Military Review

Too much Russia!

31
There are too many Russia in the world. The topic of Russia occupies column by column in large foreign media, winning space from domestic News. Some experts in the US believe that Russia's "obsession" has already gone beyond reasonable limits, and the endless American debate about Moscow has not led to any results. Russia turned out to be not only too much for American strategists, it also turned out to be too tenacious.




The theme of Russia has turned into some kind of obsession, says renowned expert Eugene Rumer. For the United States is characterized by a real "national obsession with Russia." Rarely does a day pass without multicolumn comments and many hours of airtime devoted to the next Russian offense.

Eugene Rumer - Bachelor of Arts (Boston University), Master of Arts (Georgetown University), Ph.D. (Massachusetts Institute of Technology). He has extensive experience in expert organizations and the government: from 1993 to 1996, he worked for the Rand Rand Brain Trust in Santa Monica and Moscow, later held a position in the Department of Political Planning of the US Department of State and Director for Russia, Ukraine and Eurasia. under the National Security Council. In 2000, Mr. Rumer became Art. researcher, and then director of research and acting director of the Institute for National Strategic Studies at the University of National Defense. At the beginning of 2010, he became a National Intelligence officer for Russia and Eurasia. Today, Mr. Rumer is a senior fellow and director of the Russia and Eurasia program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

An article by Eugene Rumer on “national obsession with Russia” was published in a large edition. Los Angeles Times.

The expert recalls that the US government imposed sanctions against Russia. The White House sent troops to the European borders of Russia. Washington sent weapon Ukraine, and previously sent it to Georgia. Soon “even more sanctions” will touch the “Russian elite,” namely, those who “support President Vladimir Putin.”

At the same time, the "national conversation" in the United States about Russia, that is, about what Washington wants to achieve from the Russians, how to achieve the goals of the disputes, "is hardly advanced." And the longer the hysteria continues, the more difficult it will be to conduct this conversation, the analyst believes.

“We know that the Russian government and its agents interfered in our presidential election in 2016. The intelligence community has confirmed this, and there is a lot of indirect evidence of the Kremlin’s intentions and actions: the campaign against Clinton, the “protramp” bias of the Russian state-sponsored media, including the television network “RT”, which was registered as a foreign agent by the US government; Wikileaks publications about information stolen from employees of the Clinton campaign; Putin’s positive comments on the then candidate Donald Trump and his widely-known dislike for Hillary Clinton, ”the expert lists. He further recalls the "numerous contacts between Trump's supporters and various Russian leaders." Donald Trump Jr., Jared Kushner and former national security adviser Michael Flynn are only Trump's most famous people who "had contacts with representatives of Russia."

The US media “deserve respect for covering Trump’s campaign and presidency,” the author believes, but much of what is known today has been known for almost a whole year. Details have added little to the overall picture.

But America’s understanding of the other (“possibly more important aspects”) of Russia's interference in the 2016 elections of the year “barely advanced,” Rumer notes.

“In truth, we do not know what the actual effect of all this Russian intervention in our elections is. To find out, we will need to conduct a comprehensive survey of all those who voted, and all who did not vote, ”the author shows the unsolvability of the problem. And even if such a poll were possible, it would still be difficult to get an accurate picture of the mood of voters in 2016. In general, one can hardly get an answer.

As a result, the role of Russia is not clear. Would H. Clinton be able to defeat “vulgar, dishonest, hating women, an ignorant political neophyte who campaigned full of racism, xenophobia, and clearly unrealizable promises, all of which were widely reported in the media during the 2016 year”? Perhaps the Russian intervention really did not make a big difference in the election results.

It is even impossible to understand whether Americans are better prepared today than a year ago to confront “future interference” in elections.

Public discourse, it seems, did not become a year later "more impenetrable" for "fake and distorted news."

In countering all this, Rumer sees a "long-term goal." But how to achieve it? The road to it requires a “better education” and a much more thorough national discussion. Its themes will be the “place in the world” of the United States, the role of Russia and Washington’s policy towards Moscow.

Americans should also understand what the new cold war with Russia is - after all, it has been going on after the Americans have called Russians “partners” for a full quarter of a century.

Russia does not leave the arena of struggle at all. This country does not die, as it was often repeated in the 1990-s and the beginning of the 2000-s, the author recalls. Its economy is not collapsing. Russian military power is also returning, and the Kremlin uses it "with skill and determination."

Russia is “an important actor on the world stage,” with its own “interests and opportunities,” which the US has yet to “fully appreciate,” the expert notes.

