Military Review

Uncle Sam is building his oil state in Syria

71
Political scientists and analysts have been talking about the “accomplished” disintegration of Syria for several years now. The decay even formed its own история. Today decay suffered. On 2018 year. Probably, this year the Americans finally "staked out" Syrian oil, democratizing the neighborhood of Deir ez-Zor.




About two years ago, the collapse of Syria was discovered by an expert from Russia Alexander Ignatenko (President of the Institute of Religion and Politics). According to him, the collapse of Syria actually took place. He told about it in August 2016 of the year.

“Syria is in a state close to disintegration,” the expert said at a meeting of the VTsIOM expert club. - The federal region of Northern Syria (Kurds) has already declared its autonomy more than a year ago. It has its own flag, anthem, they are preparing to adopt their constitution, they have their own army, and so on. ” In addition, the Assad government does not control the Sunni areas of Syria. In addition, “IG” (prohibited in the Russian Federation) is “a fairly rigid education in the sense that it cannot be knocked over in a month and a year,” the scientist quotes RIA News". And the Syrian army lacks the strength to take control of the Sunni regions. And therefore, "that Syria, which was before 2011, will never be." New Syria will consist of several independent states, including the Kurdish territory and the Sunni territory.

In 2017, the coming disintegration of Syria was reported in France.

In September, French President Emmanuel Macron proposed the creation of an international contact group comprising permanent members of the UN Security Council and countries with influence in Syria. This idea was then developed by Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian, who said that the group would develop a roadmap for a settlement in Syria, otherwise the country would disintegrate.

“If we do not take this path [of de-escalation, cease-fire, elections and the formation of a constitution], - сказал he is in October 2017, - there is a risk of disintegration of Syria, its division into three or four regions. ”

At the beginning of 2018, France developed the theme of the disintegration of Syria.

The country can expect disintegration into several parts, and ethnic cleansing and a new wave of terrorism can also await, France’s envoy to the UN, Francois Delauttre, warned in January. “If the question is whether the situation is difficult, then yes, there is no doubt about it,” he quotes. TASS. “I firmly believe that the country is at a crossroads, which is possibly the worst: fragmentation, ethnic cleansing, despair of the Sunni minority, which will lead to a new wave of terrorism, new humanitarian tragedies, waves of migration ... All this is possible.”

These words were voiced after Vladimir Putin announced the prevention of the collapse of Syria.

In November 2017, President Putin announced at a meeting of Russia, Turkey and Iran that the collapse of the SAR was prevented.

"It was possible to prevent the collapse of Syria, there was a real chance to put an end to the long-term civil war," the channel quoted Putin’s words. "Star".

Further, Vladimir Putin announced the completion of large-scale hostilities in Syria: he said that this was achieved thanks to the efforts of Russia, Turkey and Iran.

Also, the Russian president noted that in order to resolve the situation in Syria, help to civilians, demining of the territory and help with the return of refugees are needed.

However, the hypotheses about the disintegration of Syria are voiced to this day.

The Permanent Representative of Saudi Arabia under the League of Arab States declared in March 2018 that Syria could be divided. This will happen because there are too many parties involved in the Syrian conflict.

“I believe that this will ultimately lead to the disintegration of Syria”, - expressed Assumption Saudi diplomat.

But quite a fresh opinion. Analytical. Russian. "Syria may collapse already this year," - casually reports V. Mukhin, columnist "Independent newspaper".

There are also known reasons for the imminent collapse of the UAR into pieces: this will happen because the United States "planned spending on supporting militants and opposition authorities in a belligerent country."

The browser has two main points.

The first is a local standoff. Russia and its allies in Syria (Iran and partly Turkey) cannot ensure the territorial integrity of the country. Russia will be opposed by groups of Arabs and Kurds, supervised by the American coalition.

The second is the financing of the American armed forces in Syria, fighting against the official Damascus.

According to the author, the White House "has planned significant costs to support the separatist territories in Syria and the creation there of not only alternative Damascus authorities, but also large armed formations." The Pentagon justifies the costs of supporting the Syrian opposition in the budget for the 2019 fiscal year, including “payments to verified Syrian opposition groups.”

What amounts are we talking about? At first glance, small.

The Pentagon wants to get 80 million dollars - ostensibly to fight the "IG" and ensure internal security. But the United States is not going to transfer the occupied territories, on whose security millions will be spent, to Bashar Assad. Washington is going to invest in the “moderate opposition,” and not in Damascus.

The Pentagon document also proposes by the end of this fiscal year (September 30 ends) to increase the number of "supported" representatives of the "proven Syrian opposition" from 10 thousand to 60-65 thousand fighters.

But the humanitarian and political actions related to the settlement of the situation, the US military budget has not provided.

According to the analyst, 80 million dollars - the amount is relatively large. Syria has a low standard of living, and the American millions are extremely important for the opponents of Assad.

And what about Moscow?

It turns out that she is not able to influence what is happening.

Russia adequately assesses the situation, but it cannot or does not want to radically change the state of affairs. As admitted by Colonel Edward Rodyukov, a corresponding member of the Academy of Military Sciences, Russia will help Assad liberate East Guta and other enclaves in Syria, and then the country will move to a peaceful life. “But this is unlikely to change the overall balance of power,” the expert believes. - Syria is already de facto divided. And the actions of the United States are aimed at making this division final. ” Damascus together with Moscow can get bogged down in a war that as a result will grow into a global one. If Damascus and Moscow jointly continue the struggle with the Arab-Kurdish formations supported by the United States, there will be a great risk that the war will develop into a global war, where "the military machines of the United States and Russia will actually collide."

The split of the SAR and the departure of Assad from the political scene, we note, has long been the ideal of Washington’s Syrian policy. On the "care Assad" was interpreted by Madame Clinton. As for Mr. Trump, you cannot call him an ardent admirer of the Syrian president. And if it were not for intervention in the war of Russia, it is unlikely that Assad would rule the country now.

The disintegration of Syria is an undoubted project of the USA. The American military machine methodically implements it. Already, the Americans, who were not without reason called oil democratizers, consider almost "their" a certain part of the territory of Syria. We are talking about the neighborhood of Deir ez-Zor to the west and east, those that are rich in oil.

