Military Review

The development of the Armed forces of the Russian Federation in the next fifteen years: a new Concept

52
The development of the Armed forces of the Russian Federation in the next fifteen years: a new Concept

In the coming months, a number of Russian departments will have to finalize the current version of the Concept for the construction and development of the Russian Armed Forces, as well as formulate plans for its implementation. The Security Council recently reviewed the draft Concept and approved it, but pointed out the need for some improvement. It will take several months for all the required measures, and in the fall of 2020, the security forces will be able to start implementing new plans.


Plans and deadlines


The draft concept for the development of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation was ready several weeks ago. On November 22, an expanded meeting of the Security Council was held, but which a new document was considered and discussed. The project has received support, but some of its features require adjustment.

As a result of the meeting, Security Council Secretary Nikolai Patrushev said that the necessary improvements will be implemented in the coming months. The Ministry of Defense and other departments will prepare an updated draft of the Concept and submit it to the Security Council. Then the document will be sent for signature to the president. All this will be completed by the end of March.

Until July 1, 2020, the Ministry of Defense, the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the FSB and other law enforcement agencies should develop concepts for the construction and development of their own bodies and armed groups. Then, no later than October 1, on the basis of these concepts will draw up work plans for 2021-25.

Goals and objectives


The main objective of the Concept being developed, as its name implies, is the construction and development of the armed forces. Moreover, it is necessary to develop and improve not only the army, but also other structures responsible for the security of the country and the population.

During a meeting of the Security Council on November 22, Russian President Vladimir Putin indicated that in the next decade the main task in this context will be the strengthening and development of the military, technical and personnel potential of the country's military organization. When developing real measures for implementation, the president suggested paying attention to several fundamental points, due to which the differences of the new Concept will be ensured.

First of all, it is necessary to ensure the balanced development of all components of the armed forces - due to the competent distribution of forces and resources. It is also necessary to improve the management system of the military organization. We need intelligence tools, information and analytical systems and an established system of interaction between departments.

It is proposed to continue rearmament. In the coming years, the average share of new models in the armed forces should reach 70% and then remain at that level. In strategic nuclear forces, the share of modern systems should be even higher. In the future, the purchase of new samples will be carried out as part of the next State Arms Program, calculated until 2033. Its development will begin in the near future.


In the context of re-equipment, it is necessary to ensure the growth of industrial readiness of industry, which will allow the creation and production of modern designs. Such issues should be addressed before the immediate launch of the State Arms Program.

Risks and Challenges


The new Armed Forces Development Concept should take into account all existing risks and factors threatening national security. As has been repeatedly noted at different levels, the world is rapidly changing, and the Russian military organization must meet current requirements.

One of the main threats to security is a change in the military-political situation in the world with the deterioration of relations between large and developed countries. With all this, Russia does not have to confront specific states, but military and political blocs.

Leading countries of the world are developing their armed forces, including due to new technologies in the field of armaments and military equipment. Developing states do not stand aside and are trying to master new offensive technologies.

This year, the Intermediate-Range Missile Treaty expired. Discussions are ongoing on an agreement on the reduction of offensive arms of START III with unclear prospects. The emergence of new players on the world stage and the disappearance of restrictive documents have a significant impact on the development of the political situation, as well as lead to new requirements in the context of the development of the armed forces.

The new concept of construction and development of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in its final form may include various measures, including the most serious. So, the Secretary of the Security Council did not rule out that, subject to the new Concept, changes could be made to the current Military Doctrine of Russia.

Methods and means


Actually, the draft Concept, adopted for further development, was not published. The finished document, having passed all the necessary procedures and approved, will also remain secret. However, this circumstance does not prevent domestic and foreign media from making forecasts on the goals and methods of the Concept. Such assumptions can be made on the basis of available data and already implemented programs.

It is expected to improve the structures and systems that ensure the interaction of various departments. Due to this, law enforcement agencies will be able to more effectively interact with each other and together solve national security tasks. However, detailed information on this subject was not published due to their nature.

