Military Review

Drone attack. Hussite blow


Expected strike with unexpected consequences

The new attack of the army of the Yemeni national liberation movement Ansar Allah (the Hussites) against Saudi Arabia certainly caused a furor in the world.

Khusitsko-Iranian Kuds-1, fragments of a rocket that fell in the desert

Of course, the Hussites used to inflict heavy blows on armless clueless men in military uniforms, calling themselves the armed forces of the countries of the Arab coalition, but since there died either Arabs from the oil monarchies or some Sudanese, or, at best, mercenaries from countries like Australia and Colombia, the "world community" didn't give a damn. And missile strikes at KSA naval bases or military airfields, too. And even blows to Riyadh are not their headache, even if the King of Saudi has a headache that he can lie to his subjects. But blows to the most sacred thing that is in KSA for representatives of the “golden billion” (no, not for Mecca and Medina), namely for the oil industry, that is, affordable for Western consumers, is another matter entirely. Yes, and so successful strikes.

In fact, there was nothing unexpected in the fact that the blows were carried out precisely at the world's largest oil refinery in Abkeyika, 60 kilometers southwest of Dahran and located kilometers 200 southwest of the largest oil field in KSU, Khurais. The fact that it was precisely on them that attacks could be struck was obvious long before the event. So, the Abkeik refinery was not so much involved in the production of petroleum products as in bringing oil from various KSA fields to the Arab-Light grade for sale for export. The Saudis produce about 10-10,5 million barrels per day, exporting about 7, and 5 go through Abkake, more precisely, they passed. And this refinery was featured not only in the reports of various analytical organizations about the possible targets for strikes in KSA, but even in some computer games. Moreover, if somewhere, say, in the GOU of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation there are operational plans, say, for strikes against Saudi Arabia (just in case they should be - for a war with any state), well, or, say, in the Chinese General Staff Abkake definitely appears there. In general, it was obvious, but just not covered. Although formally a cover exists, and is relatively powerful.

Than they beat

What exactly did they beat? For a long time there was no accurate information. At first, an attack was announced about the Hussite strike UAV (UAV), both by the KSA and the Hussites. Such attacks have already been inflicted more than once on KSA, and even on the UAE. And among the used disposable UAV designs, there were previously very long-range ones, in particular, Samad-1 and Samad-3 with a flight range of the order of 1200-1500 km, so that they would have enough range from the attacked objects from Yemen and Iraq, and from Iran (moreover, the distances there are quite comparable, except perhaps closer from Iraq). True, with a solid size and flight range, these disposables have a very weak warhead (warhead) - only 18 kg. Although for a number of oil facilities this would be enough. But it quickly became known that the Khusit cruise missiles (CRs) of the Quds-Xnumx type also took part in the strike - the wreckage of one of the missiles was discovered in the desert. And this missile was not shot down - there were no traces of defeat, perhaps the engine caught fire (which happens in the Iranian KR periodically) or some other malfunction happened.

According to the latest data from the Saudi side, their objects attacked 25 units of weapons - the Kuds-1 KR attacked the Khurais field, in the amount of 7 pieces, of which 4 successfully hit targets, and 3 simply did not reach the targets and fell in the desert. The Saudis initially tried to write them down to their air defense account, but even they didn’t have the audacity to do so - there are no damages to the wreckage, and they don’t have to talk about electronic warfare, it’s tight with them. But the refinery in Abkeyka was attacked by UAVs, with the number of 18 units, and everyone hit their targets, there are neither shot down nor fallen along the road. However, maybe there is, the desert is large, there you can search for years.

Impact drone wreckage

The Saudis assure that all the missiles and devices are of Iranian manufacture, and they, of course, are right here. It is clear that there are no “Hussite" UAVs, just as there are no “Hussite" ballistic missiles (BR), up to medium range (BRRS), or cruise (KR) - there are Iranian missiles based on Chinese, North Korean or our designs , but with glued nameplates and other camouflage methods (or simply repainted and renamed). In Yemen, Iran is waging the exact same “proxy war” as Russia, say, in the Donbas or against Russia, the Americans and other “friends of Syria” fought in Syria. Only the nature of this "proxy war" is different. And, despite the "blockade" of the Navy of the "Arab coalition" of the ports of Yemen, weapons continue to flow into the country, up to OTR, BRMD, BRRS, KR, SAM, ATGM, and UAVs. In part, it arrives by sea, because the sailors of the “coalition” in their professional qualities can fight for the championship, except in the same minor league, in which the legendary “bogeys” of the Navy, who know how to surrender combat boats to helicopters, and who “do not stash the ground.” Part of it, obviously, is smuggling through Oman, which has fenced off neutrality from the Yemen war, and where there is neutrality - there is also smuggling. In general, the position of the Sultanate of Oman seems to be one of the most appropriate.

