Rogozin and cosmonautics: who wins?
And obviously not separately taken gentlemen, whose faces are no longer placed in the frame of the TV. The whole system works, the purpose of which is the complete ruin of the Russian space industry with the subsequent sale to everyone. And inevitably the question arises: who benefits and who is behind this?
But I will leave the questions to the end, but for now let's calmly face the facts.
And the facts speak of the following: the fall into the abyss of the Russian space program did not begin suddenly and not yesterday. Yesterday (in general, in 2017) it became clear that the crisis was raging and bending the industry to the ground. This is me about the words of Andrei Removich Belousov, the current presidential aide on economic issues. A stupid person, and, judging by the lack of his glitter "For Merits", is also honest.
So, back in December, 2017, Belousov, in his heart, threw a phrase that “Roscosmos State Corporation does not earn a damn.” This was the first call from above.
And the last one I think is the January phrase of our Prime Minister Medvedev, who ordered “to stop talking, where we will fly in the 2030 year, to talk less and do more”. Well, if the prime minister says so, then things are worse than ever.
The last word, of course, is Putin, but the fact that he is silent, looking at the show performed by Rogozin and Roscosmos, on the one hand, encourages (not much), on the other hand, you realize that GDP could already give up. on going clownery.
Today’s realities are such that, in general, everything is relatively good. And Andrei Removich, saying that Roskosmos does not earn anything, of course, it’s right, but the worst is still to come.
It is worth considering what “RK” generally makes money on:
- manned launches to the ISS;
- sale of rocket engines RD-180 to Americans;
- production of satellites;
- putting satellites into orbit.
It is not necessary to force much, and so it is clear that soon “RK” may lose ALL components from this list. And it began not yesterday. The main blow to our space program was delivered in 2014 year. Well, yes, "Krymnash." Our Crimea, but for some reason, the Western partners began to indulge in sanctions and gradually turn away. Plus, we lost Yuzhmash.
Today there is nothing to talk about Crimea, the fact is not in it, but in the fact that the consequences could not be neutralized. But we, proudly with our nose up, said that we would manage, and the partners ... And the partners, by the way, rushed to neutralize the consequences of their sanctions. For myself.
And, unfortunately, succeeded.
The same Koreans who developed their first carrier KSLV (Korea Space Launch Vehicle) with us, for some reason turned away instantly, and KSLV-2 had already developed completely independently, but on the basis of American SpaceX technologies.
Yes, and SpaceX too. Our Urya-patriots were very clever for a long time on the topic “yes, nothing will come of them,” predicted a collapse, and so on. Well, 2020 is the year here, not far off, and with it the contract of carrying on the ISS between NАSА and RK will end.
I foresee op at all levels, from social networks to the Senate and the US Congress on the topic “Enough to keep Russians, we can do it ourselves!” And I am sure that everyone will vote for delivering astronauts to the ISS, even if it is a raw ship, than the Russian one. This is normal. Minus one.
Especially since there are no complaints about “Soyuz”, since they are quite well in service for 1967, they slightly modernize themselves. The key word here is “slightly.”
Actually, over the past 50 years, we have not invented anything new. What for? If everything works so well? If Korolev and his comrades did this? Meaning to strain?
And the rest in the world were strained and perfected. Who wanted to imagine a piece of space.
But we go further.
Regarding the cart, it is worth noting that, in addition to the Dragon, which delivers cargo to the ISS and (the main difference) takes it from there, now there is a Dragon V2. And you have to believe that the Americans have really spent time since 2011.
On the second point, a question arises about Blue Origin, which offered ULA its engine designs as an alternative to our RD-180. Actually, someone can continue to shout about the fact that Americans can never. Personally, as an intelligent person, I understand that the question of abandoning the RD-180 is a matter of the most recent time.
Who does not understand is a matter of prestige. So, “VO” will finish its engines, and the RD-180 will be abandoned. In the same way as abandon the "Union".
Go ahead. Production of satellites.
It seems to be a complete order, but a complete order, because we are simply not told about how Roscosmos once again ... And it would be worth it.
Take for example history with the Egyptian satellite EgyptSat-2.
The satellite was launched 16 on April 2014 of the year from the Baikonur cosmodrome and put into orbit. 7 months satellite was under the control of Russian experts. In January 2015, satellite control was transferred to Egyptian specialists.
12 May 2015, the malfunction of the onboard digital computing complex, the problem did not work out, the satellite went into the trash. On insurance money "Energy" is building its doubler.
Or his colleague, the Angolan satellite AngoSat 1. Built, by the way, on the money that Russia gave to Angola on credit (248 million dollars).
The start was made on 26 December 2017 of the year. After separation from the “Fregat” upper stage, the satellite contacted, but subsequently the connection with it was lost. Again received insurance, which is built understudy.
You can go on and on, but ...
But it is better to go straight to the fourth and last point. To launch satellites. Leaving for later problems with the assembly and debugging of spacecraft.
The fact that all space powers have failures is normal. Companions fall or fly away in the trash, too, at all. Another question is whether a country, a former leader in the exploration of outer space, can afford to ruin bundles of spacecraft? Accidents, forgive, are reflected in the image. And only negatively.
If, say, the Chinese and the Japanese launch only their devices, then we are ready to encourage everyone. More precisely, having the opportunity to pay. Well, then we should approach the questions accordingly.
And we, forgive, and there are problems. That sensor will block upside down with a locksmith, then the wrong solder will be given out. The result - millions of dollars in junk. We live well ...
But in the end, watching all this disgrace, yesterday's partners today cease to be them.
Yes, once the race for space were two great powers - the USSR and the USA. Now the “space club” has become a club, since there are already more than a dozen launching countries. Both Korea, New Zealand - where is it? And there. To space.
