Military Review

“Able to unleash a regional war”: Swedish experts on the future of the RF Armed Forces

66

Despite the known problems, the Russian state will continue to use military force in the next decade, writes Finland's largest newspaper Helsingin Sanomat, citing the latest publications of the Swedish Institute for Defense Research.


One of the authors of this report, researcher Fredrik Westerlund, believes that Russia will continue to be a major player in international politics. The conclusions of the scientist, as the Finnish publication notes, are simple and alarming for the neighbors of the Russian Federation: this country will be a "troublemaker."

We can expect an aggressive foreign policy of Russia and ignoring the norms of international law [...] the reuse of the armed forces to maintain great power ambitions and protect interests abroad, especially in Europe

- suggests the researcher.

At the same time, it is noted that the capabilities of Moscow will be limited by strengthening the military power of other European states. In addition, the demographic problem will also leave its mark, as the number of young men available for conscription will become less and less. Also, a significant part of the weapons of the Russian Federation is still of Soviet origin, and, therefore, is quite outdated.

In general, according to our estimates, until 2029, the Russian military is likely to remain at a level that will allow the unleashing of one regional war

- write Johan Norberg and Martin Goliath in the same report.
Photos used:
Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation
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  1. rocket757
    rocket757 13 December 2019 11: 37
    +12
    Able to unleash a regional war ”: Swedish experts on the future of the RF Armed Forces
    Today, 11: 33

    Question - WHY?
    1. Chaldon48
      Chaldon48 13 December 2019 11: 47
      +1
      The ghost Karl XII apparently appeared to the Swedes making such statements and said menacingly: "Remember Poltava!"
      1. rocket757
        rocket757 13 December 2019 11: 57
        +6
        Quote: Chaldon48
        "Remember Poltava!"

        This, of course, has something to REMEMBER! But it was a long time ago, a very long time! Then, they climbed towards us, not WE to them!
        1. Ironcity
          Ironcity 13 December 2019 12: 10
          -2
          Exactly they climbed?
          We deigned, great sovereign, our royal majesty, with the kingdom of Svej for many of their lies and our majesty’s majesty, subjugated grievances, most of all for the most important dishonesty inflicted on our royal majesty by the great and plenipotentiary ambassadors in Riga in the past 1697, which concerned itself Our Tsar's Majesty, the person about whom our fellow ambassadors, in future Moscow, our closest boyar, F. A. Golovin and his comrades, answered and gave a letter, and the ambassadors of Svej wanted to convey to their king and encouraged him to do so over the Riga general defense; and after that, the foreigner Thomas Knipper, living in the trading affairs of the Royal Majesty in Moscow, announced from the list of the Royal Majesty sent to him a list in which no satisfaction was made to this offer. And for that God granted us the honor and for many of their own iniquities of untruth and subjects of our insults, we, our royal majesty, indicated to start a war.
          1. Ironcity
            Ironcity 13 December 2019 22: 40
            0
            It's funny, the shkolota does not know history, not vkurse who "got to whom" in the Northern War, but at least they heard about arithmetic, they know how to put cons. Maybe not hopeless?
        2. Chaldon48
          Chaldon48 13 December 2019 13: 03
          +2
          What is so valuable in Sweden for which it would be worth paying with military resources, I'm not talking about our soldiers. Swedish soldiers are impatient, as elsewhere, to snatch more money from the budget, so they whine: "Threat, threat!", And they themselves would have thought, why did they surrender to us?
          1. PalBor
            PalBor 13 December 2019 15: 08
            0
            Quote: Chaldon48
            What is so valuable in Sweden for which it would be worth paying with military resources, I'm not talking about our soldiers. Swedish soldiers are impatient, as elsewhere, to snatch more money from the budget, so they whine: "Threat, threat!", And they themselves would have thought, why did they surrender to us?

            Yes, Swedish timber, ores and even Saab with Volvo will not outweigh hundreds of thousands of Arabs, black, "alternative-loving" and other true Scandinavians.
      2. tihonmarine
        tihonmarine 13 December 2019 12: 41
        +2
        Quote: Chaldon48
        The ghost Karl XII apparently appeared to the Swedes making such statements and said menacingly: "Remember Poltava!"

