The power is soft, and the gas ax

32
Recently it has become very fashionable to talk about soft power. And frankly, there are enough reasons: Americans repeatedly force us into a puddle in the post-Soviet space with their soft power, and we still cannot learn to use it at least here, in our half of the field.





On the other hand, these conversations are somehow very monotonous. And they usually boil down to the fact that we are not paying those, not feeding them and feeding them up, putting the wrong elites, and in general, it seems, all the trillions that we spend on this business are being plundered. And partly all this, of course, is true. But both experts and analysts constantly lose sight of one major factor, without which all these cash injections do not work.

Alas, but these conclusions have one common flaw: soft power is not based on money, but on the internal attractiveness of the project, which is behind them. And money plays only the role of a catalyst, or, even closer, yeast. Yes, it is the yeast: abandoned in a rich nutrient medium, they are able to cook even a mash in a short time, even from a rural dwelling to make a small mud volcano. And the last comparison, sadly, is best suited to what we have been seeing in Ukraine for four years.

And throw the yeast into distilled water, and you will not get any result, only you will ruin the water and you will remain without a pack of yeast. And that is what we, unfortunately, are seeing now in the post-Soviet space, where all our efforts for some reason do not give the desired result. Any soft power needs to be supported by a little real power.

Moreover, if you really put your hand on your heart, you will need to recognize: our attractiveness, often has negative values. And no matter how much we talk about bloating an elephant out of a fly and the conscious formation of a negative image of Russia, the harsh truth is that we give enough reason to be skeptical about the image of today's Russia. This is corruption, and extremely low rates of economic growth, and dependence on energy exports (high prices for which our enemies explain any of our successes), and high crime, and the irresponsibility of our government, and much more that does not look the best against Western countries.

And what about the West, you say? And he, unfortunately for us, has not yet lost that romantic attractive halo, which he is the main engine of the expansion of NATO, the European Union, expansion into the post-Soviet space, and so on.

Let us recall: what does the average Ukrainian inhabitant know about Europe? A little bit really. And very often he does not know, but he thinks he knows. But in this case it’s the same thing.

And he knows about freedom, which is “better than freedom”, about a Schengen visa, with which you can visit all of Europe, and in most other countries of the world it will be a good pass. They know about “a hundred thousand milen” unemployment benefits, receiving which the average Ukrainian can lie on the sofa for the rest of his life, spit at the ceiling and talk about backward, lapotnoy Russia.

I once again draw your attention: it is not so important which of the above is the truth and what is the myth. Myths, after all, are also a terrible force: they destroyed tsarist Russia, made Hitler believe a blitzkrieg in the East, and then, after a few decades, the USSR itself was torn to pieces. And believe me, a Ukrainian who dreams of a European salary or unemployment benefit is an excellent tool for any kind of manipulation. Yes, and you can do a lot with such a tool, since at any moment he is ready to get up from the couch and go to the Maidan.

It is the attractiveness of these myths that is the main breeding ground for the American billions invested in various anti-Russian projects throughout the post-Soviet space. And what to go far: a lot has also been invested in Russia, and we also have a layer of people who are ready to betray their homeland for the sake of jamon and other attributes of the food indication of exclusiveness. These "yeasts" work well precisely because the needy has not been cleansed for a long time, and the degree of envy, resentment, discontent is high enough for fermentation.

You will say that you need to fight these myths and expose Western problems and shortcomings. And you try. Just remember first that one of the first actions of the American occupation administration in Kiev was a ban on broadcasting Russian TV channels. Then they chopped off and access to a variety of Russian sites, leaving Aboriginal people one-on-one with propagandists from the colonial administration.

And these experts are well known. And they understand the importance of the smooth formation of an information agenda, perhaps, many times better than us. For example, I can recall my recent article on “VO”, in which I tried to substantiate the need for national sovereignty in runet. Oh, what a tantrum began in the comments! And nothing surprising: the question is critically important, and it will be more terrible for Americans than the Russian aircraft carriers and the Crimean bridge.

Therefore, let us first get rid of the illusions that we will be allowed to conduct some large-scale propaganda work in the territory under the control of pro-American forces. Will not allow. Moreover, even the only major Russian TV channel Russia Today is increasingly tightening the screws, restricting broadcasting on American or European territory and constantly provoke various scandals that could undermine confidence in the channel.

So, we, by and large, have only two paths left.

