply.
            1. Hagen
              Hagen 29 May 2020 12: 11 New
              -12
              Quote: strannik1985
              No factories - no problem. The planned economy has one, but a huge advantage - the volume of goods and services is not tied to the money supply.

              You must have devoted your life to economics? wassat
              1. strannik1985
                strannik1985 29 May 2020 12: 22 New
                +3
                You must have devoted your life to economics?

                Your opinion why there was much less money in the country than in the budget?
                1. Hagen
                  Hagen 29 May 2020 12: 31 New
                  +1
                  Quote: strannik1985
                  Your opinion why there was much less money in the country than in the budget?

                  What quantities do you want to measure? Cash (den.mass) or non-cash used in settlements between enterprises? Where do you get the source data for comparison?
                  1. strannik1985
                    strannik1985 29 May 2020 12: 37 New
                    +5
                    Cash (den.mass) or non-cash used in settlements between enterprises?

                    Yes, just not "or", but "and".
                    Where do you get the source data for comparison?

                    Budgets and "Cash circulation in the USSR in 1922-1990." Issue 2.Moscow 2007.
            2. NEOZ
              NEOZ 29 May 2020 13: 47 New
              +1
              Quote: strannik1985
              the volume of goods and services is not tied to the money supply

              what prevents regulating the money supply?
              1. strannik1985
                strannik1985 29 May 2020 14: 05 New
                +4
                what prevents regulating the money supply?

                Inflation.
                1. NEOZ
                  NEOZ 29 May 2020 14: 40 New
                  +2
                  Quote: strannik1985
                  Inflation.

                  This is bad?
                  is deflation good?
                  1. iouris
                    iouris 29 May 2020 17: 41 New
                    0
                    Reply on the website horochich_variantov.net
                  2. strannik1985
                    strannik1985 29 May 2020 17: 57 New
                    +3
                    This is bad?

                    This limits the volume of the domestic market (and it is already so small).
            3. Vadim237
              Vadim237 29 May 2020 13: 57 New
              -4
              For this, the deficit compensation was tied to a foreign currency which the USSR paid to Western countries since Soviet rubles could not be exchanged. Oil was the main source of this currency since the 70s for the USSR.
              1. strannik1985
                strannik1985 29 May 2020 14: 07 New
                +4
                it was impossible the main source of this currency from the 70s for the USSR was oil.

                What is the difference, the currency was not used in the calculations within the country.
                1. Vadim237
                  Vadim237 29 May 2020 15: 12 New
                  -4
                  Read it carefully again.
          4. bk316
            bk316 29 May 2020 16: 54 New
            +7
            But the eternal deficit, planned excesses, and other schools of the planned economy

            I will repeat it already. All the Soviet costs of the planned economy about which you write were not fundamental. Since the acceleration of the State Planning Commission, computing power has increased by 5-6 orders of magnitude and communication channels by 4-5. This means that planning can be done with the accuracy of the family and soon to the individual. And all no queues and "other jambs".
            1. Vadim237
              Vadim237 29 May 2020 19: 28 New
              0
              Unfortunately, this is impossible - this planning will never be able to take into account the spontaneous desire to acquire something or the need due to natural life circumstances for each and every individual, especially for certain goods, at least what kind of computing system power you put, as a result of which a deficit will be inevitable. There is demand, there will be supply, there is no demand, there is no supply, and warehouses will be at a loss due to the lack of demand.
              1. strannik1985
                strannik1985 30 May 2020 15: 51 New
                +1
                Unfortunately it’s impossible - this planning can never take into account spontaneous desire

                And do not, the planned economy coexists quietly with private initiative. The cooperative sector of the economy accounted for 8% of industrial production in 1952.
              2. bk316
                bk316 2 June 2020 12: 59 New
                -2
                take into account spontaneous desire to acquire something

                All that is unknown to the layman, AI is now doing just that and not at all managing combat aircraft or planning offensive operations. laughing
                And I’ll inform you that it is doing better and better with these tasks. Prediction of purchases accurate to a person with 3 sigma probability is working now. There is enough computing power, there is not enough data yet, but they will certainly accumulate. laughing
          5. The comment was deleted.
          6. Elephant
            Elephant 29 May 2020 17: 36 New
            +6
            Quote: BlackMokona
            But the eternal deficit, planned excesses, and other schools of the planned economy

            Yes, something was missing, something was in short supply. But in general, ordinary people lived normally and had confidence in the future!
        2. Hagen
          Hagen 29 May 2020 11: 16 New
          -12
          Quote: Stas157
          And no cyclic crises for you, no overproduction and all that the world of capitalism systematically suffers from.

          But one non-cyclic (91 years), accumulated since the mid-70s, was enough to smash a large country ....
          1. strannik1985
            strannik1985 29 May 2020 11: 53 New
            +6
            But one non-cyclic (91 years), accumulated since the mid-70s, was enough to smash a large country ....

            The revolution has nothing to do with the economy.
            1. Hagen
              Hagen 29 May 2020 12: 08 New
              -8
              Quote: strannik1985
              The revolution has nothing to do with the economy.

              The coup was a consequence of the death of the economy. Nobody has managed to refute Marx yet. Simply, you probably do not know what was in those years.
              1. strannik1985
                strannik1985 29 May 2020 12: 21 New
                +6
                The coup was a consequence of the death of the economy

                What did he not happen in North Korea during the famine? Or do we have, in 1995, when five million paws sucked without a job?
                1. Hagen
                  Hagen 29 May 2020 12: 38 New
                  -5
                  Quote: strannik1985
                  Or do we have, in 1995, when five million paws sucked without a job?

