Bremmer and Roubini are wrong about Russia

43
Bremmer and Roubini are wrong about RussiaIt starts to bother me. 29 May Ian Bremmer and Nouriel Roubini, two well-known commentators on the New Europe region, wrote the absurd article for the Financial Times under the heading It is time to ostracize the autocratic Russian state ("The Financial Times", UK).

This is a typical example of irrational demagogy (which becomes clear if you spend half an hour reading materials about Russia on the Internet), which is disguised as scientific analysis.

Bremmer and Roubini should be ashamed of themselves, as they engaged in blatant juggling of facts and exaggerations, the purpose of which is to reinforce the old dogma: "Russia is evil." In this article, the highly respected political scientists there is nothing scientific, but there is one continuous policy.

Former Chief Economist of Renaissance Capital and ING Charlie Robertson (Charlie Robertson) presented a brief and accurate rebuke to this blatant distortion of facts. The article ignores corruption in India, the political system of China, the disgusting position of Brazil in the index of ease of doing business, as well as the increasing life expectancy and birth rate in Russia, he writes. There is not a word that the country's GDP in just ten years has increased tenfold. Putin has pretty good reasons for “boasting,” notes Robertson. Apparently, this person has some secret motives for advertising Russia.

Further, Robertson notes that, of all the BRIC countries, Russia is the only one with accelerated growth in the first quarter, and that this country's main macroeconomic indicators are among the best in the world.

Goldman Sachs Asset Management CEO Jim O'Neill talked about the same thing in his May interview with Business New Europe. According to research by his company, India is the weakest country in the BRIC, and Russia is one of the strongest.

But let me go over some of the arguments that Bremmer and Roubini have put forward against Russia.

Syria. All the commotion and hype around Russia is connected with its rejection of the UN position regarding this country. That's a very difficult question. Russia is bending its line, which it has not done about the steps of the UN against Libya. However, Europe and the United States have transgressed the powers granted to them by the UN resolution, and in fact conducted a military operation to change the government in Libya. Let us leave aside the question of the correctness or inaccuracy of these actions. Russia's position is that the sovereignty of Syria is most important for it, and in recent years it has repeatedly witnessed how the United States and its allies are invading countries that they do not like and change their regimes there. The position of Russia is fundamental - neither the United States, nor Europe, nor the UN have the right to change the power in the countries. And Libya has shown: whatever is said in the UN resolution, the end result of actions within its resolution always becomes a regime change.

The problem is even more complicated due to the fact that the Soviet Union traditionally maintained close ties with the Arab world, and especially with Damascus. Syria was one of the main non-communist trade partners of the USSR — and Russia inherited these relations. Who remembers today that former Prime Minister Yevgeny Primakov was an Arabist and personal friend of Saddam Hussein?

How will the United States behave if Russia starts telling them who it should be and who should not be friends? What about the American bases in Uzbekistan, where the president cooks people in boiling water? Does Washington not be embarrassed by the fact that he has supported the Egyptian leader Hosni Mubarak for decades? And what will he say about how the CIA funded Osama bin Laden when he fought in Afghanistan with the Soviets? This is just stinking hypocrisy.

And Roubini with Bremmer in his article blissfully ignore all these complex issues. They did not even write in brackets that everything is not as simple as it may seem. Their message is the most primitive of all logical constructions - the syllogism, which says: Russia creates problems in the UN; The UN is good, and consequently, Russia is evil.

Their next argument is that Russia cannot be a member of the international community if it does not "begin to act as a mature democracy with a free market." I hope they don’t refer here to the United States as a role model after America’s caricatures in Somalia, Iraq, Afghanistan, etc. Or after its shameful inaction in Yugoslavia, where thousands of people were killed, and all that Bill Clinton decided on was a few bombings. To represent the United States as a kind of bastion of authoritative international actions and a role model to be followed by Russia is the insolence and arrogance generated by decades of a unipolar foreign policy.

The paradox of the situation is as follows. The US is rapidly losing power and influence as the American economy weakens as a result of catastrophic mismanagement and poor governance. And they find themselves in a position where they begin to need Russian support in the UN and on the ground in order to solve problems such as Syria — and this is one of the countries where Russia has significant leverage and where it can give something positive. But no, it is much better to belittle and trample Russia, Roubini and Bremmer say.

What about Putin’s refusal to go to the G8 meeting, instead of which he went to Beijing and Belarus? Russia has real business relations with these countries, unlike America, which does not play a significant role in the Russian economy, except for the oil bought there and the transnational companies operating there. Why should Russia be interested in “Western clubs” when the emerging markets provide 70% growth in the world (and 50% BRIC)?

