Military Review

Drop prices for oil and gas - an occasion for the authorities to pay attention to internal affairs

61

Brent crude oil after reaching the mark of almost 23 dollars per barrel again returned to the fall, which some experts already call “familiar”. At the moment, a barrel of oil of this brand is sold at a price of about $ 20,9. The price of WTI and Urals oil is significantly lower.


Against this background, Deutsche Bank decided to predict the “depth” of Russian financial reserves in case of a long stay of oil quotes at low levels. According to analysts at Germany’s largest bank, at a price of $ 15 per barrel for the Russian brand of oil, Russia's NWF reserves will last no more than 2 years. An indicator of six years, experts call at a price of Russian brand oil at $ 30 per barrel.

So far, the price of a barrel of Urals has fluctuated around 10-12 dollars per barrel, which is the record for recent decades. Throwing price. By the way, by the way, too.

About NWF in numbers


So what does the NWF prepare for us ...

As of March 1, 2020, the amount of funds in the National Welfare Fund of Russia amounted to 7,3% of GDP or 8 trillion 249 billion rubles. This is the maximum value since December last year, if we talk about the percentage of GDP, and the maximum for the whole history the existence of the NWF, if we talk about the ruble mass (excluding inflation). In dollars, the indicator was (as of March 1) 123,4 billion.

Drop prices for oil and gas - an occasion for the authorities to pay attention to internal affairs


Experts in Russia believe that today the ruble is optimally formed for the Russian economy against the dollar at such low oil prices. This made it possible to bring the ruble equivalent of the NWF to record levels, which in turn allows the state to fulfill its social obligations.

However, in any case, $ 10-12 per barrel of Urals oil is too low to be counted on for SWFs in our country for years. The dependence of the country's economy on oil prices is still very significant, and in a pandemic, when other sectors do not provide the opportunity to receive optimal revenues to the state budget, the situation looks at least tense.

However, in such a situation, the Russian authorities have a new perspective ... or an excuse - to pay attention to internal affairs - to stimulate domestic demand, which will spur domestic production, infrastructure development, and will save jobs.

One of the directions is to finally start implementing gasification projects for territories where Gazprom and Novatek didn’t step, and if they did, it was only to lay the pipeline by - to Europe or China. and they will provide stable profits (after all, it has never been decided to write off debts to our citizens ...), and the regional economies will be given a new impetus.
Author:
Photos used:
Facebook / Novatek
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  1. Same lech
    Same lech April 24 2020 12: 09 New
    23
    to finally start implementing projects on gasification of territories where "Gazprom and Novatek did not step foot, and if they did, it was only to lay a pipeline past - to Europe or China.

    Dreams ... dreams ... who will lead the gas to the village of Gadyukino for three hundred km ... where some pensioners and money the cat wept.
    1. Vasyan1971
      Vasyan1971 April 24 2020 12: 18 New
      11
      Quote: The same LYOKHA
      Dreams Dreams...

      1. novel66
        novel66 April 24 2020 12: 21 New
        12
        as Slepakov sang
        it's still our common gas
        and dreams come true only for you ..
    2. military_cat
      military_cat April 24 2020 12: 19 New
      18
      However, in such a situation, the Russian authorities have a new perspective ... or an excuse - to pay attention to internal affairs - to stimulate domestic demand, which will spur domestic production, infrastructure development, and will save jobs.
      Why do they need this? A waste of effort and money. It’s enough to simply show on TV that they did all this, and it works, the viewers believe, and then they come to the polls and vote As expected.
      1. Malyuta
        Malyuta April 24 2020 12: 29 New
        25
        Quote: military_cat
        It’s enough to simply show on TV that they did all this, and it works, the viewers believe, and then they come to the polls and vote As expected.

        The refrigerator defeats the zombie-box, soon the hoarse anger will grow into hates power.
        "You can deceive a part of the people all the time, and the whole people for some time, but you cannot deceive the whole people all the time." Abraham Lincoln
        1. military_cat
          military_cat April 24 2020 12: 33 New
          11
          Quote: Malyuta
          soon the growing anger will grow into hates power
          Practice shows that it will turn into hatred of external enemies and the fifth column, if it is properly channeled. Read comments on any articles where the topic of external enemies and the fifth column is somehow touched.

          Quote: Malyuta
          Abraham Lincoln
          He just didn’t have a TV yet.
          1. Malyuta
            Malyuta April 24 2020 12: 47 New
            23
            Quote: military_cat
            Practice shows that it will turn into hatred of external enemies and the fifth column, if it is properly channeled.

