BBC: Iran wins race for leadership in the region

Iran wins the battle for regional leadership with Saudi Arabia, the BBC writes with reference to an analysis conducted by the International Institute for Strategic Studies in London.

Although Tehran’s opponents spent a lot of money on the purchase of Western weapons, the Islamic Republic only strengthened. The network of Iranian influence passes through Lebanon, Iraq, Syria, Yemen and other countries. For these purposes, Iran uses a network of alliances, the "proxy militia."

According to the report, a special role in promoting expansion was played by Al-Quds forces - the elite of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps.

The trigger for rapidly strengthening the Iranians paradoxically was the overthrow of Saddam Hussein's regime in 2003 in neighboring Iraq, which was committed by forces of the US-led coalition. There is no contradiction here: Iraqi statehood, previously ruled by Sunni Arabs, served as a reliable barrier against Iran. The US Army crushed this buffer without worrying about the consequences.

However, the article notes, and Tehran is also not going smoothly. Arab youth in Iraq are unhappy with their pro-Iranian government. It is possible that the new regional leader nevertheless took on more than he could pull.

Also, according to another analytical community - the European Council on Foreign Relations - Iran is inferior to the Saudis in traditional weapons and is forced to compensate for this with proxy forces, although it does it quite effectively.

Comments

[Lexus]

Iran responds to the antics of the hegemon harshly, not bothering to search for "asymmetric whining" and expressing concerns. And it deserves respect.

[Chaldon48]

Iran, this is not a very late neighbor near our borders. It was much calmer for us if he sat quietly and peacefully prayed to Allah.

[Lexus]

What is true is true.

[GibSoN]

Iran responds to the antics of the hegemon harshly, not bothering to search for "asymmetric whining" and expressing concerns. And it deserves respect.

Sir, your joy for Iran is not very clear! Are you pers From your birth (no matter how old you are now), and to the present moment, Iran has never even been a Russian comrade. So what exactly are you personally pleased with?

[Labrador]

It seems to me that further the Persians will only become stronger. The Persians have a fairly expected policy, at least the part that is on the surface, with respect to the states and Israel. And this is only a plus for the unification of people whom the policy of Jews and mattresses has deceived. In the eyes of simple Shiites, Saudis are also of easy virtue.
And friendship against the states and Israel is quite an argument. So on this, Iran will only be strengthened.

[Sky strike fighter]

Not a fact. Iraq almost rebelled against Shiite rule. And it is not known what else will be there. And whether Iraq will survive, and it is like the gate of Iran to Syria and Lebanon. Who will rule there if the Shiites are removed from power?

For the second month in Iraq, the most massive protests of young people and students in recent years have continued. The army and Shiite militias brutally suppress the demonstrations, hundreds of young people have already become victims of executions, many thousands have been injured. According to most observers, we are talking about the agony of the regime imposed by the Americans after the occupation of Iraq in 2003.

the country has been in a state of continuous political and ethno-confessional crisis since the very beginning of the American occupation in 2003. However, now the “point of no return” is approaching, beyond which the final collapse of Iraq’s statehood is possible. Note that we are talking about southern Iraq, which is under the control of Baghdad, since northern Kurdistan has almost become independent. In addition, discontent is growing in Iraq over the actions of Iran, which has armed and organized powerful militias, not inferior to the Iraqi army. The south of the country, where the Shiite cities-shrines of Karbala and Nejef (En-Najaf) are located, is practically put under Iranian control.

https://inosmi.ru/politic/20191107/246176318.html

[Oyo Sarkazmi]

60% of the Iraqi population are Shiites, who were rotten by Saddam. Saddam even treated Kurds better. And so, the Americans come, and according to the Lebanese model they give parliament to the Sunnis, the government to the Shiites, the presidency to the Kurds. True, three years later they woke up and created a prototype of ISIS from Saddam's Sunni military personnel to continue Saddam's policy. It didn't work. I had to raise "protests" instead of IS. That only raises the influence of Iran on the territory of Iraq.

[Labrador]

Who will rule there if the Shiites are removed from power?

Even if the Shiites in Iraq are removed from power, this will not stop the Persians from consolidating the Shiites around themselves, but rather the opposite: they will strengthen their political positions.

[Chaldon48]

Yes, but Russia does not need a "nuclear" Iran either. After all, as they say, the ways of Allah are not confessable!

[GibSoN]

Iran wins regional leadership race

Well, don’t say gop, for now .. On the whole, from the side the trend seems to be towards Iran, but what is the trend? In a week, month, half a year .. how will events develop? Guerrilla warfare is always easier. Especially when patrons like Iran and China. But in any case, this should not concern us. From the word DO NOT!

