Military threats for new gas pipelines of the Russian Federation

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Russia is consistently increasing its presence in the gas market in Europe. In 2018, the share of Russian gas increased to 36,7 percent, which is two percent more compared to 2017.





In absolute figures, Gazprom also breaks records: exports to the European Union and Turkey amounted to over 200 billion cubic meters. However, not everything is so smooth: the Russian Federation and its main European clients are in actual dependence on political relations with the Russian Federation on the part of individual countries through which the blue fuel is transited. Not all of them have friendly relations with the Russian side.

In order to increase the volume of supplies (in which many EU countries are interested in the strength of the closure of coal mines and the dynamic development of environmental trends), Russia is building two new gas pipelines. One of them, Nord Stream-2, will go into operation within the next year. The second, “Turkish Stream,” should earn at full capacity no later than 2021.

The emergence of these two gas arteries is caused by a chorus of angry voices of regimes, in whose interests the very appearance of a new pipe beats. The voice of Ukraine is heard the loudest - it is losing the most powerful lever of pressure on the Russian Federation. In addition, it is also a serious source of income for the poor neighbor's budget - losses can be on the order of 3 billions of dollars a year.

North Stream-2 "is a much broader problem than just a gas issue. It concerns the security of Ukraine and it would not be an exaggeration to say that for us it is a matter of survival.

- said Andrei Kobolev, Chairman of the Board of NJSC Naftogaz of Ukraine.

The US is trying to reduce the importance of Russian gas for Europe and crush this market for itself. There have already been threats to use sanctions against German companies operating on laying a gas pipeline to the EU.

Poland also attempted to block construction: in its opinion, a “military threat” emanates from the gas pipeline. And where there is a military threat, there, perhaps, its reflection with the help of weapons. Is Poland ready for such a confrontation with Russia?

Who is ready to destroy the Russian gas pipeline?
Ukraine is closest to the chain of military sabotage on the Russian gas pipeline. First of all, not because of ideological positions, but because of the fear of losing its main strategic weapon - the ability to sit on a pipe and create problems until the required amounts are received.

What Kiev holds back is the opportunity to lose even more. And not even because of a possible response from Moscow - Kiev is confident that with the confrontation with the Russian Federation, NATO, the US and the EU will take its side. However, Europe’s interests come into play here - it needs gas, gas is cheap, and more than the suppliers are ready to offer now.



Any military (or near-war action) against the Russian gas pipeline will hit directly on the interests of Germany and France. And this is a guaranteed loss of credits for which Ukraine now lives. However, the likelihood of such a development is still there.

The strike can be inflicted by the Ukrainian radicals, who are little controlled by the current Ukrainian government. Despite all attempts to use them, chaos cannot be kept within the framework. You can easily give examples of how the control and use for their own purposes of revolutionaries in Russia, the Nazis in Germany, the “democratic rebels” in Syria turned against the interests of the puppeteers themselves.

Ukrainian radicals may have their own opinion about the Russian gas pipeline. And as practice shows (in the same Egypt, the gas pipeline from Israel was regularly destroyed by the militants before the actual shutdown of supplies), strike terrorist tactics may well work. The organization of such an underground, especially considering the abolition of visas with the EU, is only a matter of desire and means.

The second option is when such groups will be managed directly from Kiev, including through the Ukrainian special services. And this is possible in the case of a direct or indirect conflict with Russia, like a sharp aggravation of the situation in the unrecognized republics of Novorossia. In the event of this scenario, Kiev will try to inflict serious damage on Russia.

The United States, like Poland, is prone to adventures, but not so much. In the sequence of actions of Donald Trump, the position of a businessman is clearly visible: which means war, first of all, by economic means, and the ability to negotiate.

A good example is the situation with China, where the United States actually won the trade war, in whose victory everyone doubted, and Trump's negotiations with Kim Jong-un, built on the principle of a thin world, are better than a good quarrel. The United States will exert pressure, include sanctions, perhaps saber-guns. But not more. Too great a risk to get involved in a serious mess, and Washington will hardly want to spoil even more relations with Germany and France.