            I agree the tv sewer, along with flushing cisterns, works to its fullest, but it doesn’t help my mother-in-law anymore, 2 years ago she entered into a confrontation with a zombie box and pushed, now her main enemy is the man in the case, who is sitting in the bunker, he burns firewood in the fireplace and asks to take this with understanding. Now I don’t even need to agitate her, drug prices in pharmacies have already coordinated her and I can only listen to her ten-story mats addressed to the ruler and Co. and be horrified by the methods invented by them. belay
            Quote: military_cat
            He just didn’t have a TV yet.

            You can’t argue with that — he was a naive guy. good drinks
            1. Beringovsky
              Beringovsky April 24 2020 13: 37 New
              +8
              By the way, yes, self-isolation with the Internet seems to well clear the brains of many of our fellow citizens.
              Plus now, at last, their children and grandchildren spend a lot of time together with pensioners. With the help of the Internet, they will move the brains of the older generation in the right direction.
              1. Malyuta
                Malyuta April 24 2020 13: 41 New
                12
                Quote: Beringovsky
                By the way, yes, self-isolation with the Internet seems to well clear the brains of many of our fellow citizens.
                Plus now, at last, their children and grandchildren spend a lot of time together with pensioners. With the help of the Internet, they will move the brains of the older generation in the right direction.

                Believe me, Colleague, many are already on the right track, and after quarantines the country will never be as glassy as a month or three ago. hi
            2. military_cat
              military_cat April 24 2020 13: 57 New
              +1
              Quote: Malyuta
              only my mother-in-law doesn't help anymore

              Ask what she thinks about external enemies and the fifth column. Marvel
            3. exo
              exo April 24 2020 15: 31 New
              +6
              The people are beginning to get wiser. And it may not be possible to write off everything on "intrigues abroad".
    3. DEDPIHTO
      DEDPIHTO April 24 2020 12: 21 New
      16
      This gas forest would go with its own gasification, with the connection of houses for 300 thousand. Even if they take off a bit now, then there remains a dependence on changing gas supply houses for the price of gas, not to mention service stations, who check gas equipment in homes 2 times a year. All the backbone forest !!! Our firewood is everything!
      1. DMB 75
        DMB 75 April 24 2020 12: 58 New
        15
        Our deadwood is all. It is allowed to collect. But you still need to buy firewood. Then you still think that it is more important, heat or medicine with food.
        1. Malyuta
          Malyuta April 24 2020 13: 00 New
          12
          Quote: DMB 75
          Then you’ll think that the most important thing is heat or medicine with food.

          They have already invented "oak bark" for us, eat and heal at the same time.
    4. Vita vko
      Vita vko April 24 2020 13: 54 New
      10
      Quote: The same LYOKHA
      some pensioners and money the cat cried

      By the way, pensioners in many villages are almost the wealthiest people, except for the heads of administration, they are the only ones who see them live. But they also need to heat, firewood and coal are several times more expensive than gas. But that's not the problem. Coal mines in Siberia are in the hands of oligarchs, who not only do not want to convert the CHPP to gas, but also regularly give the paws to Moscow ecologists, continuing to poison the environment and people in such megacities as Krasnoyarsk or Chelyabinsk, where in calm weather a normal person just do not breathe. And numerous complaints even at the level of the President of the country are stupidly kicked off under the guise of numerous reports on state programs.
  2. knn54
    knn54 April 24 2020 12: 10 New
    +4
    At current tariffs, which do not tend to decrease.-Unequivocally.
  3. aszzz888
    aszzz888 April 24 2020 12: 10 New
    -1
    However, in such a situation, a new perspective opens up before the Russian authorities ...
    Perhaps something will be undertaken. In the end, the country's economy, at least, should not fall to the level of 2008.
    1. military_cat
      military_cat April 24 2020 12: 25 New
      +2
      Quote: aszzz888
      In the end, the country's economy, at least, should not fall to the level of 2008.
      This is when the dollar was 24, the 95th gasoline at 24?
      1. aszzz888
        aszzz888 April 24 2020 12: 32 New
        -2
        military_cat Today, 12:25
        0
        Quote: aszzz888
        In the end, the country's economy, at least, should not fall to the level of 2008.
        This is when the dollar was 24, the 95th gasoline at 24?
        If you are interested in browsing the Internet, a huge amount of materials on this topic ... I believe you will find, and the answer to your question.
        1. military_cat
          military_cat April 24 2020 12: 34 New
          -1
          I already know the answer to my question, the question was rhetorical.
    2. dzvero
      dzvero April 24 2020 12: 57 New
      +5
      Watching how fast the world gets out next year. Perhaps the decline in GDP across countries will be from 10 to 40%, someone like that, Clarify somewhere in the fall. Interesting times ...
  4. Pvi1206
    Pvi1206 April 24 2020 12: 13 New
    +7
    The shortsighted Russian government concentrated all efforts in the economy on the pipe ... oil and gas ... it is unreasonable to transfer all the eggs in one basket ...
    1. pmkemcity
      pmkemcity April 24 2020 12: 21 New
      14
      it is unreasonable to transfer all eggs in one basket