The first is to get rid of internal problems and shortcomings, to become more attractive and interesting. And here I would like to recall the words of such an unpopular Chechen politician as Aslan Maskhadov. Once in a conversation with some journalist, he said: “The Russians have come to Chechnya to restore order. You would have put things in order in Moscow first! ”No, I don’t argue with the fact that we should have come there. But still, there is some truth in these words, if we recall what was going on in Russia itself.

But you need to understand that this is a very long way. And if you follow only him, then by the time when we become attractive enough, on the border of Russia, in Kharkov, Minsk, Guryev and Ust-Kamenogorsk, there will already be American military bases that will never leave the occupied positions without good will. So, “we did everything right”, and we must sometimes compensate for the lack of soft power by polite inflexibility.

The second path is also not easy. But potentially no less effective. We simply must stop contributing to the strengthening of the European Union. Moreover, we are obliged to use each occasion in order to strengthen and exacerbate the internal contradictions in it, play on European problems and bring closer the moment when this bloated balloon will finally deafeningly burst.

That is, we need not to repeat the “mantra” about Americans who want to squeeze us out of the European gas market, but to use any excuse to cut off EU gas supplies before Brussels provides at least some intelligible alternative to our gas. And in addition, to impose European exports to Russia on import duties, 25 percent for every fascist state that has joined the EU or associated with it.

And if the EU survives in its present form, then at least it will not hurt us so much: even if it’s not with our money they will pay subsidies to the Baltic and Ukrainian fascists, it will be easier.

But if you talk sensibly, even now, with full loyalty to Russia, things are not going well for Brussels. He would now have a gas ax in his back so that he would not suffer ...

And then our soft power will immediately become tough.

And then it will be possible to talk about the effectiveness of the use of our billions in the post-Soviet space.
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32 comments
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  1. +10
    5 June 2018 05: 25
    The strange title of the article ... No analytics. The author compares the money with a yeast a bit confusing concepts. Gas is money, it is transported and accumulated Energy! We are now like savages who exchange Energy for Beads !! The paradox is that if Russia did not pursue an increase in supplies, but would follow the path of industrial and social development, then the United States would now turn into a gas station fighting for this title with Qatar and others
    1. dSK
      +5
      5 June 2018 05: 48
      Quote: aybolyt678
      Russia did not pursue an increase in supplies, but would follow the path of industrial and social development,
      To do this, it is necessary to process oil and gas more. Each subsequent redistribution increases the cost of the product exponentially.
      Unfortunately, in the new government, the "accountant" Siluanov was promoted. He acts easier for him - the maximum sale of raw materials, "raw" products. And buying into Kudrin’s pillow $, as the most liquid. There are very few production workers in the new government.
      1. dSK
        +3
        5 June 2018 06: 07
        Quote: Victor Kuzovkov
        the need for national sovereignty in runet.
        long "overripe", we are watered with "slop" promote their interests all and sundry. They left Medinsky at his post - he increased the attendance of theaters, but the fact that the propaganda of blue, pink and other "flowers" increased while nobody cares - "money does not smell."
      2. dSK
        0
        5 June 2018 11: 25
        Quote from dsk
        it is necessary to process oil and gas more.

        According to the management of Rosneft, the oil refining economy in the Russian Federation is now experiencing additional pressure as a result of excessive tax burden, which entails significant losses for the refinery. According to the company, the losses of oil refiners reach 3000 rubles per ton of diesel fuel and 7000 rubles per ton of AI-92 gasoline. It is noted that the company Rosneft has repeatedly sent proposals to the federal executive bodies on tax incentives for oil refining. (RBC 05/06/18)
        Sechin, when he was vice-premier, was supported by the Ministry of Finance, "went to production", became an oilman and the position changed.
      3. 0
        5 June 2018 11: 54
        Oil and gas processing in Russia is intensively engaged. And what do you suggest selling instead of these products?
        1. 0
          5 June 2018 12: 03
          Not instead, but together .. Machine tools, industrial equipment, machines, and a lot of useful things can be done. And when you did it ..
          Quote: Victor N
          Oil and gas processing in Russia is intensively engaged. And what do you suggest selling instead of these products?
          1. 0
            5 June 2018 18: 08
            These are our desires. But in fact, few of the high-tech ones are BUYING there. To produce is difficult, but to sell is even more difficult. We have the right to blame only ourselves - WE are poorly able to produce and sell high-quality and competitive products. By the way, gas and oil are also not easy to sell, but it started to turn out! But it is not customary for us to thank these successful sellers - to the "oligarchs" and to mother ...
            But how cool it is in the winter - they liquefied US liquefied gas!
            I am convinced: you need to be more respectful to entrepreneurs in various fields! Achievements themselves do not grow, after them specific people worthy of respect, admiration, and gratitude.
            1. dSK
              0
              5 June 2018 23: 08
              Quote: Victor N
              Achievements themselves do not grow, after them specific people worthy of respect, admiration, and gratitude.
              Two hands for!
              The Rosneft Company has repeatedly sent proposals to the federal executive bodies on tax incentives for oil refining. "(RBC 05/06/18)
              Rosneft is constantly increasing refining, all oil companies have realized that reduce oil exports, for price retention (OPEC agreement), while without reducing oil productioncan only increasing deep processing of "surplus". But the modern tax system of Russia "stimulates" the export of "crude" oil. Rosneft is trying to solve this problem.
    2. +1
      5 June 2018 08: 09
      Well, where, where a lot of "catalyst" for yeast is known to all. But is it worth dealing with this substance? lol
    3. +1
      5 June 2018 11: 45
      Quote: aybolyt678
      The strange title of the article ... No analytics. The author compares the money with a yeast a bit confusing concepts. Gas is money, it is transported and accumulated Energy! We are now like savages who exchange Energy for Beads !! The paradox is that if Russia did not pursue an increase in supplies, but would follow the path of industrial and social development, then the United States would now turn into a gas station fighting for this title with Qatar and others

