Military Review

Coronavirus COVID-19: threats, consequences, actions

133

The beginning of 2020 turned out to be rich in "fun" news. Here, the spread of the coronavirus COVID-19, and the threat of the escalation of the military conflict in Syria due to the actions of Turkey, and a sharp decline in oil prices, followed by a depreciation of the ruble.


We have already experienced the depreciation of the ruble more than once, maybe this time it will cost, although, of course, there is little joy. Nuclear war over Turkey is also unlikely to start - the great powers do not sacrifice themselves for the sake of the allies. But on the coronavirus we dwell in more detail.

Distribution rate


The first cases of COVID-19 coronavirus infection were detected at the end of December 2019 in the city of Wuhan, Hubei Province of central China. As early as December 31, 2019, Chinese authorities informed the World Health Organization (WHO) of an outbreak of unknown pneumonia. As of March 12.03.2020, 126, 672 19 cases of infection with COVID-68 coronavirus were recorded, of which 305 4 people recovered, 641 30 people died. At a meeting of the WHO Emergencies Committee on 2020 January XNUMX, the outbreak of the new coronavirus was recognized as a public health emergency of international concern

In Russia, the first cases of coronavirus were recorded on January 31, 2020. The sick were residents of China. As of March 12.03.2020, 28, 19 infected with the coronavirus COVID-XNUMX were recorded in Russia.


Coronavirus distribution map


Dynamics of changes in the number of sick and recovered

The main indicator characterizing the degree of infectiousness of the virus is base reproductive number - the expected number of secondary cases of infection caused by one infection, that is, the number of people who, on average, are infected by one patient. According to recent estimates, for the coronavirus COVID-19, this indicator is approximately 2-4 (the indicator increased from the end of January to the current time). For comparison: in the influenza virus, this indicator is 1,3-2.


Basic reproductive number for various diseases

According to information from the WHO website, the incubation period (the time period between infection and the onset of clinical symptoms of the disease with the COVID-19 virus) ranges from 1 to 14 days and most often is about five days. These estimates will be updated as new data become available, as there is information that this period can be up to 28 days.

Infectious carrier in the absence of symptoms contributes to the spread of coronavirus. A person infected with COVID-19 coronavirus does not suspect about his illness for a long period of time, is actively in contact with others, and by the time signs of the disease appear, he manages to infect a significant number of people.


Cumulative number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Italy


Cumulative number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in France


Confirmed cases by date of registration of cases of COVID-19 in Italy


Confirmed cases by COVID-19 case registration date in France

Pay attention to the similarity of the graphs of the increase in the number of diseases in Italy and France: isolated cases and after three to four weeks - a sharp surge.

Extrapolating the situation to our country, we can assume that there is a likelihood of a situation developing in a similar way, in this case, a sharp increase in patients with the coronavirus COVID-19 can be expected within a few weeks.

There is a suspicion that the small number of cases in some countries is explained either by the inability of their healthcare system to quickly identify cases or by the reluctance of the leadership of these countries to recognize / voice the problem. This primarily refers to the countries of the Third World, where, with terrible crowding and unsanitary conditions, the coronavirus epidemic seems to be gone. It is enough to recall the case in Turkmenistan:

In Ashgabat, the police fined a local resident who appeared on the street with a mask to protect herself from the coronavirus. According to the Chronicle of Turkmenistan, police stopped a woman on the street under the pretext of checking a residence permit. After making sure that everything was fine with this, they asked why she was walking in the mask. Law enforcement officers regarded her actions as a provocation and distrust of the quarantine measures of the government. A citizen was fined 249 manat ($ 71).


On March 11, 2020, WHO announced the epidemic of the coronavirus COVID-19 2019-nCoV.

On the other hand, there is good news: the Chinese authorities said that the peak of the spread of coronavirus in the country has passed. The question is how realistic this forecast is, and how much governments of other countries can and are ready to repeat the tough and effective measures of the PRC to curb the spread of the disease.

Mortality COVID-19


An important issue is the mortality rate of COVID-19. In many respects, this determines the attitude of the population to the disease: the fear of death makes people (not all) more anxious about their health and the recommendations of doctors.

Mortality of a disease is a statistical indicator equal to the ratio of the number of deaths from a disease to the number of patients with this disease for a certain time period. Those who are still sick are not taken into account.

Thus, on March 12.03.2020, 19, the average lethality of COVID-XNUMX is:

(number of dead / (number of dead + number of recovered)) x 100% = (4 641 / (4 641 + 68 305)) x 100% = 6,4%,

wherein:

- in China: (3 172 / (3 172 + 62 892)) x 100% = 4,8%;
- in Italy: (827 / (827 + 1)) x 045% = 100%;
- in Iran: (429 / (429 + 2 959)) x 100% = 12,7%;
- in South Korea: (66 / (66 + 333)) x 100% = 16,5%;
- in Spain: (55 / (55 + 183)) x 100% = 23,1%.

The calculation as a whole and for each country is separately carried out for the period of accumulation of statistics.

If you count mortality on the number of cases:

(number of deaths / (number of deaths + number of sick)) x 100% = (4 641 / (4 641 + 128 343)) x 100% = 3,5%,

wherein:

- in China: (3 172 / (3 172 + 80 932)) x 100% = 3,8%;
- in Italy: (827 / (847 + 12)) x 462% = 100%;
- in Iran: (429 / (429 + 10 075)) x 100% = 4,1%;
- in South Korea: (66 / (66 + 7 869)) x 100% = 0,8%;
- in Spain: (55 / (55 + 2)) x 277% = 100%.

The calculation as a whole and for each country is separately carried out for the period of accumulation of statistics.

It must be understood that mortality rates become more realistic over time, when statistics accumulate, since patients can die much faster than recover. Therefore, the most realistic mortality rate in China is about 3,8-4,8%. However, in the absence of proper medical care, the mortality rate can be significantly higher.

A large-scale study, which was based on data on 72 confirmed cases of infection in China, showed that in 000% of cases the disease is mild, in 80% of cases in severe form, and in 14% of cases in extremely severe form. According to reports, this infection is most dangerous for the elderly and those with concomitant diseases.


Coronavirus mortality rate COVID-19 for different age groups

The average mortality rate for COVID-19 is estimated to be around 3-6% and may be significantly higher in countries with poor health care. For comparison: the lethality of the influenza virus is less than 1% (about 0,1% in the influenza viruses H2N2 and H3N2).

Threats and Risks


Threats from the coronavirus COVID-19 can be divided into three groups:
- a threat to health;
- a drop in the quality of life;
- a threat to the economy.

Let's start with the second point, since it is already noticeable. You can say as much as you like that the threat of coronavirus is a fake, that COVID-19 is not more dangerous than the flu, and that coronavirus is the machinations of aspirin producers. This does not cancel the existing reality.

The threat of the epidemic is considered seriously at different levels, provokes the corresponding reaction of special services and organizations that issue reports, make statements and give recommendations for its prevention, including restrictive and prohibitive ones. As a result, communications stop, enterprises close, and the burden on the healthcare system and social infrastructure increases. This causes the corresponding movements in the economy: stocks and exchange rates are falling, prices and interest rates on loans are rising.

For example, Russian stocks and the ruble fell after the announcement of the WHO pandemic.


The decrease in the value of shares of Russian companies is in all sectors of the economy

You should not think that this is typical only for Russia. After the outbreak in China, the same thing happened with the shares of Chinese companies. According to Bloomberg, the share price of more than 2800 Chinese companies fell by more than 10%, the Financial Times notes that the drop in quotes at the opening of mainland China exchanges on Monday was a record since 2007.

The situation in the United States is no better: the New York Stock Exchange on Thursday, March 12, 2020, experienced the largest decline since Black Monday 1987, despite the decision of the Federal Reserve System, which acts as the US Central Bank, to allocate 1,5 trillion . dollars as short-term loans to stimulate the national economy and stabilize the financial system.

The direct influence of the COVID-19 virus on Russians in terms of the economy, and also on citizens of other countries, can be:
- reduction of wages;
- shortage of certain goods;
- reduction in the number of jobs;
- increase in the cost of goods and services.

Another factor influencing the COVID-19 virus will be a decline in quality of life. Restrictions on international movements have already been introduced, events with a large crowd of people are being canceled, arrivals from abroad are placed in strict quarantine. In the future, we can expect a significant increase in restrictive measures up to the introduction of a ban on the operation of entertainment facilities, curfews, and the closing of quarantine of entire settlements.

