Military Review

Economic growth will stop the water. As water resources become more expensive than oil

59
Experts in the field of the global economy are studying the challenges that may in the near future lead to the fact that the countries with the fastest growing economies in the world can change things for the worse. In other words, the data on what may affect certain countries is analyzed in such a way that the growth of their economies will not only slow down, but will probably change to a decline.


Interesting data publishes government research center of India. The research material stated that India can become just the state of the world where the record economic growth of recent years will be replaced by a catastrophic fall. To begin with, it should be noted that for several years now the Indian economy has been growing at a more substantial pace than, for example, the Chinese. So, in 2017, India’s GDP grew by 7,5%.

According to experts, this growth has a limit. It consists in providing a huge population of the country with clean water. The data of the last few years for India look depressing: every year in India more than 200 thousand people die from the banal shortage of drinking water. At the same time, almost every second inhabitant of India is faced with the problem of providing clean water every day. Astronomical indicators - 600 million people.

The authors of the study say that in 21, the largest city in the country, the problem can reach a critical point by 2020. It was in 2020-th year, as Indian experts believe, that the reserves of soil and groundwater, which can “drink” the population of million-plus cities, run out.

Economic growth will stop the water. As water resources become more expensive than oil


There has been a sharp deterioration in the volume of fresh water in the agricultural sector in India. Today, only 16% of the country's farms have access to sufficient volumes of fresh water. The experts' forecast is disappointing: by 2030, the demand for water in India will exceed supply by exactly twice, in turn, this will lead to an annual decline in India's GDP by about 6%.

Recall that India is a member of BRICS and the SCO, which is trying to build up its economic presence in these international organizations with the participation of Russia. Does this mean that soon, both for India and for many other economies, pipelines with fresh water will become more relevant than cross-border systems for transporting oil and gas? The problem is, in fact, worthy of in-depth analysis.
Photos used:
http://www.globallookpress.com
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  1. MPN
    MPN 23 June 2018 15: 07
    +7
    And where does all the water on earth disappear? Is the water cycle in nature stopped? Martians steal?
    1. just exp
      just exp 23 June 2018 15: 17
      +11
      yes her people are making unfit. for example, back in the 70s, there were so many fish in Ob that almost China could feed. and now there you must first find this fish. and finding her in the river itself is not very easy, for her paragraph has become few. these are all consequences of the development of the oil industry. on the Volga and other rivers of the hydroelectric power station dam kill rivers.
      and other people hide it intensely. for example, Gaddafi found huge underground lakes with fresh water and began to build his own fresh water supply system that could green the whole north of Africa. and immediately bombed Libya.
      but the climate itself is also changing in this regard, not for the better.
      Moldova, once a green country, has probably been drought for almost a decade now.
      the wells that I remember were always almost to the brim in my childhood.
      now empty. people go for water with verdras per kilometer (not a very cool topic to drag buckets of water a whole kilometer)
      1. Logall
        Logall 23 June 2018 15: 23
        +14
        But in Russia there is everything! Everything except the economy ... But those who inhibit it are necessary to dip it ... And do not give up.
        1. cniza
          cniza 23 June 2018 15: 53
          +6
          Soon they will go to Russia to ask about water and dream of taking possession of it, but about the economy of the “brakes” it’s necessary to remove it and no one else will do it. Greetings! hi
        2. sabakina
          sabakina 23 June 2018 15: 57
          +12
          Sasha. prvevet! As for India, let them stop throwing their dead into the Ganges for a start! Drain sewage there! There is no money for a ritual bonfire (which is VERY expensive for them) -burn on furniture. But you will drink normal water. As for Russia ..... I have a strong feeling that I already lived somewhere in the civilian .... And fought on the side of the Reds ...
        3. 97110
          97110 23 June 2018 17: 26
          0
          Quote: Logall
          But in Russia there is everything!