Previously, the militants of “IG” hosted and traded in minerals there, but now other times and other owners have arrived. If the United States consolidates on a lacquered piece of territory, they will not allow anyone to the oil there.

Hillary Clinton talked a lot about energy oil independence of the USA, and she knew a lot about these projects. And here you are: energy strategy - in action.

This strategy of Americans is well understood in Russia.

In a February interview with Euronews, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov сказалthat the United States has been working in Syria for two or three years. Their goal is to establish control over part of the country.

The Russian Foreign Minister believes that the US strategy in Syria comes down to the following: “to live forever in Syria with its armed forces”. Why? According to Lavrov, Americans are leading the matter to “isolating a huge chunk of Syrian territory from the rest of the country, in violation of the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Syrian Arab Republic, create some quasi-local authorities there, trying in every possible way to create some kind of autonomous entity, relying , again, to the Kurds. "

It is not difficult to guess that the “piece” is precisely the neighborhood of Deir ez-Zor with their oil. Previously, this city was the center of the oil industry in Syria.

The city itself in the autumn of 2017, the Syrian government forces, with the support of the Russian Aerospace Force of the Russian Federation, liberated themselves from the "IG" formations.

But the United States is already hard to show teeth in those places. At the end of February, 2018, the American coalition bombed out several villages in the vicinity of Deir ez-Zor.

Earlier in February, the formations fighting on the side of Assad fell under the air strike of the coalition under Deir ez-Zor. Other Western media wrotethat there "could kill dozens of Russian citizens."

These blows, of course, are just the beginning.

The United States will replace the former detachments of Islamist terrorists in its territories with its own military forces and the forces of the sponsored "insurgents". A short period of democratization of the population will follow, after which a rapid pumping of oil will begin in the name of the prosperity of the United States and the freedom of the new Syrian democracy that respects the rights of the American person.

As for the Kurds, they are in the predatory game of splitting Syria - cannon fodder or, at best, extras. Maybe they will have a chance to create their own state, but the best pieces will still be taken by the United States. Transnational capital is not interested in the well-being of local peoples.

Of course, the appropriation of oil fields at the same time will be the beginning of the collapse of Syria. No one will enter the war with the United States because of the “piece of territory”.

Observed and commented on Oleg Chuvakin
- especially for topwar.ru
71 comment
Information
Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must sign in.
  1. Vard
    Vard 17 March 2018 05: 30
    +14
    Well, it’s already as old as the world ... If you have oil ... It will be ready that America will come to visit you ... And not the fact that you will chew it ...
    1. Stas157
      Stas157 17 March 2018 07: 34
      +17
      It should be noted that, in words, the Guarantor initially advocated the integrity of Syria. And in deeds, the first suggested to partners (including the USA) to divide Syria. This is his consent to the expansion of the northern territories by the Turks, negotiations on this in Astana, in Sochi. Well, etc ..
      The Americans did not stoop to negotiations with Putin, and divided Syria in their own way. They decided the main task was to win the oil race, to which Russia was initially much closer (a breakthrough to Deir ez-zor).
      As a result, on one side there was a hostile population towards the Alawites, who needed to be fed something, and on the other, a source of money.
      Now, American proxies will pump oil, and with this money they will carry out subversive work among the huge Sunni impoverished population that Assad got. And as soon as Assad loosens his grip, and Russia ceases to help, it will blaze again in Syria.
      1. Okolotochny
        Okolotochny 17 March 2018 09: 14
        +11
        Well, I knew that - Stas157 is “Putininvinned”, bored girls!
        1. just exp
          just exp 18 March 2018 07: 10
          +6
          What does Putin have to do with it?
          here is a pure statement of fact, the mattresses occupied the oil fields.
          and they will use them in black, moreover, against Syria itself.
          1. Okolotochny
            Okolotochny 18 March 2018 10: 11
            +3
            Exactly, and what about Putin? Read the comment of Stas157 (in front of mine), instead of the Guarantor, put the GDP and Putin's guilty. Read any of his comments on any topic and the result will be the same. Read Gardamira, these are two acrobat brothers. And you minus, did not read my comment, but only saw the word Putin fool
        2. Ingvar 72
          Ingvar 72 18 March 2018 17: 04
          +1
          Quote: Okolotochny
          bored girls!

          Have you changed your gender? wassat What does "Putininovate" have to do with it? belay
          1. Okolotochny
            Okolotochny 18 March 2018 19: 01
            +1
            Have you changed sex? One more fool I explain to another firm one, read (only carefully) the comment of Stas157, to which I answered and will understand. Although unlikely.
            1. Ingvar 72
              Ingvar 72 18 March 2018 19: 04
              0
              Quote: Okolotochny
              I explain to another firm

              Alexei, you are kind of not that soft either! wink Then why get personal?
              bored girls!
              ? In his comment, Stas157 does not focus on Putin, and it’s stupid to catch him at every mention of him. request
              1. Okolotochny
                Okolotochny 18 March 2018 20: 23
                +2
                Igor, hi . Read his comments, his ANY comments and see -
                It should be noted that in words, Garant initially advocated the integrity of Syria. And in deeds, the first suggested to partners (including the USA) to divide Syria.

                Who is this for? I didn’t want to get with you, litter. But Stas157, as always in his repertoire.
                1. Ingvar 72
                  Ingvar 72 18 March 2018 20: 41
                  +2
                  Quote: Okolotochny
                  But Stas157, as always in his repertoire.

                  Well, he does not like Vova, what now. request And to me the same thing, I can explain everything logically. But I'm afraid today I will be punished for campaigning against a particular candidate. laughing
                  We are all different, with different views, but everyone has the right to express their views. Even a mistake. request
                  P.S. By the way, Stas and I disagree on the personality of Lenin, but we agree on the personality of Stalin and another candidate in this election.
                  1. Okolotochny
                    Okolotochny 18 March 2018 22: 00
                    +2
                    Yes, no problem, I don’t like it. I'm not talking about that. I mean that in an article that is far from assessing Putin’s personality, we also insert a negative about him. I’m talking about this. I have not seen anything like this with you. And that of Stas, that of Gardamir it is constant. I'm against it.
    2. Megatron
      Megatron 17 March 2018 11: 02
      +3
      Our S-300s have been delivered to Syria for a couple of years and have been silent since then.
    3. Alber
      Alber 17 March 2018 15: 45
      +1
      Quote: Vard
      Well, it’s already as old as the world ... If you have oil ... It will be ready that America will come to visit you ... And not the fact that you will chew it ...