Poland, hiding behind loud anti-Russian rhetoric, is primarily interested in reducing the price of gas for it. And the interest is purely economic - the White House promised European countries favorable conditions, the opportunity to become a gas hub. Here are the Poles and try.

However, the main threat now comes not from ordinary states. The “Islamic state” (organization is prohibited in the territory of the Russian Federation) is broken, the caliphate did not take place. But not all terrorists are captured or destroyed. There is Europe, whose natives, having fought in the Middle East, return home to wreak havoc - and awaits us story not one and not two "sleeping cells". There is Turkey, where thousands of militants are still hiding among Syrian refugees.

Striking a pipe by Islamists is a matter of time. Perhaps the only thing stopping potential terrorists is a small number of potential victims. However, sooner or later there may be a head that decides that it will be an interesting story to hit the economic interests of civilization. And in the readiness of the same Islamists from the IS to go to the terrorist provocations no doubt. That is why the military threat to gas pipelines passes into the plane of terrorist threat.
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56 comments
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  1. +2
    28 February 2019 15: 59
    There is little chance of terrorist attacks "under the sea", areas on land are less protected, but now it is relevant:
    Will Denmark have to do a hook?
    1. +3
      28 February 2019 16: 07

      Will Denmark have to do a hook?
      The Danes are pulling. No decision will be made.
    2. +5
      28 February 2019 16: 12
      Not a hook, but a 20km hook. Extra 3 days work
      1. +2
        28 February 2019 17: 16
        It is not very much longer, but the "new" section itself is 180-200 km, and it is necessary to carry out geological and geological work along the bypass route.
        1. -1
          28 February 2019 17: 34
          I don’t know about 200km, I only heard about 20
          1. -1
            28 February 2019 17: 51
            Look at the map.

            Black bypass of the Danish island.
            In short, it does not work, since the remaining sections are almost ready.
          2. +5
            28 February 2019 19: 19
            Quote: Kharkov
            I don’t know about 200km, I only heard about 20

            The operator of the Nord Stream-2 Nord Stream 2 AG company has developed an alternative gas pipeline route in the event Denmark does not permit its laying in its territorial waters. This was announced by the technical director of Nord Stream 2 AG Sergey Serdyukov. The alternative route is approximately 10 kilometers longer than the main one.
            1. 0
              28 February 2019 21: 35
              Well, not even 20, but 10km. And above me they rub some kind of game about 200km
              1. -5
                1 March 2019 00: 28
                rubbed

                since you do not know how to think
                You learn to count please.
                If the path from point A to point B is shorter than from A to B through C by 20 km, this does not mean that from A to B it is only 20 km.
            2. 0
              1 March 2019 00: 31
              You have to get around from Sweden (where the red dotted line, and not between UNWANTED Denmark and Poland).
        2. 0
          1 March 2019 08: 16
          Quote: VSrostagro
          it is necessary to carry out work on geology, georeferencing

          Everything has been done to get around. Only the Danes are waiting until a certain date.
    3. +1
      28 February 2019 22: 50
      I would not say that land areas are more vulnerable. The fact is that gas pipelines reach the surface only where there is a strong need for it. And so they are underground. The vast majority of kilometers.
  2. +4
    28 February 2019 16: 04
    Ukrainian radicals may strike


    For 100+ meters they’ll dive into the Baltic and cut thick multimeter centimeter steel pipes with pans?
    1. Fat
      -1
      28 February 2019 17: 36
      Quote: Kharkov
      For 100+ meters they’ll dive into the Baltic and cut thick multimeter centimeter steel pipes with pans?

