This oxymoron belongs to the political scientist Dmitry Trenin, who in the program “The Right to Know!” Dmitry Kulikov said that only the “military war” with the West remained untapped, that is, in all other areas there is already a “non-military war”.
The latest report from the “non-military war”: The Financial Times, a respected global publication, published an article reflecting on the fact that Vladimir Putin “reflects on the restoration of relations with the West, since sanctions and growing international conflict impede the recovery of the Russian economy.” For this, Aleksey Kudrin, our patented Westerner, will receive a post in the presidential administration, namely, the post of presidential envoy on international economic cooperation, an anonymous Moscow official told FT. There are other similar articles in the world fake media (according to Donald Trump) on the general theme: “Putin is looking for a compromise with the West,” in other words, almost gives up.
Since the West has many “sleeping friends” in Moscow, information about the possible appointment of Kudrin may turn out to be true, but does it follow from this that Putin is seeking a compromise with the West? Recall the usual tactics of misinformation: a piece of false information is attached to true information, or a false conclusion is drawn from it. Misinformation is, as a rule, a half-truth, otherwise it would not be effective.
In his March 1 speech, Vladimir Putin in fact threatened the West with a nuclear fist of the latest strategic weapons, in response to the US missile defense bases being moved to the borders of Russia and "guided chaos" bridgeheads. And he unequivocally offered to discuss the issue of mutual strategic security: “We have not been heard before, listen now.”
The West responded almost immediately: provocations against Russia, one after another, fell, moreover, in the form of a casus belli, reasons for war by accusing Russia of using chemical weapons The “newcomer” in England was allegedly poisoned by Skripale, indulging in the use of chemical weapons by Bashar Assad in Eastern Guta, which was the reason for the immediate US missile attack on Syria before any investigation.
Russia exposes these provocations by all available means, but does not respond with its missile strikes, having drawn red lines for the US that our expensive provocateurs were afraid to cross in Syria. Putin is not responding harshly to these provocations, apparently, for the time being to keep the door open for the strategic containment talks that he proposed on March 1. It is clear that a serious escalation of tensions with the West will make them impossible in principle.
These provocations, as well as the fundamental accusations of Russia of attempting to "on the foundations of Western democracy," toughening the war of sanctions, suggest that the deep political bureau of American democracy is so far refusing the negotiations proposed by Putin. But in the world of fake media, there were publications that the West is making a mistake, isolating Russia from itself, that it is necessary to somehow please Russia, to give it some kind of status in Western democracy. On the other hand, these simple thoughts complement articles in the spirit of the FT that Putin "is looking for a compromise with the West." And they all bypass the question of the negotiations, which were officially proposed by Putin in his March 1 speech. And then what are these "expert opinions"?
Moreover, throwing an alleged insider on the appointment of Alexei Kudrin to the presidential administration, especially if it is true, the FT in fact makes it difficult for Putin because the tail is attributed to him in the form of a “compromise with the West”.
As explanations for the “compromise with the West”, many reasons have been invented for Putin, from the notorious “economic recovery”, although the Russian economy has not actually fallen to the problem of maintaining power after the 2024 year, that is, when the cancer whistles. But there is one real reason that may push Moscow to maintain relations with the West, at least at the existing level, for which Putin may need a figure of Alexei Kudrin.
For Moscow, it is important to preserve the stability of these relations until 2020, when the Power of Siberia gas pipelines to China and the Turkish Stream gas pipeline, and maybe the Nord Stream 2, will be put into operation in order to unleash the Ukrainian transit. In 2020, Russia will practically get rid of financial dependence on the West, by seriously reorienting energy supplies to the East.
In other words, Russia needs relations with the West, in principle, only before 2020, but the remaining time needs to be spent with minimal costs. When Russia begins to consistently receive revenues for energy from Eastern markets, the need for Western markets will drop sharply. Russia is preparing to leave these markets because it cannot maintain relations with the West at the same level, which speaks white to black and white to black easily, which has once again proved the Skripale case and chemical provocations in Syria and in general, there is a “non-military war” between us.
Although there is no blessing without good: the “non-military war” translated into open form the secret war of the West against Russia using its “sleeping friends”, which he activated with the advent of Vladimir Putin to power. And in this open form there are certain advantages for us: it became better to see these “sleeping friends”.
I remember Andrei Illarionov, also a patented Westernizer, from 2000 to 2005. Putin was an adviser on economic issues, then resigned for lack of demand and because Russia began to turn into a “corporate state”, he said. From the "sleeping" he went into a frank anti-Putin opposition, where he is well and languishing. This precedent talks about how Putin can use Alexei Kudrin.
"Non-war war" of Russia and the West
- Victor Kamenev