The next passage of the article is especially annoying, given the estimates that Russia receives and the results it shows.

“Can we place Russia in the category of countries with a dynamic emerging market?” In no case, ”the authors write.

But Russia's GDP over the past decade has increased tenfold. And if we take into account the fact that the per capita income there is about 15000 dollars (estimated by Phoenix Capital), then it turns out that Russians are the richest of all emerging market countries. And in general, according to the latest UN Human Development Report, Russia is officially a “developed market” and a middle-income country, unlike the rest of the BRIC countries.

Let's go further. According to the annual report “Global Wealth”, which is beloved by America and very reputable Boston Consulting Group, Russians have the highest growth rates of personal wealth in the world, which over the past year grew by 21,4%. According to this indicator, Russia is not only a country with a dynamic emerging market, it is generally a country with one of the most dynamic markets in the world - emerging and long-established. And it is clearly more dynamic than America, where the standard of living of the average family in the period from 1990 to 2000 decreased year, as evidenced by data from the US Department of Labor.

Guys, all this can be found on the Internet. And it's easy to find. This is called “search and analysis.”

I do not know whether to continue. Okay, a little more.

“In China, the Communist Party created a complex and powerful economic system that brought the country out of terrible poverty, turning it into the second economy in the world,” the authors write.

Well, yes - artificially lowering the rate of its currency. And you, of course, understand that China is no democracy at all, in any form or form. And there still exists the death penalty. What about the attitude to the Uighurs? To the Tibetans? What about women's rights?

“India has formed one of the world's most innovative innovation sectors with private companies,” they write.

But it is the weakest country of all the BRIC members, where more than 500 million people live on less than a 1,25 dollar a day. This is UN data. And 500 million is, by the way, almost half of the population of India. In Russia, the number of poor today is 12,5%. Less than ... in the USA.

“Brazil is now turning into a democracy with a diversified economy and is strengthening its position on the world stage,” they write. Aha Here it is right! Brazil is really cool, and its performance is very good.

“Russia, unlike them, has become an authoritarian state built on the foundation of Putin’s reputation as a tough guy, as well as on the export of oil, gas and other minerals. In addition, she can boast almost nothing ... "

This is simply not true. The share of oil and gas accounts for from 14 to 17% of GDP (depending on oil prices). And the consumer sector and retail trade in the first quarter amounted to 52%. Revenues increased from 50 dollars per month under Yeltsin to 800 dollars at the present time - this is the 16-fold increase. Now there are complex discussions about the structural problems of the Russian economy. But why do we need all this? No worries. Russia is evil and it has oil.

“There is a general corruption there. Transparency International places 61 in Turkey, 73 in Brazil, and 75 in China in its corruption index. Russia is much lower - in the 143-th place. " This is true, but in general this index is called the “corruption perception index”, and it does not measure corruption as such, but only shows what businessmen believe in.

Moreover, Bremmer and Roubini somehow forgot to mention that after Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev started the anti-corruption campaign, Russia had risen from its record low 154 position to 143. Of course, the fact of reducing corruption in Russia is worthy of mention. Or am I mistaken when I try to rationally assess what is wrong with Russia?

"In addition, a significant part of the Russian business elite still sees its country as a source of enrichment, and not as a long-term investment rate."

Who exactly are they talking about? Of course, such companies exist (anyone can name them). But there are other rapidly developing companies, for example, the chain of supermarkets Magnit, which in the middle of the 2008-2009 crisis increased its capital investments. There are other firms providing services to the consumer. And this is not to mention the appearance of foreigners, such as PepsiCo, which invested billion dollars in 3,8 by purchasing the leading Russian manufacturer of dairy products. Or Burger King, which literally this week entered into a partnership to open several hundred restaurants in Russia. What, famous American brands came here for a while?

"The outflow of capital, which turned into a chronic problem, after the re-election of Putin in March, greatly accelerated," - write Bremmer and Roubini.

Not true and not true again! It was a chronic problem of 90's, but now, if we measure everything in proportion, capital outflow is not a macroeconomic problem. Moreover, the authors want to show that Russians take their money abroad, although in fact, more than half of the money leaving Russia is the money of foreign banks with branches in Russia. And they bring them out to save their parent companies in the West, because they are in trouble because of the crisis created by America and Europe.

"The country's population is declining because the health care there is weak, socially caused diseases such as alcoholism are rampant, and educated Russians leave the country in search of a better share in other states."