          Blessed is he who believes. How is it this year, there is water in the Volga?
        4. Vadim237
          Vadim237 23 June 2018 21: 00
          0
          You can offer the Indians to buy water - 50 rubles a liter, we will deliver 500 cubic meters each day.
      2. MPN
        MPN 23 June 2018 15: 25
        +13
        But water has not disappeared from the planet. As it was artificially redistributed, Hydrology must be dealt with in a dense one, correcting the creations of human hands. They polluted, there’s also a way out, always in the cities water was supplied after water treatment, from the wells only in the village it was possible to drink tasty water. And instead of all this, the businessmen started selling bottled tap water ... This, of course, will soon lead to the sale of air, which will by no means contribute to the environment.
        1. SRC P-15
          SRC P-15 23 June 2018 15: 27
          +8
          Quote: MPN
          Economic growth will stop water.

          "It’s not beer that kills people. Water kills people!" smile
          1. MPN
            MPN 23 June 2018 15: 29
            +7
            Quote: SRC P-15
            Quote: MPN
            Economic growth will stop water.

            "It’s not beer that kills people. Water kills people!" smile

            laughing
        2. sabakina
          sabakina 23 June 2018 16: 00
          +3
          Pash, ask me how a land reclamator (though at a technical level), where does the water go ...
          1. MPN
            MPN 23 June 2018 16: 02
            +7
            Quote: sabakina
            Pash, ask me how a land reclamator (though at a technical level), where does the water go ...

            smile hi Glory, where does the water go? I ask you as a land reclamator?
            1. sabakina
              sabakina 23 June 2018 16: 18
              +4
              Pasha, during the times of the USSR, they went too far with drainage, because money was allocated unmeasured. An application was given to drain the swamp, fig - in the countryside in the villages water from the wells left. And you probably know what kind of water from the well. While the water from the swamp reaches the well ... Such a filtering of our technology only dreams! Regarding irrigation ... Well, that's another story. Well, as he could have explained, he could have done more, but on Saturday, her mother ... drinks
              1. MPN
                MPN 23 June 2018 16: 27
                +6
                Quote: sabakina
                Well, as he could have explained, he could have done more, but on Saturday, her mother ...

                Well, okay. As I said above, hydrographs must use their strength to correct the creations of the crooked human hands, and not sell bottled water from the tap. On Saturday drinks
                1. sabakina
                  sabakina 23 June 2018 16: 30
                  +3
                  With nature, our mother! drinks
                  1. MPN
                    MPN 23 June 2018 16: 35
                    +4
                    Quote: sabakina
                    With nature, our mother! drinks

                    The heat, even the kebabs, was transferred to late evening, well, nothing better than the beer. smile drinks
                    1. marshes
                      marshes 23 June 2018 17: 10
                      +2
                      Quote: MPN
                      The heat, even the kebabs, was transferred to late evening, well, nothing better than the beer.

                      Barbecue if lamb or pork, it is better to dry white wine or vodka. Otherwise it will be badly digested, beer is not bad for schnitzel or sausages, it’s time to become a gourmet. smile
                2. 97110
                  97110 23 June 2018 17: 36
                  +1
                  Quote: MPN
                  hydrographs need to make an effort

                  Are you so joking? And who will finance the work? The founding fathers have more important things to do. Well, there the yacht in Cyprus is not paid. The baby needs to be changed, the fashion has changed. Their water in London (Miami?) Flows from the tap, they don’t need it ...
            2. siberalt
              siberalt 23 June 2018 17: 02
              +1
              The monsoons will begin - everyone will get drunk. winked
    2. helmi8
      helmi8 23 June 2018 15: 20
      +6
      Quote: MPN
      And where does all the water on earth disappear? Is the water cycle in nature stopped? Martians steal?

