Turkish tanks left the Idlib-Serakib road: the situation is like a trap for CAA

It became known that the Turkish army removed Tanks and other armored vehicles that were being flown to Syria from the direction of Idlib-Sarmin-Serakib. Recall that on the eve of the Turkish military convoy was at the village of Sarmin, which is still controlled by militants.

This actually opens the Syrian Arab (government) army (SAA) a direct path to the administrative center of Idlib province - a large (by Syrian standards) city of the same name.

But where did the Turkish tanks “disappear” from the Idlib-Serakib road?

According to recent reports, the Turkish military command decided to redistribute the military equipment of the specialized convoy, taking one part to the military base of Al-Mastum (south of the city of Idlib), and the other to the area of ​​the Taftanaz airfield. The tanks of the Turkish Armed Forces are located on the base of Al Mastum.

CAA continues its progress not only towards Idlib, but also along the M5 highway. Just a few hours ago, Syrian troops liberated three settlements located on this highway from terrorists at once. Among them is Sheikh Ahmed, which is located at the crossroads of the M5 with a road leading to the mentioned military base of Al-Mastum, where the Turkish military are located.

If you look at the map, the question arises about the further tactics of CAA. If the Syrian government forces conduct an offensive exclusively along the Sarmin-Idlib road, then there is a possibility that Turkish troops may bombard advancing assault groups from two flanks: from Al-Mastum and Taftanaz. All this looks like a trap set up by the Turks for CAA.

In this regard, the Syrian army would be advisable to use the previous tactics and move to Idlib from two sides. In this case, through the settlements of Ariha south of the administrative center of the province and Marat Misrin to the north of it.

Comments

[1959ain]

If the result is that the Syrians now will not take Idlib proper, but confine themselves to clearing the M5 (if you are lucky, then the M4), and all parties will declare this a victory - it will be fine.

[Fedor egoist]

It is believed that until the M5 is completely released, they will not take the provincial capital.
Well, it's time to slowly cut off the broads from the Turkish border - on the example of other similar conflicts it is well known that border control solves a lot)

[Sky strike fighter]

So it will be. First M5, then everything else. Take a look at the map at the link below.

By evening, the Syrian military managed to take control of a large territory with the villages of Mkharim, Huari, Huyer, Mazraat-Huyer, Abbad, Tel-Nabariz, Asiria, Mazraat-Dahiriya, Tel-Kratin.

At the same time, south of Aleppo, government forces managed to drive the militants away from the village Halasa and take the villages of Birna and Zitan in the immediate vicinity of the M-5 highway.

As a result of the offensive on February 7, 2020, the Syrian army begins to take up positions to encircle the militant fortified area in the town of Al-Is.

[Sergey39]

Yes, no one will take anything. Everything goes under the Russia-Turkey treaty.

[Grits]

Quote: Sergey39

Yes, no one will take anything. Everything goes under the Russia-Turkey treaty.

Everything is in the style of the latest trends of the Russian leadership - to stop halfway when the enemy flinched and flees. Examples - mass.

[Abbot]

Are you hinting at Minsk-2? Or the Medvedev-Sarkozy plan?

[Eug]

Why so at once - "enemy"? What if they buy gas or something else - they will immediately become "partners", and "partners" need help to "save face" ... although, as for me, most "partners" need help to "save face" in a constantly well-beaten like .. then the "partnership" will be much stronger.

[Thrifty]

The commandant, or the comedian-Vitalik, are you simply wandering around or not hungover?

[Golovan Jack]

Quote: Thrifty

you wander

You are not "delusional", but "delusional".

Banishing Droids, tunnels? Reincarnated again, poor fellow?

[Sergey39]

Do not be fools in the leadership of CAA! Cope! Have the Turks long leopards not burned? Our videoconferencing will help.

[Cowbra]

Quote: Sergey39

Have the Turks long leopards not burned?

[Demagogue]

Yes there is no trap there. Just as I wrote earlier, no one will go to Idlib forehead. First they will block it. The Turks occupied Idlib Airport, so now the Asad forces are advancing east on Kafr Nuran. Abu cons has already fallen. And then according to the situation. But they will cut in half the adder with access to the border. The Turks apparently only got it and started regrouping.