      The pipe wall thickness is 48 mm maximum, the steel is really beautiful, even hardened ... But to find the pipe is easy, you need an echo sounder and a magnetometer ... The company will go, let's say fishing ... And that’s it, kiss the ficus, water your mother.
      1. +1
        28 February 2019 20: 59
        Gas pipelines, the strategic basis of the Russian economy. So the Baltic Fleet already has something to do, guard and look after both "streams". And full studies and preparatory actions are already needed in case of various accidents, from natural pipe breakthroughs, rams by nets, submarine strikes, to explosions by autonomous underwater vehicles and other discharge of IEDs with amateur echo sounders and more ... Prepare in advance, and for everything, and overland highways. After all, it surfaced that the breakthroughs of gas pipelines and fires in the USSR in the 70-80s are DIVERSIONS of the US services, it is documented ...
      2. 0
        1 March 2019 17: 57
        Quote: Thick
        Quote: Kharkov
        For 100+ meters they’ll dive into the Baltic and cut thick multimeter centimeter steel pipes with pans?

        The pipe wall thickness is 48 mm maximum, the steel is really beautiful, even hardened ... But to find the pipe is easy, you need an echo sounder and a magnetometer ... The company will go, let's say fishing ... And that’s it, kiss the ficus, water your mother.

        No amateurs can make a diversion on a gas pipeline. It does not matter either the number of people in the company of anglers, the level of anger on steel pipes, or the amount of money for fishing from sponsors. It will require professionals, and without state intelligence, such a diversion cannot be carried out.
    2. +2
      28 February 2019 21: 56
      Ukrainians = terrorism with the support of state power, and not only Ukrainian
      1. +1
        1 March 2019 18: 01
        Quote: skrabplus.ru
        Ukrainians = terrorism with the support of state power, and not only Ukrainian

        Well yes. In principle, it is. They blew up both the gas pipeline and the supports of high-voltage power lines. They blew up on the camera, with lighting in the media. None of the terrorists suffered any punishment and they were not even tried to prosecute, although in any country in the world such acts are unambiguously qualified as terrorism.
    3. +1
      28 February 2019 21: 57
      Quote: Kharkov
      For 100+ meters they’ll dive into the Baltic and cut thick multimeter centimeter steel pipes with pans?

      radicals, pans somehow ... but an eye and an eye are needed ... in 2015, when examined near SP-1, a Swedish ROV was found (mine clearance, the apparatus itself explodes at the same time) .... they said they lost it during exercises ... https://topwar.ru/85835-podvodnyy-apparat-dlya-razminirovaniya-obnaruzhen-ryadom-s-gazoprovodom-severnyy-potok.html
  3. +6
    28 February 2019 16: 09
    Kiev is confident that in a confrontation with the Russian Federation, NATO, the US and the EU will side with it.
    fool
  4. +7
    28 February 2019 16: 11
    Poland, hiding behind loud anti-Russian rhetoric, is primarily interested in lowering gas prices for it. And the interest is purely economic

    By the way, hello to pshekam, since 2020, the EU has stopped the economic subsidy program, according to which in recent years they have been paid up to $ 200 billion in total
  5. -5
    28 February 2019 16: 20
    Article custom.
    1. +2
      28 February 2019 20: 10
      Who is custom, in your opinion?
      1. +3
        28 February 2019 23: 31
        Quote: capsid

        Article custom.

        - Excuse me, is it true that the Jews sold their motherland?
        - True, Well Dovskaya face!
        - Tell me, where can I get my share? (c) 8)))
        1. +2
          1 March 2019 08: 35
          There is a very specific address
          https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Государственный_департамент_США#/maplink/0
  6. +3
    28 February 2019 16: 20
    The likelihood that someone will blow up or gnaw a pipe is equal to the same as a meteorite falling into this very pipe. The author caught up with fog. wassat
    1. +5
      28 February 2019 16: 36
      Quote: Proton
      like a meteorite fall

      Anything can happen here - there was a "Partizan" in the Sea of ​​Japan, and then there was a small fire - they began to figure it out - "A hole of almost regular triangular shape, leading to one of the technical rooms in the bow of the ship. It is quite clear that the hull sheets and kits are strongly concave inwardly, and not outward. This gave reason to assume that some foreign object from outside, outside, got into the side, causing such damage "- representative of the ship owner Valery Uliskin. A meteorite is also believed ...
      1. +5
        28 February 2019 17: 43
        Quote: BrTurin
        - "The hole is almost regular triangular in shape, leading to one of the technical rooms in the bow of the ship. It is quite clear that the hull sheets and part of the ship's kit are strongly concave inwardly, and not outward. This gave reason to assume that into the side got some foreign object from the outside, outside, causing such damage "

        Assume and a meteorite ....


