Military Review

New format of Ukrainian self-destruction

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So, Poroshenko made a long-announced change in the format of the punitive operation in the Donbas. Now, instead of the “anti-terrorist operation”, an operation by the United Forces of Ukraine (EP) is being conducted against the population of the people's republics, whose leadership has been transferred from the SSU to the APU.


New format of Ukrainian self-destruction


Kiev "innovation" has already received feedback on the other side of the front. So, the head of the representative office of the Donetsk People’s Republic at the Joint Center for Control and Coordination (STRC) of the cease-fire regime Ruslan Yakubov told RIA “News”That the change in the format of the operation of the Ukrainian security forces in the Donbass will not change the situation on the contact line and means continuing the course of attempting a military solution to the conflict.

A more detailed commentary on the change in the format of the punitive operation of the Kiev junta was presented to the media by the deputy commander of the operational command of the Armed Forces of the DPR, Eduard Basurin, who had time to get acquainted with the material on this issue collected by the republic's intelligence agencies.

According to Basurin, the beginning operation will consist of several stages. At the first, the DUS leadership will try to take the nationalist battalions under full control.

“As full participants in the conflict, armed formations of nationalists from such movements as Right Sector, UDA (banned in the Russian Federation) and others will be declared who will cover the exposed front sectors and also be used for various sabotage and“ pacifying and intimidating shares "on the local population on both sides of the front," - said Basurin.

Two months have been defined for the first stage, and it will also be marked by massive shelling of populated areas of the people's republics with the aim of “firing out” the population of the frontline territory.

The second stage will begin with the capture of populated areas and the dominant heights in the "gray zone" for the preparation of further large-scale offensive actions.

“But we will get more accurate information after all plans have been approved by the military-political leadership of Ukraine and our intelligence officers have access to them,” Basurin said, adding that he expects this in the near future.

A definite confirmation of the whole stated by Basurin was the change in the “schedule” of shelling of settlements in Donbass. So, if earlier punitive bombardment of Donbassians at night, when the OSCE “monitors” sleep and do not record the facts of violation of the “cease-fire regime”, now the strikes are carried out in the morning and afternoon. When the artillery fire can be easily adjusted from the UAV, even if it is not equipped with thermal imagers, and make it as accurate and efficient as possible.

The result is obvious: in just a few days, 18 suffered from artillery fire of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and killed five civilians in the DPR.

The preparation by Kiev of a new aggression against the people's republics is also indicated by the information obtained by the LPR intelligence, announced at the briefing by the official representative of the people's militia lieutenant colonel Andrey Marochko.

“In connection with the commencement of the joint forces operation in Donbass on 30 on April, or, we believe, the occupying forces operations, the OOS command in the period from 1 to 31, May planned large-scale measures to search for military personnel who left parts without permission,” Marochko quotes "PolitNavigator".

Ukrainian sources also inform about possible plans for an offensive operation. So, in the Kiev magazine "New time" experts describe a possible scenario of environmental protection.

In their opinion, the offensive will develop along the entire line of demarcation, and the advancing forces will consist of no less than 100 of thousands of fighters and 1,5 — 2 of thousands of armored vehicles. Moreover, the “experts” paint a simple picture of the upcoming genocide.

“Success in battle, according to military experts, will bring total war, the uncompromising destruction of the enemy and the delivery of powerful attacks on his critical infrastructure. An important addition is that the country will have to actively conduct partisan-sabotage activities on the lands occupied by the separatists, ”the magazine writes.

It is also indicated that with the implementation of such a scenario, there is a high probability of imposing martial law in the country, as well as measures to neutralize the “fifth column”.

At the same time, experts are more likely to expect an operation on peace enforcement from Russia.

“There is also a high probability of an open invasion of the Russian troops to the east of Ukraine under the auspices of the protection of the local population. Society will split into conditional parties of war and peace. The split will grow under the influence of the growing number of victims of the conflict. According to conservative estimates, about 10 thousand people will die during a large-scale offensive campaign. If the Russian Federation directly intervenes, the total number of victims will reach 300 thousand people.

NATO is unlikely to become a party to the conflict, so military success will depend entirely on the dedication of ordinary Ukrainians, as well as the talent of domestic commanders, ”the script says, and it’s clear that the authors do not rely too much on the last two components.



And it is right. Since the preparation for the transition to the “new format” and the rumors that an attack would immediately begin within the EP, the mass desertion from the Ukrainian formations was caused.

In particular, the Ukrainian publication Observer publishes an interview with Vladimir Shilov, the ex-commander of the 5 company of the Dnepr-1 battalion, who indicates that stories about a strong Ukrainian army are invented, and the situation is getting worse every day.