In Russia, you can expect:
- a ban on travel to a number of countries or in general;
- cancellation of concerts, sporting events, etc .;
- home quarantine for suspected coronavirus;
- forced isolation for those suspected of coronavirus.

If the situation worsens:
- closing entertainment facilities - restaurants, bars, shops, etc .;
- a ban on leaving populated areas (creation of quarantine zones).


Map of countries restricted to visit. There is no doubt that the number of such countries will increase

From the point of view of health, elderly people are at greatest risk, mortality from coronavirus COVID-19 for which reaches 20%. Considering that many families live together with older relatives or communicate closely, the threat to the latter increases significantly due to the increased risk of infection. On the plus side, the lesser impact of coronavirus COVID-19 on children, especially younger children.

Panic and an increase in the number of cases can lead to a shortage of vital medicines, possibly products, as well as other essential goods. Currently, there is already a significant shortage of personal protective equipment (PPE) - respirators, medical masks, etc. due to their purchases in large quantities by foreign buyers.

The most significant problem can be considered the possibility of exceeding the number of patients with the coronavirus COVID-19 over the health system's ability to treat them. In this case, an increase in mortality can be expected due to the untimely provision of medical care.

Thus, the main threats to the health of Russians arising from the coronavirus COVID-19 can be considered:
- delays in receiving medical care for a disease or the complete absence of such an opportunity;
- shortage of drugs, PPE, food and other vital goods;
- increased risk of death for the elderly.

Questions and Answers


Perhaps the Russian health care system will be able to contain the epidemic better than is done in China, Italy and other countries? Our health care system, too, is working to the limit during normal times due to a shortage of doctors. My child is examined by a female doctor who examined me as a child, and that was more than 30 years ago. According to her, those wishing to come to her place are not particularly observed.

Doctors consider normal daily duty followed by a shift, i.e. in fact, a working day with a length of about 30-35 hours (sleeping on duty in a large hospital is almost unrealistic, at best 1-2 hours in fits and starts).

With ARVI disease, it’s easier to take a few days at your own expense than to stand in a queue for 1-2 hours every other day in a clinic for a sick leave, at the risk of picking up something else, and you can sign up in advance most often only for a date in 1-2 weeks, what will be no longer relevant.

Now let's try to predict the situation in hospitals with an increase in the number of patients with the COVID-19 coronavirus to 1000-5000-10000 people ...

Coronavirus COVID-19: threats, consequences, actions

The optimization of healthcare has led to the massive closure of hospitals and a drop in the quality of medical care in Russia, experts say. By 2021-2022, the country in terms of the number of hospitals can reach the level of the Russian Empire in 1913

If not a healthcare system, then maybe the government will save us?

So far, the government has not taken any serious action. No, there are some checks, someone was quarantined, but all this is a drop in the bucket. The incubation period is long, so the number of infected increases unnoticed. Introducing quarantine after the epidemic has already spread is much less effective than doing it now.

Nothing of this kind is being done; only independent media raise a “panic”:

The threat of coronavirus spread in Russia is minimized, said Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin.

I would only like to understand what such optimistic statements are based on?

On the other hand, perhaps some measures are still being taken. For example, on the website of the manufacturer of air purification systems the following announcement is posted:

At the moment, there is a difficult situation with the shipment of Dezar irradiators due to the threat of the spread of coronavirus infection. There are NO irradiators in the free sale. There are NO models! They will appear in free sale in stock at the warehouse only after all the needs of most public places are met.

Will the author’s article cause a panic and the very deficit from which it is proposed to insure? Not. Most people, whether consciously or not, profess the so-called. sheep’s principle of survival - ignoring threats, unlimited optimistic perception of reality and reckoning on chance (luck). That is, they will not take any reasonable actions to increase their security by default, and they are not interested in materials on this topic. As experience shows, changing this behavior model is almost impossible.

If panic occurs, then most likely it will begin due to an official announcement, for example, about quarantine closing of the city, or something similar. Panic has nothing to do with smart planning, a portrait of panic is a crowd sweeping away everything from store shelves without regard to whether it needs it or not. Panic and pogroms lead to even greater restrictions: curfew, card distribution of goods and the like.

It can be assumed that the main factor in the shortage of certain goods may be their supply abroad at a higher cost and / or the actions of speculators buying up goods for subsequent resale.

Citizens who make reasonable purchases of essential medicines, products, and other basic necessities in advance are more likely to smooth out the peak of consumption that will occur during the period of maximum development of the epidemic.

Is the coronavirus epidemic a conspiracy of pharmacists to cash in on ordinary people? Yeah, of course, the WHO announced a pandemic just to ensure that the Chelyabinsk Nonwovens Plant increased sales of medical masks ...

Coronavirus epidemic organized by the USA against China? Play with bacteriological weapons - It's like setting fire to an apartment building to annoy a neighbor. But even so, what's the difference? Objective reality will not be affected in any way.

COVID-19 Coronavirus Outbreak Prevention


Measures to prevent the spread of the coronavirus epidemic COVID-19 can and should be taken both at the state and at the personal level.

At the state level it is necessary:

- already cancel all public events throughout the country: concerts, exhibitions, sporting events and the like, all only through television and the Internet;

- officially recommend to employers, if possible, to transfer employees to the home office mode of work (remote work at home);

- recommend employers to minimize the number of business trips of employees, meetings, personal meetings - if possible, organize the resolution of issues remotely;

- cancel or restrict education at schools and institutes, if possible, switch to distance education via the Internet;

- recommend that parents do not take their children to kindergarten if it is possible to leave them with someone;

- develop a list of recommendations for behavior in public places, identify signs of the disease, etc., and bring them to the public through the official media;

- severely restrict or completely prohibit the export of personal protective equipment (FFP3 respirators and supplies for them, medical masks), devices for cleaning and filtering air, vital medicines, products;

- reduce or temporarily remove taxes and excise taxes on the production of products, the deficit of which may arise due to the epidemic of coronavirus;

- prosecute for speculative trading at repeatedly inflated prices of PPE, medicines and other necessities;

- provide equipment for air purification and filtering facilities of state institutions, schools, kindergartens, etc .;

- oblige large enterprises and companies at the federal level to equip the premises with devices for cleaning and filtering air;

- organize the distribution of PPE, antiseptic agents, and possibly a limited grocery set from the Rosrezerv’s warehouses, to the voting procedure for amending the Constitution of the Russian Federation (at the same time this will ensure the appearance necessary for the country's leadership);

- consider and envisage the possibility of rapid deployment of mobile hospitals for patients, including those based on indoor stadiums and other sports facilities, concert halls and cinemas, etc., as well as ways to increase the capacity of existing medical institutions to treat infected patients.


The irradiator-recirculator of air, the ultraviolet bactericidal wall ORUBn-3-3-KRONT ("Dezar-3") prevents the spread of infections such as influenza, acute respiratory infections, diphtheria, tuberculosis and many others by disinfecting indoor air. The main task is to work in rooms where constant maintenance of aseptic conditions in the presence of people is required. The recirculator is also intended for use in rooms with an increased risk of the spread of diseases transmitted by airborne droplets and by air. The degree of disinfection: 99%, productivity - 100 m³ per hour, power - 60 W

On a personal level:

- refuse to attend mass entertainment events, regardless of prohibitions at the state level;

- Do not take children to kindergarten if there is someone to leave them at home with;

- restrict children from attending additional classes, circles, sections, etc. until the end of the epidemic;

- if possible, minimize contacts in public transport and in crowded places;

- observe personal hygiene - be sure to wash your hands immediately after visiting public places, use the recommended means for disinfecting hands and face;

- if the situation worsens outside the home, constantly use PPE (respirators), it may be worthwhile to do it now, and if any member of the family becomes ill, use them at home;

- purchase respirators of the FFP3 class, and to whom it is possible to use means, half masks or full-face masks with appropriate filters, to study methods of their disinfection for long-term use (Respirator FAQ), we can immediately say that now it’s not always possible to do it everywhere, and prices have already increased 4-10 times. The most effective are full-face masks, with respirators and half masks, the use of goggles is necessary, since the virus effectively infects when it gets into the eyes;


FFP3 respirators


Full face mask and half mask with anti-aerosol filters - this is the best way to protect against COVID-19 coronavirus infection

- medical masks for healthy people are practically useless, they are necessary for those who are already sick, to reduce the impact on others. You can use medical masks only in the absence of other PPE: WHO recommendations on the use of masks in the population, in the care of the sick at home and in the provision of medical care in the context of an outbreak of a new coronavirus (2019-nKoV);

- create a supply of medicines necessary for personal use, for example, if someone drinks pills for a chronic disease, then create a supply of them for 2-3 months, as well as a similar supply of the simplest inexpensive drugs - antipyretic, anti-inflammatory. In addition to the risk of drug shortages, it is necessary to minimize the number of visits to pharmacies during the threatened period, since they will be more likely to run into COVID-19 patients;

- create a stock of long-term storage products and household goods for a period of 2-3 months in case of a shortage of products or the introduction of restrictions on movement (quarantine);

- based on financial capabilities, consider the possibility of acquiring a household air purifier with a HEPA filter and a UV filter that can reduce the likelihood of transmission of infection between family members (FAQ on choosing air purifiers);

- limit spending on luxury goods and other goods not related to essential goods;

- do not succumb to panic, when creating reserves, use the principles of reasonable sufficiency, do not show aggression towards sick and potentially sick people and prevent such aggression shown by others, be attentive to the health status of your loved ones.