      Syria fell into the zone of interest of the Zionist Anglo-Saxons. Assad and Unison are friendly and ready to throw both the Israilites and Amerikos.
      It is not clear where and in what place Assad stepped on the left egg of the Jews?
    4. Nikolai Grek
      Nikolai Grek 22 March 2018 17: 02
      0
      Quote: Vard
      Well, it’s already as old as the world ... If you have oil ... It will be ready that America will come to visit you ... And not the fact that you will chew it ...

      You can come for oil, but do not come back !!! wink yes + Americans came to where there is no border with America .. Another question is, how are they going to carry oil from the captured region of Syria, which is quietly blocked on all sides by states that are, to put it mildly, unfriendly to the Americans !! request request wassat wassat wassat
  2. dog breeder
    dog breeder 17 March 2018 05: 47
    +4
    Drive all the "democrats" out of there with a filthy broom! I wonder why there is no question of the integrity of a sovereign state and US interference in the internal affairs of that state on the UN agenda.
    1. midivan
      midivan 17 March 2018 06: 11
      +8
      Quote: dog breeder
      Drive all the "democrats" out of there with a filthy broom!

      The broomstick requires an iron "21" and much more.
      Quote: dog breeder
      I am surprisedWhy is there no question of the integrity of a sovereign state and US interference in the internal affairs of that state on the UN agenda?

      And even after that, still wondering? belay
    2. Esoteric
      Esoteric 17 March 2018 06: 11
      +2
      Quote: dog breeder
      I wonder why there is no question of the integrity of a sovereign state and US interference in the internal affairs of that state on the UN agenda.

      Assad must do this every day, and measures to prevent American expansion of the ATS should be radical. The time of concern has passed.
    3. Kent0001
      Kent0001 17 March 2018 19: 23
      +1
      So we are completely ignored in this matter as a UN. In fact, we have already lost in Syria if the mattresses took our oil-bearing areas.
    4. VALERIK_097
      VALERIK_097 17 March 2018 19: 37
      0
      Your comment is certainly good, universal. (Only change the name of the country).
      Crimea-Ours, without any doubt, but there is one BUT., In the West operate with statements that are similar in essence, already in relation to Russia.
      1. Ingvar 72
        Ingvar 72 18 March 2018 17: 07
        0
        Quote: VALERIK_097
        Crimea-Our

        I agree, it was impossible to give Crimea, but the rest of Ukraine was lost - who won?
  3. lance
    lance 17 March 2018 06: 40
    +2
    Assad simply physically lacks the strength to fight on five fronts. after guta there will be an idlib. and only after capturing the entire coast and west can we talk about the east after the Euphrates. if during this time Turkey presses the Kurds from the north, that is, there are no states or there will not be, you will have to negotiate with the Assad.
    1. Ingvar 72
      Ingvar 72 18 March 2018 17: 08
      0
      Quote: Lance
      you can talk about east after the euphrates