                  As part of the comment, I can’t give you a complete retelling of “The Collapse of the Second International” by V.I. Lenin. There is a desire to understand the anatomy of coups, start to study Marx and Lenin in the primary sources, and not in the retelling of fans of extracurricular reading. So more reliable.
                  1. strannik1985
                    strannik1985 29 May 2020 12: 42 New
                    +6
                    As part of the comment, I can’t give you

                    Those. You cannot give an answer on your own. Thank you.
            2. NEOZ
              NEOZ 29 May 2020 13: 49 New
              +6
              Quote: strannik1985
              The revolution has nothing to do with the economy.

              has a direct !!!
              the organizers of the coup had the goal of making the public personal! and this is the economy !!!!
              1. Elephant
                Elephant 29 May 2020 17: 39 New
                +2
                Quote: NEOZ
                the organizers of the coup had the goal of making the public personal!

                And so it happened. Even in the Constitution this provision was enshrined.
        3. Say Tooth
          Say Tooth 29 May 2020 11: 23 New
          -4
          Everything is correctly noted: no overproduction, nor cyclic crises for you, but the commodity shortage, the inefficiency of agriculture, the absolute immunity to technical innovations are forgotten.
        4. CSKA
          CSKA 29 May 2020 13: 51 New
          -10
          Quote: Stas157
          Socialist planned economy. And no cyclic crises for you, no overproduction and all that the world of capitalism systematically suffers from.

          laughing Oh my God. Now I almost fell off the chair with a laugh. Do you live in an alternate reality? It is in the planned economy of the USSR there were no crises?)))))) It was not in the USSR overproduction? Where they produced goods for the sake of production and did not think about whether there is a need for such a quantity. The result is a shortage. This is what is interesting about overproduction and what type of goods in capitalist countries (that is, around the world).
          1. Sling cutter
            Sling cutter 29 May 2020 14: 00 New
            13
            Quote: CSKA
            Oh my God. Now I almost fell off the chair with a laugh.

            Buy yourself a combat sofa! yes
            Quote: CSKA
            Is this in the planned economy of the USSR there were no crises?))))))

            There were no crises; in the entire history of the USSR, the economy grew annually and this growth was higher than the global one.
            Now tell us what the USSR did not know how or could not produce, and in what goods was there a shortage?
            1. CSKA
              CSKA 29 May 2020 15: 53 New
              -9
              Quote: Stroporez
              Buy yourself a combat sofa!

              Already available. Now I’ll specially go in to VO to take a seat on it, otherwise you’re not getting tired of making economic geniuses.
              Quote: Stroporez
              There were no crises

              And then they smiled again. there was no crisis in the 80s? They brought the economy to the point that the Americans sent humanitarian aid. About the standard of living, not counting the end of the 60s - beginning of the 80s, I generally keep quiet.
              Quote: Stroporez
              Now tell us what the USSR did not know how or could not produce, and in what goods was there a shortage?

              Yes, you are straight Petrosyan. Or maybe you comedy club? From civilian products, almost everything and a lot of food. Who are you trying to pretend to be? Have you ever seen photos and videos of how people in huge queues stood behind groceries or when once a year a deficit was thrown onto the counter?
              1. Sling cutter
                Sling cutter 29 May 2020 16: 07 New
                +8
                Quote: CSKA
                Have you ever seen photos and videos of how people in huge queues stood behind groceries or when once a year a deficit was thrown onto the counter?

                Actually, I lived in the USSR at a fairly conscious age and I remember everything perfectly. About total deficit is Putin’s ebony nonsense, but stopping all tobacco factories at the same time is not nonsense, but the creation of an artificial deficit in many ways.
                Quote: CSKA
                Yes, you are straight Petrosyan. Or maybe you comedy club?

                I can kaneshno, but you scleptic cap will do more. good yes
                1. CSKA
                  CSKA 29 May 2020 16: 50 New
                  -6
                  Quote: Stroporez
                  About total deficit is Putin’s ebony nonsense

                  Putin only once spoke out about the deficit in the USSR in the State Duma. And he was. Am I really here to post a crush video in lines? You could so easily buy sneakers, jeans, a good TV, VCR, furniture, car, meat, sausage, caviar. I am already silent about the computer, the camcorder, the second car.
                  1. Sling cutter
                    Sling cutter 29 May 2020 17: 31 New
                    +9
                    Quote: CSKA
                    And he was. Am I really here to post a crush video in lines? You could so easily buy sneakers, jeans, a good TV, VCR, furniture, car, meat, sausage, caviar. I am already silent about the computer, the camcorder, the second car.

                    I repeat again, I lived in the USSR and I do not need to roll cotton in my ear laughing In the late USSR, where from the end of the 89th there were lines for cheap sausage, well, even in Moscow, hucksters were crowding for cheap imports, although if, for example, you came to Silver Ponds or Protvino at the same time, then everything from sausage to jeans and leather Mongolian jackets.
                    Threat. I advise you to watch Nevzorov’s 600 seconds of that time, there is about sabotage, and about the destruction of products, and about the artificial shortage.
                2. Alexey RA
                  Alexey RA 29 May 2020 17: 18 New
                  -3
                  Quote: Stroporez
                  About total deficit is Putin’s ebony nonsense

                  Yes, yes, yes ... and a riddle about long, green, smells like sausage Putin also came up with.
                  And in 1984, he sold meat in Kirovsk (Apatity) exclusively by registration, too.