      I’m not quite sure that your recipe is better than the original one.
      Firstly, we are not savages and we do not exchange oil and gas for beads. Following your logic, Americans, Norwegians and Qatari are savages like us, because they are also interested in selling their energy resources to the EU countries and are fighting for this decency with us and don't give a damn about everything.
      Secondly, building an industrial and social society in a country is not possible without money, and money is earned, including in such an ancient way as selling goods abroad. We did not invent the wheel here and act as our predecessors acted, including Ancient Russia, the Russian Empire and the USSR.
      Now there are no fresh and not hackneyed ideas, but all some kind of projections and fantasies.
      1. +3
        5 June 2018 21: 30
        "gas ax" is actually an unpredictable thing
  2. +6
    5 June 2018 06: 32
    A gas ax, and even in the back - is this the modern Russian style of doing business? This is more like Ukraine, which loves to sneak up from behind. The author was dreaming somewhere wrong.
    As for all the European "attractions" and the image of today's Russia: in my opinion, there is only one difference. In mass benefits for the unemployed, which for this benefit can really lie on the couch and spit on the ceiling. There are no such benefits in Russia. And Russia automatically becomes unattractive for many loafers.
    And all the rest of the above - ".. and corruption, and extremely low rates of economic growth, and dependence on energy exports (high prices for which our enemies explain any of our successes), and high crime, and the irresponsibility of our government, and much more .. "- this is petty nitpicking. Both the EU and the USA, and all other countries of our small planet, suffer exactly the same shortcomings. And besides, even in the USSR, these shortcomings existed, but it was not customary to talk about them. And in the countries of the former socialist bloc, in the former Soviet republics, there is a lot of corruption, the level of economic development is much lower than in Russia, crime, weakness of power, etc. Russia against their background is a model of development, power and responsibility.
    In general, modern Russia is a very attractive image. It's just that people have some inertia in their estimates of reality.
    1. 0
      5 June 2018 12: 06
      Quote: mari.inet
      In general, modern Russia is a very attractive image. It's just that people have some inertia in their estimates of reality.

      I like your mood. Unfortunately, the author does not have enough of such a positive, probably got up on the wrong foot.
  3. +3
    5 June 2018 06: 34
    We simply must stop contributing to the strengthening of the European Union
    Will not work. In an interview with the Austrian media, the president clearly said yesterday that we are for a strong Europe and 40% of our gold reserves in euros. So a simple citizen has to scratch his turnips - do we need to support our direct enemies expecting that they will finally come to their senses and run to "make friends" with Russia.
    1. +1
      5 June 2018 08: 34
      Quote: rotmistr60
      But do we need to support our direct enemies

      Our first enemy - the United States, Europe - their allies and loyal subjects, the United States is interested in having subjects under their heels. But recently, some from under the heel begins to cast a weak voice. I think about a strong Europe, the president really wants to strengthen it in order to rock their boat, to strengthen internal contradictions between the EU and the USA. If we manage to bring discord to the west, this is only to our advantage.
    2. 0
      5 June 2018 11: 54
      Quote: rotmistr60
      In an interview with the Austrian media, the president clearly said yesterday that we are for a strong Europe and 40% of our gold reserves in euros.