WHO recommendations for the care of patients with a mild form of the disease allegedly caused by the new coronavirus COVID-19.
Author:
Photos used:
gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com, habr.com, who.int, who.maps.arcgis.com, ru.tradingview.com, m.fontanka.ru, rbc.ru, dezar.su, 3mrussia.ru
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  1. Cowbra
    Cowbra 16 March 2020 05: 30
    +7
    Thus, the main threats to the health of Russians arising from the coronavirus COVID-19 can be considered:

    No. 1: Hype in the media, multiplied by the total conviction that Uncle Vasya from social networks knows more about coronovirus than a trained specialist ...
    Yesterday I read it here - it’s ridiculous ... Especially when the clown posing as a medic here told me how many sick people arrived in the hospital for the day (more than there were all of them in the Russian Federation for all the time). Fundamentally not understanding how the patient with SUSPICION for the virus placed in QUARANTINE differs from the DISEASED coronovirus.
    In short, there is one recommendation. Mentally unhealthy - immediately buy masks and scream all the time. The rest is better to buy popcorn
    1. YOUR
      YOUR 16 March 2020 05: 37
      -2
      Are you ready to risk your health and the health of your loved ones?
      1. Cowbra
        Cowbra 16 March 2020 05: 41
        11
        Panic always killed more. And even more unmotivated. Here the author goes bankrupt that "the virus affects the economy." So - it does not affect NIKHRENA, there is not even an epidemic in the country, and there are measures to prevent it - commonplace and well-known. It is the fact that a bunch of not very smart people, bulging their zenki, screaming "vseprapala" is influencing! And they buy in the USA, for example, toilet paper - it helps a lot! What did their minister laugh at yesterday, or the White House Presidential Sectarian ...
        1. YOUR
          YOUR 16 March 2020 05: 48
          +3
          Are you sure there is no epidemic? And what measures have been taken?
          The facts are that hundreds of if not thousands of people come from China every day. And by trains and planes. They don’t travel from Italy by train, there is no such possibility, they fly by air. Can you imagine what would happen if at least one infected person passes the subway. You are ready to give a 100% guarantee that this will not happen. 20 people fell ill yesterday, including 14 children (?).
          Maybe you think that Sobyanin is an alarmist if an infectious diseases hospital is being erected in Moscow at an accelerated pace and an impressive 43 hectares have been allocated for it. Is it that banal theft covered by concern for people or is the situation very, very alarming, what do you think ?.
          1. Cowbra
            Cowbra 16 March 2020 06: 19
            +9
            The criterion for the epidemic is the number of cases. For those who believe that 69 confirmed cases per 150 million people - enough for a panic - even a madhouse will no longer help. What are you, this is not even an epidemic! It is a pestilence, it is smooth, and at once all 7 executions of the Egyptian.
            And now the question is YOU - where did you get the idea that there is reason to panic with 69 cases and a mortality rate of 3 percent? Despite the fact that the quarantine, banal, events in the zones ALREADY EPIDEMIC, and not the region of loud woodpeckers, knocking in panic with Morse code "we will all die" ... So - even where the epidemic WAS - in 2,5 months it was liquidated with QUARANTINE - 84% of cases have already recovered!
            1. YOUR
              YOUR 16 March 2020 06: 30
              -2
              Markets were closed in Moscow; all educational institutions were recommended to switch to distance learning. Hence the panic. They say that there is nothing, but they enter quarantine.
              Quote: Cowbra
              Those who believe that 69 confirmed cases per 150 million people

              Are you sure that there are only 60 of them? Or maybe we still do not agree on something. Somehow, it’s hard to believe in such a number of patients, doctors and not only associate this with 22.04 many people directly say the true sizes we will find out after May 10th.
              I would very much like to believe that this is not so. But the past 30 years do not set up trust, as one thing is always promised, the exact opposite is the result.
              1. Cowbra
                Cowbra 16 March 2020 06: 54
                12
                FIRST, a panic began, as can be seen from the number of articles, by the way, very amateurish - on the NON-PROFILE portal about this coronovirus. Secondly, the closed MARKETS, where half of the sellers are from the edges, where there is an epidemic, just the vulgar cordon tactics - quarantine. That's all, there are no more reasons, but it was precisely the panic that started - an example:
                Quote: YOUR
                Or maybe we still do not agree on something. Somehow I can hardly believe in so many patients

                Can you substantiate it with anything? No, here's the classic "it's all gone, we'll all die." This is not even a highley likely, it is a banal, bazaar, panic based on nothing. And in order to calm the herd - they have already recommended them to educational institutions, because an unruly crowd never stupidly HEARS arguments. For example - when was it recommended, and how many are already howling about the epidemic?
                1. YOUR
                  YOUR 16 March 2020 07: 01
                  -14 qualifying.
                  Remind me of how many promises were made and how they were fulfilled, well, at least to increase the retirement age. Or when they suddenly became concerned about the end of the period of correspondence of the Constitution.
                  And leave these bazaars all the time we lost all the rest and so on. Argue argue, but justify it somehow. About sellers in the markets, well, what can they do from those parts, only foreign citizens are forbidden to trade like that, they all have long had Russian citizenship, apartments, houses, cars, children study in our schools. These are citizens of Russia. Our country is so multinational.
                  1. Cowbra
                    Cowbra 16 March 2020 08: 16
                    13
                    I substantiate:
                    * You couldn’t say anything, why is this an epidemic in the Russian Federation?
                    * you spit a highley like "the power of the lie"
                    * but they already mentioned pensions
                    * but they didn’t intend to answer my questions
                    * at the same time, the fact that banal quarantine, even where there was an epidemic - was - helped instantly - was not even going to be objected.
                    --------------
                    Why leave something? You are pushing me with unsubstantiated slogans, reinforcing highlie likes, but should I justify? SO I JUSTIFIED - THERE IS NO EPIDEMIC! But you didn’t justify why it is.
                    How tired these paid bulk rolls
                    1. YOUR
                      YOUR 16 March 2020 08: 29
                      0
                      Live in peace, let the virus bypass you and your family.
                    2. Doctor
                      Doctor 16 March 2020 09: 16
                      0
                      SO I JUSTIFIED - THERE IS NO EPIDEMIC!

                      Will be?
                      1. Cowbra
                        Cowbra 16 March 2020 09: 22
                        0
                        If you are piled up to deal with it, it will be for sure))) Once again - not the first and not the last threat of the epidemic. Always stayed BUDGET.
                      2. Liam
                        Liam 16 March 2020 09: 34
                        -1
                        Quote: Cowbra
                        neither the first nor the last threat of the epidemic. Always stayed BUDGET.

                        And when did you recall the last time football and other sports championships stopped on entire continents, were all extras canceled and hundreds of millions of people quarantined? Seriously, the people, doctors, and governments of dozens of countries that host these
                        measures bringing to their knees, including the economy, have gone crazy and do not understand what they are doing? Overcrowded intensive care units with patients unable to breathe on their own due to a severe form of pneumonia caused by this virus - is this "media panic" or are people really dying?
                        Pray that this does not affect you and your family
                        PySy. Wipe the keyboard and monitor from saliva. This is a good preventive measure against the virus.
                      3. Doctor
                        Doctor 16 March 2020 10: 32
                        -2
                        Once again - not the first and not the last threat of the epidemic. Always stayed BUDGET.