      Pavel, it seems easier for me ... All these "expert researchers" work by order, there are no real studies there. Again, some want funding for "further research and finding solutions to the problem." You can give a bunch of examples with similar horror stories ranging from the harm of eating eggs and ending with the "ozone hole". You can see the predictions of these "experts" twenty years ago and compare with today - the difference is striking. And the problem with fresh water is greatly exaggerated. An example of the ISS is enough - technologies make it possible to make potable water from almost any liquid. It would be a desire and money for equipment.
      1. MPN
        MPN 23 June 2018 15: 27
        +7
        Yes, it also seems to me ... If they sell bottled tap water, there is a reason to order scientific bluffs.
      2. just exp
        just exp 23 June 2018 15: 38
        +4
        water scarcity is not a myth. it is a reality and what a dangerous reality.
        for the population is growing. and with it the consumption of water. and water is needed not only to drink. but also to grow what to eat, to produce goods, water is also required, to wash, water is also needed. and its consumption is growing every year.
        but pure water is no longer becoming, for we only pollute it.
        1. helmi8
          helmi8 23 June 2018 15: 44
          +3
          Quote: just explo
          but pure water is no longer becoming, for we only pollute it

          You can’t argue with that. But another conclusion follows from this - it is not about water scarcity, but about the effectiveness of its use. And these are slightly different things ...
        2. SRC P-15
          SRC P-15 23 June 2018 15: 52
          +4
          There is no less drinking water on Earth! It just goes into the underground bowels, from where we pumped it out so carelessly and intensely. Nature does not tolerate emptiness: if it is reduced below, then according to the scheme of communicating vessels, above it also goes down, seeping into those voids from where we pumped oil, gas and water. If we continue to continue accelerated production of oil, water and various minerals from the depths of the earth, then many rivers and lakes can completely become shallow on the surface. That's right, it's all about us.
          1. sabakina
            sabakina 23 June 2018 16: 24
            +1
            Judging by the films, for example, "Do not be afraid, I’m with you" when they started pumping oil back in imperial times ... For some reason it doesn’t end ... request
            1. SRC P-15
              SRC P-15 23 June 2018 16: 40
              +1
              Quote: sabakina
              Judging by the films, for example, "Do not be afraid, I’m with you" when they started pumping oil back in imperial times ... For some reason it doesn’t end ...

              Doesn't that oil end? But the rivers, unlike the rivers of oil, have become shallow considerably!
      3. 97110
        97110 23 June 2018 17: 43
        +1
        Quote: helmi8
        It would be a desire and money for equipment

        Keep yourself in control! Listen to you, so does every retiree on the ISS need? They didn’t hear, they (pensioners) bred, nowhere to go! They are trying to reduce them in the country, the founding fathers do not have enough money!
        1. helmi8
          helmi8 23 June 2018 19: 29
          0
          Quote: 97110
          Listen to you, so does every retiree on the ISS need?

          No, it's not me, but you said. I talked about the availability of technology, the ISS cited as an example. I do not like this example - you can do another. Israel uses desalination stations for sea water. And somehow, in the absence of water resources, it does not suffer from the lack of fresh water. You can see it here http://il4u.org.il/blog/about-israel/israel-today
          / kak-izrail-stal-sverhderzhavoj
          1. 97110
            97110 23 June 2018 19: 43
            0
            Quote: helmi8
            I do not like this example - you can do another.

            It’s easier for retirees to recycle something useful. Well, meat and bone meal. Questions will be resolved - passion !. Yachts will pay, babies will get new ones! FIU overflows! The apartments will be vacated, again places in the cemetery.
            1. helmi8
              helmi8 23 June 2018 20: 05
              0
              Quote: 97110
              It’s easier for retirees to recycle something useful.

              Well, what is it you retired on pensioners? Well, I’ve been retired for a long time, and now what? The conversation seems to be about water, not about pensions and pensioners ...
              1. 97110
                97110 23 June 2018 20: 31
                0
                Quote: helmi8
                Well, what is it you retired on pensioners?

                A pensioner since 2005. I read how Israel gave its pensioners water to drink. I am looking for a way out for the capitalist RF.
                1. helmi8
                  helmi8 23 June 2018 22: 05
                  0
                  Quote: 97110
                  Senior citizen since 2005. I am looking for a way out for the capitalist RF.

                  Well, I have more experience - since 1993. And what, in Russia, too tense with water?
                  1. 97110
                    97110 24 June 2018 12: 59
                    0
                    Quote: helmi8
                    And what, in Russia, too tense with water?