                  And if you recall how they sold bicycles and color TVs without a months-long queue only to war veterans ... We still run that bike. smile
                  1. Sling cutter
                    Sling cutter 29 May 2020 18: 06 New
                    +9
                    Quote: Alexey RA
                    Yes, yes, yes ... and the riddle about the long, green, smells of sausage, too, Putin came up with.

                    People went for cheap sausages, and meat in KOOPtorg for 3 and a half was as much as you want., And on the market from 4 to 6 rubles.
                    There were also a lot of TV sets, but everything depended on the brand and price, everyone wanted "Ruby", "Shilalis" or "Temp", but "Rainbow" was full, I just went in 1989 and bought with fake money " Horizon "with a Japanov pipe for 930 rubles, also plows in the country.
                    "Niva" and "Muscovites" generally stood in "Strela" with an interest-free loan, and a large one could be rented, although they also had "Shkolnik" and "Eaglet" and "Dorozhniy" in stores, only many of them were feldipersovaya "Desna" either "Kama" was needed, but "Salute" please.
                    Maybe we lived in different USSR?
                    [media = https: //youtu.be/GGBaeDAXNaI]
                    [media = https: //youtu.be/GGBaeDAXNaI]
                    1. igor67
                      igor67 29 May 2020 19: 28 New
                      +2
                      True, in different countries, we have lived somewhere since 86. Moskvich and Niva cars really fell in demand and began to sell them out of turn at a price of 5100 rubles, and the color TVs you specified were just the price you specified for most ordinary workers was not real, we rented Berezka color TV in 85 and in 91 it became ours with the collapse of the Union, my parents worked at the factory for my mom’s 125 and my father’s 130, there wasn’t enough nichrome, everything had to be taken forever, at 85 I went to the factory in my arms 180 it became easier, in short simple hard workers maximum Zaporozhets like mine or motorbikes, they drove a Desna bicycle on an electric train to Bryansk, the bicycle is still alive
                    2. not main
                      not main 29 May 2020 21: 36 New
                      0
                      Quote: Stroporez
                      Maybe we lived in different USSR?

                      This is exactly what begs the answer!
                  2. The comment was deleted.
                3. Vadim237
                  Vadim237 29 May 2020 19: 55 New
                  -1
                  "And the creation of artificial shortages and so on in many areas." But this is your fairy tale, the factories stopped not because someone said they would stop, but stupidly due to the lack of raw materials and its shortage due to the fact that the country could not pay with the suppliers of this very tobacco and everything else, since abroad they only accepted currency as payment to compensate for the shortage in the country due to exports and people who had a lot of money in their hands immediately grabbed all goods - at the end of the 80s Gorbachev ran for foreign currency loans from the beginning to foreign banks and then to governments.
                  1. Sling cutter
                    Sling cutter 29 May 2020 20: 34 New
                    +5
                    Quote: Vadim237
                    "And the creation of artificial shortages and so on in many areas." But this is your fairy tale, the factories stopped not because someone said they would stop, but stupidly because of the lack of raw materials and their shortage

                    The factories were stopped with a "prevention statement", and there is no need to argue with that.
                    And now the second point, in your comments you argued that there was overproduction under the planned economy, but now you say that the USSR could not make some cigarettes with cigarettes or, for example, vodka with beer? Utter nonsense!
                    Threat. Believe me, soon all the persons involved in the collapse of the USSR will be severely punished.
                    1. Vadim237
                      Vadim237 30 May 2020 13: 36 New
                      0
                      I did not write about any overproduction - there is no overproduction in the planned economy, well, except for any trash that no one buys, but it continues to be produced according to the plan with the wording for prevention - this wording meant the lack of raw materials and money for further work and where I wrote that the USSR I could not establish the production of vodka, cigarettes, and so on - but only the quantity would not correspond to consumption, and so in all the money people have a lot of goods - because they were instantly snatched up. So you fantasize and talk complete nonsense - especially this "Believe me, soon all those involved in the collapse of the USSR will be severely punished." I do not believe in fairy tales and I will not. Most of these guys, starting from the 60s, when the road to the economic crisis and the collapse of the USSR was laid long ago in the grave - all died a natural death. And you continue to believe in fairy tales.
                  2. Mordvin 3
                    Mordvin 3 30 May 2020 20: 30 New
                    0
                    Quote: Vadim237
                    but stupidly due to lack of raw materials and its lack

                    Vadik, ask Dad what kind of cigarette pasta they sold.
            2. Elephant
              Elephant 29 May 2020 17: 45 New
              +1
              Quote: Stroporez
              in the entire history of the USSR, the economy grew annually and this growth was higher than the global one.

              Yes, economic growth was, but worse than in developed cap. countries. And GDP was lower. But in our economy there was mass, there were many state-owned enterprises and unemployment was practically absent.
            3. Vadim237
              Vadim237 29 May 2020 19: 37 New
              -1
              Gas turbines, fiber optics, modern marine diesel engines didn’t succeed in locating foreign products; modern medical equipment, high-precision processing machines, and even normal dental crowns were not made.
        5. Vadim237
          Vadim237 29 May 2020 13: 52 New
          -3
          A socialist planned economy - it has a significant lack of demand; it is formed at the top and not at the bottom, and this in turn leads to an increase in the money supply of the population and a lack of goods in any planned economy to determine exactly how much and what the population will individually consume during the plan year, for example, it is impossible in connection with this, the shortage of goods will increase like a snowball, and this happened with the USSR in the 80s. And in the absence of competition in such an economy in all directions, the country is doomed to technological backwardness in the USSR, the same was noticeable especially in civilian products.
        6. Paul Siebert
          Paul Siebert 29 May 2020 20: 33 New
          +1
          Quote: Stas157

          Socialist planned economy. And no cyclic crises for you, no overproduction and all that the world of capitalism systematically suffers from.