                        Did you stop yourself? In 1974, Astrakhan was closed for cholera.
                        Do you need to prepare like that?
                      4. Cowbra
                        Cowbra 16 March 2020 18: 03
                        +3
                        For your information, in the lower Volga, the cholera vibrio lives normally. Get ready. Cholera there can burn at any moment - at any time, as it warms slightly. Does not blaze every year. Now we’ll pick up some water from the Volga - there is a vibrio. There are no epidemics. Well, take measures?
                        On the crown - KA-RAS-TIN. That’s all. And they are being undertaken. Quarantine whom? Risk groups - flown from Italy, for example, or places of compact residence, for example, Chinese. All. How does this compare with other hysteria? No way. A purely political project, and a golem, designed for a fool. For children
                      5. Doctor
                        Doctor 16 March 2020 18: 18
                        -1
                        On the crown - KA-RAS-TIN. That’s all.

                        What about prevention? Something that boosts immunity, some antiviral drugs, antibiotics for complications.
                        Again, if quarantined, you have to eat something. Does it make sense to buy for three weeks? Or for three months?
                        Further economy. Do you need to withdraw money from cards or is everything reliable? And if removed, then in what currency to store?
                      6. Cowbra
                        Cowbra 16 March 2020 18: 22
                        +1
                        Virus. There the mechanism of the course of the disease is different. Bracing something? So these are not pills. There are real recommendations - the rules of personal hygiene and a healthy lifestyle. They will put us in quarantine - they will feed them. Even at home.
                        And the rest - you can dig a bunker in the forest, and close it - it will help
            2. bondrostov
              bondrostov 16 March 2020 23: 44
              0
              The old men are mowing a straight pension gift. To the Fund.
              1. Cowbra
                Cowbra 16 March 2020 23: 58
                +1
                Yes, I am in courses, liberot delighted:
              2. bondrostov
                bondrostov 17 March 2020 00: 17
                +2
                Great ... what to say. Only in our country half of the young people live off the pensions of the elderly. And so it is clear the old people are a ballast ... as there in Africa "when we have hunger we take the old woman and hold her over the smoke of the fire, and then, well, do not waste the good. wassat wassat
          2. Ka-52
            Ka-52 18 March 2020 05: 28
            0
            Cowbra March 16, 2020
            I substantiate:

            in Italy, the same "clever men" justified, and now even by the localization of foci they cannot stop the epidemic. Your stupidity reminds you of smokers on a barrel of gunpowder and giving 101 arguments in favor of the fact that it won't explode. If you are not smart enough to simply accept the danger of this epidemic, which is understood by thousands of qualified doctors, then you do not need to arrange a rally out of your hat and indifference. I think your oratorical ability will begin to fade at the moment when the problem touches you personally and your loved ones.
    2. dirk182
      dirk182 16 March 2020 08: 27
      +3
      laughing I’m only from the hospital, after the operation. I can say with confidence) that I didn’t see patients with coronavirus and I didn’t hear any rumors that I would not bring the true scale)
      1. YOUR
        YOUR 16 March 2020 10: 05
        +1
        In which department were they lying? In the infectious?
      2. Doctor
        Doctor 16 March 2020 18: 13
        +1
        I’m only from the hospital, after the operation. I can say with confidence) that I did not see patients with coronavirus

        So in Italian hospitals a month ago they were not seen either.
  • svp67
    svp67 16 March 2020 07: 12
    +5
    Quote: YOUR
    Maybe you think that Sobyanin is an alarmist if an infectious diseases hospital is being erected in Moscow at an accelerated pace and an impressive 43 hectares have been allocated for it.

    This is just fine. As well as the fact that the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation is hastily rebuilding previously reduced medical special forces in each military district
    1. YOUR
      YOUR 16 March 2020 07: 42
      -2
      Looked carefully. Commercial video no more. Nothing concrete has been said.
      Suppose they began to form medical units. This is not a motorized rifle division to form. Very specific specialties will be required. To say we do is not to do. Objective reasons will hinder.
      Well, if you paid attention to the last phrases of this advertisement - UNTIL THE AUTHORITY IS SILENT ....
      An advertisement because almost 10 minutes about China how to cope there, about Europe how to cope there and about Russia as we again get up off our knees and come out updated. Well, etc. according to the text. Another thing I heard in the video. In China, the country's leadership constantly communicated with the people, in Europe the Pope spoke out publicly there too. We do not consider it necessary to do this, from the word always and completely.
      1. svp67
        svp67 16 March 2020 07: 58
        +6
        Quote: YOUR
        Suppose they began to form medical units.

        This is no longer permissible, but being done ... The creation of such units for Shoigu is already a common thing, but at some point they were temporary units created on the basis of district medical services, now they are full-fledged military units.
        1. YOUR
          YOUR 16 March 2020 08: 24
          -1
          You apparently did not read my comment immediately began to respond. I repeat
          Quote: YOUR
          This is not a motorized rifle division to form. Very specific specialties will be required. To say we do is not to do. Objective reasons will hinder.

          Objective reasons are the lack of qualified military doctors or non-military ones, but those called up with relevant work experience.
          They simply do not exist and more than one year will pass by.
          1. svp67
            svp67 16 March 2020 09: 39
            +5
            Quote: YOUR
            lack of qualified military doctors

            You know, now to create such squads they will find and collect everyone ... even at the expense of hospitals, as was done before when creating such temporary squads
            1. Simple
              Simple 16 March 2020 19: 11
              0
              And you will get a combined hodgepodge, which while "getting used to" this special service of a physician - resuscitator - a lot of lives will go away.
        2. dirk182
          dirk182 16 March 2020 08: 30
          0
          so units or units?
          1. svp67
            svp67 16 March 2020 09: 37
            0
            Quote: dirk182
            so units or units?

            Not a professional question. A separate honey detachment is its open name, but the military unit number ...... only, this is for "outsiders"
            1. dirk182
              dirk182 16 March 2020 09: 39
              0
              I didn’t encounter such units at the service, so I asked ...
              1. svp67
                svp67 16 March 2020 09: 40
                +1
                Quote: dirk182
                I didn’t come across such units-units in the service,

                And thank God ... not to collide further.
              2. dirk182
                dirk182 16 March 2020 09: 42
                +1
                Separate Medical Unit
                (OMO)
                mobile field medical evacuation institution designed to evacuate affected and sick from medical units of military units and foci of mass destruction, provide them with qualified medical care and prepare for evacuation to the medical facilities of the hospital base. OMO consists of management, medical diagnostic departments, a pharmacy, a platoon of material support and support units.
                A separate medical detachment can replace a separate medical battalion (omedb) during its reloading, loss of working capacity or moving to a new deployment area, and also be used in the rear of the troops when outbreaks of mass destruction occur.

                Found it myself. You, apparently, are also not particularly in the know
              3. svp67
                svp67 16 March 2020 09: 49
                0
                Quote: dirk182
                Found it myself. You, apparently, are also not particularly in the know

                And what does it say about a separate medical unit for special purposes? Although, in principle, his main tasks are the same. And what, in my story, does not match your "findings"?
              4. dirk182
                dirk182 16 March 2020 09: 50
                0
                I just do not like it when they pose as very smart and answer the question in the style: "and you better not know"
              5. svp67
                svp67 16 March 2020 09: 52
                -1
                Quote: dirk182
                I just do not like it when they pose as very smart and answer the question in the style: "and you better not know"

                And ... that is, since childhood, you are accustomed to "chew and put everything in your mouth" ... Well, excuse me, I'm somehow not on this part
              6. dirk182
                dirk182 16 March 2020 11: 40
                0
                And ... that is, since childhood, you are accustomed to having everything "chewed and put in your mouth" ..
                You were just asked a question. I understood everything, I won’t ask you more questions personally. Moreover, there are no intelligible answers from you.
              7. svp67
                svp67 16 March 2020 13: 06
                0
                Quote: dirk182
                Moreover, there are no clear answers from you