      No one will talk to him. they are already entering their troops. We will only have the Korean version. hi
  4. sib.ataman
    sib.ataman 17 March 2018 07: 13
    +11
    Somehow the Vietnam War was already forgotten. Much time has passed, several generations have changed after its completion. But this war was even worse than the current one in the SAR! And the Ammerz colonizers managed to divide Vietnam into two parts (as did Korea before). And the US Armed Forces fought there directly, and not with the wrong hands, using all their might and all their insolent cynicism! It’s just that nuclear weapons haven’t reached the point, but here the Soviet Union has taken notice. There was a terrible war, bloody and long, but the Vietnamese did well, they survived! That's who you need to learn from stamina! The Ammerzavians could not do anything with them, just as they were not hungry. Even if nuclear bombs were dropped on Vietnam, the Vietnamese would probably have risen from the radioactive ashes, and in the last throw they would have bitten their teeth into the throats of this scum! Thank God, there were no nuclear weapons! But Vietnam survived and won! And striped thugs still have Vietnamese syndrome! So nothing is lost for the ATS! Everything will depend on the will of the political leadership (the results of the betrayal of the Saddam environment, for them a good example of what happens in this case!). Well, the Russian Federation also has nowhere to go, the very future existence is at stake! The GDP and Co. will also fall back, like the USSR with the hunchback headed from Afghanistan, and this will be the beginning of the end! Also, more than a clear example. And so that this tramp does not stretch indefinitely, it is necessary to tie up with this "partnership", concern and other diplomatic crap, and begin to act harshly and without compromise! Our political correctness is expensive for the RF-lives of our military. Ammerzavtsev have no rules, meanness is their rule! With such a conversation should be short! Melon in turnips so that brains would fly out through the ears, and all the concern! The faster it ends in the SAR, the faster the Sabbath ends in Hahland. These two abscesses are connected by a communicating vessel through Fascistton.
    1. Korsar4
      Korsar4 17 March 2018 07: 38
      +1
      Other landscapes. And the balance of power in the world is different. And there are not so many Alawites in Syria.
      But stamina, of course, is necessary.
    2. Korax71
      Korax71 17 March 2018 14: 39
      +4
      You’re just like our media hear the ringing, but you don’t know where it is. Firstly Vietnam divided France before the Americans. Secondly, the USSR and the USA divided 38 zones of influence over Korea parallel to their zones of influence. Even there is an agreement on joint management of the country. How do you everything turns out smoothly. if the Soviet Union around the world was helped and supported by the coming to power of the pro-communist regimes, then they are soft and fluffy, like the meridos, the democratic forces support-they are Satan himself lol it’s geopolitics. here all means are good and there are no good and bad ones. and no resistance to Assad will help anymore. Russia, like the USSR in Afghanistan, made the same mistake. She put on the one who, at best, supports 10 percent of the population. Question Syria’s division is a matter of time. And it’s not even the Americans who are to blame, but its ruler, who placed the interests of a certain circle of society above the interests of the country's population. And in Ukraine, it will all end as they cease to support LDNR, but it’s slowly going on. And it’s not necessary now to talk about the Russian world, because at the beginning of the whole Kotovasia, so many normal, healthy men left for Russia and they live here and they don’t want to defend their homeland.
  5. Strashila
    Strashila 17 March 2018 08: 02
    +3
    Oil, oil ... the question is different ... if you have access to trade, look at Libya, wells in some bandiuk ... oil terminals in others ... pipes control the third, what normal trade can be in such conditions. For example, the Kurds in Iraq became very wealthy while sitting in oil wells.
  6. antivirus
    antivirus 17 March 2018 09: 51
    0
    decides the case in the east DZ --- the situation in Iraq, areas adjacent to eastern Syria. we don’t officially go there and the USA is the owner there.
    Iran and Shiites of Iraq can squeeze out or complicate life to amers? then they will leave and abandon the Kurds
  7. vlad007
    vlad007 17 March 2018 11: 59
    0
    The response to US action will be a new flow of refugees to Europe. Let’s see what Europe will do - Poland and the Baltic states refuse to accept refugees up to sanctions, England (15% of the EU budget) begins the process of leaving the EU on March 29, and it will hit the Baltic subsidies by reducing the budget.
  8. NordUral
    NordUral 17 March 2018 12: 00
    +2
    Not to shout about successes and not to exempt dunes from the bandits, but to get out of the oil-bearing areas it was necessary for the Syrian army and our VKS. Now it’s too late to wave your hands, it remains only to scratch your tongues.
  9. Grits
    Grits 17 March 2018 12: 29
    +3
    It is because of my prostitution policy that I am not at all sorry for the Kurds, whom the Turks are now genocidal. They dumbasses do not understand that they are just Indians for the sheriff.
  10. groks
    groks 17 March 2018 14: 52
    0
    The USA does not leave and is not going to. He doesn’t ask anyone for permission. Sits in oil areas. Well, what is the argument about? Syria will not fall apart, once there. The section has already occurred.
    1. Vlad Petrov
      Vlad Petrov 17 March 2018 15: 21
      0
      The creation of an autonomous education by the Americans, relying on the Kurds, is the creation of an independent Kurdistan. How will Turkey react to this simply reconcile? And Iran and Iraq will not tolerate this.
      1. groks
        groks 17 March 2018 15: 30
        0
        USA on the drum - who and how it relates. Is it really not clear.
        By the way, the Kurds gave Rosneft 2,5 billion. Has Rosneft Gave Money to the USA? For what?
        1. lance
          lance 17 March 2018 16: 49
          0
          Rosneft also needs to receive from each ton produced, therefore it is invested in production, but it still needs to be delivered to the port and sold, here either asad or Turkey. The United States wants to rule everything that with Assad and Erdogan will not. Therefore, today the United States, or rather the coalition, is losing everything and screaming. usa will receive their percentage until the Kurds with Assad agree
  11. Curious
    Curious 17 March 2018 16: 09
    +1
    I do not understand. Kamenev invite, or what? It seems that in Syria they won completely and forever. Already sort of and in panfare blew. Or did not win?
    1. lance
      lance 17 March 2018 16: 58
      0
      defeated the igil, but the other opposition and part of the igil who passed to them under the kaolithic dream about their income 4 years ago. including how not to twist the rope (even when the United States hits missiles) kaolitsiya will not fight without the barmaley. and barmaley of various stripes become less and less.
  12. A. Privalov
    A. Privalov 17 March 2018 17: 12
    +9
    Uncle Sam, of course, is still a beetle, but an analytical article about oil without a single figure cited as a proof of what has been said, confuses me, to put it mildly.
    Once, I already wrote to IN that even in pre-war times, Syria produced only about 400 thousand barrels of oil per day, of which, 80% immediately consumed itself. (For comparison, Libya has 1.4 -1.8 million barrels per day, and the entire Middle East today produces 28.5 million bar. per day, global consumption up to 89 million bar. in a day). In the United States, only a strategic oil reserve is almost 700 million barrels. In other words, this is all Syrian oil to the last drop for 5 (five!) years of intense mining. The United States can feed the whole world with its own cash supply during a week. hi
    For those interested in:
    Syria has never been a transit hub for the export of oil, there are no modernly equipped oil ports, although earlier they pumped Iraqi oil through an oil pipeline and poured it into a tanker. Yes, all sorts of bandyuki poured oil into the oil tankers and somewhere (I remember, even to Turkey) they sold it in small details, but this is all nonsense in the general oil stream.
    Oil flows around the world from the Middle East go in three directions: through the Arabian Sea to the Asian market or, bending around Africa with access to the Atlantic Ocean, and the last option - through the Suez Canal and across the Mediterranean to European markets.
    More than 80% of cargo ships that go to the Mediterranean Sea do not even approach the shores of Syria. A few hundred kilometers near the border of Syria there is a large port in Turkey, which unites oil flows from Iraq and Azerbaijan - Ceyhan Oil Terminal, which has a peak load of up to 2 million barrels per day, but actually makes out about 1.1 million barrels per day. Syria, with its oil capabilities, has nothing to do there. hi
    1. groks
      groks 17 March 2018 17: 33
      +1
      So it was like talking about a gas pipe from Qatar. And the rest is nice little things.
    2. Korax71
      Korax71 17 March 2018 20: 58
      +2
      Greetings, Alexander. hi in addition to your words, I can add: a record was broken in the United States at the beginning of the year in 1970, the level of oil production in the United States exceeded 10 million barrels per day and the rate of production continues to increase. At the end of 18 or at the beginning of the 19th day the US will overtake Russia, t The credit policy and oil price allow us to steadily increase production. The ban on the export of American oil, which has been in effect since 1973, has been canceled, today the United States is already exporting 1,7 million barrels of oil per day, and this year it will commission capacities to export 3,8 billion cubic feet (107-108 million cubic meters) of natural gas per day. The only problem so far is the logistics component. 70 to 100 tankers are needed for the United States to compete in gas markets in Europe and Asia. Sabine Pass LNG plant with a capacity of 14 million operates in the USA t, six more are under construction. In the next 3 years they will be put into operation. The ban on the development of offshore deposits has also been lifted. And everyone still thinks that the United States in Syria because of oil laughing
      1. A. Privalov
        A. Privalov 17 March 2018 23: 18
        +1
        Quote: Korax71
        everyone still thinks that the US is in Syria because of the oil laughing