Putin is ready to be re-elected in March 2018 for another six years. Even if he leaves the political scene in 2024, the White House cannot rely on his successor to become a “friend” for America.

Several decades ago, the expert reminds further, when Russia was weak, it was "fashionable to think that Russia does not matter." It is clear that this is "no longer the case." This is what we should talk about in the United States at the national level. And the 2016 election let investigators do, sums up the author.

While this expert offers a topic for a “national conversation,” the company "Stratfor" already figured out how Russia will behave in 2018 year.

Moscow will look mainly to the east. According to Stratfor, several years of deteriorating relations with the United States and Europe are pushing Moscow to revise its priorities and strategies.

Therefore, in 2018, Moscow will focus on the Asia-Pacific region (APR), as well as the Middle East. The Kremlin will:

- continue to backstage to support North Korea with fuel supplies and trade relations;

- to cooperate with the PRC, including in the defense sphere, since it was Beijing that helped Moscow "weaken its economic dependence on the West";

- use its influence in the Middle East, obtained through victorious participation in the Syrian war. The Kremlin will try to influence foreign powers with interests in the Middle East in order not only to contain the threat of Islamic extremism, but also to gain leverage in negotiations with the West. In addition, the Russians want to expand access to the region’s energy and agricultural resources. Iran will play a special role in Russia's actions in the Middle East;

- to develop partnerships with some countries of North Africa (Egypt, Libya), seeking to undermine the US position there;

- To try to strengthen relations with Turkey and Saudi Arabia. However, Turkey will object both “against Russia's contacts with the Kurds,” and against Moscow’s readiness to cooperate with Ankara’s regional rivals. As for Saudi Arabia, its hostility with Iran will prevent Russia from joining the alliance with this Arab kingdom.

Thus, we note in conclusion that while prominent experts in the United States propose to discuss the “Western” topic of Russia, this topic itself has turned into an “Eastern” one. The more shouts towards Moscow, the more sanctions, the less “Western” will remain in Russia and the less positive the Kremlin will expect from the United States. This is an objective political and economic process, and there is no need to talk about anyone's isolation.

Barack Obama assured that Russia was “isolated” already in his rule, and its economy was “torn to shreds,” but the Americans still issue sanctions, and the Russian economy in the real sector has even grown up. According to Rosstat, according to the results of 2017, industrial production in the country has grown by 1% compared to 2016 of the year. The growth is insignificant, and yet it’s impossible to talk about a torn economy. That is why Washington is constantly working on some new sanctions. Obviously, according to American strategists, Russia is not only too much, it is also too tenacious.

Observed and commented on Oleg Chuvakin
- especially for topwar.ru
31 comment
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  1. Same lech
    Same lech 25 January 2018 06: 12 New
    10
    The more shouts towards Moscow, the more sanctions, the less “Western” will remain in Russia and the less positive the Kremlin will expect from the United States. This is an objective political and economic process, and there is no need to talk about anyone's isolation.


    It’s absolutely true ... how can a normal dialogue be held with hysterical people infected with an Russophobia epidemic ... only a psychiatrist should work on Washington ... then heal and we will talk humanly.
    1. dSK
      dSK 25 January 2018 07: 28 New
      +3
      Hello Alexey!
      Quote: The same LYOKHA
      heal
      "The network caused a stir plastic handmade baby doll "Vladimir". Surprisingly similar to the president of the Russian Federation, the toy delighted users. The price of the toy is 7,5 centimeters high, about 30 dollars, or for Russian buyers - a thousand rubles. Toy that in people have already nicknamed "Ooty Putin" released a small experimental party, which instantly scattered. The designer became the author of a series of figures Tatyana Nelmina from Vladivostok. The entire "circulation" dismantled on the first day, and inquiries keep coming. It is noted that massive requests for the baby doll come from residents of Japan, who were delighted with the figures. (Channel "Tsargrad" 21: 47,24.01.18)
    2. Vend
      Vend 25 January 2018 08: 51 New
      +2
      Quote: The same Lech
      The more shouts towards Moscow, the more sanctions, the less “Western” will remain in Russia and the less positive the Kremlin will expect from the United States. This is an objective political and economic process, and there is no need to talk about anyone's isolation.


      It’s absolutely true ... how can a normal dialogue be held with hysterical people infected with an Russophobia epidemic ... only a psychiatrist should work on Washington ... then heal and we will talk humanly.