                And you have a good day and do not get sick ...
              8. The comment was deleted.
  • YOUR
    YOUR 16 March 2020 07: 49
    +4
    I'll add more. In the US, Trump also appealed to the people. He personally explained and announced why and why he announced quarantine. He also announced tax holidays for three months. You can imagine this with us. In addition to helping billionaires affected by the imposition of sanctions, I can’t remember anything.
    I live in the Amur region. Just bitter and funny from this so-called quarantine. Cars went to China for food as they drove and continue to drive, traffic weakened a little. And the regional government suddenly became concerned about the financial condition of some (!!!!!!!!!) tours. firms. They were allocated round sums from the budget in connection with financial losses from the refusal of citizens to travel to the infected areas of China. Fool the wording.
    That's it.
  • mole
    mole 16 March 2020 07: 56
    +1
    It is officials who are always in control. Nirazu did not hear a statement from them that the situation was out of control. AVOS does not solve the problem. If we assume that the virus poses a real threat and contrasts the available forces and means of our health care, then, in my subjective perception of objective reality, only Moscow and several other large cities are able to conduct quarantine measures. The rest is how it goes.
    1. YOUR
      YOUR 16 March 2020 09: 49
      0
      Just got a message. Closed the border with Belarus. Everything's under control. How to guess guess yourself.
  • dirk182
    dirk182 16 March 2020 08: 24
    +2
    That's right! As one infectious disease specialist in Moscow said, "50% of information on coronavirus is pure panic." How many we have already survived all these viruses, flu: swine, avian, SARS, etc. Maybe then it is worth announcing how many people walk the streets with an open form of tuberculosis or the number of AIDS patients? Then for sure the whole country is quarantined. I am not a doctor, but I suspect the coincidence of the beginning of the pandemic and the financial crisis.
  • NEXUS
    NEXUS 16 March 2020 13: 49
    -2
    Quote: Cowbra
    Panic always killed more

    Not panic, but human idiocy and indifference.
  • gohomeyanki
    gohomeyanki 16 March 2020 14: 31
    -1
    hmm, well, laugh at the one who bought the toilet paper, you can, but !! he has it, but you won’t have it, because there’s nowhere to buy it. In my opinion, in this case, you can laugh at YOU)

    INFLUENCES the economy, and very much: changes in people's behavior, quarantine measures (for example, entertainment venues, tourism in the EU are closed, movements are limited, these are huge losses for airlines / railway / cars).

    And your calculation below is also not true, you do not take into account that these are numbers in%, I think you have a bad math, 3% is a bare figure, survivors, not the fact that having passed the virus will remain healthy.
    and 3% is at the maximum level of medicine, the Chinese threw all their strength.

    But even 3% of Russia's 150 million, is 7,5 million lives. So THIS virus is serious. WORLD SHOCKS, AWESOME. As they say, God forbid you live in an era of change ..... but such an era has apparently come.
    1. Mikhail m
      Mikhail m 16 March 2020 19: 43
      -1
      Quote: gohomeyanki
      But even 3% of Russia's 150 million, is 7,5 million lives.

      I am embarrassed to recall 3% of patients, and not of the population. As they say in Odessa, these are two big differences. You shouldn’t catch fog in clear weather, we are already in a panic.
      Well, about toilet paper. Her story is much smaller than the history of mankind.
      1. gohomeyanki
        gohomeyanki 17 March 2020 00: 35
        -1
        so feel free to yourself, obviously the calculation is super mega simplified and it is obvious to everyone. And he only proves that the threat should be taken seriously.
        And no one knows the real indicator of the sick in the FUTURE, don't make yourself a PROPHET

        well, you missed the toilet paper too)

        ps
        and panic is not worth it. Really NEED TO: to purchase paper and other necessities, you need to month, two. so you don’t run around and look for this same paper, which is smaller (POSSIBLE less)than the history of mankind.

        If there is an opportunity to buy for a year and close in the bunker during the crisis, then ... is also an option, but it is simply not available to many, here many from ZP to ZP survive and can’t afford any purchases even for a month, here and rage.
      2. Ka-52
        Ka-52 18 March 2020 09: 11
        -1
        I am embarrassed to recall 3% of patients, and not of the population.

        better and continue to be shy. Because the figures are obtained from the account, and not from their empty repost. So we take 140 million population of the Russian Federation. We multiply by 000 (it can potentially become infected) = 000 million people. That is, in the absence of countermeasures, the number of infected Russian citizens is almost 0,7 million! And from here, already by means of a statistical mortality of 98% we get almost 000 potential corpses - two of Novosibirsk as a whole. And the deaths are quite fleeting. Not frail statistics for your Odessa!
        For empty calls, you still need to personally bring information - the coronovirus is treated with a fairly high probability only with timely medical measures. What with a large-scale epidemic will not happen. There will be no places in the clinics, there will not be enough doctors, there will not be enough medicine. With a serious overload of the healthcare system, the rescue of drowning people will be entrusted to the drowning people themselves. So mortality within 3% may still seem an achievement, not a problem.
  • Paul Siebert
    Paul Siebert 17 March 2020 18: 23
    +1
    “Barrymore, what's the howl in the swamps?”
    “People are buying toilet paper, sir!”
    - What are you so afraid of the coronavirus?
    - No, just the oatmeal wasn’t very good, sir ... laughing
  • Horon
    Horon 16 March 2020 09: 07
    +3
    You risk your health by always entering a closed room full of people, getting into public transport, going to work, etc. Something I do not see a large number of people wishing to leave the city and retire from civilization. It remains only to introduce a fashion for wearing spacesuits.
  • Finches
    Finches 16 March 2020 05: 48
    +8
    In my garage for a very long time, L-1 protection suits and a pair of gas masks have been hanging around idle ... All hands did not reach to throw out! And now come in handy ... laughing
    1. Aerodrome
      Aerodrome 16 March 2020 06: 02
      0
      Quote: Finches
      In my garage for a very long time, L-1 protection suits and a pair of gas masks have been hanging around idle ... All hands did not reach to throw out! And now come in handy ... laughing

      the suit is also lying in the garage ... and also the garlic knit ... vigorous! how interesting is COVID-19, is it related to garlic?
      1. Finches
        Finches 16 March 2020 06: 09
        +7
        Garlic without vodka - money down the drain! laughing
        1. Aerodrome
          Aerodrome 16 March 2020 06: 18
          +2
          Quote: Finches
          Garlic without vodka - money down the drain! laughing

          there’s nothing to even object, the argument is reinforced concrete! yes
          1. Finches
            Finches 16 March 2020 12: 43
            +1
            Why argue - pour yes drink and ... have a bite! Health to all of us - We will endure this trouble!
          2. Moon
            Moon 16 March 2020 13: 14
            -1
            Quote: Aerodrome
            there’s nothing to argue, the argument is reinforced concrete

            and if I am a non-drinker, then "then you are kapets" (Pavel Volya about the Filipino nanny)
        2. novel66
          novel66 16 March 2020 07: 42
          +6
          I think vodka without garlic is a strong argument in a dispute with coronovirus ... although ... lard, onion and garlic will clearly only improve the situation
          1. Finches
            Finches 16 March 2020 12: 44
            +1
            If it is also fat with onions, then one or even two will not be enough ... laughing
      2. svp67
        svp67 16 March 2020 08: 01
        +2
        Quote: Finches
        And now come in handy ...

        Quote: Aerodrome
        and also garlic knitted ... vigorous!

        Quote: Finches
        Garlic without vodka - money down the drain!

        It has already been proven that the best means for cleaning any surface from coronavirus, that is, disinfection, is ethyl alcohol, at least 80% ..., in short, "awl"
        1. Finches
          Finches 16 March 2020 12: 45
          +2
          I confirm as a signalman good
      3. dirk182
        dirk182 16 March 2020 08: 32
        0
        no way! garlic and vodka do not affect it in any way
        1. Finches
          Finches 16 March 2020 12: 43
          +2
          Hazers went on the attack? laughing
      4. Simple
        Simple 16 March 2020 19: 24
        +1
        Quote: Aerodrome
        how interesting is COVID-19, is it related to garlic?


