Military Review

Abroad declared "contradictions" between Russia and Syria

51

Recently, foreign media have increasingly written about the "black line" in relations between Russia and Syria. Allegedly, Moscow has accumulated large claims against Bashar Assad. But is it really so?


Big pay for Damascus, big load for Moscow


If we put aside officialdom, then Syria really acts in relation to Russia in the role of a “client state”. Bashar al-Assad owes to the fact that he is still in power, and maybe because he is still alive, exclusively Russian military, political, financial support. If only Iran were on the side of Damascus, Assad would have long lost the civil war.

But Russia takes a corresponding fee for its great help: these are military bases in Tartus and Hmeimim, these are contracts for Russian companies, this is the growing influence in the Middle East. Moscow helps Damascus, but also solves its problems. And there is nothing wrong with this: all the participants in the protracted Syrian conflict, from the USA to Turkey and Iran, do so without exception. However, the Syrian leadership may consider Moscow’s excessive influence as a threat to its own independence.

At some point, for Bashar al-Assad, the retention of Damascus and his power was in the first place, but now, with the successes achieved and thanks to Russian support, he sets as his task the preservation of Syrian sovereignty within its former borders and the restoration of control over the entire territory of the country. But it’s precisely these Assad’s aspirations that may conflict with Russia's policy in the Middle East: Moscow may pursue its goals that are not directly related to maintaining the Syrian president’s power over the entire territory of the country. Moreover, it is becoming increasingly financially heavy load.

What is dissatisfied with Russia


Indian analyst M.K. In The Asia Times, Bhadrakumar writes about the possible disappointment of Vladimir Putin that military victories did not lead to a political settlement in Syria, but even more important is the fact that Russia is not able to solve the tasks of reconstructing the nine-year-old brutal warfare of the Syrian economy, without attracting financial resources of the countries of the West and the Arab monarchies of the Persian Gulf.



The third alarming factor for Russia, the conflict, as they say abroad, is due to the fact that the United States and Turkey impede the complete victory of Bashar Assad. Russia will not fight against the American and Turkish troops in Syria, respectively, and it is impossible to remove them by military means from the territory of the country. But in this case, Bashar al-Assad will never be able to regain control of all Syrian territories.

Separately, it is worth mentioning the Iranian factor, it can still be called ideological. In Tehran, Damascus is seen as part of a single axis of resistance to "world evil" in the Iranian sense, that is, the United States and Israel. This axis relies mainly on the Shiite population of the Near and Middle East, and since Bashar al-Assad and his entourage are Alawites (one of the directions in Shiism, if not to go into the nuances), Iran sees it as a natural junior ally.

In turn, in Damascus, for all the importance of Russian military assistance, they still clearly give preference to Iran. Russia is not Shiite Iran, Moscow does not have a religious and ideological affinity with Tehran or Damascus. In this situation, Russia would be much more profitable if the West and the Persian Gulf countries acted together with Moscow in the direction of resolving the situation in Syria.



Moscow and Damascus are beneficial to each other


According to Bhadrakumar, the hopes of the Russian elite that the United States will establish a dialogue with Russia on the Syrian issue are not justified. After all, the main goal of the United States is to free the Middle East from Russian political influence, including the removal of Russian troops and military bases from Syria. It was not for nothing that the US special envoy for Syria, James Jeffrey, said that his goal was to make Syria a “quagmire” for the Russian troops, and then they themselves could leave the country.

Moscow also understands this, so it is unlikely that they will break off relations with Bashar Assad, regardless of the negative perception of his individual actions. After all, Assad and only Assad officially called the Russian army to Syria. In turn, it was the military presence of the Russian Federation in Syria that at one time allowed Moscow to return to Middle Eastern politics as a serious actor, and even develop relations with all regional powers, including not only Iran, but also Turkey and Saudi Arabia. Thanks to the Syrian war, interest in Russian weapons has increased, and from former American clients like Ankara and Riyadh.

