Military Review

Kim Jong-un smile? Or fanged grin?

21
Suddenly, the peaceful behavior of the DPRK leadership on the nuclear issue created the impression that many Kim Jong-un “succumbed” and agreed to “merge” his nuclear missile program. And the first who thought so were the Americans themselves. However, as it was already said here a month ago in the publication of “Slil” Kim Jong-un, his nuclear program or not? ”, The DPRK is clearly not inclined to take the slippery path of surrendering all positions. And the other day it was confirmed.




The Americans at Trump use the methods of diplomacy learned by Trump in the business, although they resemble the methods of fine-cut brothers in leather jackets from the 90's. The essence is simple: the “goof” is sought, who needs to be “milked”, “hitting” is carried out on him, if he “bends”, then they begin to “cut” and “shoe”. If the sucker turned out not to be a sucker and did not fall for primitive layouts and defiantly playing "volyny", and he also showed his own, with a larger caliber, then he is not a sucker, but a "clear kid" and should be left behind and look for the next. Such is the method of busting and they act. We ran consistently on the European NATO allies - it turned out, albeit partially, then to Russia and Syria - it didn’t work, to the DPRK - it didn’t work, now it’s not Iran either. Then, probably, they will find something like Venezuela or Cuba - they will try them "weakly". Or go to the second or third round.

And then suddenly, when all the methods of military-political pressure on the DPRK did not materialize, there were suddenly signals from Pyongyang about the readiness to curtail the nuclear missile program, and even after successful launches of ICBMs and a hydrogen explosion at half a megaton. They even agreed to close the test site, forgetting to mention that it still needs to be re-digged - after the hydrogen explosion (or with a tritium nuclear charge, according to a different version) of the explosion, advertisements collapsed. In addition, the rejection of further tests may be temporary, or else the DPRK from somewhere had the necessary volume of statistics on nuclear tests, to continue to develop only in subcritical experiments and supercomputer simulations - like all nuclear powers now. From where But who knows something? And who knows - will not say. But on 6, the statistics are definitely not tested, China and 45 did not have enough, and the French had more than 200.

In the United States, such a readiness for negotiations was perceived exactly as they should have been - as weakness and readiness for a “plum”, that is, they expressed what they wanted to be. And the weak need to be added, Trump knows this perfectly. And the progress on the part of Pyongyang was perceived solely as a victory for US policy, the result of the sanctions regime, military and military-political pressure, which supposedly frightened the DPRK leadership and forced it to capitulate. In general, the next "victory in the Cold War," followed by a rash.

So the United States began to put an ever-growing set of demands on the DPRK in exchange for the rather dubious idea of ​​denuclearizing Korea on its part. After all, the B-61 bombs taken out can always be returned back, if the storage facilities are not destroyed, and if they are destroyed, you can bring them temporarily. By the way, the deployment of tactical nuclear weapons in Korea is a violation of the ceasefire agreement in Korea signed after the Korean War. There is a ban on the deployment of new types of weapons, and the United States violated it in 1958 by placing the first nuclear weapons. North Korea from this Agreement came only 2 a year ago.

Yes, and the United States also has other nuclear weapons, albeit related to the SNF, they do not need to be in Korea for use in the DPRK. But the destroyed nuclear missile potential does not return quickly. Moreover, the fool Bolton went further and demanded the "Libyan" version of the DPRK denuclearization. And then Kim Jong-un quickly showed his teeth, explaining that the “young leader” was not holding such an uneasy country and its imperious top in the hands of such a difficult country — a dynasty but a weak one there would have been quickly devoured by generals and party members if he were avatar of Kim Il Sung himself.