[Thrifty]

Iran was thrown back in development decades ago due to sanctions. Now for us, the Persians are not de facto enemies. As soon as we lift the sanctions on the supply of weapons to them, it will be necessary to use to the maximum their weakness - obsolete weapons, and sell them ours. It is possible there to establish factories for the repair and production of equipment and ammunition.

[Nycomed]

"It is possible that the new regional leader nevertheless took on more than he could pull."
And who was the "old leader"?

[Shahno]

Yes, the Iranians are great. Well, Israel is not worth it to anger. We will do everything without ceremonies that are welcome in NATO and the EU.
We can play on weaknesses, we can respond by force, the choice is great.
Well, then, if the Israelis involve all the political forces in Russia and the United States, few will not seem to anyone.
There is something to think about ..

[dauria]

Well, then, if the Israelis involve all the political forces in Russia and the United States, few will not seem to anyone.

Wow !!!! Watch out, planet !!! "When the Jewish Cossacks revolted, there was a coup in Birobidzhan ...."
And they said that all Jews are clever from the cradle ...

[Alex bergman]

I would be extremely careful in making forecasts. Sorry, but yours are not omnipotent either. Lobby is not a lobby, but today is another geopolitical map. To scare the Persians - it makes no sense. They have their own cockroaches in their heads. They do not care, unlike us.

[Oyo Sarkazmi]

And what, Iran borders on Israel?
You will first make peace with Hamas. He is very close. And the last ground operation in Lebanon ended in complete zilch ...

[Shahno]

Quote: Nycomed

"It is possible that the new regional leader nevertheless took on more than he could pull."
And who was the "old leader"?

Saudi Arabia, probably. We have long been Europe

[Tank jacket]

Iran and India stand on the north-south trade route. So Iran will gain strength in the economy and international trade.

[Old26]

Quote: Thrifty

Iran was thrown back in development decades ago due to sanctions.

Iran has been thrown back in development not only because of the sanctions of recent years. It began back in the late 70s, when the clergy came to power in Iran. With this, the rollback began. And for the last 10-15 years, sanctions, and not only state ones, but also the UN have been leverage to force Iran to stop its military nuclear program

Quote: Thrifty

Now for us, the Persians are not de facto enemies. As soon as we lift the sanctions on the supply of weapons to them, it will be necessary to use to the maximum their weakness - obsolete weapons, and sell them ours.

Yeah. For some reason, these "non-enemies" were allowed to use their airbase only once as a jump airfield. As a result, we are forced to carry out subsequent raids by bombers around. We are as unfaithful to them as the Americans are. It is not for nothing that in their time they called America the Great Satan, and us the Little Satan ...
Sell ​​them everything they want? A country that is not averse to expanding towards its neighbors? What for do we need Persians in this regard? Or the money doesn’t smell, and anyway, to which regime should it be sold?

Quote: Thrifty

It is possible there to establish factories for the repair and production of equipment and ammunition.

Is that all? Arm an unpredictable religious regime? I wanted fires on our borders. Or just to annoy the Americans?

[Thrifty]

Old 26 - only two questions - what kind of thing did we get into the anti-Iranian sanctions, and what kind of shaitan did the Persians have to hand in public when they secretly let us into their military airfields ??? the Persians asked us for a long tongue from their military airfields. ...

[Nyrobsky]

Quote: Thrifty

We ourselves have cheated on them with sanctions, and then we are offended that the Persians asked us for a long tongue from their military airfields. ...

Shaitan maytana - Yes, they did not ask us from their military airfields simply for the reason that they have constitutionally fixed that their territory cannot be provided for the permanent military presence of other states. We were there once during the most intensive work of the videoconferencing system, then we dispensed with the capabilities of Khmeimim. At the same time, Iran provided us with its airspace for launching a missile strike from the Caspian.

[Alex bergman]

Lean - a question!
Do you know that ANY work (buying and selling, and even more so something more serious) is subject to approval in the offices? Any postings to the accounts are tracked quite carefully and seriously. In general, work with Iran is only under the total control of fiscal authorities. State monopoly as gas and vodka. Then I do not want to go into details. Soryan.

[Armata T-14]

Well, glorious, the cancerous tumor on the body of the world must be destroyed, and Iran will fulfill its mission

[Basarev]

And Iran was able to seize influence on Assad, and now our VKS actually work in the interests of Iran. We are just pulling chestnuts out of the fire.

[Terenin]

To draw conclusions prematurely. Even in a short article is ambiguous.
Here - won

... BBC: Iran won race for leadership in the region

Here, have not won yet

.Iran wins battle for regional leadership

Here - even inferior

. According to European Council on Foreign Relations - Iran inferior traditionally armed Saudis ...

