Military Review

Al-Monitor: Erdogan will have difficulty explaining to the opposition why the S-400 is not deployed near Idlib

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In the English-language edition of Al-Monitor, covering events in the Middle East, material was published on the postponement of the commissioning of Russian anti-aircraft missile systems S-400 in Turkey. The author of the material, Metin Gurjan, believes that the postponement of the combat deployment of the S-400 air defense system should not be associated with a pandemic, but with other problems and causes.


Gurjan writes about these problems and causes:

When Russia began delivering S-400 air defense systems to Turkey last summer, the NATO member country was almost in a festive mood. Then the television channels broadcast live the arrival of transport aircraft at the air base near Ankara. Around the same time, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced that the systems would come into effect in April 2020. The missiles arrived by sea in December, and Ankara has already tested the systems. In January, Air Force officers trained in Russia to operate systems were formally appointed to new positions.

But in April, the S-400 will not be put on combat duty in Turkey. According to Metin Gurjan, if the delay was due to coronavirus, then why didn’t it interfere with Turkish operations in Iraq and Syria?

The observer believes that the reason is at least the economic problems of Turkey.

From the article:

Ankara has already applied to the US Federal Reserve to conclude a currency swap transaction, wishing to receive up to $ 10 billion amid a reduction in foreign exchange reserves. Due to internal political problems, Ankara does not want to seek help from the International Monetary Fund.

In Turkey, Gurjan writes, an acute shortage of liquid currency has manifested itself. The author believes that Erdogan is hoping for help from Trump, who "is his only ally in Washington."

From the article:

Finally, there is the domestic front of Turkey. The activation of the S-400 is currently at risk of provoking pressure from the opposition - in order to transfer systems to the Syrian border to protect Turkish troops in Idlib. About 22 thousand Turkish troops are currently deployed at 56 outposts on the border with Idlib and in Idlib itself. In fact, they are now deprived of any protection from medium-range missiles, as well as from air-to-ground missiles, and this has already led to the death of 61 soldiers since the end of February.

Gurjan writes that it will be difficult for President Erdogan to explain to the opposition why the S-400 and their missiles are "stored in Ankara, and not involved in deployment on the border with Syria." But if Erdogan throws the S-400 closer to Idlib, it will cause a serious conflict with Moscow.

Posted by Al-Monitor:

That is why Erdogan decided to postpone the combat deployment of the S-400 air defense system - this will avoid problems with the United States and a crisis in domestic politics.
29 comments
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  1. iouris
    iouris April 24 2020 13: 56 New
    -2
    Pull your nose out - the tail will bog down ...
  2. Corundum
    Corundum April 24 2020 14: 03 New
    -5
    Is it even more serious than a virus a question for Turks?
    The Turks have enough UAV successful work so far ... Cheap and cheerful. Work more serious air forces there seems to be not yet expected. F16 was enough to shoot down Syrian Air Force planes.
    1. Sky strike fighter
      Sky strike fighter April 24 2020 15: 09 New
      +1
      The Turks have enough UAV successful work so far ...

      Особенно успешно турецкие БПЛА падают что в Сирии,что в Ливии.Главное что Эрдоган всегда может подкинуть новый контракт родственичку на "успешные" БПЛА.
      1. Corundum
        Corundum April 24 2020 15: 43 New
        -10
        Я не знаю чьими вы пользуетесь. Турки у Идлибе провели операцию " Весенний Щит" Уже больше месяца прошло. По данным из СМИ до восьми БПЛА. По данным с фото вроде четыре. Но те потери что понес противник а это Асад и РФ можно посмотреть тут.
        https://twitter.com/clashreport/status/1234434349916991488/photo/1
        and here
        https://twitter.com/clashreport/status/1235827714675716097
        I think the loss of UAVs with such an effect is even very acceptable.
        About the same picture is now in Libya. A lot of Wagner was disposed of there ...
        How the UAVs of the Turks directly worked in Idlib here are 14 minutes of cutting ..
        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jHrjkiiVpPE
        1. Sky strike fighter
          Sky strike fighter April 24 2020 16: 06 New
          +5
          You don’t become a victim of Turkish propaganda. Well, this is a frank lie. Initially, they never reached the Assad’s troops, having occupied only Nairab. And how many corpses of Turkish military and burnt Turkish equipment near Nairab are clogged. If you want something you will find it on the Internet. The Turks initially took Seracib, but they soon knocked them out, Seracib, so in the end, remained behind Assad, the Turks recognized this. So there is no need here for fairy tales about the great Turkish victories.
          In total, during the Turkish operation in Idlib, at least six Anka-S drones and seven Bayraktar TB2 were destroyed. Of the thirteen destroyed UAV strike 10, Turkey lost over the past three days, which indicates a sharply increased effectiveness of the Syrian air defense (of course, not without the participation of Russian experts and anti-aircraft systems). In general, it can be stated that Turkey did not succeed in gaining even conditional dominance in the air, and this is a key moment of the entire Turkish operation.
          Turkish sources are trying to cover up their losses in the air over the Idlib front with arguments about Ankara’s “new military doctrine” in the region of the Spring Shield operation and dubious allegations of the successful destruction of the Syrian army’s air defense assets.