      In fact, the west of Russia helps such behavior, to return the "Russian world". All superfluous, unnecessary will fly off like husks, but the important will remain.
      1. dSK
        dSK 25 January 2018 09: 28 New
        0
        Quote: Wend
        Western Russia helps such behavior

        Abama's dismissals for gullible Russia are worse than Trump's straightforward Republicans.
    3. Chertt
      Chertt 25 January 2018 09: 27 New
      +1
      There are too many Russia in the world. The topic of Russia is ranked column by column in large foreign media,
      The Russians that asked for your fakeNews, We could easily have done without such attention. They themselves have muddied, and now they scratch turnips "and what is it ??"
    4. krops777
      krops777 25 January 2018 09: 53 New
      +1
      Ha, the scientist is sober, the professor of everything and all Eugene Rumer does not understand the elementary things that the one who orders articles about Russia does not make good money on this, it seems that he only obtained information from his media.
      1. Reserve officer
        Reserve officer 25 January 2018 11: 55 New
        +2
        As a result, the American expert sang a solemn ode to Russia. The great country of Russia is changing presidents in the United States at its discretion, the news about Russia has been broadcasted; not a single step can be taken without looking at Russia. Well, what are you without Russia, gentlemen of America?
        And even there is no thought that with their tantrums they flush themselves into the toilet.
    5. To be or not to be
      To be or not to be 25 January 2018 11: 11 New
      +7
      "Some experts in the US believe that Russia's" obsession "has already gone beyond reasonable limits,"
      These are the problems of the USA. It is their disease. Let them get sick. Self-healing happens. But-rarely ..
      Russia has its own mission and role in the world.
      If you are called an enemy (the new US military strategy). Then do not swindle, do not sucker - they will devour them with giblets. I act adequately. In the world they love the strong, not the snotty and weak ... Do not let yourself be humiliated (as with the Olympics in Korea) ..Be proud of your story and the deed of your ancestors ..
      1. Foxmara
        Foxmara 25 January 2018 17: 20 New
        0
        Here we can say the plug was. The expectation is that society, and most importantly - the elites (sports) quarrel, mainly with the Kremlin. Therefore, the Kremlin, as it were, withdrew - if you want - go, no one forbids. It would be better for everyone if the athletes refused in large numbers, but as it turned out, they conferred and decided to go, the first attack passed by, although the society stirred up .. now there is a second act, when they didn’t seem to forbid, but simply didn’t invite leading athletes. This already looks like a tantrum, because the expected actions from us did not happen.
    6. demo
      demo 25 January 2018 19: 38 New
      +1
      Let's see what is primary and what is secondary.
      It seems to me that Russophobia is secondary.
      Primary - megalomania, due to the role of world hegemon.
      Russophobia is a derivative of our foreign policy.
      I think that we should not assume that everything in the world is imbued with a single idea - to harm Russia.
      So not long before the paranoia and persecution mania will come.
      Need a sober approach.

      In the US, tantrums about the PRC roll up?
      What else.
      But trade is doing its job.
      And pricks, and I want, but my mother does not order.
      And our trade turnover with the USA?
      Not comparable to China.
      So where it’s not terrible to lose, the Americans will push harder.
      Everything is prosaically simple.
      Profitable or not profitable.
      One-line nation.
  2. ul_vitalii
    ul_vitalii 25 January 2018 06: 20 New
    +9
    Hooray! We have gone somewhere oligarchs (according to Dvorkovich), January 29 sanctions can not be imposed.
  3. aszzz888
    aszzz888 25 January 2018 07: 02 New
    +3
    . For the USA already characterized by a real "national obsession with Russia."

    And who is to blame? Let's continue to drive nonsense, you have everything ahead ... laughing
    1. Antianglosax
      Antianglosax 25 January 2018 08: 26 New
      +2
      Quote: aszzz888
      . For the USA already characterized by a real "national obsession with Russia."

      And who is to blame? Let's continue to drive nonsense, you have everything ahead ... laughing

      So the Americans in many states legalized marijuana, and here they are rushing, apparently extraordinary.
      1. aszzz888
        aszzz888 25 January 2018 12: 45 New
        +1
        ... yeah, there’s a lot more in Afghanistan ...
  4. Mountain shooter
    Mountain shooter 25 January 2018 07: 07 New
    +4
    It will not end soon. And only Russia will not look to the East. We need to cure Ukraine of Nazism ... It is desirable, without blood and defeat ... There and so the economy is in a tailspin, where else ...
  5. Chichikov
    Chichikov 25 January 2018 07: 14 New
    +1
    That’s why they bark because "the big caravan is moving towards its goal, not really paying attention to the jackals scurrying around!
    1. Romulus
      Romulus 25 January 2018 07: 17 New
      0
      Quote: Chichikov
      "the big caravan goes towards its goal,

      And for what purpose is the caravan going?
      1. Chertt
        Chertt 25 January 2018 09: 30 New
        +5
        Quote: Romulus
        And for what purpose is the caravan going?

