Drop prices for oil and gas - an occasion for the authorities to pay attention to internal affairs

Brent crude oil after reaching the mark of almost 23 dollars per barrel again returned to the fall, which some experts already call “familiar”. At the moment, a barrel of oil of this brand is sold at a price of about $ 20,9. The price of WTI and Urals oil is significantly lower.

Against this background, Deutsche Bank decided to predict the “depth” of Russian financial reserves in case of a long stay of oil quotes at low levels. According to analysts at Germany’s largest bank, at a price of $ 15 per barrel for the Russian brand of oil, Russia's NWF reserves will last no more than 2 years. An indicator of six years, experts call at a price of Russian brand oil at $ 30 per barrel.

So far, the price of a barrel of Urals has fluctuated around 10-12 dollars per barrel, which is the record for recent decades. Throwing price. By the way, by the way, too.

About NWF in numbers

So what does the NWF prepare for us ...

As of March 1, 2020, the amount of funds in the National Welfare Fund of Russia amounted to 7,3% of GDP or 8 trillion 249 billion rubles. This is the maximum value since December last year, if we talk about the percentage of GDP, and the maximum for the whole history the existence of the NWF, if we talk about the ruble mass (excluding inflation). In dollars, the indicator was (as of March 1) 123,4 billion.

Experts in Russia believe that today the ruble is optimally formed for the Russian economy against the dollar at such low oil prices. This made it possible to bring the ruble equivalent of the NWF to record levels, which in turn allows the state to fulfill its social obligations.

However, in any case, $ 10-12 per barrel of Urals oil is too low to be counted on for SWFs in our country for years. The dependence of the country's economy on oil prices is still very significant, and in a pandemic, when other sectors do not provide the opportunity to receive optimal revenues to the state budget, the situation looks at least tense.

However, in such a situation, the Russian authorities have a new perspective ... or an excuse - to pay attention to internal affairs - to stimulate domestic demand, which will spur domestic production, infrastructure development, and will save jobs.

One of the directions is to finally start implementing gasification projects for territories where Gazprom and Novatek didn’t step, and if they did, it was only to lay the pipeline by - to Europe or China. and they will provide stable profits (after all, it has never been decided to write off debts to our citizens ...), and the regional economies will be given a new impetus.

Comments

[Same lech]

to finally start implementing projects on gasification of territories where "Gazprom and Novatek did not step foot, and if they did, it was only to lay a pipeline past - to Europe or China.

Dreams ... dreams ... who will lead the gas to the village of Gadyukino for three hundred km ... where some pensioners and money the cat wept.

[Vasyan1971]

Quote: The same LYOKHA

Dreams Dreams...

[novel66]

as Slepakov sang
it's still our common gas
and dreams come true only for you ..

[military_cat]

However, in such a situation, the Russian authorities have a new perspective ... or an excuse - to pay attention to internal affairs - to stimulate domestic demand, which will spur domestic production, infrastructure development, and will save jobs.

Why do they need this? A waste of effort and money. It’s enough to simply show on TV that they did all this, and it works, the viewers believe, and then they come to the polls and vote As expected.

[Malyuta]

Quote: military_cat

It’s enough to simply show on TV that they did all this, and it works, the viewers believe, and then they come to the polls and vote As expected.

The refrigerator defeats the zombie-box, soon the hoarse anger will grow into hates power.
"You can deceive a part of the people all the time, and the whole people for some time, but you cannot deceive the whole people all the time." Abraham Lincoln

[military_cat]

Quote: Malyuta

soon the growing anger will grow into hates power

Practice shows that it will turn into hatred of external enemies and the fifth column, if it is properly channeled. Read comments on any articles where the topic of external enemies and the fifth column is somehow touched.

Quote: Malyuta

Abraham Lincoln

He just didn’t have a TV yet.

[Malyuta]

Quote: military_cat

Practice shows that it will turn into hatred of external enemies and the fifth column, if it is properly channeled.

I agree the tv sewer, along with flushing cisterns, works to its fullest, but it doesn’t help my mother-in-law anymore, 2 years ago she entered into a confrontation with a zombie box and pushed, now her main enemy is the man in the case, who is sitting in the bunker, he burns firewood in the fireplace and asks to take this with understanding. Now I don’t even need to agitate her, drug prices in pharmacies have already coordinated her and I can only listen to her ten-story mats addressed to the ruler and Co. and be horrified by the methods invented by them.

Quote: military_cat

He just didn’t have a TV yet.

You can’t argue with that — he was a naive guy.

