Transit of Russian gas through Ukraine decreased by more than five times

The transit of natural gas from the Russian Federation to Europe through the territory of Ukraine decreased by 5,3 times compared with the average pumping volume in December. Such data was provided by the Ukrainian GTS Operator company.

If the volume of gas pumped in December averaged 261 million cubic meters per day, then on January 1 this figure was at around 49,3 million cubic meters, and on January 2 - 38,8 million. At the same time, the Ukrainian GTS Operator claims that all transit applications received from Gazprom to deliver gas to EU countries and Moldova are fully implemented.

At the moment, an agreement is signed between the Russian company Gazprom and the Ukrainian operator, signed by the parties in Vienna on December 31, 2019. According to the agreement, in 2020, 65 billion cubic meters of natural gas will be passed through the gas transmission system of Ukraine. In the next four years, Russia will be obliged to pump 40 billion cubic meters of gas through the Ukrainian gas transmission system annually.

In addition, Gazprom, as you know, agreed to pay $ 2,9 billion to Ukraine by arbitration in Stockholm, while Ukraine refuses further claims and will not file new lawsuits.

Comments

[Andrei Gurov]

The last five-year period of the Ukrainian pipe.

[The popuas]

There are two more built. There is something to catch

[SNEAKY]

And there, for an hour, Belarus was not among the leaders in supplying solvents to the noise? Already cranked, it turned out)

[bessmertniy]

Somehow, it was painfully bold that the volumes of gas transit were recorded in the contract. For five years, the need for it in Europe may change, but the contract will still have to be pumped.

[ltc35]

Moreover, on the sly the block of shares of the "national property" was leaked to a foreign investor. And the price tag was not indicated in the media. This is not casual.

[Qwertyarion]

Quote: ltc35

Moreover, on the sly the block of shares of the "national property" was leaked to a foreign investor.

Someone very skillfully played the topic of gas transit and the new joint venture gas pipeline.
It is very likely that these are our "partners" the Americans.
Maybe they bought Gazprom shares.

[cniza]

Quote: bessmertniy

Somehow, it was painfully bold that the volumes of gas transit were recorded in the contract. For five years, the need for it in Europe may change, but the contract will still have to be pumped.

Consumption is growing every year and the Ukrainian pipe for safety, until all the flows are working.

[Sergey39]

Quote: Qwertyarion

Maybe they bought Gazprom shares.

25.2% of Gazprom shares are held by ADR (American Depositary Receipt)

[major147]

Quote: Qwertyarion

they bought up.

five%??

[vitvit123]

And if you can explain why you need to know who sold the package to? As far as I understand, this is a huge amount of money and it should not be in the public domain, it never happens, big money likes silence ...
The price tag was at a discount somewhere between 30 and 40 rubles. From the price of that moment, well, I’m telling you that I heard it myself (not 100%).
And what conclusions can be drawn from this .. conclusions can be made different, as you like, from the discharge of the company, to the involvement of a foreign investor, to push interests. What conclusions do you need?

[vorobey]

Quote: vitvit123

The conclusions can be made different, as you like, from the discharge of the company, to the involvement of a foreign investor, to push interests. What conclusions do you need?

[kjhg]

Quote: bessmertniy

For five years, the need for it in Europe may change, but the contract will still have to be pumped.

Not certainly in that way. The pumping agreement contains the condition "pump or pay". In other words, you can pump less, but you still have to pay for the minimum amount of pumping prescribed in the contract.
In general, what is this article about? What kind of id .. is it designed for? The fact that on the first day of the New Year they pumped gas five times less than the average in December, when the pumping volumes were maximum? At the end of the year, they will still pump at least the volume that is recorded in the contract.

[Qwertyarion]

Quote: kjhg

At the end of the year, they will still pump at least the volume that is recorded in the contract.

Yes, but the majority of readers do not know this, and therefore make a topic for them out of nothing.
In Russia, the cost of gas transit for consumers is determined by the forecast annual plan.
It doesn’t matter how much you consume in a particular month, the main thing is to fit into the gas volume plan for the year.

[major147]

Quote: kjhg

In general, what is this article about?

The fact that the gas went through SP-1 in full and even moved along the TP.