                    And what, "successful people" will not solve the issue? And if profits are smelled? And if a big one?
          2. Dull
            Dull 24 June 2018 05: 02
            0
            Quote: helmi8
            No, it's not me, but you said. I talked about the availability of technology, the ISS cited as an example. I do not like this example - you can do another. Israel uses desalination stations for sea water. And somehow, in the absence of water resources, it does not suffer from the lack of fresh water. You can see it here http://il4u.org.il/blog/about-israel/israel-today

            An example, with a sweetheart. The capture of water sources in the wars with the Arabs and allows Israel to exist. Desalination does not solve the problem.
          3. EwgenyZ
            EwgenyZ 24 June 2018 14: 11
            0
            Quote: helmi8
            Israel uses desalination stations for sea water. And somehow, in the absence of water resources, it does not suffer from the lack of fresh water.

            Well, here you got excited, I eat water from Israel - Lake of Tiberias (izr. Lake Kineret), which is located on the occupied Golan Heights. It is the presence of a large source of fresh water that has become, one of the reasons, the occupation of the area.
            http://nizi.co.il/aob/kakimi-istochnikami-pitevoj
            -vody-obladaet-izrail.html
      4. Captain Nemo
        Captain Nemo 23 June 2018 18: 47
        0
        Well, how many hundreds of times will water rise in price? Fuck these technologies are needed. Just like in the movie Kin-zazza. Kill the nature. Alikharchs always have a lot of money, and a simple hard worker will have 6 grades of swine (The ball is ground together with the booth).
    3. Maz
      Maz 23 June 2018 16: 58
      0
      It’s only to say this: Baikal, Yenisei, Ob, Lena, Volga, Dnieper, just Siberia ... we can be the richest in the world - where is Saudi Arabia. The main thing with the mind!
      1. 97110
        97110 23 June 2018 17: 45
        +1
        Quote: Maz
        we can be the richest in the world

        They are already there. Which are the richest. They don’t need anymore.
  2. The comment was deleted.
    1. AlexVas44
      AlexVas44 23 June 2018 15: 26
      +1
      Quote: Kasandra
      And we are all robbed and robbed ..

      Totalе rob or sunё rob? The fact that we are robbed, that’s for sure, and not allе, but a very narrow circle ... crying
  3. Tired
    Tired 23 June 2018 15: 13
    +4
    The fact that the planet was overpopulated at the end of the XNUMXth century, serious people from the Roman club discussed. But birth control in developing countries has not been introduced. With the exception of China, and in it it has already been canceled. In combination with the lack of substantial support for policies aimed at developing public education of children in developed countries, this creates certain risks for these countries. The family of the old way of life in developed countries is no longer relevant due to changes in production relations (mainly the decline of the village due to its uselessness for the economy), and the development of the public education system is hindered by the capitalist model of the economy. Moreover, developing countries also operate in a capitalist economy, which means that as they develop, they will increasingly gravitate toward imperialism. This will inevitably lead to a conflict between sparsely populated but developed countries and overpopulated developing countries.
  4. gabonskijfront
    gabonskijfront 23 June 2018 15: 28
    +2
    Brothers !!! Let's stand for Russian water.
    1. Dull
      Dull 24 June 2018 05: 05
      0
      Quote: gabonskijfront
      Brothers !!! Let's stand for Russian water.

      According vodka Russian!
  5. gridasov
    gridasov 23 June 2018 16: 07
    +2
    The idealized idea that Water is Dihydrogen Monoxide has led a person to the fact that he does not take into account or simply does not want to take into account the whole systematic nature of the processes that make Water one or another in quality. How can one generally say that Water is two hydrogen atoms and one oxygen and does not talk about the presence in it of a huge amount of dissolved substances that determine its properties. How can one ignore the properties of water from its dynamic state. Therefore, indeed the amount of water on the planet can be constant, but the quantitative ratios of water that carries various functions can be dangerous for the development of the living world. Mankind still does not own the technologies for restoring Water to the required quality exclusively by the methods of internal transformation, and not by introducing into it or filtering various components. Therefore, technological revolutions to restore water resources, as the basis of life on the planet, are still ahead.
  6. marshes
    marshes 23 June 2018 16: 10
    +2
    Russians, sell water in glass bottles.
    Essentuki is a cool water, just for me with a spoiled stomach. But plastic is not comme il faut, I understand it is easier to transport, but after all, the Georgians of Borjomi in a glass container we sell.
    Local water in plastic bottles is similar to ordinary carbonated water and a water pipe. And what was the earliest of Sarah Agash, and Aksayskaya was not bad.
  7. bald
    bald 23 June 2018 17: 33
    +4
    Look at the map of India, not every state has so many rivers. Of course, I respect their traditions, but on the right, together with China, they are in the first places for river lodging. And if not, what’s stopping them is wise to approach the conservation and use of huge amounts of freshwater in rivers.
  8. Vanek
    Vanek 23 June 2018 18: 15
    +3
    So it happened.