      Exactly! But rather "a pipe over the eggs"!
    2. novel66
      novel66 April 24 2020 12: 22 New
      +5
      indicates a lack of eggs ..
    3. Malyuta
      Malyuta April 24 2020 12: 30 New
      15
      Quote: Pvi1206
      The shortsighted Russian government concentrated all efforts in the economy on the pipe ... oil and gas ... it is unreasonable to transfer all the eggs in one basket ...

      The oligarchs officials keep their eggs in offshore, so they have different baskets with us.
  5. Tusv
    Tusv April 24 2020 12: 23 New
    +3
    Yes. The expanses of gasification are endless. My aunt five years ago gasified in the seventh heaven from happiness. And BP has a lot of gas stations. And what for the British competitor?
  6. ivselim
    ivselim April 24 2020 12: 25 New
    +5
    ... (after all, it was never customary to write off debts to our citizens ...) ...
    This is called "hit your own so that others would be scared." Only no one is afraid.
    1. Sklendarka
      Sklendarka April 24 2020 13: 09 New
      +6
      But their debts to citizens were nullified at the moment ... how many deposits alone were lost ...
  7. Quasipatriot
    Quasipatriot April 24 2020 12: 26 New
    15
    For 20 years, the tsar’s father has taken Russia off the oil needle, and it seems that he will continue to do this for another 20 years until the oil runs out. And if he and his loyal friends are oligarchs, oh excuse me, but now they’re not, they are now businessmen and patriots. So, if the tsar’s patriots will not have enough money, then they will be withdrawn by taxes, raising prices for housing and communal services and gas, and other tributes from us, ordinary people. Glory to the tsar-father, to the glory of Russia he is working!
    1. Altona
      Altona April 24 2020 13: 36 New
      11
      Quote: Quasipatriot
      20 years the tsar father removes Russia from the oil needle

      --------------------
      As everyone jokes, "Crown Prince Ben Salman did it in a month." laughing laughing
      At the same time, the police will already be allowed to shoot to kill and cut cars and apartment doors with a grinder, but the people agree to this "if only there is no war" and "the limit on revolution has been exhausted." And the people seem to agree to digital sobyaning.
      1. Beringovsky
        Beringovsky April 24 2020 13: 54 New
        +6
        No, I do not agree. Everyone with whom he spoke about this is outraged and very angry.
        It just happens for the first time and the people are at a loss. Did you expect an immediate revolution? So after all, in the 17th year, not one day happened. Let's wait. Now it’s getting warmer, people will go out into the street and you won’t be able to restrain him.
        1. Altona
          Altona April 24 2020 14: 01 New
          +9
          Quote: Beringovsky
          Did you expect an immediate revolution?

          -----------------------
          I have not expected anything for a long time. In 2018, I asked people to go to a permitted rally against the pension reform, so everyone immediately found both fishing and business with the mother-in-law. Philistine thinking among people, Chukhan. At each other, they are very much waving their fists "you do not respect me", but in fact the Chukhans are philistines. At the rally there were only pensioners, several young people, a couple of retired officers, several middle-aged women. In general, people have no self-awareness. They have it within the Renault-Logan salon.
          PS Now probably angry, because they feel need beyond the usual. Their hungry anger.
          1. Avior
            Avior April 24 2020 15: 33 New
            +4
            I asked people to go to a permitted rally against pension reform, so everyone immediately found fishing and mother-in-law affairs.

            they do not believe in the effect of the rally, but they expect problems for themselves personally if they light up.
  8. alone
    alone April 24 2020 12: 35 New
    0
    the situation is very ambiguous ... It’s probably no secret to anyone how the ruble exchange rate is supported .. If you don’t support it, it will fall .. and this automatically means price increases, inflation, impoverishment of a large number of the population, which is already living hard .. And the endless support of the exchange rate will lead to the fact that foreign exchange reserves run out ... (They are disproportionate and are unlikely to grow at such prices for oil and gas ... I'm not talking about the budget, a certain part of which is generated just from the income of oil and gas). . so wherever you go, some questions: what to do and how to fix it ..
    1. Altona
      Altona April 24 2020 13: 37 New
      +8
      Quote: lonely
      And the endless support of the exchange rate will lead to the fact that foreign exchange reserves run out ...