[Beringovsky]

By the way, yes, self-isolation with the Internet seems to well clear the brains of many of our fellow citizens.
Plus now, at last, their children and grandchildren spend a lot of time together with pensioners. With the help of the Internet, they will move the brains of the older generation in the right direction.

[Malyuta]

Quote: Beringovsky

By the way, yes, self-isolation with the Internet seems to well clear the brains of many of our fellow citizens.
Plus now, at last, their children and grandchildren spend a lot of time together with pensioners. With the help of the Internet, they will move the brains of the older generation in the right direction.

Believe me, Colleague, many are already on the right track, and after quarantines the country will never be as glassy as a month or three ago.

[military_cat]

Quote: Malyuta

only my mother-in-law doesn't help anymore

Ask what she thinks about external enemies and the fifth column. Marvel

[exo]

The people are beginning to get wiser. And it may not be possible to write off everything on "intrigues abroad".

[DEDPIHTO]

This gas forest would go with its own gasification, with the connection of houses for 300 thousand. Even if they take off a bit now, then there remains a dependence on changing gas supply houses for the price of gas, not to mention service stations, who check gas equipment in homes 2 times a year. All the backbone forest !!! Our firewood is everything!

[DMB 75]

Our deadwood is all. It is allowed to collect. But you still need to buy firewood. Then you still think that it is more important, heat or medicine with food.

[Malyuta]

Quote: DMB 75

Then you’ll think that the most important thing is heat or medicine with food.

They have already invented "oak bark" for us, eat and heal at the same time.

[Vita vko]

Quote: The same LYOKHA

some pensioners and money the cat cried

By the way, pensioners in many villages are almost the wealthiest people, except for the heads of administration, they are the only ones who see them live. But they also need to heat, firewood and coal are several times more expensive than gas. But that's not the problem. Coal mines in Siberia are in the hands of oligarchs, who not only do not want to convert the CHPP to gas, but also regularly give the paws to Moscow ecologists, continuing to poison the environment and people in such megacities as Krasnoyarsk or Chelyabinsk, where in calm weather a normal person just do not breathe. And numerous complaints even at the level of the President of the country are stupidly kicked off under the guise of numerous reports on state programs.

[knn54]

At current tariffs, which do not tend to decrease.-Unequivocally.

[aszzz888]

However, in such a situation, a new perspective opens up before the Russian authorities ...

Perhaps something will be undertaken. In the end, the country's economy, at least, should not fall to the level of 2008.

[military_cat]

Quote: aszzz888

In the end, the country's economy, at least, should not fall to the level of 2008.

This is when the dollar was 24, the 95th gasoline at 24?

[aszzz888]

military_cat Today, 12:25
0
Quote: aszzz888
In the end, the country's economy, at least, should not fall to the level of 2008.
This is when the dollar was 24, the 95th gasoline at 24?

If you are interested in browsing the Internet, a huge amount of materials on this topic ... I believe you will find, and the answer to your question.

[military_cat]

I already know the answer to my question, the question was rhetorical.

[dzvero]

Watching how fast the world gets out next year. Perhaps the decline in GDP across countries will be from 10 to 40%, someone like that, Clarify somewhere in the fall. Interesting times ...

[Pvi1206]

The shortsighted Russian government concentrated all efforts in the economy on the pipe ... oil and gas ... it is unreasonable to transfer all the eggs in one basket ...

[pmkemcity]

it is unreasonable to transfer all eggs in one basket

Exactly! But rather "a pipe over the eggs"!

[novel66]

indicates a lack of eggs ..

[Malyuta]

Quote: Pvi1206

The shortsighted Russian government concentrated all efforts in the economy on the pipe ... oil and gas ... it is unreasonable to transfer all the eggs in one basket ...

The oligarchs officials keep their eggs in offshore, so they have different baskets with us.

[Tusv]

Yes. The expanses of gasification are endless. My aunt five years ago gasified in the seventh heaven from happiness. And BP has a lot of gas stations. And what for the British competitor?

[ivselim]

... (after all, it was never customary to write off debts to our citizens ...) ...
This is called "hit your own so that others would be scared." Only no one is afraid.

[Sklendarka]

But their debts to citizens were nullified at the moment ... how many deposits alone were lost ...

[Quasipatriot]

For 20 years, the tsar’s father has taken Russia off the oil needle, and it seems that he will continue to do this for another 20 years until the oil runs out. And if he and his loyal friends are oligarchs, oh excuse me, but now they’re not, they are now businessmen and patriots. So, if the tsar’s patriots will not have enough money, then they will be withdrawn by taxes, raising prices for housing and communal services and gas, and other tributes from us, ordinary people. Glory to the tsar-father, to the glory of Russia he is working!