        I don’t know how a virus is, but people will definitely not approach you.
    2. The comment was deleted.
    3. Simple
      Simple 16 March 2020 19: 22
      0
      Quote: Finches
      In my garage for a very long time, L-1 protection suits and a pair of gas masks have been hanging around idle ... All hands did not reach to throw out! And now come in handy ... laughing

      One set for the whole family? wassat

      And nowhere, why didn’t think about it?
  • Li17
    Li17 16 March 2020 05: 30
    +3
    Finally, a real substantiated article! Thanks to the author!
  • sen
    sen 16 March 2020 05: 32
    +1
    Chinese scientists studied the distribution of coronavirus in different countries and came to the conclusion that the optimal conditions for the transmission of this pathogen are a temperature of 5 to 8,72 degrees Celsius and a humidity of 35-50%.
    https://iz.ru/986307/2020-03-12/uchenye-vyiasnili-optimalnuiu-temperatura-dlia-peredachi-koronavirusa
    1. YOUR
      YOUR 16 March 2020 06: 35
      +1
      After your comment, a specialist climbed into the gismeteo.
      In Wuhan, at night + 14-19, during the day +19 -25. Very wet. It rains almost daily.
      In Milan, from +3 night to + 17 in the afternoon. Very wet. Rains.
      Pointed out the minimum and maximum temperatures, and so of course chatters
  • Mikhail m
    Mikhail m 16 March 2020 06: 27
    +4
    Something we are not being told about this infection. There is a lot of noise and measures inadequate to the danger of the disease. Enough to put next to the statistics of deaths from influenza and coronovirus.
    1. Loess
      Loess 16 March 2020 08: 09
      +1
      Quote: Mikhail M
      There is a lot of noise and measures inadequate to the danger of the disease.

      Yes, at this time of the year, influenza quarantine is common, and then one overlaps the other, the authorities are reinsured to the best of their ability, the population is worried. In principle, everything is logical.
      The shortage (or rather the complete absence of masks in pharmacies) is annoying, but as they said yesterday, the plant was idle in February due to shortages of some substance for them from China, but now it has switched to domestic suppliers and is working in two shifts.
      I would also close the entry borders for foreigners. But who will listen to me)
  • Dimy4
    Dimy4 16 March 2020 06: 34
    +1
    According to a friend in Kostroma, all the masks in pharmacies were dared, says nowhere. Or, as an option, they hid it to make the price go up.
    1. svp67
      svp67 16 March 2020 07: 16
      0
      Quote: Dimy4
      Or, as an option, they hid it to make the price go up.

      Everything is simpler and sadder, the previously available stocks were collected and sent to China and the USA, since they paid with a very "hard coin" for them and this is not only our trouble, in European countries the same problems, many of them were forced to close the border for their medical products.
      1. novel66
        novel66 16 March 2020 07: 43
        +6
        and in the Soviet school they taught to make cotton-gauze dressings!
  • Valery Valery
    Valery Valery 16 March 2020 06: 40
    +1
    Respect to the author !!!
    The temporary problems of the economy and the shortfall in profits by the capitalist oligarchs are nothing compared to the deaths of thousands of people.
    1. Moon
      Moon 16 March 2020 13: 18
      -1
      Quote: Valery Valery
      shortfall in profit by capitalist oligarchs -

      If you look at the statistics, the richest people on the planet have become very poor recently because of the economic consequences of the virus.
      Any situation that somehow affects the recession of the global economy is clearly not in the interests of the capitalists. They depend on the global economy.
  • parusnik
    parusnik 16 March 2020 07: 09
    +2
    [b
    ] So far, no serious action has been taken by the government.
    [/b.BIZ....ou already ... just announced on the radio ... The government has created a Committee to Combat Coronovirus ..
    1. novel66
      novel66 16 March 2020 07: 44
      +5
      here he (the virus) and tryndets!
  • Honest Citizen
    Honest Citizen 16 March 2020 07: 27
    -6
    Author...
    If at the state level it is necessary to abolish the whole mass meeting, then maybe amendments to the Constitution too?
    Or do you understand such events, are you not in power? If so, then who is the power? Caring for the country and people, or a cold-blooded killer?
    1. Shopping Mall
      16 March 2020 08: 04
      +2
      Quote: Honest Citizen
      Author...
      If at the state level it is necessary to abolish the whole mass meeting, then maybe amendments to the Constitution too?
      Or do you understand such events, are you not in power? If so, then who is the power? Caring for the country and people, or a cold-blooded killer?


      I think the amendments to the Constitution are now like a sacred cow, will it be "cut" because of some kind of virus? But even if not, then in this case everything can be done according to the mind - put air purifiers at the vote, give respirators and an antiseptic solution for hands for free - by the way, all this has already disappeared from sale.
      1. Honest Citizen
        Honest Citizen 16 March 2020 08: 11
        -10 qualifying.
        I'm just shocked by the flight of your thoughts. If it is announced in large regional centers that it is advisable for children to stay at home and not attend kindergartens and schools - what does this mean?
        Well, yes, and here, distribute antiseptics, masks.
        You either remove the cross or ...
        In short, it is clear. Conduct voting, ban protests ...
        If there was no coronovirus, it should have been invented. He is extremely beneficial to the authorities precisely in this perspective.
        PySy. And if still rumors are truethat mostly elderly people die from him, then the power in general is in chocolate. He will also reduce retirees. Cannibals.
        1. Mestny
          Mestny 16 March 2020 09: 14
          +5
          And you go to mass rallies. If the government forbids mass events, then you are out of spite.
          1. Honest Citizen
            Honest Citizen 16 March 2020 13: 19
            -3
            Oh my god ... But voting is not a mass event? Do you at least listen to yourself.
            1. Tank hard
              Tank hard 16 March 2020 21: 23
              0
              Quote: Honest Citizen
              Oh my God..

              What is the matter with you? You are not a believer ... laughing
          2. Tank hard
            Tank hard 16 March 2020 21: 25
            +1
            Quote: Mestny
            And you go to mass rallies. If the government forbids mass events, then you are out of spite.

            In a gauze bandage and always of its own manufacture, and with a poster - "Oligarchs, I won't buy anything from you!" laughing
            1. Honest Citizen
              Honest Citizen 16 March 2020 23: 08
              -5
              Quote: Tank Hard
              In a gauze bandage and always of its own manufacture, and with a poster - "Oligarchs, I won't buy anything from you!"

              Well, after you graduated from the Putin-Petrosyan course, I did not expect anything else. Gather an audience, especially fans of channel 1.
              1. Tank hard
                Tank hard 16 March 2020 23: 17
                +1
                Quote: Honest Citizen
                Well, after you graduated from the Putin-Petrosyan course, I did not expect anything else. Gather an audience, especially fans of channel 1

                Well, yes, I am a well-known "zaputinets" and oligarch. laughing
                1. Honest Citizen
                  Honest Citizen 16 March 2020 23: 23
                  -4
                  Quote: Tank Hard
                  Well, yes, I am a well-known "zaputinets" and oligarch.

                  Like "decided to pin up"? Nu-nu.
                  I would laugh with you, but here's something ... "but something, something, something is wrong, and it is not clear what) (c)
                  Ready to explain?
                  Only the nonsense of the elderly, Putin himself and other nightingales with jelly - do not bring
                  1. Tank hard
                    Tank hard 16 March 2020 23: 27
                    +2
                    Quote: Honest Citizen
                    Ready to explain?

                    Stop sowing panic. Crying and crying here on all branches. For a 50-year-old uncle from a metallurgical plant - not comme il faut. wink
                    1. Honest Citizen
                      Honest Citizen 16 March 2020 23: 35
                      -5
                      You first answer the questions you were asked, if you got into the dialogue, answer, and then ask yours.
                      Let me remind you, otherwise you suddenly forgot ..
                      I'm just shocked by the flight of your thoughts. If it is announced in large regional centers that it is advisable for children to stay at home and not attend kindergartens and schools - what does this mean?
                      Well, yes, and here, distribute antiseptics, masks.
                      You either remove the cross or ...
                      In short, it is clear. Voting

                      Is voting a mass event?
                      That would be absolutely easy for you ...
                      Consider the time factor. at least according to the answers.
                      About two months later - I will throw you a link to your answer. Write to me in the same period as your wealth has grown. Although yes, if you serve EP and ideally more so with them, it will grow.
        2. ghby
          ghby 16 March 2020 11: 04
          +1
          Quote: Honest Citizen
          If it is announced in large regional centers that it is advisable for children to stay at home and not attend kindergartens and schools - what does this mean?