KR “Quds-1” at the presentation of new weapons by the Ansar Allah command. The resemblance to the X-55 is certain

The Quds-1 KR, according to the Saudis, is a version of the Iranian I-Ali KR, but is more like another KR, Sumar. Both of them are the fruits of copying the oldest version of the Soviet ALCMs with X-55 YaBCH (without M and MS), which in the original had a range of up to 1600km (X-55MS have a range of 3500km, non-nuclear X-555 - more than 2000km). Copy rockets, as you know, were bought by Iranians a long time ago in Ukraine. The range of both versions is about 700km - Iranians are not exactly able to “rip off” even technologies that are very old for Russia, and this is not particularly good for more developed powers. There is also a more perfect version of them, the KR "Hoveise", with a range of 1300km. The Iranians could not copy the P-95-300 engine, which was mounted on the X-55, instead they took the TJ100 engine manufactured by the Czech company PBS Group from Brno (specializing in small turbojet engines and turbojet engines for light aircraft, targets, and even models - there are and engines weighing a couple of kilograms in the line), and arranged for their release. But he has much less traction, instead of 400kg - only 130kg, however, he weighs not 90kg, but 20. And the fuel there is not deciline, which is used on the X-55 and its derivatives.

Czech turbojet engine TBS TJ100 and the engine of the fallen KR

As for the UAVA, the fragments shown by the Saudis indicate that these disposable devices were already used by the Hussites in Yemen and in their attacks on the KSA, but these are not the Samad-type devices that were used to attack the UAE at the time and some others high-profile stocks. These low-speed propeller-driven UAVs with a deltoid wing in Iran itself were demonstrated as far back as 2014 at an exhibition of weapons designed for the aerospace forces (exactly like that) of the IRGC IRI, and since then have practically not shone in Iran itself. Given the large number of parallel developments by the Iranians, this could indicate that the device received a "resignation", however, this was not the case.

Super Precision Ballad

Many network commentators, especially those who are not versed in the use of high-precision weapons and the fight against them, have now suddenly begun to extol this strike, speaking of "highest precision" and that "no one can." Well, for the United States and Israel (which says a lot about themselves) for some reason these figures make an exception, but not for Russia, because every creak knows that in Russia "missiles do not fall into the cross" (only the Mujahideen do not think so ) Actually, the task of these entities in this case is to once again spit in Russia.

In fact, there is no ultra-high accuracy here. Of the 7 KR, the shortage of 3 missiles in the absence of any counteraction, both electronic warfare and air defense, is a bad result. It’s not even worth talking about the polygon impact conditions - in Russia interference in exercises is usually used, but here they weren’t. Yes, the rest of the missiles hit the targets, but these targets are large-sized, contrasting, and easy to hit the desert terrain. It would have been easier to work out on purpose except on a dried-out salt lake. Already in the oil storage facilities and large oil refineries, even the old Termit RCC successfully hit back in the Indo-Pakistan War 1971. The same thing with drones - large targets, no interference, no contrast, and with known coordinates, and unreinforced, besides exploding from the first hit. Unless the reliability of the devices (if some are not lying undetected in the desert) and the range of their flight inspires respect - here the Iranians should be praised.

True, the range has its own questions. It has not yet been established whether it is true that both the Kyrgyz Republic and the UAV flew from Yemen. More precisely, the Hussites and Iranians say so. The Iranians also add that the Hussites had the right to such a blow, in response to the barbaric bombing of Yemeni cities and the aggression of the Saudis - and I completely agree with this thesis. And even the attacks on Riyadh have every right. But to hit the pocket is much more sensitive.

By the consequences of the blow, you can notice the following. The facilities, especially the refineries, have suffered severe damage that can be repaired within a few weeks or months. But the Saudis already claim that they "restored production to the previous level." Most likely, there is a manipulation. KSA, under pressure from the United States, which does not need an explosive increase in oil prices (but to restore the profitability of the shale industry, growth is nevertheless needed), could compensate for the losses from its oil reserves, as well as by connecting some reserve capacities. But the fact that a considerable part of the attacked structures are unlikely to be quickly put into operation is obvious.

