Will the political crisis in Germany become a “quiet” forerunner of the situation in Russia-2024?
Against this backdrop, new popularity records are beating European nationalists. So, sociological polls in Germany show that if the elections to the Bundestag were held this Sunday, then Merkel’s party members would have gained about 4% fewer votes than it did at the recent real parliamentary elections. At the same time, the Alternative for Germany would receive more than three percent of the additional votes.
These indicators of public opinion once again indicate that the policy of the European ruling elites is finding less and less support among ordinary citizens of the same Germany.
Being in a political deadlock, the “ruling” elites of the FRG, led by politically incapable (for the time being) Angela Merkel, are forced to offer new ideas in order to form at least some kind of government. And with the help of this “at least some kind of government” try again to gain popularity among the population.
Of the latest political steps in the Bundestag, the readiness of the conservative CDU / CSU Merkel bloc to go closer to yesterday's main opponent Martin Schulz from the SPD on virtually any conditions is voiced. And the top of the German Social Democrats approved the proposal of Schultz to start preliminary negotiations with the "Merkelevans".
TASS cites a statement by Schulz, whose party (SPD) won 20,5% in the last German parliamentary elections (last result - 25,7 percent):
If the CDU / CSU still agrees on a temporary coalition with the SPD, then these parties in the Bundestag will have 399 seats from 709, which means you can start forming a government. Will they have time for the Christmas holidays?
If the formation drags on indefinitely, then a shaky coalition (which has not yet been created properly) could lose even more supporters than it had already lost since the previous elections, when the conservative bloc Angela Merkel had 41,5% of votes, in contrast to current xnumx percent.
In order to enlist the support of the electorate - in case of failure of the next coalition negotiations and, as a result, in the case of extraordinary parliamentary elections, representatives of the ruling elites still generate proposals that are difficult to disregard. Thus, the Minister of Internal Affairs of Germany, Thomas de Mezieres, representing the CDU / CSU bloc, launched an initiative on one of the most painful topics for modern Germans. This topic concerns refugees, more precisely, how long the so-called “open door” policy promoted by Merkel will continue.
Considering that Merkel's rating continues to creep down, de Maiziere, as a man with a keen political sense of smell and considerable experience, decided to distance himself somewhat from the current acting chancellor.
Thomas de Maiziere stated that he could not continue like this and that refugee flows seriously threaten the security of the Federal Republic of Germany.
According to the head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the number of refugees from countries in Asia and Africa has decreased this year, but the immigrants still continue to arrive. So, since the beginning of the year, according to the German Ministry of the Interior, about 173 thousands of refugees have entered the country. This is the official statistics. Unofficial - at least three times higher. About the fact that someone from Germany left, returning back to Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan, Eritrea and other countries, de Mezieres did not say a word.
To declare the immediate expulsion of a huge number of refugees from Germany, the head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs, of course, did not dare, as yet a member of the Merkel conservative bloc. But on the other hand, realizing that Merkel might not be at the helm of the new cabinet, he brought up a “soft version” of solving the issue of reducing the number of immigrants.
This “soft option” fits into modern European-bureaucratic politics. From the refugees who have already moved into Germany, Mr. de Mezieres proposes a trivial redemption: to give money so that they “forever” leave the territory of the FRG. At the same time, the head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Germany said that "a return prevention system was thought out." It consists in the following: the refugee confirms his desire to return to his native country, signs a kind of contract with the German authorities; in turn, they “escort” the refugee to their home “hearth,” and only after arriving home return a certain amount to his personal account. What amount this can be is not directly stated, but de Meziere himself notes that the refugees who have returned home will be able to use the funds solely for the repair of existing housing or, as part, for the purchase of a new one (to replace the destroyed one). Also, a refugee who, under such conditions, agrees to leave Germany to his home, enters the base of the border service as a person who will be denied refugee status next time.
De Maizieres:
However, analysts on the subject of how much Germany can do with just such a program to send refugees home are not presented. If we assume that the program will voluntarily want to use at least 100 thousands of refugees (out of several millions living in Germany), and if everyone de Mezieres together with the government distributes (offhand) 3 thousand euros (less they are unlikely to be offered, they risk getting zero go away "), this is already a third of a billion euros. On the one hand, it is cheaper than to feed refugees in Germany itself and cheaper than what Erdogan requires. But if Erdogan is paid, he will definitely keep the refugees, and then - by right or wrong, in a year or two they can return. Did German burghers eager to touch the soft spots once stopped the prohibitive databases of EU border guards? .. In the end, after receiving funds, they can declare that they have restored their housing, but the “mean Asad executioners” have again destroyed it - give more money, but then we will return to the banks of the Rhine with the addition of families ... By the way, payments can provoke a new wave of refugees in the FRG precisely because they also give money for returning back.
At first glance, the topic is not worthy of any small attention in Russia. We would be here to figure out with our guests from the sunny republics. But in fact, the question is much wider than the German borders and only migration policy.
In the absence of a single ruling force in Berlin, the whole of Europe turns out to be dependent on ill-considered political decisions of those who want to gain an electoral rating in the country, the main economic locomotive of the EU. And while they are trying to accuse Russia of interfering in the internal affairs of the Federal Republic of Germany, Germany itself is slipping into the direction of resuscitation of radical right-wing ideas against the background of the absolute toothlessness of the current government. At this moment, even in such an economically strong power as Germany, a man may appear at the helm, who will gain the trump cards in the game of contradictions. And we say that President Putin will not find a worthy successor for himself. Or, in Russia, as in Germany, the selection of successors initially looks meaningless? ... After all, Germany is under external control with an almost 40-thousandth occupying military contingent, with a gold reserve in the US, and there is still nothing to lose. But Russia has something to lose, or ...
2024 is the year that the "friends of Russia" are waiting for, really not far off. Do you and I also have to watch how, in the absence of a real leader in power, foul-smelling ferments begin? And if we take into account that calmly and in a civilized way we cannot by definition (in the absence of an iron stick) fight for power, there are, to put it mildly, certain fears. You understand what this is about ...
- Alexei Volodin
- http://www.globallookpress.com
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