        After Poltava for a long time still "gonoshtilis", had to snitch with candelabra
        1741-1743 - Russian-Swedish war.
        1788-1790 - Russian-Swedish war.
        1808-1809 - Russian-Swedish war. This is already under Catherine the Great. And then they fell silent for a long time.
      3. Rostislav Bely
        Rostislav Bely 13 December 2019 13: 23
        0
        The ghost Karl XII apparently appeared to the Swedes making such statements and said menacingly: "Remember Poltava!"

        Take it deeper - Ivan the Terrible, who wrote to the Swedes that they were vassals of his ancestor, Yaroslav the Wise (he himself is a descendant from Rurik, who is from the Prussians (Baltic) like the Romanovs according to Andrei Kobyl)
    2. MoJloT
      MoJloT 13 December 2019 11: 56
      +1
      Question - WHY?
      Don’t ask where the pastor’s beautiful wife and expensive car are from, just donate ...
      1. rocket757
        rocket757 13 December 2019 11: 59
        +2
        Quote: MoJloT
        Question - WHY?
        Don’t ask where the pastor’s beautiful wife and expensive car are from, just donate ...

        CLASS! good
        It’s good that I don’t ... in short, I do not believe, otherwise I would have bought it!
    3. vvvjak
      vvvjak 13 December 2019 11: 57
      +1
      Quote: rocket757
      Question - WHY?

      "Because" NATO needs money to contain "aggression".
      1. rocket757
        rocket757 13 December 2019 12: 01
        0
        Quote: vvvjak
        Quote: rocket757
        Question - WHY?

        "Because" NATO needs money to contain "aggression".

        Yeah, NATO lady is windy, and spend a lot of money !!! just give her ... and give him!
        And do not give, so she at once and ... in half!
        1. major147
          major147 13 December 2019 12: 20
          +1
          Quote: rocket757
          Yeah, NATO

          By the way, the Swedes are outside NATO.
          1. rocket757
            rocket757 13 December 2019 12: 31
            +1
            Finns are NOT, and so what?
            They would have been afraid of something, had long been accustomed to ... and so, they themselves would not be able to blow a vus, so no, they also have scarecrows. This is their business.
            1. major147
              major147 13 December 2019 13: 14
              +1
              Quote: rocket757
              scarecrows are also in their possession.

              So mattresses and these want to pick up for themselves.
              1. rocket757
                rocket757 13 December 2019 14: 01
                0
                Quote: major147
                So mattresses and these want to pick up for themselves.

                With the Yankees you won’t understand what they want / don’t want ???
                Of course, denyushku, they would have taken up resources, but the old world, as it were, is simply sovereign ... it seems?
                1. major147
                  major147 13 December 2019 22: 35
                  0
                  Quote: rocket757
                  Of course, denyushku, they would have taken up resources, but the old world, as it were, is simply sovereign ... it seems?

                  They would also buy weapons from them more intensively, abandoning their production.
        2. tihonmarine
          tihonmarine 13 December 2019 12: 28
          +1
          Quote: rocket757
          Yeah, NATO lady is windy, and spend a lot of money !!! just give her ... and give him!

          So we always spend other people's money not sparingly.
    4. Mikhail3
      Mikhail3 13 December 2019 12: 08
      0
      To force other "subjects of international law" to comply with their treaties. Alas, the international law we are used to in the world is no longer valid. Take a look around - everyone turns around as he wants, guided solely by his own will and nothing else. The world is returning to the model of international law, adopted before the USSR and nuclear weapons.
      It consists in the simple fact that if a certain country does not comply with its contractual obligations, then the other party to the contract comes to the first forcefully and forcefully, forcing the execution of the agreement.
      1. Pessimist22
        Pessimist22 13 December 2019 12: 38
        0
        This is the Chukhons hinting about one regional war, such as Russia will attack Finland heroically stop the aggressor and, Russia will run out of steam about Chukhons laughing laughing
        1. Mikhail3
          Mikhail3 13 December 2019 12: 41
          -2
          Well, there is a historical precedent for such a situation, isn't there? By the way, the commanders and military leaders of the Red Army before the start of the "pre-war war" thought exactly like you. Don’t you?
    5. YOUR
      YOUR 13 December 2019 12: 44
      +1
      The answer is clear and understandable - but patamushta. That's all.
    6. orionvitt
      orionvitt 13 December 2019 13: 04
      +1
      Quote: rocket757
      Question - WHY?

