Drop prices for oil and gas - an occasion for the authorities to pay attention to internal affairs


Brent crude oil after reaching the mark of almost 23 dollars per barrel again returned to the fall, which some experts already call “familiar”. At the moment, a barrel of oil of this brand is sold at a price of about $ 20,9. The price of WTI and Urals oil is significantly lower.


Against this background, Deutsche Bank decided to predict the “depth” of Russian financial reserves in case of a long stay of oil quotes at low levels. According to analysts at Germany’s largest bank, at a price of $ 15 per barrel for the Russian brand of oil, Russia's NWF reserves will last no more than 2 years. An indicator of six years, experts call at a price of Russian brand oil at $ 30 per barrel.

So far, the price of a barrel of Urals has fluctuated around 10-12 dollars per barrel, which is the record for recent decades. Throwing price. By the way, by the way, too.

About NWF in numbers


So what does the NWF prepare for us ...

As of March 1, 2020, the amount of funds in the National Welfare Fund of Russia amounted to 7,3% of GDP or 8 trillion 249 billion rubles. This is the maximum value since December last year, if we talk about the percentage of GDP, and the maximum for the whole history the existence of the NWF, if we talk about the ruble mass (excluding inflation). In dollars, the indicator was (as of March 1) 123,4 billion.

Drop prices for oil and gas - an occasion for the authorities to pay attention to internal affairs


Experts in Russia believe that today the ruble is optimally formed for the Russian economy against the dollar at such low oil prices. This made it possible to bring the ruble equivalent of the NWF to record levels, which in turn allows the state to fulfill its social obligations.

However, in any case, $ 10-12 per barrel of Urals oil is too low to be counted on for SWFs in our country for years. The dependence of the country's economy on oil prices is still very significant, and in a pandemic, when other sectors do not provide the opportunity to receive optimal revenues to the state budget, the situation looks at least tense.

However, in such a situation, the Russian authorities have a new perspective ... or an excuse - to pay attention to internal affairs - to stimulate domestic demand, which will spur domestic production, infrastructure development, and will save jobs.

One of the directions is to finally start implementing gasification projects for territories where Gazprom and Novatek didn’t step, and if they did, it was only to lay the pipeline by - to Europe or China. and they will provide stable profits (after all, it has never been decided to write off debts to our citizens ...), and the regional economies will be given a new impetus.
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  1. Same lech April 24 2020 12: 09 New
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    finally, to start implementing gasification projects for territories where Gazprom and Novatek didn’t step, and if they did, it was only to lay the pipeline by - to Europe or China.

    Dreams ... dreams ... who will lead the gas to the village of Gadyukino for three hundred km ... where some pensioners and money the cat wept.
    1. Vasyan1971 April 24 2020 12: 18 New
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      Quote: The same Lech
      Dreams Dreams...

      1. novel66 April 24 2020 12: 21 New
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        as Slepakov sang
        it's still our common gas
        and dreams come true only for you ..
    2. military_cat April 24 2020 12: 19 New
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      However, in such a situation, the Russian authorities have a new perspective ... or an excuse - to pay attention to internal affairs - to stimulate domestic demand, which will spur domestic production, infrastructure development, and will save jobs.
      Why do they need this? A waste of effort and money. It’s enough to simply show on TV that they did all this, and it works, the viewers believe, and then they come to the polls and vote As expected.
      1. Malyuta April 24 2020 12: 29 New
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        Quote: military_cat
        It’s enough to simply show on TV that they did all this, and it works, the viewers believe, and then they come to the polls and vote As expected.

        The refrigerator defeats the zombie-box, soon the hoarse anger will grow into hates power.
        "You can cheat a part of the people all the time, and the whole people for a while, but you can not cheat the whole people all the time" Abraham Lincoln
        1. military_cat April 24 2020 12: 33 New
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          Quote: Malyuta
          soon the growing anger will grow into hates power
          Practice shows that it will turn into hatred of external enemies and the fifth column, if it is properly channeled. Read comments on any articles where the topic of external enemies and the fifth column is somehow touched.

          Quote: Malyuta
          Abraham Lincoln
          He just didn’t have a TV yet.
          1. Malyuta April 24 2020 12: 47 New
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            Quote: military_cat
            Practice shows that it will turn into hatred of external enemies and the fifth column, if it is properly channeled.

