Military Review

Barrel “on a swing”: a real feast for speculators in the oil market

36
Barrel “on a swing”: a real feast for speculators in the oil market



What is happening in the last couple of months with oil prices is a real expanse for speculators with solid capital. Earlier, a barrel of Brent crude oil in just a few days lost more than half of its value. Then quotations continued to fall, reaching values ​​of 18-19 dollars per barrel of oil of the mentioned brand.

Now, oil suddenly began to skyrocket. The increase since the start of daily trading at peak levels reached 18%. This is a real nightmare for the market and at the same time a holiday for those who use oil exclusively for speculative operations.

To get a daily profit at 20 percent, getting rid of some accumulated blue chips, and then play on the purchase of others - of course, it has nothing to do with the real situation on the market. The manipulation of large stocks of oil companies is direct.

Currently, a barrel of Brent crude is trading in the region of 23-24 dollars. Moreover, the "price swing" is such that literally within an hour the price can fall and jump by 4-5%. At the same time, there are (once again) “economic gurus” who are ready to explain the situation with “purely economic laws”. Laws that do not work during trade wars, and even more so under strict quarantine measures in the event of epidemics, but then they suddenly got it and earned it ...



So what is the explanation for the sharp daily increase in oil prices is given?

“Gurus” say that “the market reacted positively to the decisions of the governments of a number of countries to gradually remove restrictive measures.” In a number of countries in Europe and Asia, quarantine measures are beginning, if not lifted, then mitigated, and therefore "the market felt that oil demand could soon begin to rise."

How, then, to make constant statements about “crowded storages”, the same “gurus” prefer not to speak. Although, with special desire, those who are among the main guardians of economic regimes based solely on speculation and attachment to unsecured cut paper, in this case there is an explanation.
Photos used:
Facebook / BP
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  1. Mountain shooter
    Mountain shooter April 29 2020 18: 06 New
    +3
    This is "PAPER OIL"! It is related to real production and long-term contracts insofar as. According to a number of experts' estimates, there is a hundred times more paper oil on the exchanges than the real one.
    1. Mabius
      Mabius April 29 2020 18: 14 New
      +4
      Yes, buy-sell and other pawnbrokers are now expanse, capital is literally doing from the air .. It is not for nothing that Russia stops exporting wheat and other food .. I feel it will go up in price soon .. The main thing is that we have reliable storage facilities ..
    2. venik
      venik April 29 2020 23: 24 New
      0
      Quote: Mountain Shooter
      According to a number of experts' estimates, paper oil on exchanges is one hundred times more than real.

      =======
      About "a hundred times"- I don’t know ... I’m not sure! But the fact that either in 2002 or 2003 (I don’t remember exactly), the volume of futures contracts EXCEEDED explored world oil reserves are FACT!
      So that:
      Quote: Mountain Shooter
      This is "PAPER OIL"! It is related to real production and long-term contracts insofar as.

      good I would say even more: Generally does not! drinks
  2. Maas
    Maas April 29 2020 18: 11 New
    +1
    What is happening in the world? Is this a 3 world war light version?
    1. Mountain shooter
      Mountain shooter April 29 2020 18: 17 New
      +5
      Quote: Maas
      What is happening in the world? Is this a 3 world war light version?

      No, this is her rehearsal. The next virus, IMHO, will have a mortality rate of 50% ... and an incubation period of a month. If we fool around - we get it in full ...
      1. Volodin
        Volodin April 29 2020 18: 42 New
        +4
        Quote: Mountain Shooter
        The next virus, IMHO, will have a mortality rate of 50% ... and an incubation period of a month.

        And the vaccine is exclusively in the form of a QR code
    2. Grandfather
      Grandfather April 29 2020 18: 30 New
      -2
      Quote: Maas
      What is happening in the world? Is this a 3 world war light version?

      slim light ...
    3. Nyrobsky
      Nyrobsky April 29 2020 22: 59 New
      +2
      Quote: Maas
      What is happening in the world? Is this a 3 world war light version?

      They cut down a virtual superstructure, where speculators, driving the air in the form of sales of resources not yet produced and not produced goods, earn money. Simply put, money is pumped out of thin air. The volumes of sold and bought "air" have already become equal and in some places exceed the volumes of material and physically produced values, which, when sold, can no longer cover any debts and obligations. One thing devalues ​​the other and becomes an obstacle to the development of the world economy.
  3. Courier
    Courier April 29 2020 18: 13 New
    +2
    Why is nothing provided?
    The dollar is secured by the economies of all countries, including China. Secured by the capital of emerging markets, production, turnover, all world trade, denominated in dollars.
    The laws of the economy can not be fooled, on one side of the balance is a stable dollar, on another currency of other countries.
    1. Mountain shooter
      Mountain shooter April 29 2020 18: 18 New
      +4
      Quote: Courier
      The dollar is secured by the economies of all countries, including China

