Good bye, genatsvale!
After the last NATO summit in Chicago, at least one person, who for several years had been marking time at the main entrance of this organization and looking inside through armored glass, his mood improved. This person, as it is not difficult to guess, is the world's most peace-loving president - Georgian leader Mikhail Saakashvili. And it’s a sin not to rejoice at Mikhail Nikolozovich, because NATO’s General Secretary Rasmussen shook his hand and said that Georgia had never been so close to NATO as it is today ... In other words, if before Saakashvili, figuratively speaking, near the main entrance of the building of the North Atlantic Alliance was forced walking without any reason, now, because of the same armored entrance door, he not only waved his hand in greeting, but even handed over the mat - in order to wait for something convenient for Georgia, the landmark decision for Georgia. But it’s not entirely clear: whether Georgian citizens will be happy about such a decision, or after incessant propaganda pouring from the mouth of the president and his entourage, the Georgians also sleep and see their entry into the North Atlantic alliance. After Saakashvili was encouraged in Chicago, stating that from now on Georgia became the so-called NATO graduate student country (for “graduate students” there is only one step before entry), the euphoria of the Georgian leader clearly manifests itself. There were new words about how now, they say, Georgia will show its open face to the whole world and solve all its questions. It’s interesting what issues Saakashvili is talking about and whether it is worth drawing conclusions that we haven’t seen a true Georgian face before the summit in Chicago. Hmm ... If so, then it becomes extremely interesting, what else is a grandiose plan ripening in the head of the main Georgian, although, by and large, the one-sidedness of all these plans has long been known to all.
Another issue that arose at the end of the Chicago NATO summit may be a question of this nature: if Andres Fogh Rasmussen really set out to accept Georgia into the Alliance, it turns out that either he wants to violate the organization’s Charter or force Georgia to bend under this Charter. The fact is that even when he was the president of France, Nicolas Sarkozy stated that Saakashvili would not see NATO membership as his ears until the issue of Georgia’s state border was resolved. And, as you know, this issue today is not only not resolved, but in general has gone very far from the point of a possible solution, and not without the help of the Georgian president himself. For several years now, Abkhazia and South Ossetia have been partially recognized as independent states, which, meanwhile, Saakashvili himself cannot admit. Many, by the way, are ironic about recognizing the independence of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Like, well, they recognized that all 6 states (UN members), among which are the states of Oceania: Tuvalu and Nauru ... And what? Does anyone have questions about the state legitimacy of these countries? .. If there are questions, then it is worth recalling that, for example, de jure, the head of a state like Tuvalu even after this state’s independence is not anyone, but the British Queen Elizabeth II ... Here is such a legal incident: it turns out that Queen Elizabeth II, too, as if not against the recognition ...
It turns out that when speaking with Saakashvili about the possible soon accession of Georgia to the Alliance, Mr. Rasmussen is internally convinced that until the next summit (2014 year), all questions about the borders of Georgia will be removed. But this can only be achieved today in two ways: either support Saakashvili in the new military adventure, which, frankly, is hard to believe after the previous “small and victorious” war of Mikhail Nikolozovich, or else to put pressure on Saakashvili himself recognized the independence of South Ossetia and Abkhazia. However, this is no longer in the interests of either the Georgian president or the leaders of the Alliance countries, because in this case it will be necessary to recognize the complete defeat of not only the Georgian army from Russia, but also the NATO armies, since it was known that Western specialists were preparing the Georgian troops.
Although there are other options here for the same Rasmussen. First, in the 2013 year, Georgia is waiting for the presidential election, which may determine a new Georgian leader. Secondly, promises for Georgia once again may remain promises. Just today, no one wanted to upset Saakashvili even at such an epochal moment when Georgia might still need to withdraw American troops from Afghanistan, saying that the road to the Alliance for Tbilisi would be closed due to territorial disputes. After all, if Rasmussen now said Saakashvili: “Good bye, genatsvale!” It is still not clear how the Georgian president would have behaved in such a situation.
By the way, one can hardly say that after 2013, the policy of Georgia regarding the zeal in NATO may change. The fact is that recently more and more often in the media there is information that a young man such as George Ugulava can run for the presidency of Georgia. Today he works as the mayor of the Georgian capital and, most importantly, is a close friend of the current president. As for Ugulava, it is known that he was one of the main activists of the very “rose revolution” when an anti-constitutional coup was actually committed in the country, and Saakashvili sat in the presidential chair. It is obvious that such a person, who also managed to work for the deputy minister of state security of Georgia, can continue the course taken once by the father of the nation, Mikhail Nikolozovich. It is noteworthy that George Ugulava, like Saakashvili, received a Western education (which is probably the decisive factor for the modern leadership of Georgia), but before that he managed to finish, not a lot, Tbilisi Seminary ... Indeed, the new hero of Georgia is ready seminarist-atlantist: crossed himself and onward to NATO for help in restoring constitutional order in the region entrusted to him from overseas region.
Remarkably, all these opportunities for maneuver and Saakashvili, and Rasmussen provided something, in fact, Russia. After all, the Russian response to the military invasion of Georgian troops in South Ossetia can be considered extremely mild. If the Supreme Commander of Russia had not received an order to turn the Russian troops back, then there is no reason to doubt that Georgia would have another president today who would not be eager to join NATO. “Peace enforcement” would take place in full ... However, the Russian side, which the same Saakashvili calls the invader and the aggressor, did not go to Tbilisi, and only for accomplishing this alone, Mikhail Nikolozovich, must be secretly praying from his entourage his presidential office ...
But sometimes, in truth, you think about it, or maybe in vain, then in August, the 2008 of the Russian army commanded “hang up”. Maybe it was worth Mikhail Saakashvili “face-to-face” explaining that he was wrong, and then surely “Good bye, genatsvale!” ... Obviously, today the Georgian leader shook himself off, dried his laundry and again was determined to administer democratic principles, which weekly come to him in an envelope with the image of a bald eagle on the official seal.
Materials used:
http://www.newsgeorgia.ru/politics/20120320/214842752.html
http://www.pravda.ru/world/formerussr/georgia/22-05-2012/1115839-gruzia_nato-0/
http://lenta.ru/news/2012/05/22/nato/
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