      It was a joke, so don't be upset. Vladimir Vladimirovich, as a real scout, knows how to get his interlocutor to himself having a completely different plan for the future construction of Europe.
      1. +3
        5 June 2018 19: 54
        In fact, gold reserves can only be in gold. The purpose of the gold reserve is to provide the national currency with an equivalent value.
  4. +2
    5 June 2018 06: 34
    We simply must stop contributing to the strengthening of the European Union. Moreover, we must use every occasion to strengthen and aggravate internal contradictions in it, play on European problems and bring closer the moment when this bloated balloon finally bursts deafeningly
    Just had breakfast and watched an interview with the Austrian GDP - We are NOT interested in a weak EU. Further I will not continue, to whom it is interesting - the full text can google.
    the attractiveness of these myths is the main breeding ground for the American billions invested in various anti-Russian projects throughout the post-Soviet space
    As far as I can remember, there’s so much a song with a refrain:
    Oh West! Not sweat, but smell
    Not women, but the fairy tale of the Brothers Grimm,
    Martini mini bikini
    And pleasure, eternal, like Rome. ©

    In this regard, Viktor Kuznetsov is right!
  5. +3
    5 June 2018 06: 48
    The situation is now funny with what Russia is selling in the EU — it is forced to do everything itself so that the buyer does not refuse to supply its energy resources. Everything is turned upside down — not the buyer is looking for a seller and is bargaining about the price with him, and the seller catches the buyer humiliatingly begging- "well, buy from me, buy .... I’ll sell everything to you for cheap, just buy it!"
    1. +2
      5 June 2018 07: 10
      Quote: Snail N9
      Everything is turned upside down — not the buyer is looking for a seller and is bargaining about the price with him, and the seller catches the buyer humiliatingly by the hand- "well, buy from me, buy .... I’ll sell everything to you for cheap, just buy it!

      Well, what a complete nonsense to write ...
      Tell us then, for symmetry, how the States "promote" their LNG in the Yaropa ... if there is enough word to tie the word.
    2. +1
      5 June 2018 09: 29
      Snail №9
      In many respects you are right. Trade should not be unprofitable. But you did not take into account one rule, money should
      work, and as quickly as possible. No wonder in America there is a saying "a good seller can sell
      even an Eskimo’s refrigerator. "
  6. +8
    5 June 2018 07: 03
    Stunned, these are the calculations! I’m embarrassed to ask, and if you stop gas exports to the EU, as the author suggests, what kind of free billions will be discussed? I already speak of numerous lawsuits against the supplier, forfeits, seizure of property in connection with the violation of contracts and other not very significant, according to the author, the consequences of such a step. And what will the author eat, which cars to drive, which computer to stick into in case of taxation - barrage, by the way - all EU products? Do not forget that for all its beauty and incredible analytical abilities, the author uses in everyday life equipment that is either directly produced in the West or components from there.
    Fantasy must be limited.
    1. +1
      5 June 2018 11: 58
      Quote: inkass_98
      Fantasy must be limited.

      Do you like limited people ??? and now turn on your imagination and imagine that everything in the USSR was decisively everything from a light bulb to a cash register. In those days there were no automatic factories and bolts and nuts were sharpened on machines by hand, however, all that was produced was produced in such volumes! that the prime cost was minimal, and there was no demand due to an oversupply of the market. With modern technologies (if we had them), yes, to return a lot of the lost social achievements - we would be ahead of the rest, without any GAS !!!!
      1. +1
        5 June 2018 14: 14
        Quote: aybolyt678
        now turn on the fantasy and imagine

        Do not worry so much. I know what was produced in the USSR and what was not, I even have a Soviet-made bulb in the country (it works).
        For example, many machines were purchased abroad. Production lines, industrial robots, etc., are also from there. "Gas in exchange for pipes" does not need to be reminded what it was?
        But now the reality is that the Russian Federation in the conditions of complete self-isolation is unlikely to survive, no matter how individual pseudo-patriots would like it to be. And if he survives, then he will surely envy even the current affluence, which is not very fat.
        And I did not write about fantasies regarding the limitations of the personality itself, but that we must really look at things and not invent a spherical horse in a vacuum.
        1. 0
          5 June 2018 14: 47
          Quote: inkass_98
          But now the reality is that the Russian Federation in conditions of complete self-isolation is unlikely to survive, no matter how individual pseudo-patriots would like

