Su-57 and "Armata" against the economy and expediency
Reason for disputes
The reason for new disputes around promising samples appeared in early July. Vice Prime Minister Yury Borisov, in charge of the military-industrial complex, told the press about current work in the framework of promising projects. Among other things, he touched on the theme of the fifth-generation fighter Su-57. As it turned out, the leadership of the defense industry has very specific views.
Fighter Su-57 in flight. Photo KLA / uacrussia.ru
According to Y. Borisov, tests of the Su-57 are in accordance with the plan. This year, it is planned to sign a contract for two aircraft of the experimental batch, and the current state arms program provides for the purchase of 12 aircraft - two squadrons. At the same time, the official does not yet see the point in increasing production volumes aviation techniques.
The Vice Prime Minister noted that the Su-57 showed itself well in trials and in Syria. Technical specifications and combat capabilities received confirmation. However, it is not yet necessary to force the work on its mass production. Russia already has a Su-35C fighter of the 4 ++ generation, which is considered one of the best in the world. If available, the accelerated mass construction of newer Su-57 does not make sense.
However, Yu. Borisov did not call for the complete rejection of the fifth generation car. It should be a kind of "trump card" that can be "played" in appropriate circumstances. When the fighters of previous generations begin to lag behind their foreign counterparts, the time comes for the Su-57. In such circumstances, this aircraft will again provide superiority over the likely adversary.
Later similar statements were made about the prospects of armored combat vehicles. A new interesting, but ambiguous statement was made at the end of July, during a regular meeting on the development of the defense industry. Vice Prime Minister Yury Borisov pointed out that the Russian armed forces are not yet striving to carry out mass purchases of armored vehicles of the Armath family. The reason for this lies in the excessive cost of such machines. To maintain the combat capability of armored forces, the army prefers to carry out modernization of the existing equipment.
Yu. Borisov recalled that the basis of the Russian park tanks are machines of the T-72 family undergoing modernization. In addition, this technique is very popular in the international arms market. The Deputy Prime Minister also compared the Russian tank with the leading foreign models and noted its superiority over them. The T-72 is superior to the Abrams, Leopards, and Leclerci in cost, efficiency, and quality.
Similarly, Y. Borisov spoke about other promising platforms. Perspective wheeled armored personnel carrier “Boomerang” is much more expensive than the existing equipment of its class. In this regard, the army has no need for its mass purchase. However, in a different situation — if our production machines were inferior to the technique of a possible enemy — the army would begin to purchase new models.
Due to such decisions it is possible to get serious savings. The newest and expensive samples are offered to be purchased in limited quantities, and in parallel to carry out the modernization of the existing fleet. Yu. Borisov believes that the rational use of the modernization potential of military equipment is an effective solution. And at his expense, it is possible to accomplish the tasks assigned, having a military budget ten times less than that of the NATO countries.
Clear reaction
The reaction to such statements was not long in coming. And, quite expectedly, this reaction was not positive. They began to criticize the vice-premier from several positions at once, pushing at various aspects of the planned rearmament. In addition, tendentious assessments appeared, casting a shadow not only on individual projects, but also on the entire industry or the army as a whole. However, there were also those who agreed with Y. Borisov in his assessments and appealed to the need to assess the feasibility of procurement.
For obvious reasons, the foreign press reacted quite loudly to these events. Publications appeared with screaming names like “Su-57 turned out to be an expensive and useless toy,” “Putin no longer puts on Armat or Tank Armata was too expensive for Russia, and T-72 is not so old.” Under the last heading, the BBC Russian service not only looked at the current situation and statements of the official from the point of view she needed, but also recalled his attitude to modernization projects in the past.
In general, if one does not pay attention to obviously biased publications and statements, the reaction of the public and specialists was reduced to several basic issues. First of all, people were not satisfied with the fact of the refusal of mass purchases of the latest technology that could dramatically increase the combat capability of the army. This argument took place in disputes on both topics - both in the case of the Su-57, and after the statements about the armored vehicles.
There were also arguments about reputational costs. For years, Russia has been talking about creating future combat vehicles with the highest characteristics, but now refuses their massive purchases. Such a development of events may look very strange, especially if it is focused on it, based on certain prerequisites.
Su-57 and its future
The project to create a fifth-generation fighter PAK FA / T-50 / Su-57 has already moved far enough. In February of this year, it was announced the start of pilot operation. So far, 10 flight prototypes are involved in the checks. Three more were built for various checks on the ground. In the near future, it is planned to build and raise into the air several pre-production machines, after which mass production should begin.
The program goes without any difficulties and significant delays, which can be a reason for restrained optimism. Nevertheless, as follows from the words of Yu. Borisov, the real prospects for the Su-57 are far from some predictions. It turns out that the newest aircraft is too good for today's army, it has redundant capabilities and, oddly enough, it is inexpedient to exceed the actual requirements for a modern fighter.