[vitvit123]

You don’t have to download, you have to pay for what you didn’t pump. They pay for a certain amount, if you do not download it, then compensate with money.
Download or pay. We used to say: take it or pay, now Ukraine tells us: download or pay. In principle, this is normal, no matter how I wish them defeat in this confrontation.

[NKT]

Download or pay, as well as take or pay - there is nothing wrong with that, but only to us this rule was “edited” by the most “fair” court in the world, having reduced volumes in the contract by ten times. This is not normal.

[Piramidon]

Quote: NKT

Download or pay, as well as take or pay - there is nothing wrong with that, but only to us this rule “edited” the most “fair” court in the world, having reduced volumes in the contract ten times. This is not normal.

What's so crazy. This does not mean that Gazprom must necessarily pump 10 times less. If demand increases, you can pump more. After all, no one has limited the upper limit.

[NKT]

I’m talking about the previous contract between Gazprom and Naftogaz. There was a rule to take or pay 50 billion m3. The court reduced this requirement for Naftogaz and gave them about $ 40 billion.

[DMB_95]

Quote: Piramidon

Quote: NKT

Download or pay, as well as take or pay - there is nothing wrong with that, but only to us this rule “edited” the most “fair” court in the world, having reduced volumes in the contract ten times. This is not normal.

What's so crazy. This does not mean that Gazprom must necessarily pump 10 times less. If demand increases, you can pump more. After all, no one has limited the upper limit.

If in Europe really strongly If the demand for our gas increases, then countries such as Germany may finally give a damn about future US sanctions and revise the agreements under which we have the right to "fill the pipes" by only 50% thanks to the European court. Well, the interests of Ukraine will be "to the light". Your shirt is somehow closer to your body even in Europe.

[Kuzmitsky]

The need for gas may change. And most likely, in the direction of growth.

[Qwertyarion]

The gas distribution system is arranged a little differently, the gas supplier can only guarantee that it will pump certain volumes through a specific pipe from the volumes that the consumer declares.
That is, we are talking about the fact that, in principle, it would be possible to pump less through Ukraine through other routes, but someone persistently asks for support of the Ukrainian "partners".

[Vadim237]

LNG demand growth - while dumping prices have been set for it, and then customers will specifically sit on it and prices will start to go up - stepwise.

[Altona]

Quote: Kuzmitsky

The need for gas may change. And most likely, in the direction of growth.

---------------------
Yes, something does not grow this need. The United States is not in vain began to export its hydrocarbons. Alternative energy is growing slowly and the climate is getting warmer.

[kjhg]

Quote: Kuzmitsky

The need for gas may change. And most likely, in the direction of growth.

Sergey, in the article you did not indicate two more important points. First: in the event that the pumping volume exceeds 65 billion this year and 40 billion in the next 4 years, the cost of pumping for this volume will be much higher than the pumping cost specified in the contract. The second point: during the past year, underground gas storages in Europe were almost completely filled with gas in case transit stopped through Ukraine. Therefore, now Gazprom is forced to temporarily reduce transit to Europe so as not to drop the price of gas due to an oversupply. This is precisely the main reason for the temporary decrease in transit. This is a very important point that needed to be pointed out.

[krillon]

Is not a fact. The European market is a pretty tidbit and enough to bite off our part. Growth is possible, but whether it will increase for us is a question.

[Brturin]

Quote: bessmertniy

In five years, the need for it in Europe may change

Everything can be measured .. but so far, according to the European Commission's report on gas consumption in the EU in Q3 2019, it has grown by 7% compared to the same period last year, amounting to 84 billion cubic meters. m, with only 25 billion cubic meters of them. m covered by domestic gas production. In addition to the EU - on December 20, Switzerland - the Mullenberg nuclear power plant was shut down (on May 21, 2017 in a referendum - 58,2% for the phasing out of the nuclear power plant), so this is not the last.

[Altona]

Quote: BrTurin

Everything can be measured .. but so far, according to the report of the European Commission on gas consumption in the EU in the 3rd quarter of 2019, it increased by 7% compared to the same period last year

---------------------------
Well, Duc, the US is not in vain want to bite off market share. This growth is more likely by climatic indicators. Winter will be warmer, it will decrease.

