Julia, even without a braid - this is serious
Greetings to you, my dear readers! I didn’t want to write about our internal ratings about the election of a new or old president. But your attention to this topic just makes it do, and without the usual my hochmochek. However, I have you prepared their bag, so once you can and seriously talk about sore.
You know, once, in the distant past, having given up drinking seriously, I discovered a terrible truth for myself. It turns out that I don’t dance so well! But up to this point, I was sure of 100% in the opposite. So today I drink - I drink, but I don’t like to love this business!
Something similar happens today. But, given my pathological dislike for alcohol (well, after all, the enemy is his body, and the enemy must be destroyed mercilessly), I notice how others are dancing. And why do they dance - I also notice. Moreover, questions arise.
For example, why our and your media do not notice the obvious? Why not focus on this obvious?
So, some anti-caracter readers blame me for criticizing political analysts in Russia and Ukraine. "Clever people who own non-public information know better" ... Perhaps. Even agree, really know better. But why most of the others do not know about it?
So today I will write about the unexpected. As in the Soviet TV show "The Obvious - The Incredible." About our hands on the presidential elections, based on drunken conversations on holidays, when the snack is coming to an end, and there is still a drink. And when the intercourse of the interlocutors generously pours all the murk over the interlocutor through the tongue.
When, forgive me, in an hour of friendly conversation, you can talk about it easily and naturally for five or six years.
Most readers for some reason consider the common people stupid and gullible. There are those who are confident in the corruption of the electorate. They only forget that they themselves are part of this people. And the electorate.
I will begin, perhaps, with tinsel, which always accompanies elections in any democratic country. Many candidates who perform the role of lightning rods, duty bums, imitators of the people's voice and other things.
Ukraine is no exception. I'll tell you - she is a clean set of confirmations. Today we have a lot of such candidates. Just recently it was with you. Something they say on television debates. Garbage in the mailboxes of their agitation. Hang their faces on posters along the roads. But in general, everyone understands that this is nothing more than foam.
At the same time, everyone knows who will fight for the presidency. There will be two.
The current hydrant and the former political ... no, illegally seated (not on the throne, if anyone has forgotten) gas princess. Here is an alternative for modern Ukraine.
"Discovered America". This is obvious to everyone. And our society is split just by these two candidates. Poroshenko and Tymoshenko. Who is who?
It is obvious to everyone that the policy pursued by Poroshenko led the country to ... Europe. Well, so, in the dupu, of course, but everyone calls in his own way. Obviously, things will only get worse. Our western partners actually abandoned us. Having lost a lot of what we got from the USSR, we became really uninteresting to the West.
Even the United States, which sponsored the Maidan and organized our “vigorous march to a bright future,” also somehow subsided in an effort to help us.
Remember the paradoxical "Great Agrarian Power"? Today, any Ukrainian knows what it is. Industry, which means jobs for citizens, disappears. Together with the industry disappear citizens. Ukraine is turning into a country of villagers.
Do you know what is the most popular idea today? The idea of independence! Unclear? And everything is simple. The popularity of independence means the non-aligned status of the country, friendship with neighbors, the restoration of friendly economic ties with Russia and ... federalization! Is amazing?
However, this is the case. Even the most stubborn nationalists today understand Ukraine’s dependence on Russia. It has even begun to reach the majority that the global West is not Russian. He will not forgive debts. He demands for his money to fulfill his own desires. And the Ukrainians for this West no more than aphid.
The initial message, which most do not notice today, sounds simple. The election will be opposed not by Petro Poroshenko’s bloc and Yulia Tymoshenko’s bloc! There will be two blocks - Poroshenko and against Poroshenko! Exactly.
Yulia Tymoshenko today for Ukrainians personifies two ideas.
The first is dissatisfaction with the policy of the current government in the face of Poroshenko.
The second is the idea of the possibility of returning the location of Russia. Especially in the field of economics. An example of Belarus before our eyes!
Many readers did not understand the Voyage of the Hydrant in Ukraine with the Tomos. What for? Yes, and with its own support group from among state employees. Meanwhile, the voyage is indicative. It creates the appearance of support for the people of the new "church". Some of the not very literate voters actually go to "their Ukrainian church."
Although the main majority do not care what tomorrow the Hydrant will rush with, with Tomos, Thomas or phallus. Problems, to be honest, and without this set above the roof.