“Everything returns to the old channel. If people had the opportunity to terminate the contract, then 50% would instantly terminate and go to a citizen. Everything is really bad. God forbid, Russia will move - everything will be very bad, ”he said.

It is noteworthy that the opinion of “atoshnik” coincides with the sociological studies recently carried out in Ukraine, according to the results of which, about 50% of fighters would be ready to terminate contracts and leave the ranks of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Among the main reasons soldiers call cruel treatment of commanders and a lack of understanding of the essence of the conflict in which they take part.

Be that as it may, but according to NM LNR, only in the operational-tactical group "Lugansk" the number of deserters reached more than 500 people.

All this data raises serious doubts about the possibility of the Armed Forces of Ukraine not only to fight the Russian army if it is forced to carry out an operation to enforce peace, but also to conduct a large-scale attack on LDNR, leading urban battles in the agglomerations of Donetsk, Horlivka and Luhansk. And the Ukrainian commanders understand this better than anyone else.

However, changing the format and adoption of new offensive plans does not mean that Kiev really intends to launch a suicidal attack for it. To begin with, if the junta had the opportunity to crush and seize the people's republics of Donbass, she would do it in the ATO format, and the new “cover” would not add any fundamentally new opportunities to the Ukrainian Supreme Soviet.

In other words, environmental protection is started not so much to achieve a military victory, but to solve other problems. And about. Minister of Foreign Affairs of the LPR Vladislav Dayniy believes that Poroshenko’s “innovation” is necessary for the Kiev regime to legitimize his crimes “retroactively”.

In addition, it is obvious that Poroshenko will try to use environmental protection to keep the power flowing from his hands. The new format will allow him to concentrate in his hands the levers of emergency management of the country not only in the Donbas, but also in Ukraine. He will be able to arbitrarily use military and police force, including to prevent any protests. He will even “have the right” to cancel the election under the pretext of threatening national security.



However, even if the Ukrainian Armed Forces do not dare to rush into a large-scale offensive, the Donbas will not bring anything good to the new format of the punitive operation.
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  1. dSK
    dSK 2 May 2018 05: 27
    +6
    Under the World Cup-18 and probably will gather.
    1. ul_vitalii
      ul_vitalii 2 May 2018 06: 25
      +6
      Once this abscess should break through, there is no peaceful way to resolve this situation in their plans.
      1. 210ox
        210ox 2 May 2018 06: 48
        +4
        Most likely they will gather later, to the elective company .. Good morning, Vitaliy, Sergey hi
        Quote: ul_vitalii
        Once this abscess should break through, there is no peaceful way to resolve this situation in their plans.
        1. Hunter 2
          Hunter 2 2 May 2018 08: 36
          +7
          Greetings to members of the forum! I’m afraid the “abscess” itself will not break through, I will have to call the “surgeon” and remove it! Too many lives, abscess while "ripens"!
          I am against the war, I don’t want to fight with anyone anymore, I sincerely think .... a bad World is better than a good War ..... but .... what is happening now is not the World, it is sophisticated killings, first of all Mirnyak. Therefore, in this case - alternatives to the War and the disposal of Bandera and their henchmen - I DO NOT SEE! hi
        2. ul_vitalii
          ul_vitalii 2 May 2018 08: 53
          +6
          Dima, happy holiday drinks As the curator chooses the political moment, they will strike, nobody has canceled treachery. drinks hi
          1. Nyrobsky
            Nyrobsky 2 May 2018 12: 36
            +3
            Quote: ul_vitalii
            As the curator chooses the political moment, they will strike, nobody has canceled treachery.