          Plus deploy oil and gas flows - inland.
          There is nothing to feed my energy resources.
          First of all, it is necessary to supply your economy with fuel!
        7. Simargl
          Simargl 29 May 2020 22: 18 New
          +1
          Quote: Stas157
          And no cyclic crises for you, no overproduction
          Newsreel "Wick" try to "leaf through". Be surprised.
          Everything was.
        8. Ura Karbovnichiy
          Ura Karbovnichiy 30 May 2020 09: 56 New
          +1
          There is no such system that would not destroy the corrupt official.
          We must start with the officials.
          Russia needs to serve even to the detriment of itself !!!
    2. SRC P-15
      SRC P-15 29 May 2020 10: 42 New
      +1
      A report from Rystad Energy, an analytical company on the situation in the oil market, was published. The report provides data that make oil producers clutch their hearts.

      "Who pays for a girl, he dances her!" I wonder who paid for this report ...
      1. Zanika
        Zanika 29 May 2020 11: 03 New
        -5
        Quote: СРЦ П-15
        "Who pays for a girl, he dances her!" I wonder who paid for this report ...

        It’s also interesting .. Look for someone who benefits! Most likely, something will bang down again .. The ruble is most likely s / n
      2. KVU-NSVD
        KVU-NSVD 29 May 2020 11: 12 New
        +2
        Quote: СРЦ П-15
        I wonder who paid this report ...

        Shale-breathing incense, they have tighter than others ... they want subsidies
      3. Glory1974
        Glory1974 29 May 2020 12: 18 New
        +1
        who paid this report ...

        The speculators on the stock exchange profit from price fluctuations. Most likely they sponsor various "analetegs".
        As experience shows, no one can predict oil prices. The maximum is after what happened explain why. But for this, the oil exchange was created in the 70s ....
    3. Olgovich
      Olgovich 29 May 2020 10: 45 New
      +2
      Quote: Zanika
      Let the oligarchy shake .. Well, our power!

      From the article:
      The corresponding result is an acute shortage of energy resources on the world market and prices will soar to such levels that even the once-proven $ 125 per barrel will not seem so high.

      So we must not shake, but work calmly, incl. and over diversification of exports
      1. Zanika
        Zanika 29 May 2020 11: 00 New
        -6
        Quote: Olgovich
        So we must not shake, but work calmly, incl. and over diversification of exports

        So what am I talking about ..? What is the high price of oil, what is low .. One hell we won’t get anything (gasoline as it was at a high price and there will continue to be growth and prices respectively) ..
        Here is such a zagagulin turns out ..
      2. Hagen
        Hagen 29 May 2020 11: 18 New
        -3
        Quote: Olgovich
        So we must not shake, but work calmly, incl. and over diversification of exports

        We won’t shake when 75-85% of the produced product will go to domestic consumption. To do this, increase the purchasing power of the population.
        1. Olgovich
          Olgovich 29 May 2020 12: 30 New
          0
          Quote: Hagen
          We won’t shake when 75-85% the produced product will go to domestic consumption.

          Germany exports 77% produced cars.
          She's wrong, right?
          1. Hagen
            Hagen 29 May 2020 12: 44 New
            0
            Quote: Olgovich
            Germany exports 77% of the machines produced.

            Machines are not all domestic production. In addition, we must bear in mind the unity of the economic space of the EU. Moreover, crises also occur in Germany. The higher the share of exports, the greater the dependence on foreign markets, and therefore on the state of foreign economies. The domestic market is more stable, even if it is possible that it will be consolidated with the state to influence it in order to reduce production stresses.
        2. Vadim237
          Vadim237 29 May 2020 14: 06 New
          -1
          Nobody will buy so much manufactured product in Russia, and even if the purchasing power of the population will not rush up, because our goods are not alone in the domestic market and it will be profitable for our producers to send part of the goods for export.
          1. Hagen
            Hagen 29 May 2020 14: 26 New
            +1
            Quote: Vadim237
            No one will produce so much manufactured product in Russia, even if the purchasing power of the population rushes up will not buy

            Well, then it will shake us from alien turbulence. The more we are tied to foreign markets, the more they influence our economy. It’s calm with them and it’s not sausage. They have problems - we will have a storm too. In my opinion, everything is very obvious.
            1. Vadim237
              Vadim237 29 May 2020 15: 16 New
              -4
              Get used to the global market economy, this is a single system - with a shaking crisis, internal savings and gold reserves are saved; the larger the volume of savings, the more stable the economy.
  2. KAV
    KAV 29 May 2020 10: 21 New
    +6
    Recently, analysts often get into milk. Listening to them is not a thankful task.
    In this situation, analysts talk about the need to balance the market so as not to be in a situation in which oil will become a truly scarce commodity without the availability of sufficient volumes of alternative energy resources. But the whole question is how to achieve this balance? No one has given an answer to it yet.