        And I greet you, namesake! I dare to suggest that not everyone thinks so. It's just such a familiar, although already outdated, stamp. They say, the imperialists, but for the sake of oil and so on ...
        From the editorial of the newspaper Trud, the beginning of the 70's:
        The enormous, ever-increasing national economic and military-strategic importance of oil, the relatively low costs associated with its production, and the rapid turnover of funds make it a sphere of extremely profitable investment of capital. At that time, oil control serves the imperialists as an important tool of economic and political domination. All this predetermines the fierce nature of the imperialist struggle for the division and redistribution of world oil resources, for the preservation and expansion of control over this most valuable type of raw materials and fuel.
        1. Korax71
          Korax71 18 March 2018 03: 46
          +1
          Yeah recourse and people write about it, whose budget depends entirely on the cost of oil. Moreover, the most interesting thing is that even now Rosneft is investing quietly in the development of shale deposits in the USA. If you follow the logic that the imperialists are unleashing wars for the sake of money, then it turns out that they are fighting they are for brains, because the main source of budget revenue is income from intellectual property. It is several times higher than income from oil belay
  13. 501Legion
    501Legion 17 March 2018 17: 26
    0
    Syria has nothing to lose, they can start to shoot down American planes. for example tankers, fire support, etc. at what with the secret permission of Russia. just like in the war of two Koreas
    1. Petio
      Petio 17 March 2018 18: 52
      +5
      Quote: 501Legion
      Syria has nothing to lose, they can start to shoot down American planes. for example tankers, fire support, etc. at what with the secret permission of Russia. just like in the war of two Koreas

      The response will be followed by a massive blow to the aerodromes and air defense systems with the help of 150-200 axes
  14. Radikal
    Radikal 17 March 2018 19: 32
    +4
    Quote: Okolotochny
    Well, I knew that - Stas157 is “Putininvinned”, bored girls!

    Especially for girls: what do you have to report on the problem? wassat
  15. Radikal
    Radikal 17 March 2018 19: 34
    +3
    Quote: A. Privalov
    Uncle Sam, of course, is still a beetle, but an analytical article about oil without a single figure cited as a proof of what has been said, confuses me, to put it mildly.
    Once, I already wrote to IN that even in pre-war times, Syria produced only about 400 thousand barrels of oil per day, of which, 80% immediately consumed itself. (For comparison, Libya has 1.4 -1.8 million barrels per day, and the entire Middle East today produces 28.5 million bar. per day, global consumption up to 89 million bar. in a day). In the United States, only a strategic oil reserve is almost 700 million barrels. In other words, this is all Syrian oil to the last drop for 5 (five!) years of intense mining. The United States can feed the whole world with its own cash supply during a week. hi
    For those interested in:
    Syria has never been a transit hub for the export of oil, there are no modernly equipped oil ports, although earlier they pumped Iraqi oil through an oil pipeline and poured it into a tanker. Yes, all sorts of bandyuki poured oil into the oil tankers and somewhere (I remember, even to Turkey) they sold it in small details, but this is all nonsense in the general oil stream.
    Oil flows around the world from the Middle East go in three directions: through the Arabian Sea to the Asian market or, bending around Africa with access to the Atlantic Ocean, and the last option - through the Suez Canal and across the Mediterranean to European markets.
    More than 80% of cargo ships that go to the Mediterranean Sea do not even approach the shores of Syria. A few hundred kilometers near the border of Syria there is a large port in Turkey, which unites oil flows from Iraq and Azerbaijan - Ceyhan Oil Terminal, which has a peak load of up to 2 million barrels per day, but actually makes out about 1.1 million barrels per day. Syria, with its oil capabilities, has nothing to do there. hi

    Then because of what all the fuss if everything is as you described? wassat
    1. A. Privalov
      A. Privalov 17 March 2018 19: 50
      +3
      Quote: Radikal

      Then because of what all the fuss if everything is as you described? wassat

      Well, not because of that bowl of oil. There are places and more bread.
      It seems, it is time to write a large overview article like "Who and what is fighting in Syria." hi
      1. Korax71
        Korax71 17 March 2018 22: 05
        +1
        Good thought good We will wait.
      2. Stas157
        Stas157 18 March 2018 14: 13
        +4
        Quote: A. Privalov
        Well, not because of that bowl of oil. There are places and more bread.

        Having seized 70% Syrian oil, the Americans will no longer have to keep Kurds around their necks. And the profits from the sale of this oil by the Kurds to the Syrians, to the Americans, would be enough to carry on subversive work among the impoverished Sunni population, which Assad got.
        1. A. Privalov
          A. Privalov 18 March 2018 14: 32
          +1
          Quote: Stas157
          Quote: A. Privalov
          Well, not because of that bowl of oil. There are places and more bread.

          Having seized 70% Syrian oil, the Americans will no longer have to keep Kurds around their necks. And the profits from the sale of this oil by the Kurds to the Syrians, to the Americans, would be enough to carry on subversive work among the impoverished Sunni population, which Assad got.

          Such an alignment reminded me of an old-old joke, when two loaders from a distillery stole a vodka box. They sold it and got drunk on the money. hi
      3. Ingvar 72
        Ingvar 72 18 March 2018 17: 24
        0
        Quote: A. Privalov
        "Who and what is fighting in Syria."

        Will the opinion be impartial? wink
  16. A.
    A. 17 March 2018 20: 52
    0
    It is only necessary sometimes to roll over helicopters with NATO scum on board, to learn from the Vietnamese.
  17. Radikal
    Radikal 17 March 2018 21: 17
    0
    Quote: A. Privalov
    Quote: Radikal

    Then because of what all the fuss if everything is as you described? wassat

    Well, not because of that bowl of oil. There are places and more bread.
    It seems, it is time to write a large overview article like "Who and what is fighting in Syria." hi

    So flag in hand ...! laughing
  18. Some kind of compote
    Some kind of compote 17 March 2018 22: 07
    +15
    Uncle Sam needs oil on the side
    Its mothballed
    1. A. Privalov
      A. Privalov 17 March 2018 23: 32
      +1
      Quote: Some Compote
      Uncle Sam needs oil on the side
      Its mothballed