[Altona]

Quote: Quasipatriot

20 years the tsar father removes Russia from the oil needle

--------------------
As everyone jokes, "Crown Prince Ben Salman did it in a month."
At the same time, the police will already be allowed to shoot to kill and cut cars and apartment doors with a grinder, but the people agree to this "if only there is no war" and "the limit on revolution has been exhausted." And the people seem to agree to digital sobyaning.

[Beringovsky]

No, I do not agree. Everyone with whom he spoke about this is outraged and very angry.
It just happens for the first time and the people are at a loss. Did you expect an immediate revolution? So after all, in the 17th year, not one day happened. Let's wait. Now it’s getting warmer, people will go out into the street and you won’t be able to restrain him.

[Altona]

Quote: Beringovsky

Did you expect an immediate revolution?

-----------------------
I have not expected anything for a long time. In 2018, I asked people to go to a permitted rally against the pension reform, so everyone immediately found both fishing and business with the mother-in-law. Philistine thinking among people, Chukhan. At each other, they are very much waving their fists "you do not respect me", but in fact the Chukhans are philistines. At the rally there were only pensioners, several young people, a couple of retired officers, several middle-aged women. In general, people have no self-awareness. They have it within the Renault-Logan salon.
PS Now probably angry, because they feel need beyond the usual. Their hungry anger.

[Avior]

I asked people to go to a permitted rally against pension reform, so everyone immediately found fishing and mother-in-law affairs.

they do not believe in the effect of the rally, but they expect problems for themselves personally if they light up.

[alone]

the situation is very ambiguous ... It’s probably no secret to anyone how the ruble exchange rate is supported .. If you don’t support it, it will fall .. and this automatically means price increases, inflation, impoverishment of a large number of the population, which is already living hard .. And the endless support of the exchange rate will lead to the fact that foreign exchange reserves run out ... (They are disproportionate and are unlikely to grow at such prices for oil and gas ... I'm not talking about the budget, a certain part of which is generated just from the income of oil and gas). . so wherever you go, some questions: what to do and how to fix it ..

[Altona]

Quote: lonely

And the endless support of the exchange rate will lead to the fact that foreign exchange reserves run out ...

----------------------
Endless support for currency speculators who, without taxes, derive speculative profits from the country. If you make a marginal tax on withdrawal of funds, at least for a limited period, then everything will be settled.

[alone]

Quote: Altona

Endless support for currency speculators who, without taxes, derive speculative profits from the country. If you make a marginal tax on withdrawal of funds, at least for a limited period, then everything will be settled.

Well, if we know this, then why is this done? Maybe it’s beneficial for them to get all this profit out of the country and invest in foreign accounts. Siblings are all EU and US citizens and have very good business there .. I'm not talking about real estate that cost tens of millions of dollars / euro

[Altona]

Quote: lonely

Well, if we know this, then why is this done?

---------------------
Are you asking me? Because we have built such a thieves state. Is it in vain that Nabiulina asks to shut up Glazyev’s mouth? Because he has long been talking about this, that his own is allowed to speculate and export wealth from the country. They write in the news that physical gold is already transported to England by regular flights.

[alone]

Quote: Altona

They write in the news that physical gold is already transported to England by regular flights.

These people do not connect their future with the country where they rule ... that’s all

[vladimirvn]

... However, in this situation, the Russian authorities have a new perspective ... or an excuse - to pay attention to internal affairs ....

[Alf]

Quote: vladimirvn

... However, in such a situation, a new perspective opens up before the Russian authorities ...

How else would you sand people ???

[mojohed2012]

No. Cutting the budget, as it was the main type of its execution all the past years, will remain so in the future. What a self-respecting liberal in the Government will give money to ordinary hard workers, for example, on infrastructure construction sites. Don't ... We will not follow the path of China and the United States after the depression. We will not build roads, infrastructure and export the economy on this, let it be better for the poor to become poorer, and the rich at least keep what they have "cut".

[Beringovsky]

... a new perspective is opening up before the Russian authorities ... or an occasion - to pay attention to internal affairs

She opens regularly before these powers. But their eyes are oil-stained, and they don’t see anything.

... finally begin to implement projects ...

Is it "finally" again?
I have already lost count.

[Altona]

Quote: Beringovsky

She opens regularly before these powers. But their eyes are oil-stained, and they don’t see anything.

---------------------------------
They are kleptomaniacs and gamblers of the oil and gas casino.

[Beringovsky]

Well, when will all this casino end?

If only the Pechenegs would return, or something ...

