Nuclear weapons could be salvation for Iran


Recent events in the Middle East, including the removal of General Kassem Suleimani, have again drawn the world's attention to Iran’s nuclear program. Although while Iran uses the atom for peaceful purposes, with due effort in a few years, the country can acquire its own nuclear weapons.


Not so long ago, a publication was published in the Foreign Policy journal citing the opinion of an expert on the Arms Control Association Kelsi Davenport. It is argued that at the current level of technology development, it can take a maximum of a year for Iranians to create their own nuclear weapons. It will be necessary to enrich to the weapons level those uranium reserves that the Islamic Republic possesses today.

Regarding technological capabilities, Iran has tried to develop them over many decades. After all, its nuclear program is rooted in the Shah period. Shah Reza Pahlavi dreamed of making Iran energetically self-sufficient - to build its own nuclear power plants. Then the nuclear program also acquired military content, which became especially relevant after the Islamic Revolution, although the country's authorities did not officially announce a course on the development of nuclear weapons.

For modern Iran, nuclear weapons can become a means of reliable protection from aggression by their main opponents - the United States and Israel. In addition, nuclear weapons would give Iran an unambiguous advantage over regional competitors - Saudi Arabia and Turkey. The DPRK example shows that the West is reluctant to even associate with those countries for which it is suspected that they have nuclear weapons.

However, the very fact that Iran has a nuclear program is very frightening and annoying to the United States and Israel. Regular shootings of Iranian physicists involved, in the opinion of American and Israeli special services, in the nuclear program are only the most innocent "preventive means" of the West in the fight against the nuclear program of the Islamic Republic. If in the United States or Israel they receive information about Iranian facilities that have components for creating nuclear weapons, then with a high degree of probability these missiles will simply be launched.


What are the reasons for such a fear of Iran’s appearance of nuclear weapons? Firstly, Iran is almost the only “uncontrollable" country in the Middle East. The Iranian state is a multimillion population, a powerful religious and political ideology, ambition for leadership, if not in the entire Islamic world, then in its Shiite part for sure. Nuclear weapons will allow Iran to become a regional and even world power that is not afraid of threats from the United States.

Secondly, in the West they are concerned about the opportunities that will open before Iran if it has nuclear weapons. So, Iran will be able to strike at Israel, first of all - at its military infrastructure. Given that Israel most likely already has its own nuclear weapons, although the country's authorities deny this fact, the clash between Iran and Israel could lead to the most unpredictable consequences, especially if the Islamic Republic also has its own nuclear warheads.


At the same time, the Iranian leadership denies that the country is developing nuclear weapons. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in one of his speeches in the fall of 2019, stated that nuclear weapons are contrary to Islam, as they can destroy humanity, and President Hassan Rouhani in September 2019 emphasized that Iran does not seek to create nuclear weapons and can allow monitoring of its nuclear facilities . Six years earlier, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei even issued a fatwa on the prohibition of nuclear weapons.

Nuclear science is useful, but since it is not related to the love of humanity, it has led to nuclear disasters. Science, if it is not combined with an honest intellectual approach, will become dangerous,

- Ayatollah Khamenei once expressed his attitude to nuclear weapons.

In contrast to Pakistan, which has nuclear weapons or does not hide its interest in Saudi Arabia and Turkey, Iran officially rejects the idea of ​​creating it. But the provocative actions of the United States and its allies can ultimately affect the still relatively peaceful position of the great ayatollah and the political leadership of the Islamic republic. Moreover, political statements are one thing, and real politics is another. And for modern Iran, nuclear weapons may well become the most important guarantee of the inviolability of the existing theocratic regime.
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  1. Lamata 6 February 2020 09: 46 New
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    How many weapons he can do, the means of delivery, he will not reach the FSA, but he will beat the Saudis, and the FSA will not care for those Saudis.
    1. paul3390 6 February 2020 09: 55 New
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      How do you not like a conventional container ship or diesel submarine as a delivery vehicle? Yes - as a means of retaliation, it does not roll, although it is not a fact. The availability of weapons is important, and how to deliver them - in the modern world there are enough options ..
      1. Grandfather 6 February 2020 10: 13 New
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        Nuclear weapons could be salvation for Iran
        nuclear weapons, salvation for any state. an example is S.Koreya, a trump raped.
        1. Yehudi Menuhin 6 February 2020 11: 03 New
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          There, without nuclear weapons in the event of a large-scale conflict, Seoul will have to be very sour. And so by and large, well, to whom does the puffer interfere? No one ...
          1. Arlen 6 February 2020 15: 14 New
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            Quote: Yehudi Menuhin
            Well, who prevents the puffer?