            Yeah ... There are two options: - Inauguration of the President of the Russian Federation and the start of the World Cup. The aggravation will ripen to one of these events, only it will be more widespread and will not be limited to military operations in the Donbass. Most likely, the wick will be set on fire from all sides, both in Syria, and in Armenia, and in Urkain. God grant that Transnistria would not flare up at this time.
            1. Opera
              Opera 2 May 2018 15: 09
              +1
              The author evaluates the situation in the Armed Forces and the ability of the Kiev regime to take active offensive actions on the part of common sense. However, common sense in the actions of the Ukrainian authorities is not something that does not exist at all - common sense is "Putin’s propaganda, separatism and complete assault!" There is such a word NECESSARY! What has been said from overseas is a dogma for Bandera!
              1. Mih1974
                Mih1974 4 May 2018 01: 55
                0
                No matter how moronous the Ukrainians are or their haters, the Masters and those more than soberly assess the “sudden” response of Russia and they both understand that after the Russian intervention, the army in Ukria ceases to exist as bugdas looped “disappeared” about the appearance of the regular Red Army. Such options have already been described many times a) Russia destroys ALL air defense systems of Ukria with cruise missiles b) bombing attacks are carried out at airfields, it may be destroyed ALL radars, including civil airports c) airborne missiles launch bombing attacks at attacking positions of ukrovermaht, art systems, ammunition depots, d) all ports are blocked, e) Russia publicly declares the airspace over Ukria closed and destroys ALL sides, since passenger sides have been flying around Ukraine for 3 years now. After this, the defense of the ukrovermaht is hacked in one or two places (the VKS simply displaces them with black soil) and the LDNR imitations openly or secretly with the dowry of the Russian troops go into the breakthrough. In fact, it will be very similar to the defeat of the Kwantung army with the exception of fanatical resistance, for the fanatic (to die for Ukraine) has already ended there. A week - and the army of Ukraine in the eastern and central regions will cease to exist, there will be no street battles in Kiev in the likeness of Berlin and especially Stalingrad. The capture of Kiev and the "accession to the throne" of the same Zakharchenko (for example) is how Putin decides, the same sukashvilli, for example, did not hang up.
                And this is not even an optimistic forecast, this is the reality that both Ukrainians and American coaches and curators know about.
                "Prank" is indicative when Americans called on behalf of ukrov with an offer to attack Russia, the mattresses almost started to get hysterical, so they "dissuaded" them. repeat
  2. polpot
    polpot 2 May 2018 06: 34
    +4
    For suckers for another year of tales that we’ll defeat the damned separatists, and then there’s the election ........ and again the same thing from a new hetman
    1. 4ybys
      4ybys 2 May 2018 18: 46
      0
      This situation is on both sides of the line.
  3. cedar
    cedar 2 May 2018 06: 53
    +14
    The author tries to portray Poroshenko as a kind of independent person in power, and APU as a kind of sovereign army, but this is not so. Not at all like that. Poroshenko - a puppet in the hands of Washington. A week after the coup committed by the United States, the junta signed, and approved by the Rada, the Eurointegration Agreement for Enforcement, which was created by the Eurointegration Council, half consisting of Europeans ..., led by the protege of Washington and London (Gauleiter Vukrainy), toall power structures are obliged to obey.
    According to this agreement APU is a NATO structure non-NATO and accordingly managed from NATO.
    It’s time to change the record, dear ones and to mature in the root. Ukraine in the occupation of the Anglo-Americans. The USA is fighting against New Russia.
    APU-NATO-USA.
    1. LMN
      LMN 2 May 2018 08: 13
      +2
      The USA is fighting against New Russia.

      Against New Russia ?? what
      I think they all do not care for Novorossia and Ukraine repeat
      1. cedar
        cedar 2 May 2018 08: 33
        +4
        You are mistaken. For them, this is an important resource for pressure and struggle with the main enemy - Russia.
        1. LMN
          LMN 2 May 2018 08: 46
          +4
          Quote: cedar
          You are mistaken. For them, this is an important resource for pressure and struggle with the main enemy - Russia.

          I actually meant it hi (I wanted to subtly emphasize that the United States is not fighting against Novorossia. Apparently, it failed repeat lol )
          The goal is Russia, and these particulars ... just a tool winked
      2. Nyrobsky
        Nyrobsky 2 May 2018 12: 39
        +1
        Quote: LMN
        Against New Russia ??
        I think they all do not care for Novorossia and Ukraine

        To Novorossia and Urkainu - Yes, according to FIG. Only now through Novorossia and Durkain they hit Russia, which is no longer in FIG.
    2. venik
      venik 2 May 2018 09: 20
      +2
      Quote: cedar
      It’s time to change the record, dear ones and to mature in the root.