[Altona]

Quote: Beringovsky

If only the Pechenegs would return, or something ...

----------------------
So they have long been in Bulgaria and Hungary. And the Tatars were soaked by the Polovtsians.

[Tomich3]

What naivety ..

[Corundum]

Russia is very dependent on technological imports. And imports are dollars. They will be missed for import. So we go into debt .. Russia's reputation is tarnished. too many ill-wishers have accumulated. So there will not be many who want to help economically.

[Alf]

Quote: Corundum

Russia is very dependent on technological imports.

And who prevented this addiction from being eliminated in 20 years?

Quote: Corundum

So there will not be many who want to help economically.

Or, perhaps, it was necessary not to put money into a bottle, but to your own country?

[Corundum]

I also meant it all. Purin's adventurous policy. The first time he got it wrong with "Crimea Nash" - he was thinking to the tsapan, the dough is full and the oil is expensive. And then the price fell on you and the sanctions.
The second time now I have accumulated a little egg - well, now it thinks then on a horse. Clapping the door during negotiations was not beautiful. Zeroing, lifelong throne. But alas, again, oil prices, and now for a long time, but the virus in addition.
The egg is empty quickly. And what God himself does not know ahead ...

[iouris]

The idea is right. It would not be too late. In addition, the government must pull itself out of the swamp. Until now, only Baron Munchausen has succeeded in this. Yes, and he was a German in Russian service.

[Charlie]

Quote: Beringovsky

By the way, yes, self-isolation with the Internet seems to well clear the brains of many of our fellow citizens.
Plus now, at last, their children and grandchildren spend a lot of time together with pensioners. With the help of the Internet, they will move the brains of the older generation in the right direction.

The older generation does not need to move their brains. This is necessary for youth. Young people in pink glasses look at our "guarantor" of the constitution

[Malyuta]

Quote: Charlie

Young people in pink glasses look at our "guarantor" of the constitution

Not true, the youth hates him fiercely, even do not care.

Quote: Charlie

The older generation does not need to move brains.

And it is they who are the main bondages, with a TV instead of a head. Pay attention, here on the site there are many such stubborn dumbasses.

[APASUS]

The problem is not oil at all, the problem is that now the government will have to move its brains to keep the economy as a whole.

[ximkim]

And not only in oil, but in the revenues themselves: excise taxes, taxes, tariffs. They won’t move, but how else to charge or raise. The government will work on it now.

[Charlie]

Quote: Malyuta

Quote: Charlie

Young people in pink glasses look at our "guarantor" of the constitution

Not true, the youth hates him fiercely, even do not care.

Quote: Charlie

The older generation does not need to move brains.

And it is they who are the main bondages, with a TV instead of a head. Pay attention, here on the site there are many such stubborn dumbasses.

Why, then, are all these pouty, ostentatious forums and congresses recruited with predominant participation

Quote: Malyuta

Quote: Charlie

Young people in pink glasses look at our "guarantor" of the constitution

Not true, the youth hates him fiercely, even do not care.

Quote: Charlie

The older generation does not need to move brains.

And it is they who are the main bondages, with a TV instead of a head. Pay attention, here on the site there are many such stubborn dumbasses.

Why, then, are all these pouty, ostentatious forums and congresses recruited with the predominant participation of stupid youth?

[unaha]

"Why, then, are all these ostentatious, ostentatious forums and congresses recruited with the predominant participation of stupid youth?"
Yes, there are careerists and opportunists, there is no "stupid" youth and not close.
But who those ~ 60% of the polls (including those not of VTsIOM) supporting the party and government is interesting.

[mitchhunter]

No .. There will be no such, do not even hope. Invest in securities of other countries and all

[Zaurbek]

And so they turned ... bought retail, toll roads began to build.

[Hypatius]

Yes, they will burn oil, because it is an irreplaceable (more precisely, slowly) resource. Well, in fact, it is not possible to distribute gasoline free of charge to the needy Russians. And we now see another concern, like fines, total control, terror and permission for punishers of all departments to shoot at people. The death penalty is prohibited in our country, but it is possible to shoot during the "detention". Welcome to the NWO of Satanist Globalists.

[16112014nk]

[i stimulate domestic demand, which will spur domestic production, infrastructure development, will save jobs.] [/ i]
Government response: No, I can’t explain it!

[Kaw]

One of the directions is to finally start implementing projects for gasification of territories where "Gazprom and Novatek have never gone before,"

We do exactly the opposite. Due to frequent incidents with domestic gas, such standards were introduced that people began to refuse domestic gas supply and switch to electricity.