Consequences of the strike at Abkeyk Refinery

Consequences of a strike at Khurais field

Where did it come from? Open question

Saudis and Americans are eager to prove that the strike was delivered from Iran itself. The Saudis also do not want to admit that the group on the border with Yemen successfully overslept the blow. But the evidence is still tight. The fact that strikes were made in Abkeyka, judging by the points of impact, on the east side, does not mean that the striking weapons came from there either - a maneuver behind the radio horizon in front of the target is quite possible if there was enough fuel. At first they assured that the Kyrgyz Republic could not fly from Yemen, saying that they would not have enough range. But no one knows whether the “Hussite” Kyrgyz Republic has such a range now, or is it somewhat larger, especially since it is possible to facilitate warheads.

Then there were allegations that the strike train had flown in from southern Iraq, where the Iranians have great influence through their people in the government and through Shiite militia, where there are enough instructors from the Kudes forces of the IRGC, under the command of the well-known Suleimani. But the Americans really do not want to admit this, because it shows once again that their whole gimmick with the aggression and occupation of Iraq and the war was there so that the US enemy would rule everything there. It is clear that knowledgeable people already know this, but Trump's Twitter readers are not one of them, and they don’t need to know that. Harmful to rating. The Saudis also don’t need this - are they fighting Iraq now? In general, now they are trying to compose a version, in comparison with which the legendary "magic bullet" that killed John Kennedy will seem a saint in truth history. Like, a blow was struck from a base in southern Iran near the Strait of Hormuz, and striking means flew all over the south of Iran, then Kuwait, and then over the KSA coast from the east to the targets. Immediately questions arise without answers. For example - why such difficulties? One could find a base closer to the border with Kuwait and Iraq, or even strike from Iraq (since the version with Yemen is denied by the Saudis) - why substitute your country? Why was it impossible to fly over the Persian Gulf and pass through the hostile KSA Qatar or the UAE? It's so shorter! Why fly over the coast of KSA, densely enough poked with radar and air defense systems? And why didn’t anyone detect any targets in Kuwait, and there are not only local warriors (as worthless as the Saudis), but also Americans themselves, where they have a large military base? It turns out that the American means of detection and air defense are unsuitable not only in the hands of stupid and lazy local warriors in free white clothes (out of service), but also in the hands of American "supermen" (in the liberal paradigm)?

And the Americans do not have any evidence of their route - they did not photograph anything and did not detect anything. They only report about some "suspicious activity" before the strike on that very Iranian base. Or maybe it was the activity of reconnaissance unmanned aviation VKSK IRG?

By the way, the fact that the Americans "overslept" the action also speaks very well of what the recent "insiders" from the "US intelligence" on CNBC television stand about the tests of the Russian CR with the Burevestnik nuclear-powered engine. The Americans don’t and cannot have neither satellite data on those tests (they are carried out during the “window” for enemy reconnaissance satellites, this is an obligatory rule), nor data from radars in Norway - it is over-the-horizon and does not see low-flying targets at such a huge distance. Like agents, most likely not, and even if it were, shining it in order to write an article about how “nothing flies at the Russians” is not stupidity, but insanity. And nobody will do that.

To be continued ...

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  1. maw
    maw 20 September 2019 15: 21
    Hence the conclusion, the slogan "Vigilance is our weapon!" clearly not for the Arab air defense. Or maybe this is an ovine thing? Have you found the inscription "DMB-2019" on the rocket yet? soldier
    1. seregatara1969
      seregatara1969 20 September 2019 19: 47
      for Russian Kalash Putin for some reason do not pull? but could they let it go?
    2. Mountain shooter
      Mountain shooter 21 September 2019 10: 28
      The guards openly "spanked" the attack ... They were all "relaxed" from birth. tongue and "striped ears" in an atmosphere of "eternal buzz" is similar ...
    3. PavelT
      PavelT 25 September 2019 00: 04
      Definitely not for the Arab.
      Plus, add the possible dislike of ordinary American warriors to these lazy Wahhabis. It could well stupid stupid camel drivers with bad radar, air defense systems, missiles to them. Or to regulate everything in the process of acceptance, training of local staff ...
  2. Lexus
    Lexus 20 September 2019 15: 22
    Great hit accuracy. How is this possible without satellite navigation? Looks very much like a performance.
    1. Oleg123219307
      Oleg123219307 20 September 2019 15: 26
      Why not? If the electronic warfare did not work, then they simply flew in civilian gps and flew ...
      1. Lexus
        Lexus 20 September 2019 15: 33
        Did you take it, gut some "Garmin" thread, connect it to the "brains" and go ahead? Well I do not know...
    2. lucul
      lucul 20 September 2019 16: 35
      Great hit accuracy. How is this possible without satellite navigation?