          in which large? I live in a millionaire, a child goes to kindergarten, a month ago I was quarantined according to Orvi, but every year, nothing was announced.
          1. Honest Citizen
            Honest Citizen 16 March 2020 13: 19
            -3
            Yesterday, on the news channels, there was infa, that if possible, leave the children at home. Officially not announced, everything is in order recommendations. You carefully read the initial post.
          2. Honest Citizen
            Honest Citizen 16 March 2020 23: 26
            -5
            SUDDENLY...
            Sobyanin announced the closure of Moscow schools on March 21 ...
            Where do you live there?
            Comrade, make it easier - admit that you are a liar.
      2. Liam
        Liam 16 March 2020 08: 36
        0
        The first balanced and rational article on the site on this topic.
        Do you have infa how many (at least approximately) are there places in Russia and in the regions of places with mechanical ventilation in intensive-care units?
        1. Nastia makarova
          Nastia makarova 16 March 2020 12: 40
          0
          1-2 per 10 thousand inhabitants
      3. YOUR
        YOUR 16 March 2020 09: 51
        0
        Applause. really liked the wording about the sacred cow.
      4. dirk182
        dirk182 16 March 2020 19: 13
        -1
        the news has arrived, Putin will address the nation, voting will be postponed until June 12
  • shubin
    shubin 16 March 2020 07: 45
    0
    It’s sinful to joke about such a topic, but it seems to be pension reform 2, judging by the selectivity of the virus.
    1. Mestny
      Mestny 16 March 2020 09: 15
      0
      Is it true that here our oligarchs also specially invented everything?
    2. dirk182
      dirk182 16 March 2020 19: 15
      -1
      this is what confuses most of all .. it feels like this "development" was tuned to a certain age group and released to test
  • Mikhail Drabkin
    Mikhail Drabkin 16 March 2020 07: 46
    +2
    Thanks for the cold-blooded (sangfroid) analysis and recommendations!
    Author +++
  • Baloo
    Baloo 16 March 2020 07: 51
    +1
    Respect for the author hi
  • Barmaleyka
    Barmaleyka 16 March 2020 08: 08
    +2
    If you count mortality on the number of cases:

    (number of deaths / (number of deaths + number of sick)) x 100% = (4 641 / (4 641 + 128 343)) x 100% = 3,5%,
    incorrect calculation of mortality, such a calculation will be true only if the percentage of mortality after the end of the epidemic during the spread of the disease is calculated, it is necessary to take not the total number of cases but the number of cases on the day of infection of the last deceased
    1. Shopping Mall
      16 March 2020 10: 10
      0
      Quote: Barmaleyka
      If you count mortality on the number of cases:

      (number of deaths / (number of deaths + number of sick)) x 100% = (4 641 / (4 641 + 128 343)) x 100% = 3,5%,
      incorrect calculation of mortality, such a calculation will be true only if the percentage of mortality after the end of the epidemic during the spread of the disease is calculated, it is necessary to take not the total number of cases but the number of cases on the day of infection of the last deceased


      I agree, therefore, it is indicated that data on the PRC correlate best, where the epidemic, if not over, seems to be stabilized.
  • Cowbra
    Cowbra 16 March 2020 08: 30
    +3
    So far, the only explanatory article on the topic that came across:
    https://ria.ru/20200316/1568634582.html
    The Chinese social network (and messenger) WeChat back in January warned of blocking for sending fake rumors, and also recalled the criminal liability for disseminating knowingly false information that violates public order. Well, the West now, of course, is once again outraged that China severely censored the media space.

    Let me remind you that in China, that’s all, the coronovirus has actually ended. 84% have recovered already - the epidemic is defeated. And there she was. Here - no. Actually, on this - everything, in the bulk - pleasant jumps
  • Octopus
    Octopus 16 March 2020 08: 46
    +4
    It’s good that they write on this topic. It’s bad that it looks like an advertisement for air purifiers.

    If anyone wants to live, go to the WHO website

    https://www.who.int/ru/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/advice-for-public

    And reads security measures. With influenza and SARS, by the way, they are similar.

    Fanaticism about respirators is a good thing, but not paramount. Stop touching your face (a medical mask protects primarily from your own hands, and not from airborne infection), wash your hands, wipe electronic devices with an alcohol wipe when you come from the street.

    According to Kovid separately, it should be borne in mind that it is practically safe for children, but extremely dangerous for the elderly. Therefore, we are doing everything possible to ensure that elderly people close to you sit at home. If you live in the same city - provide them with products yourself. TV is bad, but to hell with it.

    The actions of the native party and government are a separate heavy topic. Kissing something there the other day in St. Petersburg makes a lasting impression. A plebiscite is also extremely in topic.
    1. Liam
      Liam 16 March 2020 08: 58
      0
      Quote: Octopus
      Poorly

      There is no good without a bad)
      Quote: Octopus
      wipe

      If possible, wipe everything bought in stores, etc. It is highly likely that they were touched by someone else's hands. The virus survives on surfaces for up to 10-12 hours. Keep a distance (where possible) of 1,5 meters from other people
  • Glory1974
    Glory1974 16 March 2020 08: 54
    +1
    prosecute for speculative trading at repeatedly inflated prices of PPE, medicines and other necessities;

    Speculation remained in the Soviet past. Now it is a business based on market relations. There was a demand - prices soared. Supply begins to increase, the market is saturated - prices are falling.
    Sometimes it looks cannibalistic, but who said that capitalism is for the good of man? The invisible hand of the market puts everything in its place, I don’t remember who said either Chubais or Gaidar.
    1. Shopping Mall
      16 March 2020 10: 13
      0
      Quote: glory1974
      prosecute for speculative trading at repeatedly inflated prices of PPE, medicines and other necessities;

      Speculation remained in the Soviet past. Now it is a business based on market relations. There was a demand - prices soared. Supply begins to increase, the market is saturated - prices are falling.
      Sometimes it looks cannibalistic, but who said that capitalism is for the good of man? The invisible hand of the market puts everything in its place, I don’t remember who said either Chubais or Gaidar.


      There are still extraordinary circumstances, and they can also be punished for conspiracy, for this there is the FAS.

      And as for medicines - anyone can’t sell them like that, only special points. Those. if an individual redeems and starts trading at exorbitant prices, then this is quite a crime for himself.

      And there is no pure capitalism anywhere on the planet - a continuous squabble, undercover squabbles, lobbying of their producers, etc.
  • Keyser soze
    Keyser soze 16 March 2020 09: 42
    +1
    Well .... Europe is all closed. All borders and flights. Inside, Bulgaria is also all closed and the entire power switched to remote work (where possible). There is almost no living person on the street. Only food shops, pharmacies, gas stations and banks are open.

    Brussels released € 37 billion yesterday to fight the virus. We got 1,4 billion and the government will send money to help small and medium-sized businesses and will also help companies in paying workers' salaries (60% of the salary). But recessions in Europe can no longer be avoided.
    1. Moon
      Moon 16 March 2020 13: 21
      -1
      Quote: Keyser Soze
      There is almost no living person on the street. Only food shops, pharmacies, gas stations and banks are open.

      similarly, all were closed, except as listed. But the streets are full of people. And the work did not stop.
  • sevtrash
    sevtrash 16 March 2020 10: 28
    0
    The essence of the problem is that a lot of elderly people will die. How much depends on the organization of quarantine measures. More sick - more will die. The numbers will be larger than in China because either constant oxygen or an artificial respiration apparatus will be required. And they will not be enough for everyone, most likely, this is expensive equipment and before this epidemic in large quantities was not needed. In a matter of days, China was able to create a dozen or more even new hospitals in Wuhan, equip them, drive service personnel, and most importantly, they interrupted the spread of the virus, at least massive. Total control, identification and tracking of contacts - when using AI and 5G to everything else. The United States may be so, Britain, Germany. As if the tragedy is not too big for the state - there are already too many pensioners, the costs are big, especially since the able-bodied and the future - the children - are almost not affected. But the impact on the reputation of the authorities in the mass death of the elderly, of course, will be. Both inside and out.
  • Evgenijus
    Evgenijus 16 March 2020 10: 41
    0
    Since March 16, a national quarantine regime has been established in Lithuania, which provides for the following measures:
    1. Foreigners are prohibited from entering the country, with the exception of persons who ensure the delivery of necessary goods to Lithuania, crew members, family members of Lithuanian citizens, persons who have the right to reside and work in Lithuania, diplomats, representatives of NATO military missions. A humanitarian corridor will be temporarily provided to citizens of Latvia and Estonia for returning home.
    2. The number of border crossing points through which it will be possible to enter Lithuania will be reduced.
    3. Citizens of Lithuania are prohibited from traveling to the countries affected by the coronavirus by all means of transport. It also considers the possibility of prohibiting travel abroad for non-work purposes.
    4. It is forbidden to trade in stores, with the exception of food stores, pharmacies, specialized veterinary pharmacies, markets selling food products.
    5. The activity of cafes and bars is prohibited, with the exception of takeaway services.
    6. All activities, both indoors and outdoors, are prohibited.
    7. Cruise liners are not allowed in the port of Klaipeda.
    8. Public administration institutions are prohibited from providing optional services.
    9. It is forbidden to visit patients in medical institutions, as well as prisoners in places of detention.
    10. It is forbidden to provide SPA services, rehabilitation, if they are not related to treatment, the activities of hairdressers and beauty salons are prohibited.
    11. The number of passengers on intercity buses and trains is limited in order to maintain the distance between passengers. It is recommended to apply this with respect to urban transport.
    12. Hotels, if necessary, will have to let people in quarantine, the state will pay for it.
    13. Educational institutions remain closed.
    14. In medical institutions, planned operations are postponed, with the exception of necessary medical care, rehabilitation services, odontology, and routine vaccinations are withdrawn.
    15. In both the public and private sectors, workers are encouraged to work from home.