And what does the Hydrant do in parallel? He is actively working with the APU! Distributes rewards. Promises salary increase. Significant in this regard, visiting the MTR. New banner. The praises of soldiers and officers. Everything is for you! And you support me!
And what about Tymoshenko? Why she does not conduct the same active work? Or are we not seeing something?
No, we - see. Therefore, I strive to bring you an understanding of the situation.
To begin with, what few really know. No matter how hard the Hydrant tried to destroy the people of Tymoshenko in key posts, most of the loyal BYuT members of election commissions in the field. And, to my knowledge, they are actively preparing to resist stuffing, carousels and other "political technologies". This will seriously complicate the use of the administrative resource of the current president.
Another interesting idea is about where the "supporting leg" stands for opponents. Probably, some will disagree with me, but Poroshenko is supervised by the United States. Who, of course, wants, let it challenge, but not with me. But Tymoshenko ... Yulia is feeling fine and across the ocean, although she is very firm in the EU.
Why did I come to this conclusion? Yes, everything is simple. Russian gas! Throw out of your own mind all the thoughts of your political scientists and analysts and take a calculator. See Gazprom’s EU gas supply report. Now summarize all the volumes of gas pipelines in the EU without the Ukrainian GTS. Further subtraction and the result.
Russian gas is cheaper than American LNG, whatever their Trump says. We Poroshenko, too, on Monday morning can give this ...
So the axiom: Europe is interested in buying this your gas. Gazprom, no matter how he was tearing his vest on his chest, simply cannot give up on our GTS. At least 60 billion cubic meters will go through Ukraine. This is with a large tolerance on the increase in supply "through I can not", as was the case with the joint venture 1 this year.
The only candidate who has the opportunity to return to the dialogue with Putin is Tymoshenko. Putin clearly said that he would have no business with Poroshenko. And we know perfectly well that your president does not throw words to the wind.
So, Poroshenko’s power cover, which he feeds in every way is understandable today. This is the APU. And what about the BYuT? Is there such a cover?
Oh, dear, there is such a kublo ... Any serpentarium of the world will be admired. From the side, so that nobody can poison it.
Let's start with the Ministry of Interior. Noticed that the Hydrant does not climb at all in Avakov's units? Moreover, Avakov already a couple of times reported violations of the electoral law today. And not just informed, but also threatened that he would not allow anything like that in the future.
Someone forgot where Avakov came from? With whom he taxied in Kharkov? Yes, and the Minister of the Interior, he was largely due to Tymoshenko. The information went unnoticed, but Arsen Avakov has already declared his support for Yulia Tymoshenko in the upcoming elections.
And Avakov is, you know, power. This is not only the police, it is also terbats. Not all. But many who are now sheltered by the Ministry of Internal Affairs. And that were created with money ... But, in general, they are not caught - and there is nothing to say here yet.
But that's not all. Remember such a figure as Yarosh? The same former leader of the "Right Sector" (banned in Russia)? I hope there are no idealists among the readers who believe that Yarosh is no longer radical and does not control the militants? Yes, and in PS he has a fairly strong position.
So, Yarosh also announced support for Tymoshenko. What is not power support? Considering that as part of all these nationalist gangs there are a lot of those who have passed the Donbass, who studied in military camps. Yes, and with weapons there are no problems.
But there is one more party that is persistently hushed up both in Ukraine and in Russia. The party is really serious. I'm about the "Freedom"
It seems to have something to do with "Freedom" for BYuT? The burden will necessarily participate in the presidential campaign. He is a direct competitor of Poroshenko and Tymoshenko.
It would seem, no. But this is only at first glance.
Chance to be elected at the miserable. And he understands that perfectly. Therefore, it uses the maximum possible election campaign to promote its own ideas and "Freedom". The second round, he did not see how his own ears. But what's next?
And then the implementation of its own program. More precisely, the party program. It’s a paradox, but the Freedom party is today in favor of ... the federalization of Ukraine. Yes Yes exactly. And the implementation of this item of the program is possible only with "his" president and "his" Rada.
Now we have to go back to the beginning of the conversation. Who of the real contenders for the presidency will go to the creation of a federal state? Who will vote for the leader of "Freedom" in the second round. The answer, I think, is obvious.