Again, undisguised lies, although it’s more like a complete and presumptuous disregard for analysis. The birth rate in Russia in 2008 began to grow again (thanks to material well-being!), And now the situation is close to stable. Those UN figures that lead Bremmer and Roubini today are being questioned and disputed, for demographic trends are changing significantly. Jim O'Neill from Goldman told BNE that he is now waiting for “big surprises upward” in Russian demographic figures.

Everything, here I will stop. And without that he wrote too much. But I was just shocked by how respected and sort of intelligent and intelligent people, such as Bremmer and Roubini, can write such clearly distorted crap.

Almost all the issues about which they write, really, there are serious problems. But their article is thoughtless incitement of hatred, and it is not only meaningless, but also dangerous. The world is in an unstable state, both politically and economically. We need the cohesion of the world community if we intend to eliminate economic fears and reassure countries that are experiencing a democratic awakening, as well as minimize violence and murder.

The article by Bremmer and Roubini is the personification of arrogance and carelessness of thinking, because of which we all found ourselves in this confusion. This is an abuse of one’s position by leading commentators that people listen to.

I am tired of writing denials, because it is a waste of time and effort. Look around, look around. Think about what is happening in the world today. Can we afford this meaningless debate that kills our time? Hardly. And the situation continues to deteriorate.
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43 comments
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  1. +21
    10 June 2012 07: 26
    As long as there is a customer there will be such scribblers like these two.
    Good article.
    1. +17
      10 June 2012 07: 46
      The author himself made an exhaustive conclusion from all these conclusions of the venerable "ehsperts" ---------- the personification of arrogance and carelessness of thinking, because of which we all found ourselves in this confusion. This is an abuse of their position as leading commentators, to which people listen. ---------- and confirmed the essence of all the numerous insinuations addressed to our country. All this can be "basl" to the duped US people to the accompaniment of the howling of sirens of police cars, jets of water cannons and the scent of tear gas, they say - "Look how happy you live! But in wild Russia it is even worse, there is no democracy there!"
      Everyone will find in the article what he needs. Swamps are familiar letters from their slogans, and sane ones are a confirmation of their thoughts. Plus article deserved.
      1. +5
        10 June 2012 08: 24
        Diarrhea of ​​Russophobes!
        1. FiremanRS
          +9
          10 June 2012 10: 57
          Diarrhea or not is the tenth thing. However, as the author of the article noticed, there are two respected, smart and intelligent people. But with all this, they do not have significant authority in the world. We draw conclusions, why did such people suddenly lose the remnants of reason and behave completely unprofessional? Moreover, any specialist can check the reliability of their data given in the article and convince them of the complete profanation of the facts ... But not a simple layman for whom their names may be familiar, but no more ... For my taste, the conclusion that suggests itself is one - article of these gentlemen is pure order. Just for - "thoughtless incitement to hatred, and it is not only meaningless, but also dangerous."
          1. 0
            10 June 2012 11: 00
            FiremanRS,

            Greetings Denis! Well said, buddy - concise and comprehensive. Take the plus, colleague!
            1. Neighbor
              +2
              10 June 2012 11: 31
              Quote: Alexander Romanov
              , about the real situation in the us and the eu.

              Yes good
              It is very ........ howl - their real state of affairs !!! laughing
              Debts, debts and again debts !!!
              1. Neighbor
                +3
                10 June 2012 11: 32
                It’s very expensive to still be: am am
            2. FiremanRS
              0
              10 June 2012 23: 39
              THX. I try)))))))
      2. Cadet787
        0
        11 June 2012 00: 22
        There is nothing to be done, the information war. It is necessary to win, there is no other alliance.
  2. TekhnarMAF
    +5
    10 June 2012 07: 43
    What can I add? Everything is extremely clear-cut ordering! The dog barks, the caravan is coming!

    For some reason it’s buggy, the quote did not come out. (I'm tired of writing the disclaimer, because it is a waste of time and effort ....)
  3. +4
    10 June 2012 07: 48
    They write, and the caravan goes its own way. Our authors need to write their article, honestly not biased, about the real situation in the United States and the EU. And then put on sayt McFaul and others. With our comments, of course.
  4. Crumbumbes
    +2
    10 June 2012 08: 06
    I agree with the author of the article and the first comments
  5. 0
    10 June 2012 08: 10
    But there are other fast-growing companies, for example, the Magnit supermarket chain, which in the very middle of the 2008-2009 crisis increased its investment.