          Full self-isolation conditions are not required. it is quite simple to return the state ideology and give it legal force.
  7. +2
    5 June 2018 07: 47
    The power is soft, and the gas ax

    - Will you beat?
    - No.
    - And what?
    - Conduct outreach ...
    - Shurik, this is not our method ...
  8. +1
    5 June 2018 09: 37
    While the trade war that the United States has begun is not the time to swing its axes, either soft or hard, it is necessary to use the contradictions between the United States and the rest of the world for their own purposes.
  9. +1
    5 June 2018 10: 52
    Quote: aybolyt678
    No analysis, the author compares money with yeast a little confusing concepts. Gas is the money, it is transported and accumulated energy! We are now like savages who change energy for beads !! The paradox is that if Russia did not pursue an increase in supplies, but would follow the path of industrial and social development, now the United States would turn into a country gas station fighting for this title with Qatar and others

    ------------------------------
    The author is right, he just did not develop all of his theses, but he outlined the problems correctly. Unfortunately, we will not be able to stick a “gas ax”, because we have this ax also as a breadwinner.
    1. 0
      5 June 2018 16: 57
      Quote: Altona
      Quote: aybolyt678
      No analysis, the author compares money with yeast a little confusing concepts. Gas is the money, it is transported and accumulated energy! We are now like savages who change energy for beads !! The paradox is that if Russia did not pursue an increase in supplies, but would follow the path of industrial and social development, now the United States would turn into a country gas station fighting for this title with Qatar and others

      ------------------------------
      The author is right, he just did not develop all of his theses, but he outlined the problems correctly. Unfortunately, we will not be able to stick a “gas ax”, because we have this ax also as a breadwinner.

      The fact is that all our gas imports cost about 40 billions. A lot, but not very much even for modern Russia. In the event of a crisis in the gas market, the price of oil will skip so that we will cover any losses from the cessation of gas exports. And ideally, it would be better to transfer oil to sell oil for rubles, then at least the euro is at a hooter, and even the dollar can fall four times.
      But we, alas, through a single oak cliché in my head. And to at least somehow overcome it, you need to write, write and write.
      What, in fact, do.
  10. +2
    5 June 2018 12: 25
    In general, a very true approach, but one does not exclude the other. In a propaganda war it is necessary to attack - they do not win the strategic defenses of the war. Censorship under the Constitution is forbidden, but it is possible to make a label of “foreign media” hang on the enemy’s propaganda, and you need to conduct yours at times more actively: from kindergarten to nursing home. So that children read our fairy tales and play in our heroes and pensioners understand what we, for example, do in Syria. We are working in this direction, but prohibitively slowly ...
  11. 0
    6 June 2018 12: 35
    Soft power does not exist. Like an ax, there is no gas. "Energy superpower" is a raw material colony. The leaders of the raw material colony are objectively interested in ensuring that the buyer does not have problems. The problems of its population are solved by reducing its population.
  12. 0
    8 June 2018 10: 49
    The visit to Austria was excellent, in a warm and friendly atmosphere, we signed an agreement on gas supplies until 2040 on “mutually beneficial conditions”, we listened to music, talked about the dangers of sanctions and left us satisfied.

    And after negotiations with Putin, “Russia's great friend” Sebastian Kurtz made a statement to the press:

    From July 1, we will preside in the EU and will actively participate in the position of the European Union, we will support EU decisions, and, of course, sanctions.

    He advised that Moscow is not doing anything to implement the Minsk agreements. Austrian President Alexander van der Bellen spoke out even more harshly about maintaining sanctions against Russia ...

    Such a friendship ... We guaranteed a supply of inexpensive Russian gas until 2040, got a tool for bargaining with Germany and France, sold unilateral concessions for the Austrian business, and now you can declare Russia and Putin toxic again, vote to maintain sanctions.

    How is it in Austrian and, in general, in European.

    At the same time, Putin was “framed” by the Russians - they knew about the “friendly hysteria” arranged by the Russian media. It would be possible not to make public statements. In any case, do not make such sharp attacks immediately after the visit. No, no. Literally barked in the back to leaving Putin ...
    More recently, Bulgarian Prime Minister Boyko Borisov came to Russia, asked to turn the "Turkish Stream" to Bulgaria and finish building the nuclear power plant. The Bulgarians have no money, just as there is no conscience - Borisov returned to Bulgaria after an interview: Putin promised to turn the pipe on, finish the nuclear power plant, forgive debts, and we will vote for the extension of sanctions and Russia is a threat to Europe, and NATO needs to be strengthened.

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