    Today, some water in the country was launched with a father-in-law. Well 35 meters. Cold The beauty.

    Finally by accident.

    hi
  9. Captain Nemo
    Captain Nemo 23 June 2018 18: 40
    0
    Get ready. Soon, water will become the property of gas-mass in our country too. The destruction of swamps and water conservation forests leads to the fact that winter stocks of water with high water instantly go to the seas in spring. Forest not only as a sponge holds water, but also condenses water from the air. A huge amount of water goes into the depths of the earth due to mining. Forever. Oil and gas production infiltrates aquifers with chemistry. Lake Ladoga, Baikal, Volga - the level is everywhere decreasing. Details of the upcoming disaster - https://cyberpedia.su/1x5fd3.html
  10. Antares
    Antares 23 June 2018 20: 53
    +2
    India spends about 25% of the world's water used for agriculture for agricultural purposes.
    HSBC predicts 2020 water abstraction for agriculture will increase by 64%, but water reserves per capita will decrease from 1560 cubic meters to 1287 cubic meters per capita, and will be in dangerous proximity with the UN criterion for water scarcity (less than 1000 cubic meters stocks per capita). India currently has the highest groundwater abstraction among the G20 countries (251 km3 per year - more than twice that of China).
    India
    Resources
    - 2085 km3 per capita
    - 2,2 thousand m3. India has a large amount of water resources: rivers, glaciers, seas and the ocean. The most significant rivers are the Ganges, Indus, Brahmaputra, Godavari, Krishna, Narbada, Mahanadi, Kaveri. Many of them are important as sources of irrigation. About 40 thousand km2 of territory is occupied by eternal snows and glaciers in India. However, given the huge population in India, the availability of fresh water per capita is rather low.
    For example, for comparison, the Russian Federation
    Russia
    Resources
    - 4500 km3 per capita
    - 30,5 thousand m3. In terms of reserves, Russia accounts for more than 20% of the world's fresh water resources (excluding glaciers and groundwater). In calculating the volume of fresh water per inhabitant of Russia, about 30 thousand m3 of river flow per year are accounted for. Russia is washed by the waters of 12 seas belonging to the three oceans, as well as the inland Caspian Sea. In Russia, there are over 2,5 million large and small rivers, more than 2 million lakes, hundreds of thousands of swamps and other water resources.
    But Ukraine is not so lucky
    In Ukraine, there are less than 2 thousand m3 per inhabitant per year, which is one of the lowest rates in Europe.

