Military Review

Two Koreas: the end of confrontation and the way to a bright future

61
The inter-Korean summit, in the opinion of both sides, was brilliant and opened up broad prospects for the development and unification of Korea.




"The North and the South will seek full and comprehensive improvement and development of relations and thereby bring the future together prosperity and reunification," says a joint declaration on the results of the summit of the leaders of North Korea and South Korea.

It is already known that the Korean leaders decided to put an end to the confrontation, to establish a rail link between the countries, to hold a meeting of divided families. And, of course, it was about restoring and expanding economic cooperation.

The last point is undoubtedly one of the most important and promising: there is little doubt that the combination of South Korean technology and cheap labor in the event of successful integration processes will provide a powerful economic breakthrough in the international market.

There is every reason to believe that the meeting was not at all impromptu, and it was preceded by a long and serious preparation. Moreover, with the participation of diplomats from Russia and China, the two countries that are of the highest degree (if not counting both Korean states) are interested in ending the conflict on the peninsula. Actually, the movement of Pyongyang and Seoul that began during the Winter Olympics towards each other was preceded by serious work, which for obvious reasons was not advertised.

Recall that the meeting itself was held not from scratch. And her agenda was quite expected.

Back in July, 1972, a joint statement of the North and the South was signed, which set forth the basic principles of unification, which became basic, including for the current meeting: independently, without reliance on external forces; in peaceful way; based on the "great national consolidation."

Moreover, the country's unification in Pyongyang is seen by creating a confederation (Confederative Democratic Republic of Korea) according to the formula “one nation, one state - two systems, two governments”.

In 1991, the DPRK and the ROK concluded an Agreement on reconciliation, non-aggression, cooperation and exchanges; in 1992, they adopted a Joint Declaration on the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula.

The 13-15 of June 2000 was held in Pyongyang for the first time in stories inter-Korean summit. According to its results, Kim Jong Il and Kim De Jun, who was President of Kazakhstan at the time, signed the North-South Joint Declaration (June 15), now considered as a fundamental document in the long-term unification. In the declaration, in particular, announced the intention of the parties to seek unification of the country "by the forces of the Korean nation itself."

2-4 in October 2007 of the year in Pyongyang hosted the second inter-Korean summit meeting, at the end of which Kim Jong Il and RK President Roh Moo-hyun signed the Declaration on the Development of Inter-Korean Relations, Peace and Prosperity, developing ideas and principles of the 2000 Joint Declaration of the Year.

However, the main problem of the Korean dialogue was its instability. If the North is able to pursue a consistent policy, ensured by the continuity of power, then the South’s approach to the issue of unification is tied to the position of the next president, or rather, the degree of his personal dependence on the United States, who are least interested in creating a unified Korean state.

Thus, the integration processes slowed down, and then were frozen after South Korean President Lee Myung-bak came to power in 2008 in the year.

The pretext for the complete cessation of contacts was the death of the South Korean corvette "Cheonan", which 26 March 2010, sank in the Yellow Sea. Before sinking, the ship, which carried out the planned patrol of the area, split in two. There were 104 people aboard, 46 sailors died.

Pyongyang was blamed for the tragedy, despite the obvious lack of motivation for such actions. An international commission led by the United States, created to investigate the incident in which representatives of the DPRK were not allowed, said that the corvette was flooded with a torpedo launched from a North Korean submarine.

And this is despite the fact that the Minister of Defense of the Republic of Korea, Kim Tae Yong, stated that the corvette sank from the explosion of one of the sea mines that were set up in these waters in the seventies.

And the first conclusion of the international commission was the statement that the corvette was "destroyed by a torpedo made in Germany" (which could not be in service with the North Korean Navy).

It is noteworthy that a number of South Korean experts also challenged the final conclusions of the commission, pointing to the impossibility of an imperceptible torpedo attack of the ship, which at the time of death was accompanied by two ships, high-speed boats, airplanes, and was monitored by tracking satellites. In addition, in the area of ​​the incident were the US Navy ships with their early warning system "Aegis".