The DPRK announced to begin with the abolition of the planned negotiations with South Korea, which were scheduled for 16 in May at the government level. The DPRK recalled that it did not promise anybody to give up its nuclear missile potential, but merely stated its “desire” to denuclearize the peninsula, which it confirmed during negotiations with South Korea. And that this process can only be phased and take ... well, in general, a very long time, until "when the cancer on the mountain whistles." Yes, and all these "aspirations" - the usual diplomatic chatter type of desire, say, to world peace. Summit with another Korea canceled on the basis of the Max Thunder 18 US-South Korean Air Force exercise - they are held with 2009. In 2018, they should take part around 100 combat aircraft, including X-NUMX F-8 fighters and strategic bombers B-22H . The DPRK Government Central Telegraph Agency (CTC) called the exercises "rehearsal for the invasion of the North" and a "blatant challenge to the Panmunjom Declaration and deliberate military provocation contrary to the positive political development on the Korean Peninsula," Pyongyang said in a statement. Although more recently, the Air Force held larger exercises, with the 52 aircraft of the two countries, and the DPRK were then treated with "understanding." And the large exercises of ground forces, which were postponed because of the Olympics, which began on April 320, also did not cause a sharp reaction of the DPRK at that time. Although at first the Americans hinted that the teachings of Foal Eagle and Key Resolve could be canceled this year, and then they did not cancel anything. Moreover, if we consider their quantitative parameters, they are even a bit larger than the exercises of the past year. In 1, 2017 thousands of troops participated in them. including 320 thousands of Americans, this year 15 thousands and among them 323 thousands of Americans, although the duration, which is usually 23 of the month, has been shortened. And their scenario also became less aggressive towards the DPRK, and the thesis of a "decapitating strike" was excluded. And now, such a reaction to the teachings of the Air Force - obviously, this is just a reason to be offended. Obviously, something from the US received through diplomatic channels turned out to be such an "obscene offer" that Pyongyang showed fangs from under a smile.

On May 16, North Korean First Deputy Foreign Minister Kim Ge Gwan made a statement to the press. It said something like the following.

"Chairman of the State Council of the DPRK, Comrade Kim Jong-un, made a strategic decision to end the evil stories relations between the DPRK and the United States, twice gave an audience to the US Secretary of State Pompeo, who paid a visit to our country, took really important and generous measures for peace and stability of the Korean Peninsula and the world. "


Although North Korea is extremely positive about Trump's intentions to reconcile and end hostility, but the country is extremely dissatisfied with the aggressive and stupid US rhetoric before the summit with the DPRK. She is annoyed by the rhetoric of a number of officials in the US administration, especially Bolton’s National Security Assistant (whom Koreans have recently called a “talker” if translated creatively). "We have long been clear about who Bolton is, and now we don’t hide our antipathy towards him," said the DPRK Deputy Foreign Minister.

The DPRK considers foolish and humiliating comparisons of this situation with Libya and Iraq, since the DPRK has nuclear weapons and delivery vehicles, and Libya was at the initial stage of development. And they are not satisfied with the requirements to go for the "Libyan version" of denuclearization. When at first it was required to surrender unconditionally, everything that had been worked out was handed over, and then, perhaps, mercy from the count would follow. North Korea reminds of the sad fate of Libya and Iraq, and doesn’t intend to be on the same footing with them.

Also, the DPRK considers foolish attempts to present the summit as a country’s refusal of nuclear weapons of any kind. Although he again declares “adherence to the idea” of denuclearization, but not a word about the missiles is said at all - Pyongyang is not going to discuss them.

The DPRK considers it foolish to attempt to bribe the country with different economic preferences in exchange for surrendering its positions, since the DPRK has always carried out development at its own expense and does not intend to change its policy. North Korea called the American policy "naive comedy" and accused Trump of following the actions of past administrations in the wake of the actions, he runs the risk of failing and becoming the most unlucky president of the United States.

Also, the DPRK offers the US to reconsider its approaches, otherwise the summit will not take place.

"If the Trump administration with sincerity to improve relations between the DPRK and the United States enters the summit of the DPRK and the United States, it will deserve our natural response. But if we are cornered and forced to abandon nuclear weapons, then we will no longer be interested such a dialogue. "


That is, the missile status is not discussed, not a word about it, the nuclear status can be discussed, but it is not intended to abandon it, at least if it is ready, then not soon and there once and then in stages. And in general, there are signals that Pyongyang is ready to stop producing new charges, but does not plan to abandon the accumulated and collected ones. Yes, and hardly agree to total control of its nuclear weapons industry. And Trump needs a summit much more than Kim needs. And on military pressure from the United States, Kim sneezed - they are not being carried out on Trump’s cheap wiring, “I send three carrier strike groups, shaking, a totalitarian puff ... but for some reason they all ran past Korea.” But in reality, in the United States, they are still aware of what threatens them with even limited conflict with North Korea. Which can turn into a war with the participation of the DPRK, South Korea, Japan, China, the United States, it is possible that the Russian Federation and several other countries.

And statements about the desire for peace and so on are just statements. The South and the North agreed with each other only about the streamlined formulation of the “striving for the complete denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula”, which was announced more than once, starting with the 1991 Denuclearization Declaration of the Year - and what, has something changed? The DPRK is the maximum that is ready to go on, it is on a compromise way of an integrated settlement, which should include the preservation of the DPRK's limited and controlled nuclear potential. And the United States is clearly not ready for this.

