Worldwide Air Defense Sales Predicted

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In the coming decade, at least until 2027, steady growth is expected in the market for air defense and missile defense systems, according to a case study of the dynamics of the arms market (Air Defense Market - Global Industry Analysis, Size, Share, Growth, Trends, and Forecast, 2019–2027 ”).

This is “predicted” to happen, as the rise in disposable incomes, coupled with the growing need for security and the likelihood of international conflicts, will contribute to the development of the defense sector worldwide.



Saudi Arabia’s largest oil facility has recently been attacked, exacerbating the conflict between this country and Iran. And the United States is sending [to the Middle East] fighters and missile defense systems. [...] Growing tensions in the region and the widespread use of unmanned aerial vehicles are expected to be the main problems that will stimulate the growth of the air defense market

- noted in the media.

Leaders and newcomers


The market currently has a considerable number of different range of air defense systems that can be placed on a wide variety of offshore, air or ground platforms. The authors of the report expect that the growth of investment in innovation by key countries such as the United States, China, Russia, France and others will contribute to a significant increase in the market of anti-aircraft systems in the near future.

In addition, Turkey announced that its own development in the field of air defense-missile defense called Hisar-A is ready for production. The entire complex is placed on an armored platform of its own production. The novelty has successfully passed field trials, and the Turkish government is supposed to purchase it for its military.

The dominance of new technologies


In addition, the general expansion of cooperation and increased demand for advanced technologies, as noted in the text, will become key trends in this segment of the global arms market.

The authors of the report also expect that an increase in the capabilities of artificial intelligence, 3D printing and drones will contribute to a whole stream of innovations and the rise of the market, while reducing the cost of products and improving their quality. In the future, the rise in sales of air defense systems will also be favored by the improvement of lightweight fiber materials.

The report on the global market for air defense systems includes a detailed study of key regions of the world, including North America, Latin America, Europe, the Asia-Pacific region, as well as the Middle East and Africa. Among them, it is North America that will retain its leading position during the period under review, as stated in the study.
34 comments
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  1. +8
    26 December 2019 18: 24
    Russia needs to try to grab most of the air defense market! The prerequisites for this are very good, traditional Mattress buyers - are switching to contracts with Russia. Keep it up! good
    1. +2
      26 December 2019 18: 31
      Quote: Hunter 2
      Russia needs to try to grab most of the air defense market!

      Why grab it? We create air defense against our eternal enemies .. And those countries that agree with us actively began to buy them! Even the turn is worth it .. We Russians do not vomit, we just survived many wars and invasions ..
      1. +4
        26 December 2019 18: 48
        Our Russian S-500,
        The hump will blow to Patriot! lol
        1. 0
          26 December 2019 20: 27
          Quote: SRC P-15
          Our Russian S-500,
          The hump will blow to Patriot! lol

          Bullshit is your tongue twister. Fignya! This is their "Patriot" from the end of the 80s of the last century. This is what it turns out. Our newest C 500 is just now numb ??? am And what did the rest do? C300, C400 !!! And their various modifications!
          1. +3
            27 December 2019 01: 40
            Quote: Observer2014
            This is their "Patriot" from the late 80s of the last century.

            Have you heard the expression: "Fedot, but not that one ..."? The "current" "Patriot" is not the same ... "yesterday"! This complex jumped from PAC-1 to PAC-3 ...
      2. 0
        26 December 2019 18: 50
        Quote: Zmeelov

        We create air defense against our eternal enemies .. And those countries that agree with us actively began to buy them! Even the turn is worth it .. We Russians do not vomit, we just survived many wars and invasions ..

        Meehan, it’s impossible without slogans? laughing And here "Countries who agree with us ..." Saudis and Turks, UAE - what do they agree with us?
        This is the Market ... of High-Tech Arms, here the law is expediency and effectiveness. And for sales markets - We must fight at all levels.
        The Russians are not “jerkers” ... it’s you Powerfully said laughing How tired of your distortion of other people's words ... go blow a balloon or draw a poster, Pollitruk! Yes
    2. -3
      26 December 2019 19: 57
      It is difficult to snatch for the following reasons:
      US sanctions
      -Chinese clones are no worse, but cheaper.
      And Israel does not stand still.
      1. 0
        27 December 2019 00: 12
        Quote: knn54
        and Israel does not stand still.