    Found something to brag about. Network markets crowd out small businesses, forcing small shops to close, throwing people out onto the streets.
    In fact, big capital is crushed by small, not strong. It would be better if large capital invested in production and industry.
    1. Alexey Prikazchikov
      -1
      10 June 2012 12: 15
      They are already investing here just gave a few examples and that's it. By the way, the future is all the same, but with big capital, it is not a pity of course.
      1. Tomato
        0
        10 June 2012 14: 36
        These so-called trade wars will finally divide Russia into masters and slaves. This ideology is alien to Russia in spirit.
  6. +7
    10 June 2012 08: 13
    Greetings to all Colleagues!
    Dear Author!
    I beg you not to be surprised.
    This is what is called the policy of double standards and distortion.
    It is clear that the Western elite will always belittle Russia by feeding its society with horror stories and horror. And believe me, nobody cares about the real situation in Russia.
    WEST DOESN'T NEED RUSSIA, BUT THE IMAGE OF RUSSIA THEIR SAME AND CREATED BY THEM.
    AND THE IMAGE IS NEGATIVE
  7. volodj
    +4
    10 June 2012 08: 18
    Even if the analyst is slightly mistaken in his estimates, he’s tired of pessimists, in short, the glass is half full !!!
    1. Alexey Prikazchikov
      0
      10 June 2012 11: 42
      He was right and didn’t exaggerate, just two shitmen were fulfilling an order from the states.
  8. pribolt
    +1
    10 June 2012 08: 23
    More and more "independent experts" appear from which it just stinks, which means we are moving in the right direction good
  9. 755962
    0
    10 June 2012 08: 33
    They have such a job, bark. For that, the owners pay them money. It is necessary to let them in on them, let them "gnaw".
  10. +2
    10 June 2012 08: 52
    They reckon with you if you are really worth something. Russia today is not even in the top ten, and the writings of these experts say this Nikolay 1 Iosif Vissarionovich Leonid Brezhnev could threaten the West and they would be heard by our GDP as soon as oil prices fell as soon as Dolar has staggered for today, we are completely dependent on the outside world, we have lost our sovereignty and the outside world seeing this is building palms on us without seeing any opposition
    1. 0
      10 June 2012 22: 17
      Bravo Apro, there is nothing to sin and excuse
  11. +4
    10 June 2012 08: 55
    It seems that the author is a sane person who understands that false and distorted ideas about Russia will not lead to anything good, he understands that these political insinuations impede fruitful and successful cooperation with us, cause distrust and wariness on the Russian side, he understands that without Russia they not to get out of the quagmire in which the west is already down the nostrils, a little more and oxygen is blocked. Then I remembered one thing, often in the media it was mentioned that Germany is perhaps the only Western country that emerges from the crisis with the least losses, and at the same time, this country has the largest of all European countries trade with Russia, is it not a nail stability. Article plus.
  12. +2
    10 June 2012 08: 59
    The author is right, there is an old proverb DOG-BARKS WIND WEARS! This is just about such pseudo-analitics whose opus he smeared.
    1. oper66
      +1
      10 June 2012 09: 25
      Do not pay us attention to the libel of these ........... newly-mediocre European and Americanos and so they don’t want to know anything except their own pocket and refutation, they essentially do not need them, they don’t read them, they know about Russia at the rate of education Hollywood - and experts already understand where it lies and whether it is possible to touch - all the dirt is designed specifically for us - that they would take care of us - how ashamed we are am
      1. Alexey Prikazchikov
        0
        10 June 2012 11: 45
        It’s worth it to pay in vain that all investors make their investments based on data from the analytical departments. These two freaks are very respected analysts. If in time you don’t respond to such libel, the withdrawal of funds from the Russian economy will begin, we need to be a safe haven in a stormy sea.
  13. +10
    10 June 2012 09: 55
    The Roman Senate laughed at Cato the Elder, and he said that Carthage should be destroyed, and Rome should be in charge. The formula of the future determines our path for thousands of years: "The strong in spirit do not die, the darkness will not extinguish the light!" Carthage must be destroyed, Carthage is the fiend of evil. New Carthage - America. These are our words! Western civilization is fatal to our path, the concepts of "mercantile" and "Russian nation" will never be combined. The religion of strength, power and fear is the Zion-Masonic essence, who have trampled Moloch will tear out the holy native Russia from the darkness. Carthage must be destroyed, the fiend of evil erased. "Mr. Russia is not needed!" - exactly the words sound. The United States is our strategic enemy. This is not an ideology, but an absolute fact. The "robots" have one goal: the kingdom of capital, the "American Dream" - sodom and the rule of the kagal. But ... Carthage must be destroyed, Carthage is a fiend of evil. Fiend of evil - America, that's the right words! Faith will incinerate disbelief, free are not slaves, We are Russians, WE are EMPIRE, we are Byzantium pillars. The army is outside politics, but by no means should it be outside the history of the Motherland, outside the people. And Carthage must be destroyed, Carthage - the devil of evil, The devil of evil - America, these words to the army! Blood bubbled in the depths of Russia of resistance, The fanatical spirit of rebellion melts love into revenge. The present Carthage cannot understand the deeds of Russia, the Spirit in it of the Third Rome can never be comprehended by the enemy! Carthage today is America, it is the focus of evil, It ... can be destroyed to the ground, to the ground! The time of heroes will come again - they cannot be bought for dollars. It is better to die standing in battle than smoke the heavens in a yoke! Let others serve the kagal - Russia will be its own head, Carthage WILL be destroyed, Russia WILL be alive !!!
    1. +1
      10 June 2012 10: 22
      [b] Ascetic,