      The author of the article modestly kept silent about the fact that in the Persian Gulf, at the time of the strike, there were as many as 3 destroyers equipped with the Aegis system. And if the missiles flew from Iran, then Aegis did not notice them at all, nor did he notice these missiles at all, although these destroyers were off the coast and their air defense was supposed to cover the factory.
      In general - to say that it was EPIK FEYL for the whole of the promoted NATO air defense - this means to say nothing.))))
      Once again, I repeat - NATO has nothing, which can be contrasted even with our simple Caliber.
      1. To be or not to be
        To be or not to be 20 September 2019 18: 07
        August and September 16, 2019 in the Gulf of Oman, a group of the 5th fleet of the U.S. Navy
        USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72)
        Carrier Strike Group 12
        Carrier Air Wing 7

        Destroyer Squadron 2
        The leadership of DESRON 2 is embarked aboard Lincoln and commands the guided-missile destroyers that are operating as part of the CSG.
        • USS Bainbridge (DDG-96), homeported in Norfolk, Va.
        • USS Mason (DDG-87), homeported in Norfolk, Va.
        • USS Nitze (DDG-94), homeported in Norfolk, Va.
        • ESPS Méndez Núñez (F 104), Ferrol Naval Base, Spain
        Guided-missile cruiser
        • USS Leyte Gulf (CG-55), homeported in Norfolk, Va.

        Today is September 20, 2019 AUGi

        Aircraft Carriers Underway:
        USS Dwight D. Eisenhower (CVN 69) - Atlantic
        USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN 72) - 5th Fleet
        USS John C. Stennis (CVN 74) - Atlantic
        USS Ronald Reagan (CVN 76) - Pacific
        Now the question is - How could Shipborne Air Defense get through if flew from IRAN? HOW ???
        1. lucul
          lucul 20 September 2019 19: 15
          Now the question is - How could Shipborne Air Defense get through if flew from IRAN? HOW ???

          So this is there air defense)))
        2. Mimoprohodil
          Mimoprohodil 20 September 2019 21: 42
          Quote: To be or not to be
          in the Gulf of Oman, a group of 5 US Navy fleets
          It is almost 700 km from the refinery. What the hell ship's air defense?
          1. To be or not to be
            To be or not to be 20 September 2019 22: 20
            passable .. "one of the options (from the article):" Like, the blow was struck from a base in southern Iran near the Strait of Hormuz, and the strike assets flew the entire south of Iran, then Kuwait, and then over the coast of the KSA from the east they reached their targets ... .... It turns out that American detection and air defense systems are useless not only in the hands of stupid and lazy local warriors in loose white clothes (outside the service), but also in the hands of American "supermen" (in the liberal paradigm)? ""
            1. Mimoprohodil
              Mimoprohodil 21 September 2019 10: 27
              Quote: To be or not to be
              not far from the Strait of Hormuz
              The concept is extensible. 50-100-200 km? It is enough to fly drones at an altitude of less than 200 meters and any radar will see them at a distance of only 80 km
        3. Warrior2015
          Warrior2015 22 September 2019 00: 14
          Quote: To be or not to be
          Now the question is - How could Shipborne Air Defense get through if flew from IRAN? HOW ???

          And what, do we have the Strait of Hormuzzd blocked for Iranian ships, much less civilian ones? why could they not (as is usually done with their weapons) simply deliver the necessary weapons to the ports of Yemen controlled by the Hussites? or even not to the ports, and so - they were unloaded onto the shore, and that's all, and even from the ship, supposedly civilian, they launched it.
    3. PavelT
      PavelT 25 September 2019 00: 06
      Near the refinery were a couple of drone operators, gunners of cruise missiles. Maybe even the targets were highlighted with 2-3 km for a confident defeat.
  3. stels_07
    stels_07 20 September 2019 15: 23
    Someone struck the same blow, and Iranian missiles
  4. Shahno
    Shahno 20 September 2019 15: 24
    And then take the militants and unite with the IRGC. Yes, unexpectedly. Especially in the light of the "corridor" ...
  5. iouris
    iouris 20 September 2019 15: 27
    Who benefits from bombing Saudi infrastructure? With impunity, this can only be done by the United States or US agents or agent agents. In this direction, and experts need to dig.
    1. Catfish
      Catfish 20 September 2019 15: 34
      Do they really need it?
      1. Alexey RA
        Alexey RA 20 September 2019 18: 06
        Quote: Sea Cat
        Do they really need it?

