Military Review

What "felt" the APU during the beginning of the withdrawal of troops from Syria? The boiling up of the situation in the Donbass has received an interesting parallel


Immediately, two of the most important military-political events took place in recent days in the Near-Asian region. And each of them has become for the Western coalition, as well as Israel, a kind of “warning shot” indicating the unacceptability of continuing the former aggressive and frankly hegemonic military-political vector in the Middle East. The first can be attributed to Vladimir Putin's decision, command VKS Russia and the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the partial withdrawal of Russian troops from the Syrian theater, which consisted of: 25 aircrafts (2 attack helicopter Ka-52, 6 links tactical fighter-bombers Su-30SM , Su-34, Su-35S and VKS mixed-wing air bomber), demining center unit (including Typhoon armored vehicles, BTR-82AM and Uran-6 robotic complexes), SPN unit, military police unit and about field hospital. The order was given by V. Putin during his arrival at Khmeymim airbase on Monday, December 11, 2017.

Nothing surprising, at first glance, in the withdrawal of most of the military units of the Russian Armed Forces (except for the C-400 anti-aircraft missile regiment in Hammeim and C-300В4 batteries in Tartus) from the ATS. After all, the opponents represented by the territorial groups of ISIL are almost completely defeated, or are in several tactical boilers on the west bank of the Euphrates (150 is the kilometer boiler between the provinces of Homs and Deir ez-Zor and 35 kilometer north of Abu Kemal), and also 2- x boilers in the territory controlled by the SDF (including the 171 kilometer boiler along the eastern border of the SAR and the boiler adjacent to Abu Kemal on the eastern side of the Euphrates bed). The existing capacity of the Syrian Arab Army is sufficient to clear the enclaves on the eastern bank of the Euphrates.

But there is a very revealing geopolitical "trick" in this "leaving" from Syria, called to put Washington on an honestly deserved place in the "Middle Eastern intricacies." By diverting the operational grouping of troops (including military advisers and specialists) from the line of contact between the CAA and the Syrian Democratic Forces, passing along the Euphrates, Moscow leaves the pro-American Kurdish units (YPG / YPJ) alone with such formidable opponents as by the number of armed forces of Turkey, CAA, the Iraqi army, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, etc. Naturally, it will be much more difficult for Americans to settle the situation in their favor (without Russian participation), especially against the backdrop of Washington’s removal from the peace process in the Middle East during a meeting of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC). High-ranking representatives of the Arab states significantly limited the participation of Americans in the “Great Asian Front Division”.

All points related to the opposition of the Arab world to the decision of Donald Trump on Jerusalem can be easily found in the statements made by high-ranking officials at the OIC December 13 meeting, and therefore again there is absolutely no point in reviewing and analyzing them.

A much more interesting analytical chain can be constructed by drawing parallels between the withdrawal of a part of the Russian contingent from Syria and the suddenly aggravated operational and tactical situation in the Donbas theater of operations. Late in the evening, December 11 2017, literally a few hours after Vladimir Putin ordered the withdrawal of troops from the SAR, the Western and Northern Fronts of the Donetsk People's Republic, “as if by magic, exploded” from a sudden massive artillery attack from several batteries at once barrel artillery APU. Under the shelling were n.p. Dokuchaevsk, Gorlovka, Zaitsevo, Logvinovo, the neighborhood of Uglegorsk, the whole Svetlodar bridgehead and many more villages. According to the mayor of Gorlovka, Ivan Prikhodko, closer to midnight, the 3 boiler rooms (No. 29, 69 and 70) were de-energized immediately by enemy fire, direct hit was also recorded at the house at ul. 28 fishing. Dozens of apartments and houses remained without heating. The next day, the Ukrainian artillery worked mainly in Dokuchaevsk, as a result of which 29 houses were damaged on ul. Furmanov, Frunze, Central, Komsomolskaya, Gorky, etc. Ukrainian self-propelled and towed artillery mounts Msta-B, Hyacinth-B, D-30, Acacia and Gvozdika worked from previously known positions near Novotroitsk, Olginka, Novomikhailovka (dokuchaevskoye ON); as well as under Panteleimonovka, Kurdyumovka, Svetlodarskoye (Debaltsevskoe and Gorlovskoye IT), as a result of which some of the batteries of the aggressor were quickly destroyed by the artillery divisions of the DPR DND anti-battery artillery battery.

