Less than 20 km from CAA to key checkpoint on Turkish border

The Syrian army over the past day pushed the front from the country's largest city (Aleppo) for another 5-6 km. Under the control of the Syrian troops passed a whole group of settlements to the west and north of Aleppo: Zuk al-Kabir, Kirbat al-Atra, Anadan, Zahra.

According to recent reports, in two weeks the Syrian army was able to increase control territories in the provinces of Idlib and Aleppo by about a quarter.

Having stopped moving “in a straight line” to the administrative center of Idlib province, the Syrian government army continues to advance south-east of the city, as well as west of the M5 highway.

Less than 20 km remain on the Dzhutar-Al-Baitarun route from CAA to the Turkish border in the Chilvegözu region. The Chilvegözu border checkpoint is the key checkpoint through which Ankara has been deploying forces and assets to the Syrian Arab Republic for the most recent time.

If the Syrian troops reach the border with Turkey in this direction and take the checkpoint on the Syrian side under full control, it will be possible to continue the attack on Sarmin and Idlib.

In addition, the Syrian army has a chance to develop an offensive in the north of the country and come close to Aazaz, which today is actually controlled by Turkish troops. But between the current positions of the SAA and Aazaz there are also Kurdish armed groups. In this regard, the question arises as to what the Kurdish formations will do. If the Kurds have a “desire” to fight on two fronts at once, then for them it is unlikely to end in success.

Comments

[svp67]

Less than 20 km remain on the Dzhutar-Al-Baitarun route from CAA to the Turkish border in the Chilvegözu region.

That is, the border can already be "controlled" by artillery ...

[Thrifty]

Sergei Now the Turks will substitute the Kurds for the art that Assad is clearly not at hand, unlike the Turks!

[svp67]

Good afternoon...

Quote: Thrifty

Now the Turks will substitute the Kurds for the art that Assad is clearly not at hand, unlike the Turks!

It seems to me that the right people have already worked with the Kurds, and they will show prudence. Very quickly those territories fall under the control of the CAA

[Thrifty]

Sergey, and good day to you , only the Kurds there are different, some still adore the United States! Such tribes are dangerous for the Assad army, although they are also dangerous for the Turks. The reason is simple - Kurdistan! All Kurds want to create their own veil-morgan on the lands where they now live!

[svp67]

Quote: Thrifty

The reason is simple - Kurdistan!

This is not even discussed, I will say more ONE KURDISTAN. But alas, this is their fantasy, because now there is no force that could unite them all ... now there are too many contradictions between the Kurds of Turkey, Syria and Iraq

[Jose]

Where do you live is your homeland, and there is the homeland of the Kurds

[svp67]

Quote: Jose

Where do you live is your homeland, and there is the homeland of the Kurds

Homeland, this is where you were BORN, but there is also the Fatherland, this is where you can live.

[Krasnodar]

Quote: svp67

Homeland, this is where you were BORN, but there is also the Fatherland, this is where you can live.

Kurds are the autochthonous people of the Middle East, whose territories fell under Arab, Persian, and Turkish occupation. They laid their own state.

[Thrifty]

Krasnodar -share the lands with them, or resettle them to the states, buy a provincial staff there, create an economy for them -you are here like the almighty, sponsor the poor fellow to the maximum!

[Krasnodar]

What for? It’s easier to evict the Iraqi and Syrian Arabs back to Jazira (the Arabian Peninsula), high-backed by Wahhabis, Baathist Socialists, Nazi SSN-ists, barmels - Takfirists - you can stir up a tote at the same time

[Pereira]

Easier? Do not drink anymore.

[Krasnodar]

Quote: Pereira

Easier? Do not drink anymore.

How to buy the US state? Any easier

[Pereira]

What measure lightness, parrots or monkeys?

[Krasnodar]

Not. Money)).

[Private-K]

Easier Iraqi and Syrian Arabs to evict back to Jazira (Arabian Peninsula)

EASIER??? Take tens of millions to the deserts of Arabia?
Your thoughts are interesting. Worthy of Tamerlane and Genghis Khan.

