Barrel “on a swing”: a real feast for speculators in the oil market

Barrel “on a swing”: a real feast for speculators in the oil market



What is happening in the last couple of months with oil prices is a real expanse for speculators with solid capital. Earlier, a barrel of Brent crude oil in just a few days lost more than half of its value. Then quotations continued to fall, reaching values ​​of 18-19 dollars per barrel of oil of the mentioned brand.

Now, oil suddenly began to skyrocket. The increase since the start of daily trading at peak levels reached 18%. This is a real nightmare for the market and at the same time a holiday for those who use oil exclusively for speculative operations.

To get a daily profit at 20 percent, getting rid of some accumulated blue chips, and then play on the purchase of others - of course, it has nothing to do with the real situation on the market. The manipulation of large stocks of oil companies is direct.

Currently, a barrel of Brent crude is trading in the region of 23-24 dollars. Moreover, the "price swing" is such that literally within an hour the price can fall and jump by 4-5%. At the same time, there are (once again) “economic gurus” who are ready to explain the situation with “purely economic laws”. Laws that do not work during trade wars, and even more so under strict quarantine measures in the event of epidemics, but then they suddenly got it and earned it ...



So what is the explanation for the sharp daily increase in oil prices is given?

“Gurus” say that “the market reacted positively to the decisions of the governments of a number of countries to gradually remove restrictive measures.” In a number of countries in Europe and Asia, quarantine measures are beginning, if not lifted, then mitigated, and therefore "the market felt that oil demand could soon begin to rise."

How, then, to make constant statements about “crowded storages”, the same “gurus” prefer not to speak. Although, with special desire, those who are among the main guardians of economic regimes based solely on speculation and attachment to unsecured cut paper, in this case there is an explanation.
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  1. Mountain shooter April 29 2020 18: 06 New
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    This is PAPER OIL! To real production and long-term contracts is relevant insofar as. According to a number of experts' estimates, paper oil on exchanges is one hundred times more than real.
    1. Mabius April 29 2020 18: 14 New
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      Yes, buy-sell and other pawnbrokers are now expanse, capital is literally doing from the air .. It is not for nothing that Russia stops exporting wheat and other food .. I feel it will go up in price soon .. The main thing is that we have reliable storage facilities ..
    2. venik April 29 2020 23: 24 New
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      Quote: Mountain Shooter
      According to a number of experts' estimates, paper oil on exchanges is one hundred times more than real.

      =======
      About "a hundred times"- I don’t know ... I’m not sure! But the fact that already in 2002 or in 2003 (I don’t remember exactly) the volume of futures contracts EXCEEDED explored world oil reserves are FACT!
      So that:
      Quote: Mountain Shooter
      This is PAPER OIL! To real production and long-term contracts is relevant insofar as.

      good I would say even more: Generally does not! drinks
  2. Maas April 29 2020 18: 11 New
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    What is happening in the world? Is this a 3 world war light version?
    1. Mountain shooter April 29 2020 18: 17 New
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      Quote: Maas
      What is happening in the world? Is this a 3 world war light version?

      No, this is her rehearsal. The next virus, IMHO, will have a mortality rate of 50% ... and an incubation period of a month. If we fool around - we get it in full ...
      1. Volodin April 29 2020 18: 42 New
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        Quote: Mountain Shooter
        The next virus, IMHO, will have a mortality rate of 50% ... and an incubation period of a month.

        And the vaccine is exclusively in the form of a QR code
    2. Grandfather April 29 2020 18: 30 New
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      Quote: Maas
      What is happening in the world? Is this a 3 world war light version?

      slim light ...
    3. Nyrobsky April 29 2020 22: 59 New
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      Quote: Maas
      What is happening in the world? Is this a 3 world war light version?

      They cut down a virtual add-on where speculators chasing air in the form of sales of resources not yet extracted and goods not produced make money. If it’s simple, they pump money out of thin air. The volumes of air sold and bought have already been leveled and in places exceed the volumes of material and physically produced values ​​that, when sold, can no longer cover any debts and obligations. One devalues ​​the other and becomes an obstacle to the development of the global economy.
  3. Courier April 29 2020 18: 13 New
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    Why is nothing provided?
    The dollar is secured by the economies of all countries, including China. Secured by the capital of emerging markets, production, turnover, all world trade, denominated in dollars.
    The laws of the economy can not be fooled, on one side of the balance is a stable dollar, on another currency of other countries.
    1. Mountain shooter April 29 2020 18: 18 New
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      Quote: Courier
      The dollar is secured by the economies of all countries, including China