    For failure to comply with all these obligations faces administrative and criminal liability
  • Zoer
    Zoer 16 March 2020 10: 51
    0
    Quote: Cowbra
    No. 1: Hype in the media, multiplied by the total conviction that Uncle Vasya from social networks knows more about coronovirus than a trained specialist ...

    Well, yes ... hype ... On this hype, equipment and conditional access control systems are quarantined. Bliss further.
  • A. Privalov
    A. Privalov 16 March 2020 10: 59
    +1
    Everything is before the virus - smart and stupid and rich and poor ...
    The long-nosed ones are no better at opposing him than those with a nose of potatoes. Bald and curly, red and blond with brunettes, just like the brown-haired, everything is under threat. It is equally dangerous for Vanya and John, for Franz and Abrasha, for Roberto and Abdullah.
    This is true equality and brotherhood!
    For it is said: "Before me, all are equal ..." (c)

    Judging by world experience, for the time being, one can only be protected by avoiding unnecessary contacts and observing intensely personal hygiene. In other words, we wash ourselves well and do not climb without the need for a crowd.
    I sincerely wish everyone all the best! hi
    Learn more here:
    https://covid19info.live/ru/
    1. sevtrash
      sevtrash 16 March 2020 17: 33
      0
      Quote: A. Privalov
      This is true equality and brotherhood!
      For it is said: "Before me all are equal ..."

      The rich will buy oxygen and a ventilator, in developed and / or rich countries they will be able to provide most of the population with adequate assistance. Equality is a myth, everyone will die, but from different things and in different ways, it depends on the amount of money and the country of residence.
    2. Tank hard
      Tank hard 16 March 2020 21: 12
      +2
      Quote: A. Privalov
      Judging by world experience, for the time being, one can only be protected by avoiding unnecessary contacts and observing intensely personal hygiene. In other words, we wash well and do not climb without the need for a crowd

      The most sold item in the world is reportedly toilet paper. Reason: one sneezed - seven managed it ... laughing
  • Whisper
    Whisper 16 March 2020 11: 30
    -1
    The question is not that there are many sick people, but that there is nowhere to put people in tens of thousands of quarantines. And do not quarantine these thousands. And this is already threatening an epidemic.
    1. Tank hard
      Tank hard 16 March 2020 21: 14
      +1
      Quote: Sheptun
      nowhere to put people in tens of thousands

      What is already in Moscow ?! laughing
      1. Whisper
        Whisper 17 March 2020 02: 33
        0
        15000 quarantined people were in Russia today. So for understanding.
        1. Tank hard
          Tank hard 17 March 2020 07: 59
          0
          Quote: Sheptun
          15000 quarantined people were in Russia today. So for understanding

          It is advisable to link to sources, for understanding ... repeat
  • Whisper
    Whisper 16 March 2020 11: 49
    0
    The article is excellent, but noticed a typo in Italy
    in Italy: (827 / (847 + 12 462)) x 100% = 6,2%;
    1. Moon
      Moon 16 March 2020 13: 22
      0
      Quote: Sheptun
      The article is excellent, but noticed a typo in Italy
      in Italy: (827 / (847 + 12 462)) x 100% = 6,2%;

      It is necessary to draw the attention of the author that Italy honestly checks for the virus even the dead (which others do not)
      From that, the statistics in Italy are the worst.
  • silverura
    silverura 16 March 2020 12: 41
    +1
    Quote: Cowbra
    So - he doesn’t affect NIHRENA, there isn’t even an epidemic in the country, and there are some measures that are banal and well-known to prevent it.

    None of the living lived in a pandemic of the disease, which is easily transmitted by airborne droplets.
    This means that you will laugh exactly until the first corpse is taken out of your house. And they will certainly bear it if you continue to laugh.
    But you will continue to laugh, because none of you lived in a pandemic of a disease that is easily transmitted by airborne droplets.

    It will not be Spanish, but up to 100 million of the world's population may well die.

    I remembered a joke, since there was yesterday a humor.
    Quote:
    In a year you will be smiling with a smile back to all this movement with the virus. Well, not all of you, of course.
    1. sevtrash
      sevtrash 16 March 2020 17: 36
      0
      Quote: silverura
      In a year you will be smiling with a smile back to all this movement with the virus. Well, not all of you, of course.

      Until the next arrival of another virus. Or an asteroid. Or something else. The universe is not eternal, what about man.
  • gohomeyanki
    gohomeyanki 16 March 2020 14: 39
    +1
    Useful article, good recommendations.

    It’s fortunate that the virus manifests itself in two weeks, having bought goods for a month or two, you can wait out the infection, because the localization of the threat will pass in a + -month.
  • WayKheThuo
    WayKheThuo 16 March 2020 15: 09
    +1
    A beautiful, balanced article.
    Thanks, Author.
  • A. Privalov
    A. Privalov 16 March 2020 19: 48
    0
    Well, here is the first swallow. Today, the first participants in clinical trials of a vaccine to protect against coronavirus received an experimental dose.
    As noted, tests are conducted on 45 young, healthy volunteers at the Seattle-based Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute. The vaccine was developed by the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and Moderna Inc.
    However, according to health professionals, the full introduction of a potential vaccine requires 12 to 18 months. Source AP.
  • Tank hard
    Tank hard 16 March 2020 21: 10
    0
    Come on ... We watch the video carefully, a good version of what and why (IMHO) hi
    1. A. Privalov
      A. Privalov 16 March 2020 22: 48
      +1
      So you could reason about a month and a half ago. Ignorance or misunderstanding of what is happening. And today, when we look at the relatively small Italy where more than 350 people died per dayinfected with coronavirus, and the total number of deaths was more than 2,1 thousand, and this figure does not yet take into account the data from the region of Apulia and the province of Trento, where even the couple even knows what is happening, it doesn’t need to be reasoned differently.
      Now we understand that in Italy it was too late and the quarantine measures were not fully introduced.
      As a result, there more than three thousand new infections were detected per day.
      Now the total number of infected in Italy is more than 27,9 thousand.
      It is reported that such an increase - 13 percent per day - the smallest for all the time from the first day the patient was discovered in Italy.
      It all started on February 20. The first patient infected with coronavirus was found in northern Italy in the city of Codogno. Northern Region Lombardy ....

      And by this, I repeat: we take care to avoid unnecessary contacts as much as possible and observe intensely personal hygiene. In other words, we wash ourselves well and do not climb without the need for a crowd.
      I sincerely wish everyone all the best! hi

      1. Tank hard
        Tank hard 16 March 2020 23: 20
        +2
        Quote: A. Privalov
        Ignorance or misunderstanding of what is happening.

        Yeah, there is such an opinion ... wink
        1. A. Privalov
          A. Privalov 17 March 2020 08: 48
          0
          It is a sound and adequate opinion.
          By the way, in 59 in Moscow decisive actions of the authorities prevented the epidemic of smallpox.
          http://go.newsfusion.com/il_news_russian/item/10947084
  • Alexey G
    Alexey G 18 March 2020 23: 08
    +1
    Current article! Thanks to the author!
  • Dmitriyag
    Dmitriyag 22 March 2020 11: 57
    0
    Everything is very, very serious. Travelers from Italy and Spain have spread all over the country, infecting everyone. Why can't they be isolated at the place of arrival? We do not have these tests in our city, an ambulance will not come, a doctor will not come.