            Not "puffer", but the Chairman of the State Council of the DPRK Kim Jong-un! And it interferes with the United States and its hangman from Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and others.
            1. Lister 7 February 2020 01: 22 New
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              Quote: Arlen
              Not "puffer", but the Chairman of the State Council of the DPRK Kim Jong-un!

              Indeed, is it possible to call the head of state, no matter which country. While humiliating any head of state, we humiliate all the people living in the country, at the same time flaunting our lack of culture.
            2. Yehudi Menuhin 7 February 2020 08: 00 New
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              Are you talking nonsense on beliefs or on a paid basis? laughing
      2. Lamata 6 February 2020 10: 22 New
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        Iran should suit me as a player in the political arena of the world I do not consider myself. I'm a half-expert wink
      3. Aleksandr21 7 February 2020 08: 11 New
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        Quote: paul3390
        The availability of weapons is important, and how to deliver them - in the modern world there are enough options ..


        This is what scares, the proliferation of nuclear weapons in the Middle East, and then this is the Pandora’s box. Now Iran will do nuclear weapons, then Turkey will definitely want to have nuclear weapons (after all, since the Sultan would be without it?), Then the Saudis will want it because the neighbors will have heat and go. It’s not going to end in anything good.
    2. Amateur 6 February 2020 10: 18 New
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      How many weapons can he make, delivery vehicles, he won’t reach the FSA

      Kim will advise them on what to do. I already present:
      "Is he [Kim Chen In] Ali Hosseini Khamenei is a very good person. He’s funny and very very smart, ”Trump told about his impressions.
      1. Lamata 6 February 2020 11: 09 New
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        And then Kim. will reach? to frighten fish in the ocean reap means to really be able to hit
        1. Arlen 6 February 2020 15: 16 New
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          You probably do not know, but on December 12, 2012, the DPRK entered the club of space powers, putting into orbit an artificial Earth satellite.
  2. svp67 6 February 2020 09: 50 New
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    I'm afraid it won’t save. To make such a weapon, it is necessary to accumulate material, I doubt very much that it will turn out unnoticed by them and, in the end, it is necessary to test these weapons, and as soon as this happens, Iran will simply be attacked by a coalition, since after the tests we still have to have time collect at least a dozen warheads, and this time, a great time
    1. Chaldon48 6 February 2020 10: 37 New
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      Nuclear weapons will guarantee Iran’s security only until no country possessing it decides to use it. True, only the two countries of the United States and Russia can stop the world from completely crawling into the abyss by threatening to wipe out any state that does not comply with the ultimatum demand to stop the nuclear skirmish.
      1. Charik 6 February 2020 12: 02 New
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        Instead of a nuclear war with the destruction of entire states and peoples, it’s easier to remove those who want to start it, that Russia and the United States just must not allow a nuclear war
        1. Chaldon48 6 February 2020 13: 08 New
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          For a start, enmity between these states should gradually come down. How can this happen? The USA is a burglar, an eternal hunter for other people's resources. Russia is the last country that managed to save these resources, the United States will use the slightest opportunity to reach them.
          1. Charik 6 February 2020 23: 18 New
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            it’s understandable to everyone, so someone from Ameria buys gas-oil from us, and someone wants to free (fuck), that's why they arrange conflicts, GDP said, let’s say on equal terms, but they don’t want everything at once
            1. Chaldon48 6 February 2020 23: 56 New
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              Napoleon and Hitler also wanted to gobble up the whole of Russia, God forbid there is a similar strategist in the USA.
      2. Aleksandr21 7 February 2020 08: 19 New
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        Quote: Chaldon48
        Nuclear weapons will guarantee Iran’s security only until no country possessing it decides to use it.


        So after Iran, nuclear weapons will also be wanted by other countries of the Middle East, because when a neighbor has a nuclear club, the rest will need it, especially if they are in a bad relationship or share territory. As an example, Turkey with the new project of the Ottoman Empire, and there’s nothing to say about Asia ... the massive spread of such weapons will lead to disaster, God forbid they fall into terrorists, or they will not be stored properly, or maybe some Nazis will come to power to any country ... and how will it end? When they talk about protection from the United States, why don’t they think about such a moment that it would be in 2014 if Ukraine had nuclear weapons? Turchinov, Yarosh, etc. apply it for us?
        1. Chaldon48 7 February 2020 11: 32 New
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          Iran’s neighbors didn’t have such a hurt as Iran, and they couldn’t make a bomb from scratch overnight. It seems necessary to tighten control. And so with the modern development of technology, anyway, someone will want just in case. The trouble is that the US has already tortured everyone with its threats of violent "democratization" if it weren’t, and Iran could well limit itself to the peaceful use of atomic energy.
  3. Mityay65 6 February 2020 09: 58 New
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    For modern Iran, nuclear weapons can become a means of reliable protection from aggression by their main opponents - the United States and Israel. In addition, nuclear weapons would give Iran an unambiguous advantage over regional competitors - Saudi Arabia and Turkey. The DPRK example shows that the West is reluctant to contact even those countries for which it is suspected that they have nuclear weapons