      Well, well ... secured, secured. Just don’t worry ... tongue
  4. voyaka uh April 29 2020 18: 14 New
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    "by constant statements about" crowded storages ", the same" gurus "prefer not to speak" ////
    ----
    Vaults continue to fill up. In the United States, private companies were allowed to fill state strategic vaults. Four giant artificial caves at a depth of more than a kilometer with salt sprayed on the walls. Until the end of May they will be filled in full. After that, the USA will have to preserve the wells.
    1. Vasyan1971 April 29 2020 19: 46 New
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      Quote: voyaka uh
      "Gurus" prefer not to say "

      Why talk about them if
      Quote: voyaka uh
      Until the end of May they will be filled in full. After that, the USA will have to preserve the wells.
      ?
      The right hemisphere is not aware of what the left is quoting? hi
    2. NKT
      NKT April 29 2020 21: 42 New
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      To be precise, no one “sprayed” the walls with salt. These are real salt domes. During the construction, wells were drilled and water was pumped, which dissolved the salt. Thus, artificial cavities were formed.
  5. Pashhenko Nikolay April 29 2020 18: 16 New
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    One speculator won, the second lost. The first was enriched at the expense of the second. What about their exchange games? In my opinion, it’s not cold not hot.
    1. Mountain shooter April 29 2020 18: 21 New
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      Quote: Pashhenko Nikolay
      One speculator won, the second lost. The first was enriched at the expense of the second. What about their stock exchange games? In my opinion it’s not cold it’s not hot

      You don’t. And I don’t really. But American retirees - very unlucky. Their accumulations PFs played. And alas. Now who has half, and who has more - crap ... Speculators do not always play with their money. laughing
      1. Grandfather April 29 2020 18: 32 New
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        Quote: Mountain Shooter
        But American retirees - very unlucky.

        and the Russians were fabulously lucky! Hooray ! wassat
        1. DEDPIHTO April 29 2020 20: 18 New
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          Quote: Dead Day
          Quote: Mountain Shooter
          But American retirees - very unlucky.

          and the Russians were fabulously lucky! Hooray ! wassat

          It’s not very fortunate yet, but when the government begins to patch up a huge hole in the budget in order to formally fulfill current social obligations (pensions, benefits, etc.) .... What do you think, what ruble is easier to patch, strong or weak? wink
          Moreover, under the patriotic songs the continuation of privatization will be muddied up, in order to save the country and the economy, the budget needs to be filled with something. No one has money for the privatization of state property (everyone was milked and dried + losses from self-isolation), the acre of the right guys from the Kremlin and foreign spills .. Does the situation look like nothing? winked
          1. aybolyt678 April 29 2020 21: 27 New
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            Quote: DEPHIHTO
            . What do you think, what ruble is easier to patch, strong or weak?

            paradoxically weak lol As the ruble is weakening, it is easier in the village, selling meat and potatoes with a bang! how ruble strong foie gras preferred .... smile
        2. mole April 29 2020 20: 55 New
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          Quote: Dead Day
          Quote: Mountain Shooter
          But American retirees - very unlucky.

          and the Russians were fabulously lucky! Hooray ! wassat

          Rosneft thought about them beforehand. Trying to finish the shale of America, put the Saudi princes in their place, earn an order to the Head of the RN and bring the people of Russia to the bright future. Only who will now remember this recent past. Kovid19, otvetka amer, people who do not understand the restrictions, etc.
      2. Pashhenko Nikolay April 29 2020 18: 41 New
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        I, too, somewhere deep down in my heart worry about American retirees. Somewhere very deeply. But more like that for my own.
      3. Vasyan1971 April 29 2020 19: 48 New
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        Quote: Mountain Shooter
        But American retirees - very unlucky. Their accumulations PFs played. And alas. Now who has half, and who has more - cuckoo ...