      If it concerns Sweden and the rest, different Finns, really, why? But if they mean Ukraine, then there is another question. Firstly, for their hard-earned money (at least the southeastern part of Ukraine), secondly, they got it already, it’s time to bring to life.
      1. rocket757
        rocket757 13 December 2019 14: 03
        +1
        Quote: orionvitt
        But if they mean Ukraine, then there is another question.

        We are not talking about the outskirts, there will always be interest, because there is nowhere and never .... in short, there will be interest!
  2. eagle owl
    eagle owl 13 December 2019 11: 42
    +1
    "If you speak, I will drown, like Gerasim, Mumu!"
  3. iouris
    iouris 13 December 2019 11: 47
    +2
    In other words, experts from "neutral countries" believe that the Russian Federation is too weak.
    1. knn54
      knn54 13 December 2019 12: 08
      0
      - the number of young men available for conscription will become less and less.
      But in this they are right, at 100%.
  4. Labrador
    Labrador 13 December 2019 11: 48
    +1
    Typical verbiage
  5. Ramadan
    Ramadan 13 December 2019 11: 48
    -1
    Another farting of some kind of expert ...
  6. prior
    prior 13 December 2019 11: 49
    +2
    Always considered the Swedes smarter. They once even came up with a Nobel Prize ....
    But the anti-Russian statements of recent years, the search for a submarine and the voiced conclusions of the iksperds make one doubt much their analytical abilities.
    1. evgen1221
      evgen1221 13 December 2019 12: 06
      0
      I agree, analytics based on propaganda and generally below the baseboard. But there such experts at the level of God seem to be listed (or only such poor news for hype is specially posted on the site. The editorial staff is also serious analytics, who has at least once a week something normal and not news from a fool?
  7. RUSS
    RUSS 13 December 2019 11: 52
    -4
    Apparently there is little money for the Swedish military-industrial complex, too.
  8. Vasyan1971
    Vasyan1971 13 December 2019 11: 53
    -2
    In general, according to our estimates, until 2029, the Russian military is likely to remain at a level that will allow the unleashing of one regional war

    - write Johan Norberg and Martin Goliath


    Smoke, doves, smoke ...
    1. tracer
      tracer 15 December 2019 06: 53
      +1
      Here the stage of smoking is already such that it is the pigeons that smoke them ..
  9. Escobar
    Escobar 13 December 2019 11: 58
    +1
    But there is some truth about the demographic problem.
  10. Yrec
    Yrec 13 December 2019 12: 02
    -1
    By "international law," the Swedes apparently mean the US's right to invade wherever it wants.
  11. Mainbeam
    Mainbeam 13 December 2019 12: 02
    0
    Russia ... use of armed forces ... especially in Europe

    Marasmatic position. Usually a war is fought over resources. What resources can be taken over in Europe? And the use of armed force with disregard for international law is a NATO topic, especially on oil with the proactive use of color revolutions.
  12. evgen1221
    evgen1221 13 December 2019 12: 03
    -1
    I wonder how much this scientist paid for butter like this? Such expert opinions can be absolutely any person on the planet.)))
    1. tihonmarine
      tihonmarine 13 December 2019 12: 25
      0
      Quote: evgen1221
      Anyone on the planet can make such expert opinions.