      Well, well ... secured, secured. Just don’t worry ... tongue
  4. voyaka uh
    voyaka uh April 29 2020 18: 14 New
    +9
    "constant statements about" overflowing repositories ", the same" gurus "prefer not to say" ////
    ----
    Vaults continue to fill up. In the United States, private companies were allowed to fill state strategic vaults. Four giant artificial caves at a depth of more than a kilometer with salt sprayed on the walls. Until the end of May they will be filled in full. After that, the USA will have to preserve the wells.
    1. Vasyan1971
      Vasyan1971 April 29 2020 19: 46 New
      +2
      Quote: voyaka uh
      "Gurus" prefer not to speak "

      Why talk about them if
      Quote: voyaka uh
      Until the end of May they will be filled in full. After that, the USA will have to preserve the wells.
      ?
      The right hemisphere is not aware of what the left is quoting? hi
    2. NKT
      NKT April 29 2020 21: 42 New
      +2
      To be precise, no one “sprayed” the walls with salt. These are real salt domes. During the construction, wells were drilled and water was pumped, which dissolved the salt. Thus, artificial cavities were formed.
  5. Pashhenko Nikolay
    Pashhenko Nikolay April 29 2020 18: 16 New
    0
    One speculator won, the second lost. The first was enriched at the expense of the second. What about their exchange games? In my opinion, it’s not cold not hot.
    1. Mountain shooter
      Mountain shooter April 29 2020 18: 21 New
      -3
      Quote: Pashhenko Nikolay
      One speculator won, the second lost. The first was enriched at the expense of the second. What about their stock exchange games? In my opinion it’s not cold it’s not hot

      You don’t. And I don’t really. But American retirees - very unlucky. Their accumulations PFs played. And alas. Now who has half, and who has more - crap ... Speculators do not always play with their money. laughing
      1. Grandfather
        Grandfather April 29 2020 18: 32 New
        11
        Quote: Mountain Shooter
        But American retirees - very unlucky.

        and the Russians were fabulously lucky! Hooray ! wassat
        1. DEDPIHTO
          DEDPIHTO April 29 2020 20: 18 New
          +1
          Quote: Dead Day
          Quote: Mountain Shooter
          But American retirees - very unlucky.

          and the Russians were fabulously lucky! Hooray ! wassat

          It’s not very fortunate yet, but when the government begins to patch up a huge hole in the budget in order to formally fulfill current social obligations (pensions, benefits, etc.) .... What do you think, what ruble is easier to patch, strong or weak? wink
          Moreover, under the patriotic songs the continuation of privatization will be muddied up, in order to save the country and the economy, the budget needs to be filled with something. No one has money for the privatization of state property (everyone was milked and dried + losses from self-isolation), the acre of the right guys from the Kremlin and foreign spills .. Does the situation look like nothing? winked
          1. aybolyt678
            aybolyt678 April 29 2020 21: 27 New
            0
            Quote: DEPHIHTO
            . What do you think, what ruble is easier to patch, strong or weak?

            paradoxically weak lol As the ruble is weakening, it is easier in the village, selling meat and potatoes with a bang! how ruble strong foie gras preferred .... smile
        2. mole
          mole April 29 2020 20: 55 New
          -4
          Quote: Dead Day
          Quote: Mountain Shooter
          But American retirees - very unlucky.

          and the Russians were fabulously lucky! Hooray ! wassat

          Rosneft thought about them beforehand. Trying to finish the shale of America, put the Saudi princes in their place, earn an order to the Head of the RN and bring the people of Russia to the bright future. Only who will now remember this recent past. Kovid19, otvetka amer, people who do not understand the restrictions, etc.
      2. Pashhenko Nikolay
        Pashhenko Nikolay April 29 2020 18: 41 New
        +4
        I, too, somewhere deep down in my heart worry about American retirees. Somewhere very deeply. But more like that for my own.
      3. Vasyan1971
        Vasyan1971 April 29 2020 19: 48 New
        0
        Quote: Mountain Shooter
        But American retirees - very unlucky. Their accumulations PFs played. And alas. Now who has half, and who has more - cuckoo ...