    The analysis is correct. I am more than convinced that the ayatols are now collecting nuclear weapons in three shifts. The question for them is only in the amount of fissile material, it may not be enough for a few dozen bombs. But the secret of technology is no longer there.
    Of course, the ayatols will lie to the last, that they are white and fluffy, and do not plot anything like that with nuclear weapons. But with their side in such a situation, abandoning nuclear weapons is simply stupid, moreover, it is a betrayal of their people. After the assassination of Sulaymaniyah, Iran received the moral right to send everyone further away ...
    Yes, both CA and Turkey will start now too ..
    That will be fun. Roaring 20s begin? laughing
    1. svp67 6 February 2020 10: 54 New
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      Quote: Mityai65
      I am more than convinced that the ayatols are now collecting nuclear weapons in three shifts.

      To do this, the IAEA inspectors must be “moved away” from the centrifuges, but Iran has not yet done so. And their material is not suitable for creating a normal atomic bomb, "dirty" - yes, and so what would be "adult", alas ...
      1. Mityay65 6 February 2020 11: 06 New
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        Quote: svp67
        their material is not suitable for creating a normal atomic bomb, "dirty" - yes, and so what would be "adult", alas ...

        I think the Iranian atomic bomb passed the test in S. Korea. And they already have up to a dozen bombs.
        But overall, yes, fissile material is not enough. It is unclear how much they could get from Pakistan and S. Korea, or from some other kind people ...
        1. svp67 6 February 2020 11: 14 New
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          Quote: Mityai65
          It is unclear how much they could get from Pakistan and S. Korea, or from some other kind people ...

          It’s unlikely that Pakistan will shiita put it from Shiita ... But the Koreans can, it’s only past the Israelis to take uranium to enrichment and get it back, but it’s not easy
  4. Amateur 6 February 2020 10: 15 New
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    Israel, most likely, also already has its own nuclear weapons, although the country's authorities deny this fact,

    Israel never confirmed, but never denied the presence of nuclear weapons.
    NO COMMENT
    1. Mityay65 6 February 2020 10: 59 New
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      Quote: Amateur
      Israel never confirmed

      There, one comrade confirmed everything - Mordechai Vanunu. Passed all. For which he was stolen and tormented for many years.
      Quote: Amateur
      but he never refuted the presence of nuclear weapons.

      The situation is such that after exposing Vanunu, the nuclear program of Israel and South Africa, they had a joint relationship with them, they took up it seriously. South Africa eventually stopped the program and disposed of everything, including several atomic bombs. And joined the non-proliferation treaty.
      But what is not clear with Israeli nuclear weapons, only rumors. They say that everything was transferred to the USA "for storage", incl. fissile material, with the possibility of return if neighbors will possess nuclear weapons.
      1. Ezekiel 7 February 2020 14: 37 New
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        Quote: Mityai65
        The situation is such that after the revelations of Vanunu, the nuclear program of Israel and South Africa

        The test question remains. Nuclear weapons in general, and especially of that period, could not be developed without testing. There was only one event that could be qualified as a test - the Vela incident. This is not enough. Therefore, the appearance of nuclear weapons in South Africa and Israel can be considered conditional.
        Nuclear weapons remained unfinished.
  5. Magic archer 6 February 2020 10: 17 New
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    Well, for the United States, Iran is clearly not a threat, since there are no means of delivery. But for Israel and the Saudis, yes. But we will be objective. The policy of the latter is hostile to Iran. And he has the right to his yao. IMHO
  6. Chervonny 6 February 2020 10: 22 New
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    The possession of nuclear weapons for Iran is, first of all, the country's security. It is certain that the United States will not attack Iran. The United States will not attack a country from which it is possible to retaliate, even if not on the territory of the United States, but on their Saudi allies. For the United States, the Persian Gulf is very important, so most likely the states will put pressure on Iran with political and terrorist acts.
    Regular shootings of Iranian physicists,

    State terrorism today is one of the main strategies for their fight against those who disagree with the US foreign policy.
    1. Lister 7 February 2020 01: 25 New
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      Quote: Red
      State terrorism today is one of the main strategies for their fight against those who disagree with the US foreign policy.

