EU change on the eastern front

While the world community is closely following the smoothly inflaming German-French-American conflict, which can put an end to the further prospects of cooperation between these countries, the processes occurring on the "eastern front" of Europe are being overlooked.

From January to April, the Polish government took a huge number of steps to strengthen its position in Eastern Europe. As part of the confrontation between Brussels and the migration crisis, the forced further rapprochement of the Visegrad Group (Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia) continued; Poland, finally, has established a dialogue with Lithuania and has actually taken Lithuania into its orbit of influence.

On the eve of and throughout almost the entire first half of 2018, Poland and its situational partners (it is still too early to call these countries allies, although this word will soon be relevant to them) began to be implemented and are already implementing their unofficial secret project, the essence of which is creating a political, economic and logistic space in Eastern Europe.

Thus, within the framework of the Polish-Lithuanian dialogue, a whole range of problems was solved: from the tasks of the Lithuanian power industry to the creation of an inter-parliamentary group between the two countries. It was also announced that the construction of the Warsaw-Kaunas-Riga-Tallinn highway is entering the final phase, and the gas pipeline laid by a similar route will be commissioned in 2021, and Lithuania and Latvia have already agreed to buy gas from Poland.

Warsaw was also able to beat Brussels on one of the most important Baltic issues - shutting down the Ignalina NPP. Recall that the EU in the 2009 year demanded that Lithuania turn off the nuclear power plant and buy electricity from Poland, promising to keep the same electricity tariffs. However, due to the emerging rapprochement of the Baltic countries with Poland in the framework of the project “between the seas”, Brussels began to curtail funding for the decommissioning of a nuclear power plant. Naturally, Lithuania simply didn’t physically (and never will) have its own funds to perform such a complex task, and that’s just what Poland decided.

In addition, it is precisely thanks to the solution of the problem of nuclear power plants that Poland has found allies in the struggle with its closest competitor in the matter of selling electricity - Belarus. (At the moment, not far from the border with Lithuania, Belarus is completing the construction of its nuclear power plant, against which Poland, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia are very actively protesting.)

The Baltic countries that came first under the budget cuts in the spring of 2017, officially due to British withdrawal from the EU, and later last winter to reduce the ardor of rapprochement with Poland, according to the European Commission, the 2017% of EU subsidies were outdated.

Today they again fall under the “hot hand” because of the confrontation between Brussels and Warsaw. In the last days of May, the European Union officially announced a cut in funding from Eastern Europe by more than 30 billion euros.

And if up to this point the Baltic countries depended on Poland only half, that is energetically, and economically from Brussels, since the EU’s wallet paid off nuclear power plants, transport and integration projects, then after the first quarter of 2018, for example, Lithuania, financing which was greatly curtailed, it began to depend almost entirely on Poland.

Although the “main blow” of Brussels falls, for obvious reasons, of course, on Poland and Hungary (due to active Euroscepticism and confrontation with the EU’s common position), they are estimated to miss 23% of funding (approximately EUR 19,5 billion), financing of the Czech Republic, Lithuania and Estonia (it’s interesting that there is almost no talk of Latvia) will be reduced by 24%.

Therefore, already on June 1, a meeting of the foreign ministers of Poland, Latvia, Estonia, Hungary and the Czech Republic took place. True, the outcome of the meeting is still unknown, but it is worth assuming that a unified position and plan of action was developed.

It must be said that all EU actions in the direction of the struggle against Poland (talk of sanctions, cuts in funding, and so on) were at first like a threat, and later like some ridiculous attempt to curb a player who had gone out of control. The result of this struggle was the strengthening of the position of Warsaw in the Baltic States, the rapprochement of Hungary, the Czech Republic and Poland, but, most importantly, the discrediting of Brussels in the eyes of the "Eastern European bloc."

But the most ridiculous thing is that Brussels continues to act just as stupidly - to put pressure economically, without going over to tough political actions, hoping that Eastern European countries will come to their senses.