[Brturin]

Quote: Altona

This growth is more likely by climatic indicators

Climate is, of course, climate, only the European desire to "turn green" should not be discounted - above is about nuclear power plants, and he refuses from coal power plants - in December the Hemweg electric power plant was closed in the Netherlands.

[Nyrobsky]

Quote: bessmertniy

Somehow, it was painfully bold that the volumes of gas transit were recorded in the contract. In five years, the need for it in Europe may change,

If the need can change, then only in a big way, since Europe is consistently moving towards the rejection of nuclear energy.
PS- And yet, yes, since the contract has been signed, you will have to download it, unless some kind of "force majeure" is drawn.

[krops777]

Somehow, it was painfully bold that the volumes of gas transit were recorded in the contract. For five years, the need for it in Europe may change, but the contract will still have to be pumped. feel

Maybe it will change, but not five times.

[carstorm 11]

according to all forecasts, they will not become smaller but will only grow.

[NF68]

Quote: bessmertniy

Somehow, it was painfully bold that the volumes of gas transit were recorded in the contract. For five years, the need for it in Europe may change, but the contract will still have to be pumped.

Gas consumption in the EU is constantly growing. The EU produces too little of its "own" gas, and the likelihood that the volume of gas produced in the EU will noticeably increase is also small.

[Finches]

Russian gas-aggressor, in the next occupied the Ukrainian pipe that is independent! The Nazis are silent ...

[Qwertyarion]

Or Gazprom someone bent for himself.

[Finches]

I don’t know who bent Gazprom, but I know exactly who he bent ... And this is far from the Ukrainians!

[Stas157]

Quote: Finches

I don’t know who bent Gazprom, but I know exactly who he bent ... And this is far from the Ukrainians!

National treasure is expensive for the people.

[vitvit123]

It's not the same for everybody . To speak for all the people ...

[Qwertyarion]

Wait and see, the picture will clear up in the coming year

[Barmaleyka]

Quote: Andrei Gurov

The last five-year period of the Ukrainian pipe.

in December they wrote - the last month

[Barmaleyka]

Well, tell minus signers, I'm wrong, WON'T WRITTEN, or is it just insulting what they wrote?

[carstorm 11]

40 yards per year is the edge of the profitability of this GTS. this is not taking into account its service. any accident and the circus will begin. I honestly was very surprised that Ukraine agreed to such a thing.

[Barmaleyka]

Quote: carstorm 11

40 yards a year is the edge of the profitability of this GTS

But can you find out who and how did this calculation?

[carstorm 11]

Yes, you can do it yourself even by indirect signs. I recall that for example, in 2016, 82 yards were pumped through Ukraine. And Naftogaz reported that it incurs losses. everything is. see for yourself. There are enough analysts on this subject. no one hides financial statements. the transit revenue for their reports in 2016 was $ 1.75 billion, but it’s just transit revenue. just one of the points of their activity. but not their net profit. even if it is considered so primitive, it will now officially become half as much. That's just the cost that will not fall as well)

[Barmaleyka]

Quote: carstorm 11

.a Naftogaz reported that it incurs losses.

I beg you, did you see the papers? !!!!
what they said and what is actually two big differences

Quote: carstorm 11

That's just the cost that will not fall as well)

Do you know the amount of expenses? our gasmen and oilmen are always whining the same that they sell gas at a loss

[carstorm 11]

This paper you 30 years ago) financial statements become official after placement. financial institutions have nothing to disassemble. all the numbers that they voice are what they provide and it’s only their troubles if they change them. any audit and they end. at what public. as for the amount of expenses, I repeat, with that transit, they officially reported losses. and the numbers are all there too. which logically suggests that the costs are left and a piece of the income is leaving. what for ? I do not know. I think they want to stay in the transit chain by any means.

[Barmaleyka]

Quote: carstorm 11

any audit and they end. at what public. as for the amount of expenses, I repeat, with that transit, they officially reported losses.

Give the sum of the costs of maintaining the GTS of Ukraine, well, since it is in the public domain

[carstorm 11]

Google to help)))) and the question is not the right one. GTS profitability is more accurate.