Thus, Galicia will vote for BYuT. Lviv, Khmelnitsky, Ivano-Frankivsk "cut off" the proportional Carpathians. Blocking areas where support for the Hydrant is unconditional. This means that there will be difficulties with the use of administrative resources there. There will be many observers.
These are the "pies" fried today with us. To put it bluntly, risky "pies". And those who are silent today fry them. There is no secret that the success of any election campaign depends largely on the availability of funds. Any chair in politics is worth the money. Nobody hides this fact.
Remember who earned the most during Poroshenko’s presidency? Yes, it was Poroshenko himself who earned it. And the rest of the oligarchs?
Today, among the political elite of our country, there is more and more talk that Poroshenko was one of the organizers and inspirers of the Maidan. Not the richest man at the time of Ukraine. Not the most noticeable on the political horizon of the "revolution".
Remember how many conversations were then about who will lead the "chocolate king". What only surnames were not called. And in the end? As a result, Hydrant is the richest man in Ukraine. All the rest are in the red.
The oligarchs are silent! Akhmetov is silent. Firtash is silent. Even Kolomoisky is silent. Such silence leads to very serious reflections. Not those people to forgive the robbery of their own pockets. But here I can’t write at all with conviction. For me, this area is not entirely closed, but only in terms of what was heard “behind the scenes”.
In general, the presidential campaign will be fun here. Perhaps even before the blood fun. Finance and security cover all serious. The ability to raise people to revolt, too. Understanding that the loser loses everything, too.
Here is such an insect analyst from the Cockroach for you. Maybe it does not fit into the official point of view of politicians from Ukraine and Russia. Maybe controversial somewhere. For those who are not used to reading the fine print on contracts. And there the essence is often hidden!
I promise you a lot of interesting things in this campaign. But what people say is that the elections will be “ours”. And just because everything is rewritten / distorted, 143% for Poroshenko - that will not be allowed.
And, by the way, if Mrs. Yulia says a word about the contract with Putin ... In our center in Ukraine, the memory of her programs for the construction of social housing is still fresh, about the discount programs in her former ATB-Market supermarkets for pensioners ...
So the Hydrant knowingly takes something to Spain by airplanes, oh, not for nothing. For everyone, as they say, the case. Because in Ukraine (and in Ukraine too) everyone is aware that a case, a pig dog, happens to everyone.
So wait for the continuation and collapse in your head of the truthful information from me!
You know, once, in the distant past, having given up drinking seriously, I discovered a terrible truth for myself. It turns out that I don’t dance so well! But up to this point, I was sure of 100% in the opposite. So today I drink - I drink, but I don’t like to love this business!
Something similar happens today. But, given my pathological dislike for alcohol (well, after all, the enemy is his body, and the enemy must be destroyed mercilessly), I notice how others are dancing. And why do they dance - I also notice. Moreover, questions arise.
For example, why our and your media do not notice the obvious? Why not focus on this obvious?
So, some anti-caracter readers blame me for criticizing political analysts in Russia and Ukraine. "Clever people who own non-public information know better" ... Perhaps. Even agree, really know better. But why most of the others do not know about it?
So today I will write about the unexpected. As in the Soviet TV show "The Obvious - The Incredible." About our hands on the presidential elections, based on drunken conversations on holidays, when the snack is coming to an end, and there is still a drink. And when the intercourse of the interlocutors generously pours all the murk over the interlocutor through the tongue.
When, forgive me, in an hour of friendly conversation, you can talk about it easily and naturally for five or six years.
Most readers for some reason consider the common people stupid and gullible. There are those who are confident in the corruption of the electorate. They only forget that they themselves are part of this people. And the electorate.
I will begin, perhaps, with tinsel, which always accompanies elections in any democratic country. Many candidates who perform the role of lightning rods, duty bums, imitators of the people's voice and other things.
Ukraine is no exception. I'll tell you - she is a clean set of confirmations. Today we have a lot of such candidates. Just recently it was with you. Something they say on television debates. Garbage in the mailboxes of their agitation. Hang their faces on posters along the roads. But in general, everyone understands that this is nothing more than foam.
At the same time, everyone knows who will fight for the presidency. There will be two.
The current hydrant and the former political ... no, illegally seated (not on the throne, if anyone has forgotten) gas princess. Here is an alternative for modern Ukraine.
"Discovered America". This is obvious to everyone. And our society is split just by these two candidates. Poroshenko and Tymoshenko. Who is who?