The rearmament of the army and the re-equipment of other power structures will continue. Particular attention in this context will be given to strategic nuclear forces. By the middle of the next decade, the share of modern samples in the strategic missile forces will reach 100%, in other components - at least 80-90%. At the same time, the completion of the main stage of the rearmament of the aerospace forces with an almost complete renewal of the fleet is expected. The rearmament of other military branches will continue, but in their case the results will be more modest.


It should be noted that the exact indicators, pace and measures in the field of re-equipment will be directly related to the Concept of construction and development being developed. Based on her recommendations, in the near future they will form a new state armament program, which, in turn, will lead to the emergence of new orders and the subsequent delivery of finished samples.

As follows from the available data on plans in the field of military development, the most active work of this kind will continue until the mid-twenties. By this time, the required update will be provided in all major areas with access to the desired level of development and novelty. After this, the rate of renewal of the material part can be reduced to a reasonable extent, given the continuation of rearmament.

Actions and Results


On the example of the new Concept for the construction and development of the RF Armed Forces, one can observe how the modernization of the domestic military organization of our country is carried out. At various levels and with the involvement of various departments, the necessary work is carried out, the result of which is to increase the combat efficiency of the army and the development of other power structures.

Given the current threats and challenges to security, a general Concept is developed and adopted for implementation, which can influence other documents, up to the Military Doctrine of the country. On its basis, more specific plans and programs are being worked out. In particular, the Construction Concept forms the basis of the state armament programs.

Currently, a new Concept is being developed, laying the foundation for the development of the armed forces until 2030-2033. So far it is only a draft document, but in the spring it will be completed and approved, and by the beginning of 2021 a complete package of plans will be prepared. The development of the armed forces will continue taking into account all the new requirements and needs.
Author:
Photos used:
Security Council of the Russian Federation / scrf.gov.ru, NPK UVZ / uvz.ru, UAC / uacrussia.ru
52 comments
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  1. Ross xnumx
    Ross xnumx 24 December 2019 05: 36
    +12
    It is strange to read such arguments:
    Until July 1, 2020, the Ministry of Defense, the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the FSB and other law enforcement agencies should develop concepts for the construction and development of their own bodies and armed groups. Then, no later than October 1, they will draw up work plans based on these concepts. for 2021-25

    For more recently (in 2016) appeared:
    The final version of the state arms program at 2018-2027 years entered the Kremlin and may be signed by President Vladimir Putin later this week, Kommersant reports. According to the document, the rearmament of the army and navy will be allocated 19 trillion rubles.
    It is noted that the priority items of expenditures will be nuclear deterrence systems, precision weapons and the supply of arms and equipment for general forces.
    According to the publication, the priority in the allocation of money will be the development of nuclear deterrence systems, high-precision and hypersonic weapons. So, the Ministry of Defense will receive the most for re-equipment - about 19 trillion rubles, the rest of the departments (Ministry of Internal Affairs, FSB, SVR and the Russian Guard) - more than 3 trillion.
    It is noted that the new document was developed by 2016.

    The final summary is simply amazing:
    Currently, a new Concept is being developed, laying the foundation for the development of the armed forces until 2030-2033.

    Forgive me, but a concept is a concept, and plans must be made real, for which you will be responsible personally when the time comes, and not build "castles in the air" for nonexistent foremen.
    Here, really, perforce remember:
    “There are many such donkeys now in Bukhara,” answered Khoja Nasreddin. - I’ll also say that getting a five thousand tanga in gold and a good donkey in an economy is not a man succeeding every day. And don’t mourn my head, because in twenty years one of us will surely die - either I, or the emir, or this donkey. And then go figure it out which of the three of us knew theology better!

    hi
    1. Vladivostok1969
      Vladivostok1969 24 December 2019 06: 14
      +7
      Deja vu. Or somewhere, I already read it a few years ago. I just don’t remember the name of the person responsible for the execution. And now I don’t see.
      1. Ingvar 72
        Ingvar 72 24 December 2019 09: 17
        +9
        And we generally have a problem with responsibility for our work. request
    2. Uncle lee
      Uncle lee 24 December 2019 06: 15
      +3
      taking into account all new requirements and needs.
      And then the gas-and-oil needle has become insidiously dull .... And more sanctions, sanctions .....
      1. Vladivostok1969
        Vladivostok1969 24 December 2019 07: 17
        0
        Someone from deputies from the Communist Party of the Russian Federation recently recalled bad dancers in the government. Not from the same opera?
    3. Octopus
      Octopus 24 December 2019 08: 34
      +9
      Quote: ROSS 42
      Sorry, but the concept is a concept, and plans must be built real, for which you will be personally responsible

      You fell from the moon.
      We accept the twenty-year concept of anything, for the fifth year we accept the new twenty-year concept, and we live. A new step has been taken here: both the old concept and the new one are classified.
      Quote: ROSS 42
      do not build "castles in the air" for nonexistent foremen.