[Barmaleyka]

Quote: carstorm 11

Google to the rescue))))

as always, if you do not know and do not have data, why not argue

Quote: carstorm 11

GTS profitability is more accurate.

yes just the opposite
maintenance costs and profitability are two different things

[carstorm 11]

I know that they are different. it’s just the cost of servicing it is included in profitability. if transit revenues fall then either expenses should fall as well or I don’t know what should happen so that the pipe remains profitable. Well, as an example, one of the forecasts of costs for 18 years
According to Mott MacDonald, the cost of modernizing the GTS for the transit of 30 billion cubic meters per year should be $ 2,7 billion.

[Barmaleyka]

Quote: carstorm 11

if transit revenues fall or expenses should fall as well

with what fright?
expenses will remain just unchanged well if they are not artificially reduced by reducing employees, salaries, or by reducing the cost of repairs and adjustment.

[carstorm 11]

but what I’m talking about))) the expenses remained, but the transit income fell two times. conclusion?) I’m not talking about modernization right now which only the lazy did not talk about. what income? just by analyzing the statements of specialists over the past 10 years who claimed that only with a minimum of 80 yards, the profitable gas pipeline does not go into everything that was written above, this contract is strange to the point of absurdity. We agreed on a critical minimum and at the same time closed our own paths for lawsuits. This is some new word in business. .

[Barmaleyka]

Quote: carstorm 11

the last 10 years, which claimed that only with a minimum of 80 yards, the gas pipeline is profitable

ONCE AGAIN you saw documented expenses on the maintenance ?!
all the rest scattering ashes of heads is nothing more than commercial tricks in the negotiations, he himself did more than once

[carstorm 11]

I wrote, if you judge only by the statements of specialists) with it from all sides. and it cannot be purely physically profitable that something like that when loading is several times less than the calculated one) especially when it is in transit. it’s like driving 300 people aircraft around the country at a load of 100. Is there 200 to compensate for? or raise the price or subsidies. judging by the prices that announced the price of transit has not risen. 32 bucks as it was years ago. then what conclusions can still be? GTS is not just a pipe, it is a system. which must be maintained and at my own expense I note and expensive. this is planning for years in which costs will only increase. and they agree to a contract in which transit profits fall by half. and this despite the fact that Naftogaz only reports losses. where the pancake in this is at least something from logic or tricks?) it looks more like a circus. And all this against the background of constant statements by various sources that modernization is billions of dollars. what to do? let it shake until it dies or what? as for the documentary-repeat financial analytics is open to all.

[Barmaleyka]

Quote: carstorm 11

and it cannot be profitable purely physically something like that when loading is several times less than the calculated

you can’t talk about this with confidence not doing a feasibility study of the system

Quote: carstorm 11

as for the documentary-repeat financial analytics is open to all.

you are deeply mistaken, ANYWHERE in the public domain you will not find financial reports, and analytics is fortune-telling on coffee grounds, with very few exceptions

[atalef]

Quote: Andrei Gurov

The last five-year period of the Ukrainian pipe

And according to Zhirinosky Ukraine was supposed to fall apart 4 years ago
And here is only a pipe.
Although according to Medvedev, he (transit) was supposed to stop 3 years ago.
strange.
In my opinion, someone

[vitvit123]

What's so strange? Life goes on and circumstances change. When Marriage Obama said that the Russian economy was torn to shreds ... it did not tear ... and now what of this? What to do with Obama? Clinging to words is not the best quality. Words can be taken out of context, rephrased, laid down a different meaning ...
If so worried, then probably need to present Zhirinovsky and Medvedev personally. There is only one way out.

[kjhg]

Quote: Andrei Gurov

The last five-year period of the Ukrainian pipe.

What if not? It seems to me that you are one of those who wrote a month ago that after the new year it will be possible to hand over the Ukrainian pipe to scrap metal. In five years you will write about the next last five years?

[carstorm 11]

and they gave her up for scrap. with its bandwidth which is several times more than 40 yards))) here you have a car and you tax it. only under a contract two clients a day that they would not die of hunger. and could carry 10 a day)))

[poquello]

what gas after a party? people need water

[Ravil_Asnafovich]

The show goes on.

[Qwertyarion]

. and Ukraine refuses further claims and will not file new lawsuits.