Only it seems to me that half of these Arabs are more likely to end up in the West. Europe. They are already preparing there ...

[Krasnodar]

Why carry - they will run
Regarding Western Europe, that's for sure

[Nyrobsky]

Quote: Krasnodar

Kurds are the autochthonous people of the Middle East, whose territories fell under Arab, Persian, and Turkish occupation. They laid their own state.

The question is, how will this state exist? In fact, it will be an isolated enclave, sandwiched within the borders of three states - Iraq, Turkey and Syria, which does not have its own access to the sea. Not a single caravan with Kurdish oil will be able to leave the territory of this Kurdi state. Even if the oil is exported by air, it will have to be done through the airspace of neighboring states. This sir will not be a state, this is a reservation. The ideal option for them is autonomy, but as long as they get out and "are friends" with mattresses, they will miss this option too.

[Krasnodar]

If there is oil, there will be patronage of the Americans. With their patronage, and the interest of petroleum promises, there will be a very well-guarded pipeline and money for transit to neighboring states and a Merikats share for the roof, etc. etc. But. To do this, the Kurds must sort themselves out, organize themselves, and decide by joint efforts to build states, forgetting about clan interests. At the moment, they are very diverse motto audience.

[Nyrobsky]

Quote: Krasnodar

If there is oil, there will be patronage of the Americans. With their patronage, and the interest of petroleum promises, there will be a very well-guarded pipeline and money for transit to neighboring states and a Merikats share for the roof, etc. etc.

This is controversial. The mattresses were greatly crushed by the mattresses of the Kurds in the patronage of the United States after the entry of Turkish troops, they abandoned the Kurds and their checkpoints, leaving for Iraq, and then decided to return, leaving behind only the "guard" of the oil fields. Now their friendship rests on the money with which the mattresses bribed the local leaders. In the long term, the US presence in Iraq is also questionable. At least after the assassination of Soleimani and the recent shelling of American bases in Iraq, as well as the decision of the Iraqi parliament to withdraw the mattress contingent, the Americans began to withdraw their contingent from 15 bases, deciding to maintain their presence at two (one of which was shelling). This process is taking place against the background of the fact that so far no one has tried to nightmare mattresses in full, limiting themselves to demonstration strikes. And the pipe of the "Kurdish" oil pipeline itself, laid in any direction from the fields, will not be able to bypass the territory of one of the bordering countries that do not share the idea of ​​creating an independent Kurdistan, which makes its protection extremely problematic.

[Krasnodar]

It all depends on three factors:
1) location and volume of hydrocarbon reserves of the Kurdish state
2) the political decision of the mericatos
3) Kurdish Resolutions
Each of the factors described above has many sub-items, such as who lobbies for support in the United States, whom the Kurds immediately take into account, how they solve internal disagreements, who will be included in the share in neighboring states (if Makhlufov is in Syria - everything will be clear - oligarchs are relatives Assad’s mother), etc. Iran itself understands that the pushing of Americans out of Iraq will take place in Ur only before the US elections, then they, defeating Trump, will not be left alone. There is also that viper - but if the Kurds calculate everything correctly, they will create their own completely viable country.

[Nyrobsky]

Quote: Krasnodar

Each of the factors described above has many sub-items, such as who lobbies for support in the United States, whom the Kurds immediately take into account, how they solve internal disagreements, who will be included in the share in neighboring states (if Makhlufov is in Syria - everything will be clear - oligarchs are relatives Assad’s mother), etc. Iran itself understands that the pushing of Americans out of Iraq will take place in Ur only before the US elections, then they, defeating Trump, will not be left alone. There is also that viper - but if the Kurds calculate everything correctly, they will create their own completely viable country.

Is it not easier for the Kurds to focus on gaining autonomy and secure their right to a share of the oil field? In fact, autonomy is no longer a bad result of armed resistance, compared with the fact that yesterday they had no status at all, because this already allows us to solve the problems of identity, self-government, language, education, faith and culture. Autonomy is the first step towards gaining statehood. Iraqi and Syrian Kurds, in principle, one step away from their own autonomies within Iraq and Syria, would have been a desire. Turkey will never go to the loss of territories in favor of Kurdistan, and therefore, in our century, Kurdistan will certainly not take place. Ankara has territorial integrity in the state priority.
P / S - perhaps in modern history there is only one example when the State strives to become a bunch of autonomies, this is Ukraine. Well, it’s with anyone, and the Ukrainians will definitely succeed.

