Military Review

What will happen to the world?

34
What will happen to the world?

Oil prices continued to rise. If a few weeks ago the price of a barrel of Brent crude oil was below $ 25, now a new psychological mark has been overcome.


A barrel has crossed the bar at $ 35 and is preparing for further growth.

At the moment, the price is kept in the region of this particular value.



This growth has been going on since the exporting countries began to reduce oil production due to the signing of a new OPEC + deal. As you know, for the first time such a deal was attended by such producing countries as, for example, the United States and Canada. They did not just take part, but pledged to reduce oil production - a significant reduction. At the same time, the US authorities noted that they are doing this to restore the balance of the world oil market.

Economists around the world are trying to guess what will happen to the barrel and the entire global economy in the coming months. After all, the world, by and large, survived such that in stories there has never been, including the fall in oil prices for individual suppliers to negative values.

On the Day TV channel, Valentin Katasonov, doctor of economic sciences, expresses his opinion on economic events in the country and the world:

Photos used:
Facebook / Shell
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  1. rocket757
    rocket757 19 May 2020 14: 25 New
    +1
    On the seas, on the waves ... of our memory, for example.
    The world will survive, but some countries will not suffer minor disasters.
    I don’t want to be in this sad list!
    1. Nasrat
      Nasrat 19 May 2020 14: 40 New
      +4
      "Что будет с миром?"
      Человек возомнил себя всемогущим.... и думает, что это именно он планирует свою жизнь....Хм... Одно маленькое отклонение, хотя бы с тем же вирусом или изменением погоды, цунами, количеством и качеством газов на планете, пересыхание рек, озер, опустынивание и прочее - и вот уже нет человека.... и его мира.... Как самонадеянно он планировал и прогнозировал - "Что будет с миром?"
      1. Sandor Clegane
        Sandor Clegane 19 May 2020 15: 39 New
        +3
        Quote: Nasr
        Как самонадеянно он планировал и прогнозировал - "Что будет с миром?"

        if you want to make God laugh, tell him about your plans
      2. Ross xnumx
        Ross xnumx 19 May 2020 16: 20 New
        +1
        Quote: Nasr
        Как самонадеянно он планировал и прогнозировал - "Что будет с миром?"

        I always remember the wonderful game of actors in the film "The Master and Margarita":
        1. Grandfather
          Grandfather 19 May 2020 17: 35 New
          +3
          what will happen ... it’s good that I won’t see it. I lived at the best time, was born in the early 60s, was young at the best time in the 80s, there was great music, there was almost everything in the shops, well, I bought vidakas and TVs overnight at the store, but it was interesting to Live! not now.
  2. TAMBU
    TAMBU 19 May 2020 14: 45 New
    +5
    как тут не вспомнить одного заокеанского юмориста: "планета в порядке - это людям тр##дец" ...=)
  3. knn54
    knn54 19 May 2020 14: 47 New
    +1
    The world is NEVER the same. Changes have ALWAYS been, are and will be-
    war. revolution. pandemics. The issue on a scale is small or even global.
  4. NEXUS
    NEXUS 19 May 2020 14: 55 New
    +8
    To consider this crisis only from the economic side is very one-sided. Apparently, we must first admit that the world is undergoing a redivision of the world. And here not only redistribution in the economic sphere, but also in the social, military, even if you want a geographical one. In fact, what is happening now is the Third World War. And this crisis has affected all spheres of people's lives: medical, educational, financial and so on ...
    The point is not the price per barrel, and not the economic and industrial decline in general, but that the issue of restructuring the world way of life has been brewing for a long time.
    Already perhaps a wretched or paralyzed one does not understand that how they lived before all this, the world will not live.
    As for oil, the question of alternative energy sources has been acute for a very long time. Call me a pacifist, but I very often think about how far humanity would have developed if all that money for wars, weapons, etc. had been spent looking for new sources of nutrition, for medicine, for the development of materials that didn’t so dirty the planet ...
    Leading countries are developing, for example, super advanced missile defense systems ... but the Chelyabinsk meteorite then the whole system stupidly missed. We are at war with each other, but at some point, a brick can fly in, and all our fuss and feuds will be covered with a copper basin, and after a few hundred millions, some humanoid who lives after all this will talk about us as we are talking about dinosaurs.
    1. Ross xnumx
      Ross xnumx 19 May 2020 16: 16 New
      +1
      Quote: NEXUS
      and millions, so after a few hundred, some humanoid living after all this will talk about us, as we talk about dinosaurs.

      good
      I share your views. It is disgusting for me daily to encounter "morally wretched" people who consider it their duty to burn another piece of the planet with a bonfire and to pollute a clean corner of nature with plastic waste. It is more profitable for us to administer the city to fine (intimidate with fines) people who go outside without medical masks than to restore order in the district.
      1. NEXUS
        NEXUS 19 May 2020 16: 42 New
        +4
        Quote: ROSS 42
        It’s disgusting for me to encounter “morally wretched” people every day,