And about the "termination of hostile activity and the beginning of large-scale cooperation" the two Koreas also declared more than once - in 1991, 2000, 2007, and similar statements were also made with the United States under Kim Il Sung. But each time, the unsettled base issue — recognition of the DPRK and guaranteed provision of a peaceful environment for development — hampered.

Kim Jong-un at once and marked the position, and reassured those who dreamed of surrendering the DPRK at the mercy of a false winner. Yes, and put in a difficult position Trump. To whom it is not known what to do now - either Bolton should be put in place, or the summit itself should be rejected, or concessions made to Kim. At the same time, Trump has a difficult situation on other fronts - in Syria, from where you want to leave, and Russia can spoil something, and it is dangerous to aggravate. And with Iran, where the US went on about Israel’s provocateurs (and Trump himself’s own daughter and her son-in-law), which caused an increase in tensions in relations now with the EU. And with Russia, everything is difficult, and now also the Palestinian-Israeli issue. And then there is Kim Jong-un who does not want to behave, as they expect from him in Washington - as the native leader who lost the war, who came with a guilty head at the mercy of the winner.

There is something to be upset about Donald Trump and there is something to think about.
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  1. aszzz888
    aszzz888 17 May 2018 05: 57
    +5
    Do not ride the trump with a condachka to run into Comrade. Eun! laughing And the scheduled negotiations in Singapore can be covered with a copper basin ...
    1. Uncle lee
      Uncle lee 17 May 2018 06: 58
      +2
      There is something to be upset about Donald Trump and there is something to think about.
      Abidna, listen! And the ardor of Eun is a good little boy!
    2. Dam
      Dam 17 May 2018 14: 27
      +1
      So all this was immediately clear. Why do penguins have a conflict-free united Korean peninsula?
  2. sxfRipper
    sxfRipper 17 May 2018 06: 15
    +4
    DPRK first announced the cancellation of scheduled talks with South Korea
    It was on THIS that Trump counted. Why the hell grace on the Korean peninsula? Divide and rule!
  3. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 17 May 2018 06: 59
    +2
    Kim Jong-un has already shown the world how to talk with an "exceptional" country and how to put in place the over-arching "international gendarme". Therefore, it is clear that he will not fall for the tricks of the United States, even out of a simple reluctance to lose the political weight gained in a bitter struggle with them.
    1. Merold
      Merold 17 May 2018 07: 11
      0
      Quote: rotmistr60
      Kim Jong-un has already shown the world how to talk with an "exceptional" country and how to put in place the over-arching "international gendarme".

      Right Therefore, the United States immediately asked him to lift their sanctions, to throw steaks so as not to starve in exchange for the destruction of their nuclear weapons,
      1. rotmistr60
        rotmistr60 17 May 2018 07: 19
        +2
        Do you think you were very “witty” speaking out? Trump sat in a puddle and in the one that he organized himself. For your information, the DPRK is always under sanctions, for steaks (you even call a piece of meat in American) Koreans will not be sold. You yourself have been to the DPRK, have you seen what the country has become? Your admiration for the United States looms from comment to comment.
        1. Merold
          Merold 17 May 2018 20: 09
          0
          Quote: rotmistr60
          Your admiration for the United States looms from comment to comment.

          Did not notice. Will show?
          1. Merold
            Merold 18 May 2018 07: 08
            0
            Quote: Merold
            Quote: rotmistr60
            Your admiration for the United States looms from comment to comment.

            Did not notice. Will show?

            I knew that I would not show. lol
      2. Mstivoy
        Mstivoy 17 May 2018 09: 44
        0
        Especially for kneeling fans in front of the USA and big judges of steaks "That is, rocket status is not discussed, there is not a word about it, nuclear status can be discussed, but we don’t intend to abandon it"
  4. Mountain shooter
    Mountain shooter 17 May 2018 07: 53
    0
    Eun - well done! Well, Beijing’s “good dog” ... the Americans were clearly scared to "fight the DPRK" ... What has shown - the rhetoric in their performance will not turn into action. And all their strength lies in the omnipotence of the "dollar system" ... But this can even be leveled. Sanctions are dangerous for those who use dollars in payments (not only for them, but to a large extent) ... And here Russia and China are moving to the yuan, Iran and Europe - to the euro ... crying sanctions can also be turned into a “paper tiger”!
    1. Vladimir_R
      Vladimir_R 20 May 2018 23: 25
      0
      Quote: Mountain Shooter
      Eun - well done!