      The death toll from the unleashed state terrorism of the United States is very large.
  7. Cowbra 6 February 2020 10: 36 New
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    Nuclear weapons in the hands of fanatics - this is certainly a threat. But the problem is that fanatics ALREADY possess nuclear weapons. The difference between religious fanaticism and ideological fanaticism is insignificant. And ideological fanaticism is, for example, a firm belief in the belief that the only form of permissible world order is the so-called democracy. So the followers of such an ideology can clearly explain why there can be no socialism in China, and in Iran - a religious, and not secular state? That's why? But there are simply no reasonable arguments! And the fanatics of the so-called democracy - nuclear weapons, and they can use it - may well. Pissing in the head - and go! Already used. While specifically the religious state of Pakistan - for example, did not apply. Although the war led. And who is inadequate, who is an uncontrollable fanatic? USA - it turns out like this
    1. VicktorVR 6 February 2020 11: 02 New
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      What kind of fanatics are there? What ideology? There are no fanatics there and the ideology is simple - Power. Democracy is a beautiful and convenient package.
      So on the “that” side of the use of nuclear weapons there will be no 200% certainty:
      1. in total impunity (no loss)
      2. to the advantage of "their" power
      Otherwise, there is no sense for "them".
      1. Cowbra 6 February 2020 11: 16 New
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        Yes, the most natural fanatics. Who is a fanatic? This is the one who believes. that only he is right, and any opinion, different from his own, has no right to exist. While a priest, for example, serves in a church, he is a priest. but if he begins to saigat through the streets and yell for example - ish, you babies. hell of fire is waiting for you for stepping out onto the street without a scarf on his head - he is a sick dignity of ve titsch. This is a fanatic! And in the USA it is the dominance of fanaticism! You can be gay - yes. not like all this gay! And for example, to consider that homosexuality is biologically a deviation from the norm is impossible, do you think not like everyone else? Well, just like in a joke - "I farted, they kicked me out of the class, they sit there themselves, sniffing - where is the logic. Damn?" laughing
  8. Operator 6 February 2020 10: 47 New
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    In connection with the plan of the United States and Israel to annex the territory of the state of Palestine (turning it into cultural-national autonomy within Israel), Iran’s nuclear program may receive political and financial support from Arab countries.

    A kind of unexpected bully
    1. Cowbra 6 February 2020 10: 55 New
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      Yes, you know, nuclear weapons are by and large - such a horror story. Well yes, WMD. So what? You think it’s easier to find WMD - it won’t work out? Any furniture factory is tied with, for example, hydrocyanic acid, do you think it is more pleasant to die from poisoning than from a nuclear explosion?
    2. The comment was deleted.
      1. Operator 6 February 2020 13: 01 New
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        Why post your stream of consciousness? laughing

        You better learn the materiel - the decision of the UN General Assembly of 1947 on the creation of Jewish and Arab states on the territory of the mandated UN of Palestine, approved by the relevant resolution of the UN Security Council (which is binding on all UN members). The decision of the General Assembly is accompanied by a map of the borders of two states, which should be completely sovereign, including in military and international affairs (and not something culturally autonomous in the territory of micro-enclaves within the borders of Israel, which is proposed by the Trump plan)

        Therefore, until the Security Council decides otherwise or the Palestinian authorities agree with Trump’s plan, Israel must come to terms with the UN decision of 1947 or resign from the UN. Otherwise, according to the UN Charter, Israeli actions are unambiguously defined as annexation and can be suppressed by military force, for example, Iranian nuclear weapons on the basis of the appeal of the legitimately elected Palestinian authorities.
  9. rocket757 6 February 2020 10: 56 New
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    Sho say. If some had not climbed everywhere and everywhere ... those who "everywhere and everywhere" would not have rested and would not go to extreme, no matter what.
  10. shoroh 6 February 2020 11: 00 New
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    Everyone is talking so calmly about Yao Iran. But nothing that we will have a neighbor, on which there will be no council? We have enough nuclear China and almost nuclear Japan. Maybe you should still force everyone to obey the law on the non-proliferation of nuclear weapons?
    1. asv363 6 February 2020 11: 40 New
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      Iran did not withdraw from the NPT; all nuclear fuel cycle facilities are constantly monitored by IAEA inspectors.
    2. Bukhalov 6 February 2020 12: 40 New
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      Quote: shoroh
      Everyone is talking so calmly about Yao Iran. But nothing that we will have a neighbor, on which there will be no council? We have enough nuclear China and almost nuclear Japan. Maybe you should still force everyone to obey the law on the non-proliferation of nuclear weapons?