In addition, experts pointed out that the torpedo remnants were too corroded, which could not rust so deep in just one month in the water.

Although the incident with the "Cheonan" was a great reminder of the story of the cruiser "Men" and was an obvious provocation by the opponents of the Korean alliance, he fulfilled his task. The dialogue was terminated, and there was a distinct threat of renewed armed confrontation between the two parts of the same people.

Today, there are no less opponents of a Korean settlement. So, for example, Japan sees in a united Korea not only a dangerous economic rival. The united state, which also has nuclear weapons, will not leave Tokyo with the slightest chance of possession of the Liancourt Islands, the sovereignty over which the Japanese dispute with Seoul.

By the way, in the case of the reunification of the Korean states, the question of the denuclearization of the peninsula, may cease to be relevant for the southerners. Even today, in Seoul, supporters of the unification tend to view Pyongyang’s nuclear missile program as a “general Korean resource.”

There is nothing to say about the losses of the United States from the rapprochement of North Korea and Kazakhstan - economic, political and geopolitical. To begin with, the Korean Confederation, if it occurs, automatically ceases to be a US military ally, and the American military presence on the peninsula (including missile defense systems) becomes redundant. Actually, even the very fact of today's negotiations of Kim and Moon quite clearly denotes in the eyes of the world community the true role of the United States as the main culprit in the Korean conflict, which constantly provokes the growth of tension and hinders the resolution of the conflict.

Trump formally endorsed the meeting of the Korean leaders, but through his teeth. “After a turbulent year of rocket and nuclear tests, a historic meeting takes place between North and South Korea. A good deal, but only time will tell! ”- wrote the American president on Twitter.

But he could not say anything else, as well as ignore the event. According to incoming reports, in Washington, the actions of Seoul, who went to the "separate" negotiations, are considered almost as a betrayal. Including because they seriously limit the ability of the United States to put pressure on the DPRK.

Based on this, there is every reason to expect new provocations - from armed incidents and terrorist attacks, to attempts to change power in Seoul.

Moreover, the Korean unification may be hindered not only by the Americans. Since in Seoul, many see the integration of the two parts of the country not as a union, but as the reunification of North Korea with South. With the obligatory dismantling of the political system of the DPRK, with "lustration" and the pursuit of "regime servants".

Be that as it may, the Korean people once again set off on a long journey, on which many obstacles and dangers await them. After all, even such a seemingly most realistic and top-priority step, as economic cooperation and association, has many “pitfalls”. But there is no alternative to this movement.
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  1. ul_vitalii
    ul_vitalii April 28 2018 05: 22
    +3
    It is worth conducting the southerners with the Americans the Malomo teachings and labor-la-la, but in fact it is planned and not one. The Americans will take care of this, so to speak, to test the emerging "friendship" for strength and laugh, thereby showing where you are fools. Close to go! This is southerners, and the pooch kick in the ass, they say spring, instincts.
    1. Sergey985
      Sergey985 April 28 2018 06: 05
      +2
      I do not believe that they will implement the signed. Preparing to meet with Trump, an informational background, favorable Kim is preparing. He will not disarm. With a hydrogen bomb in your pocket, you can declare anything. Personal opinion.
      1. Monster_Fat
        Monster_Fat April 28 2018 07: 36
        +8
        In fact, it is quite possible to unite the two Koreas. But the joke is that in a united Korea there will be no place for all these North Korean “leaders”, since everything will initially be pulled by South Korea, and it will be the main governing party, and the leaders of North Korea will quickly lose control over the crowd of their citizens overwhelmed by the inflamed private ownership and consumption .. BUT .. but does the South Koreans really need this? Do they need huge competition in the labor market? How to fill the stomachs of starving North Koreans? And so on and so forth. The unification of Korea is a path to disaster, only a long path of peaceful existence of two states with a gradual economic equalization is possible. But .... firstly, these states should develop independently, without restrictions and any sanctions, secondly: it is impossible to make the replacement of the state system in the DPRK a prerequisite, and thirdly, nuclear and other disarmament of both Koreas should happen, leaving only small armed forces for self-defense and police operations, fourthly: Americans must get out of the Korean Peninsula altogether. So what of all this is feasible? Never mind.
        1. SHURUM -BURUM
          SHURUM -BURUM April 28 2018 11: 24
          +2
          Finally! This is probably the best option for a fragmented people. And here, unfortunately, there will be a complete repetition of the situation, as in the unification of the GDR and the FRG. But everything grew together, although the difficulties caused by the difference in worldviews and the ability to find oneself in the new society were not small. My children (IT specialists, know Korean) were in South Korea, - full of enthusiasm from the people who live there
        2. yehat
          yehat April 28 2018 12: 23
          +3
          I do not think that the North Koreans did not analyze the unification of Germany and other unification processes. I am sure they have a clear vision of autonomy, moreover, agreed upon with the Chinese.
        3. RUSS
          RUSS April 29 2018 08: 35
          +1
          Quote: Monster_Fat
          In fact, it is quite possible to unite the two Koreas. But the joke is that in the united Korea there will be no place for all these North Korean “leaders”, since everything on itself will be initially dragged by South Korea, and it will be the main governing party