    Exactly. Many say what needs to be done. But no one says exactly how this can be done.
    1. knn54
      knn54 29 May 2020 11: 13 New
      +2
      D.I Mendeleev Oil will never go away: "Burning oil is the same as stoking the stove with banknotes."
      How much oil can be considered ONLY as raw material for fuel?
      At least visit https://naruservice.com/articles/oblasti-primenenie-nefti
  3. fn34440
    fn34440 29 May 2020 10: 25 New
    -20
    I'll go to the finals. Pour a full tank and 100 liters in cans. Their gasoline is always cheaper in times of collapse in oil prices. All honestly.
    1. Nastia makarova
      Nastia makarova 29 May 2020 10: 28 New
      12
      usually finns go for petrol in peter
    2. Ren
      Ren 29 May 2020 10: 41 New
      +8
      Quote: fn34440
      I'll go to the finals. Pour a full tank and 100 liters in cans. Their gasoline is always cheaper in times of collapse in oil prices. All honestly.

      To whistle - not toss bags? fool
      According to the data of May 25.05.2020, 1, the average price of 1.260 liter of gasoline is 100 EUR (about 1.49 rubles / liter) and it has fallen from 17.02.2020 EUR / liter (XNUMX) !!! laughing
      And where do you live and how much fuel do you buy? prices in rubles? hi
      1. bk316
        bk316 29 May 2020 17: 03 New
        -2
        And where do you live and how much fuel do you buy?

        And this is how he spends his vacation. And what about others there on the beach, you can earn skin cancer or plant a liver in the country or even break down on skiing.
        And here you take vacation pay, you stand at the customs AND BUY GASOLINE ONCE AND ONE AND A half AND TWO MORE ROAD THAN NEAR THE HOUSE. Again at the customs office you are answering the puzzled questions of the customs officers where are 5 cans of gasoline? what for? belay And tomorrow again, the liver and the whole skin are back to work. laughing I would also suggest that everything is beautiful to drain or burn this gas in the country .....
    3. AU Ivanov.
      AU Ivanov. 29 May 2020 10: 41 New
      +9
      Drive. Gasoline they now have 1,3 oyro per liter. Save.
    4. Volodin
      Volodin 29 May 2020 10: 43 New
      10
      Quote: fn34440
      I'll go to the finals. Pour a full tank and 100 liters in cans. Their gasoline is always cheaper in times of collapse in oil prices. All honestly.

      This is to which Finns? If those who live somewhere in the region of Ashgabat, then yes ... option ... But they say there are very few Finns ...
      And if for those who live in Finland, then 1 liter in mid-May - about 100 p. with copecks on ours. All honestly.
      1. major147
        major147 29 May 2020 10: 51 New
        +7
        fn34440 (Faina Levin) Today, 10:25 AM NEW

        I'll go to the finals

        Troyak air ruined and washed off negative
    5. Paranoid50
      Paranoid50 29 May 2020 11: 38 New
      +1
      Quote: fn34440
      I'll go to the finals.

      belay From Israel? wassat
    6. Stirbjorn
      Stirbjorn 29 May 2020 12: 04 New
      +3
      Quote: fn34440
      I'll go to the finals. Pour a full tank and 100 liters in cans. Their gasoline is always cheaper in times of collapse in oil prices. All honestly.

      go to Kazakhstan, gasoline is much cheaper there. 92nd 27 rubles a liter, 95th 29.
      Here is a link for stubborn cheers-patriots https://visasam.ru/emigration/pereezdsng/benzin-v-kazahstane.html
      1. bk316
        bk316 29 May 2020 17: 07 New
        -6
        Here is the link for stubborn cheers

        This is how many liters you need to buy so that gasoline on the road and amortization of a car will be recouped? AND MOST IMPORTANT HOW TO CARRY IT IF MORE THAN 100 LITERS, it is prohibited to transport in a regular car. And Michael, do not tell cheers to the patriot how to shove the unbeatable? sad
  4. paul3390
    paul3390 29 May 2020 10: 26 New
    +4
    Miracles like a highly efficient bourgeois economy .. They can’t plan elementary things — and there, the Soviet government is gaining insolence.
    1. geologist
      geologist 29 May 2020 10: 41 New
      0
      This is not planning. The analytics here is probably very complicated because This is the highest economy and statistics. Here is the promise for the depletion of hydrocarbon reserves, which at the moment also can not be accurately measured. 50% oil recovery what is it? Incorrect calculation or barbaric exploitation of deposits. According to my observations a hundred years ago, an oil field resembles a network of blood vessels i.e. It is a complex structure that repeats a network of rivers and streams of some sort of Jurassic period. Everything is very difficult to consider here, therefore they simplify to arithmetic of the middle classes .. Only one thing is clear that these are probably irreplaceable resources.
      1. Hagen
        Hagen 29 May 2020 11: 29 New
        0
        Quote: geologist
        50% oil recovery what is it? Incorrect calculation or barbaric exploitation of deposits.