[Grits]

Quote: Demagogue

nobody will go head on Idlib. First they will block it. The Turks occupied Idlib Airport, so now the Asad forces are advancing east on Kafr Nuran. Abu cons has already fallen. And then according to the situation. But they will cut in half the adder with access to the border.

I am not an expert in tactics, but it was not difficult to understand that Idlib would not be taken on the forehead. For too long, the approaches to it strengthened. Especially with the artillery of the Turks on the flanks. I think so far the first task for the CAA is to clear the M-5 highway in order to quickly transfer forces and assets. It essentially turns into a rocky road and will be of critical importance in the near future. And as further, sometimes it is possible to predict where our VKS strikes. More often than not, the SAA then rushes there. And now it is also seen that they began to intensively bomb settlements north of Taftanaz. Apparently with plans to make a breakthrough and cut the supply route for the Turks Idlib - the Turkish border.

[rocket757]

Guess, don’t guess ... we will see, evaluate and understand who the strategist is there and who just went for a walk.

[Mountain shooter]

Erdogan what, in vain every ... for half an hour calls Putin? What the hell, trap? Videoconferencing ready ...

[rocket757]

Everything is very serious! But on the control, on our part, serious guys are also watching.

[abvgdeika]

VKS already flew near Turkey, maybe enough

[Mountain shooter]

Quote: abvgdeika

VKS already flew near Turkey, maybe enough

Of course that's enough. Now it's time to fly OVER Turkey! And let meow try to say ...

[protoss]

one already reached the hero of Russia posthumously.
so you want again on the same rake?

[Mountain shooter]

Quote: protoss

one already reached the hero of Russia posthumously.
so you want again on the same rake?

It was not a rake ... but a vile ambush. From under the silence ... And when the meanness is expected, this is just a threat.

[no better place for]

Which one is the sneak. Many times warned. And at the highest level. This is presented to you as an excuse

[Mountain shooter]

Quote: neden

Which one is the sneak. Many times warned. And at the highest level. This is presented to you as an excuse

I saw a map of the area of ​​attack ... Yes, and everyone saw it ... But didn’t they start to shoot down everyone else in a row? The glide path of approach at Khmeimim remained there.

[protoss]

the rake will be if we again begin to violate the border, the second time to declare a tomato war will be ridiculous

[Wild_grey_wolf]

An open game of chess and it is not clear until the denouement is nearing or not. Although everything speaks in favor of the denouement in this difficult area. I think many are already tired of diplomatic games.

[Livonetc]

Tanks know where.
Grouping is probably tracked by all available means.
The Russian videoconferencing system has enough tracking equipment.
And SAA intelligence also should not be inactive.

[Thunderbolt]

The Turks themselves nurtured Idlib. He will not cope, the Turkish tanks of NATO will rumble. Will Assad have the strength to turn the tide, because the potentials of a long-fighting Damascus and a peaceful, well-developing Turkey are incomparable. Even if the seasoned gods of war fight in Assad’s ranks-- - on the other hand, they are resisted by no less seasoned bearded men periodically fueled by Erdogan. The difficulty is that he rocked his country very much and boldly uses his army. Assad’s offensive capabilities are scarce and Moscow will fight his infantry nye battalions did not throw. Perhaps they will break through the situation by knocking the Turks out of the way / let's call them / strongholds and try to block Idlib. Then in a good war the grouping of the city of Idlib would not last long, but the war is at least strange, because The Turkish commander flies in raids in Russia with all sorts of tricky offers. I can imagine how the Alavite generals are writhing from such news.

[Genry]

Quote: Thunderbolt

The Turks themselves Idlib and nourished.

This is not feeding, but a whole political-military operation with cover (supposedly we have nothing to do with it - they themselves).

Quote: Thunderbolt

Assad's offensive capabilities are scarce and Moscow will not throw its infantry battalions into battle.

So no one will change tactics. VKS destroys equipment and strong points, and CAA does a sweep.