However, it is clear that instead of a reverse turn towards the EU, these countries are rallying. And it is precisely the lack of understanding or unwillingness to understand and accept in Brussels the fact that the failure of its Eastern European policy makes it possible for Poland (and yet) to get out of his control more than Poland and Hungary, and to a greater extent, the Czech Republic and the Baltic states, to a lesser extent. Stop this output can only be a hard political blow.

In addition, against the background of the confrontation between the Western and Eastern parts of the EU and the unconditional crisis of the western side, the East is launching an offensive. So, most recently Poland offered the United States to transfer its military base from Germany to its territory, moreover, Warsaw is ready to pay all costs (and this is about 2 billion euros). This step is aimed at shifting priorities in the deployment, and most importantly - the control of NATO troops in Europe. That is, simply put, Warsaw wants to become the main and only conductor (representative, guardian) of the European interests of the United States.

But the most interesting thing is that this proposal of the Polish side absolutely fits into the rhetoric taken by the US President in July 2017 of the year during his visit to Poland. Then Trump said that he would increase the military presence in Eastern Europe, while reducing it in Western. Therefore, if you look at Poland’s statement from the perspective of Trump’s promise a year ago, you can see that everything is moving clearly along a given vector.

In addition, it is worth noting that Poland, of course, staking on NATO in terms of its security, did not refuse to participate in the PESCO (Permanent Structured Cooperation, Permanent Structured Cooperation), to put it simply, in creating a European army (although the “army” is very loud said).

The United States deliberately made a bet on Eastern Europe as a much more docile and profitable in the military and resource plan, largely because of its geographical position, allowing influence both on the West and on the East, and, most importantly, not yet tired for the past decades from US hegemony.

If you look at the problem as a whole, and at the differences between Germany, France and the USA, and the large “chess game” in the eastern part of Europe, you will notice that the situation with the beginning of the trade war between the US and the EU is completely ridiculous, the appearance of the first signs of a conflict between Merkel and Macron, the daring behavior of Poland and her all-in game do not seem so groundless, and most importantly, spontaneous and ill-conceived.
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  1. +1
    7 June 2018 05: 43
    Having read to the end (required), I understood the main conclusion that the author kindly provided to his readers: the World behind the scenes rules!
    1. +2
      7 June 2018 06: 00
      Poles got a slap from the EU and began to look for another sponsor
  2. +4
    7 June 2018 06: 53
    Poland, being a member of the EU, acts as an inveterate provocateur against those who subsidize it. Given that EU financial assistance to Poland will soon cease, the latter decided to kill two birds with one stone - to enter into conflict with the backbone of the EU for the sake of the Americans and quietly solve their problems of “leading” at least the eastern part of Europe. But, something suggests the loss of the Poles in this combination and the loss of even what was acquired by "overwork". And in the history of Poland, this has already happened more than once.
    1. +1
      7 June 2018 08: 43
      Quote: rotmistr60
      ....., something suggests the loss of the Poles in this combination and the loss of even what was acquired by "overwork". And in the history of Poland, this has already happened more than once.
      Somehow it reminded of the avid gamblers. "To lose everything and start again without regretting ....." but only in contrast to Kipling's words, then sobs-misery will begin.
      1. +1
        7 June 2018 11: 08
        Quote: Reptiloid
        in the history of Poland, this has already happened more than once.