        Yes, it’s dancing in life. Yes
  2. +1
    26 December 2019 18: 37
    All this is somehow strange! They will rush to buy different things, spawn a bunch of imperfections / undersets that can protect very conditionally!
    In short, STRANGE, it looks like an advertising temptation.
  3. +12
    26 December 2019 18: 51
    the failure of "Patriot" in Saudi Arabia, forced many to look for an alternative to these, as it turned out to be unreliable shits alternative.
    1. +4
      26 December 2019 19: 02
      Quote: Atlant-1164
      the failure of "Patriot" in Saudi Arabia, forced many to look for an alternative to these, as it turned out to be unreliable shits alternative.

      I think the point is not even the failure of the Patriot, but the fact that the general trend in the development of missile weapons in terms of reducing their cost, especially in the cruise missile sector, will force the whole world to reduce the use of fighter aircraft, and vice versa, the number of ground air defense systems of various a class capable of dealing with this type of offensive weapon. So the fact that we have proven ourselves well in the world market in this sector gives us an additional chance to squeeze other countries in this segment, which should please us.
  4. -4
    26 December 2019 19: 41
    Who in space will bring out their first anti-aircraft defense .. That will dictate the conditions to EVERYTHING!
    And Russia is selling its RD engines. This is losing the advantage ..
    Yes, he sells his places on the ISS! Although everything is in sanctions, I really do not want to ..
    That’s what happens to the Russian people? The whole world is already laughing at us, and we are all wiping ourselves and making excuses .. hi
  5. +3
    26 December 2019 19: 54
    Quote: Hunter 2
    Russia needs to try to grab most of the air defense market! The prerequisites for this are very good, traditional Mattress buyers - are switching to contracts with Russia. Keep it up! good

    Most of it won't work, Alex! But we must try not to rub the already conquered markets. After all, the market has long been divided. We occupy a stable position in the segment of long-range air defense systems. The only minus so far is that none of our systems (S-300, S-400) has undergone combat break-in in conflicts. But buyers, for the most part, pay attention not to PR, but to combat results.
    In the segment of medium-range and shorter-range air defense systems, competition will be stronger because there are a sufficient number of countries producing such systems in the world.
    There is no reason to hope that "mattress" buyers will switch to contracts with Russia. Drawing conclusions from Turkey is not the best way to be wrong.

    Quote: Zmeelov
    And those countries that agree with us actively began to buy them! Even the turn is worth it .. We Russians do not vomit, we just survived many wars and invasions ..

    Who is purchasing? India, Turkey, maybe Saudi Arabia? Who else is in this long, long line?

    Quote: SRC P-15
    Our Russian S-500,
    The hump will blow to Patriot! lol

    You will also remember the S-600 and S-700 mentioned by Zhirik. You can also recall the S-800 with the S-900, and even the S-1000. All this is still virtual complexes, some of which are generally "paper", and some (S-500) are undergoing tests, which are far from complete ...

    Quote: rocket757
    All this is somehow strange! They will rush to buy different things, spawn a bunch of imperfections / undersets that can protect very conditionally!
    In short, STRANGE, it looks like an advertising temptation.

    It is unlikely that anyone will rush about. Only the most crazy. Most will try to buy the necessary complexes, while diversifying supplies. For example, long-range S-400s will be bought, and medium-sized ones will be bought by American or French systems (or maybe Chinese), the main thing here is not so much iron (the complexes themselves) as their quantity, the structure of the air defense system itself and, most importantly, personnel training. You can give the side-handed S-400 or S-500 and these complexes will not fulfill their purpose.

    Quote: Atlant-1164
    the failure of "Patriot" in Saudi Arabia, forced many to look for an alternative to these, as it turned out to be unreliable shits alternative.

    In fact, there was no failure of the Patriot in Saudi Arabia. There are no complexes that bring down everything in the world. Any complex can have failures. It all depends on the air defense system and the staff's club-handedness. But in principle "Patriot" for 30 years has shown itself quite well in conflicts and on the basis of these conflicts is constantly being modernized ...
    1. +3
      26 December 2019 20: 09
      Great comment Vladimir! hi answer immediately to all ...
      How do you think you can promote the sale of our complexes?
      It is clear that military success is the best advertisement. And in the current situation ???
      1. +2
        26 December 2019 20: 41
        Quote: Hunter 2
        How do you think you can promote the sale of our complexes?

        For bribes to officials in the first place - this has always acted, even during the Soviet era.
        Everything else is lyrics.
        Quote: Hunter 2
        And in the current situation ???