          Yes, it will be like with Germany and the GDR, there was no association, but there was an absorption of the GDR in the FRG.
        4. gsev
          gsev 7 May 2018 02: 10
          0
          Now South Korea is luring workers from Uzbekistan, its engineers are hiring in Shandong, China. Why not replace the Uzbeks with the North Koreans, move the unprofitable and low-income enterprises to the north, take their unemployed youth with higher education to modernize the infrastructure of the North, reduce military spending in the South, reduce the service life in the North, and integrate the armed forces of the South and North in case of a possible conflict with Japan and China. The pluses are obvious. The problem is how to moderate the ambitions of the local bureaucracy in the South and the North. But in the South, the daughter of the odious leader is no longer in business, her adherents do not feel the support of their people, the northerners and southerners in the recent negotiations showed their readiness to make a reasonable compromise. Everything is in the hands of Koreans. Even Trump and Abe can only watch idly by. Tram is now occupied by Syria, China and Russia and Venezuela. Abe alone in Korea has nothing to do.
      2. Proxima
        Proxima April 28 2018 10: 55
        +2
        Quote: Sergey985
        I do not believe that they will implement the signed ..

        Do it right that you don’t believe. The best that could be is the decline in confrontation and the normalization of relations between the two states.
        But a real association is only possible according to the Vietnamese scenario.
      3. Safevi
        Safevi April 28 2018 11: 23
        +5
        It can only be a question of the north being swallowed by the South. How Germany absorbed the GDR. The opening of joint ventures will only spur the desire of North Koreans to "live like in the South."
        1. Semen1972
          Semen1972 April 28 2018 12: 30
          +2
          Quote: sefevi
          It can only be a question of the north being swallowed by the South. How Germany absorbed the GDR. The opening of joint ventures will only spur the desire of North Koreans to "live like in the South."