      Not any. Smart and self-respecting in the dirt will not climb.
      1. evgen1221
        evgen1221 13 December 2019 14: 13
        -1
        And they don’t like these and don’t print because they spoil the slender ranks of the herd.
  13. 1536
    1536 13 December 2019 12: 13
    +1
    Sweden began to resemble Carlson - the hero of the children's book of the Swedish writer A. Lindgren. This Carlson will either fly in, fly away, or begin to scare the ghosts, then the ghosts, then he struggles with the housemaid, or he teaches children bad things. But in general, he is a shirt-guy in his prime, despite the fact that he is a godless and irresponsible liar, and he has sweets all the time.
    PS By the way, this book was recently banned in Sweden.
  14. tihonmarine
    tihonmarine 13 December 2019 12: 24
    0
    We can expect an aggressive foreign policy of Russia and ignoring the norms of international law [...] the reuse of the armed forces to maintain great power ambitions and protect interests abroad, especially in Europe
    Europe? Why is she to Russia, a rotten "old woman" through and through. Experts! I understand an expert in chemistry, physics, environmental pollution, these are specialists, and everything else is charlatans. For example, expert Kovtun appears on Russian TV, which expert is he? The rest are even worse.
  15. Livonetc
    Livonetc 13 December 2019 12: 25
    0
    The Russian state will continue to use military force in the next decade.

    And what else is military force necessary for?
    Moscow’s capabilities will be limited by strengthening the military power of other European states.

    Opportunities may be limited by the budget, traditional gouging and corruption in one form or another.
  16. Air force
    Air force 13 December 2019 12: 30
    0
    Almost every Western journalist, starting to write an article about Russia, writes: "Despite the known problems", what are the serious problems Russia has? Nuclear power plants around the world are still being built, gas pipelines are being laid, factories are being opened, arms sales are growing, OPEC + is working and coordinating with Russia on pricing, gold is being purchased in record quantities, there is practically no external debt, the IMF has been sent to hell with its recommendations not to invest money from welfare fund in domestic production and much more, although this may be a problem for them. Everyone squeals: there are big problems in Russia, but despite this, it can attack all of us. We are tired of, so the western man in the street haws such news, so they write them. Now, if the ratings from such news fell, then maybe they would not write nonsense. Build gas pipelines, invest billions for several years to "fight" the Brucelle bureaucracy, wait for the launch of SP2 and start a war with Europe, just like that, because despite the problems I want to fight.
  17. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 13 December 2019 12: 34
    0
    the number of young men available for conscription will be getting smaller
    The Swede clearly confuses Russia with the Scandinavian countries where even with microscopic armies there are problems with staffing. So far, and in the near future, we have everything in order with an appeal, so in vain we rolled out our lips.
    will allow to unleash one regional war
    We sleep and see how to unleash a war in Europe. The only thing is that if Ukraine is pushed to inappropriate actions (which is quite possible), then it will be necessary to force peace. In the meantime, gentlemen sleep Europeans and less tease Russia.
  18. K-50
    K-50 13 December 2019 12: 56
    0
    Such nonsense in the article that even commenting somehow in scrap. negative
  19. nnz226
    nnz226 13 December 2019 12: 59
    0
    And with whom to unleash this regional war ??? With the Finns we have everything Vasya-Vasya ... With the sprat limitrophes ??? Yes, even if they themselves come to surrender (without war), we will not take them because of their complete worthlessness and uselessness. Lyakhi ??? so these idiots will immediately have to send everyone to Siberia "for reforging", and this is a huge cost of Russian Railways for transportation, and then for placement ... Ukropiteki ??? Until the "hills of irreverence" from the heads of the Pravosek people grow on Red Square and the heads of Parashenko, Tymoshenko and other leaders of Maidans No. 1 and 2 are not above ("the cherry on the cake"), let them boil in their own juice.
  20. VLADIMIR VLADIVOSTOK
    VLADIMIR VLADIVOSTOK 13 December 2019 13: 12
    0
    They have in their minds the sayings of Manerheim and Karl of the 12th.
  21. Ali Kokand
    Ali Kokand 13 December 2019 14: 32
    0
    Swedish experts do not fully understand Russia. No enemy is worse for Russia than Russia itself. Not the Russians themselves rule there, and not for the good of the Russians. And the Russians themselves do not really want the good for Russia. All there are temporary workers. They value everything foreign, but they cherish their own. Friends are betrayed, and enemies are welcomed. The future of these lands is sad.
  22. ebrd
    ebrd 13 December 2019 14: 38
    0
    For me - the Swedes have long deserved a shovel on the ridge. The Führer was supplied with raw materials and anti-aircraft guns - this was during the World War! ,, neutral, they are damn. They always actively cooperate with NATO, without any obligations on their part. And they always shit - how and where they can - some, fair, decisions of the Stockholm arbitration court are worth what.
  23. faterdom
    faterdom 13 December 2019 14: 43
    0
    Offend again. Why regional?
    We can put "the entire civilized world" in an uncomfortable position, forcibly. Queue for free soup from our field kitchens.
  24. ZVS
    ZVS 13 December 2019 15: 10
    0
    You read similar opinions of European experts and come to the conclusion that this is already her sunset. Dibilism has become the norm already in the world of analysts.
  25. Aliken
    Aliken 13 December 2019 15: 18
    0
    Nauseous already, when they start about the norms of international law are baked, extreme cynicism of hypocrites.
  26. Zaurbek
    Zaurbek 13 December 2019 16: 00
    +1
    ..will be sure!
    1. Starper-xnumx
      Starper-xnumx 13 December 2019 16: 22
      +1
      Quote: Zaurbek
      ..will be sure!