      ========
      Everything you wrote is TRUE, BUT! Only in part! Yes, Petruccio - appointed "Washington Regional Committee"! Yes, he is a figure - “accountable”! Yes states try establish full control over the APU!
      All this is so, BUT! If the ORDER reigned in the country and there was a RIGID "power vertical" - all this would work perfectly !!! But what is there? Is there - full bar... (Sorry!) "Brothelier"! Moreover, it strongly resembles either a "wild Cossack freemen", or a "gang of anarchists" who got to the alcohol tank ........
      There is a clear and very tough line of confrontation between: "Poroshenko and Co." - on the one hand, the "oligarchs" who are dissatisfied with them - on the other and the "nat-radicals" who have not gained access to the coveted power - with the third ....
      Try to manage all this "code" .... As with them, do not agree (separately) - agree with everything, "take" under the peak "", and anyway, immediately begin to "drag the blanket over themselves" ..... And in full accordance with their own "selfish interests" they tend to "smash the gag", sometimes neglecting the agreements with the "curators" ...
      Here in this, for the "sworn American friends" is a tremendous "smut" !! Try to establish FULL control over the "quasi-stable" th system .....
      1. Vlad Petrov
        Vlad Petrov 2 May 2018 21: 45
        0
        Waltzman-fascist-terrorist, puppet, hut-extreme, anarchist state education, gathered seriously for war, after four years of defeat and shame. Horror! in the 21st century. "Deutschland Uber Alles." “Ukraine ponad use” will be by the way, meat has fallen in price. If anything like that in the history of mankind?
  4. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 2 May 2018 07: 01
    +3
    military success will depend entirely on the dedication of ordinary Ukrainians, as well as the talent of domestic commanders
    The selflessness of ordinary Ukrainians is in question, but the talent of the “commanders" is known. Again we decided to try to crush the quantity. But if Russia really has to intervene to force peace, then they will definitely be draped to Kiev, like the Georgians to Tbilisi.
  5. Irek
    Irek 2 May 2018 09: 03
    +5
    These must be isolated ...
  6. sib.ataman
    sib.ataman 2 May 2018 10: 41
    +4
    How vile and disgusting is the role of all the Caines who betrayed and sold their homeland and people for the Ammerz cookies! Ugh on them damned! May they burn forever in hell with a blue flame!
  7. midshipman
    midshipman 2 May 2018 13: 35
    +3
    I think that this situation will be long. The parliament did not recognize the People’s Republics, and the Russians did not give up and did not retreat. We know that Obama taught Poroshenko to "liberate" the territory covered by the uprising by any military method, which Yavre does. We are waiting for the uprising in Odessa in the Kharkov region. It is a pity Zaporizhia, Nikolaev fell silent. Only an uprising of peoples in these territories can bring peace. Ukraine must be fragmented. Silent and Lviv so far. We wait.
    1. Antares
      Antares 3 May 2018 11: 42
      0
      Quote: midshipman
      The parliament did not recognize the People’s Republics, and the Russians did not give up and did not retreat.

      Yes, they and the Russians did not recognize (respected only)
      Quote: midshipman
      We are waiting for the uprising in Odessa in the Kharkov region.

      wait. The best advertising in the Russian world is gone. ORDILO never became attractive. And the attitude towards him deteriorated on both sides.
      Quote: midshipman
      Only an uprising of peoples in these territories can bring peace

      since when can a rebellion without purpose bring peace? Without leaders, without meaning? Against yourself or what? Rebellion for the sake of rebellion?
      Quote: midshipman
      Ukraine must be fragmented.

      For all major players, consolidated Ukraine is the best choice (Russia, too)
      Quote: midshipman
      We are waiting.

      It was 5 years ....
      There is no point in commenting on the article, the author uses stamps and currently outdated data. He has some kind of "junta" ... Apparently he is not aware that much has changed for 4 years.
      The format was not changed for the offensive.
  8. Altona
    Altona 2 May 2018 16: 51
    0
    Quote: cedar
    You are mistaken. For them, this is an important resource for pressure and struggle with the main enemy - Russia.

    -------------------------
    Ordinary Sumerians also know that they are a "resource". And even if they don’t know, the fifth point actively suggests.
  9. Cannonball
    Cannonball 5 May 2018 11: 52
    +1
    Why would 300000 victims? Crimea was taken without a fight, and in the case of "peace enforcement" the operation will be fleeting and anemic. Natsiks will be the first to flee from the battlefield, and their patrons quickly hit the road to Europe-Canada-Australia, so as not to be hanged on Khreshchatyk.
  10. iouris
    iouris 5 May 2018 13: 12
    0
    Quote: “the new format of punitive operations will not bring anything good to Donbass” End of quote.
    And nobody needs good. Here is a completely different logic. It is not Ukraine that destroys itself, but the USSR.
    1. Cannonball
      Cannonball 5 May 2018 15: 42
      +1
      It is impossible to destroy that which has long ceased to exist.
      1. iouris
        iouris 5 May 2018 23: 17
        0
        As long as there is nuclear weapons capable of destroying the United States, the USSR exists.
        1. Cannonball
          Cannonball 6 May 2018 00: 10
          +1
          The USSR, alas, is no more, and Russia may well destroy anyone.
  11. Ren
    Ren 8 May 2018 09: 13
    0
    The republics also need to change the format of the confrontation - the liberation war of the Russian people of Kiev RUSSIA !!! from collaborators and foreign occupiers (not Russian people) who seized power.
    Kievskaya RUSSIA- this is the land of a Russian people who spoke Russian, who respected the adopted principles and rules, regardless of their nationality (it does not relate to nationality).
    I ask you not to confuse the nation (a group of people with a common citizenship / citizenship) and nationality (a group of people based on ethnicity).
    If someone can find me in the history of Kiev ukra, Chervonnaya ukra, or the use of phrases Ukrainian people, etc., etc. - I will be grateful! hi