Quote: Thunderbolt

I can imagine how the Alavite generals are writhing from such news.

Actually sausage Erdogan. So many dibs were taken to seize a piece of land. And Assad decided to kick them out ...
This is unfair.

[Operator]

Turkish tanks and barmalei are preparing for relocation to Libya

[Tank jacket]

It looks like a drain of Idlib and the barmalei ... Waste material in the scrap.

[Gardamir]

A little earlier, an article about how the Syrians are about to enter Idlib. Now the opinion is more cautious.
And if you argue without a break. Turkey is a member of NATO, Russia Turkey is not particularly needed. Turkey cares only about its interests. Turkey does not want to go over to direct clashes with Syria.

[Golovan Jack]

Quote: Commandant

Demands to throw on the card to fight the "bloody regime"

Well, I haven’t yet demanded ... wait, sir

[maiman61]

And what will these members do? Will they fight?

[Gardamir]

that

Judging by the fact that the comments after me, the whole intrigue, about cards, requirements, members. It has a relationship with me, but looked too late, comments have already been deleted. Enlighten, if not difficult, what it is about.

[smile]

Gardamir
Yeah, Turkey is a member of NATO ...
when Turkey shot down our plane, and in response we burned several thousand Turkish coaches, mixed hundreds of Turks and Turkoman with rubble, what did Nata do?
That's right - she informed Erdogan that ent are our affairs with them, in which nata will not get into ...
Yeah, we also said about tomatoes - but it was already a pure mockery, against the background of hundreds, maybe thousands of corpses of Turks and Turkoman .....
And then there was an attempt to depose Mr. Erdogan like allies ....
Yeah, which are also members of the same Nata ....
of course, it’s completely with Nata and Europe, into which Turkey hasn’t been accepted already, if memory serves more than twenty years (hello to the skakuas) :))) Erdogan has no reason .....
And what to do?
He has tense relations with Iran, Creepy with Greece, which will take advantage of any situation where it can be safely pecked (only poverty and loss of combat capability interfere), Byad with Egypt, because of Libya, and the related division of the sea territories, he even overwhelmed by the Saudis, and in some places and fought - the same Libya .......
He paraded everywhere - he exchanged ... swore with all neighbors, patrons and allies .... and not just like that - but mainly with blood, money ... or overly emotional official statements worse than Lukashenko ... . :))))
But domestic politics require a break! :))) Since he didn’t completely crush his warriors ..... This, by the way, is difficult. given the influence of Americans on them for decades, if I may say so .... :))))
In general, everything is complicated ... and not only for Erdogan. but also for us, since an unpredictable policy, which - "the east is a delicate matter" - is a byada not only for them, accustomed to changing allies, but also for us, unaccustomed to such a speed of betrayal and such demonstratively unscrupulous resourcefulness "
I draw parallels between amateurs of shalvar - Enicherii and skakuazy - both gangs love pots (take interest in the military ranks of the Janissaries - they are all from the kitchen, the boiler) ... basically, through the corrupt Cossacks, who in a nightmare could not know what they were through 2-3 centuries will be called some Ukrainians - they behaved like that ... for which they were evicted in full force in 177 - either the first or the third - to the Kuban, to new borders (only the Seljks who remained in place that the Cossacks are not) ......
but it’s the 18th century and the Cossack freemen .... and when the leader of Turkey behaves like that now, it only causes suspicion that everything will not end with good ento ... for Turkey .... or for Erdogan .... :)) )))
So it goes.

[flicker]

Yeah, Turkey is a member of NATO ...

