Military Review

By 2032, Russia may leave the “club of the elect”

9
In less than 15 years, the Asian countries will occupy three places in the TOP-5 economies of the world. According to data from the report of the British Center for Economic Research, by 2032, China will come out on top in terms of GDP. The second will be the United States, and the third place will be taken by India, moving Japan to the fourth. Germany will be the fifth.


According to analysts, the US will lose global economic leadership by the end of 20.

South Korea, Indonesia and Brazil will also be in the TOP-10 of the world's largest economies. The latter, by the way, will bypass France and the UK.

Russia, according to experts, will lose its current 11-th place and go down to 17-th, giving way to Turkey, Spain and several other countries.

Middle East oil exporting countries will also lose their positions. Saudi Arabia’s GDP, which was 2016 billions of dollars on 646, will fall by half in 2032.

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  1. antivirus
    antivirus 27 December 2017 15: 39
    0
    Russia, according to experts, will lose its current 11-th place and go down to 17-th, giving way to Turkey, Spain and several other countries.

    -Gref will retire and the country without his sight will fall below Turkey
  2. NF68
    NF68 27 December 2017 16: 06
    +1
    Russia, according to experts, will lose its current 11-th place and go down to 17-th, giving way to Turkey, Spain and several other countries.


    Something is not really believed that Turkey and, especially Spain, will go around Russia.
    1. Vadim237
      Vadim237 27 December 2017 16: 35
      +2
      Regular predictions - maybe, or maybe not, even high experts in the economy can’t give a clear forecast for the next half year, but these have already given up for 14 years.
    2. Blackmokona
      Blackmokona 27 December 2017 21: 07
      0
      Spain and Turkey are already close
      https://ru.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Список_стран_по_В
      VP_ (face value)
      1. Days
        Days 29 December 2017 00: 35
        0
        <here is a standard comment about PPP>. And yes, by 2032, the yuan will be a much more widely used currency. And the exchange rates will be completely different, simply because the total GDP of the E7 will exceed the G7 by 2030, and by 2050 it will overtake it by half. So this list can be safely thrown into the trash.
      2. Days
        Days 29 December 2017 00: 44
        0
        Educate yourself: https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/world-2050/assets/pwc-t
        he-world-in-2050-full-report-feb-2017.pdf
  3. kush62
    kush62 27 December 2017 16: 52
    +1
    More accurate weather for tomorrow, we will tell you the day after tomorrow. Another Nostrdamus.
  4. Greenwood
    Greenwood 27 December 2017 18: 19
    +1
    Ha, what is it that we have some kind of British center, when its own Ministry of Economic Development back in 2013 (successful by today's standards) predicted the "enviable" future of Russia:
    2013-11-07 06:51 (обновление: 2013-11-07 09:44)
    In April, approving the long-term forecast, the government chose innovation as the basic scenario for the country's development - the average between the worst (conservative) and the best (forced). By September, the government changed its mind and settled on a conservative option. But he, in comparison with April, has worsened.

    The growth rate of the economy in 2013-2030 will be 1,5 times lower than anticipated in the spring - an average of 2,8% versus 4,3% - and will lag behind the growth of the global economy. By 2030, Russia's share in world GDP will decrease to 3,4% from 4% in 2012.

    By 2030, Russia will remain a country with a dominant oil and gas sector, poor roads, low levels of medicine, high regional differences in living standards, capital outflows and budget surpluses. And it will continue to lag behind the quality of life both from developed countries and from average values ​​for the OECD.

    “Ten beautiful years,” one of the federal officials answered a question from the newspaper about the country's leadership strategy. Today, the main goal is to hold power and stability for 10 years, another official explained the strategy.
    In principle, looking at the work of ministers and the government, it is clear that they clearly adhere to this action plan.
  5. ando_bor
    ando_bor 28 December 2017 13: 22
    0
    - Woke up, China already surpasses the United States in terms of GDP, if you look at PPPs,
    The yuan is strongly and artificially lowered, like the ruble, by the way, and this gives competitive advantages.
    https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A1%D0%BF%D0%B8%
    D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BA_%D1%81%D1%82%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%BD_
    %D0%BF%D0%BE_%D0%92%D0%92%D0%9F_(%D0%9F%D0%9F%D0%
    (A1)