As for Assad, he is probably dissatisfied with the too large, as it seems to him, the role of Moscow in Syrian politics. But the Syrian president’s hands are tied: it is impossible to rely only on Iran, without the help of Russia, his power will quickly end. However, it is difficult to disagree with the fact that relations between Moscow and Damascus may change for the worse, especially since there are different influence groups within the Syrian elite, including those who support a partial break with Moscow.
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  1. Mouse
    Mouse 21 May 2020 14: 37 New
    +3
    Write, write ...
    1. Vend
      Vend 21 May 2020 14: 49 New
      +6
      Quote: Mouse
      Write, write ...

      Yes, they are so in the West only to have fun, invent disagreements between Russia and Syria, Russia and China, etc., for complacency. laughing
      1. Lelek
        Lelek 21 May 2020 15: 14 New
        +1
        Quote: Wend
        Yes, they are so in the West only to have fun, invent disagreements between Russia and Syria, Russia and China, etc., for complacency.

        hi , Anatoly.
        Throwing Western anti-Russian "bots" - I really want to spit on Assad and the Russian Federation. And there are enough internal Syrian scoundrels as well as internal Russian ones at home.
        1. Vend
          Vend 21 May 2020 15: 41 New
          +3
          Quote: Lelek
          Quote: Wend
          Yes, they are so in the West only to have fun, invent disagreements between Russia and Syria, Russia and China, etc., for complacency.

          hi , Anatoly.
          Throwing Western anti-Russian "bots" - I really want to spit on Assad and the Russian Federation. And there are enough internal Syrian scoundrels as well as internal Russian ones at home.

          hi Leo, you don’t even know who is worse, an external or internal enemy.
          1. Lelek
            Lelek 21 May 2020 15: 56 New
            +5
            Quote: Wend
            you don’t even know who is worse, an external or internal enemy.

            hi
            The inner one is always worse, because it is at arm's length, smiles at you and holds a sharpener in the sleeve. Well, and only your own betray, the enemy is not a traitor.
      2. NF68
        NF68 21 May 2020 15: 57 New
        0
        Quote: Wend
        Quote: Mouse
        Write, write ...

        Yes, they are so in the West only to have fun, invent disagreements between Russia and Syria, Russia and China, etc., for complacency. laughing


        In the West and Breshet bless you. No one can lie like that.
      3. Paranoid50
        Paranoid50 21 May 2020 16: 35 New
        +3
        Quote: Wend
        Yes, they’re so entertained in the West only,

        In this case, in the east. yes
        Indian analyst M.K. Bhadra Kumar writes in The Asia Times about

        He writes with one hand and dances with the other.laughing
        1. Vend
          Vend 21 May 2020 17: 12 New
          0
          Quote: Paranoid50
          Quote: Wend
          Yes, they’re so entertained in the West only,

          In this case, in the east. yes
          Indian analyst M.K. Bhadra Kumar writes in The Asia Times about

          He writes with one hand and dances with the other.laughing

          You can live in the east, and do the work and get loot for it in the west)
      4. venik
        venik 22 May 2020 00: 30 New
        +1
        Quote: Wend
        Yes, they are so in the West only to have fun, invent disagreements between Russia and Syria, Russia and China, etc., for complacency.

        ========
        And even if they are? So what???
        SHOOT my cap, if at least SOMEONE on this site can name at least TWO (the most, most, most "friendly") countries between which there would NOT be AT LEAST SOME CONTRADICTION!!!
        This does not happen! (From the word - AT ALL !!!). soldier
        The question is ANOTHER: CAN they find "MUTUAL LANGUAGE"? That THIS is the MAIN THING! hi
        1. Vend
          Vend 22 May 2020 09: 54 New
          +1
          Quote: venik
          Quote: Wend
          Yes, they are so in the West only to have fun, invent disagreements between Russia and Syria, Russia and China, etc., for complacency.

          ========
          And even if they are? So what???
          SHOOT my cap, if at least SOMEONE on this site can name at least TWO (the most, most, most "friendly") countries between which there would NOT be AT LEAST SOME CONTRADICTION!!!
          This does not happen! (From the word - AT ALL !!!). soldier
          The question is ANOTHER: CAN they find "MUTUAL LANGUAGE"? That THIS is the MAIN THING! hi

          Any country should follow its interests, but when there is mutual respect, you can always find a compromise.
          1. venik
            venik 22 May 2020 13: 34 New
            0
            Quote: Wend
            Any country should follow its interests, but when there is mutual respect, you can always find a compromise.