        In any situation, it is necessary first of all to stimulate the one on whom the decision to purchase depends.
      2. +1
        26 December 2019 22: 31
        How do you think you can promote the sale of our complexes?
        It is clear that military success is the best advertisement. And in the current situation ???

        Any Russian, with mother’s milk, absorbs simple truth - no one sells weapons to the enemy.
        What is the use of Russia from the sale of weapons, if they use the same weapons to kill us? One agriculture in Russia brings more income than the sale of the entire Russian military-industrial complex abroad, per year. And if you tighten the industry, then you can completely forget about the sale of weapons.
        But for some, I see, the trading vein does not directly give rest .....
    2. 0
      26 December 2019 21: 11
      Quote: Old26
      Most will fail, Alex! But we must try not to rub the already conquered markets. After all, the market has long been divided. We occupy a stable position in the segment of long-range air defense systems. Only so far, minus that none of our systems (S-300, S-400) has undergone combat break-in in conflicts. But buyers, for the most part, pay attention not to PR, but to combat results.

      Old26, I'm not tired of writing the same thing over and over again - not true! We hold stable positions not only in the long-range air defense missile systems segment, but also in other segments. If you do not know the parameters of the air defense system, then do not write nonsense. Our air defense systems undergo a running-in during manufacture and acceptance so close to combat operations that it is tantamount to combat operations. I remember well the dialogues on the VO and the nonsense about the Pantsir-C1 short-range air defense system, which were based, among other things, on fakes ...
      First, the first time "Pantsir-C1" was hit when it was turned off by the Syrian military slovens who smoked on the sidelines. Secondly, the second case is an outright glued Israeli fake anti-aircraft missiles of the Pantsir complex, and many other air defense systems, do not have and did not have such maneuverability. However, this fake was introduced by Russophobes to Wikipedia, so that people like you and others not patriots repent and sprinkle ashes on their heads.
      Quote: Old26
      ... For example, long-range buy S-400, and middle - American or French complexes (or maybe Chinese), the main thing here is not so much iron (the complexes themselves) as their quantity, the structure of the air defense system itself and, most importantly, the personnel training. You can give the side-handed S-400 or S-500 and these complexes will not fulfill their purpose.

      For you and others, not patriots - the probability of hitting the Buk-M3 medium-range air defense system is 0,9999. Maybe you can provide data from a foreign air defense complex comparable to the Buk-M3 in this parameter?
      Old26, you have been repeatedly written about how the S-400 air defense system, like many others, has a basic automatic mode of operation, where is your fairy tale about the squint of staff is a fairy tale and nothing more. And isn't the Russian military able to train the personnel of another state serving Russian-made air defense systems, in comparison with foreign "teachers"?
      Quote: Old26
      In fact, there was no failure of the Patriot in Saudi Arabia. There are no complexes that knock everything down. Dips can be in any complex. It all depends on the air defense construction scheme and staff squint... But in principle "Patriot" for 30 years has shown itself quite well in conflicts and on the basis of these conflicts is constantly being modernized ...

      Old26, do not deliberately confuse the club-handedness of American specialists who sold the Patriot air defense system and installed it with the club-handedness of the service personnel! How could the Patriot air defense missile system be used with a minimum defeat height H = 60 meters against drones flying below this height? The squint of American specialists is evident.
      1. +2
        27 December 2019 13: 23
        I agree with your assessments regarding the capabilities of our air defense systems.
        But about this statement
        Quote: Vasya I.
        And isn't the Russian military able to train the personnel of another state serving Russian-made air defense systems, in comparison with foreign "teachers"?

        I can only say one thing that everyone who has encountered contingent training from different countries will confirm that it is not as easy to train them as you might think. This especially depends on the level of overall development of the country.
  6. +4
    26 December 2019 20: 31
    Quote: Hunter 2
    Great comment Vladimir! hi answer immediately to all ...
    How do you think you can promote the sale of our complexes?
    It is clear that military success is the best advertisement. And in the current situation ???

    The question, of course, is not addressed, but I can express a personal opinion.