        - a meteorite of a triangular shape?

        Rather, a half-flooded container ran into


        1. +4
          28 February 2019 23: 55
          Captain Nemo's nautilus also left triangular holes. Yes
    2. +1
      28 February 2019 18: 10
      About a year ago, there was an attack by "homemade drones" on Russian bases in Syria:
      mir24.tv/news/16286911/drony-nastupayut-kto-stoit-za-napadenie-na-rossiiskuyu-bazu-v-sirii
      What prevents from leaving the same "unprofessional" trail even when fake radicals / fanatics / opponents of the "Russian influence" / underwater anomalies / Soviet submarines drifting on the ground / other fables are blown up in X places? There are also no underwater "Carapaces" for each section of the 2-radius pipe of this complex.
    3. +2
      28 February 2019 22: 09
      Quote: Proton
      The likelihood that someone will blow up or gnaw a pipe is equal to the same as a meteorite falling into this very pipe. The author caught up with fog. wassat

      Something like this. Considering that the damage from the pipe explosion cannot be one-sided and concern exclusively the interests of Russia. In this situation, Europe also falls into the category of "tolerated", and therefore Russia is no less interested in ensuring the safety of the pipe, which implies joint efforts to protect it. There is only one beneficiary in this situation - the United States, which, controlling various terrorist riffraff, can act as a customer. But the fact is that in the modern world the special services hardly have "ownerless" white spots, and therefore "babakhs" can thunder at the terminals for receiving LNG supplied from the United States, as "alaverda", which will act very sobering ...
  7. +4
    28 February 2019 16: 21
    God sent "neighbors". And you don't need enemies.
  8. +4
    28 February 2019 16: 22
    SP-2 is a commercial project and it will be insured.
    1. +4
      28 February 2019 17: 11
      Quote: Yrec
      SP-2 - commercial project

      Why deceive ourselves?
      Russia stepped on this rake in the 90s and is still dealing with it. When everyone around us was friends and partners, when partners convinced us that we didn’t need industry, we would put everything we needed from abroad. Convinced. Destroyed industry, science, education.
      It turned out that all this was "not just that", but in exchange for sovereignty and a unipolar world.
      And when Russia began to object to such conditions, it received sanctions, a ban on the import of imports - equipment and technologies. They mean they destroyed and did not develop, and now strangers do not deliver. And the adversary had foreseen all this beforehand, he knew that it would be easy to put pressure on the Russian gas station.

      So, the Kremlin did not learn this experience? By planting the europus on a Russian gas hook, will Moscow not get a wonderful lever of pressure when it is needed? So we’ll aim missiles at Europe, but we won’t shut off the valve? They do not need to deceive themselves.
      By the way, the United States understands this very well, vparivaya its "slurry" to the Europeans. In Washington, they know how to see a little further than their nose.
      But the Europeans are sideways. Independence has long been splashed. Under the mattresses - it means they live under the mattresses. Arabs came - they will be under the Arabs. Russian-means it will be under the Russian.
      1. +6
        28 February 2019 17: 35
        In addition, the phrase "Russian gas" or of the type "national treasure" is constructed very incorrectly. 99,9% of Russians have nothing to do with this. Well, except that on drilling and gas pipelines plow for it is known whose "heritage" am
        1. +1
          28 February 2019 19: 19
          Quote: Essex62
          In addition, the phrase "Russian gas" or of the type "national treasure" is constructed very incorrectly. 99,9% of Russians have nothing to do with this