Oh, it’s just as simple as that, they said that they would not file new lawsuits, and indeed they would not.
About two months ...

[vitvit123]

I think so too. Why, after waiting for a while, Ukraine can’t file other lawsuits? .. Especially with such a court ...
But on the other hand, life goes on and live as it should .. maybe new gas pipelines will help get rid of this parasite, but then the question is, and others will not become parasites? Kaaaa then the lyrics turns out ..

[Piramidon]

Quote: Qwertyarion

Oh, it’s just as simple as that, they said that they would not file new lawsuits, and indeed they would not.
About two months ..

Do you really think that the Sumerians were simply taken a word without signing any documents?

[Qwertyarion]

I believe that strong players with a speckled deck of US and Europe cards are playing on the side of the Sumerians.

[Mentat]

Quote: Qwertyarion

. and Ukraine refuses further claims and will not file new lawsuits.

Oh, it’s just as simple as that, they said that they would not file new lawsuits, and indeed they would not.
About two months ...

Not “said,” but recorded in a settlement. If subsequent trials take place, Ukraine will not be able to demand anything included in these agreements.

[vitvit123]

Well, if so. But something new, something else to come up with? That's what doesn’t worry much. Really sorry judges!

[Qwertyarion]

. Ukraine will not be able to demand anything included in these agreements.

Our Ukrainian "partners" have repeatedly proved that they are still those inventors about claims in court.

[carstorm 11]

with these courts and their decisions you can wait for anything) after the circus called-make decisions in connection with the poor economic situation in Ukraine, I will not be surprised at anything.

[Incvizitor]

Little or not, this is still enough so that the banderlogs do not die, they themselves support this horde.

[Positiv]

They will have enough of this to dive ..))))

[sabakina]

Pipe gas is not a trifle to poke in your pockets ... And then the AZ fell at the third power unit of the South Ukrainian NPP ...

[Positiv]

Quote: sabakina

Pipe gas is not a trifle to poke in your pockets ..

Here Vyacheslav needs talent!

Quote: sabakina

And then the AZ fell at the third power unit of the South Ukrainian NPP ...

Here is a more serious problem ..

[knn54]

Maybe a deposit has been "found" in Slovakia?

[Aliken]

Ukraine will deceive.

[Monar]

What's so surprising? For six months, gas was driven to the storage facilities of Ukraine and Europe at a shocking pace. Filled to the eyeballs.
So the decline in supply is quite logical and expected.

[75 Sergey]

How quickly everyone changes their shoes!
The scribe, they shouted that Ukraine would be covered with a copper basin in 2015, they waited like manna from heaven that in 2020 Ukraine would not have money, because the transit of gas will stop, and now we have signed contracts for 5 years for gas and 10 years for oil, and everyone is shouting "hurray!" , then we'll show you!
They wouldn’t be dishonored all over the world, where is the guarantee that Russia will not owe Ukraine a coffin under the new contracts?
To put it more rudely, but it is impossible, because here everyone is so "cultured".
Weathervanes.

[carstorm 11]

everyone just got tired of them over the years and that’s all))) you don’t understand that the throughput of the Ukrainian GTS is more than 150 yards and 40 is now its limit?))) you don’t have to pump anymore))) you can learn the word profitability or maybe understand how they’ve bent you)))) what’s your own Naftogaz and not Gazprom))) the guarantee that it won’t owe it is the signed amicable settlement agreements) and you yourself signed them. In 2016, you pumped over 80 yards. and now there’s not even that, and this was documented with what I congratulate you on)))

[TAMBU]

I'll throw it on the fan, so to speak:

The minimum wage in Ukraine is higher than in Russia

From January 1, 2020, the minimum wage in Ukraine is 4723 hryvnias, which is in dollar terms higher than the minimum wage in Russia. About this in "Facebook" wrote the ex-deputy chairman of the state administration of Sevastopol Dmitry Baziv.

Starting from January 1, the minimum wage in Ukraine was increased by 13,2% to UAH 4723. At the rate of the NBU as of January 3, it is 199,4 dollars.

In Russia, the minimum wage is 12130 rubles. At the rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation as of January 3, it is 195,9 dollars.