      Greetings, Stanislav! The word is power! Where did these lines come from?
      1. +2
        10 June 2012 15: 07
        Quote: esaul
        Greetings, Stanislav! The word is power! Where did these lines come from?


        Greetings, Valery! The source is not personally known to me, but somehow I came across one of the forums, I liked it, put it in a folder. Now I laid it out.
  14. Alexey Prikazchikov
    +4
    10 June 2012 11: 41
    Karoche so laid out an article for you to read specially I think I liked it. Now in the case it is believed that these 2 goats predicted the 2008 crisis, that is, they were highly respected as economists. Most likely these geeks carried out a public relations order for the states. The fact is that almost the whole world is systematically investing in the Russian Federation, our economy is wildly promising, in the first place slave power is highly qualified, and secondly, goods can also be sold, the population has money. The states, on the other hand, are rapidly losing everything that they once reached in the 80s. So, in order to attract funds and increase the liquidity of securities, these kids are spreading black PR, but one of these sluts was sold again, in my opinion, judge for yourself:

    Russia "Roubini believes that what eurozone politicians are now dragging out with making decisions, throwing problems to the future, does not work. This approach does not provide a stable equilibrium, not even an unstable equilibrium. It is a persistent imbalance," he says.

    The economist is sure that without further movement forward along the path of integration, a process of gradual collapse of the monetary union will occur: more and more countries will lose access to financial markets and will need financial assistance.

    According to Roubini, if Greece or some other small country leaves the eurozone, the monetary union will survive. But if the problems worsen and Italy or Spain are forced to leave the block in a few years, then it will be impossible to maintain the eurozone. Thus, the only way out of this situation can only be integration, including in the budget, banking and debt sectors.

    In the future, the Customs Union of Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan may face similar problems. So far we are talking only about foreign trade cooperation, but, as the economist noted, there is an obvious element in the political project and Russia's intention to come to a single currency and create a monetary union. It is clear that this would take 10-15 years. If at some point it is supposed to expand integration and move in the direction of the currency block, then in the end it is necessary to form a budgetary and banking, and even a political union, ”he said.

    Extrapolating the experience of Europe, Roubini highlighted the second important aspect in addressing integration issues related to the economic stability of each of the participating countries. In particular, the economist noted the vulnerability and fragility of the Belarusian economy and the problem of inflation. As we see in the example of Europe, the crisis, even in small countries, which account for only 2% of the total GDP of the bloc, can carry risks for the entire union, ”he explained.