        Well, right 90s of the last century, only here ...
  6. Hypatius
    Hypatius April 29 2020 18: 30 New
    -3
    The "epidemic" of the coronavirus in Russia began because of oil. And if the price rises to 40, then the house arrest of Russians can end and move on to another tragedy - amendments on the usurpation of power, until the people finally understand that they have been robbed in order to mitigate the crisis for Western partners.
    1. Golovan Jack
      Golovan Jack April 29 2020 19: 00 New
      -4
      Quote: Hypatius
      Coronavirus "epidemic" in Russia began because of oil

      And in the States, too? And in Italy? And in Spain? belay

      What are you saying (c) laughing
      1. Hypatius
        Hypatius April 29 2020 19: 26 New
        -3
        Did I incomprehensibly write:
        The "epidemic" of the coronavirus in Russia began because of oil.
        Again, problems with reading comprehension? And then Italy and the States? There they solve other problems. In Russia, even according to the statistics of patients, this is a farce. But the economy hurts, and this is a tragedy.
        1. Golovan Jack
          Golovan Jack April 29 2020 19: 31 New
          -5
          Quote: Hypatius
          In Russia, even according to the statistics of patients, this is a farce

          Justify, plz. I now have two acquaintances in Moscow in hospitals with this infection. Another is at home, with a bracelet on his leg, such as quarantine.

          Quote: Hypatius
          the economy hurts, and this is a tragedy

          Tragedy, translated from Greek, is "the song of the goats". The infection is primary, the economy is secondary. If a couple of million falls ill (let me remind you that the States did gain their million), there will be no time for the economy at all ...

          Quote: Hypatius
          Again, problems with reading comprehension?

          Young man, do not dare the elders ... I have no problem deciphering what you have written, but for some reason I don’t get the point in this cuneiform writing, yes ... but does it even make sense? wink
          1. Hypatius
            Hypatius April 29 2020 19: 44 New
            +3
            1. With a mortality rate of 0,1-0,3%, the measures are inadequate. Even 100 thousand will die there, it is not critical. If the economy collapses (2 great depression), thanks to such "care", then millions will definitely die.
            2. What rudeness? This is a statement of fact. For all the years on the site, I have never seen a single (!) Position or thought that you justified. Only questions and nit-picking, usually not to the point, but to particulars. I already tried to chew you in such a way that it would reach the student. But it is useless, because I see no reason to continue. I wish you not to cough.
            1. Golovan Jack
              Golovan Jack April 29 2020 20: 03 New
              -4
              Quote: Hypatius
              With a mortality rate of 0,1-0,3%, measures are inadequate

              Give interesting numbers. They invented it themselves, or who suggested?
              "Inadequate" measures have been taken everywhere in the world, except for the idiots-Swedes and Angels, in my opinion. Doesn't that mean anything to you?

              Quote: Hypatius
              If the economy collapses (2 great depression), thanks to such "care", then millions will definitely die

              What makes you think that something will "collapse"? What is needed - support, starve - feed, get sick - heal ... they are already being treated, in Moscow there are already 50000 unfortunate people. And there will be more.

              Quote: Hypatius
              For all the years on the site, I have never seen a single (!) Position or thought that you justified

              Your problems.

              Quote: Hypatius
              to no avail

              * useless then.

              There are attempts to talk about global things, without possessing any real information and even basic literacy. Go ... through the forest, Hypatius.

              PS: As for the "position" - yes here: the measures are correct, and it would be good to be stricter, as in Israel now, for example. Yet too many idle people wander the streets, so ... don't.
              1. ANB
                ANB April 30 2020 01: 51 New
                +1
                . With a mortality rate of 0,1-0,3%, measures are inadequate

                These small percentages are counted from dead / infected.
                But if you count the dead / recovered, then the mortality rate of more than 10% comes out.
                For more accurate numbers, you need to accumulate statistics of recovery.
                Plus, doctors already suspect that even those who have recovered have consequences. Like after syphilis and tuberculosis. Now it’s not time to analyze these consequences.
                So it’s a bad infection.
                It is good that the children can easily tolerate it. Not yet mutated.
  7. knn54
    knn54 April 29 2020 18: 42 New
    +1
    By the way, fluctuations in oil prices are detrimental to the Russian economy. The main thing is that prices would stabilize, not necessarily at a high level.
    This will lead to the stability of the ruble and an end to the "galloping" of inflation.
  8. Grading
    Grading April 29 2020 19: 32 New
    -2
    Quote: Dead Day
    Quote: Mountain Shooter
    But American retirees - very unlucky.

    and the Russians were fabulously lucky! Hooray ! wassat

  9. KSVK
    KSVK April 29 2020 19: 46 New
    +1
    Quote: Golovan Jack
    The infection is primary, the economy is secondary. If a couple of millions get sick (let me remind you, the States have gained their million), there will be no time for the economy at all ...