    Progress will go faster if our complexes, especially long-range ones (expensive and high-tech), show themselves in at least one conflict. And then a lot of questions immediately arise. For example, we sold the S-300PMU-2 complex (EMNIP) to Iran. But they sold it in the amount of 4 divisions. Which are smeared throughout Iran, and not concentrated in one place. If we assume that there will be a conflict between Iran and the United States and their allies, the United States will try to make every effort to neutralize these complexes. They have experience. The first Gulf War was characterized by the fact that the United States neutralized all fighter aircraft and air defense systems in Iraq. At the same time, creating interference several times exceeding those that are sufficient to "hammer" the air defense system.
    The Americans will try to do so here too. But further ... Further unpredictable. If the S-300 perform well and shoot down a certain number of aircraft, helicopters and missiles of the United States and its allies, this will be sufficient for future buyers to believe that our systems are really "unmatched." But a small number of purchased complexes and their "spreading" across the entire territory of Iran will most likely lead to the fact that each division is blocked and destroyed in turn. And what kind of howl will rise in the Western media, how much dirt will be poured onto our complexes and what headlines there will be - you can only imagine.

    The optimal, of course, would be to use the S-300 against Israeli aircraft in Syria, but I’m afraid that the Syrians will never dare to do this, because they understand that the Israelis will roll these systems into a thin pancake.
    Of the real possibilities, this is the sale of the S-400 to the United Arab Emirates and the Saudis, and the Saud’s need to fundamentally change the construction of the entire air defense system. Then perhaps knocking down Yemeni targets, these complexes will really show the class. But to be honest, I don’t really believe it. I am afraid that the lineup for S-400-type complexes is unlikely to become longer in the coming years. And a military assault with medium- and short-range complexes - quite broad sales and their testing in combat conditions are possible here ...
    So I can answer, Alexei, the only way. We are on the heels of China with their fairly cheap products and a wide range of products ...
    1. +4
      26 December 2019 20: 44
      Quote: Old26
      If the S-300 will work well and bring down a number of aircraft, helicopters and US missiles and their allies

      As for helicopters, you got excited - it’s too expensive to shoot down helicopters with missiles of such a complex, because they use cheaper air defense systems against them.
    2. +3
      26 December 2019 20: 51
      Vladimir, thanks for the answer! I think that advertising the same Shells - Haftar’s troops in Libya can help make (Shells transferred to him by the UAE). A serious conflict involving the use of aircraft is also possible there, provided Turkey is directly involved in the Libyan conflict.
      In China, I partially agree ... but, the performance characteristics of Chinese complexes is an even bigger mystery for the whole World, in fact also having no examples of combat use! And in the Asia-Pacific region, far from all the friends of the Chinese, China has “frozen” conflicts with many countries (Vietnam, Philippines, Malaysia).
      Yes, even the Hindus - with the complication of the situation with Pakistan, can make an advertisement for our weapons ...
    3. -8
      26 December 2019 23: 10
      Quote: Old26
      for they understand that the Israelis will roll out these complexes into a thin pancake.

      That is exactly what will happen.
      1. The comment was deleted.
  7. +1
    26 December 2019 20: 42
    Quote: Udav Kaa
    And Russia is selling its RD engines. This is losing an advantage ...

    We sell 4-8 engines a year. For all the years of sales - a little over a hundred. On these engines, Americans carry out approximately 20-25% of launches. All the remaining 75-80% on their own, American engines. So here we are not losing anything. We are not in the first place in terms of the number of launches. In 2018 we were on the third, now we are confidently holding the second, although the difference with the Americans is 3 starts. China is ahead

    Quote: Udav Kaa
    Yes, he sells his places on the ISS!

    And where does the commercial projects and sales growth of air defense and missile defense systems?
  8. +3
    26 December 2019 20: 48
    Quote: Old26
    Promotion will go faster if our complexes, especially long-range ones (expensive and high-tech) show themselves in at least one conflict.

    All the same, large complexes are expensive, and are rarely used, unless against all sorts of Avaxes, and the main weapons are all the same systems like Buka or even less, and the main goals are primarily missiles, mines and shells.
  9. +2
    26 December 2019 20: 50
    Quote: ccsr
    As for helicopters, you got excited - it’s too expensive to shoot down helicopters with missiles of such a complex, because they use cheaper air defense systems against them.

    I agree. Why not write ... laughing in the heat of the moment
  10. +1
    26 December 2019 20: 57
    Quote: svoit
    Quote: Old26
    Promotion will go faster if our complexes, especially long-range ones (expensive and high-tech) show themselves in at least one conflict.

    All the same, large complexes are expensive, and are rarely used, unless against all sorts of Avaxes, and the main weapons are all the same systems like Buka or even less, and the main goals are primarily missiles, mines and shells.