        People drove themselves into this idiocy, in which not only anti-human principles reign, but in general, the desire for suicide. Moreover, this is an aspiration at all levels of our world order, starting with man, as part of something larger and ending with states.
        For a long time there is no MAN-CREATOR, but there is a human consumer. This is a fact of today's realities. In the 18th century, a lawyer could invent a steam locomotive (having no academic background in this topic), and now set such a task for the same lawyer, priest, or office worker, and nothing will happen. This degradation of man as an inventor, innovator, and practical scientist did not begin in the 20th century, but earlier. Most of the fundamental discoveries of mankind fall on the 18-19th century.
        To create a hydrogen bomb so that it could destroy the half of the world is not a creation. Although many will say that the hydrogen bomb is a deterrent that does not allow the unleashing of the Third World War. But ... and unless the arms race is not in itself at odds with life on the planet?
        Somehow, the universities of our country opened letters-time written by students in the 70s. And in these letters, those students confidently talked about the fact that we were already flying to Mars for the rest and work, that entire cities were built on the Moon, etc. ... they believed in it.
        But what will we write in such letters-time in the form of a message to our descendants, who will open them in 100 years?
        1. Doliva63
          Doliva63 19 May 2020 18: 38 New
          +4
          "А вот что мы напишем в таких письмах-времени в виде послания нашим потомкам,которые откроют их через 100 лет?"
          We will honestly write to them that they exchanged everything for chewing gum and momentary benefits. laughing
          1. NEXUS
            NEXUS 19 May 2020 18: 44 New
            +3
            Quote: Doliva63
            We will honestly write to them that they exchanged everything for chewing gum and momentary benefits.

            We exchanged for chewing gum and profit at the end of the 20th century ... now we have come to the point that we are just like those macaques and a mirror-sitting, engaged in narcissism, antics and we are taught life by brainless uneducated nobody in YouTube.
            So I think, where will we fall even lower?
            1. Doliva63
              Doliva63 19 May 2020 18: 59 New
              +2
              Quote: NEXUS
              Quote: Doliva63
              We will honestly write to them that they exchanged everything for chewing gum and momentary benefits.

              We exchanged for chewing gum and profit at the end of the 20th century ... now we have come to the point that we are just like those macaques and a mirror-sitting, engaged in narcissism, antics and we are taught life by brainless uneducated nobody in YouTube.
              So I think, where will we fall even lower?

              Well, so from the end of the 20th we started our way to nowhere.
              1. Gato
                Gato 20 May 2020 02: 59 New
                +3
                Когда-то была такая теория, что люди по своему психотипу делятся приблизительно на три части: "деструкторы" (10%), "конструкторы" (20%) и "потребители" - остальные 70%.
                Destructors are adventurers, criminals, revolutionaries, some military men, generally people with an awl in one place, but without a desire to create. Designers are scientists, designers themselves, also with an awl, but also with brains, and with a desire to build. Consumers - I see.
                Так вот, все общественные формации до современной "демократии" ориентировались на первые два типа: к примеру, феодализм и фашизм - на деструкторов, социализм СССР - скорее на конструкторов, а вот при демократии всем стали заправлять последние 70%, подчинив своим интересам и деструкторов, и конструкторов. Отсюда дурацкие и бессмысленные войны, и такие же смартфоны с 10 камерами или легковушки с движком мощнее танкового.
    2. veritas
      veritas 19 May 2020 16: 25 New
      +4
      As for oil, the question of alternative energy sources has been acute for a very long time. Call me a pacifist, but I very often think about how far humanity would have developed if all that money for wars, weapons, etc. had been spent looking for new sources of nutrition, for medicine, for the development of materials that didn’t so dirty the planet ...

      I agree with every word. Mankind needs a paradigm shift, it needs updating, a new concept of development. In general, it exists and relies on the moral and spiritual component, but those who order music adhere to other, unfortunately, views.
    3. qQQQ
      qQQQ 19 May 2020 16: 48 New
      +1
      Quote: NEXUS
      I very often think about how far humanity would have developed if all that money for wars, weapons, etc. had been spent looking for new sources of food, medicine, developing materials that do not pollute the planet like that ..

      Would remain in the Stone Age so far. It is impossible not to admit that it was wars (I do not justify them, this is terrible, but nevertheless this is a medical fact) led to a jump in technology.
  5. Maks1995
    Maks1995 19 May 2020 15: 35 New
    -1
    Имхо, пора уже прекращать обсасывать "что будет, что будет".
    It’s clear. The ruble stopped falling, prices rose, countries quarantine cautiously being canceled, oil stopped falling sharply and stabilized.

    All. Over a year, the economy will pull back to the former, everything will be as before. The constitution will be changed.