      This is a common misconception. The United States plans to sell half of its oil reserve - almost 350 million barrels. hi
      1. Korax71
        Korax71 18 March 2018 04: 47
        +1
        Alexander, I wanted to ask you, as the next person in Middle Eastern affairs, and in particular in the Syrian issue. repeat The Assad has put forward the Syrian people's council for the presidency, with the overwhelming majority behind the Baath party? But if you look at the history of the founding of this party, then this is a semi-zygomet structure, so to speak Arabists? It seems like this party was one of the first to even Mein Kampf in Arabic It is clear that over time, it was slightly modified, but judging by the policy of the Assad, which he carried out before the war, a number of convictions remained. Is it possible that the regime that supports GDP remained at the level of the Nazi and semi-totalitarian ???
        1. A. Privalov
          A. Privalov 18 March 2018 10: 23
          +3
          Quote: Korax71
          Alexander, I wanted to ask you, as the next person in Middle Eastern affairs, and in particular in the Syrian issue. repeat The Assad has put forward the Syrian people's council for the presidency, with the overwhelming majority behind the Baath party? But if you look at the history of the founding of this party, then this is a semi-zygomet structure, so to speak Arabists? It seems like this party was one of the first to even Mein Kampf in Arabic It is clear that over time, it was slightly modified, but judging by the policy of the Assad, which he carried out before the war, a number of convictions remained. Is it possible that the regime that supports GDP remained at the level of the Nazi and semi-totalitarian ???

          The fact is that back in the 20 of the last century, the Syrian Michel Aflak went to Paris, read Kant, Hegel and Marx and began to create the intellectual basis of the Arab Renaissance Party - Baath. By the 1960 years, the Baath bizarrely mixed in itself socialism, nationalism and pan-Arabism, mixed up with irreconcilable hostility towards Israel. The Soviet Union skillfully took advantage of this diversity. His activities in the BV became particularly active in the first year after the Baath Party came to power in Syria. As Kosygin said in a speech to voters in Moscow 8 June 1966,
          This activity was aimed at strengthening the Syrian-Egyptian cooperation and preparing the groundwork for other Arab countries to join the bloc, "having thrown off colonial oppression and in new conditions continue to oppose imperialism and reaction."
          Reaction meant all those countries (Saudi Arabia, Jordan) and organizations in Arab countries that refused to pursue pro-Soviet policies.
          I already wrote in one of my articles that by the end of the USSR 50-s, I routinely divided the governments of the Arab world into backward feudal-monarchist ones, such as Saudi Arabia, Morocco or Oman, and progressive ones — democratic people, like Egypt, Syria and Iraq. . If the West looked at the Arab world through the prism of oil reserves, the USSR did not need Arab oil, but the USSR’s foreign policy reflected the concept of global competition between the two world systems in the second half of the 60s.
          Arab countries used the Soviet-Western contradictions simply sophisticated. It was enough to loudly call oneself a “democratic republic”, speculate about a “socialist orientation” and declare a struggle against colonialism and neo-colonialism, as these words turned into quite tangible economic and military bonuses from the USSR, the CMEA countries and the Warsaw Pact.
          For example, Nasser signed a contract with Moscow back in 1966, according to which the USSR gained access to ports on the Mediterranean and Red Seas and three Egyptian airfields. On the Mediterranean Sea, Soviet ships stood in Port Said, Alexandria, and Mersa Matruh, and in the Red Sea, the USSR had a base at Ras Banas. In exchange, Moscow pledged to increase the supply of weapons and provide military specialists. So did the new (after the next military coup) regime in Syria: it included two communists in the cabinet, sent several leaders to Moscow to “courses for young leaders” and nationalized a significant part of private enterprises. It looked like this, that Syria had clearly embarked on the path of becoming the first socialist state in the Arab world, and this instilled in the USSR confidence that it received an even more reliable base there than in Egypt. The USSR naval base on the Syrian coast was located in Latakia. Of course, I had to fork out and take out 120 million dollars for the construction of hydraulic structures on the Euphrates River, but who looks at such trifles in anticipation of new political dividends. We are talking about Hafez Asad, the papa of the current head of Syria. In 1963, Hafez Asad took part in the military coup (14-m in a row), which brought the Baath Party to Syria, and was appointed commander of the Air Force. In the 1966 year, in the 15 coup, which ousted the founding fathers of the party from government in favor of General Salah Jadid. Taking over the post of Minister of Defense in the new government, Hafez overthrew Jadid in the 1970 year as a result of the 16 th military coup. Is there any doubt that in the next elections he became president having received 98,9% of votes? After his death in 2000, Bashar Asad, an intellectual and an excellent ophthalmologist (his colleagues at Western Eye Hospital's Ophthalmology Center, located in London), became his successor. The Supreme Commander of the Syrian Armed Forces and Secretary of the Syrian Regional Branch of the Baath Party with 24 June 2000, Marshal. He presides 18 (!) Years. In 2000 and 2007, he was asserted by the president in non-alternative elections, and in 2014, he was re-elected in the first “alternative” elections with the official result of 88,7% of votes. It was the third year of the war in Syria ...
          In fact, I don’t really like (sometimes I still have to) apply common labels like “Nazi”, semi-totalitarian, etc. The 20th century, which destroyed the system of royal and royal autocracy, gave rise to the institution of dictators. that no one has so far made clear demarcation lines between dictators, semi-dictators, "strong leaders", "charismatic leaders" and other similar gradations. Thus, the transition from a frank and clear dictator to, let's say, just an "authoritarian leader" fading out in halftones and not at all harsh. If everyone agrees that Hitler, Mussolini, Franco, Mao, Pinochet, and, say, Pol Pot, are absolute dictators, then about Chan Chaishi or Muammar Gaddafi sometimes disagree. Ceausescu, Piłsudski, Ulmanis - Where does the dictator end and “just” a hard leader begins? If Ayatollah Khomeini, Fidel Castro or Idi Amin were 100% dictators by the standards of the Western world, then Nasser, Hafez Asad or Ho Chi Minh are inferior to them in terms of “dictatorship”. If you make a scale of dictatorial encroachments and place Hitler’s monster at the top of the absolute dictator, and quite positive, but an authoritarian leader like de Gaulle at the bottom, then Marshal Tito, Andropov, and Khrushchev, and Kerensky, will find a place between them and Kemal Atatürk, and Salazar ...
          Supporting the regime in Syria - the Russian Federation made its choice. This is the fruit of serious thought. I hope that comprehensive checks, analyzes of situations, calculations of variants of succession of events were made. Unfortunately, not everything can be taken into account and, of course, serious adjustments have to be made on the go. It's easy to get in here, it's not easy to get out. On BV there are no light warriors, alas ... hi
          1. Korax71
            Korax71 18 March 2018 15: 54
            +1
            The other day I was reading an extract from the Iranian constitution, so to speak the most interesting parts and an extract from a small green book that contains the fatwas of Ayatollah Khomeini. The first 5 paragraphs of Article 2 of the Iranian constitution, which read:

            The Islamic Republic is a system of government based on faith in:

            One God (as it is said in the phrase "There is no God but Allah"), in that He has the exclusive right to establish Sharia law and the need to obey his will
            Divine revelations and their fundamental role in the interpretation of laws
            The Last Judgment and Its Constructive Role in Human Development on the Path to God
            Divine Justice in the Creation and Establishment of Sharia Laws
            The permanence of imams (imamat) and their eternal rule and fundamental role in ensuring the continuation of the Islamic revolution.
            The fact that the country is ruled by believers, that is, radical Muslims, is beyond doubt. And as I understand from all the information that I came across, they believe in the twelfth imam. Ayatollah Ibrahim Amini, a professor at the religious training center in Qom, wrote a book under the notable title " Al-Imam al-Mahdi, Just the Leader of Humanity, "describing the connection between Shiite eschatology and Iran’s foreign policy. I will quote from his work. "The only victorious government of the whole world will be Islam, and people will devotedly make efforts to protect it. Islam will be the religion of all, and will enter into all the peoples of the world ... Mahdi will offer the religion of Islam to Jews and Christians, if they accept it, they will saved, otherwise they will be killed ... It seems unlikely that this catastrophe can be avoided ... War and bloodshed [are] inevitable ... Imam Veka and his supporters will overcome the forces of materialism, unbelief and godlessness through jihad " . And the definition of jihad by Khomeini: Jihad means the conquest of all non-Muslim territories. Such a war may well be declared after the formation of an Islamic government worthy of this name, at the direction of the imam or on his orders. Then the duty of every able-bodied adult man will be a volunteer for this predatory war, the ultimate goal of which is to extend the power of the Koranic law from one end of the Earth to the other. Of course, I do not want to label it, but somewhere I've heard such things. And the more trying to figure it out, the worse it is. I also hope that we have figured out the possible consequences. but from all of the above, it turns out that Iran is not our ally, at best a fellow traveler, just like Assad. and the strength of the latest information about this the question arises of the difference between official Iran and any other organization such as Hezbolfei or Hamas. I understand that the East is delicate and ..... dark. hi
            1. A. Privalov
              A. Privalov 18 March 2018 16: 57
              0
              Quote: Korax71
              The Islamic Republic is a system of government based on belief in: ..


              Quotes directly calling for hatred and murder can be found in the Qur'an and in the Bible. As the quotes calling for tolerance, love, mutual aid and kindness. Especially if you pull quotes from the context (both from the context of textual and historical) and supplement it with your own understanding. And the majority of people will always reach for good and tolerance. And there will always be a certain number of those who interpret the same texts in the opposite sense.
              Islam is 6,5 centuries younger than Christianity and 22 centuries younger than Judaism. It is said that what is happening to Christians in the middle of the 15th century is happening in it now, and with the Jews in the 8th century BC
              In the history of the Jews, this is called the “Period of divided kingdoms”, when Israel and Judea were separated and fought with each other throughout the 2,5 centuries. Perhaps they could have fought further, but then the Assyrians came first, then the Babylonians, and behind them the Romans had fewer opportunities for war (although minor religious conflicts with various sects continued until the 1st century AD)
              I will not even talk about what Christianity went through - open any historical reference book in the section "The era of reformation and religious wars" and see the events. The XV century is not even the height of events, the most "fun" began at the end of XVI.
              So, unfortunately, we live in an era when Islam is experiencing its terrible puberty, which has lingered for many centuries. The difference from the past is that the possibility of killing has increased significantly, Western civilization has softened and relaxed somewhat (to be frank), but the essence of what is happening is still the same. hi
              Having gained some life experience with age and adequately perceiving what was happening, I decided for myself this way: if someone declares to me directly that he wants to kill me, then I take this very seriously. And if this is stated by the supreme leaders of a certain State, then it is obliged to take it twice as seriously, because I am aware that when dealing with religious fanatics, it is not worthwhile to ignore any scenario, even a high degree of apocalypticity.
              1. Korax71
                Korax71 18 March 2018 18: 02
                +1
                Totally agree with you hi on the part of breaking out of context. But there is no possibility to publish everything in the commentary, that's why I laid it out in parts, which was confusing. hi I would very much like to share your faith in a good, good, bright one, but as practice shows: Hitler was a pretty good artist, he loved birds very much, to the thrill, according to the memoirs of his contemporaries, a rather educated and intellectually developed person. but nevertheless this did not stop him become the bloody champion of one of the gods of chaos recourse but the religious fanaticism preached by the Iranian mullahs, who have a tremendous influence on the power in the country, in addition to that, let’s say the youth “mound”, that is, a large number of people under the age of 30, to put it mildly, does not inspire confidence. does not seem A similar scenario is now possible in almost any religion, if it is supported at the legislative and governmental levels, because this, so to speak, provides a greater administrative resource.
                1. A. Privalov
                  A. Privalov 18 March 2018 18: 20
                  0
                  Quote: Korax71
                  Totally agree with you hi on the part of breaking out of context. But there is no possibility to publish everything in the commentary, that's why I laid it out in parts, which was confusing. hi I would very much like to share your faith in good, kind, light, but this is how practice shows ...

                  ... it seems to me that such a scenario is now possible in almost any religion, if it is supported at the legislative and governmental level, because it gives us so much more administrative resources.

                  It's not about faith and I'm far from complacency. Surprisingly, but "good" people are clearly more than "bad." We will not now delve into the controversy on the topic of whom and on what grounds to consider those or these.