      But later hehe soldier
      1. Zaurbek
        Zaurbek 13 December 2019 16: 27
        0
        A good word and Colt is always better than just a good word!
        1. Starper-xnumx
          Starper-xnumx 13 December 2019 16: 42
          +1
          Quote: Zaurbek
          A good word and Colt is always better than just a good word!

          When there is a strong Army, then you can talk about peace and agree on an equal footing .. Russia has passed a good lesson and the main struggle is still ahead .. soldier
  27. Tomich3
    Tomich3 13 December 2019 16: 07
    +1
    Well, then Russia is capable of nuclear war))
    1. Starper-xnumx
      Starper-xnumx 13 December 2019 16: 44
      +1
      Quote: Tomic3
      Well, then Russia is capable of nuclear war))

      Reliable men are sitting on the buttons, and in which case the hand will not flinch .. God forbid, of course it is .. But if they bring persecution, then everything can be .. hi
      1. Tomich3
        Tomich3 13 December 2019 18: 24
        0
        the whole world in trash))
        1. Starper-xnumx
          Starper-xnumx 13 December 2019 19: 25
          +1
          Quote: Tomic3
          the whole world in trash))

          Overseas .. hehe
  28. Berkut24
    Berkut24 13 December 2019 16: 09
    +1
    RF: this country will be a "troublemaker"

    For the West, calm is when a neighboring country is held by the throat and dictates its will to it. In this regard, yes, now you will not get bored with us.
  29. Starper-xnumx
    Starper-xnumx 13 December 2019 16: 20
    +1
    The Russian state will continue to use military force in the next decade,

    This is bad news for you "gentlemen" .. The USSR-Russia have already tried to disarm unilaterally, but they almost drowned in blood and lost huge territories (I am not talking about human losses at all) ..
    So, we will fight if something happens .. And we will not go into "frontal attacks" anymore .. We learned something ..! We don’t need someone else's, but we will not give up ours either, we’ve already had enough of it .. Ugh damn .. the humpback immediately dreamed up and EBN dancing ..))))
    PS Russia is focusing and silent ..
  30. Gennady Fomkin
    Gennady Fomkin 13 December 2019 16: 50
    0
    laughing How many already about such stories I read, but all the same my eyes go to my forehead, apparently I’ll never get used to it.
  31. LeonidL
    LeonidL 14 December 2019 04: 03
    0
    If you don't bite Russia, there will be no regional war either. in fact, the very term "regional war" is very sly, since most likely, if Russia is forced to confront a NATO member country, for example Poland, Latvia, Estonia ... then the war will instantly become a world war using the entire spectrum of strategic nuclear forces. So it's better not to provoke - everyone is calmer.