            =======
            good As the saying goes: "Neither add! Neither remove!" drinks
    2. Terenin
      Terenin 21 May 2020 14: 53 New
      +4
      Recently, foreign media are increasingly writing
      yes, foreign media - of course winked . It would be useful for us to find out which foreign state (foreign company) and how much it invests in a particular Russian media.
    3. Civil
      Civil 21 May 2020 15: 13 New
      0
      Russia is not able to solve independently, without attracting financial resources of the Western countries and the Arab monarchies of the Persian Gulf.

      Lies, we will restore everything ourselves, the treasury is bursting with money. It is not for nothing that they fought so much and lost so much money. It is necessary to introduce a tax "on the restoration of Syria", let us help brotherly Damascus.
  2. rocket757
    rocket757 21 May 2020 14: 39 New
    +1
    But it’s precisely these Assad’s aspirations that may conflict with Russia's policy in the Middle East: Moscow may pursue its goals that are not directly related to maintaining the Syrian president’s power over the entire territory of the country.

    Class! Over the hill they know about Moscow's plans more than in Moscow itself ........
    Nothing new in general.
    1. cniza
      cniza 21 May 2020 16: 35 New
      +2
      It always was like that, or rather they always thought like that, though time then set everything up differently.
      1. rocket757
        rocket757 21 May 2020 17: 27 New
        0
        They used to tell all sorts of "fairy tales" to their inhabitant! And now some of us have picked up and carry such a "blizzard" .... like the foreign ones know better how we live, why we should live and with whom we will be whirling !!!
        The funny thing is that OUR man in the street from this "blizzard" either laughs, or generally doesn’t!
        1. cniza
          cniza 21 May 2020 17: 54 New
          +3
          There is such a sin, many people think that they are better than ours and we should listen.
          1. rocket757
            rocket757 21 May 2020 19: 38 New
            0
            Of course, there are those who think that honey has been spread there ... but the World Wide Web makes different points of view available, and our people have long learned to read between the lines, everything and everywhere, in any information from any direction.
            The general mood is changing.
            Most people see that everything is not good with us, but they no longer have the illusion that there is much better.
            And those who "it's time to blame" were and will always be.
            This is an indestructible tribe.
            1. cniza
              cniza 21 May 2020 20: 00 New
              +2
              They themselves don’t know what it’s for them there, but playing an accordion plays at their fifth point ...
  3. tekinoral
    tekinoral 21 May 2020 14: 40 New
    0
    Bashar al-Assad owes that he is still in power, [i] [/ i]. Bashar may and must, but not all of Syria!
  4. Berg berg
    Berg berg 21 May 2020 14: 42 New
    -2
    The West can say a lot of things, but the fact that the Iranians began to land at Russian airfields is a fact! For now, we have such a compelled policy to revolve between ours and yours, but there is a time limit for everything.
    1. kjhg
      kjhg 21 May 2020 15: 45 New
      +2
      Quote: Berg Berg
      and the fact that the Iranians began to land at Russian airfields is a fact!

      What do you have in mind? Do Iranian warplanes land or do civilian officials arrive to agree on something?
  5. knn54
    knn54 21 May 2020 14: 47 New
    -1
    Give wishful thinking.
    The Yankees and Israel dream of creating a "quagmire" for Erdogan.
  6. Vitaly gusin
    Vitaly gusin 21 May 2020 14: 47 New
    -2
    Exactly TEN!
    A fairly brief but accurate review, which is understandable to not everyone will like. There was no place in it not SU-57, T-14 and S-400.
  7. Fishery
    Fishery 21 May 2020 14: 54 New
    +3
    and suddenly it will be like Egypt with the USSR, were friends, were friends and then again) and that's it
    1. Vitaly gusin
      Vitaly gusin 21 May 2020 15: 16 New
      +4
      Quote: Tonya
      what if it will be like with the USSR in Egypt

      And why all of a sudden and why only with Egypt
      And Syria was not weak in favor.
      In 2005, $ 9,782 billion was written off (out of $ 13,4 billion)
      And again a rake.
    2. Siberian 66
      Siberian 66 21 May 2020 15: 55 New
      +2
      and suddenly it will be like Egypt with the USSR, were friends, were friends and then again) and that's it

      It happens when there is someone to trade for) Not in this case).
      1. andreykolesov123
        andreykolesov123 22 May 2020 14: 10 New
        0
        Quote: Sibiryak 66
        It happens when there is someone to trade for) Not in this case).