      What are you talking about ? And most importantly - to whom? To the operator, Krasnoyarsk, Taiga? As for them, yes even on the borders of Russia, even with Iran, even with Ukraine nuclear or thermonuclear weapons will appear, if only Israel and the Jews feel bad. That's the trick. If you already “thought of” Israel’s annexation of the territories of autonomy, then such trifles as nuclear weapons on Russian borders, in the hands of the Islamic theocracy — that’s so, some trifles.
      1. Ezekiel 7 February 2020 14: 15 New
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        Quote: Bukhalov
        What are you talking about ? And most importantly - to whom?

        When will Israel sign the NPT?
  11. Yehudi Menuhin 6 February 2020 11: 00 New
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    Two amendments: 1. Israel does not deny the presence of nuclear weapons, Israel does not confirm this fact laughing 2. Iran seeks possession of nuclear weapons, and this is dangerous already because nuclear weapons will automatically appear in SA and Turkey
    1. asv363 6 February 2020 11: 45 New
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      Quote: Yehudi Menuhin
      Iran seeks possession of nuclear weapons, and this is dangerous because nuclear weapons will automatically appear in SA and Turkey

      Where do they get nuclear weapons from?
      1. Yehudi Menuhin 6 February 2020 12: 13 New
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        I in Russian write "aspires". To strive and possess something is a little two big differences.
  12. Old26 6 February 2020 13: 12 New
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    At the same time, the Iranian leadership denies that the country is developing nuclear weapons. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in one of his speeches in the fall of 2019, stated that nuclear weapons are contrary to Islam, as they can destroy humanity, and President Hassan Rouhani in September 2019 emphasized that Iran does not seek to create nuclear weapons and can allow monitoring of its nuclear facilities . Six years earlier, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei even issued a fatwa to ban nuclear weapons
    .
    Iran then allowed the IAEA inspectors to inspect their facilities, then drove them out. It turns out now it's called allow monitoring of their atomic objects
    And if there is such a strict ban on the creation of nuclear weapons, then what kind of demon is asked to start enrichment up to 20%, say that 10 months and 190 SWU are enough to get weapons material, while stating that Iran wants to increase its enrichment capacity to 000 million SWU Massively produce and install new generation centrifuges, sometimes 1 times more productive than current ones? After all, those 50 centrifuges are enough to get the necessary amount of uranium from which it is possible to produce fuel for your nuclear power plant.

    In addition, the presence of nuclear weapons in the amount of several warheads is not a guarantee of the country's security. It still needs to be delivered to the Decision Centers. Moreover, if a state is not touched, this does not mean that having 10-20 nuclear weapons, the country will not be subjected to aggression. This means only one thing, that a decision on this matter has not been made due to some political problems.

    Quote: Lamata
    How many weapons he can do, the means of delivery, he will not reach the FSA, but he will beat the Saudis, and the FSA will not care for those Saudis.

    Very few. During the year, it will accumulate uranium for only one warhead. Which must not only be created (by or with the help of North Korean friends), but also experienced. And “swinging” one nuclear warhead is the same as teasing a tiger while being in the same clent

    Quote: paul3390
    How do you not like a conventional container ship or diesel submarine as a delivery vehicle? Yes - as a means of retaliation, it does not roll, although it is not a fact. The availability of weapons is important, and how to deliver them - in the modern world there are enough options ..

    And what, our "Warsaw" will reach the United States? Or maybe their mini boats? A container ship. Have you seen enough movies like "All Fears of the World" when a container ship delivered a charge to the US?
    Well, firstly, the same Americans are monitoring the development of Iran’s nuclear program. Secondly, the same US can establish a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, but soft, remotely "shining through" passing vessels for the transport of nuclear weapons
    Kamrad! do you really think that if a political decision is made to strike at Iran, then some 2-4 Iranian nuclear warheads will stop them. A blow to their territory will be received by their allies, not the United States. And if Iran suddenly (God forbid) be the first to use nuclear weapons - we can assume that in the best case the power has already changed there (because they will not forgive this) or even a country called Iran will cease to exist ...

    Quote: Mityai65
    The analysis is correct. I am more than convinced that the ayatols are now collecting nuclear weapons in three shifts.

    They now produce, install and produce fissile material in three shifts. Before the assembly of nuclear weapons is still very far ...

    Quote: Mityai65
    The question for them is only in the amount of fissile material, it may not be enough for several dozen bombs. But the secret of technology is no longer there.