      The beautiful Russia of the present in this respect far ahead of the terrible Soviet Union.
      1. Never, under any circumstances, when constructing any kind of concepts, the starting point is determined. This applies to everything, not just defense. Have you heard somewhere an analysis of the state of the army now, not bullshit channel "Star?" Unless performed by bloggers. You think he is secret, but in reality do they know there? He is from them and secret.
      2. Never, under no circumstances, are measurable goals and objectives, even intermediate ones, determined. Have you heard the report of the Council of Ministers before the congress of the United Russia party on the results and implementation of the fourth Putin five-year plan, 2014-2019? Have you caught up with Portugal or not yet? So I have not heard.
      1. Ross xnumx
        Ross xnumx 24 December 2019 10: 45
        +3
        Quote: Octopus
        You fell from the moon.
        We accept the twenty-year concept of anything

        The fact of the matter is that not from the moon, but from Kemerovo. I just can’t get past without throwing an ironic remark about plans (cunning planning, development of concepts, development of a strategy for the future, breakthroughs) when affirming in the highest echelons of power the dominants of a liberal market economy that is poorly consistent with any projects ...
        hi
        1. Octopus
          Octopus 24 December 2019 11: 55
          0
          I’m not sure that this liberal market economy is so ugly. I see the usual unwillingness to work honestly and bear responsibility. (Late) Soviet reluctance, anti-Soviet reluctance, there is no difference in result.
          1. Ross xnumx
            Ross xnumx 24 December 2019 12: 00
            0
            Quote: Octopus
            I’m not sure that this liberal market economy is so ugly.

            The motto of this economy is demand creates supply ... It is this development that our economy has received with corresponding percentage growth ...
            Or do you think that exactly how it is planned in the country?
            1. Octopus
              Octopus 24 December 2019 13: 48
              +2
              Quote: ROSS 42
              Demand creates supply

              1. In the defense industry, demand is provided by the state.
              2. A proposal in this area cannot be born by itself.
              Quote: ROSS 42
              exactly how is going on in the country was planned?

              I think everyone works as they please and as they can afford. If you can harness money and not show the result - what is bad? We have the main indicator, again, from very old times - how many marked and how much is mastered.
    4. NEXUS
      NEXUS 24 December 2019 13: 52
      +3
      Quote: ROSS 42
      Sorry, but the concept is a concept, and plans must be built real, for which you will be personally responsible

      I do not recall Joseph Vissarionovich freely. There, everyone followed his tongue and, if he spoke, he did.
  2. lucul
    lucul 24 December 2019 06: 52
    +3
    The development of the country can be compared with the sprint race at 100m.
    Someone immediately took a quick start and went and went, someone is treading water, someone is taking a step forward and two backward, and someone is waddling into the wreck. On average, they run as opponents allow them, and not as they can.
    But the finish is the success of the country in the present and in the future, just the finish is constantly moving away ......
    1. Vladivostok1969
      Vladivostok1969 24 December 2019 07: 15
      +3
      Or maybe the finish is just a mirage? Or took a step (said a word) and immediately tired?
    2. Ingvar 72
      Ingvar 72 24 December 2019 09: 20
      +5
      Quote: lucul
      The development of the country can be compared with the sprint race at 100m.