        Bashar has a strong competitor in view of the Tigers' commander, much more popular than Assad. If he comes to power, then most likely Syria will fall under the Americans.
  8. KVU-NSVD
    KVU-NSVD 21 May 2020 15: 01 New
    +7
    As Bhadrakumar writes,

    P P 'SЊSЏ RџRѕR "RѕRЅSЃRєRёR№
    One wrote speculations of discord, the second retold them. So the infowave rises. While Assad is in power, scolding him against Moscow or simply expressing a nude is fraught with early deprivation of this power.
  9. A. Privalov
    A. Privalov 21 May 2020 15: 06 New
    +6
    To do this, you had to wait for the statements of the wise Indian?
    The light war, which seemed fast and victorious, dragged on for 5 years and she did not see the end, a lot of money flew away considerable, which already have something to use. Assad’s bickering is going on at the court; he doesn’t justify the hopes of political Russia, with all the consequences. Iran of Russia is only a hindrance, Hezbollah is complete scumbag-terrorists, who at one time killed Russian diplomats ...
    "He who has ears, let him hear; he who has eyes, let him see."
    Let's wait for the statements of the wise Eskimos and Australian Aborigines?
    1. vladcub
      vladcub 21 May 2020 16: 52 New
      +2
      "he who has ears, let him hear, he who has eyes, let him see, and he who has a head, let him think" so it turns out
  10. Break through
    Break through 21 May 2020 15: 19 New
    -11
    Western media read yourself do not respect
  11. Vladimir61
    Vladimir61 21 May 2020 15: 24 New
    +1
    Read interesting!
    Only the abundance of "probably", "possible", "it seems", all levels off to rumors, and the Orthodox, so just right, be baptized.
    I don’t know to what depth the Indian, or perhaps the author, “buried himself” in the Syrian issue, but the reasoning about what they think, about “possible” problems, Assad or Putin, is a utopia (fantasy of something that does not exist). Oh, maybe these are the results of parahypnosis.
  12. Zaurbek
    Zaurbek 21 May 2020 15: 25 New
    +2
    There may be disagreements ... ours and the Orthodox wards are not always friendly, but here is a different culture
  13. Junior Private
    Junior Private 21 May 2020 15: 52 New
    +6
    Whatever they say, but Assad is alive, and Hussein and Gaddafi are not very.
    1. Prisoner
      Prisoner 21 May 2020 16: 48 New
      +5
      laughing I would say that it’s not very.
  14. Pvi1206
    Pvi1206 21 May 2020 16: 00 New
    +1
    there are no insoluble problems ... there would be a will and a means ...
    1. Prisoner
      Prisoner 21 May 2020 16: 48 New
      +1
      sad And powerful Armed Forces.
  15. Operator
    Operator 21 May 2020 16: 04 New
    -1
    When Indian "analysts" write (at the suggestion of the Israelis), one gets the full impression that they are delusional - the only guarantee of the Alawites (20% of the population of Syria), led by Bashar al-Assad, that they will not be cut out by the Sunnis - this is Russia.

    Another thing is that Hafez al-Assad (Bashar's father), once in his life, turned his ass and broke Syria’s relations with the USSR, after which the Russian Federation had to pull Syria out of her ass.

    Therefore, we in Syria have nowhere to rush: to survive the Americans and Turks can and should be done naturally without loss on our part - by exhausting their financial capabilities to conduct military operations on the territory of this country (the Turks have already plagued Libya, the United States - the second Great Depression). But Iran, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and other Middle Eastern interests in the face of falling oil prices are no longer up to Syria.