    Everyone has already forgotten that all the time Yeltsin's oil was 20 bucks. And only then they raised it for GDP. And nothing.
    1. Ross xnumx
      Ross xnumx 19 May 2020 16: 08 New
      +1
      Quote: Max1995
      Everyone has already forgotten that all the time Yeltsin's oil was 20 bucks. And only then they raised it for GDP. And nothing.

      My dear man, we even remember what the price of oil was under Leonid Ilyich, and we were all surprised that so suddenly the goods of “not essential” necessity, but of increased demand had risen in price:
      1. Maks1995
        Maks1995 19 May 2020 20: 38 New
        -1
        Here! You remember, but many do not remember in a panic.
        And the prices are already, already .... And the favorite in the government gasoline allegedly rises in price ...
  6. Ross xnumx
    Ross xnumx 19 May 2020 16: 03 New
    +2
    Tell me, does someone seriously believe in the "chatter" of this doctor of economic sciences? To paraphrase the late Arkady Isaakovich, we can say that we are in these doctors of the “non-applied” economy, as we are in a mess. We even have a president - a candidate of economic sciences, and judging by the desired breakthroughs, we don’t have sparrows on the fences, but turkeys should sit, and pheasants and hazel grouses should walk on the sidewalks instead of city pigeons, which, according to V.V. Mayakovsky, he loves new "Russian elite".
    Scientists used to test their findings on themselves. So no one will check how much Sechin “earns” on the average wage in the country (at least)?
  7. major147
    major147 19 May 2020 17: 35 New
    +3
    What will happen to the world? - No one knows!
    1. Gato
      Gato 20 May 2020 02: 30 New
      +3
      What will happen to the world? - No one knows!

      I know. I even have a manual:
      1. major147
        major147 20 May 2020 11: 22 New
        0
        [quote = Gato] [quote] What will happen to the world? - No one knows! [/ Quote]
        [quote] I know. Without attracting the attention of orderlies. [/ Quote]
        ABOUT!!! Is it possible so
  8. nikvic46
    nikvic46 19 May 2020 18: 34 New
    -1
    When our welfare depends on oil and other natural resources, this is not entirely right. There are challenges ahead, when the price of a particular export product will fall. It even came to Chubais, who compared our oil to the dead cowboy horse, with whom it is necessary get down. The only time I agree with him. We go to the store, and the price of products already includes the price of oil and gas sold. And if all this disappears?
  9. seagull
    seagull 19 May 2020 20: 19 New
    +2
    "Суровые годы уходят
    The struggle for freedom of the country
    Others come for them
    Они будут тоже трудны"...
    ("Собачье Сердце" М. Булгаков )
    1. Gato
      Gato 20 May 2020 02: 34 New
      0
      Они будут тоже трудны"...
      ("Собачье Сердце" М. Булгаков )

  10. Carnifexx
    Carnifexx 20 May 2020 08: 06 New
    0
    including falling oil prices for individual suppliers to negative values
    Negative FUTURES.
    Here is an explanation like this:
    “Imagine that the wife is going to go on a business trip, and the husband orders for $ 50 a“ girl with low social responsibility, ”who will come in 15 days. This is called a futures contract.
    Suddenly, all flights are canceled due to quarantine, and the wife stays at home for the next 60 days. The husband tries to get rid of the obligation to accept the girl and tries to resell it urgently to someone. But because of quarantine, all husbands are in a similar situation (the oil storage in Cushing is full). To make matters worse, the pimp (New York Mercantile Exchange) cannot take the girl back because all rooms are occupied.
    The husband is forced to pay anyone $ 40 to get rid of the asset. "
  11. Carnifexx
    Carnifexx 20 May 2020 08: 11 New
    -1
    Katasonov is a titan of thought, one of the apostles of the economy like Starikov, Glazyev and pres-wino of Rosneft Leontyev. It's always interesting to listen to smart people.
    1. awdrgy
      awdrgy 21 May 2020 00: 41 New
      0
      Means correctly speaks)
      1. Carnifexx
        Carnifexx 21 May 2020 08: 14 New
        0
        In the free access to the assessment of the reasoning of these characters, as well as textbooks on economics, that is, there are no problems in order to find out what they are (oh, Delyagin and Fedorov). But this is not the way of the Jedi apparently
        1. awdrgy
          awdrgy 21 May 2020 11: 31 New
          0
          This is the way of the dark side)
          1. Carnifexx
            Carnifexx 21 May 2020 11: 35 New
            0
            Well, yes, these Sith economists are everywhere, but there is hope — the last Jedi who basically do not study economics further than Ricardo-Marx so as not to fall into the temptation of the dark side.
            1. awdrgy
              awdrgy 21 May 2020 11: 44 New
              0
              Hope dies last)
  12. Masha
    Masha 20 May 2020 14: 47 New
    +2
    A barrel rules the world ...