          Something Belarusians smelled, this is their favorite topic about the oligarchs
          1. 0
            28 February 2019 20: 14
            I disagree. I am also not purple for "national treasure". Citizen of the Russian Federation. Since its inception. He also lived in the Union.
          2. 0
            28 February 2019 22: 12
            And you probably from the approximate times so harnessed? How many did not plow in Moscow, had never heard praises from hard workers addressed to them ...
      2. +2
        28 February 2019 17: 46
        Quote: sanya_sergant
        So what, the Kremlin did not learn this experience? By planting the europus on a Russian gas hook, will Moscow not get a wonderful lever of pressure when it is needed? So we’ll aim missiles at Europe, but we won’t shut off the valve? They do not need to deceive themselves.


        - and don't be fooled, forget about the "valve"

        Europe is full of LNG terminals, still building

        in case of interruptions in the supply of pipeline gas, they will immediately begin to receive liquefied, even the storage facilities will not have time to empty

        Major LNG producers develop their capacities, Qatar, Australia, USA.
        There is gas right away, unless the price jumps for the first time.

        And Russia will lose the market forever.

        Another thing is that Ukrainian radicals can take advantage of this when they finally lose transit and they have nothing to lose.

        It only remains to crap us in order to undermine the faith of gas recipients in a reliable supplier.
        Competitors, by the way, are also interested in this.

        Perhaps the underwater bots that they write about in the US are already preparing ...







      3. +1
        28 February 2019 17: 46
        Excuse me, what are you talking about ??? Question: "What is the name of the country that supplies raw materials and imports finished products?" Answer: "COLONY!" Now remember what country V.V. promised to make of Russia. Putin? Great Energy Power! That is exactly what he stated. Not industrial, not scientific, not even military ... ENERGY! And he began to do ... And he did !!!
        The main export product of the Great Energy Power is gas and oil, i.e. raw materials !!! Therefore, what our glorious president was building, what he so painstakingly turned Russia has a very specific name - COLONY !!!
        Well, what are you talking about in this situation ??? What kind of gas hook, if Russia CANNOT change the structure of imports ??? In addition to gas and oil, we actually have nothing to export ... well, if only the forest ...
        And therefore there was no Russian gas hook for Europe and never will be ... alas ...
        1. 0
          28 February 2019 18: 35
          Quote: Abrosimov Sergey Olegovich
          Excuse me, what are you talking about ??? Question: "What is the name of the country supplying raw materials and importing finished products?" Answer: "COLONY!"


          Are you talking about the USA?
          why are they fighting for the gas market in Europe?
          and they import products more than anyone else in the world

          or about Australia?
          or about Norway?

          by the way, our non-commodity exports are growing every year, look at the statistics, calm your nerves

          Almost all cars (85%) in Russia are produced domestically with varying degrees of localization,
          calm your nerves.

          And look at how many companies (all kinds of HighScreen, Vitec are there) and a huge mass of others producing equipment, computers, clothes, shoes and a lot of other things,
          in fact, they are Russian.

          And most importantly - calm down

          1. +2
            28 February 2019 18: 53
            I am more calm than ever, however, I drew your attention to a very specific question: what exactly are we able to export in any significant quantities besides raw materials ??? Our problem is that we have a commodity economy. It is a fact. And you cannot refute this fact. And the country exporting raw materials is a colony.
            I can only repeat: in addition to gas and oil, we really have nothing to export. This is very bad, but it is. And precisely for this reason, we did not have and will not have any gas hook.
            Worst of all, even in the sanctions regime, nothing is done to rectify the situation ...
      4. Fat
        0
        28 February 2019 17: 50
        Quote: sanya_sergant
        So, the Kremlin did not learn this experience? By planting the europus on a Russian gas hook, will Moscow not get a wonderful lever of pressure when it is needed? So we’ll aim missiles at Europe, but we won’t shut off the valve? They do not need to deceive themselves.