            Согласен тв-канализация вместе со смывными бачками работает на всю катушку, только моей тёще это больше не помогает, 2 года назад она вступила в конфронтацию с зомбо-ящиком и провела тырнет, теперь её главный враг это человек в футляре , который сидит в бункере, жжёт дрова в камине и просит отнестись к этому с пониманием.Теперь мне её даже агитировать не нужно, цены на лекарства в аптеках уже её согитировали и мне остаётся только слушать её десятиэтажные маты в адрес правителя и Ко и ужасаться методам , выдумываемой над ними расправы. belay
            Quote: military_cat
            He just didn’t have a TV yet.

            You can’t argue with that — he was a naive guy. good drinks
            1. Beringovsky April 24 2020 13: 37 New
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              By the way, yes, self-isolation with the Internet seems to well clear the brains of many of our fellow citizens.
              Plus now, at last, their children and grandchildren spend a lot of time together with pensioners. With the help of the Internet, they will move the brains of the older generation in the right direction.
              1. Malyuta April 24 2020 13: 41 New
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                Quote: Beringovsky
                By the way, yes, self-isolation with the Internet seems to well clear the brains of many of our fellow citizens.
                Plus now, at last, their children and grandchildren spend a lot of time together with pensioners. With the help of the Internet, they will move the brains of the older generation in the right direction.

                Believe me, Colleague, many are already on the right track, and after quarantines the country will never be as glassy as a month or three ago. hi
            2. military_cat April 24 2020 13: 57 New
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              Quote: Malyuta
              only my mother-in-law doesn't help anymore

              Ask what she thinks about external enemies and the fifth column. Marvel
            3. exo
              exo April 24 2020 15: 31 New
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              The people begin to grow wiser. And to write off everything to the "machinations of foreign countries" may no longer work.
    3. DEDPIHTO April 24 2020 12: 21 New
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      This gas forest would go with its own gasification, with the connection of houses for 300 thousand. Even if they take off a bit now, then there remains a dependence on changing gas supply houses for the price of gas, not to mention service stations, who check gas equipment in homes 2 times a year. All the backbone forest !!! Our firewood is everything!
      1. DMB 75 April 24 2020 12: 58 New
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        Our deadwood is all. It is allowed to collect. But you still need to buy firewood. Then you still think that it is more important, heat or medicine with food.
        1. Malyuta April 24 2020 13: 00 New
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          Quote: DMB 75
          Then you’ll think that the most important thing is heat or medicine with food.

          They have already come up with an "oak bark" for us, eat and be treated at the same time.
    4. Vita vko April 24 2020 13: 54 New
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      Quote: The same Lech
      some pensioners and money the cat cried

      К стати, пенсионеры во многих деревнях почти самые обеспеченные люди, кроме глав администрации они единственные кто видет их в живую. Но и им топить нужно, дрова и уголь в разы дороже газа. Но проблема да же не в этом. Угольные разрезы в Сибири находятся в руках олигархов, которые не только не хотят переводить ТЭЦ на газ, но и регулярно дают на "лапу" московским экологам, продолжая травить окружающую среду и людей в таких мегаполисах как Красноярск или Челябинск, где в безветренную погоду нормальному человеку просто не продохнуть. А многочисленные жалобы даже на уровне Президента страны тупо отфутболиваются под видам многочисленных отчетах о государственных программах.
  2. knn54 April 24 2020 12: 10 New
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    At current tariffs, which do not tend to decrease.-Unequivocally.
  3. aszzz888 April 24 2020 12: 10 New
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    However, in such a situation, a new perspective opens up before the Russian authorities ...
    Perhaps something will be undertaken. In the end, the country's economy, at least, should not fall to the level of 2008.
    1. military_cat April 24 2020 12: 25 New
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      Quote: aszzz888
      In the end, the country's economy, at least, should not fall to the level of 2008.
      This is when the dollar was 24, the 95th gasoline at 24?
      1. aszzz888 April 24 2020 12: 32 New
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        military_cat Today, 12:25
        0
        Quote: aszzz888
        In the end, the country's economy, at least, should not fall to the level of 2008.
        This is when the dollar was 24, the 95th gasoline at 24?
        If you are interested in browsing the Internet, a huge amount of materials on this topic ... I believe you will find, and the answer to your question.
        1. military_cat April 24 2020 12: 34 New
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          I already know the answer to my question, the question was rhetorical.
    2. dzvero April 24 2020 12: 57 New
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      Смотря как быстро выкарабкается мир в следующем году. Возможно, спад ВВП по странам будет от 10 до 40%, кому как, Проясниться где-то к осени. Интересные времена...
  4. Pvi1206 April 24 2020 12: 13 New
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    The shortsighted Russian government concentrated all efforts in the economy on the pipe ... oil and gas ... it is unreasonable to transfer all the eggs in one basket ...
    1. pmkemcity April 24 2020 12: 21 New
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      it is unreasonable to transfer all eggs in one basket