[Krasnodar]

Autonomy in Iraq is the best that the Kurds can figure out at the moment - I agree.

[poquello]

Quote: Krasnodar

1) location and volume of hydrocarbon reserves of the Kurdish state
2) the political decision of the mericatos

1- do not try to conceive the brains of VO readers, for there is no Kurdish state and there will not be.
2- here is completely monopessional to their solutions.

[Krasnodar]

No - it is known. Will be - it is not clear. What is monopessual to you and what is not - at least someone will be interested only after you pay the election campaign to the US presidential candidate, for example

[poquello]

Quote: Krasnodar

No - it is known. Will be - it is not clear.

ett something is unclear to you, in Syria they still have to puff for autonomy, and certainly the armed Kurdish formations will not have a place there, because the Syrian Kurdish troops have a road to Assad’s army

[Krasnodar]

Today it is easiest to organize autonomy in Iraq - in Syria, the Turks will not give

[poquello]

Quote: Krasnodar

in Syria, the Turks will not give

Despite the functions that will be transferred to autonomy, the Turks need a quiet border and a lack of support for Turkish Kurdish partisans, etc. IMHO it is solved

[Krasnodar]

Solved - if Erdogan is not fooling around, out of habit. He needs to conduct a dialogue with Assad, which he is clearly not in a hurry to do.

[Paranoid50]

Quote: Krasnodar

The easiest way to organize autonomy in Iraq today

The easiest day was the day before yesterday - now Borzani is no longer the same, and the Iraqi government does not look like crazy ...

[Krasnodar]

Iraq is not stable

[Paranoid50]

Quote: Krasnodar

At the moment, they are very diverse motto audience.

Reminds today's Israel - the same trouble, with the only difference being that the latter does not pump oil. *
*It smacks of anti-Semitism

[Krasnodar]

How cute (s)
Exactly - Jews could from scratch, Kurds on oil can

[svp67]

Quote: Krasnodar

They laid their own state.

Alas, the laws of history do not coincide with the desires of people

[Krasnodar]

It took 2000 years for the Jews
The Kurds - we'll see

[svp67]

Quote: Krasnodar

It took 2000 years for the Jews
The Kurds - we'll see

No matter how the Jews were divided, they were still more united in religion and in the idea of ​​creating their own state on a rather limited stretch of territory, which only Palestinians claimed. It is becoming more and more complicated with Kurds, they are different in beliefs, in their view, the territory of Kurdistan occupies a large territory, now occupied by three states

[Krasnodar]

Not certainly in that way. Kurds - Muslims, viper with their religion and lahluha - Jews are very related, but are not one nation.
Territory - yes, big. They are different in political views. But it’s enough to build your state on a small piece of land and make a repatriation policy - everything will be ok

[Stalllker]

Who should be? And who put ????!

[maxim947]

We are waiting for the provocation of white helmets.
These ghouls have always been connected, in order to interfere with the success of Assad

[Aaron Zawi]

That is, the border can already be "controlled" by artillery ...

Here, even artillery is not needed.

[svp67]

Quote: Aron Zaavi

Here, even artillery is not needed.

I'm embarrassed to ask, who took the picture? Is the Mossad omnipotent?

[LMN]

Quote: svp67

Quote: Aron Zaavi

Here, even artillery is not needed.

I'm embarrassed to ask, who took the picture? Is the Mossad omnipotent?

I’m embarrassed to ask, but is this photo a banter? There it is written with an error ..

[svp67]

Quote: LMN

There it is written with an error ..

What's wrong?

[LMN]

Quote: svp67

Quote: LMN

There it is written with an error ..

What's wrong?

There is a letter щ , but should be ш
So usually not Russians are ridiculed in Russia, but here Russians are in Syria ..