      ----------------------
      Endless support for currency speculators who, without taxes, derive speculative profits from the country. If you make a marginal tax on withdrawal of funds, at least for a limited period, then everything will be settled.
      1. alone
        alone April 24 2020 13: 46 New
        +6
        Quote: Altona
        Endless support for currency speculators who, without taxes, derive speculative profits from the country. If you make a marginal tax on withdrawal of funds, at least for a limited period, then everything will be settled.

        Well, if we know this, then why is this done? Maybe it’s beneficial for them to get all this profit out of the country and invest in foreign accounts. Siblings are all EU and US citizens and have very good business there .. I'm not talking about real estate that cost tens of millions of dollars / euro
        1. Altona
          Altona April 24 2020 13: 50 New
          10
          Quote: lonely
          Well, if we know this, then why is this done?

          ---------------------
          Are you asking me? Because we have built such a thieves state. Is it in vain that Nabiulina asks to shut up Glazyev’s mouth? Because he has long been talking about this, that his own is allowed to speculate and export wealth from the country. They write in the news that physical gold is already transported to England by regular flights.
          1. alone
            alone April 24 2020 14: 09 New
            +7
            Quote: Altona
            They write in the news that physical gold is already transported to England by regular flights.

            These people do not connect their future with the country where they rule ... that’s all
  9. vladimirvn
    vladimirvn April 24 2020 12: 54 New
    +6
    ... However, in this situation, the Russian authorities have a new perspective ... or an excuse - to pay attention to internal affairs .... laughing laughing laughing
    1. Alf
      Alf April 24 2020 18: 21 New
      +4
      Quote: vladimirvn
      ... However, in such a situation, a new perspective opens up before the Russian authorities ...

      How else would you sand people ???
  10. mojohed2012
    mojohed2012 April 24 2020 13: 09 New
    +9
    No. Cutting the budget, as it was the main type of its execution all the past years, will remain so in the future. What a self-respecting liberal in the Government will give money to ordinary hard workers, for example, on infrastructure construction sites. Don't ... We will not follow the path of China and the United States after the depression. We will not build roads, infrastructure and export the economy on this, let it be better for the poor to become poorer, and the rich at least keep what they have "cut".
  11. Beringovsky
    Beringovsky April 24 2020 13: 25 New
    +7
    ... a new perspective is opening up before the Russian authorities ... or an occasion - to pay attention to internal affairs

    She opens regularly before these powers. But their eyes are oil-stained, and they don’t see anything.
    ... finally begin to implement projects ...

    Is it "finally" again? what
    I have already lost count.
    1. Altona
      Altona April 24 2020 13: 39 New
      +7
      Quote: Beringovsky
      She opens regularly before these powers. But their eyes are oil-stained, and they don’t see anything.

      ---------------------------------
      They are kleptomaniacs and gamblers of the oil and gas casino.
      1. Beringovsky
        Beringovsky April 24 2020 13: 41 New
        +4
        Well, when will all this casino end?

        If only the Pechenegs would return, or something ...
        1. Altona
          Altona April 24 2020 13: 45 New
          +4
          Quote: Beringovsky
          If only the Pechenegs would return, or something ...

          ----------------------
          So they have long been in Bulgaria and Hungary. laughing And the Tatars were soaked by the Polovtsians.
  12. Tomich3
    Tomich3 April 24 2020 13: 27 New
    0
    What naivety ..
  13. Corundum
    Corundum April 24 2020 13: 28 New
    -2
    Russia is very dependent on technological imports. And imports are dollars. They will be missed for import. So we go into debt .. Russia's reputation is tarnished. too many ill-wishers have accumulated. So there will not be many who want to help economically.
    1. Alf
      Alf April 24 2020 18: 24 New
      +4
      Quote: Corundum
      Russia is very dependent on technological imports.

      And who prevented this addiction from being eliminated in 20 years?
      Quote: Corundum
      So there will not be many who want to help economically.