      Exactly! Only soon, a "pipe on the eggs"!
    2. novel66 April 24 2020 12: 22 New
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      indicates a lack of eggs ..
    3. Malyuta April 24 2020 12: 30 New
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      Quote: Pvi1206
      The shortsighted Russian government concentrated all efforts in the economy on the pipe ... oil and gas ... it is unreasonable to transfer all the eggs in one basket ...

      The oligarchs officials keep their eggs in offshore, so they have different baskets with us.
  5. Tusv April 24 2020 12: 23 New
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    Yes. The expanses of gasification are endless. My aunt five years ago gasified in the seventh heaven from happiness. And BP has a lot of gas stations. And what for the British competitor?
  6. ivselim April 24 2020 12: 25 New
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    ... (after all, it was never customary to write off debts to our citizens ...) ...
    This is called "hit your own people so that others would be scared." Only no one is afraid.
    1. Sklendarka April 24 2020 13: 09 New
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      But their debts to citizens were nullified at the moment ... how many deposits alone were lost ...
  7. Quasipatriot April 24 2020 12: 26 New
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    For 20 years, the tsar’s father has taken Russia off the oil needle, and it seems that he will continue to do this for another 20 years until the oil runs out. And if he and his loyal friends are oligarchs, oh excuse me, but now they’re not, they are now businessmen and patriots. So, if the tsar’s patriots will not have enough money, then they will be withdrawn by taxes, raising prices for housing and communal services and gas, and other tributes from us, ordinary people. Glory to the tsar-father, to the glory of Russia he is working!
    1. Altona April 24 2020 13: 36 New
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      Quote: Quasipatriot
      20 years the tsar father removes Russia from the oil needle

      --------------------
      As everyone jokes already, "Crown Prince Ben Salman did it in a month." laughing laughing
      At the same time, the police will already be allowed to shoot to kill and cut the cars and doors of apartments with a grinder, but the people agree and “if only there was no war” and “the limit on the revolution has been exhausted”. And people apparently agree to digital sobing.
      1. Beringovsky April 24 2020 13: 54 New
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        No, I do not agree. Everyone with whom he spoke about this is outraged and very angry.
        It just happens for the first time and the people are at a loss. Did you expect an immediate revolution? So after all, in the 17th year, not one day happened. Let's wait. Now it’s getting warmer, people will go out into the street and you won’t be able to restrain him.
        1. Altona April 24 2020 14: 01 New
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          Quote: Beringovsky
          Did you expect an immediate revolution?

          -----------------------
          I have not expected anything for a long time. In 2018, I asked people to go for a permitted rally against pension reform, so everyone immediately found fishing and business with their mother-in-law. The philistine way of thinking in people, Chukhan. Each other they are happy to wave their fists “you don’t respect me”, but in reality they are chukhans-philistines. Only pensioners were at the rally, several young people, retired couple officers, several middle-aged women. In general, people do not have self-awareness. They have it inside the Renault Logan.
          PS Now probably angry, because they feel need beyond the usual. Their hungry anger.
          1. Avior April 24 2020 15: 33 New
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            I asked people to go to a permitted rally against pension reform, so everyone immediately found fishing and mother-in-law affairs.

            they do not believe in the effect of the rally, but they expect problems for themselves personally if they light up.
  8. alone April 24 2020 12: 35 New
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    ситуация очень неоднозначное...Наверно никому тут не секрет как поддерживается курс рубля..Если не поддержать,она упадет..а это автоматмчески означает повышение цен,инфляция,обнищание большого количества населения,которая и так живется трудно..А бесконечная поддержка курса приведет к тому что,валютные запасы закончатся... (Они небезразмерные и при таких ценах на нефть и на газ врядли будут расти...Я еще не говорю о бюджете,определенная часть которого образуется как раз таки от доходов нефти и газа).. так что куда не крути,одни вопросы: что делать и как это исправить..
    1. Altona April 24 2020 13: 37 New
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      Quote: lonely
      And the endless support of the exchange rate will lead to the fact that foreign exchange reserves run out ...