    According to their statements, they now have 1200 tons of 3,5% uranium. If this is enough, then the creation of 2-3 ammunition maximum. But by no means a few dozen. Moreover, the figure itself is overstated by 200 tons. In December, their leadership in the nuclear industry announced that Iran has 800 tons of uranium and a monthly increase of 200 tons. And in January they already said that they had 1200 tons (an increase of 400 tons, of which 200 were taken "from the air")

    Quote: Mityai65
    But with their side in such a situation, abandoning nuclear weapons is simply stupid, moreover, it is a betrayal of their people. After the assassination of Sulaymaniyah, Iran received the moral right to send everyone further away ... Yes, both the SA and Turkey will now begin too ..
    That will be fun. Roaring 20s begin?

    The decision to create their own nuclear weapons will bring Iran no less trouble. The neighbors know about the leadership of Iran as politicians who are ready to wipe another state off the face of the earth. And any attempt to approach nuclear weapons could have far-reaching consequences for Iran. This is precisely what will be the betrayal of the interests of their own people, which will be under the bombs. Not leadership, but ordinary people. And if Iran tries to create its own nuclear weapons, then the first to do the same will be Saudi Arabia. And they have more money than Iran.

    And, the author! And what, it was impossible to put a photo with a ballistic missile, and not with the S-200 anti-aircraft complex?
    1. asv363 6 February 2020 15: 14 New
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      Quote: Old26
      According to their statements, they now have 1200 tons of 3,5% uranium. If this is enough, then the creation of 2-3 ammunition maximum. But by no means a few dozen. Moreover, the figure itself is overstated by 200 tons. In December, their leadership in the nuclear industry announced that Iran has 800 tons of uranium and a monthly increase of 200 tons. And in January they already said that they had 1200 tons (an increase of 400 tons, of which 200 were taken "from the air")

      Vladimir, according to the JCPOA, Iran was allowed to store on its territory no more than 300 kg of uranium in terms of hexafluoride, enrichment of 3,67%. The last statement was about 1200 kg uranium.

      It is enough to estimate in your mind that 1200 tons are approximately equal to 40 tons of HEU, enough for 400 nuclear warheads (tactical).
  13. smaug78 6 February 2020 13: 16 New
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    “For modern Iran, nuclear weapons can become a means of reliable protection from aggression from their main opponents - the United States and Israel.” This is probably Israel constantly declares that Iran should be wiped off the face of the earth. Another bottom from Polonsky, in the tanks he was already disgraced, now he decided in geopolitics laughing
  14. Butchcassidy 6 February 2020 13: 55 New
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    Iran has not yet made a fundamental decision on the creation of nuclear weapons. If it is adopted, then the current level of Iran’s scientific potential does not in principle imply that success will not be achieved.

    The question is to put Iran and Israel at the negotiating table. If anyone can do this except the Lord God, then only Russia.
  15. The comment was deleted.
  16. Old26 7 February 2020 01: 36 New
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    Quote: asv363
    It is enough to estimate in your mind that 1200 tons are approximately equal to 40 tons of HEU, enough for 400 nuclear warheads (tactical).

    No, Sergey! I won’t search now at night, tomorrow I’ll try to find a formula for recalculating uranium from 3,5% to 90% (weapons-grade)
    1. Ezekiel 7 February 2020 14: 12 New
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      Quote: Old26
      tomorrow I’ll try to find a formula for recalculating uranium from 3,5% to 90% (weapons-grade)

      Well, what about the formula? We are interested, don’t pull, plz!
  17. Old26 7 February 2020 16: 05 New
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    Quote: Arlen
    You probably do not know, but on December 12, 2012, the DPRK entered the club of space powers, putting into orbit an artificial Earth satellite.

    So what? In 1970, Japan launched the Lambda-4S launch vehicle, launching a satellite weighing 26 kg. The Iranians launched their Safir-2 with a payload of 27 kg. In January 2018, New Zealand became a space power, launching its satellite. But at the same time, it does not have intercontinental range missiles. The same is with the DPRK. All tests of their military missiles were conducted along high-altitude trajectories. At the same time, it was theoretically proved that the missile seemed to be intercontinental, because with a normal ballistic trajectory, the range would be 2-2,5 times greater than the height with a high-altitude trajectory. But in the DPRK, these missiles are considered ICBMs purely theoretically. Start at their maximum range NEVER HAPPENED. Therefore, nothing can be guaranteed.

    Quote: Mityai65
    There, one comrade confirmed everything - Mordechai Vanunu. Passed all. For which he was stolen and tormented for many years ..

    I served my EMNIP for 15 years and left. For this, actually put to the wall. Oh he, a true lover, himself came out, not carried on a stretcher ...

    Quote: Mityai65
    The situation is such that after exposing Vanunu, the nuclear program of Israel and South Africa, they had a joint relationship with them, they took up it seriously. South Africa eventually stopped the program and disposed of everything, including several atomic bombs. And joined the non-proliferation treaty.
    But what is not clear with Israeli nuclear weapons, only rumors. They say that everything was transferred to the USA "for storage", incl. fissile material, with the possibility of return if neighbors will possess nuclear weapons.