    Remind you how many people die in road accidents? So what? Epidemics have been and will be. And those who have come to die will die anyway. Not today like that tomorrow. But if the economy is bent, then for sure no one will care about a virus. Because people will begin to survive. And it will be the worst of any epidemic.
  10. Esoteric
    Esoteric April 29 2020 19: 48 New
    +4
    Interesting info. An ordinary person decided to earn extra money. In Finam I bought futures for a small amount, but with a very large leverage. In two hours, he flew to a minus, and he was given a debt of one and a half million. With his salary of 30 kopecks. You have to pay. From one forum of "traders".
  11. Gennady Fomkin
    Gennady Fomkin April 29 2020 20: 04 New
    -1
    Oil production in the United States amounted to 12 thousand barrels. in a day. This is 100 barrels per day less than a week earlier. 100 barrels per day less than the peak reached this year and 000 barrels. less per day than at the same time last year.

    For the first time there was a recession by last year!

    We continue to observe.
  12. Gennady Fomkin
    Gennady Fomkin April 29 2020 20: 18 New
    -1
    > After 6 months, the whole west will fall.

    In 24 hours the real estate and the kids in the west will "lay down". Or maybe they will. In all sorts of interesting poses. laughing
  13. Gennady Fomkin
    Gennady Fomkin April 29 2020 20: 22 New
    +4
    There are no "buffer storages" for a very simple reason - a country that produces 4 times more oil than it consumes petroleum products simply does not need. There are about 100 thousand operating wells and any quarter of them in case of a deficit will provide the country.

    What is there? There are technological and reserve capacities. For example, the Samotlor TSC has (from memory) 200 tanks with a capacity of 5 to 20 thousand m3, and therefore can hold 2 million m3 of oil. This does not mean that so much is stored there. A good quarter of the tanks are filled with mud, sediments that contain salt, sand, clay and rust moistened with oil. Remember the attack on the Saudi oil park? Such tanks stood there, some with roofs, and others already without them. Some of them are to be repaired, the other to liquidation, but this is a troublesome and unprofitable business. That's why they stand. About a quarter of the tanks in operation, some are filled, others are pumped out. Why are there so many? Because in the past, Samotlor mined 165 million tons / year, and now - 7-8 times less.

    And even more serious tank reserves are available at the reception of Transneft's oil pumping stations. From time immemorial, the written rule applies: if you want to hand over oil - build a tank for a three-day maximum pumping rate. If your business is designed for 3 thousand tons / day, the volume of tanks should be 10 thousand cubic meters. This is necessary in case of pipe repair or other unusual situation. Again - the maximum production has long passed, but the tanks remain, now you can drive in weekly products.

    Finally, there are reserves of the trunk workers themselves at the pumping stations. The largest of them is located in the Samara region, where there are reservoirs from 20 thousand m3 to 100 thousand m3. I don’t know what their total capacity is, too lazy to look, but I think there will be three million. At all stations of the ESPO pipeline, the total reservoir capacity is 4 million tons.

    Well, the last one is the tank farm of the refinery. I don’t know the numbers in Russia, but in the USA it has a volume of about 105 million barrels., 14 million tons.

    Journalists are already completely foolish about chatter, and therefore they are lurking a question in which there is no boom-boom. laughing
  14. Junior Private
    Junior Private April 29 2020 21: 02 New
    +1
    Quote: Maas
    What is happening in the world? Is this a 3 world war light version?

    From a macroeconomic point of view, nothing out of the ordinary is happening. Unsecured "capital" flows from one virtual asset to another. Just another bubble. Under the current world economic system, it is quite a natural phenomenon. Voinushka is being treated.
  15. Gennady Fomkin
    Gennady Fomkin April 29 2020 21: 27 New
    +1
    Quote: Junior Private
    Quote: Maas
    What is happening in the world? Is this a 3 world war light version?

    From a macroeconomic point of view, nothing out of the ordinary is happening. Unsecured "capital" flows from one virtual asset to another. Just another bubble. Under the current world economic system, it is quite a natural phenomenon. Voinushka is being treated.

    The fuckers are coming to an end ... Yeah, the times of global change ... belay It proves once again that it is impossible to build all these flows into Europe, which only increase our dependence on Europe.
    We need to build gas and oil refineries in our territory, and supply them with products of the second and third redistribution.
    And gas and oil are at the very minimum, at such a level that we can cut off without killing our economy.
  16. iouris
    iouris April 29 2020 22: 25 New
    +2
    "Russia of democratic choice" solely by the will of the "democratically elected" president, a bicameral parliament and a democratically appointed government by them, has become an oil and gas appendage of economic systems and subsystems formed by world capital. These are not speculators. Thus, we are attending the celebration of world capital. In what capacity? To answer this question, one must understand whether the petrodollar economy will be preserved or whether it will be destroyed due to force majeure. There are fewer and fewer signs that it will be preserved. There are already many signs that it will be destroyed. The "pandemic" being experienced, the uniform reaction of ALL governments to this circumstance, is just another confirmation of the gradual establishment of a new world order, based on a fundamentally new method of managing individuals.