    Agriculture around the world requires high water costs. (It accounts for about 70% of the water consumed by mankind.) And if you add here such a consumer of water as industry, it becomes clear why slowly but surely the reserves of fresh water on the planet are running out. If at the beginning of XX century. Since industry consumed only 30 km3 of water per year, by 1975 water consumption had increased to 630 km3, and in 2015 it would reach (according to forecasts) 2750 km3 per year. Million people
    For production:
    - sugar from 1 ton of sugar beet requires 5-6 m3 of water,
    - 1 ton of paper - 1,5-60 m3,
    - 100 lbiva - 5-21 m3,
    - for tanning 1 ton of raw skin - 20-50 m3;
    - 1 ton of yarn - up to 200 m3,
    - to produce 1 ton of nylon fiber -5600 m3,
    - 1 ton of steel - 25 m3.,
    - for the release of one car - 300 m3
    - for irrigation of 1 ha of cotton - 5-6 thousand m3,
    - 1 ha of rice - 15-20 thousand m3.
    (water consumption per capita per year, includes direct and indirect consumption, that is, necessary for the production of goods and services).
    United States: 2842 m3
    Spain: 2461 m3
    Brazil: 2027 m3
    Japan: 1379 m3
    Great Britain: 1258 m3
    Chile: 1155 m3
    India: 1089 m3
    1. andron-30
      andron-30 24 June 2018 06: 56
      0
      Thanks very informative.
  11. andron-30
    andron-30 24 June 2018 06: 49
    0
    most likely it will be so, RUSSIA MATUSHA is rich not only in oil and gas, but also in fresh water, toad Albright (US Secretary of State FORMER) spoke about this.
  12. 23rus
    23rus 24 June 2018 08: 29
    0
    Many peoples have long consumed "conditionally drinking" water. The climate is not changing for the better and many refugees from Africa are fleeing drought.
  13. Xscorpion
    Xscorpion 24 June 2018 09: 47
    0
    I understand the problems with water in the deserts of Africa. But the problems with water in India are exaggerated. They have a lot of water, they just waste it anyhow. Save for cleaning and so on. They are to blame for when they press, then they will take it. Besides, they have Indian there is a whole ocean, let the desalination plants build. And how much rain falls, probably one of the rainy places in the world. It's just too lazy to hit them finger by finger for their water supply.
    1. voyaka uh
      voyaka uh 24 June 2018 10: 16
      +1
      That's right. Water must be saved and protected.
      Then her Indians will be enough. Separately, supply water - less purified - to agriculture, separately - well-purified and / or desalinated - for drinking. Drinking water can even be extracted from air in the desert - condensate.
      There are patents.
      1. marshes
        marshes 24 June 2018 10: 23
        +1
        Quote: voyaka uh
        Drinking water can even be extracted from desert air - condensate. There are patents.

        I read about it, I figured it out on the account of Kazakhstan, if this method was used to extract water in the semi-desert-steppe regions. But then, perhaps, the rainfall in our foothill regions may drop. Or, etc. ... along a mountain range from north to south, rivers can generally become shallow.
        1. voyaka uh
          voyaka uh 24 June 2018 10: 28
          +1
          The Bedouin’s drinking water can be used in these ways.
          families in remote camps. For the point of geologists, for example, separate houses. But not villages, of course.
          I don’t think that this can damage the whole ecological balance.
          1. marshes
            marshes 24 June 2018 10: 35
            0
            Quote: voyaka uh
            Such methods can provide Bedouin families with drinking water in remote camps. For the point of geologists, for example, separate houses. But not villages, of course. I don’t think that this can damage the whole ecological balance.

            But we love the scope, they can even dry everything.
            And so the supply of clean drinking water, not large settlements will go. But in the morning there are a lot of Rossi in the steppe, until the month of July.
            1. voyaka uh
              voyaka uh 24 June 2018 10: 42
              +1
              There the idea is very simple (you need to search the network).
              As I understand it, a small, specially shaped windmill somehow collects
              Condensate itself on the blades so that water drains dropwise into a bottle (container) buried in sand (into the ground). For night-morning you can collect a full bottle. And the water is clean. good
              1. marshes
                marshes 24 June 2018 10: 54
                0
                Quote: voyaka uh
                There, the idea is very simple (you need to search the network). As I understand it, a small, specially shaped windmill somehow collects the condensate on its blades so that the water flows dropwise into a bottle (container) buried in sand (in the ground). For night-morning you can collect a full bottle. And the water is clean.

                I came across a rather large installation, which of course takes up a lot of space, almost a whole station. Where the already extracted water is circulated in a refrigerated form as a refrigerant in the system.
                I’m sorry that I can’t communicate anymore, my mother’s birthday
  14. Sands Careers General
    Sands Careers General 24 June 2018 11: 15
    +1
    But distilled water using solar energy to extract the mind is not enough?