It is obvious to everyone that the policy pursued by Poroshenko led the country to ... Europe. Well, so, in the dupu, of course, but everyone calls in his own way. Obviously, things will only get worse. Our western partners actually abandoned us. Having lost a lot of what we got from the USSR, we became really uninteresting to the West.
Even the United States, which sponsored the Maidan and organized our “vigorous march to a bright future,” also somehow subsided in an effort to help us.
Remember the paradoxical "Great Agrarian Power"? Today, any Ukrainian knows what it is. Industry, which means jobs for citizens, disappears. Together with the industry disappear citizens. Ukraine is turning into a country of villagers.
Do you know what is the most popular idea today? The idea of independence! Unclear? And everything is simple. The popularity of independence means the non-aligned status of the country, friendship with neighbors, the restoration of friendly economic ties with Russia and ... federalization! Is amazing?
However, this is the case. Even the most stubborn nationalists today understand Ukraine’s dependence on Russia. It has even begun to reach the majority that the global West is not Russian. He will not forgive debts. He demands for his money to fulfill his own desires. And the Ukrainians for this West no more than aphid.
The initial message, which most do not notice today, sounds simple. The election will be opposed not by Petro Poroshenko’s bloc and Yulia Tymoshenko’s bloc! There will be two blocks - Poroshenko and against Poroshenko! Exactly.
Yulia Tymoshenko today for Ukrainians personifies two ideas.
The first is dissatisfaction with the policy of the current government in the face of Poroshenko.
The second is the idea of the possibility of returning the location of Russia. Especially in the field of economics. An example of Belarus before our eyes!
Many readers did not understand the Voyage of the Hydrant in Ukraine with the Tomos. What for? Yes, and with its own support group from among state employees. Meanwhile, the voyage is indicative. It creates the appearance of support for the people of the new "church". Some of the not very literate voters actually go to "their Ukrainian church."
Although the main majority do not care what tomorrow the Hydrant will rush with, with Tomos, Thomas or phallus. Problems, to be honest, and without this set above the roof.
And what does the Hydrant do in parallel? He is actively working with the APU! Distributes rewards. Promises salary increase. Significant in this regard, visiting the MTR. New banner. The praises of soldiers and officers. Everything is for you! And you support me!
And what about Tymoshenko? Why she does not conduct the same active work? Or are we not seeing something?
No, we - see. Therefore, I strive to bring you an understanding of the situation.
To begin with, what few really know. No matter how hard the Hydrant tried to destroy the people of Tymoshenko in key posts, most of the loyal BYuT members of election commissions in the field. And, to my knowledge, they are actively preparing to resist stuffing, carousels and other "political technologies". This will seriously complicate the use of the administrative resource of the current president.
Another interesting idea is about where the "supporting leg" stands for opponents. Probably, some will disagree with me, but Poroshenko is supervised by the United States. Who, of course, wants, let it challenge, but not with me. But Tymoshenko ... Yulia is feeling fine and across the ocean, although she is very firm in the EU.
Why did I come to this conclusion? Yes, everything is simple. Russian gas! Throw out of your own mind all the thoughts of your political scientists and analysts and take a calculator. See Gazprom’s EU gas supply report. Now summarize all the volumes of gas pipelines in the EU without the Ukrainian GTS. Further subtraction and the result.
Russian gas is cheaper than American LNG, whatever their Trump says. We Poroshenko, too, on Monday morning can give this ...
So the axiom: Europe is interested in buying this your gas. Gazprom, no matter how he was tearing his vest on his chest, simply cannot give up on our GTS. At least 60 billion cubic meters will go through Ukraine. This is with a large tolerance on the increase in supply "through I can not", as was the case with the joint venture 1 this year.
The only candidate who has the opportunity to return to the dialogue with Putin is Tymoshenko. Putin clearly said that he would have no business with Poroshenko. And we know perfectly well that your president does not throw words to the wind.
So, Poroshenko’s power cover, which he feeds in every way is understandable today. This is the APU. And what about the BYuT? Is there such a cover?
Oh, dear, there is such a kublo ... Any serpentarium of the world will be admired. From the side, so that nobody can poison it.
Let's start with the Ministry of Interior. Noticed that the Hydrant does not climb at all in Avakov's units? Moreover, Avakov already a couple of times reported violations of the electoral law today. And not just informed, but also threatened that he would not allow anything like that in the future.