          Again, a market economy and liberalism defeats socialist ideas ... It is tedious to urgently do something, drive a wedge. North Korea was a great country. will turn into a sexless geyropu ((
          1. Tomato
            Tomato April 29 2018 13: 58
            +4
            Strange as that. And why, for any resident of the DPRK, the top of dreams is to get out of this country.
            But only married people are allowed to work abroad, leaving the family as hostages.
            And why aren’t even crazy people trying to get into this “excellent country”?
      4. Megatron
        Megatron April 29 2018 02: 06
        +1
        We have already seen how Germany absorbed the GDR and how it all ended in the end, and the US staff themselves will not go anywhere.
        1. Tomato
          Tomato April 29 2018 15: 25
          +1
          What ended in the GDR? Can I clarify?
    2. 210ox
      210ox April 28 2018 07: 40
      +4
      Vitaly, good morning .. I think that this is just a political statement and the realities may be different. In any case, even a bad world is better than a good quarrel and hemorrhoids on our borders will be less. Possible.
      Quote: ul_vitalii
      It is worth conducting the southerners with the Americans the Malomo teachings and labor-la-la, but in fact it is planned and not one. The Americans will take care of this, so to speak, to test the emerging "friendship" for strength and laugh, thereby showing where you are fools. Close to go! This is southerners, and the pooch kick in the ass, they say spring, instincts.
    3. Vend
      Vend April 28 2018 08: 54
      +2
      Quote: ul_vitalii
      It is worth conducting the southerners with the Americans the Malomo teachings and labor-la-la, but in fact it is planned and not one. The Americans will take care of this, so to speak, to test the emerging "friendship" for strength and laugh, thereby showing where you are fools. Close to go! This is southerners, and the pooch kick in the ass, they say spring, instincts.

      Yes, peace in Korea is not beneficial to the United States.
    4. siberalt
      siberalt April 29 2018 06: 12
      +1
      Then, at the same time, Japan needs to be denucleated. winked
  2. andrewkor
    andrewkor April 28 2018 05: 28
    +1
    If this historical meeting of the two Korean leaders has been preparing for a sufficiently long time, then the CIA, the NSA are again bursting, as with the Crimea! Therefore, in impotent rage they will again provoke something somewhere!
    1. dog breeder
      dog breeder April 28 2018 05: 55
      +1
      You are mistaken! Do not provoke, but carry "democracy." In the form of pink shorts and moldy cookies.
      1. andrewkor
        andrewkor April 28 2018 07: 34
        +1
        The same hell, only the view from the side!
  3. cedar
    cedar April 28 2018 06: 07
    +1
    "... Trump formally approved the past meeting of the Korean leaders, but as though through gritted teeth." After a stormy year of missile and nuclear tests, a historic meeting takes place between North and South Korea. A good thing, but only time will tell! " - wrote the American president on Twitter ...

    The most difficult part of the path of the divided Korean people to unification began, which is possible only in one case, if you can pull out the teeth of a dragon from your body - Amerz bases.
  4. Yak28
    Yak28 April 28 2018 06: 21
    +2
    The reunification of Koreas is not possible without the complete economic and moral destruction, humiliation and rape of North Korea. It's like the USSR, and then Russia, which wanted to draw closer and make friends with the United States and Western Europe. As a result, Russia did not become its own in Europe despite the rejection of socialism, the destruction of their army, economy, infrastructure and the abandonment of part of their territory. Here is about the same picture with North Korea yes
    1. Thunderbolt
      Thunderbolt April 28 2018 07: 39
      +7
      Quote: Yak28
      .This is like the USSR, and then Russia, which wanted to draw closer and make friends with the United States and Western Europe