      ----------------------
      Endless support for currency speculators who, without taxes, derive speculative profits from the country. If you make a marginal tax on withdrawal of funds, at least for a limited period, then everything will be settled.
      1. alone April 24 2020 13: 46 New
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        Quote: Altona
        Endless support for currency speculators who, without taxes, derive speculative profits from the country. If you make a marginal tax on withdrawal of funds, at least for a limited period, then everything will be settled.

        Well, if we know this, then why is this done? Maybe it’s beneficial for them to get all this profit out of the country and invest in foreign accounts. Siblings are all EU and US citizens and have very good business there .. I'm not talking about real estate that cost tens of millions of dollars / euro
        1. Altona April 24 2020 13: 50 New
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          Quote: lonely
          Well, if we know this, then why is this done?

          ---------------------
          Are you asking me? Because we have built such a thieves state. Is it in vain that Nabiulina asks to shut up Glazyev’s mouth? Because he has long been talking about this, that his own is allowed to speculate and export wealth from the country. They write in the news that physical gold is already transported to England by regular flights.
          1. alone April 24 2020 14: 09 New
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            Quote: Altona
            They write in the news that physical gold is already transported to England by regular flights.

            These people do not connect their future with the country where they rule ... that’s all
  9. vladimirvn April 24 2020 12: 54 New
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    ... However, in this situation, the Russian authorities have a new perspective ... or an excuse - to pay attention to internal affairs .... laughing laughing laughing
    1. Alf
      Alf April 24 2020 18: 21 New
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      Quote: vladimirvn
      ... However, in such a situation, a new perspective opens up before the Russian authorities ...

      How else would you sand people ???
  10. mojohed2012 April 24 2020 13: 09 New
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    No. Cutting the budget as it was the main form of its execution over the past years, so it will remain so in the future. What a self-respecting liberal in the Government will earn simple hard workers, for example, on infrastructure projects. No ... We will not follow the path of China and the USA after the depression. We will not build roads, infrastructure, and export the economy on this, it is better that the poor still get poorer, and the rich at least preserve what they "sawed".
  11. Beringovsky April 24 2020 13: 25 New
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    ... a new perspective is opening up before the Russian authorities ... or an occasion - to pay attention to internal affairs

    She opens regularly before these powers. But their eyes are oil-stained, and they don’t see anything.
    ... finally begin to implement projects ...

    Is it "finally" again? what
    I have already lost count.
    1. Altona April 24 2020 13: 39 New
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      Quote: Beringovsky
      She opens regularly before these powers. But their eyes are oil-stained, and they don’t see anything.

      ---------------------------------
      They are kleptomaniacs and gamblers of the oil and gas casino.
      1. Beringovsky April 24 2020 13: 41 New
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        Well, when will all this casino end?

        If only the Pechenegs would return, or something ...
        1. Altona April 24 2020 13: 45 New
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          Quote: Beringovsky
          If only the Pechenegs would return, or something ...

          ----------------------
          So they have long been in Bulgaria and Hungary. laughing And the Tatars were soaked by the Polovtsians.
  12. Tomich3 April 24 2020 13: 27 New
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    What naivety ..
  13. Corundum April 24 2020 13: 28 New
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    Россия очень зависима от технологического импорта. А импорт это доллары. На импорт их будет не хватать . Значит лезем в долги.. Репутация России подмочена. уж слишком много накопили недоброжелателей. Значит не будет много желающих помогать экономически.
    1. Alf
      Alf April 24 2020 18: 24 New
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      Quote: Corundum
      Russia is very dependent on technological imports.

      And who prevented this addiction from being eliminated in 20 years?
      Quote: Corundum
      So there will not be many who want to help economically.

      Or, perhaps, it was necessary not to put money into a bottle, but to your own country?
      1. Corundum April 24 2020 19: 28 New
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        I had all this in mind. Adventurous politics of Purin. The first time he did not guess with “Our Crimea” - he thought a dagger, the dough is full and the oil is expensive. And here on you the price has fallen and sanctions.
        The second time now I have accumulated a little egg - well, now it thinks then on a horse. Clapping the door during negotiations was not beautiful. Zeroing, lifelong throne. But alas, again, oil prices, and now for a long time, but the virus in addition.
        The egg is empty quickly. And what God himself does not know ahead ...
  14. iouris April 24 2020 13: 42 New
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    The idea is right. It would not be too late. In addition, the government must pull itself out of the swamp. Until now, only Baron Munchausen has succeeded in this. Yes, and he was a German in Russian service.
  15. Charlie April 24 2020 14: 10 New
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    Quote: Beringovsky
    By the way, yes, self-isolation with the Internet seems to well clear the brains of many of our fellow citizens.
    Plus now, at last, their children and grandchildren spend a lot of time together with pensioners. With the help of the Internet, they will move the brains of the older generation in the right direction.