The world, you know, has changed. And everyone wants to launch devices into orbit. It is clear that not everyone can afford it, but New Zealand was able to ...
And we? What are we? How about revenge on the former leading space power? In general, I would like Russia to somehow return to the first place in terms of start-ups in general and successful ones in particular.
Alas.
You know, we have one figure ... Someone Rogozin. And his activity is not even in doubt. Fears for our space industry.
In general, everything that Rogozin and his subordinates are doing today, all under the auspices of the "Angara". There is no other way out. Just give a mind to this more than strange rocket. Fit it anywhere.
Meanwhile, Rogozin's spotlights are more than sci-fi. The launch of the Sphere system, naturally, on Angara heavy rockets.
The Sphere system itself is the former Aether system, which was supposed to consist of 288 satellites and possess, well, just wonderful signal transmission parameters to subscribers. Than "Aether" did not look, it is difficult to say, but instead it was announced about the system "Sphere" from 640 satellites worth 300 billion rubles.
So necessary for the launch of this heap of satellites "Angara" is transferred in terms of assembly from Moscow to Omsk. Motivation seems to be normal, equidistance from Plesetsk and East. How much, however, it will take a relocation in days and rubles is not announced.
But it was announced that we must urgently abandon the "Proton". "Proton", collected by crooked Voronezh hands, is not needed. Especially it is not needed if it does NOT suddenly fly Angara. Then Rogozin will quickly find the guilty welder, the Angara will not fly anyway, but there will be nothing to duplicate or replace it.
The Khrunichev Center in Moscow must be demolished. And in its place to build a "National Space Center". At what time it will cost in rubles and years, no one can say yet either. But Rogozin has already presented his project of the center, which was called a phallus in the network.
The center, without which the work of the entire space industry is impossible, must be earned in 2022. More than 20 thousands of Roscosmos employees will be relocated there. Where they will work while they start building the center, Rogozin kept silent.
In general, everything looks more than inadequate.
I understand that Rogozin is sleeping peacefully, he will be given money anyway. Another question is how and what he spends them. And will there be any sense out of this (I say in advance, I don’t believe a gram)?
Knowing how effective Rogozin is, and how his words diverge from deeds - I don’t believe it, and that’s it. I understand why Dmitry Olegovich says now about the moon tractor in 2030 year. Who will remember there, in 10 years, what did he promise to whom?
Although in some places they still remember the promises of Mr. Rogozin before his first election ...
Okay, everything is clear with Rogozin, he, if anything, will help his corporation with a trampoline. But back to the "Angara".
So beloved Rogozin "Angara" cost us almost two billion dollars. And I flew for 25 more than twice in total. In 2014 year.
It was calculated (not by Rogozin) that one launch (if the East one was completed) of the heavy carrier Angara-A5 approaches one hundred million dollars. What does this mean? The fact that the Angara-A5 will be completely uncompetitive in comparison with the American Falcon 9 rocket. And God forbid that by the time the Angara is ready to launch, no new American, European, Japanese, Indian or Chinese missiles will come out. It will be very sad.
But we will have a space phallus in Moscow, with the Rogozin cabinet at the top. And the super-expensive Cosmodrome Vostochny, where else to plant and plant the converting gentlemen of all stripes and ranks.
But - all is useful. Somewhere Roscosmos employees have to sit, right? In terms of work. And the East is useful. Yes, the launches will be a couple of times a year, but they will be the same: the Ministry of Defense will remain a loyal client of Kazakhstan. If all the same finish East.
It is clear that no one in the world will wait until Rogozin and the company build a bright future for themselves. They will find who will be able to launch satellites into orbit, since there is already a choice.
To be honest, the fact that Vostochniy will work to its fullest at all is in great doubt. Today, it is built only a quarter, and, as experts say and write, with such defects that it would be better not to build it.
Well, the very statistics of the application shows that three starts (plus one unsuccessful) in three years is not enough for a toy worth trillions of rubles. So-so turned out.
If everything goes the same way with everything else, and the question immediately arises, why should it be otherwise, then what should we expect?
It's hard to say, it's easier, probably, to say what is NOT worth the wait.
Own orbital station, near-earth, near-moon, research base on the Moon, interplanetary / lunar "Federation", which still replace the "Union" - that's all this is not to wait.
The projects and initiatives of Rogozin clearly show that it is much more interesting for him to simply inject sums (it’s not worth turning the money away) to the Khrunichev Center. Without a guarantee of receiving at least some return.
Well, yes, journalist Dmitry Rogozin can arbitrarily fiercely criticize applied physicist Ilona Mask, but ... Mask made a move by setting the ship 21 of the century, and Rogozin ...
And the head of "Roskosmos" and his colleagues are committed to finding those responsible for their own failures.
Currently, the list includes quite a lot: a shortage of money, Space X, the United States, an “information attack”, the former leadership of Roscosmos, resigned engineering and labor cadres, foreign spies and even the former Russian Defense Minister Anatoly Serdyukov.
But not a word addressed to this Roscosmos management. Not a word about your own wine.
However, the appointment of Rogozin as the Director General of Roscosmos and his actions, and most importantly, the statements, are explained quite easily: Dmitry Olegovich’s confidence is based on his relationship, you know with whom.
If the question of appointing the Roscosmos director was decided referendally, Rogozin would hardly have been given this position. It is difficult to find in the circles of the president the least suitable person, and even less popular than Rogozin.
But, unfortunately, the decision of the issue is beyond our competence. And if Putin is satisfied with what Rogozin does in Roscosmos, then the people who have elected the president want it that way.
And the loss of leading positions in space can be experienced somehow, isn't it?
In the next article we will talk about scientific work in space, orbital perspectives and lunar stations. To be continued.
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