According to Baziva, this happened for the first time.

https://sharij.net/167894

[askort154]

In addition, Gazprom, as you know, agreed to pay $ 2,9 billion to Ukraine by arbitration in Stockholm, while Ukraine refuses further claims and will not file new lawsuits.

When our minister Novak called this agreement “mutually beneficial,” I was “shocked.” “I suggested that Putin fire everyone!” Now, having figured it out, I realized that I was wrong.
It turned out that not the extension of the treaty between Russia and Ukraine, the trump card for the United States. This is an oil painting for Europe - "Russia has shown that it is not a reliable gas supplier for the EU." Therefore, the most reliable option for you is liquefied gas from the USA.
And we still do not have a junction in the South of Europe from the "Turkish Stream",
and SP -2 did not fit into the startup program. So, everything is explainable and understandable. The US was not able to completely disrupt our plans to launch SP-2, but only shifted them to the right.

[Altona]

Quote: askort154

When our minister Novak called this agreement “mutually beneficial,” I was “shocked.” “I suggested that Putin fire everyone!” Now, having figured it out, I realized that I was wrong.

---------------------------
In any case, you need to look at the economic component. And Gazprom's maneuvers are still unprofitable. He is not allowed to pump more than 15-20 billion cubic meters through the new branches, but they are designed for 50-60, that is, they are still being pushed into Ukraine, plus the costs of building "streams".

[Avior]

It is logical and natural
Before the New Year, it is unclear that it will be in transit, so all storage facilities were filled with gas to the maximum
Now, until the level of reserves decreases, mining, there will be fewer applications, will be taken from storage

[Brturin]

Quote: Avior

Now, until the level of reserves decreases, mining, there will be fewer applications, will be taken from storage

And why, now the price of gas in Europe is low and why use the "stash" - last winter was warm and in the spring of 2019 there was twice as much gas in European storage facilities, the same Gazprom - "During the warm winter of 2018-2019, Gazprom took away less than 1 billion cubic meters (970 million cubic meters) of its gas from European "subways" ... Now an aggravation is possible in the BV, and there Qatar is next to its LNG - LNG prices may jump (for American LNG, this could be profitable, a topic for conspiracy theorists) ...

[Barmaleyka]

Quote: carstorm 11

even by indirect indications

sorry but this is not serious, real calculation e

[Kleber]

In principle, as an option, now give small volumes of 60 billion cubic meters, forcing Ukrainians to financially torment themselves with the current repair, and towards the end of the year give pressure to full capacity and the guarantee of pipe breaks is quite high. Thus remove the GTS from the market.

[Avior]

The volume of pumping depends on customer requests, and not on the desire to download more or less

[Kleber]

And customer requests depend on the technical feasibility of supplying gas to the gas transportation system of Ukraine. If desired, technical capabilities and six months may not be.

[Avior]

Requests Required

[Kleber]

Lord, I'm talking about artificially created technical obstacles ...

[Avior]

For the artificially created obstacles, Gazprom will have to pay a forfeit and lose the reputation of a supplier, which the Americans will quickly take a look at, so it is obvious that no one will do this

[Kleber]

Watching what artificially created obstacles. If desired, you can always create a breakdown to blame for which will be the Ukrainian side. In Russian speaking, such a setup, that no one would think that Russia was to blame.

[Avior]

You have a good imagination, but sober realists make decisions in such matters, so this is all unrealistic.

[cat Rusich]

I can only guess. The contract for pumping gas through the Ukrainian gas transportation system was extended under V. Zelensky. Some Russian leaders are making "some plans" for V. Zelensky. They will elect V. Zelensky for the SECOND term, with the continuation of "a certain policy of Ukraine", the contract will be extended ... In the event of a sharp tilt of V. Zelensky to NATO or "Bandera", the choice after V. Zelensky someone from the Maidan (for example, P. Poroshenko again) the contract will not be extended for "objective reasons".

[Avior]

The contract was not renewed, but entered into another
Although Gazprom tried to extend, but failed
And what other options do you think were? SP2 is not built and no one can name a clear date for the end of construction
And gas delivery to Europe hangs at Gazprom, gas is sold to customers only at the border of Ukraine with Europe