      No, we and the West are different cultures. And the Koreans are just a divided people. Just like the Germans were recently. Where is the GDR now? A Korean will always remain a Korean, and ideology is a temporary, superficial phenomenon, moreover, artificially imposed. We wish them to unite, otherwise the powers that be (the USA and the USSR) separated them in their time, so let them be together again.
      1. yehat
        yehat April 28 2018 12: 26
        0
        you are mistaken if you think that the USSR shared Korea. study the story more carefully.
        1. Thunderbolt
          Thunderbolt April 28 2018 14: 54
          +3
          You are misinterpreting my words !!! It was not the USSR that divided Korea, but the USSR and the USA. You can’t argue against the facts, so you better study this topic yourself. Korea was divided into North and South Korea in 1945 after the defeat of Japan, before which Korea ruled, in the second world war. The United States and the USSR signed an agreement on joint management of the country. Stalin kept troops in his occupation zone until the 48th year. It was the confrontation of the two superpowers that became the prerequisites for the Korean War, which finally concreted the 38th parallel, which was invented in Yalta, and normatively fixed at the Moscow conference-45.
          1. yehat
            yehat April 28 2018 17: 07
            0
            following your logic, the USSR and Poland turned out to be accomplices in the division of the USSR, because Poland could not capture the whole USSR, but the USSR did not want to give)))
      2. Yak28
        Yak28 April 28 2018 16: 43
        +1
        Thanks to Western propaganda, East Germans looked enviously at West Germany with envy and open mouth, and accordingly wanted to live like that (which, in those years, many thought that capitalism was not a bad thing to hide). When the top of the USSR betrayed the country, this became possible. In North Korea, people were brought up on communist ideas, which they should abandon. If you destroy the whole ideology that the SC rests on and completely redraw the thinking of people, then unification is permissible, and it is unlikely that they will unite. and the states do not need it.
    2. Tomato
      Tomato April 29 2018 14: 02
      +1
      And what is the economy of the DPRK? Name at least one DPRK export commodity other than raw materials and cheap labor. What is there to destroy.
  5. Heterocapsa
    Heterocapsa April 28 2018 06: 34
    +4
    Everything will be fine, exactly until the government organizations enter the territory of North Korea and the embassy opens. And then the classic cultivation of the opposition and pumping them with money and manuals.
    1. yehat
      yehat April 28 2018 12: 54
      0
      it will not work. I assure you, they insure against this very seriously.
  6. parusnik
    parusnik April 28 2018 07: 39
    +2
    ... If the unification process goes on, it will go on for quite some time ... And not one year ... and there are options that could end in nothing ...
    1. Reptiloid
      Reptiloid April 28 2018 11: 35
      +1
      Quote: parusnik
      ... If the unification process goes on, it will go on for quite some time ... And not one year ... and there are options that could end in nothing ...

      Not only can anything happen, even worse, ---- because the states will not go anywhere, but will try to spread closer to us, will try to destroy NORTH Korea in one way or another. In a confrontation, everything is clear. And in the association?
      1. yehat
        yehat April 28 2018 12: 48
        +3
        I think that China is interested in making an analogue of neutral Switzerland or Finland in Korea. To reduce to zero the influence of the United States and Japan on the domestic policy of the southerners and reassure the Northerners, at the same time ensuring a partial lifting of the blockade and the formation of self-sufficient support for North Korea and the expansion of the market.
        In doing so, he kills a whole crowd of rabbits - reduces unpleasant tension, weakens Japan, eliminates the US bridgehead near its border, expands control of trade sea routes around its borders, gets an additional market for sales, releases large forces for external operations. I remind you that China has a fully equipped and staffed with elite personnel expeditionary force, which is approximately equal in strength to the combined similar forces of the United States, France and England.
        1. Reptiloid
          Reptiloid April 28 2018 13: 04
          0
          Quote: yehat
          I think China .......... To reduce to zero the influence of the United States and Japan .......

          Who argues, but to assume a result is only due to the plans and capabilities of another country, this may end in different ways.
        2. saigon
          saigon April 29 2018 07: 05
          0
          China, in principle, considers Korea a vassal state, and joining the north and south without China is not very realistic.
      2. parusnik
        parusnik April 28 2018 13: 04
        +2
        And in the association?