          https://eadaily.com/ru/news/2020/03/05/tureckaya-armiya-poteryala-desyat-dronov-nad-idlibom-za-3-dnya
          1. Uruguay
            Uruguay April 24 2020 16: 08 New
            -1
            Quote: Sky Strike fighter
            Do not become a victim of Turkish propaganda. Well, this is a lie.

            Well, finally koment in the very essence of the article and topics ... hi
          2. Corundum
            Corundum April 24 2020 18: 59 New
            -5
            А почему я должен стать жертвой другой пропаганды ?))) Давайте копнем по глубже . Операция в начале 20202 Идлибе предполагала полную зачистку от оппозиции. И шла успешно, пока там не вмешалась Турция. Операция назвалась "Весенний Щит" Та инфографика что я дал это обобщенный результат, но следил за событиями там день за днем. И мира запросила на Турция.
            Turkey thwarted the operation of Assad and Putin in Idlib and this is not disputed. Why tore off? inflicted intolerable damage to the enemy. It was then that more recently, Putin transferred up to 150 additional armored vehicles in Syria.
            Everything is lying in the war. But if you have to include brains, you can clearly see who really is lying, well, or who is bigger.
            What do you think that Russian sources will tell you the truth, but they crushed us there?
            The essence of the victory of the Turks there is that while Assad and Russia drove the partisans there, everything was more or less clear. And then the Turks with the latest army and a complete set. Here you and the air defense and air force, and even the UAVs that are in the Russian Federation have now entered the army. Just the enemy of the Turks was not ready for a modern war.
            Here just one more lie climbs out. This is a lie from the Russian Federation like we train to fight there. With whom ? with an opponent who did not have a regular army. Air Defense, Air Force. And then I have to believe the Turks less than Putin?
            1. Alex777
              Alex777 April 25 2020 00: 23 New
              +1
              Where did you come from so new?
              I recently learned to write in Russian?
            2. Alex777
              Alex777 April 25 2020 00: 40 New
              +2
              3 days as registered and already 54 messages.
              Foreign midfielder on deserved quarantine?
  3. knn54
    knn54 April 24 2020 14: 11 New
    0
    Автор не в курсе,что по требованию проамериканской оппозиции Турция "заморозила" ввод С-400 в эксплуатацию?
    1. Alex777
      Alex777 April 25 2020 00: 25 New
      0
      Gurjan writes that it will be difficult for President Erdogan to explain to the opposition why the S-400 and their missiles are "stored in Ankara, and not involved in deployment on the border with Syria." But if Erdogan throws the S-400 closer to Idlib, it will cause a serious conflict with Moscow.

      I hope this version is confirmed. At least partially. hi
  4. askort154
    askort154 April 24 2020 14: 45 New
    +3
    When Russia began delivering S-400 air defense systems to Turkey last summer, the NATO member country was almost in a festive mood.

    The English-language publication is modestly silent that Erdogan made the decision to purchase the S-400 right after the coup attempt in Turkey, NATO is strange! And it is logical that the S-400
    cover Ankara and Istanbul, and not the border with Syria. The whole world saw what the Anglo-Saxons had left with Gaddafi, left without air defense. Erdogan is afraid of this.
  5. Pvi1206
    Pvi1206 April 24 2020 14: 52 New
    -1
    will not fire at its S-400s ... no brainer ...
    1. Uruguay
      Uruguay April 24 2020 16: 03 New
      -1
      Quote: Pvi1206
      will not fire at its S-400s ... no brainer ...

