Why is the West going to generously finance the Afghan army after 2014 of the year?
However, the Afghans obviously did not appreciate Obama’s promise. As soon as the plane of the American President took off to fly back to the States, the Taliban decided to demonstrate their vision of further relations with the Americans. This kind of demonstration was a series of terrorist attacks that occurred in the immediate vicinity of the so-called "Green Town", which is a complex of buildings of representative offices of various international organizations (including the UN). As a result of the explosions in Kabul, not a single citizen of a foreign country was hurt, but the number of dead and wounded Afghans, not counting suicide bombers, exceeded 20 people. This once again confirms the idea of the absolute futility of the entire Afghan operation by the US and NATO troops. Moreover, the Taliban movement not only did not disappear anywhere during the operation of the coalition forces, it also strengthened its position, and not only on Afghan territory. Recently, the Taliban have been increasingly proclaiming that they are ready to once again take power into their own hands throughout the country. And by and large, this power is in their hands now, because in Afghanistan, no one has long considered the current president, Hamid Karzai, as a person capable of establishing order in the country on his own. And the fact that the word “order” implies the West is completely incompatible with the fact that most Afghans loyal to the Taliban put this word into it.
More and more often, the words that the Taliban after the departure of the coalition forces from Afghanistan will once again take up their previous positions are heard, which means that during the operation of the US and NATO in this Central Asian country nothing has changed. Moreover, if the main American contingent leaves Afghanistan, then a tangible threat of total revenge from the Taliban is possible. The same Karzai may become one of the first victims of this revanchism, so today he has to maneuver, let's say, between two fires in order not to burn himself. One “bonfire” is the Western forces and Western interests, the other is the Taliban movement with their clear focus on power in the country.
That is why any meeting of Karzai with Western leaders for himself is quite a provocative thing. First, he needs to continue to beat out money from the USA and other countries of the North Atlantic Alliance with all his might, and, secondly, to try to show the population of the country that he does all this solely for the sake of the prosperity of Afghanistan.
The visit of Barack Obama confirmed the information that after 2014 of the year (the withdrawal of coalition troops from Afghanistan is scheduled for this year), the Americans, together with other “caring” states, will allocate billion dollars to 4 annually to equip and develop the national Afghan army. The whole question is, who will manage such solid means in the Islamic Republic? After all, 4 billion dollars - this is not a lot, a fifth of the total annual Afghan GDP. Many people who want to “develop” the Afghan army can reach out to such a feeder.
By the way, one cannot exclude the possibility of an excessive approach to the Western billions and those who are part of the Taliban today. The situation may look like this: the Taliban may well get access to the funds allocated through the same Karzai. This will be a clear offer that Karzai will not be able to refuse. In this regard, you can imagine what the Afghan army will turn into due to generous funding from abroad. It will be possible to forget about the struggle and counteraction of the Taliban once and for all, because it is impossible to fight with what this army will be part of. Moreover, newly-minted military formations can actively use the funds allocated for them to fight the same Americans. True, it is far from the United States from Afghanistan, but close, for example, to the Central Asian republics, where these formations can turn around if it suddenly seems a little to the Afghan territory.
It turns out that the American financing of the Afghan army is more like not a real stabilization of the situation in the country, but rather some deliberate provocation to arrange a new uncontrolled boiler in Central Asia. For natural reasons, it is clearly not in the interests of Russia to receive hotbeds of instability from its southern borders, and even on the basis of generous financial assistance from the West. And this assistance will by itself push the “Afghan army” out of its “offense” during the years of NATO’s stay in Afghanistan for anyone. Having washed their hands, the Americans are trying to pay off the Afghans, while at the same time giving the same Taliban a large field for revenge. By the way, such a move can be beneficial to the American authorities. The fact is that the activation of well-armed formations with a dubious status to the south of the Russian borders may cause the transfer of a substantial contingent of the Russian army to the southern border regions, the activation of the CSTO forces in Central Asia. And if so, then the questions of the American EuroPRO for Russia may be relegated to the background. Therefore, the course with the annual 4 billion-dollar financing of those who are already ready to use these funds for their “own needs” is purely strategic. A move that is far from being aimed at stabilizing the situation in Afghanistan. Yes, and this stabilization today, in fact, matters is not beneficial to anyone except the neighbors of Afghanistan. Still would! - On the wave of incessant terrorist attacks, the same Karzai will ask for all new and new financial assistance from the West. The lion's share of this financial assistance can calmly settle in the treasury of the Taliban, and as a result - a new increase in the number of terrorist attacks, attacks and "interested" views over the Afghan border. A vicious circle that can play only a negative role for Russia.
Therefore, the Russian authorities already need to look for a way out of the situation that may arise in Afghanistan in a couple of years, and to look for a way out actively enough not to encounter really serious problems.
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