    To the question of BFM.ru, is it possible to create an international financial center in Moscow, Nuriel Rubini answered: Russia is one of the most important BRIC economies. With the growth of emerging markets, the positions of new regional financial nodes, such as Shanghai in China, Mumbai in India, and São Paulo in Brazil, are strengthening. Moscow can also become a regional international financial and business center. This requires radical structural reforms that would ensure greater openness of the market to increase the flow of foreign direct investment, guarantee the reliability of investments, reduce dependence on state intervention ...
  15. +9
    10 June 2012 13: 47
    It is perfectly clear that the two deserving in the Western world ... tsa, wrote a deliberately ordered and far-fetched article representing Russia as a kind of mediocre, corrupt, demographically dying and outgoing anger to the whole living monster. Russia cannot get used to this, on the maps of the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries the Anglo-Saxons depicted Russia in the form of a giant octopus devouring a poor and innocent, like a tear of a virgin, Europe. Once again I repeat - do not care about it. It strains another. Such activity was unfolded by the Anglo-Saxons always in that historical period, when Russia once again rose from its knees and became so strong that without its approval, not a single, if any, important international issue could be resolved. At present, Russia's position is derailing the whole, so carefully verified plan of the Anglo-Saxons to redistribute the world, creating an arc of Arab instability, which means that the West’s ability to take control of the hydrocarbon reserves located in these countries to oust Russia from its historical borders is being questioned. zones of influence, etc., and so on.
    When it is not possible to enlist the support of Russia, the West resorts to its favorite trick - creating an image of world evil in the form of East Slavic barbarians and begins to train its population. to future military conflicts, including bypassing international institutions, in particular the UN, where this evil beast, Russia, does not allow the germs of democracy lovingly nurtured by the West in the "wild countries" of the Muslim world to break through. This is exactly what the purchased political scientists are doing. Truth and objectivity in such a case is not about them. We all need to remember this when the next Nemtsov and Navalny talk about the "great Western democracy."
  16. +2
    10 June 2012 15: 24
    I'm tired of writing rebuttals because it is a waste of time and effort.

    This is by no means a waste of time, but painstaking work to counter attacks on the battlefield ... Plus an article.
  17. Katran
    +3
    10 June 2012 15: 45
    On the occasion of clever and intelligent people being taken away, judging by the number of awards and all sorts of prizes, eulogies and other favors of the West, one of the most "intelligent" and "intelligent" and "taken away" Russian politicians is Gorbachev (a combine operator as head of the USSR whose mediocre to the collapse of this USSR itself - a reference for those who have forgotten). You still do not know what nonsense Academician Sakhorov, Newton, Darwin, Diderot said and wrote, people who were considered the lights of the mind of their time. so as it was written in one book "do not make yourself an idol", but on my own I will add do not rely on imaginary authorities and think yourself do not be rams.
    1. +1
      10 June 2012 16: 03
      Quote: Katran
      one book "do not make yourself an idol"

      from the Torah: In Russian (Synodal translation) 2. Do not make yourself an idol or any image of what is in the sky above, what is on the earth below, and what is in the water below the earth. Do not worship them and do not serve them; for I am the Lord, In the Church Slavonic language: 2. I didn’t create my own kumira, and I jumped up like a tree, a tree in the heavens of the mountains, and a tree in the earth below, and a tree in the waters below the earth:
      3. Do not interfere with the name of the city council in vain.
      1. Katran
        0
        10 June 2012 19: 08
        Hmm ok from the Torah, so from the Torah, I soon thought of the Bible, but it’s no secret that such books are pretty close in content (the Torah, the Koran, the Bible), thanks for clarification.
      2. Odessa
        +1
        10 June 2012 23: 56
        igor67 (1), in principle, I wrote correctly in Ukrainian, but you can hardly find keyboards with such a font. request A synodal translation was written in Old Slovenian.
  18. +2
    10 June 2012 16: 50
    Initially, before the presidential election, there was a company against GDP. They do not need such a strong president of Russia. And now they are afraid that Russia has long risen from its knees, and it simply needs to be put back. So that it can be controlled, as it was in the Lechs of the 90s.
  19. black cat
    -2
    10 June 2012 18: 49
    Quote: esaul
    Everyone will find in the article what he needs. Swamps are familiar letters from their slogans, and sane ones are a confirmation of their thoughts. Plus article deserved.

    The author writes:
    “The country's population is declining because health care is weak there, socially caused ailments such as alcoholism are rampant, and educated Russians are leaving the country in search of a better share in other states.
    Again an undisguised lie, although more like a complete and arrogant neglect of analysis. The birth rate in Russia in 2008 began to grow again (thanks to material well-being!), And now the situation is close to stable. The United Nations figures cited by Bremmer and Roubini are today questioned and disputed, because demographic trends are changing significantly. Goldman's Jim O'Neill told BNE that he is now waiting for “big surprises up” in Russian demographics. ”

    Maybe esaul considers himself sane. But practice says something else.
    We go to the website of Rosstat and see the data
    http://www.gks.ru/bgd/free/b12_00/IssWWW.exe/Stg/dk04/8-0.htm
    To whom laziness I will bring the text.
    According to estimates, the resident population of the Russian Federation as of April 1, 2012 amounted to 143,1 million people and from the beginning of the year it increased by 30,9 thousand people, or 0,02% (as of the corresponding date of the previous year, a decrease in the population by 18,5 thousand people, or by 0,01% )

    Natural population decline in the I quarter of 2012 decreased compared to the corresponding period of 2011. by 44,2 thousand people. The increased migration growth fully compensated for the numerical losses of the population and exceeded them by 88,5%.