    The older generation does not need to move brains. This is necessary for youth. Young people in pink glasses look at our "guarantor" of the constitution
    1. Malyuta April 24 2020 14: 17 New
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      Quote: Charlie
      Young people in pink glasses look at our "guarantor" of the constitution

      Not true, the youth hates him fiercely, even do not care.
      Quote: Charlie
      The older generation does not need to move brains.

      And it is they who are the main bondages, with a TV instead of a head. Pay attention, here on the site there are many such stubborn dumbasses. hi
  16. APASUS April 24 2020 14: 42 New
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    The problem is not oil at all, the problem is that now the government will have to move its brains to keep the economy as a whole.
    1. ximkim April 24 2020 16: 47 New
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      And not only in oil, but in the revenues themselves: excise taxes, taxes, tariffs. They won’t move, but how else to charge or raise. The government will work on it now.
  17. Charlie April 24 2020 14: 51 New
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    Quote: Malyuta
    Quote: Charlie
    Young people in pink glasses look at our "guarantor" of the constitution

    Not true, the youth hates him fiercely, even do not care.
    Quote: Charlie
    The older generation does not need to move brains.

    And it is they who are the main bondages, with a TV instead of a head. Pay attention, here on the site there are many such stubborn dumbasses. hi

    Why, then, are all these pouty, ostentatious forums and congresses recruited with predominant participation
    Quote: Malyuta
    Quote: Charlie
    Young people in pink glasses look at our "guarantor" of the constitution

    Not true, the youth hates him fiercely, even do not care.
    Quote: Charlie
    The older generation does not need to move brains.

    And it is they who are the main bondages, with a TV instead of a head. Pay attention, here on the site there are many such stubborn dumbasses. hi

    Why, then, are all these pouty, ostentatious forums and congresses recruited with the predominant participation of stupid youth?
    1. unaha April 24 2020 15: 39 New
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      "Why, then, are all these pouty, ostentatious forums and congresses recruited with the predominant participation of stupid youth?"
      Yes, there are careerists and opportunists, there are no "stupid" young people at all.
      But who those ~ 60% of the polls (including those not of VTsIOM) supporting the party and government is interesting.
  18. mitchhunter April 24 2020 15: 21 New
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    No .. There will be no such, do not even hope. Invest in securities of other countries and all
  19. Zaurbek April 24 2020 15: 36 New
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    And so they turned ... bought retail, toll roads began to build.
  20. Xoyuschka April 24 2020 18: 29 New
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    One canine liberal yoke gathered here? Or is everyone so dumb that they don’t see what is happening? Again, Putin is to blame for everything? We have been living in a completely different country for 3 months now. The president and the government are conducting titanic work for the benefit of the people, fighting for our future with the liberal bastard, who has been seated in power since the time of Yeltsin. And you, the fool, do not understand, watering with slop ... Turn on the brain, if not drunk ...
  21. Hypatius April 24 2020 19: 27 New
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    Да сжигать будут нефть, ибо это невосполнимый (точнее медленно) ресурс. Ну, в самом деле, не раздавать же безплатно бензин, нуждающимся россиянинам. А другую заботу мы сейчас видим, как штрафы, тотальный контроль, террор и разрешение карателям всех ведомств стрелять по людем. Смертная казнь у нас запрещена ведь, зато затрелить при "задержании" это можно. Добро пожаловать в НМП сатанистов-глобалистов.
  22. 16112014nk April 24 2020 19: 39 New
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    [i stimulate domestic demand, which will spur domestic production, infrastructure development, will save jobs.] [/ i]
    Government response: No, I can’t explain it!
  23. Kaw
    Kaw April 25 2020 16: 22 New
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    One of the directions is to finally start implementing gasification projects for territories where Gazprom and Novatek haven’t stepped on their feet,


    We do exactly the opposite. Due to frequent incidents with domestic gas, such standards were introduced that people began to refuse domestic gas supply and switch to electricity.