        Well, right 90s of the last century, only here ...
  6. Hypatius April 29 2020 18: 30 New
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    The coronovirus epidemic in Russia began due to oil. And if the price rises to 40, then the house arrest of the Russians can end and move on to another tragedy - the usurpation amendments, until the people finally realized that they had robbed him, in order to mitigate the crisis for Western partners.
    1. Golovan Jack April 29 2020 19: 00 New
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      Quote: Hypatius
      Coronovirus Epidemic in Russia Starts Due to Oil

      And in the States, too? And in Italy? And in Spain? belay

      What are you saying (c) laughing
      1. Hypatius April 29 2020 19: 26 New
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        Did I incomprehensibly write:
        The coronovirus epidemic in Russia began due to oil.
        Again, problems with reading comprehension? And then Italy and the States? There they solve other problems. In Russia, even according to the statistics of patients, this is a farce. But the economy hurts, and this is a tragedy.
        1. Golovan Jack April 29 2020 19: 31 New
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          Quote: Hypatius
          In Russia, even according to the statistics of patients, this is a farce

          Justify, plz. I now have two acquaintances in Moscow in hospitals with this infection. Another is at home, with a bracelet on his leg, such as quarantine.

          Quote: Hypatius
          the economy hurts, and this is a tragedy

          The tragedy, translated from Greek, is "the song of the goats." The infection is primary, the economy is secondary. If a couple of millions get sick (let me remind you, the States have gained their million), there will be no time for the economy ...

          Quote: Hypatius
          Again, problems with reading comprehension?

          Young man, do not dare the elders ... I have no problem deciphering what you have written, but for some reason I don’t get the point in this cuneiform writing, yes ... but does it even make sense? wink
          1. Hypatius April 29 2020 19: 44 New
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            1. With a mortality rate of 0,1-0,3%, the measures are inadequate. Even 100 thousand die there, it’s not critical. If the economy collapses (2 great depression), thanks to such "care", then millions will surely die.
            2. What rudeness? This is a statement of fact. For all the years on the site, I have never seen a single (!) Position or thought that you justified. Only questions and nit-picking, usually not to the point, but to particulars. I already tried to chew you in such a way that it would reach the student. But it is useless, because I see no reason to continue. I wish you not to cough.
            1. Golovan Jack April 29 2020 20: 03 New
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              Quote: Hypatius
              With a mortality rate of 0,1-0,3%, measures are inadequate

              Give interesting numbers. They invented it themselves, or who suggested?
              "Inadequate" measures - taken everywhere in the world, except for idiots-Swedes and angels, in my opinion. Does this mean anything to you?

              Quote: Hypatius
              If the economy collapses (2 great depression), thanks to such "care", then millions will surely die

              What makes you think that something will “collapse”? What is needed - they will support, starve - feed, get sick - heal ... they are already treating, in Moscow there are already 50000 miserable. And there will be more.

              Quote: Hypatius
              For all the years on the site, I have never seen a single (!) Position or thought that you justified

              Your problems.

              Quote: Hypatius
              to no avail

              * useless then.

              There are attempts to talk about global things, without possession of any real information and even basic literacy. Go ... through the forest, "Hypatias."

              PS: As for the "position" - yes here: the measures are right, and it would be nice to be more strict, as in Israel now, for example. Still, too much idle people are hanging around the streets, so ... no need.
              1. ANB
                ANB April 30 2020 01: 51 New
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                . With a mortality rate of 0,1-0,3%, measures are inadequate

                These small percentages are counted from dead / infected.
                But if you count the dead / recovered, then the mortality rate of more than 10% comes out.
                For more accurate numbers, you need to accumulate statistics of recovery.
                Plus, doctors already suspect that even those who have recovered have consequences. Like after syphilis and tuberculosis. Now it’s not time to analyze these consequences.
                So it’s a bad infection.
                It is good that the children can easily tolerate it. Not yet mutated.
  7. knn54 April 29 2020 18: 42 New
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    By the way, fluctuations in oil prices are detrimental to the Russian economy. The main thing is that prices would stabilize, not necessarily at a high level.
    This will lead to the stability of the ruble and the cessation of the "galloping" of inflation.
  8. Grading April 29 2020 19: 32 New
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    Quote: Dead Day
    Quote: Mountain Shooter
    But American retirees - very unlucky.

    and the Russians were fabulously lucky! Hooray ! wassat

  9. KSVK April 29 2020 19: 46 New
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    Quote: Golovan Jack
    The infection is primary, the economy is secondary. If a couple of millions get sick (let me remind you, the States have gained their million), there will be no time for the economy at all ...