    Well, where do Bremmer and Rubini lie. Lies gentlemen Yesaul and Ben Aris. Drunkenness and mortality (decrease) of the indigenous Russian population were both problems for Russia and remained. Because mainly Armenians and Kyrgyz come to us and create only unnecessary problems for us.
    1. Katran
      -3
      10 June 2012 19: 15
      Yes, the information is not new, by 2020 the working-age population of Russia will be reduced by 10 million, and this is not secret information, but from the speech of some minister from Putin’s team, just a demographic situation in any country depends on the policy that was carried out 15-20 years ago, and we all remember that then it was.
      1. Alexey Prikazchikov
        0
        10 June 2012 20: 03
        Oh my god what all the same ye ... we
    2. welder
      -2
      10 June 2012 23: 43
      gatto nero-well, finally, but it's all just URA ... in short, the second author with his refutations puts a lot of pink glasses on here ... they say you live well, do not strive anywhere, why, everything is fine with you, but thought to yourself so YOU ​​will be bent ... I understood so
  20. black cat
    -3
    10 June 2012 19: 24
    Quote: Katran
    Yes, the information is not new, by 2020 the working-age population of Russia will be reduced by 10 million, and this is not secret information, but from the speech of some minister from Putin’s team, just a demographic situation in any country depends on the policy that was carried out 15-20 years ago, and we all remember that then it was.

    Well, what are you really so tough with Putin. SAY THAT THE DEMOGRAPHIC SITUATION DEPENDS ON THE POLICY THAT HAS BEEN PASSED FOR 100 YEARS BACK. Let's blame everything on the king.
  21. BAT
    +2
    10 June 2012 19: 57
    The demographic situation has intensified not only in Russia, but also in all other CIS countries. So, there is no need to talk about the machinations of Yeltsin, Medvedev, Putin ... Take the statistics of any former Soviet republic --- and everything will become clear. More than sure that demographics have fallen everywhere. So maybe the reason you need to look is not in Moscow, Kiev, Chisinau, etc., but maybe all this bodyagie was muddied in Langley ...
    By the way, in your USA, too, problems with demographics begin ... This is only the beginning ...

    And a bremmer and a ruby, who is it? Their names tell me nothing. And I wanted to spit on their opinion from a high tower !!!
  22. malera
    0
    10 June 2012 19: 57
    Quote: Alexey Prikazchikov
    Moscow can also become a regional international financial and business center. This requires radical structural reforms that would ensure greater market openness for the growth of foreign direct investment inflows, guarantee the security of investments, and reduce dependence on government intervention

    Brad however! We have been waiting for the reform for 12 years, we can’t see it. There are a lot of problems in the capital: transport, communications, invitation to work of foreign specialists, and a banal lack of hotels. The same famous Moscow traffic jams. Top managers are ready to come to Moscow on business trips, but not live here with their families
    1. Alexey Prikazchikov
      -2
      10 June 2012 21: 02
      and why the heck then Sobyanin with his structural reforms, Moscow expanded almost 2 times. In fact, it is being rebuffed again, then before there simply wasn’t any money, do you understand with your stupid head or not :?
  23. Alexey Prikazchikov
    -1
    10 June 2012 20: 05
    Well, you are not far-sighted, look at the statistics of different agencies with the State Statistical Committee analytical forecasts. I need to find everything for about 10 minutes, oh my God what are you ...
  24. malera
    -3
    10 June 2012 20: 07
    Quote: sichevik
    And a bremmer and a ruby, who is it? Their names tell me nothing. And I wanted to spit on their opinion from a high tower !!!

    Looks like a pug that barks at an elephant.
  25. +1
    10 June 2012 20: 28
    Nice article with analysis. Not everyone in the West is a vivid representative of the second oldest. There are those who value their reputation. The article is a definite plus. I read it with pleasure. Sincerely.
  26. mind1954
    +1
    10 June 2012 21: 14
    This is another episode of TransNacCapital attacks!
    Instead of discussing their endless attacks,
    just focus on eliminating the target of their attacks!
    On confiscational nationalization of basic industries
    our economy !!!
    1. +8
      10 June 2012 23: 02
      Quote: mind1954
      This is another episode of TransNacCapital attacks!