      But it seems to me that it is better to compare with the race walking competitions, among those over 70.
    3. Ross xnumx
      Ross xnumx 24 December 2019 10: 48
      +4
      Quote: lucul
      The development of the country can be compared with the sprint race at 100m.
      Someone immediately took a quick start and went and went, someone is treading water, someone is taking a step forward and two backward, and someone is waddling into the wreck. On average, they run as opponents allow them, and not as they can.

      laughing good
      You forgot about those who immediately left the race or fell at the start, stunned by the shot of a starting pistol ... lol
      Quote: Vladivostok1969
      Or maybe the finish is just a mirage?

      Yes it’s not a mirage. Just here, like Vysotsky’s:
      Will of the will, if the strength is overwhelming, but I was carried away:
      I pulled ten thousand as five hundred - and baked!

  3. rocket757
    rocket757 24 December 2019 07: 29
    +3
    In the coming months, a number of Russian departments will have to finalize the current version of the Concept for the construction and development of the Armed Forces of Russia,

    Just see what will be planned and how ... for now ???
  4. Alex 1970
    Alex 1970 24 December 2019 07: 38
    +4
    "In the coming years, the average share of new models in the armed forces should reach 70% and then remain at this level." So the guarantor has recently announced that they have achieved, or not? Even an article was about this on VO winked
    1. The comment was deleted.
  5. Star Destroyer
    Star Destroyer 24 December 2019 09: 02
    +4
    The result of all these jerks and breakthroughs is one - the ongoing degradation of the armed forces.
    Here, almost 2020 has already come, the Russian army does not even have lousy collimators, and the generals of dead souls report successes.
    1. Sergey1987
      Sergey1987 24 December 2019 11: 47
      -5
      Quote: Star Destroyer
      The result of all these jerks and breakthroughs is one - the ongoing degradation of the armed forces.
      Here, almost 2020 has already come, the Russian army does not even have lousy collimators, and the generals of dead souls report successes.

      It is interesting in what degradation? In the procurement of hundreds of aircraft, helicopters, OTRK, SAM, in the construction of the SSBN, nuclear submarines, frigates. Do not write nonsense. About collimators is just ridiculous. Firstly, they are, secondly, the presence of collimators in the army does not show the level of its strength.
      1. pin_code
        pin_code 27 December 2019 10: 36
        0
        please sound the first hundred submarines and frigates accepted for service ...
        1. Sergey1987
          Sergey1987 27 December 2019 11: 15
          0
          Quote: pin_code
          please sound the first hundred submarines and frigates accepted for service ...

          About hundreds I wrote about helicopters and planes. Do not pretend not to understand.
          1. pin_code
            pin_code 27 December 2019 12: 07
            0
            even a plane with helicopters is not hundreds, but maybe only one and a half, and then along with the modernized ones.
            1. Sergey1987
              Sergey1987 27 December 2019 13: 15
              0
              Quote: pin_code
              even a plane with helicopters is not hundreds, but maybe only one and a half, and then along with the modernized ones.

              Ka-52 - 118
              Mi-28 - 98
              Su-30 - 123
              Su-35 - 70
              Su-34 - 102
              So not hundreds?
              1. pin_code
                pin_code 27 December 2019 14: 20
                0
                this is a plan for several years, so not hundreds.
                1. Sergey1987
                  Sergey1987 27 December 2019 17: 07
                  +1
                  Quote: pin_code
                  this is a plan for several years, so not hundreds.

                  This is not a plan. This is what is already set for 2018. Even this year they’ll deliver.
                  1. pin_code
                    pin_code 28 December 2019 04: 05
                    0
                    148 units this year. Decommissioning is faster.
                    1. Sergey1987
                      Sergey1987 28 December 2019 10: 20
                      0
                      Quote: pin_code
                      148 units this year. Decommissioning is faster.

                      What was written off 148 units?
                      1. pin_code
                        pin_code 28 December 2019 12: 04
                        0
                        new and modernized aircraft and helicopters delivered. we are silent about the cancellation as always ...
                      2. Sergey1987
                        Sergey1987 28 December 2019 13: 16
                        -1
                        Quote: pin_code
                        new and modernized aircraft and helicopters delivered. we are silent about the cancellation as always ...