Plusanul your comment. I’ll add a little.
There is such a mythical creature among the Jews - the Golem. Allegedly, it is created in order to perform a certain (necessary for its creator) function, after which it should disappear. The creature, of course, is mythical, but the principle laid down in it is very interesting - it did a dirty, thankless job - disappear.
Immediately there is an analogy with the alkaida, igil (and actually with Hitler).
Now to Turkey.
Turkey was becoming an increasingly secular state, and really wanted to join the European Union. But SOMEONE really did not want this, someone needed not a secular, but a warlike Turkey (read: Turkey during the Ottoman Empire). This "someone" made a lot of efforts (spent the money of his "taxpayers") so that Turkey turned towards neo-Ottomanism (read: the process of preparing the "Golem"), then (through a psychological portrait - a decisive, nationalistically heated, tyrant is needed), a leader was selected such a Turkey. He began to live up to expectations, climbed (through proxy troops) into Syria. But the finest hour of "Golem" (according to the creator) was to be a war with Russia, and then the reason was adjusted - a provocation with a Russian plane. Here is how the war with Russia began. The "chief" of the golem would have started this war, but with the expectation that his allies would support him. But the allies turned out to be allies only on paper and offered the "leader" to fight independently. The "leader" (being a real nationalist who loves Turkey) realized how this venture might end for Turkey and decided to apologize and improve relations with Russia. Than simply whipped up its creator, it turned out that this whole turn (from secular Turkey to neo-Ottomanism - all the costs for this) went down the drain. The creator of the golem decided to punish the "leader", organized a putsch, which was defeated. Further, the creator decided to postpone the elimination of the disobedient "leader", relying on the situation with Idlib, because the nationalist "leader" really wanted and wants the growth of the Syrian territory, in particular, Idlib, which entered and enters into conflict with Russia, which saved him personally and his state.
As a result, we have an acute conflict of interests both within Turkey itself and among other countries and peoples of the BV.
Erdogan has a difficult choice: either to follow the path of neo-Ottomanism (to please the creator and his own nationalistic ambitions), while incurring huge casualties, risk losing Turkey as a state, or return to a secular state, developing its economy (Turkish stream, nuclear power plants, etc. - pleasing this with their nationalist ambitions) and refusing to die for the sake of others' interests.
Which way Turkey will choose will show time.

[protoss]

It seems to me (I could be wrong) that the Turks are purposefully transmitting M5, the rebels are leaving almost without resistance, rather they are creating visibility. Turks create temporary points like in sarakiba so that the Asadites do not greet and do not interfere with the departure. there will be no offensive on gidlib, because he is not on the track.
this is not done as part of the Sochi accords of 2018, because we failed them too and the Turks owe us nothing there. most likely, after the transfer of m5, we will see the implementation of our part of the transaction (is it not a tel-rifat with money?).
Erdogan's ultimatum - by March 1, saa to move back beyond the boundaries of the de-escalation zone is most likely connected with the second part of the deal, they say, if Russia throws it, then it breaks the deal and expels saa back.

[Paranoid50]

Quote: protoss

he breaks the deal

Well it is clear.

Quote: protoss

and kicks saa back.

And here is a bummer.

[protoss]

and who will interfere? we will not, and saa without our support drapanet.

[Paranoid50]

Quote: protoss

who will interfere?

Yes, no one, because the Turks themselves will not move anywhere - they have a new front of work outlined. The Erdoganische is sending parties to send its green army to Libya - it was not otherwise that he was going to cut off with Haftar. All the activity of the Turks in Idlib comes down to letting their barmaley bounce without noticeable losses. At the same time, they are watching that the Asadites would not hurt them very much, exposing the roadblocks as intermediate oporniks during a further retreat. Well, they hang out the equipment back and forth, simultaneously introducing CAA into the confusion and creating various obstacles on the way of their advance. At the same time, it should be noted that things did not come to a large-scale confrontation. Yes and will not reach.

[protoss]

How does Libya cancel Turkish interests in Syria?
And in Libya, Erdogan is not going to win the Haftar, he needs to maintain the status quo and preserve the PNS as a needy, and therefore dependent party. in order to keep the "generalisimus" enough and what has already been sent to Libya.

[Paranoid50]

Quote: protoss

How does Libya cancel Turkish interests in Syria?

In exchange, he also owes something to someone. And interests in Syria ... Interests will remain, only he will not lobby them so actively than before.

[protoss]

for Turkey, Syria is much more important than Libya, so why do you suddenly expect a decrease in activity?

[Paranoid50]

Quote: protoss

why do you expect a decrease in activity?