        This is not barbarism. This is such a level of technology in oil production today. Despite the fact that the figure is in some cases very high. The efficiency of oil recovery from oil reservoirs by modern, industrially developed development methods in all oil-producing countries is today considered unsatisfactory. The average final oil recovery in different countries and regions is from 25 to 40%. For example, in Latin America and Southeast Asia, the average oil recovery is 24-27%, in Iran - 16-17%, in the USA, Canada and Saudi Arabia - 33-37%, in the CIS and Russia - up to 40% , depending on the structure of oil reserves and applied development methods. New technological methods of production will appear, they will return to depleted fields, re-preserve the wellbore Ford and again pull the crude oil.
      2. Vadim237
        Vadim237 29 May 2020 14: 09 New
        0
        Simply put - a possible oil crisis is negotiated.
      3. Polymer
        Polymer 29 May 2020 19: 45 New
        0
        Quote: geologist
        according to my observations a hundred years ago

        Wow! How old are you, if not a secret?
  5. alone
    alone 29 May 2020 10: 30 New
    +3
    Well, what is the article about? Another Columbus discovered another America? Now everyone is not sweet ..
    125 dollars per barrel can and will, but it will not be now. And not in a month .. It is likely that it will take a long time to wait ..
    1. major147
      major147 29 May 2020 10: 56 New
      +4
      Quote: lonely
      Now everyone is not sweet ..

      Not only to those who sell oil, but also to those who consume. Production barely move. Urals is now trading at 35.15
      1. alone
        alone 29 May 2020 10: 59 New
        0
        Quote: major147
        Urals is now trading at 35.15

        Well, the brand today is trading at 34,32 dollars per barrel, Urals cannot cost 35,15 .. Urals is not included in the brand brand ... are you confusing something
        1. major147
          major147 29 May 2020 11: 01 New
          +2
          Quote: lonely
          .You confuse something

          https://nefturals.ru hi
        2. major147
          major147 29 May 2020 11: 14 New
          0
          Quote: lonely
          Quote: major147
          Urals is now trading at 35.15

          Well, the brand today is trading at 34,32 dollars per barrel, Urals cannot cost 35,15 .. Urals is not included in the brand brand ... are you confusing something

          Minus not mine hi
          1. alone
            alone 29 May 2020 11: 23 New
            0
            Quote: major147
            Minus not mine

            No problem .. and Brent really trades in the region of 34,30 .. Although the devil understands them
            1. WIKI
              WIKI 29 May 2020 13: 58 New
              +1
              Quote: lonely
              and Brent is really trading at 34,30..Although the devil understands them
              At the time of writing the comment (11:10), the brent cost 35,41, and the Urals 35,15
            2. Zanika
              Zanika 29 May 2020 14: 02 New
              -5
              Quote: lonely
              Quote: major147
              Minus not mine

              No problem .. and Brent really trades in the region of 34,30 .. Although the devil understands them

              And it grows slowly ..! "Your bloody regime" will survive again))))
              And she will vote for a new Constitution!
              Again you bummer and Hodor sits (while in Germany)))))
              1. alone
                alone 29 May 2020 14: 14 New
                +3
                Quote: Zanika
                And it grows slowly ..! "Your bloody regime" will survive again))))

                The mode is not mine, not I installed it
                Quote: Zanika
                And she will vote for a new Constitution!

                I don’t see much joy about this
                Quote: Zanika
                Again you bummer and Hodor sits (while in Germany)))))

                What a bummer then .. I like purple where Hodor sits

                P.S. Vitaly (Mikhan), are you still tired of carrying nonsense?
                1. Revolver
                  Revolver 29 May 2020 20: 38 New
                  0
                  Quote: lonely
                  What a bummer then .. I like purple where Hodor sits

                  After Yukos was liquidated, by and large, everyone does not care where Khodor sits. Of course, he still had the nest egg for a completely comfortable life for himself, his grandchildren, and even great-grandchildren, but not enough to somehow influence anything. So the fact that he is sitting by the fireplace of his villa and sipping French cognac offends the advocates of justice to the maximum. And if he is again put in a zone or even a stake, he will not give anything but moral satisfaction or indignation to anyone.
  6. prior
    prior 29 May 2020 10: 31 New
    +6
    It’s good to be a cat, a good dog .....
    And even better, an analyst or political scientist, you carry verbal diarrhea and do not answer for anything.
    What are oil prices, what is the ruble .... The main thing is to crow.
    1. major147
      major147 29 May 2020 10: 57 New
      +4
      Quote: prior
      What are oil prices, what is the ruble ....

      I always read such forecasts with a grin. No one knows what.
      For the sake of interest, for several years I have been collecting various kinds of predictions of all kinds of "prophets". None of them predicted Covid. Here is the price of their "predictions"!
      1. Free wind
        Free wind 29 May 2020 11: 53 New
        +2
        They were waiting for an epidemic, since the time of the Spanish woman they were waiting until 100 million people died. Only who would have thought that a Chinese would gobble up a bat, would pick it up with a zhabunenka, and drink all this with viper blood. And then oh, I'm sick of it. Where it’s not bad here, they drag everything into the mouth that’s not falling. Little children are beaten for this hand, and with these gourmets what to do, pour bitumen into the throats, otherwise they can pick it up.
  7. rocket757
    rocket757 29 May 2020 10: 32 New
    +2
    In this situation, analysts say the need to balance the market,

    Beautiful words ... only who needs to be poured into their ears?
  8. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 29 May 2020 10: 42 New
    +2
    Interestingly, for a long time "analysts" have been working on what everyone is talking about for the last 2-3 months and how do news programs in oil-producing countries start? For the first time, perhaps, the demand and prices for energy resources are falling, but so far we live and have not gone around the world. And some who still consider themselves a world hegemon.
  9. mavrus
    mavrus 29 May 2020 10: 44 New
    -1
    Quote: fn34440
    I'll go to the finals. Pour a full tank and 100 liters in cans. Their gasoline is always cheaper in times of collapse in oil prices. All honestly.