    South Africa did dismantle 6 atomic bombs. As for the transfer of fissile material to storage in America - this is unlikely. Yes, and they have a reactor capable of delivering over the year the amount of materials sufficient to produce several charges.

    Quote: asv363
    Quote: Yehudi Menuhin
    Iran seeks possession of nuclear weapons, and this is dangerous because nuclear weapons will automatically appear in SA and Turkey

    Where do they get nuclear weapons from?

    The Saudis have vast plans for nuclear power, and a very ambitious nuclear program. The same is with Turkey. In addition to all, one should not forget that it was Saudi Arabia that financed Pakistan’s nuclear program. And they hope to transfer to them, if not the nuclear weapons themselves, then the technologies for their creation. Plus research programs and research nuclear reactors launched in Saudi Arabia, Jordan, UAE ...

    Quote: Mityai65
    I think the Iranian atomic bomb passed the test in S. Korea. And they already have up to a dozen bombs.

    Moreover, without even a kilogram of 20% of uranium ....
    1. Mityay65 7 February 2020 17: 17 New
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      Quote: Old26
      Moreover, without even a kilogram of 20% of uranium ....

      This is from the "stab nightstand" series. lol
      Where does Iran get fissile material? - At S. Korea.
      And where does S.Koreya take fissile material? - Iran ...
      I don’t think that anyone really knows the state of Iran’s nuclear weapons. I think the ayatols have advanced very far from what the IAEA is saying and showing. They know how to lie, and they will do it again and again, because open cards until you have a hundred - one and a half BG with a carrier, it makes no sense. They conducted nuclear tests in S. Korea and there are no complaints against them, except for some kind of Mossad intelligence information.
      Remember what a surprise for everyone was the test of nuclear weapons by S. Korea at the time. They could not believe for several years, inventing fairy tales about the explosion of a giant explosive depot ... Nobody knew it ... while the CIA, together with South Korean intelligence, wrote fairy tales about the mass famine and the shooting of the local Politburo ... it happens.
      After the assassination of Sulaymaniyah, international public opinion is on the side of ayatol. They have a moral advantage - Iran is a state in respect of which an act of state terrorism was carried out. It seems that now Iran will have more sponsors, they can help with uranium ...
  18. Old26 7 February 2020 18: 00 New
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    Quote: Ezekiel
    Well, what about the formula? We are interested, don’t pull, plz!

    The formula must be sought somewhere on the disk, but in the notes on this subject there is the following
    To make it clear the cascade of centrifuges is 164 centrifuges.
    Centrifuge performance is determined in kilograms of separation work units (kg SWU)
    Dumps / tailings (depleted uranium) has an enrichment of 0,2% or 0,3%
    Further. Enriched uranium can be obtained respectively from natural uranium, from 3,5% uranium or 20% uranium

    • To obtain 1 kg of weapons-grade uranium (90% enrichment), 219 kg of natural uranium and 193 kg of SWU will be required
    • To obtain 20 kg of weapons-grade uranium, 4400 kg of natural uranium and 4000 kg of SWU will be required
    • To obtain 20 kg of weapons-grade uranium, 560 kg of uranium with an enrichment of 3,5% and 1400 kg of SWU will be required
    • To obtain 20 kg of weapons-grade uranium, 91 kg of uranium with an enrichment of 20% and 370 kg of SWU will be required

    The cascade capacity is 1,2 kg SWU / year (productivity of centrifuges IR-1) x 164 centrifuges = 196,8 kg SWU / year

    To obtain 20 kg of weapons-grade uranium from natural uranium will require 20 cascades and a year of time
    To obtain 20 kg of weapons-grade uranium from enriched up to 3,5%, 8 cascades and a year of time will be required
    To obtain 20 kg of weapons-grade uranium from enriched up to 20%, 2 cascades and a year of time will be required

    Iran now has 1200 kg of 3,5% uranium. From this uranium, you can get 40 kg of weapons-grade uranium (during the year). And then there is the design question. You can make a bomb similar to "Baby." This will take about 64 kg of weapons-grade uranium. It is possible to make a bomb not of a cannon type, but of an implosive type. If it’s the simplest one, without a beridium reflector, it will take about 54 kg of weapons-grade uranium. If with a beryllium reflector 5 cm thick - 22,36 kg, if 10 cm thick - 14,9 kg, if 15 cm thick - 11,7 kg. But they are unlikely to immediately make an implosive scheme and with a reflector. It’s faster to make either a cannon type or a miplosive without a reflector.

