The future of Syria: a “buffer zone” from Turkey to Israel or a sovereign state


The shaky truce that has now been established in Idlib gives some time to think again: what does the country expect of, which Russia has been providing military assistance since 2015, in the future? One of the main problems in this case is that a number of countries neighboring the SAR consider Syria not as an independent state to be reckoned with, but as a kind of “chessboard” for playing their games, very far from the interests of the Syrian people.


Now everyone is hearing, naturally, Ankara’s desire to turn the north of the country into a kind of “buffer zone”, the purpose of which was officially announced by the Turkish leadership to “protect their own southern borders” from the danger posed by the armed formations of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK). No less important for the Turks is the prevention of a further flow of refugees flocking to their territory just from these parts.

It is worth remembering that at one time they hatched very specific plans for the occupation of a section of Syrian territory adjacent to their own border with a depth of 33 kilometers and a width of 110 kilometers to create the notorious "buffer zone" there, but in fact - their own bridgehead. Nowadays, the appetites have somewhat diminished, but Ankara continues to persuade the whole world that at least part of Idlib province is a zone of its “vital interests” and control over it is necessary for security both within Turkey itself and in order to prevent the expansion of the flow of migrants to Europe .

Jordan is also guided by about the same considerations, trying to do something similar, only not in the north, but in the south of Syria - in the provinces of Daraa and Suweida. Again, there is talk of “strengthening the border,” creating “humanitarian corridors” and refugee camps. However, the essence of the matter in this case also consists in the establishment of a completely incomprehensible “regime” on part of Syrian territory, the representatives of which will be the leaders of local groups, naturally, in no case will Damascus be friendly and led from the same Jordan.

Israel follows its own path, for which, against the backdrop of the occupation of the Golan Heights, the main point was and remains a comprehensive opposition to strengthening the position of its main geopolitical adversary, Iran, in the region. Well, and, of course, the eternal war with Hezbollah and its affiliated groups and movements. At the same time, the Israeli authorities are also striving to make every effort to prevent one of their main nightmares: the creation and strengthening of the "solid axis of Tehran-Damascus-Beirut." However, Israeli leaders are also difficult to call the direct enemies of Bashar al-Assad. Apparently, in Israel they still understand what kind of hell they will receive on their own borders if Syria again turns into a boiling cauldron of war and unrest.

Israel prefers in this case to act not by means of its usual annexations, given the fact that Damascus claims to the Golan Heights quite justified, but in a different way. Without even starting to talk about certain “humanitarian” or “buffer” zones near their borders, the Israelis follow the tactics of inflicting maximum damage to the Iranians on Syrian territory through continuous missile and bomb attacks. They do not send ground troops to the land of Syria, but from the air they attack practically everything they want.

Such a situation, of course, in no way can suit either the legitimate leader of Syria, Bashar al-Assad, nor the people of this already beyond any limits of a suffering country. What kind of sovereign state will this be, where almost every one of its neighbors will try to establish enclaves controlled by itself? How can an independent country be considered whose borders are turned into “buffer zones” in which foreign troops are hosted? There are few Americans seated in oil fields who are insolently stealing Syrian oil ...

Most world military experts today believe that having recovered from recent battles, the Syrian army will certainly continue the offensive, both with the goal of clearing its land from terrorist groups of various kinds, and to create the most uncomfortable conditions for staying on it for all those who support these gangs and directs. There is simply no other way. However, experts note that in fact, Russia was and remains the only guarantor of the territorial integrity of today's Syria.
Author:
Photos used:
Wikipedia / Buffer Zone in Northern Syria
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  1. rocket757 12 March 2020 12: 38 New
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    The shaky truce that has now been established in Idlib gives some time to think again: what awaits the country,

    it is necessary to restore peaceful life, to revive the economy ... to win YOUR rights in the international arena.
    1. Insurgent 12 March 2020 12: 43 New
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      Quote: rocket757
      The shaky truce that has now been established in Idlib gives some time to think again: what awaits the country,

      it is necessary to restore peaceful life, to revive the economy ... to win YOUR rights in the international arena.