The leadership of the defense industry studied the current situation in the world and the combat capabilities of air forces of different countries, as a result of which a special opinion emerged about the real prospects of the Su-57. High-ranking officials believe that the current situation allows the implementation of existing plans to continue without reworking the schedule. It is proposed to continue to produce the Su-35С serial fighter aircraft, and in parallel to prepare the production of more advanced Su-57 fighters. Without unnecessary haste.
Of course, such a decision may lead to certain changes in the schedule and a shift in the delivery time of the finished aircraft. On the other hand, the available time can be used to further refine the design and correct the detected deficiencies. As a result, a fully-fledged mass production, which is proposed to be postponed for some time, will be able to go ready fighter, devoid of flaws.
However, this approach does not eliminate all problems. Preparation and launch of mass production is quite a challenge, which takes a lot of time. It is necessary to proceed to its implementation before Su-35С ceases to provide the desired parity with the likely adversary. By the time of these events, our army should already have a "trump card" in its hands in the form of a fifth-generation fighter.
Armored Perspectives
According to published data, promising armored combat vehicles based on modern unified platforms are able to show the most serious advantages over existing equipment. Expected to be a significant increase in firepower, protection and combat effectiveness in general. At the same time, the price is growing - both for a separate car and for the project as a whole. All this must be considered when planning.
Y. Borisov points out that the modernized T-72B3 tank is not inferior in its fighting qualities to foreign competitors. The new model based on the Armata platform surpasses all of them in basic tactical and technical characteristics, but it also turns out to be more expensive. In such a situation, the leadership of the defense complex does not see the point in the imminent deployment of large-scale production of more complex and expensive samples in the same way as in the case of fifth-generation fighters.
It should be noted that in the field of armored vehicles the issue of cost is particularly important. According to reports, the modernization of one T-72 tank on the B3 project costs the military about 150 million rubles. In the past, it was argued that the Armata serial main tank T-14 would cost no more than 250-300 million rubles per unit. In the future, estimates have increased, and a couple of years ago, officials already talked about 400-500 millions. Thus, instead of building one new “Armata”, three T-72 can be repaired and improved at once. Which is better, three T-72B3 or one T-14 is a question without a clear answer.
All the well-known arguments in favor of one or another approach look convincing to some extent, but still do not remove some questions. For example, it is not known whether the Russian industry is ready for the imminent launch of a full-scale production of a completely new technology. Even if the only Russian tank-building plant will be able to produce several dozen promising armored vehicles per year, this will not cover all the needs of the army for new or updated equipment. In addition, we should not forget about the need to complete all cycles of testing and finishing new samples.
What to expect?
The recent remarks of the deputy prime minister responsible for the defense industry made quite a stir. Such a reaction of the public and professionals, in general, was justified. Actual plans involving minor purchases of promising technology are unlikely to quickly and fully realize its potential, and also can not be a reason for pride. However, you can find arguments in favor of this approach.
In the recent past, it was repeatedly noted that the Russian armed forces will be purchasing some samples of new technology, not related to completely new generations. In addition, it was planned to modernize the existing park. And only after that, the units were supposed to proceed with completely new cars belonging to the next generations. Currently, the situation is fully consistent with such plans.
The aerospace forces continue to receive Su-35C fighters of the 4 ++ generation of new construction, and at the same time the modernization of the existing equipment is carried out. In the future, combat aircraft will complement the new serial Su-57. The situation is similar in the armored sphere, with the difference that it decided to focus on the modernization of cash samples. In the future, respectively, they will complement the new "Armaty" and "Boomerangs."
The only real subject of dispute in this situation is the timing and volume of delivery of new equipment. The situation with the timing is quite understandable and even to some extent expected. A rare promising project can be carried out in accordance with the original schedule, not to mention its advance. The number of Su-57, “Armat” and “Boomerangs”, which will be ordered in the near future, depends on rearmament plans, the economic capabilities of the army and some other factors.
In fact, the command of the armed forces and the leadership of the defense industry in the context of promising projects have to solve several basic issues. They must form clear and precise plans, taking into account the need for rearmament, the complexity and cost of such a program, as well as its relevance to current challenges. It should be borne in mind that the situation is constantly changing in one way or another, with the result that plans have to be adjusted.
Fortunately, despite all the limitations, problems and disputes, at the moment we are talking about shifting the dates for launching the mass production of new samples, as well as about a possible reduction in the volume of their production. No one is going to abandon the most important projects, the development of which also spent a lot of time and money. Prospective developments, such as the Su-57 or Armat, will definitely go to the troops in the foreseeable future. And their number (albeit not immediately) will meet all the requirements, wishes and limitations.
On the materials of the sites:
http://ria.ru/
http://tass.ru/
http://vz.ru/
http://bbc.co.uk/
http://inosmi.ru/
https://tvzvezda.ru/
http://bastion-karpenko.ru/
http://bmpd.livejournal.com/
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