        Here ... it’s very difficult ... North and South Korea have no problems with Russia .. if it would develop in this direction it would be excellent .. But China and the United States put their friendly eyes on the peninsula, there will be a clash of interests .. And it’s better if there was no unification .. China is a vigorous power, the United States is the same .. Yes, and a united Korea with a baton will be nuclear .. And these two guys will fight for influence over the country. Morning freshness ... As long as the nuclear mushrooms did not grow ... in this case...
  7. aybolyt678
    aybolyt678 April 28 2018 07: 42
    +1
    against whom will girls become friends? - key issue
  8. Engineer
    Engineer April 28 2018 09: 00
    0
    Americans will not allow this to be done. Only if according to the German scenario. those. takeover of North Korea South.
  9. Cananecat
    Cananecat April 28 2018 09: 53
    0
    There will be no quick and painless reunion, remember at least Germany. There will be a long integration of both social systems into each other. Opening the border between states will create a collapse in a more developed neighbor, and Seoul does not need crowds of unemployed neighbors.
  10. Altona
    Altona April 28 2018 10: 46
    +6
    In general, the young Kim goes politics leaps and bounds. When I watched all these ceremonies on the 38th parallel, I could not believe my eyes. He brought to the logical end the DPRK’s nuclear and missile program, showed the United States that they were a paper tiger, and agreed with the Southern neighbor on peace and the end of the confrontation. Kim is just fine.
    1. yehat
      yehat April 28 2018 12: 28
      0
      something ends meet do not converge. Kim doesn’t have a normal education and not everything is OK with character, advisers in isolation are hardly all geniuses in a row. Well, he is not capable of giving out a long chain of active error-free steps. Someone else is pushing these events and I suspect that this is China, which puts pressure on both Koreas.
      1. Monster_Fat
        Monster_Fat April 28 2018 12: 34
        0
        There, it seems, the younger sister Kim Yo Jeong steers everyone. Gossip about her is different, even, such as that she and Eun are in the same bed .... "incest" .....
        1. yehat
          yehat April 28 2018 12: 40
          0
          it doesn’t matter who steers - the entire ruling circle of the IC has no potential for leadership in this process, and in South Korea, paralyzed by scandals, there is not even a hint of it.
          Here you can see the 3rd force, and it is stronger than both Koreas and these are not Americans.
          And there are three options for choosing backstage - Japan, China or the Russian Federation. It is easy to exclude the excess.
          1. Monster_Fat
            Monster_Fat April 28 2018 12: 45
            0
            Duc, what is China’s influence on South Korea? There, the Americans raked everything for themselves, and let’s say that in South Korea they don’t like the Chinese (and this is very softly said). Ah, here’s little sister, Una, just has such a potential. Read about her, the most curious person ...
            PS: By the way, and it’s not strange, and in North Korea the Chinese do not like the Chinese — I don’t even know why.
            1. yehat
              yehat April 28 2018 12: 51
              +1
              You underestimate the influence of China. First of all, financial - do not forget that South Korea is facing a serious economic crisis. And also, it is worth considering that China is crushing not only the economy. A forge of cadres is working in this country, moreover, it is being directed by the party, which is not the most stupid, unified ideology, and China puts pressure on its neighbors no less than with money.
              1. Monster_Fat
                Monster_Fat April 28 2018 13: 01
                +1
                Have you actually been to China and South Korea? I happened to be in both countries. And I’ll tell you, in South Korea they talk about China only as a geopolitical adversary and are afraid as the hell ... Although .... I’ve just thought that now, it was this fear of China that made South Korea seek alliances with North to increase its power ... Fig knows him, these Asians .....
                1. yehat
                  yehat April 28 2018 17: 18
                  0
                  it's just pragmatics. They are forced to spend on the military commissariat, and detente will dramatically improve the state budget and provide excellent resources for very cheap labor, not some obscure Poles or Negroes, but people like them. China helped the UK in the war, occupied Korea in the past, but is perceived as a rival primarily in the economy - however, Koreans understand that confrontation will only worsen their situation. Therefore, they simply choose options that relieve stress. Recently, they have not completely fallen under America with their plans for the deployment of bases.
                2. Monarchist
                  Monarchist April 29 2018 13: 48
                  0
                  Here I agree with you: Asians are hard to understand. That "morning dew", that "dragon" or "sakura" are all branches of the same root and they have one culture and religion and mentality
                  1. yehat
                    yehat April 30 2018 12: 50
                    0
                    they have in common, but Koreans, Japanese and Chinese often have fundamental differences in motives and logic.
  11. Soho
    Soho April 28 2018 13: 25
    0
    what nonsense! there will not be any association. There is a political bargaining. Common: tension-discharge-tension. Both Koreas are at different ends of the political scale. And not one of them wants to accept the political platform of the other. It is possible only as a result of the internal breakdown of the political system, for example, in the DPRK.
  12. Wolka
    Wolka April 28 2018 18: 57
    0
    Already happened and God forbid to end the unification ...
  13. TOR2
    TOR2 April 28 2018 20: 09
    0
    The inter-Korean summit, in the opinion of both sides, was brilliant and opened up broad prospects for the development and unification of Korea.