                        You already somehow decide. You write that it’s not hundreds, then you write that it’s a plan, now they’re talking about cancellation. Where are the facts? What and how many have written off? And do not give out your guesses or thoughts, at face value.
                      3. pin_code
                        pin_code 28 December 2019 14: 20
                        0
                        it's actually you wrote about hundreds, I immediately replied that a maximum of one and a half. your hundreds are spread out over time, my one and a half are concrete for a year. and it is a fact!
                      4. Sergey1987
                        Sergey1987 28 December 2019 14: 36
                        0
                        Quote: pin_code
                        it's actually you wrote about hundreds, I immediately replied that a maximum of one and a half. your hundreds are spread out over time, my one and a half are concrete for a year. and it is a fact!

                        I brought you the facts that hundreds. You wrote that this is a plan, then write that hundreds and a half, then this year 148 units of new and modernized. Again. Originally.
                        During the adoption of the rearmament program for NEW aircraft more than 200 and more than 200 helicopters adopted. I can’t even take it as modernized.
                        So what are you trying to prove to me? What is our army degrading or what? You haven’t answered about the cancellation. Specifically, the facts. What and how many have written off?
                      5. pin_code
                        pin_code 28 December 2019 14: 50
                        0
                        you carefully read my post? No data.
                      6. Sergey1987
                        Sergey1987 28 December 2019 15: 17
                        +1
                        Quote: pin_code
                        you carefully read my post? No data.

                        Well, since you can say that you wrote off a lot if you yourself do not know how much you wrote off? It turns out this is just a guess.
                      7. pin_code
                        pin_code 13 January 2020 07: 57
                        0
                        Yes, everything is fine with us. now Mi and Ka are united. and the helicopters will be appropriate (we can’t produce any fiKi). if there is not a single engineer at the head of the industry, or, more logically, the chief designers Mi and Ka, which can be discussed. and ... well, yes ... long live (e) effective managers with the formation of a culinary college (they are their own).
                      8. pin_code
                        pin_code 28 December 2019 14: 26
                        0
                        take off your pink glasses and take a sober look at the subject. many rearmament programs are simply overwhelmed by people who generally should not hold the posts they hold. an economist cannot hold the post of any corporation that produces ships, cars, and machine tools. economist's place in backswing. must be led by a professional.
                      9. Sergey1987
                        Sergey1987 28 December 2019 14: 45
                        0
                        Quote: pin_code
                        take off your pink glasses and take a sober look at the subject. many rearmament programs are simply overwhelmed by people who generally should not hold the posts they hold. an economist cannot hold the post of any corporation that produces ships, cars, and machine tools. economist's place in backswing. must be led by a professional.

                        Yes, where does anyone there direct or not. The topic was originally about what? That the Star Destroyer (Vsevolod) wrote that our army is degrading. Who leads it and how good it is is very controversial.
                        Can you name a lot of countries that over the past 9 years have bought 450 air defense systems, 120 air defense systems, 200 new fighters, 200 new attack helicopters?
                        And according to failed programs, only in the Navy there are problems with deadlines, in the airspace forces and military forces there isn’t. Let's not summarize, but specifically on the samples of technology.
                        Since 2011, I’ve been sitting on the Military Review and remember very well how they accepted the rearmament program. And how many whining from some members of the forum was that we will buy units. As a result, we bought hundreds and still cry. Again all this or that. Again, you fail everywhere.
                        Maybe you better take off your pessimistic glasses and take a sober look. There is no degradation. The army for 9 years has become a real force and does not stop rearming.
    2. Nastia makarova
      Nastia makarova 24 December 2019 12: 09
      -7
      in your head you are degrading !!!
      1. Sergey1987
        Sergey1987 27 December 2019 11: 33
        0
        Quote: Nastia Makarova
        in your head you are degrading !!!

        Sometimes I'm just amazed with some members of the forum. You and I were bombarded because we do not see such degradation. But how should we see her when military service became prestigious, salaries increased, rearmament did not stop. But no. do not criticize everything and everything at once minus. That's just the facts they have nothing to answer.
  6. Elturisto
    Elturisto 24 December 2019 11: 13
    +7
    The development of the armed forces is impossible without the development of productive forces in the country, and there are big problems with it, the energy superpower does not have its own helicopter engines, short-range ones, new ICEs in the best case are 50% foreign - do not throw a wedge everywhere.
    1. Sergey1987
      Sergey1987 24 December 2019 11: 54
      -5
      Quote: ElTuristo
      it has no proprietary helicopter engines, short-range ones, new ICEs in the best case are 50% foreign - do not throw a wedge everywhere.