    Interesting ... Which minus you?
  10. tech3030
    tech3030 29 May 2020 10: 54 New
    +3
    Well, prices will jump and we will heal! I understand that we are talking about this? A bright future awaits us?
    1. Stirbjorn
      Stirbjorn 29 May 2020 12: 00 New
      +3
      Quote: tech3030
      Well, prices will jump and we will heal! I understand that we are talking about this? A bright future awaits us?

      That's right, you just have to tolerate wassat the government has been talking about the same thing since 2014
    2. Vadim237
      Vadim237 29 May 2020 14: 15 New
      0
      You understood correctly, they will now start to frighten the oil production crisis and then lay out statistics on which half of the current deposits will dry up in the coming years and there will be a sharp increase in the barrel with a break in the price ceiling. But this will be after the passion for the coronovirus pandemic ends.
  11. Ros 56
    Ros 56 29 May 2020 11: 04 New
    +1
    The main thing is that in our country for the population there should be a responsible policy with energy carriers, and what’s behind the hill, let the foreign country scratch their turnips.
    1. alone
      alone 29 May 2020 11: 30 New
      +1
      Quote: Ros 56
      so that in our country for the population there is a responsible policy with energy carriers,

      But it just doesn’t exist for the population
  12. spirit
    spirit 29 May 2020 11: 30 New
    +2
    The problem is that even when large players such as Venezuela and Iran were turned off, even before the crisis there was an overproduction of this very oil, now pour it. The OPEC agreement + fiction, no one will reduce anything, this is a very complicated and expensive technical procedure, and soon OPEC itself will start asking questions and everything will go in a new circle, now Rosneft has come up with the tune that it lacks oil to carry foreign contracts, so we won’t cut anything) so my personal forecast: this is a new round of OPEC scandals and oil fluctuations within 30-47 dead American presidents per barrel hi
  13. pmkemcity
    pmkemcity 29 May 2020 11: 32 New
    0
    British Petroleum in its annual study claims that the time for cheap oil has passed.
    Specialists of the oil company BP presented the annual "Statistical Review of World Energy - 2008". This time, the main topic of research, which has been carried out for almost a century and a half (since 1861), has been the rapid increase in energy prices. Moreover, not only oil, but also gas and coal fell into the field of view of the authors of the report.
    “Last year, oil prices rose more than other energy carriers. In 2007 alone, the cost of a barrel of Brent oil almost doubled - from $ 50,68 to $ 96,02. In total, since January 2003, oil prices in the world have increased by 300%, for coal - by 200%, for American natural gas - by 100%. At the same time, world oil consumption in 2007 grew by 1 million barrels per day (1,1%), ”the study notes.
  14. Mavrikiy
    Mavrikiy 29 May 2020 11: 36 New
    0
    A report from Rystad Energy, an analytical company on the situation in the oil market, has been published. The report provides data that force oil producers clutch at the heart.
    rave. The lack of oil in the market is dangerous for anyone .... for the consumer, so he will drink Corvalol, and oil industry workers will be in ++.
    About 60 percent of the world's oil comes from 25 oil fields, mainly in Saudi Arabia and the Middle East, whose average age is over 70 years old and which already have experienced an annual decline of 6-7 percent.
    Do not write to the Americans, we will save the world, we have a whole oil province at the exit, the Yenisei-Khatanga world significance. And we’ll destroy your shales as a class! angry What to expect from the amer-analytic company amers? Only: we all die. crying
    1. Andobor
      Andobor 29 May 2020 11: 52 New
      0
      Quote: Mavrikiy
      And we’ll destroy your shales as a class! H

      For this, the war began, and losses in the war and the victors are inevitable.
      But I still don’t understand whether there was an agreement with the Saudis,
      - I will look at them and incline not.
      1. ANB
        ANB 29 May 2020 12: 34 New
        0
        . But I still don’t understand whether there was an agreement with the Saudis,
        - I will look at them and incline not.

        Most likely, they were used in the dark.
        1. Andobor
          Andobor 29 May 2020 13: 34 New
          0
          Quote: ANB
          Most likely, they were used in the dark.

          Yes, the guys are hot - the reaction is easy to calculate and use.
    2. voyaka uh
      voyaka uh 29 May 2020 12: 47 New
      +2
      "of world significance Yenisei-Khatangskaya" ////
      ----
      Refers to "unconfirmed stocks". Everything is on paper level
      and primary exploration.
  15. vkd.dvk
    vkd.dvk 29 May 2020 11: 43 New
    0
    The situation is just wonderful. The future is even more wonderful.
    The somnambulists hypnotized by the "green" energy, by that time, are shutting down atomic, thermal energy generation, and will ALL depend on EVERYONE, in the hope of energy flow from regions where there is a lot of wind and sun, to where there are few of them. The Germans have already had enough of this murtsovka, receiving energy from France when it rains at home and there is no wind. The French are in no hurry to shut down nuclear generation. But the EU laws will put pressure on them in this destruction.
    1. Vadim237
      Vadim237 29 May 2020 14: 19 New
      0
      The main thing is that Russia would be closed down several times more LNG will be sold along with pipeline gas.
  16. Junior Private
    Junior Private 29 May 2020 11: 46 New
    0
    Today's fuel crisis will be relatively painless, with the next pump
    unsecured money supply, podzduvshy virtual economy. It will be accompanied by a redistribution of property, and not only in the polymer (!) Sector. And so in a circle.
  17. Junior Private
    Junior Private 29 May 2020 11: 53 New
    0
    Quote: major147

    I always read such forecasts with a grin. No one knows what.
    For the sake of interest, for several years I have been collecting various kinds of predictions of all kinds of "prophets". None of them predicted Covid. Here is the price of their "predictions"!