    Joining is very problematic. The fact is that the mattress covers will not leave South Korea, and China will not tolerate their base in North, by the way, we also do not need them. So this euphoria can easily be replaced by a round of confrontation.
    1. Monarchist
      Monarchist April 29 2018 13: 07
      0
      Quote: Soho
      what nonsense! there will not be any association. There is a political bargaining. Common: tension-discharge-tension. Both Koreas are at different ends of the political scale. And not one of them wants to accept the political platform of the other. It is possible only as a result of the internal breakdown of the political system, for example, in the DPRK.

      And this can very well be the example of millenia. After the performance of a single team at the Olympics and summit at the highest level. By the way, why can’t you just say: after the meeting of two leaders, otherwise you must: "Summit at the highest level, meeting in the fields, how do you like to meet them today in a barrel and poor leaders in the garden?
  14. Div Divich
    Div Divich April 28 2018 21: 21
    0
    If North Korea lifts the sanctions, I would see how they begin to rapidly build up their economies.

    After all, their management system is not bad, similar to the Chinese, a bad life from isolation, from the ban on the entire planet to trade with North Korea.

    South Korea receives income from the sale of products in the markets of many countries of the planet.
    In Russia, manufacturers cannot deliver goods from one city to another, and South Korea carries all over the world.
  15. Normal ok
    Normal ok April 28 2018 22: 15
    +1
    the Korean people have moved a long way again

    Yeah, the sun-daddy’s dad also signed an agreement on the demilitarization of the peninsula. There even plans with dates were registered. Yes, only things are there.
  16. UAZ 452
    UAZ 452 April 29 2018 08: 04
    +2
    Is the US opposed to the unification of the two Koreas? Do not tell my slippers. This is when the main task of the United States is to create a containment belt around China? Now all the forces will be devoted to assimilation, absorption of the estate (soon it will be possible to say - the former estate) Kimov. Unification of Korea is a long-awaited opportunity for the United States, and a return to confrontation along the 37th parallel is the last thing they need.
  17. Monarchist
    Monarchist April 29 2018 12: 55
    0
    Quote: Yak28
    Reply

    I assure you: in the GDR there was also anti-Western propaganda, but ... The same thing was in the DPRK: propaganda was on both sides in the confrontation, propaganda is the first thing.
  18. Tomato
    Tomato April 29 2018 14: 05
    +1
    I doubt it. There will not be any association. All the elites of S. Korea will be immediately thrown into the dustbin of history. And they understand that. Perhaps something in the Chinese version: an authoritarian polit. system and liberal economy. Although .... is it necessary to South Korea?
  19. NF68
    NF68 April 29 2018 15: 10
    0
    Who knows how it will turn there.
  20. Vadim Golubkov
    Vadim Golubkov April 30 2018 14: 19
    0
    The United States will not, not for that they are in the South. Korea was pumped with money and technology ... that there was peace in that space. Will not let go.
  21. Vadim Golubkov
    Vadim Golubkov April 30 2018 14: 22
    0
    We were also disconnected, our subethnos of the Great Russians, Little Russians, Belarusians .... Russian ethnic group.
  22. Markus62
    Markus62 1 May 2018 18: 36
    0
    Now the unity of Korea has one adversary, but very strong - this is the United States of America. The division of Korea gives them the right to keep their troops there. Why is America not limited to Japanese bases? First, Japan is significantly more economically developed than Korea. That is, for the Japanese, American military bases are not at all such a welcome source of money as they are for Korea. Accordingly, the attitude to American bases in Japan is worse. Secondly, although Japan and Korea seem to be close by, it is much more convenient from Korea to control the south of the Indochina Peninsula, around which one of the main sea trade routes passes. Planes flying there from Korea can spend much more time over the Strait of Malacca, ships from Korea go much closer there, respectively, they will spend less time. That is, it is advisable for Americans to have a base as close to one of the key maritime trade routes as possible.