[protoss]

Iran wins battle for regional leadership with Saudi Arabia

in fact, between Iran and the CSA, the struggle "for leadership" is being waged exclusively on the Arabian Peninsula (Yemen, Bahrain) and with varying success (in Yemen so far in favor of Iran, with Bahrain clearly in favor of the CSA). in Iraq, the Saudis had no influence and, accordingly, there was no fight with Iran. in Syria, the Saudis were actually opposed by Turkey, which, with the hands of Russia and Iran, pushed the Arabians away from influence on the local Sunnis, completely locking them in on themselves. The Saudis exchanged relations with Palestine for a latent friendship with Israel, as a result of which the Palestinians were taken under the wing of Qatar and Turkey.
indeed, in recent years, Iran has strengthened its geopolitical position, but it is very unprofitable for itself. the weak Iranian economy is pulling several proxy conflicts at the same time without any hope of recovering losses. in fact, Iran has become hostages of its "victories", from which it cannot escape, since withdrawal destroys all achievements in the shortest possible time (as the "exit" of the United States from birth in a few days brought down the entire Syrian-Kurdish independence).
so there’s no need to talk about any leadership in the region yet.

[voyaka uh]

Very accurate comments respect

[Saboteur Holuy]

In the Region, Israel has the strongest army ...

[Nyrobsky]

Quote: Diversant Holuy

In the Region, Israel has the strongest army ...

Sure, not a problem. Here, in terms of the struggle for leadership, Iran is considered in comparison exclusively with Saudi Arabia, for which, it’s no secret, Israel and the USA are drowning. So, even in spite of such solid support, the Saudis are clearly not in the leading positions.

[aszzz888]

Iran wins the battle for regional leadership with Saudi Arabia, the BBC writes with reference to an analysis conducted by the International Institute for Strategic Studies in London.

to Jews it’s like a bucket of bones in the throat!

[Old26]

Quote: Thrifty

Old 26 - only two questions - what the hell did we get into the anti-Iranian sanctions.

Why did you get involved in the anti-Iranian sanctions? But what is beneficial to the state does not always coincide with the opinion of the inhabitants of this state. If you look at the attitude towards Iran or the DPRK at any of the forums, then the overwhelming majority of these two countries will receive many votes. But mostly only because both of these countries consider the United States to be their enemy. And then everything follows the scheme - "the enemy of my enemy is my friend." But this is not always correct, and most importantly, this is the private opinion of people.
Here, for example, one of the writers on the VO, a certain "Armata T-14" aka Hypersound, offers the same Serbia to transfer thermonuclear charges. They say it will rein in NATO. So, consider this nonsense in the interests of Russia, although many would vote for. True, when you ask the question, how do they look if the Americans transfer nuclear weapons to Ukraine or Georgia - oh, they are against ...
Or, as has already been done more than once, some comrades propose to transfer to the same Iran (or DPRK) almost for nothing the air defense system, and even ballistic missiles, so that both of these countries could threaten the Americans. But for Russia, how is it beneficial for the state?
It is beneficial for Russia to have a religious state in the underbelly, where everything is decided not by the general staff, but by one person, the so-called. "leader of the nation" possessing not only missile, but also nuclear weapons. A country that for decades has only been talking about expansion, about the export of the Iranian revolution? Personally, I would hate it.
And there is no need to once again bring the seemingly unkillable argument that only nuclear weapons will protect these countries from encroachment on the part of the United States. Nuclear weapons will protect sovereignty in only two cases. If there will be a lot of it and if the carriers will have an intercontinental range. Everything else is a talk for the poor. Do you really think that if Iran had 2-3 charges, then these charges would become a guarantee of non-attack on them? No. It will be advantageous for the Americans to "roll" Iran, they will do it. Not alone, of course, having assembled a coalition, but they will do it. Especially if public opinion in the United States is prepared in advance for this.
Now they won’t do it. A year later, the presidential election. And then? The likelihood is still very high given the fact that Iran resumed its nuclear program ..

Quote: Thrifty

what kind of shaitan needed to hand over the Persians in public when they secretly allowed us to go to their military airfields ??? But we themselves imposed sanctions on them, and then we are offended that the Persians asked us for a long tongue from their military airfields. ...

It was not us who handed them over. They themselves stated that they would no longer grant us permission to use their airfields as jump airports, or permission to use their space for flying cruise missiles. Played in public, and then on your mind. If they are allies like some of us crucify here, then why not be consistent until the end

Caught up with sanctions? You at least read them before speaking. If not for the actions of Russia, the sanctions would have been multiple harsher. And the agreement on the nuclear program generally minimally affected Iran’s interests. But at the same time, despite all the agreements, Iran tried at the last moment to drive a wedge between Russia and other countries parties to the agreement.
We are not offended. We are just fulfilling our obligations, but the Persians want to be considered almost allies and friends on the one hand, hoping to get something from themselves, and on the other hand they don’t want to commit themselves ...

[Stas157]

Iran wins battle for regional leadership with Saudi Arabia

What should be expected.