    Everything depends on in which region and in conflicts of what intensity this will happen.
    The same Saudis have a problem with intercepting missiles from Yemen (and these are medium-range missiles, and not just cruise missiles and drones). And you are unlikely to intercept medium-range missiles with the Buk ...
    In conflicts with Iran, such complexes can also be in demand, because there will be a whole range of goals.
    But in conflicts in Africa, for example (what they have there now, Somalia, Sudan or something else - the Buk can also be used there, and perhaps it will be redundant and short-range complexes will be needed there. It is difficult to predict. ..
  11. +6
    26 December 2019 21: 40
    Quote: Old26
    But in principle, "Patriot" for 30 years has shown itself quite well in conflicts


    please remind .. in what conflicts ??
    1. -7
      26 December 2019 23: 08
      I personally observed in the winter of 90-91. how the Patriots shot down Soviet-made Scuds that Saddam Hussein used to fire at Israel during Operation Desert Storm. The Israelis did not have their own complexes at that time, and the Americans sent five (if I am not mistaken) batteries, serviced by their own calculations. These complexes operated quite effectively.
      1. +3
        26 December 2019 23: 49
        Quote: Bindyuzhnik
        I personally observed in the winter of 90-91. how the Patriots shot down Soviet-made Scuds that Saddam Hussein used to fire at Israel during Operation Desert Storm. At that time, the Israelis did not yet have their own complexes, and the Americans sent five (if I am not mistaken) batteries, serviced by their own calculations. These complexes acted quite effectively.

        Bindyuzhnik, do not knowingly write a lie! The ineffectiveness of the Patriot is evident.
        "This is how it was ...
        On the evening of February 25, 1991, already at the very end of Operation Desert Storm, the Iraqi Scud fell on an American air base in Saudi Dahran. Here, it would seem, where does the rounding of fractions?
        The missile smashed the barracks of the 475th Detachment of the US Army Quartermaster Service, responsible for water treatment. The explosion killed 28 people - this is one fifth of all dead Americans during the entire Gulf War. About a hundred more were injured.
        The Scud was discovered by the radar of the standby battery of the Patriot anti-aircraft missile system, which covered Dahran. The missile was spotted ... and failed to do anything. It remains only to observe how it falls into the barracks.
        As it turned out, the software of the anti-aircraft complex took the blame for the death of 28 people. "
      2. +1
        27 December 2019 00: 48
        During the Persian Gulf War in 1991, Iraqis fired at modified R-17 territories of Israel (40 missiles) and Saudi Arabia (46 missiles) (according to other sources, 98 missiles were launched). In general, the effectiveness of these rocket attacks was insignificant - according to the Israeli side, two-thirds of the launched missiles fell in uninhabited territory, 2 people became victims of rocket attacks in Israel, 11 more were seriously injured. Only one attack had a significant result - the missile hit the American barracks in the city of Dharam, resulting in the death of 28 American soldiers and two hundred more were injured.

        To repel the attacks, the Patriot American anti-aircraft missile systems were used, and there are conflicting statements about the effectiveness of their use. According to Israeli data, no more than 47 Scuds fell into the Patriot’s area of ​​operations, for which a total of 158 missiles were fired [7]. According to the Israeli Ministry of Defense, the Patriots, despite the cost of missile defense (including the case with 28 units per target, managed to intercept no more than 20% of the missiles launched by Iraqis

        Quote: Bindyuzhnik
        These complexes acted quite effectively.

        so what are you talking about ??
        1. -3
          27 December 2019 06: 08
          Quote: Sniper
          so what are you talking about ??

          I mean that the number of victims in Israel was negligible.
        2. +1
          27 December 2019 13: 30
          Quote: Sniper
          In general, the effectiveness of these rocket attacks was insignificant - according to the Israeli side, two-thirds of the launched missiles fell in uninhabited territory, 2 people became victims of rocket attacks in Israel, 11 more were seriously injured.

          And why, then, Israel frantically bought gas masks around the world? So it’s not worth it to be so dismissive of even several successfully launched missiles - if they hit the Israeli nuclear center or if they carried chemical or bacteriological weapons, it is still unknown how all this would turn out for Israel.
  12. 0
    27 December 2019 05: 25
    North America will retain its leading position

    Well, who would doubt it laughing It would be strange if “Air Defense Market - Global Industry Analysis, Size, Share, Growth, Trends, and Forecast, 2019–2027” declared that Russia was the leader.
  13. 0
    28 December 2019 16: 09
    The United States, unwillingly, is making it so that more and more countries show interest in the air defense systems manufactured in Russia.