      It already after restoration of control over the entire territory of the ATS, which is possible only with the help of the Russian Federation.
      1. rocket757 12 March 2020 13: 05 New
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        Quote: Insurgent
        This is after the restoration of control over the entire territory of the ATS

        It can happen and not straight, straight, tomorrow. All that I noted is the prospect of the liberation of territories. The more reliable the Syrian government will enter the international economic and political field, the easier it will be for them to push uninvited and invaders from their territory.
        Now with the "regime in Damascus" frankly do not stand on ceremony, many !!! And when the representatives of the official authorities of Syria are present wherever they should, it is possible to present very reasonable evidence to the invaders ...
        The world is such that one will have to wade through the international bureaucracy too ... but as a result of successful efforts, levers of pressure will appear on many who openly allow themselves pf-e, on the statements of some kind of regime there!
        These are the rules of the "game."
  2. Livonetc 12 March 2020 12: 44 New
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    officially declared the desire of the Turkish leadership to "protect their own southern borders" from the danger posed by the armed forces of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK). No less important for the Turks is the prevention of a further stream of refugees flocking to their territory just from these parts.

    Jordan is also guided by the same considerations, trying to do something similar, only not in the north, but in the south of Syria - in the provinces of Daraa and Suweida. Again, there is talk of “strengthening the border,” creating “humanitarian corridors” and refugee camps.

    Actually, the arguments in both Turkey and Jordan are quite substantial.
    It can be argued that in many ways Turkey and Jordan contributed to the incitement of a civil war in Syria.
    This is so.
    However, this does not change the essence.
    They solve their tasks pursuing the interests of their own states.
    Agreements have been reached with Jordan.
    The agreement process with Turkey continues.
    Israeli theme is an old corn for Syria.
    However, they can also be understood in terms of the rejection of actions on the border territory of pro-Iranian formations.
    It is on the basis of objective circumstances that we must seek a compromise.
    Russian diplomacy is quite successfully acting in this direction.
    The Russian army supports Syria in the fight against terrorism.
    The Russian state supports materially and politically the Syrian state.
    Turkey, Syria, Jordan, Israel will continue to exist in the foreseeable future in the neighborhood of each other.
    And Russia will not leave Syria without support.
    All parties involved in the Syrian conflict should proceed from this.
    1. tihonmarine 12 March 2020 13: 09 New
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      Quote: Livonetc
      Israeli theme is an old corn for Syria.
      However, they can also be understood in terms of the rejection of actions on the border territory of pro-Iranian formations.

      Israel can be understood. Only everything is one-sided, to bomb Syria and Iranian forces in Syria. I agree, Israel is defending itself, but when ISIS began to seize Syria, and almost seized it, thanks to Iranian forces, Syria remained a country (even before Russian aid). So then, Israel didn’t really help the Syrians, but it would be necessary to help. After all, if ISIS finished off Syria, now it would be a state of terrorists, and it would be next to Israel. I do not know how Israel would feel then. Promised guys tell me.
  3. tihonmarine 12 March 2020 12: 58 New
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    Nowadays, the appetites have somewhat diminished, but Ankara has persistently persuaded the whole world that at least part of Idlib province is a zone of its “vital interests” and control over it is necessary for security both within Turkey itself and in order to prevent the expansion of the flow of migrants to Europe .
    Brehlo Sultan Edik decent. Well, I would tell the truth "Turkey in the framework of the Ottoman Empire of 1914." And then he is sorry for the people in Syria, they see no freedom, democracy.
  4. rudolff 12 March 2020 13: 05 New
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    Perhaps it makes sense to recall the United Arab Republic. Egypt, Lebanon, Syria were one state. There was an idea to include Iraq in the confederation. For Syria, this would be a way of survival. Assad will not want to be part of Russia.
    1. Jager 14 March 2020 15: 17 New
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      The Syrian region was still missing)
  5. 7,62h54 12 March 2020 13: 36 New
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    As the Jews do not try to wag, trying to pretend to be a victim of the Holocaust, but the "solid axis of Tehran-Damascus-Beirut" will eventually get stronger. And this is the axis of the Jews that they will plant in the end.
    1. Rambam 12 March 2020 13: 40 New
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      Who will give her a stronger one? Jews plant all.
    2. Leonid Anatolevich 13 March 2020 23: 35 New
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      There will be no axis in Beirut and Iran has not been allowed into the Mediterranean Sea. In Idlib they were met by an insurmountable obstacle - the determination of the people of the Middle East not to let the adversaries
  6. Sardanapalus 12 March 2020 14: 01 New
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    You can negotiate with Israel. We give them the "heights" they recognize us Crimea. Mutual "general" plus. That the Dutch heights that the Crimea are mutually important.
    1. Livonetc 12 March 2020 14: 26 New
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      Heights not
      Quote: Sardanapalus
      dutch
      and the Golan.
      Belong to the Golan Heights of Syria.
      And Crimea certainly belongs to Russia.
      1. Kronos 12 March 2020 14: 37 New
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        But in fact, they have Israel and nothing to do with it. By the way, the Jews offered them earlier in exchange for a peace treaty, but the Syrians themselves refused
        1. Leonid Anatolevich 13 March 2020 23: 36 New
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          It was their Islamists who heated up
      2. Sardanapalus 12 March 2020 14: 56 New
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        Well, yes. I let it go. We can cover the whole world with radioactive ash, but Israel cannot. Therefore, exchange is not equivalent.
        1. Vitaly gusin 13 March 2020 11: 48 New
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          Quote: Sardanapalus
          We can cover the whole world with radioactive ash, but Israel cannot.