      Where not to throw, no one wants to read something, they only want to engage in idle talk.
      Ka-52 and mi-28 VK-2500, frigates of project 22350 CODAG. You still consult in engineering something or you yourself still read something. Although it is better not to, there are a lot of letters, it’s better just to tremble.
      1. Elturisto
        Elturisto 24 December 2019 15: 23
        0
        Past ... It's all "Motorsich" and "Zarya Mashproekt" -Ukraine. As well as GTD-110 ...
        1. Sergey1987
          Sergey1987 24 December 2019 16: 04
          0
          Quote: ElTuristo
          Past ... It's all "Motorsich" and "Zarya Mashproekt" -Ukraine. As well as GTD-110 ...

          What do you mean?
          In Russia, the VK-2500 engine version is fully localized, the development of which was carried out by Klimov OJSC in 1999-2001. In 2012, tests of this engine were completed. In 2014, Klimov assembled the first 10 engines entirely from Russian components. In 2015 - 30. In 2016 - 60 pieces. In 2017 - 100 pieces.
          Cooperation for the complete localization of the engine also includes the Salyut Scientific Research Center for Gas Turbine Engineering, the V.V. Chernyshev Moscow Machine-Building Enterprise, and the Ufa Engine-Building Production Association.
          In 1997, a single-shaft GTD-110 engine with a capacity of 110 MW and an efficiency of 36% was created at the state-owned NPKG Zorya-Mashproekt to drive electric generators. Engine production through RAO UES of Russia was transferred to OAO NPO Saturn, which was engaged in further modernization and production of the engine.
          1. Elturisto
            Elturisto 25 December 2019 09: 45
            -1
            I copied the training manual ... well done ...
            1. Sergey1987
              Sergey1987 25 December 2019 11: 00
              0
              Quote: ElTuristo
              I copied the training manual ... well done ...

              )))))) You can’t argue against the facts, even by the training manual, even from Wikipedia, even from other resources.
        2. philosopher
          philosopher 26 December 2019 06: 36
          0
          Motorsich is moving closer to its main consumer. To Russia.
          1. Elturisto
            Elturisto 26 December 2019 09: 19
            0
            Yeah, he got over to China.
  7. 5-9
    5-9 24 December 2019 15: 25
    +2
    All these shares of modern technology in %% .... this information is nothing at all without comparison with "partners" and other countries, and I would like an assessment from the Ministry of Defense itself as confidence in the comparability of the results and the use of one technique .... otherwise all sorts of bloachers appreciate ...
    1. evgenii67
      evgenii67 24 December 2019 16: 16
      0
      All these shares of modern technology in %% .... this information is generally nothing
      yes, right, moreover, all these percentages are nonsense. Conditionally removed from storage a UAZ of the 90s, otkapitalili, here you are, "new" equipment and mileage of only 200 km.
      1. 5-9
        5-9 25 December 2019 07: 50
        -1
        In this particular case, I don’t think he will get into "modern" technology, but it is absolutely not clear - 70% is good, normal or not very good in 2019 ...
  8. evgenii67
    evgenii67 24 December 2019 16: 11
    +1
    Joke about the concept.
    A deputy comes, well, a direct deputy in Drabadan is drunk home.
    The deputy sits down on the sofa and says to his wife: "wife, bring a bowl faster."
    The wife ran to the bath, grabs the basin and rushes back to her husband.
    And the husband sits on the couch, his eyes are 5 cents each and says to his wife: THE CONCEPT HAS CHANGED, I DECREASED!
  9. Metlik
    Metlik 24 December 2019 21: 46
    +1
    In any management system, bodies are needed: data collection, reliability assessment, analytics, forecasting, formation of a "branch" of decisions. choosing the optimal solution. And if the whole structure resembles a spinal cord, where the signal goes along a chain from the duty officer to the required general and back, such an organization can only be compared with an earthworm.
    The whole question is that our tops consider themselves so brilliant that they do not need advice.