    I dare to offer weather forecasts for your "collection" - the same palmistry.
  18. Fitter65
    Fitter65 29 May 2020 11: 58 New
    +1
    force oil producers

    I always thought that oil and other minerals are extracted, not produced. Yes, and the industry was called coal mining, gold mining, oil mining, but not producing laughing
  19. AB
    AB 29 May 2020 11: 59 New
    -2
    soaring prices to levels at which even once proving themselves to be 125 dollars per barrel seem not so high.

    So what? Will we get richer? Nah! Sechin and the company will become richer, and the people of Russia will remain as if with nothing.
    1. Vadim237
      Vadim237 29 May 2020 14: 23 New
      0
      Part of the budget is just from the sale of oil and gas, and with this money everyone who is on the budget is a defense industry science social education industry infrastructure, etc. everything is interconnected.
  20. gorenina91
    gorenina91 29 May 2020 12: 24 New
    0
    - Russia had only two "allies" ... - these are oil and gas ... - And these began to "let down" ...
    1. Vadim237
      Vadim237 29 May 2020 14: 25 New
      0
      VPK energetics CX chemical industry machine building and everything else for more than $ 200 billion in export deliveries.
  21. APASUS
    APASUS 29 May 2020 12: 37 New
    0
    The point is not at all in investments in geological exploration, the fact is that politicians began to play with oil! And the exploration process is very long
  22. Roman123567
    Roman123567 29 May 2020 14: 35 New
    +1
    data that makes oil producers clutch their hearts.

    If Sechin’s heart stops against this background, I think very few people will be very upset ..
    1. Vadim237
      Vadim237 29 May 2020 15: 19 New
      0
      They will make you clutch at your heart from the influx of inspiration - "In this situation, I will sell a barrel four times more than now"
  23. vkd.dvk
    vkd.dvk 29 May 2020 16: 46 New
    -1
    Quote: Zanika
    Quote: lonely
    Quote: major147
    Minus not mine

    No problem .. and Brent really trades in the region of 34,30 .. Although the devil understands them

    And it grows slowly ..! "Your bloody regime" will survive again))))
    And she will vote for a new Constitution!
    Again you bummer and Hodor sits (while in Germany)))))

    Have you not dried out since Paratrooper’s Day? Sculpt yourself not realizing that.
  24. vkd.dvk
    vkd.dvk 29 May 2020 16: 50 New
    -1
    Quote: AB
    soaring prices to levels at which even once proving themselves to be 125 dollars per barrel seem not so high.

    So what? Will we get richer? Nah! Sechin and the company will become richer, and the people of Russia will remain as if with nothing.


    God killed, so be quiet longer, premature. See how much oil and gas workers get. And what proportion goes to the budget, that is, to you, crippled. And Sechin is not a private person, but appointed by the President. That is, a representative of a state company.
  25. Vladimir SHajkin
    Vladimir SHajkin 29 May 2020 17: 25 New
    0
    There will be an increase in quotes.
  26. Diverter
    Diverter 29 May 2020 22: 27 New
    0
    To give up all efforts to promote and manufacture electric vehicles, replace gas stoves with electric ones, replace water heating with electric panels, etc., etc. The goal is to reduce your own needs. Sooner or later it will have to be done. Oil is not infinite. Better early and save a few deposits
  27. Petrol cutter
    Petrol cutter 30 May 2020 01: 21 New
    -1
    "The corresponding result is an acute shortage of energy resources on the world market and a rise in prices to such values, at which even the once manifested $ 125 per barrel will seem not so high."
    This is how your ..yat! Do you command me to understand ?!
    Yesterday they reported, no one needs resources for nothing ...
    Today, an acute shortage of resources ...
    What kind of coronovirus is this ?! This is what muddy professionals are!
    Who knows that they don’t know nicherta ?! One .. headless around. God forgive me.
  28. PavelM
    PavelM 30 May 2020 06: 33 New
    +1
    Quote: Vadim237
    even normal dental crowns were not made.

    Ay-ah-ah, what fools they were in the USSR! But now, we are doing everything in Russia (sarcasm)!
    1. Vadim237
      Vadim237 30 May 2020 13: 39 New
      0
      At least there is a choice whether its own or foreign.
    2. Vadim237
      Vadim237 30 May 2020 13: 52 New
      -2
      The leadership of the USSR were not stupid; they were idiotic idiots by hanging our 120 countries of rogue people and shifting the Soviet economy to the military-industrial complex, having kicked off the entire civilian sector and destroying private enterprise and competition away — that’s why now everything is developed and created in the West, occupying markets and gaining a client base across the whole citizen, and in our country the field is not plowed in this regard, since 70 lost years in this direction in 20 years cannot be caught up only in single niches.
  29. Zomanus
    Zomanus 30 May 2020 12: 16 New
    0
    Yes, that's garbage, these are the conclusions of experts.
    Given how much production had to be reduced,
    it will be enough to increase it to the previous state and everything will return to normal.
  30. Pavel57
    Pavel57 31 May 2020 00: 41 New
    0
    In addition to the linear crisis, an oscillating buildup looms, intensifying the crisis.