    That is, from the above it can be concluded that in the best case, they will receive one charge per year by the end of the year. Well, then - how the suit will fall
  19. Old26 7 February 2020 19: 09 New
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    Quote: Mityai65
    Quote: Old26
    Moreover, without even a kilogram of 20% of uranium ....

    This is from the "stab nightstand" series. lol
    Where does Iran get fissile material? - At S. Korea.
    And where does S.Koreya take fissile material? - At Iran ..

    Yeah, well. To me - am I to you?

    The Iranian Atomic Energy Organization (OAEI) claims that at present, proven and confirmed national uranium reserves are approximately 5000 tons. Unconfirmed reserves, according to Iranian scientists, could amount to about 39 thousand tons of uranium.
    • Sagand deposit is located near the settlement Sagand (100 km northeast of the city of Yazd). According to recent estimates by the OAEI, the Sagand mine reserves are approximately 1,55 million tons of low-grade uranium ore with a 0,05% uranium content.
    Practical mining of uranium ore is carried out with an annual production rate of 100-120 thousand tons of ore.
    • In addition, Iran is developing an open uranium mine in the settlement Gyachin (50 km northwest of the city of Bandar Abbas). The mine consists of several levels of low-grade uranium ore that can be mined open-pit. According to Iranians, these deposits will make it possible to produce about 21 tons of natural uranium annually.

    • Some North Korean uranium enterprises.
    The following fields are being developed:
    Sunchon-Wolbingson Mine,
    Kusong Mine, North Pyongan Province,
    Pyongsan Mine. North Hwanghae Province,
    Sunchon Mine, South Pyongan,
    Unggi Mine,
    Yongchun, Songhak-ri, Hoiryeong, Yongchun, Songhak-ri, Hoiryeong deposits

    Quote: Mityai65
    I don’t think that anyone really knows the state of Iran’s nuclear weapons. I think the ayatols have advanced very far from what the IAEA is saying and showing. They know how to lie, and they will do it again and again, because open cards until you have a hundred - one and a half BG with a carrier, it makes no sense.

    It is your right, Dmitry, to think or not to think. But this industry is quite transparent and miscalculated. You can, for example, calculate how much weapons-grade plutonium is produced at their reactors. How much uranium is in centrifuges. There is nothing secret about it. Take and count, if there is source data.
    Centrifuge production - it occupies vast territories. And to hide it from the IAEA inspectors, if they arrived at the enterprise - it is impossible. Moreover, even if there is a secretly built production, it can always be detected. Firstly, it is energy-absorbing, and if there is still a reactor, then in addition to everything, there should be not only a power station, but also a water intake.
    So ayatols will receive a hundred and a half warheads in the best case in 50 years, not earlier, besides increasing the number of thousands of centrifuges to 60-70. Now they have 10 times less
    1. Mityay65 22 February 2020 22: 53 New
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      Vladimir, welcome.
      Here is a video dedicated to Iran’s missile program. You might be interested.
      Although I do not agree with the announcer, I believe that Iran, not S. Korea, is the source of rocket technology. Iran very well marauded in Ukraine in the 90s, and in Kharkov, and in the Dnieper and in Pavlograd. Everything was under Kuchma and with his blessing. My friends worked in those places in those days, they have never seen Koreans, and the Iranians grazed there constantly.
  20. Old26 23 February 2020 15: 05 New
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    Quote: Mityai65
    Vladimir, welcome.
    Here is a video dedicated to Iran’s missile program. You might be interested.
    Although I do not agree with the announcer, I believe that Iran, not S. Korea, is the source of rocket technology. Iran very well marauded in Ukraine in the 90s, and in Kharkov, and in the Dnieper and in Pavlograd. Everything was under Kuchma and with his blessing. My friends worked in those places in those days, they have never seen Koreans, and the Iranians grazed there constantly.

    Greetings, Dmitry, and Happy Holiday! The information is not new for me, although the author did a great job, combined everything in one video and "chewed".
    I do not agree with everything, but the disagreement is not of a fundamental nature. What can be said about technology. Both the North Korean and Iranian programs “feet grow” precisely from the developments of the USSR. Something was received after the collapse of the USSR and from Ukraine, there are no questions. In particular, materials on long-range cruise missiles. At first, North Korea served as a source of technology for Iran. Gradually, their paths diverged and now there are practically two independent programs: Iranian and North Korean. Iran has advanced most in solid fuel technology. The nomenclature of such missiles in Iran is quite extensive. North Korea pulled ahead on long-range missiles. The only thing that needs to be said unequivocally is that both Iranians and Koreans have successes. And significant. Although some of their decisions are initially losing. In particular, basing in underground galleries