[svp67]

Quote: LMN

There is the letter u, but should be w

And for me it is quite readable "W"

[LMN]

Quote: svp67

Quote: LMN

There is the letter u, but should be w

And for me it is quite readable "W"

The three-letter word on the fence is also quite readable. But this does not mean that it is true.
These photos are fake.

[Alex Justice]

There is the letter u

The comrade does not know how to spell the letter S. Take a magnifying glass and look carefully.

[Aaron Zawi]

Quote: LMN

I’m embarrassed to ask, but is this photo a banter? There it is written with an error ..

How tired I am of conspiracy theorists. This is also a banter ,?

[LMN]

Quote: Aaron Zawi

Quote: LMN

I’m embarrassed to ask, but is this photo a banter? There it is written with an error ..

How tired I am of conspiracy theorists. This is also a banter ,?

Here, too, with an error. How many more photos do you have?
And where is it written correctly, do not you?

[Aaron Zawi]

Quote: LMN

Here, too, with an error. How many more photos do you have?
And where is it written correctly, do not you?

Dva.And to think that the writer on the wall is not keen on calligraphy, didn’t it occur to you?

[LMN]

No.
Fake

[Fantazer911]

Spray paint is not a pen to write, therefore it turned out like "Shch." although most of us read W correctly,

[tarakan]

Took off the tongue

[LMN]

Quote: Fantazer911

Spray paint is not a pen to write, therefore it turned out like "Shch." although most of us read W correctly,

Spray paint, this is not a war to fight, therefore I will not say anything, because fake

[Aaron Zawi]

Quote: svp67

I'm embarrassed to ask, who took the picture? Is the Mossad omnipotent?

Well.

There is much in the world, Horatio's friend, which our sages have not dreamed of.
V. Shakespeare.

[Krasnodar]

Is it for our wise men of Zion? Is Horatio a Jew? Chabadnik? Does Kushnira know?

[svp67]

Quote: Aron Zaavi

There is much in the world, Horatio's friend, which our sages have not dreamed of.
V. Shakespeare.

[g1v2]

These are our sappers the 17th year.

[Lord of the Sith]

They retain good heat, although the foothills have already gone there.

[svp67]

Quote: Sith Lord

They maintain good temp, although the foothills have already gone there.

So in a hurry ... time is not on their side now. We need to be in time before the Turks set up their "steam rink".

[Thrifty]

So you need to wait for a direct clash of the Syrians and the Turkish army. Erdogad will not give up territory for thanks, this is both his prestige and the ability to control his lured militants. And when the Syrian army enters the border, the option of flight, or rather, the invasion of these gangs in Turkey by Vilik.

[flicker]

Erdogad will not give the territory for thanks, this is its prestige,

But is it better to give up this territory with battles (read: against the will of the Sultan and with huge losses)?
So at least it can explain that by the kindness of the Sultan he gave. Then you can shout that the Sultan is kindness and strength.
And if they give it back with fights, then everyone will say that the Sultan is aggressive and weak.

[LMN]

If the Kurds have a "desire" to fight on two fronts at once, then for them it is unlikely that it will end in success.

It seems like they made a choice, not so long ago

[Grits]

Everything would be fine, but only on this narrow strip of tens of kilometers there are about 7 thousand Turkish fighters with hundreds of tanks, with hundreds of armored vehicles and artillery. so easy not to get around them. And I do not think that Idlib refused to take on some tactical tricks. Most likely, the Turks dug in there seriously and simply did not allow the SAA to advance. Will they move on? I doubt that the Turks will allow the SAA to fight at border crossings near their border. So I don’t have much optimism, no matter how much I would like.

[Thrifty]

Gritsa - here I agree with you! For these kilometers the army will have to shed oh how much of their blood too! The Turks simply and easily will not give their land back to the Syrians.

[Nastia makarova]

they just won’t give it away, but the Syrians will shed blood and free their territory from enemies

[Retvizan 8]

Please tell me where you can see information on events in Syria, with maps?

[Xenofont]

https://syria.liveuamap.com/
The army is already storming the military base of Sheikh Suleiman.