      I will take the liberty of recommending to you for reading the book "Escape from Camp No. 14", Blaine Harden. I assume that you will treat what you read as propaganda. Your right. But if at least the described by 1% corresponds to reality, then, I will quote from memory:

      "Probably the descendants will ask us the same question that they are asking now: why didn’t we bomb the Nazi Germany railway lines that led to concentration camps?"
  5. Rostislav
    Rostislav 17 May 2018 08: 36
    0
    There is something to be upset about Donald Trump and there is something to think about.

    Your words to God in the ears. Unfortunately, they think in the White House a little. In any case, there are no noticeable changes in the line of behavior in relation to the outside world - everywhere “communication” continues exclusively from the position of strength.
    1. Mstivoy
      Mstivoy 17 May 2018 09: 40
      0
      Time is working against the United States, so far they are treading water both in the Middle East and Korea, of course the United States would like an easy victory, but they took on an exorbitant burden of responsibility and therefore they are doomed to defeat as in a military confrontation, but soon time and economically.
      1. forty-eighth
        forty-eighth 17 May 2018 12: 09
        0
        Will the dollar crash soon?
        1. Mstivoy
          Mstivoy 17 May 2018 12: 20
          0
          No, soon the dollar will not collapse, in order for the dollar to collapse, a new economic system is needed (and they are already working on it) that will replace the dollar one, but the USA’s dreams will collapse to unleash a major military conflict in Eurasia in order to improve its economic and, consequently, political situation . The martial law of the United States will be precarious as long as Russia exists.
  6. Imobile
    Imobile 17 May 2018 14: 34
    0
    I would advise the author to read books on the Harvard school of negotiations. Firstly, I would understand what nonsense is writing, and secondly, that everything goes according to Trump's script. And most importantly, instead of a "fool", it is necessary to introduce "poker" with studying at schools and institutes. You cannot take Americans to bluff due to the fact that they have mastered this game and are always easy to bite the opponent.
  7. Kostadinov
    Kostadinov 17 May 2018 15: 26
    +1
    Quote: Merold
    Quote: rotmistr60
    Kim Jong-un has already shown the world how to talk with an "exceptional" country and how to put in place the over-arching "international gendarme".

    Right Therefore, the United States immediately asked him to lift their sanctions, to throw steaks so as not to starve in exchange for the destruction of their nuclear weapons,

    1. South Korea asked the DPRK not to interfere with the Olympics, the US asked the DPRK to destroy nuclear weapons, but most importantly, China asked the DPRK to sit at the negotiating table. But the DPRK never asked anything from the United States.
    2. As is well known from the global media, the inhabitants of the DPRK have already died of hunger many times, so that once more or less - there is no difference. Of course they (residents of the DPRK) have the ability to resurrect.
    3. The DPRK has already fulfilled China’s desire to stop nuclear testing and that’s quite enough to improve relations with China, which was the goal of the DPRK. They don’t need more.
    4. 6 nuclear power is not so small. At the beginning of the 21st century, one does not have to go all the way of other nuclear powers. India also had only 6 nuclear supplies, and Pakistan 5.
  8. Kostadinov
    Kostadinov 17 May 2018 15: 31
    0
    Quote: Imobile
    I would advise the author to read books on the Harvard school of negotiations. Firstly, I would understand what nonsense is writing, and secondly, that everything goes according to Trump's script. And most importantly, instead of a "fool", it is necessary to introduce "poker" with studying at schools and institutes. You cannot take Americans to bluff due to the fact that they have mastered this game and are always easy to bite the opponent.

    You can't take Americans to bluff. The whole problem with the DPRK is that they are not bluffing, and they themselves cannot be bluffed either. In the game with the United States, they have done more than the rest of the world.
  9. Paranoid50
    Paranoid50 17 May 2018 15: 45
    +1
    Everything is clear, on the shelves, as required. Adherents of the sect of "witnesses deflated Kim" can rest. hi
  10. Old26
    Old26 18 May 2018 15: 17
    0
    Quote: Kostadinov
    6 nuclear power is not so small. At the beginning of the 21st century, one does not have to go all the way of other nuclear powers. India also had only 6 nuclear supplies, and Pakistan 5.

    And the level of improvement of nuclear weapons they froze at precisely this level ...