And by virtue of agreements. Yes, it is precisely agreements based on the current situation.
The Turks initially had all the technical capabilities in order to impose SAA fights by no means of local importance, but nothing happened, except for the incident with the checkpoint.

[flicker]

Erdoganisch Party sends its green army to Libya

True, this spoils relations with the Arabs, especially with Egypt. But if he wants to grow at the expense of Israeli territories (especially since these territories are disputed by the Arabs as Jewish), then I think he will receive support from the Arab states and will sharply increase his influence in the region.
The exchange of Idlib territories for Israeli ones (since they don’t want to abandon the neo-Ottoman course) can bring political and economic benefits to Turkey. Political - they will save the Arab people from Israeli dictatorship and intrigue, economic - they will get access to the gas shelf off the coast of the Mediterranean Sea.

[Retvizan 8]

"Turkish gambit"?

[Paul Siebert]

I do not presume to predict the events of the coming days.
For this you need is deep in the subject.
Know a lot of factors from the battlefield. I don’t know them all ...
One thing is clear - the fate of Idlib, the city, is decided. In the near future he will fall.
With the province of Idlib - more difficult. All the unfinished anti-Assad forces are accumulated there.
Plus to the bearded there are Turkish troops there - the factor is also alarming.
One could finish in Idlib two years ago. But the political situation has outweighed.
Now the situation requires the re-manifestation of political will ... Can we? ..

[Thrifty]

Every day, the probability of a direct clash between the Syrian army and the Turkish military is getting higher!

[Zaurbek]

There, staffers from the Russian Federation sit and plan ..... and our intelligence is scouting

[Pereira]

As we plan, we know well from New Russia.

[Zaurbek]

Good or bad?

[Grits]

Quote: Zaurbek

Good or bad?

If we had planned well, then we would have quietly traveled to Crimea by car through the Russian cities of Kharkov, Krivoy Rog, Zaporizhia and Kherson.

[Strashila]

The Turks restrained the troops of the SAA, allowed the terrorists to regroup, now they are clearing their way.

[signifera]

I, of course, did not hold a candle to the negotiations, but it seems to me that the "parties" agreed to transfer the territories under the M4 and M5 to the CAA. So the Syrians have enough work, there is not much strength, they will not go to clean the entire Idlib at once. It seems to me. But then, after cleaning the M5 in the direction of Aleppo, it would be logical, in my opinion, to grab and clean everything south of the M4. And the Turks are still getting the north, including Idlib itself. In my opinion, they could agree on such conditions. Plus, Turkish posts are posted according to this scheme. The new ones are placed, and the old ones are taken out of the lost territories.

[protoss]

M4 will not be transferred because it goes through the "Uyghur" jisr shugur. Judging by the way the Saashniki regularly rake this area under the kbana, they do not intend to surrender.
besides, it is from there if it is most convenient to go to the untouched Alavistan that is most convenient.

[maiman61]

What are you panicking about? Our advisers are planning an offensive, and to the Turks to them, as to Beijing on foot!

[otstoy]

Do not carry nonsense. The boundaries of the division of the territories of Idlib and Aleppo are agreed: Assad departs areas east of the M5 and M5 itself with a security zone 3 km to the west. The opposition retains Idlib, Erich and other areas west of the M5. Between them come the forces of reconciliation of the parties. I hope for a long time.

[Pastor]

Before the next round of negotiations, everyone wants to change cards. And here everyone smiles, but each for himself. Humanly, I wish the Syrians success, but I worry about our guys. It’s not with our hands that we will aggravate with Turkey

[vladcub]

"In this regard, it is expedient for the Syrian army" does the author think that there is no general staff in Damascus and there is no "adviser Wani"?

[awg75]

I think Turkey is putting on a good face with a bad game. I think that everything between us has been discussed. it's just that it's easier for them to stay "out of business."

[Vanych]

something flashed information that Serakib had already taken

[flicker]

Turkish tanks left the Idlib-Serakib road: the situation is like a trap for CAA

For some reason, it came to mind: "The grandmaster sacrificed the queen! We must give up."