        Rising oil prices. Now that US oil exports have exceeded imports, expensive oil has become profitable. Plus, notorious profitability threshold for shale oil.
        1. Astronaut
          Astronaut 20 September 2019 20: 43
          An interesting version and most importantly, most likely close to the truth winked
        2. Beringovsky
          Beringovsky 23 September 2019 00: 47
          Rising oil prices is much easier to organize through exchange-traded instruments. Fortunately, amers have everything from statistical data on oil reserves in the USA to data from the Geological Survey. Manipulate as you like, and that they have always been able to do expertly.
          And the threshold of oil shale profitability, given the "strange" debt burden of companies, is generally fiction. So that,
          IMHO if this was a provocation, then the point is not that.
    2. PavelT
      PavelT 25 September 2019 00: 08
      It is beneficial for us. From all points of view.
      Iranians profitable. Set up Wahhabi Saudi Arabians as idiots.
      American oil workers (who want to sell more expensive oil).
      Even the oil neighbors of the Saudis, and then - profitable ...
  6. Oleg123219307
    Oleg123219307 20 September 2019 15: 31
    Let them have fun. They will take the oil to the Saudis - we’re better. They will tear down oil to Iran - again not bad. The Jews will fall under the hand - there and the road, after that plane. The Turks will be drawn in and bogged down - again ... We have no friends in that region, only temporary hangers-on. The main thing is not to get involved in a global conflict ourselves. It’s a good thing to plant Iran equipment and train specialists so that the states are expensive. It is a good thing in Syria to protect the base. You can sell your weapons to everyone under the guise. But I think it’s not worthwhile to climb into the war. Till.
    1. Astronaut
      Astronaut 20 September 2019 20: 44
      I fully support this strategy! Your words, yes to the Commander-in-Chief's ears! good
  7. Vladimir61
    Vladimir61 20 September 2019 15: 36
    It’s interesting and rather close to probability than what they’re fussing about on various media resources today.
  8. Shahno
    Shahno 20 September 2019 15: 36
    Quote: iouris
    Who benefits from bombing Saudi infrastructure? With impunity, this can only be done by the United States or US agents or agent agents. In this direction, and experts need to dig.

    Bombing an ally? You can go unpunished, but not for long laughing
    The Hussites have no technical capabilities. Who has
    1. iouris
      iouris 20 September 2019 23: 46
      Quote: Shahno
      Bombing an ally?

      The United States has no allies. Do not forget that there will be elections in the United States a year later. I'm not sure that Trump controls everything that the Supreme Commander should control. In addition, this ally (according to the official version) staged an attack on passenger planes, by the way, in September 2001. The Saudis themselves could arrange an attack on themselves. "Time" will tell (when). Do not miss.
  9. andrewkor
    andrewkor 20 September 2019 16: 48
    And I would have fastened negotiations on the gas, gas, EU, Ukraine, Russia blows to KSA!
    You never know!
    1. iouris
      iouris 21 September 2019 01: 29
      Ukraine is working to ensure that the EU (and Ukraine) receive gas only (or mainly) from the United States. At least until the towers of the Kremlin stagger. And it does not depend on Zu or Ze, or Po or Pu. The EU is Germany. Germany weakly resists. But very afraid.
  10. Vitaly Tsymbal
    Vitaly Tsymbal 20 September 2019 16: 57
    Thanks to the author! These materials attract readers.
  11. fruit_cake
    fruit_cake 20 September 2019 17: 34
    so it seems the Hussites said that they are? but about whose weapon, what difference is it now, all countries rush about like crazy and try to sell a bunch of weapons to someone, exhibitions and shows are organized, then it makes sense to be surprised that someone used these weapons?
  12. gafarovsafar
    gafarovsafar 21 September 2019 12: 03
    whoever kicked these Amerz lackeys did it right and beautifully
  13. Klingon
    Klingon 23 September 2019 21: 22
    Quote: lucul
    Now the question is - How could Shipborne Air Defense get through if flew from IRAN? HOW ???

    So this is there air defense)))

    probably over the group, at first drying flew with the Khibiny and then Hussite KR wassat