    All in all: Hindi-Yudi Bhai Bhai bully
    1. borberd
      borberd 21 May 2020 20: 45 New
      +1
      Quote: Operator



      Therefore, we in Syria have nowhere to rush: to survive the Americans and Turks can and should be done naturally without loss on our part - by exhausting their financial capabilities to conduct military operations on the territory of this country (the Turks have already plagued Libya, the United States - the second Great Depression). But Iran, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and other Middle Eastern interests in the face of falling oil prices are no longer up to Syria.

      That’s why I love jingoistic patriots, because they always see only one side of the coin - the most brilliant for themselves. You apparently are not in Syria for your money? The fall in oil prices hit all miners, including Russia. So the time in Syria can be very short.
      1. Operator
        Operator 21 May 2020 21: 03 New
        -1
        Yes, yes, yes - you know better from Israel / India bully
  16. boris epstein
    boris epstein 21 May 2020 16: 25 New
    +1
    "... that relations between Moscow and Damascus may change for the worse, especially since there are various influence groups within the Syrian elite, including those who support a partial break with Moscow."
    You can’t be a little pregnant. These groups in the elite need to choose: either-or.
  17. cniza
    cniza 21 May 2020 16: 31 New
    +2
    moreover, there are various influence groups within the Syrian elite, including those who support a partial break with Moscow.


    This really is the place to be ...
  18. Prisoner
    Prisoner 21 May 2020 16: 46 New
    +2
    A Hindu slyly pours in. "In the current situation, it would be much more profitable for Russia if the West and the Gulf countries began to act together with Moscow in the direction of resolving the situation in Syria ..." you see. And "the hopes of the Russian elite that the US will establish a dialogue with Russia on the Syrian issue are not justified ..." Nobody hopes. Dialogue with the United States always boils down to communication between the master and the slave, and this does not work with the Russian Federation. what In general, Bhadrakumar had a cool idea.
  19. vladcub
    vladcub 21 May 2020 16: 46 New
    +2
    Iran has its own problems "above the roof" and Assad should understand this.
  20. senima56
    senima56 21 May 2020 16: 56 New
    0
    "Russia has only two allies: its army and navy." - Alexander III
  21. FIR FIR
    FIR FIR 21 May 2020 19: 16 New
    +2
    Russia will not fight against American and Turkish troops in Syria, respectively, and it is impossible to remove them by military means from the territory of the country. But in this case, Bashar al-Assad will never be able to regain control of all Syrian territories.

    And if the Syrian special forces received knowledge and weapons would begin a series of serious attacks on Turkish and Amer enclaves ...? How long would these unfortunate conquerors survive in Syria, despite the daily losses?
    1. Grits
      Grits 22 May 2020 02: 47 New
      0
      Quote: FIR FIR
      And if the Syrian special forces received knowledge and weapons would begin a series of serious attacks on Turkish and Amer enclaves ...? How long would these unfortunate conquerors survive in Syria, despite the daily losses?

      Or at least organize something like a partisan movement. But these are Arabs ...
  22. Doctor
    Doctor 21 May 2020 19: 21 New
    -2
    Assad seems to interfere with everything.
    Probably see suicide.
  23. DymOk_v_dYmke
    DymOk_v_dYmke 21 May 2020 20: 49 New
    0
    Indian analyst M.K. In The Asia Times, Bhadrakumar writes about the possible disappointment of Vladimir Putin that military victories did not lead to a political settlement in Syria, but even more important is the fact that Russia is not able to solve the tasks of reconstructing the nine-year-old brutal warfare of the Syrian economy, without attracting financial resources of the countries of the West and the Arab monarchies of the Persian Gulf.

    The Indian "analyst" does not write that the war in Syria was provoked and organized by the West in order to create the need to attract Western loans for recovery at extortionate interest. One of the intermediate goals of the West is to bring to power a government that would dutifully accept such predatory loans. Both Assad and the sane Syrians cannot but understand this.
  24. Alexander
    Alexander 22 May 2020 09: 14 New
    +1
    The West does not respect oneself, it’s a cantorque for inciting hatred and pitting people with skillful puppeteers from across the ocean.