      Or, perhaps, it was necessary not to put money into a bottle, but to your own country?
      1. Corundum
        Corundum April 24 2020 19: 28 New
        -1
        I also meant it all. Purin's adventurous policy. The first time he got it wrong with "Crimea Nash" - he was thinking to the tsapan, the dough is full and the oil is expensive. And then the price fell on you and the sanctions.
        The second time now I have accumulated a little egg - well, now it thinks then on a horse. Clapping the door during negotiations was not beautiful. Zeroing, lifelong throne. But alas, again, oil prices, and now for a long time, but the virus in addition.
        The egg is empty quickly. And what God himself does not know ahead ...
  14. iouris
    iouris April 24 2020 13: 42 New
    +5
    The idea is right. It would not be too late. In addition, the government must pull itself out of the swamp. Until now, only Baron Munchausen has succeeded in this. Yes, and he was a German in Russian service.
  15. Charlie
    Charlie April 24 2020 14: 10 New
    -3
    Quote: Beringovsky
    By the way, yes, self-isolation with the Internet seems to well clear the brains of many of our fellow citizens.
    Plus now, at last, their children and grandchildren spend a lot of time together with pensioners. With the help of the Internet, they will move the brains of the older generation in the right direction.

    The older generation does not need to move their brains. This is necessary for youth. Young people in pink glasses look at our "guarantor" of the constitution
    1. Malyuta
      Malyuta April 24 2020 14: 17 New
      15
      Quote: Charlie
      Young people in pink glasses look at our "guarantor" of the constitution

      Not true, the youth hates him fiercely, even do not care.
      Quote: Charlie
      The older generation does not need to move brains.

      And it is they who are the main bondages, with a TV instead of a head. Pay attention, here on the site there are many such stubborn dumbasses. hi
  16. APASUS
    APASUS April 24 2020 14: 42 New
    +3
    The problem is not oil at all, the problem is that now the government will have to move its brains to keep the economy as a whole.
    1. ximkim
      ximkim April 24 2020 16: 47 New
      +5
      And not only in oil, but in the revenues themselves: excise taxes, taxes, tariffs. They won’t move, but how else to charge or raise. The government will work on it now.
  17. Charlie
    Charlie April 24 2020 14: 51 New
    0
    Quote: Malyuta
    Quote: Charlie
    Young people in pink glasses look at our "guarantor" of the constitution

    Not true, the youth hates him fiercely, even do not care.
    Quote: Charlie
    The older generation does not need to move brains.

    And it is they who are the main bondages, with a TV instead of a head. Pay attention, here on the site there are many such stubborn dumbasses. hi

    Why, then, are all these pouty, ostentatious forums and congresses recruited with predominant participation
    Quote: Malyuta
    Quote: Charlie
    Young people in pink glasses look at our "guarantor" of the constitution

    Not true, the youth hates him fiercely, even do not care.
    Quote: Charlie
    The older generation does not need to move brains.

    And it is they who are the main bondages, with a TV instead of a head. Pay attention, here on the site there are many such stubborn dumbasses. hi

    Why, then, are all these pouty, ostentatious forums and congresses recruited with the predominant participation of stupid youth?
    1. unaha
      unaha April 24 2020 15: 39 New
      +3
      "Why, then, are all these ostentatious, ostentatious forums and congresses recruited with the predominant participation of stupid youth?"
      Yes, there are careerists and opportunists, there is no "stupid" youth and not close.
      But who those ~ 60% of the polls (including those not of VTsIOM) supporting the party and government is interesting.
  18. mitchhunter
    mitchhunter April 24 2020 15: 21 New
    +6
    No .. There will be no such, do not even hope. Invest in securities of other countries and all
  19. Zaurbek
    Zaurbek April 24 2020 15: 36 New
    +4
    And so they turned ... bought retail, toll roads began to build.
  20. The comment was deleted.
  21. Hypatius
    Hypatius April 24 2020 19: 27 New
    +4
    Yes, they will burn oil, because it is an irreplaceable (more precisely, slowly) resource. Well, in fact, it is not possible to distribute gasoline free of charge to the needy Russians. And we now see another concern, like fines, total control, terror and permission for punishers of all departments to shoot at people. The death penalty is prohibited in our country, but it is possible to shoot during the "detention". Welcome to the NWO of Satanist Globalists.
  22. 16112014nk
    16112014nk April 24 2020 19: 39 New
    0
    [i stimulate domestic demand, which will spur domestic production, infrastructure development, will save jobs.] [/ i]
    Government response: No, I can’t explain it!
  23. Kaw
    Kaw April 25 2020 16: 22 New
    0
    One of the directions is to finally start implementing projects for gasification of territories where "Gazprom and Novatek have never gone before,"


    We do exactly the opposite. Due to frequent incidents with domestic gas, such standards were introduced that people began to refuse domestic gas supply and switch to electricity.