      Goal any TNC - extracting superprofits by taking advantage of the monopoly capture of the market of a country.
      The main task big capital - expanding the field of activity and getting more and more income. To solve this problem, favorable conditions are needed in the host states, which primarily include the political system and the absence of military and conflict situations. But since military actions and conflicts of power and population are not always negative factors for transnational corporations, and often these actions attract them, the main focus will be on the political system.
      It is known that the state of many large transnational corporations may exceed the budgets of small states. Therefore, even if opening a new market is beneficial for one company, the question of the precarious position of the target state may already arise. But, as a rule, opening a market is beneficial for a number of companies that may join forces to resolve this issue. Contributing to the establishment of capitalist relations within the target state, transnational corporations discover new opportunities for development.
      If it is possible to persuade the new state to adopt capitalism by various methods, while local business representatives are just starting to reorganize themselves under the new rules of doing business, multinational corporations are actively starting to gain wounds by imposing their goods and services and gradually displacing local businesses from fundamental industries such as communications, energy mining, the production of automobiles and machinery.
      Of course, on the one hand, it’s good that a large number of states of the world can use the same goods, but the population of each state has its own, its inherent distinguishing features and if earlier these signs were taken into account by TNCs in the production of goods and the provision of services, now emphasis is placed on them full unification. TNCs try to offer unified goods and services for each state, erasing the distinction between the representatives of these states, trying not only to teach consumers how to consume their goods and services, but also creating unified consumer..
      The essence of this unification is that successful companies must first create brandsrather than produce goods. Now, when the first place for manufacturers came marketing, not production, they try to reduce production costs by selling a uniform product endowed for the most part with characteristics necessary for the consumer, and the idea, which also makes up a fairly significant share of the value of the goods.
      Attractive targets for TNCs are those states where a large share of assets is located in state ownership and there is a high probability of obtaining them by privatization. Having invested in the substitution of the concepts of the economic life of the target state, mainly affecting young people and poorly educated middle-aged people, TNCs can build favorable soil for their development. Having at their disposal large amounts of free cash, they can at the initial stage acquire enterprises of the main branches of the state, completely subordinating it to these actions
      For the population of the target countries, the implementation of these programs is quite painful, people have to rebuild with great difficulty and get used to new living conditions. Left without the support of the state, many will never be able to rebuild, but those who can will radically change their lives, i.e. will become ordinary unified consumers of goods and services of TNCs working in one way or another for their prosperity and, accordingly, for the economic enslavement and destruction of the national identity of their own country and their own, turning into a unified common man enjoying all the benefits of "prosperous" global capitalism.
      Do not forget that TNCs care only about their own well-being, and this is the norm for the free market. Although they benefit the economies of the host countries, they are mostly engaged in the exploitation of these states. TNCs take advantage of cheap labor and materials, affect tax and foreign exchange policies. TNCs can exploit the undervaluation of local currencies by purchasing finished products at lower prices and selling to other countries at higher prices. In this way, the states in which the branches of TNCs are located, producing goods, constantly provide the states in which the parent companies are located. As a result, if the state has a lot of transnational corporations, then it theoretically can afford without producing anything, ensure your budget through the production of other states and peoples
      TNC representatives are trying to instill in the population of the countries in which they are located their ideas, making all people look alike. Implement a program to implement their ideas in the daily thinking of the population is possible only with the help of fundamental changes. These changes can be introduced during crisis situations, because the population at that time is also in a crisis state, and in order to change the situation, they can accept any idea that can at least somehow correct the current state of affairs. By implementing plans to implement these ideas, TNCs can conquer new markets without interruption, reduce production costs by unifying their products under the same concepts of the population of all countries in which they operate.
      Quote: mind1954
      Instead of discussing their endless attacks,
      just focus on eliminating the target of their attacks!
      On confiscational nationalization of basic industries
      our economy !!!

      The question is how to do it without being based large national capital, a self-sufficient economy, with a dollar-oriented financial system, without a sustainable economic union with countries seeking to resist the expansion of TNCs. The methods of state regulation and nationalization cannot completely solve the problem, we immediately run into a powerful opposition both from the outside and from the inside (the existing class of unified consumers of universal people), the consequences of which cannot be predicted. Here is a question I would like to hear the answer to.
      As if not splashing out with the water and the child.
  27. +2
    11 June 2012 07: 33
    Ascetic,
    Thank you Stanislav for such a voluminous and informative commentary on the article! There is nothing to add. The article is plus. It is good that among foreign journalists there are supporters of the Russian government!
  28. +1
    11 June 2012 07: 49
    In describing the US policy - hypocrisy, clearly lacked one more precise word. Here is "stinking hypocrisy" - it is much more imaginative, brighter and more accurate! Plus Ben Aris.

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