In Ukraine, waiting for "direct military aggression of Romania"
Ukrainian newspaper "Den" 20 May analyzes the novel of the Romanian writer Christian Negri, modeling the Ukrainian-Romanian military conflict around Bessarabia."Blood on the Dniester" - this is how the new work of Christian Negri is translated. It was written on the model of numerous recent scandalous novels about wars between neighboring powers ... And it would not have caused so much emotion in Romania, Moldova, Ukraine, Russia and in the unrecognized Transnistrian republic, if all participants in the conflict did not realize: one of the scenarios was described resolution of the long-standing territorial conflict. Moreover, this scenario is not a figment of the shocking author’s imagination, but one of the possible options for a radical solution of the problem of post-Soviet borders in a single case ... Of course, the author of “Blood on the Dniester” could only aim to shock the reader and thereby increase the sales of his novel. But this kind of attitude is invariably expressed by a part of the political establishment of Romania, right up to the current President Traian Basescu. The latter even named the date of the annexation of Bessarabia - 2025 year (30 November 2010 of the year, answering questions from Romania Libera, Romanian President Traian Basescu stated the following: "Romania Libera: Does there exist such a time perspective, for example 25 years, in which Romania and the Republic of Moldova unite? - Traian Basescu: Why not? - RL: How do you see this region in 25 years? - TB: The borders of the EU will be along the Dniester, and democratic development in the region will serve as an incentive for other countries - such as Ukraine - to rush into the EU. In 25 years, the Balkans will be part of the EU and NAT O. - RL: With Romania and Bessarabia in the same country? - TB: If Romanians desire on both banks of the Prut to do so ”- REGNUM press comment) 15 years later than in the novel Negri, but also in the foreseeable historical future "- writes the publication.
"Not only Ukraine is a potential object of territorial desires. Moldova and Transnistria are no less vulnerable and attractive in this regard. The conflict on the Dniester frozen for 20 years (Russia stopped the armed aggression of Moldova against Transnistria in the summer of 1992) - must be resolved. And in Romania there are a lot of those who are not averse to seeing his decision by military means ... Ukraine may be involved in a military conflict not only because of encroachments on its territories, but also in the case of territorial conflicts closest neighbors. And the most pressing of the border conflicts is the Transdniestrian problem - the heir, like most of these conflicts, is the Jesuit Stalinist national policy. The artificial borders in which the former Soviet republics exist make them internally and externally vulnerable and in many ways cause problems with the national identity of the citizens of these states. Ukraine is one of the states suffering from a similar situation, but on its territory, thank God, there were no armed conflicts and ethnic ical skirmishes. Moldova and Transnistria are a different matter. This conflict cannot be resolved without radical measures involving the incorporation of Transnistria either into Ukraine, or into Moldova, or into a single Romanian-Moldovan state, the publication believes. - The reunification of Moldova ("Bessarabian Moldova") and Romania is not so unrealistic (Obviously, "reunification" means the re-occupation of Bessarabia by Romania, by analogy with the occupation in 1918 - 1940 and 1941-1944. The annexation of Bessarabia by Romania was not recognized by the USSR until vtoring Romania in December 1917 on the territory of Bessarabia belonging to Russia, the latter had no relation to Romania and the Romanians - comment REGNUM). Romania in recent years has significantly strengthened its military potential, so the ideas of "Great Romania" have not gone away. "
“Having built up its military power in recent years and having behind its backs the support of the United States and NATO, Romania can continue to be stingy with respect to Ukraine. It succeeds a lot - largely due to the actions or inaction of the Ukrainian side: as in the cases of Snake and Giurgiuleshtami. Another thing is whether Europeans and Americans will support direct military aggression by Romania. So far this development seems doubtful. The stakes are not so large as to encourage Romanian revanchism to a critical level, especially if it can lead to war not only with Ukraine, but also with Russia, decided to come out in defense of Transdniestria. Of course, Russia is also hardly ready for war with Romania (that is, with NATO) for Transnistria. And Ukraine is hardly ready. However, in such extreme situations there are so many circumstances to calculate which is impossible (from the global geopolitical situation to the personal qualities of the leaders of countries involved in the conflict), and therefore they give rise to fantasies of novelists, "the Day concludes.
The publication also cites the opinion of Romanian expert Oana Popescu, director of the Bucharest Conflict Prevention Center: “As for the book by Christian Negri, in his blog he defines it as a“ military-political thriller ”- a fantastic novel, which features the 2014 war scenario. I doubt that this will get any support in Romanian society. I don’t even have any idea why the author sees such an opportunity. To be honest, I don’t even imagine it in a tangible future. This book is not political and not scientific, this is an antistatic romance. Therefore, since this is a fiction, you can imagine anything - including a war between Switzerland and Luxembourg or between Australia and Canada! Negri’s book does not reflect any “conflict mood” in Romanian society. Nobody wants to be in conflict with any neighbor through the political and social range, on the contrary, we observe with concern what is happening in the Balkans, where some inter-ethnic violence reappears. We are not at all pleased with this instability in our region. That is why Romania supports the Euro-Atlantic integration of the entire region: so that it can become a space of solid and lasting peace and prosperity. As for Basescu’s statement that Moldova may return to Romania within the next 25 years, and the border of the European Union will pass along the Dniester, which was quoted by RIA-News- This is a very inaccurate quote from the statement of the President of Romania. Basescu noted that in 25 years, Romania and the Republic of Moldova will be together again as members of the EU, where borders do not matter. He said that as soon as the Republic of Moldova and the Balkan countries become members of the EU, it will also give a powerful incentive to other neighbors, such as Ukraine, to do the same. Romania has always strongly supported the aspirations of its neighbors to become members of the EU and NATO. And again, this is not about uniting with the Republic of Moldova, but about being together in the EU. "
However, the Ukrainian political analyst Vitaly Kulik notes in his Facebook: "The question is not in futurology, but in the fact that there is a demand for such a literature in Romania, it MENTIFIES public sentiment."
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