    As for the Koreans themselves, they always considered reunion necessary. Actually, this is precisely why the ceasefire in the Korean War did not become a peace treaty, since peace treaties are concluded between independent states, and neither the north nor the south of Korea have ever fully recognized the political division of the country.

    In 1997, Hong Kong returned to China based on the principle of "One country - two systems." And this experience sharply revived hopes for the reunification of Korea. Unofficial sounding from both sides began almost immediately after the return of Hong Kong. But the only political force that does not allow these unofficial feelings to go into official negotiations is the United States. The demonstrative gesture of the leaders of the north and south of Korea in April 2018 was directed not so much even at the Korean people themselves, but at that part of world public opinion that could somehow affect the United States. There really is hope that real negotiations will begin, but at the same time, it is clear that so far the United States has the strength to prevent these negotiations. Therefore, no matter how friendly gestures the presidents of the north and south show, these gestures are unlikely to turn into any real actions in the near future. And not because they don’t want it on the Korean peninsula, but because they don’t want it in the New World. America works as a geopolitical key that impedes the movement of two Koreas towards each other.
    Regarding the nuclear program of the People’s Democratic Republic of Korea. Kim said that he was suspending the test program, and this is understandable. The tests were successful, they proved the combat readiness of Korean intercontinental ballistic missiles and, apparently, proved the combat readiness of nuclear warheads. “Apparently” - since the nuclear part of the tests, if passed, is underground. And although experts, analyzing the data of seismographs, came to the conclusion that these were indeed thermonuclear explosions and really successful, but at the same time it is believed that it is possible to simulate a nuclear explosion by non-nuclear means. In any case, since the tests were successful, then there is no need to spend money on new tests, they will be needed only if some new generation of military equipment is developed, but for now this is enough. And the fact that Kim announced the termination of the test program, from a military-technical point of view, is completely reasonable and justified.

    As for denuclearization, that is, a complete rejection of nuclear weapons, Kim always spoke of the denuclearization of the entire Korean Peninsula. Of course, the southern half of Korea does not have its own nuclear weapons, but the United States has them. And, as far as we know, the troops stationed by the Americans in the south of Korea have their own tactical nuclear weapons, which, of course, is unacceptable to the Koreans themselves. Peninsular denuclearization is the action that not only Koreans, but also Americans must take. They are unlikely to do this. Most likely, the proposal for the denuclearization of the entire Korean Peninsula is precisely designed for the Americans to reject it. And so the Americans will already be under the pressure of world public opinion, not Korea. So this proposal, in my opinion, is very effective in diplomatic and propaganda terms and shows that Koreans are much smarter than the American idea of
    Today there are such opinions that the DPRK capitulation is evident: North Korea ceases to exist on the conditions of the West and, like East Germany, merges into a “civilized community”. None of what was said and done in Korea, even in the south, even in the north, gives reason to assume not only surrender, but in general any concessions on the part of one of the Koreans. On the contrary, the proposal to denuclearize the peninsula is a proposal primarily addressed to the United States and inviting them to cede.