[Cer59]

if Perdigan is not removed, then Turkey will no longer be. his mullahs had already warned him.

[muhtar amanov]

On the Syrian theater of the Russian Federation, even if it decides to hit the Turks with its own VKS, it will be firstly a Pyrrhic victory, and secondly, the answer will turn out to be much more pitiable. Russian bases in Syria can fly into the air in two ways and the aircraft can not forever fly. Do not refuel them in Iran. The same with reinforcements. TO FLY AS ... THROUGH IRAN ... He only did not have enough to enter the war with Turkey .. Again, the notorious 5 article. Turkey HAS THE RIGHT TO MILITARY OPERATIONS IN SYRIA. The 1998 Adana Accords THIS. Not to mention the 4 million refugees from Syria ...

[otstoy]

Do not worry. Ours with the Turks and Assad with the opposition all sawed peacefully. The second day they change territory without any fights.

[Dima_Anlim]

Why bother here about something that won't happen anyway? Let's tell us your visions then about what will happen if Russia is bombed by the troops of the star kingdoms of Alpha Centauri.

[AKS-U]

These verses are written in memory of the guys who died on 01.02.2020/XNUMX/XNUMX in Syria.
Bad news came from the sand
Dry facts without water and colors -
There our fighters controlled
Near a car blown up by a land mine ...

And the world must be in silence
Petrified both hearts and faces
The gardeners threw shell-shocked guys
Not even trying to bite.

When the trunks run into whiskey
It makes no sense to bustle and unlock.
Both spirits and sands will speak
Or to the shaitan all the words about the brotherhood ...
If we clean it up specifically, the success of CAA is ensured. And if not, they are unlikely to have a snack. The East is a delicate matter, thinner than a mosquito penis.

[Dima_Anlim]

Excuse me, how do these beautiful verses relate to the article? And how do they relate to you in line with the article?

[for]

But Assad is generally alive, but Russia and Turkey share something, agree, the United States pump oil, and the owner is where.

[Kabaev]

I read the comments and ran a chill on my back ...
Most of the unsubscribed military strategists here are retarded and thank God ...
The level of global thinking has remained at the school level of Pavel Grachev and the first Chechen ...

[Grits]

Quote: Kabaev

I read the comments and ran a chill on my back ...
Most of the unsubscribed military strategists here are retarded and thank God ...
The level of global thinking has remained at the school level of Pavel Grachev and the first Chechen ...

Show your tactical genius and level of thinking. We will appreciate your talent after a while.

[aszzz888]

In this regard, the Syrian army would be advisable to use the previous tactics and move to Idlib from two sides.

I believe the CAA will do just that. The Syrians have learned to successfully make "cauldrons" for barmaley. Good luck CAA !!!

[Demagogue]

Quote: Gritsa

I am not an expert in tactics, but it was not difficult to understand that Idlib would not be taken on the forehead. For too long, the approaches to it strengthened. Especially with the artillery of the Turks on the flanks. I think so far the first task for the CAA is to clear the M-5 highway in order to quickly transfer forces and assets. It essentially turns into a rocky road and will be of critical importance in the near future. And as further, sometimes it is possible to predict where our VKS strikes. More often than not, the SAA then rushes there. And now it is also seen that they began to intensively bomb settlements north of Taftanaz. Apparently with plans to make a breakthrough and cut the supply route for the Turks Idlib - the Turkish border.

There was apparently no strong defense in Idlib. But this is a building, and there all one thing is not quickly understood. An uncomfortable terrain to the west of Idlib. To step hard. It was the terrain that determined the direction of the main attacks. And our bomb many where. They ironed the north recently, although it was clear that so far there would be no offensive.

[Dima_Anlim]

Thanks to the author for the tip to the command of the Syrian army. And the Russian-Iranian contingent also apparently needed a hint from the author. And then they are poor without maps, without analysts, without everything at all there are fighting. They don't see anything at point blank range. They are waiting for the author’s statues on VO to understand everything.

[lvov_aleksey]

everything is simpler and the Turks and the SAA understand that something needs to be done with the star-striped, these create new bases near the central oil fields!