Someone forgot where Avakov came from? With whom he taxied in Kharkov? Yes, and the Minister of the Interior, he was largely due to Tymoshenko. The information went unnoticed, but Arsen Avakov has already declared his support for Yulia Tymoshenko in the upcoming elections.
And Avakov is, you know, power. This is not only the police, it is also terbats. Not all. But many who are now sheltered by the Ministry of Internal Affairs. And that were created with money ... But, in general, they are not caught - and there is nothing to say here yet.
But that's not all. Remember such a figure as Yarosh? The same former leader of the "Right Sector" (banned in Russia)? I hope there are no idealists among the readers who believe that Yarosh is no longer radical and does not control the militants? Yes, and in PS he has a fairly strong position.
So, Yarosh also announced support for Tymoshenko. What is not power support? Considering that as part of all these nationalist gangs there are a lot of those who have passed the Donbass, who studied in military camps. Yes, and with weapons there are no problems.
But there is one more party that is persistently hushed up both in Ukraine and in Russia. The party is really serious. I'm about the "Freedom"
It seems to have something to do with "Freedom" for BYuT? The burden will necessarily participate in the presidential campaign. He is a direct competitor of Poroshenko and Tymoshenko.
It would seem, no. But this is only at first glance.
Chance to be elected at the miserable. And he understands that perfectly. Therefore, it uses the maximum possible election campaign to promote its own ideas and "Freedom". The second round, he did not see how his own ears. But what's next?
And then the implementation of its own program. More precisely, the party program. It’s a paradox, but the Freedom party is today in favor of ... the federalization of Ukraine. Yes Yes exactly. And the implementation of this item of the program is possible only with "his" president and "his" Rada.
Now we have to go back to the beginning of the conversation. Who of the real contenders for the presidency will go to the creation of a federal state? Who will vote for the leader of "Freedom" in the second round. The answer, I think, is obvious.
Thus, Galicia will vote for BYuT. Lviv, Khmelnitsky, Ivano-Frankivsk "cut off" the proportional Carpathians. Blocking areas where support for the Hydrant is unconditional. This means that there will be difficulties with the use of administrative resources there. There will be many observers.
These are the "pies" fried today with us. To put it bluntly, risky "pies". And those who are silent today fry them. There is no secret that the success of any election campaign depends largely on the availability of funds. Any chair in politics is worth the money. Nobody hides this fact.
Remember who earned the most during Poroshenko’s presidency? Yes, it was Poroshenko himself who earned it. And the rest of the oligarchs?
Today, among the political elite of our country, there is more and more talk that Poroshenko was one of the organizers and inspirers of the Maidan. Not the richest man at the time of Ukraine. Not the most noticeable on the political horizon of the "revolution".
Remember how many conversations were then about who will lead the "chocolate king". What only surnames were not called. And in the end? As a result, Hydrant is the richest man in Ukraine. All the rest are in the red.
The oligarchs are silent! Akhmetov is silent. Firtash is silent. Even Kolomoisky is silent. Such silence leads to very serious reflections. Not those people to forgive the robbery of their own pockets. But here I can’t write at all with conviction. For me, this area is not entirely closed, but only in terms of what was heard “behind the scenes”.
In general, the presidential campaign will be fun here. Perhaps even before the blood fun. Finance and security cover all serious. The ability to raise people to revolt, too. Understanding that the loser loses everything, too.
Here is such an insect analyst from the Cockroach for you. Maybe it does not fit into the official point of view of politicians from Ukraine and Russia. Maybe controversial somewhere. For those who are not used to reading the fine print on contracts. And there the essence is often hidden!
I promise you a lot of interesting things in this campaign. But what people say is that the elections will be “ours”. And just because everything is rewritten / distorted, 143% for Poroshenko - that will not be allowed.
And, by the way, if Mrs. Yulia says a word about the contract with Putin ... In our center in Ukraine, the memory of her programs for the construction of social housing is still fresh, about the discount programs in her former ATB-Market supermarkets for pensioners ...
So the Hydrant knowingly takes something to Spain by airplanes, oh, not for nothing. For everyone, as they say, the case. Because in Ukraine (and in Ukraine too) everyone is aware that a case, a pig dog, happens to everyone.
So wait for the continuation and collapse in your head of the truthful information from me!
Information