        You can’t talk, you’ll talk to everyone tongue
      2. Mestny
        Mestny 25 January 2018 12: 01 New
        -1
        Moving forward is the real goal.
  6. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 25 January 2018 07: 17 New
    +5
    Russia turned out to be not only too much for American strategists, it also turned out to be too tenacious.
    And the last of Americans is most infuriating. We thought we would impose sanctions and, if not “the economy to shreds,” then they would come running and repent without a doubt. And then a bummer, and even with Syria put in an uncomfortable position in front of the world. That rage falling into hysteria. And do not expect that they will go wild and everything will normalize - a fairy tale for the Russian liberal.
    1. Loess
      Loess 25 January 2018 08: 21 New
      +1
      And then a bummer ...
      Let them get used to, this is not their last bummer.
  7. Pavil144
    Pavil144 25 January 2018 10: 28 New
    +1
    Russia does not happen much!
  8. thinker
    thinker 25 January 2018 10: 57 New
    +1
    dSK - "In the network, the plastic handmade doll" Vladimir "caused a stir
    Looked funny yes
    The description of the toy especially indicates that "this work has an interesting feature: wherever you go on the Internet, his strict look follows you."

  9. nnz226
    nnz226 25 January 2018 12: 09 New
    +1
    Well, if the Americans themselves consider their country Baboonia, whose presidential election can be influenced by, is their right. Russia only needs to stop talking through the mouths of its politicians about the “great USA”, and start talking about the “wild bantustan called the USA”
  10. Atilla
    Atilla 25 January 2018 12: 21 New
    +1
    Looks like Russia hurt them. They cannot calmly sleep or sleep. What shall we do? Nothing. Take it easy and build more Sarmatians.
  11. shinobi
    shinobi 25 January 2018 13: 20 New
    0
    The author does not take into account one point, if competently wrestling the contradictions and claims of Iran and the Saudis to each other, becoming a mediator and an arbitrator, positions in the east will become just reinforced concrete. Then the Turks will not go anywhere.
  12. Mikhail3
    Mikhail3 25 January 2018 16: 19 New
    +2
    All this is bad, of course. "Obsession" without any facts is a classic example of controlled hysteria. We wrote posts on social networks. We, through our television company, promoted our point of view on events. Someone hacked into Clinton's mail and published the TRUTH. Maybe we don’t know.
    What really happened? Almost nothing. But suddenly, against the backdrop of no events, the ninth shaft rose. All this is just forced pressure on the brains of the American electorate. What for? That is the question. Tantrum can not be eternal, hit the authors rollback. So something will happen. For some reason this is done.
    Alas, it seems to me that the "war-punishment" has already been resolved. As usual, it’s not clear who they will throw at us ?!
  13. AK-62
    AK-62 25 January 2018 16: 49 New
    0
    Eugene Rumer - a bachelor, doctor, director of the institute, intelligence officer, Eugene Rumer - a senior researcher and director of the Russia and Eurasia program, Eugene Rumer - scolded Russia too much and wanted Russia to die too much ... Eugene Rumer - Eugene died .. Here is what, in my opinion, should be a summary of this article. And so it will be with every Russophobe
  14. Adequate
    Adequate 25 January 2018 18: 12 New
    0
    Putin is a hero of Russia!
  15. Valery Saitov
    Valery Saitov 26 January 2018 05: 56 New
    0
    Not only did they themselves advertise Russia in all the media in the world, but they also support the myth of Vladimir Putin’s omnipotence and its influence on all processes in the world. Well, we can only do it. At least the war with Russia is long will not be because fear ... it's scary ... and even bears running around the streets.
  16. Tolik_74
    Tolik_74 27 January 2018 18: 39 New
    0
    Quote: To be or not to be
    "Some experts in the US believe that Russia's" obsession "has already gone beyond reasonable limits,"
    These are the problems of the USA. It is their disease. Let them get sick. Self-healing happens. But-rarely ..
    Russia has its own mission and role in the world.
    If you are called an enemy (the new US military strategy). Then do not swindle, do not sucker - they will devour them with giblets. I act adequately. In the world they love the strong, not the snotty and weak ... Do not let yourself be humiliated (as with the Olympics in Korea) ..Be proud of your story and the deed of your ancestors ..

    If you choose between war and shame, I would choose the first. Given the level of military training of mattresses, they do not see victory with the Russians as their ears.