      Of course they wouldn’t sell them
  6. Zaurbek
    Zaurbek April 24 2020 14: 55 New
    +1
    The Turks have an export-oriented economy and labor cadres send money home. Looks like the economy is also stuck.
    1. Uruguay
      Uruguay April 24 2020 16: 05 New
      -1
      Quote: Zaurbek
      The Turks have an export-oriented economy and labor cadres send money home. Looks like the economy is also stuck.

      Tourism, construction, trade in tomatoes ..)))
  7. Trickster
    Trickster April 24 2020 14: 57 New
    +1
    One I don’t understand what is the problem? We will receive money for the sale of S-400, and let the Turks carry them even on their heads. Generally do not care for their tantrums.
  8. Radikal
    Radikal April 24 2020 15: 03 New
    +3
    The author of the material, Metin Gurjan, believes that the postponement of the combat deployment of the S-400 air defense system should not be associated with a pandemic, but with other problems and causes.
    Probably everything is much simpler - NATO allies, Americans want time to study the complex .... lol bully
    1. paco.soto
      paco.soto April 24 2020 16: 43 New
      0
      Probably everything is much simpler - NATO allies, Americans want time to study the complex .... lol bully ©

      Radical, I agree with your opinion!
  9. Ros 56
    Ros 56 April 24 2020 16: 16 New
    0
    Just in Idlib, the S-400s are not needed, they still will not work in their own way. And there, besides ours, there is no one to fly.
  10. Mavrikiy
    Mavrikiy April 24 2020 16: 28 New
    +2
    It will be difficult for Erdogan to explain to the opposition why the S-400 is not deployed near Idlib
    Easy: I want to protect the capital! For there is the rate of the moon. repeat That's all.
  11. paco.soto
    paco.soto April 24 2020 16: 40 New
    +1
    Neutral Opinion:
    For me personally, the starting points are
    1 ... not to be commissioned ...
    2 ... wants to get $ 10 billion from the US ...
    вызывает сразу вопрос - кто и зачем поставил Турции С-400, какие и кому глубинные "профиты"от этого?!
  12. Ethnarchist
    Ethnarchist April 24 2020 20: 11 New
    0
    I'm afraid to seem immodest, but in my opinion the complex has already been dismantled into cogs and is being studied .....
  13. Jamal Tagiyev
    Jamal Tagiyev April 24 2020 21: 41 New
    -4
    Interestingly Erdogan knows that this complex can be used only at the parade? Israel has already done what it wants over Syria and how many times, it’s only received threats. Probably, all the same, the curvature of the earth’s surface hinders. It’s a pity the money given for this trash.
    1. good
      good April 25 2020 01: 26 New
      0
      I remember that over Syria, Israeli planes just stopped flying since the Syrians hit an old rocket and got into our plane.
      And Syria’s S-300s were delivered as object ones, if necessary, they’ll sag. And the Russian S-300 + S-400 is not there to shoot everyone down, but if necessary.
      Erdogan was also set up to protect specific objects in Turkey and he knew very well what he was buying and why, He (Erdogan) can be understood, he is scared for himself. The Americans exported their facilities and do not want to sell. Well, then the C400 is a convenient opportunity to put pressure on the states. He does not lose anything. He already has a S-400, albeit in the performance of the E, and if he finishes off the USA, he will also receive complexes from them.
  14. good
    good April 25 2020 01: 01 New
    +2
    What nonsense is generally about the S-400 sold to Turkey.
    These are not front-line air defense and were not bought to carry somewhere.
    Purchased to protect facilities in Turkey itself. Erdogan bought for his protection and no more.
  15. Paul Siebert
    Paul Siebert April 26 2020 09: 16 New
    +1
    I don’t care what Erdogan thinks there.
    And how he is going to make excuses to his opposition.
    I’ve said before and will say now - the sale of S-400 Turkey, big mistake!
    In addition to dollar profits, there is the concept of state security.
    Do not forget about it, gentlemen, officials!
  16. no one
    no one April 26 2020 21: 32 New
    0
    Put s400 on the border so that both Russia and the United States quarrel with one movement? This opposition is either stupid, or Erdogan wants to substitute even to the detriment of the country. The second is more likely