          You have a mistake.
          DIFFERENCE IN THICKNESS OF THE LAYER.
          And you have to think how to live, not cover!
      3. Rambam 12 March 2020 15: 05 New
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        Syria can forget about the Galans and you along with it. Live in illusions
        1. Livonetc 12 March 2020 15: 07 New
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          Конечно.
          Golan possess huge water resources.
          For this region are invaluable.
          And he is a thief in the Middle East, in Africa, all one thief.
          1. Rambam 12 March 2020 15: 13 New
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            “Hold the thief,” the thief shouted. What is taken in battle is holy
          2. Vitaly gusin 13 March 2020 14: 02 New
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            Quote: Livonetc
            For this region are invaluable.

            Yes, BUT in the past.
            About a third of drinking water Israel receives from desalination plants. It is estimated that in the coming years, if such a need arises, it will be about 70% for drinking needs.
            Today, Israel is the world leader in the processing and recycling of wastewater in agriculture - about 86% of all wastewater in the country is used for this.
      4. Cheerock 12 March 2020 16: 35 New
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        Dutch! Belong to Holland! wassat
  7. Evgeny Ivanov_5 12 March 2020 15: 25 New
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    I think that Syria is still waiting for the fate of the wild field and the buffer between the Turks and the Jews. This is the best option for both parties.
    1. Vasyan1971 13 March 2020 14: 54 New
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      Quote: Evgeny Ivanov_5
      This is the best option for both parties.

      Except, in fact, the Syrians. Well, so who cares about their opinion. Truth?
  8. RVAPatriot 12 March 2020 17: 07 New
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    I read the wiki about the division of the Ottoman Empire, there is such a desire from Russia:

    "The tsarist government wanted to evict the Muslim inhabitants of northern Anatolia and Istanbul, replacing them with Cossack settlers.

    In March 1915, Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Empire Sergey Sazonov informed the British Ambassador Buchanan and the French Ambassador Maurice Paleolog that for a lasting post-war settlement it is necessary to make Russian possessions “the city of Constantinople, the western coast of the Bosphorus, Sea of ​​Marmara and the Dardanelles, as well as southern Thrace to the Enos line Mussel "and" part of the Asian coast between the Bosphorus, the Sakaria River and the areas to be identified on the shores of Izmit Bay. "[5] The Constantinople Agreement was published in the Russian newspaper Izvestia in November 1917 in order to receive support from the Armenian society regarding the Russian revolution. [6] However, after the Russian Revolution, these secret plans failed. "

    But after that I thought, maybe one of the reasons for the revolution (sponsorship by the West) is desire ?? Close the Black Sea is a dream for many, only why the West considers it to be its territory ... And to give it to Russia ...
  9. Vitaly gusin 13 March 2020 13: 51 New
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    Israel prefers in this case to act not by means of its usual annexations, given the fact that Damascus claims to the Golan Heights,
    The smallest story.
    Golan Heights, falling under Syrian control in 1944 after the termination of the French mandate, were under Syrian control for 23 years.
    In 1964-1966 clashes between Syria and Israel over water. In June 1964, Syria decided to divert the waters of the Jordan River, which flows into the Israeli Sea of ​​Galilee, into its territory. There are 4 major border incidents involving tanks and aircraft.
    And as a result of the Six Day War, the losers lost part of the Golan Heights. They lost the bridgehead. (Koenigsberg)
    Papenka Anwar Sadat, decided in 1973 to fight with Israel and return the lands lost in 1967 and if it weren’t for the USA and the USSR he would have lost Damascus. In 1981, the Golan Heights were annexed.
    Until 2015 in Russia AT ALL from the word AT ALL did not talk about the Golan Heights, and many did not know. For 42 years there has been more than one violation of the border on both sides., The son decided that with the help of Russia and Iran he would be able to return the Golan. But Russia does not play these games as before the USSR, Iran remains. Which, following the example of Lebanon, decided to seat a Hezbollah with modern missiles and with their help return the Golan.
    You must calm down and understand how Vladimir Putin, what Israel will not allow this.