        Such Polish history is replete with attempts to fuck everyone and everything, always ended in failure.
        A quarter of a century ago, old Europe realized that the weak eastern countries are being pushed into the EU and NATO by amers to represent Amer’s interests there - which we are now observing. When the Germans are interested, all this will bother ...
  3. +1
    7 June 2018 06: 59
    Poland and the "Baltic tigers" have long been described by R. Kipling: "Jackal Tabaki"
  4. +1
    7 June 2018 06: 59
    Hooray have arrived. Everything is much simpler: Poland perfectly remembers the 3 previous sections that were caused by its confrontation between Germany, Austria-Hungary, Prussia and Russia, and now, in conditions of extremely tough confrontation with Russia and an increasing confrontation with Germany, it seeks protection and guarantees from the next section . Poland chose the United States as its defender, for which such a position of Poland is an excellent way to put pressure on Russia and Germany. It’s another matter that it is extremely doubtful that the Americans will defend Poland from another division if its confrontation with Germany and Russia reaches the last point, after which another victory over Poland will loom, because this is not in the tradition of amers.
    1. 0
      7 June 2018 11: 14
      And besides, dynamically developing Poland is dissatisfied with its position "on secondary roles." The Prime Minister of Poland a year ago explicitly stated that with Britain leaving the EU, Poland is obliged to take its place at the top of the most developed EU countries, to which Germany and Brussels received an ironic answer in the sense that the “Young Europeans” have nothing to expect at all the closest entry into the "top" of the EU countries. This answer extremely angered the Poles who consider themselves to be one of the oldest European nations to create their own statehood and not only them, and therefore, the Poles themselves began to put together their "circle of interest" with the Balts and other Young Europeans. However, the ambition of the Poles did not allow them to win over Czechs and Hungarians who generally try to distance themselves from any “alliances” within the EU. Let's see what happens in the future, but the extravagant Poles are unlikely to get along with anyone ...
  5. +1
    7 June 2018 07: 36
    and the gas pipeline laid by a similar route will be commissioned in 2021, and Lithuania and Latvia have already agreed to buy gas from Poland
    .. It turns out Poland, a major supplier of gas ... wink
    1. +1
      7 June 2018 08: 35
      Quote: parusnik
      .. It turns out Poland, a major supplier of gas ... wink

      To undress, to shoe, to undress, how else to deal with suckers? For money to breed or for feelings? How to peel sticky?
    2. +1
      7 June 2018 09: 53
      Quote: parusnik
      Turns out Poland, a major gas supplier

      He also drew attention))) He reminded me of a friend (they lived in a hostel), he bought a glass of smoking dill, mixed with some other grass, packed it up in smaller doses and sold it with fat ...
  6. +2
    7 June 2018 08: 11
    Poles, Hungarians, Czechs are now actively operating in Ukraine. Skilled out qualified personnel and talented youth. And already from schools from the 9th grade. Actively distributing outsourcing documents to Foxdeutsche: all kinds of Pole cards, passports, etc.
    - Who are you?
    -What can you prove?
    Mom swear!
  7. +1
    7 June 2018 10: 17
    Maybe it's for the best. These countries will not be able to maintain the standard of living set by the EU without the help of “old Europe”. The United States is unlikely to finance all this fraternity at a sufficient level. Accordingly, their block will also begin to break with contradictions.
  8. 0
    7 June 2018 10: 43
    Balts are economically dependent on the sub-region?
  9. +3
    7 June 2018 11: 07
    Great! Sumptuously! Awesome !!!
    Many thanks to the author for this article!
    Although neither the author of the article, nor any of the readers understood that the main thing is economics, not politics at all! Indeed, to this day Poland has boasted to Russia of its high standard of living, actually obtained only through loans from the EU!
    And only now, these loans are being seriously cut back, and in the coming year, they will all come to naught! And since 2020, all these Eastern European countries should begin to pay debts to the European Union in general - then fun will begin! Then they will dig the earth and beat their heads on the floor, in search of money! And maybe they’ll crawl to Russia on their knees ...
    And the point is that since June 1, these countries have reduced the flow of money by 24% - this is actually a very strong blow, much stronger than any policy! But few people understand this, because this pot of porridge (that is, Eastern European countries) has just been put on fire - but when the water in it boils, then they will howl, and it will happen very soon!
  10. 0
    7 June 2018 14: 39
    Poor / poor EU countries straying in kuyau richer still will not.
  11. 0
    7 June 2018 20: 53
    The planned merino base in Poland will be in the reach of the Iskander?

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