        Who's cheating? Everyone understands everything not only in Washington. I will never believe that you are not informed just because "You were ill that day" ...
        Vladimir Putin, President of the Russian Federation: “Sovereignty and independence are very close concepts ... There are no completely independent states in the world. All, even large and small countries. The modern world is a world of interdependence. "..." What, do you think that one of the European countries is against the possibility of American medium-range missiles appearing in Europe? Yes, no one is against it. So they are sitting, shut up. Where is sovereignty here? ”
  9. +1
    28 February 2019 16: 25
    A blow can be inflicted by Ukrainian radicals, who are little controlled by the current Ukrainian authorities.

    The second option is when such groups will be controlled directly from Kiev, including through the Ukrainian special services.

    Do uroradicals and ukrospetsessluzh suddenly have access to the Baltic and Baltic fleet? Probably they will swim through Belarus. laughing fool
    1. +1
      28 February 2019 17: 26
      Probably they will swim through Belarus. laughing fool

      How are you not in the know? They dug up the Black Sea, now they are going to dig a canal into the Baltic Sea probably .. lol
  10. BAI
    0
    28 February 2019 16: 28
    1.
    it is no exaggeration to say that for us it is a matter of survival.

    This is a matter of survival of Naftogaz, and not of Ukraine.
    2. I have repeated it many times, I will repeat it again: the Soviet system of gas pipelines was designed and built as a system resistant to pipe damage - there were always workarounds for the damaged section. Those. blowing up the main gas pipeline will produce nothing but noise. This is on the map a gas pipeline - one line, and in life - a network. But new buildings, especially underwater, - but one line, without workarounds.
  11. +3
    28 February 2019 16: 29
    A good example is the situation with China, where the United States actually won the trade war, the victory of which everyone doubted,

    What the hell?
    How did this win the USA in a trade war?
    It seems to be like in the USA it hit more. And I do not remember that China bowed. This comrade Trump went to negotiations, which ended in nothing!
    1. 0
      28 February 2019 16: 56
      Quote: vvp2412
      How sideways is it

      indeed, the very fact of lengthy negotiations suggests at least that there will be no winner in this war ...
    2. 0
      28 February 2019 17: 10
      Quote: vvp2412
      How did this win the USA in a trade war?

      China made concessions worth several hundred billion dollars, saying it was ready to cover the trade imbalance. Apparently, this is a clear victory for China
  12. 0
    28 February 2019 16: 55
    But how can the patriots of Ukraine cheer on the delivery of gas through SP2?
    Launch underwater battle pans?
    1. +2
      1 March 2019 00: 20
      There is also a Turkish stream and Ukraine has access to it in the Black Sea.
  13. -1
    28 February 2019 16: 57
    We have private gasprim - who shakes the pipe - the problems of private traders.
    And let the children of the pipe owners die at the front for a private pipe.
    1. 0
      28 February 2019 18: 26
      As of December 31, 2017, the shareholders of PJSC Gazprom were:
      - Russian Federation represented by the Federal Property Management Agency* (38,37%), Rosneftegaz OJSC* (10,97%), Rosgazification OJSC* (0,89%): total 50,23%
      (* - companies controlled by the Russian Federation),
      - Holders of American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) (25,20%), other registered persons (24,57%).
  14. +1
    28 February 2019 20: 05
    The Germans’s profit is too big. So, undermining is possible only by a fanatic, a specialist diver in one person. I think that all other attempts will crush the German intelligence services. Of course there is also the USA, but Europe simply won’t understand if such an ally’s action is revealed
  15. The comment was deleted.
  16. 0
    1 March 2019 00: 28
    I also think that under water they have little chance. And on the shore this is not our competence.
    At the expense of the economic war with China, the United States is generally stupid to discuss, live there for about eleven years, then judge!
  17. +1
    1 March 2019 03: 00
    That is why the military threat to gas pipelines goes into the plane of the terrorist threat.

    I believe that when developing the gas pipeline project, such issues were also taken into account.

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