    Remind you how many people die in road accidents? So what? Epidemics have been and will be. And those who have come to die will die anyway. Not today like that tomorrow. But if the economy is bent, then for sure no one will care about a virus. Because people will begin to survive. And it will be the worst of any epidemic.
  10. Esoteric April 29 2020 19: 48 New
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    Interesting info. An ordinary person decided to earn extra money. In Finam, I bought futures for a small amount, but with a very large leverage. In two hours, he flew off in minus, and he was exposed to a debt of one and a half million. With his salary of 30 K. You will have to pay. From one forum of "traders".
  11. Gennady Fomkin April 29 2020 20: 04 New
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    Oil production in the United States amounted to 12 thousand barrels. in a day. This is 100 barrels per day less than a week earlier. 100 barrels per day less than the peak reached this year and 000 barrels. less per day than at the same time last year.

    For the first time there was a recession by last year!

    We continue to observe.
  12. Gennady Fomkin April 29 2020 20: 18 New
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    > After 6 months, the whole west will fall.

    After 24 hours, real estate and kids in the west will "fall". Or maybe they will stand up. In all sorts of interesting poses. laughing
  13. Gennady Fomkin April 29 2020 20: 22 New
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    There are no “buffer storages" for a very simple reason - they are simply not needed for a country that produces 4 times more oil than it consumes oil products. There are approximately 100 thousand active wells and any quarter of them in case of shortage will provide the country.

    What is there? There are technological and reserve capacities. For example, the Samotlor TSC has (from memory) 200 tanks with a capacity of 5 to 20 thousand m3, and therefore can hold 2 million m3 of oil. This does not mean that so much is stored there. A good quarter of the tanks are filled with mud, sediments that contain salt, sand, clay and rust moistened with oil. Remember the attack on the Saudi oil park? Such tanks stood there, some with roofs, and others already without them. Some of them are to be repaired, the other to liquidation, but this is a troublesome and unprofitable business. That's why they stand. About a quarter of the tanks in operation, some are filled, others are pumped out. Why are there so many? Because in the past, Samotlor mined 165 million tons / year, and now - 7-8 times less.

    And even more serious tank reserves are available at the reception of Transneft's oil pumping stations. From time immemorial, the written rule applies: if you want to hand over oil - build a tank for a three-day maximum pumping rate. If your business is designed for 3 thousand tons / day, the volume of tanks should be 10 thousand cubic meters. This is necessary in case of pipe repair or other unusual situation. Again - the maximum production has long passed, but the tanks remain, now you can drive in weekly products.

    Finally, there are reserves of the trunk workers themselves at the pumping stations. The largest of them is located in the Samara region, where there are reservoirs from 20 thousand m3 to 100 thousand m3. I don’t know what their total capacity is, too lazy to look, but I think there will be three million. At all stations of the ESPO pipeline, the total reservoir capacity is 4 million tons.

    Well, the last one is the tank farm of the refinery. I don’t know the numbers in Russia, but in the USA it has a volume of about 105 million barrels., 14 million tons.

    Journalists are already completely foolish about chatter, and therefore they are lurking a question in which there is no boom-boom. laughing
  14. Junior Private April 29 2020 21: 02 New
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    Quote: Maas
    What is happening in the world? Is this a 3 world war light version?

    From a macroeconomic point of view, nothing out of the ordinary happens. Unsecured "capital" flows from one virtual asset to another. Just another bubble. Under the current world economic system, this is a completely natural phenomenon. It is treated with a war.
  15. Gennady Fomkin April 29 2020 21: 27 New
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    Quote: Junior Private
    Quote: Maas
    What is happening in the world? Is this a 3 world war light version?

    From a macroeconomic point of view, nothing out of the ordinary happens. Unsecured "capital" flows from one virtual asset to another. Just another bubble. Under the current world economic system, this is a completely natural phenomenon. It is treated with a war.

    The fuckers are coming to an end ... Yeah, the times of global change ... belay It proves once again that it is impossible to build all these flows into Europe, which only increase our dependence on Europe.
    We need to build gas and oil refineries in our territory, and supply them with products of the second and third redistribution.
    And gas and oil are at the very minimum, at such a level that we can cut off without killing our economy.
  16. iouris April 29 2020 22: 25 New
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    “Russia of a democratic choice” solely at the will of the “democratically elected” president, a bicameral parliament, and a government democratically appointed by them has become an oil and gas appendage of economic systems and subsystems formed by world capital. These are not speculators. Thus, we are present at the festival of world capital. In whose capacity? To answer this question, one must understand whether the oil-dollar economy will be preserved or will it be destroyed due to force majeure circumstances. There are fewer signs that it will be preserved. There are already many signs that it will be destroyed. The surviving “pandemic”, the uniform reaction of ALL governments to this circumstance, is only another confirmation of the gradual establishment of a new world order based on a fundamentally new method of managing individuals.