[Retvizan 8]

Thanks for the info.

[Errr]

On the website of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation:
http://syria.mil.ru/war-on-terror/infographics.htm

[Retvizan 8]

Thank you, I looked, good informative maps.

[Tektor]

SAA can no longer stop the complete liberation of the province of Idlib. Captain obvious.

[FOBOSS]

Quote: Retvizan 8

Please tell me where you can see information on events in Syria, with maps?

https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2020/14-february-the-turkish-army-is-establishing-military-points

[Retvizan 8]

Thanks for the information.

[Vladimir Mashkov]

We hold our fists and wish the Syrian army success !!!

[second lieutenant Anastasia Besko]

"Another 100500 buckets - and the golden key is in our pocket!" The first time that "the Syrian army is close to establishing full control over the province of Idlib" - I heard even before I enlisted in the Army. And I enlisted in the Army in the spring of 2013th ...

[sabakina]

I am plagued by vague doubts that you are not recruited there. Or, as we say, "to the wrong steppe."

[second lieutenant Anastasia Besko]

So far - there was no reason for disappointment.

[sabakina]

Quote: second lieutenant Anastasiya Besko

So far - there was no reason for disappointment.

[second lieutenant Anastasia Besko]

I'm not sure what's ahead. But the film is good. .

[AK1972]

And who is the second lieutenant in Russian?

[second lieutenant Anastasia Besko]

According to the correspondence table for the APU: the second lieutenant of the US Army correspond to ml. lieutenant and lieutenant.

[AK1972]

Thanks, I thought the ensign. Only it is not clear how one rank can correspond to two. Then already ml. lt is not needed at all, especially since there is no position for him, as well as for a lieutenant. In the RF Armed Forces, platoon commander - Art. lt In general, in my opinion, lieutenant is translated from German as a substitute position.

[second lieutenant Anastasia Besko]

This happens. For example, both Standartenfuhrer and Oberfuhrer in SS and SA equally corresponded to the colonel.
And the ensign according to our correspondence table is the equivalent of warrent.

[AK1972]

Great example. That is, if I call you Untersturmfuhrer, then you will not be offended?

[Nastia makarova]

what is this new troll?))))))))))))))

[Retvizan 8]

There, Trump blundered something about Russia stopping supporting Assad’s troops in Idlib.

[second lieutenant Anastasia Besko]

And any evidence from independent sources about these "23 destroyed Turkish tanks" are there ?? By the way, these are not "colossal losses". It's not even a battalion. The general grouping of forces involved in Barış Pınarı Harekâtı is enough to sweep away both the cardboard shields and the SAA grouping and the ground grouping of the RF Armed Forces in the area of ​​operation. Whether Erdogan will agree to this is a question (and a big one). But TSK has enough forces and means for this.

[poquello]

Quote: second lieutenant Anastasiya Besko

"23 destroyed Turkish tanks"

not Turkish, but Barmalean, because they destroyed it immediately as Erdogan handed them over to the barmaley, after which they somehow got sick, probably calculated how much time the Russian Federation would need to destroy the group)))))))))))

Quote: second lieutenant Anastasiya Besko

involved

)))))))))

[second lieutenant Anastasia Besko]

Actually, Erdogash’s only retired tanks at storage bases are about one and a half kilos ...

[poquello]

Quote: second lieutenant Anastasiya Besko

Actually, Erdogash’s only retired tanks at storage bases are about one and a half kilos ...

) in fact, it's not about the tanks, well, and the crew they will probably have one and a half kiloturka)))))))))))

[IL-64]

As I understand it, in the photo are representatives of regular units of the Syrian army?

[Yurahip]

The photo in the title. This is not the army of the SAA, these are some kind of cygan with machine guns!

[Andrey.AN]

The form can wear out in the field faster than give out a new one, especially if they have to crawl, the deficit.

[Russian_man]

If only they had time to finish everything ....

[Vladimir Balaev]

Tricky Turks are fighting with our hands — it was their job to clean the province of militants — but it’s a pity for their soldiers — Erdogan said it — and now they’re in chocolate, as it were, and they didn’t