                  The “administrative resource” (you can put any meaning into this expression) will not give either Christianity, or Buddhism, or believers in some early arrival of the canary - an impetus to waging war against the Gentiles. I will not impose my point of view, but today, in my opinion, the only religion of “peace and good” is Islam. fellow
                  1. Korax71
                    Korax71 19 March 2018 00: 02
                    -1
                    I heard you hi maybe you are right recourse more precisely, even I do not exclude such a possibility, I do not have such extensive knowledge and I live in this world, certainly less than yours repeat that’s exactly what I’m sure of is that there are much more sincerely believing people in the Islamic religion than in, for example, in the same Orthodoxy. This is my subjective opinion, not based on statistics, but more on feelings. It was easy to compare with . I had a certain number of years to live in a purely Muslim region. And, indeed, the relationship developed in different ways. From almost kindred to blood enemies. We leave this topic to better times, and we will wait for your next article on who and what is fighting in Syria good And there is one more question, on a more generous topic, do not consider it for arrogancerepeatDo you know anything about the work of such an organization as a “joint”. I would be grateful if you would dedicate or share a link. Just the information about the time of its work in the USSR is so contradictory that doubts creep in. With respect hi
                    1. A. Privalov
                      A. Privalov 19 March 2018 10: 43
                      0
                      Quote: Korax71
                      ... we will wait for your next article on who and what is fighting in Syria good And there is one more question, on a more generous topic, do not consider it for arrogancerepeatDo you know anything about the work of such an organization as a “joint”. I would be grateful if you would dedicate or share a link. Just the information about the time of its work in the USSR is so contradictory that doubts creep in. With respect hi

                      To be honest, today these are just plans. I can’t get my brains up to do it. This article will not just write. In the first years there was more or less clear, and then it became much more difficult. A lot of information is kept secret in the most disgraceful way, it is replaced by such elementary nonsense that it is better to leave everything that way than to begin to explain that everything was different. There is a lot of material, it is still necessary to process it, discard deliberate lies, bikes and all sorts of unsubstantiated statements that are not substantiated, etc. In short, start and finish ....
                      I am currently working on an article on the Six Day War. Usually, all they write about it fits into one phrase: "In the morning of 5 on June 1967, the Israeli Air Force operation began, destroying the Arab coalition Air Force in a few hours, after which Israel defeated the Arab armies left without air support." I want to talk about the little-known, about what was happening on both sides of the borders and very far from the BV on the eve and preceded this war. The article will be titled "The Six Day War. Prelude."
                      You surprised me. Who can be interested in the Joint today - a Jewish charitable organization? What are the contradictions? Let's do this, you read a rather extensive and informative article “Joint (Organization)” on Wikipedia and then ask me questions that remain unclear to you. Good for you? hi
      2. cariperpaint
        cariperpaint 18 March 2018 06: 19
        0
        Oh well. and bury the whole slate to hell which is already on the verge of profit from mining. With such statements, they are trying to influence the market, and they are not preparing to get rid of reserves.
        1. A. Privalov
          A. Privalov 18 March 2018 10: 40
          0
          Quote: cariperpaint
          Oh well. and bury the whole slate to hell which is already on the verge of profit from mining. With such statements, they are trying to influence the market, and they are not preparing to get rid of reserves.

          There is nothing to "try." These stocks came to the market at a base price and half of the world in three days will go with sum. However, the meaning of the idea is different - the monetization of stocks. Yes, the US needs money. There's nothing you can do. fellow For this purpose dumping is not the best assistant. A very serious consulting firm has ordered a plan for accurate bottling of "wholesale stock in small retail". hi
          1. Korax71
            Korax71 18 March 2018 15: 08
            +1
            It seems to me that we are missing one of the main things. Money, monetization is certainly good. But judging by statistics, the number of drilling rigs in the USA is growing, tnm more that they have a good backlog of 3000 drilled, but for canned wells, the production cost of which is incomparably lower than developing new ones. this has already given an impetus to companies producing oil production equipment to increase supplies by 20%, lending is good in the banking sector, despite the risks, and seemingly low profitability. Plus, this has record low energy prices in the country, and this Another impetus for the development of the economy. Well, of course, the creation of new jobs - drilling, construction of terminals, hydraulic structures and related industries. I won’t be surprised if the United States shows 3-4% growth in production by the end of the year. And its domestic market will be independent of world in the next 2-3 years, it will begin to compete in the gas market in Europe and quietly squeeze Gazprom in every possible way. although the Asian LNG market much profitable.
            1. A. Privalov
              A. Privalov 18 March 2018 16: 05
              +1
              Quote: Korax71
              I think we are missing one of the main things. Money, monetization is of course good. But judging by the statistics, the number of drilling rigs in the USA is growing ...


              Indeed, according to Baker Hughes, the number of oil rigs in the US is increasing. The number of US drilling licenses is also growing.
              “The increase in the number of drilling rigs naturally leads to an increase in supplies. Provided that the rate of consumption has ceased to increase, it is logical for the market to reduce oil quotes, counting on the growth of supply. So far, this has not happened: prices for WTI oil futures, and the US market is primarily WTI oil, continue to grow even after this message. Probably, the market at the moment does not fully accept these changes, since so far it cannot be called a clear trend indicating a clear change in supply. "

              To be honest, current quotes don't bother me too much. I prefer to admire not the forecasts, but the charts of production and sales after the fact.
  19. cariperpaint
    cariperpaint 18 March 2018 06: 17
    +1
    the author should carefully study Syria’s oil reserves first and then write such headings.
  20. Labor
    Labor 18 March 2018 14: 37
    0
    Are you still mining ...? Then we fly to you !!!
    Uncle Sam.
  21. Radikal
    Radikal 20 March 2018 15: 42
    0
    Quote: Okolotochny
    Well, I knew that - Stas157 is “Putininvinned”, bored girls!

    By the way, you are quoting the Guarantor in vain - he wanted to show off his well-readness, but he misinterpreted the phrase that you can see for the sake of persuasiveness at the end of the comment! wassat
  22. Alex boyko
    Alex boyko 21 March 2018 07: 21
    0
    15 American corpses and Yankees flee immediately just like in Somalia
  23. Fitratovich
    Fitratovich 21 March 2018 16: 40
    0
    Capturing the oil regions of the United States will drive oil to Europe, then all our efforts were in vain