Even to an amateur here it is extremely clear that this is not a mere coincidence, but a pattern of pure water. The level of interrelation between the completion of the decisive part of the confrontation of the Russian contingent with the IS and the activation of the Ukrainian military formations in the Donbas is extremely high. This massive blow to the frontline settlements of the DPR is nothing more than provocative “probing” of Moscow for readiness to participate in active hostilities against the background of a partial shift of the “focus” of interests from Damascus towards Donbass. “Feeling” this was done solely by the command “face” from the Pentagon. The desired result, except for counter-battery fire, neither Kiev nor Washington could not achieve. What was Washington waiting for? Naturally, more aggressive and decisive actions by the DPR People’s Militia Corps (local offensive, the liberation of settlements in the "gray zone", etc.), which could be implemented solely by a trick from Washington. Logically, this would be a clear signal to the Trump hawks in favor of forcing the White House’s head to sign the 47 million-dollar military aid package (including lethal weapon), which was sent to the US National Security Council for consideration by Congress back in October-November 2017; but the "focus" is not rolling!

As a result, the West temporarily found another loophole for official deliveries of the “Square” lethal weapon, bypassing the Trump administration. Canada has agreed to act as the main supplier of lethal weapons. The bill was ratified by 13 December 2017 of the year. For the ears and eyes of ordinary citizens, the document provides for the possible transfer to the Ukrainian side of automatic small arms, hand-held anti-tank weapons and "other types of devices" that are in service with the Canadian army. The process will be carried out through intra-bloc military-technical cooperation between member countries of the North Atlantic Alliance and some friendly states with NATO. Having a little brains, one can figure out that from this moment Ottawa becomes an ordinary mediator for sending Ukrainian militants of various types of weapons, including, for example, the American Javelin anti-tank systems (disease of Ukrainian bloggers and some parliamentarians), TOW anti-tank systems, or various adjustable precision projectiles for 155-mm ACS, which can be obtained from Poland (based on AS-90 / Krab ACS towers) and from the USA (M-109 Paladin of various variants).

But in the official news summaries, this information will begin to appear only after the military men discovered the facts of the presence of new weapons in the Donbass. This way of pumping the Armed Forces of Ukraine with weapons to continue the escalation of the conflict in Donbass is extremely convenient for the United States. In fact, there is no formal legislative approval of the transfer of lethal weapons by the White House, which allows the Trump administration not to officially violate the commitment to the "Minsk agreements" and the "Normandy format" voiced by Kurt Volcker and Trump himself. Canada will act as a scapegoat here, which absolutely does not care about our reaction; moreover, Ottawa is not tied to various "Minsk" and other "filkin letters" developed with the assistance of the European "litters" of the United States. In fact, Canada can be considered another unincorporated organized territory of the United States, but with a different sovereignty and modified legislation, and therefore an excellent tool for the White House to implement various penumbral schemes of military support for disadvantaged pro-Western regimes in Eastern Europe and Central Asia without its own direct participation. Obviously, falling into the hands of the Kiev junta of Canadian and American lethal weapons will aggravate the situation in Donbass, forcing the military leadership of the republics to act more decisively and promptly than in the situation with the villages of Gladosovo and Travnevoe. And all this can develop into a full-fledged round of escalation by the beginning of 2018 or the beginning of the presidential campaign in March 2018.

As for the recent statement by the Deputy Commander of the DPR Operational Command, Eduard Basurin, regarding a possible offensive attack on the Gorlovka operational direction with a likely capture of Zaitsevo and Gorlovka, made on the basis of information on the concentration of armored formations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, several Grad RSZ batteries, and also artillery guns in the villages on the line "Artemovsk - Konstantinovka - Svetlodarsk", then if such a probability exists, its percentage is extremely small, since it is to attack in the frontal area the second most powerful fortified HM DNI - Gorlovka-Enakievo agglomeration APU will not be solved even with shtatovskih support. Present in this area of ​​anti-tank units already today is enough to wipe out most of the Ukrainian armored units, including reserves. The thin “Telmanovsky Isthmus” continues to remain in the risk zone, the northern borders of which are precisely formed by the Dokuchaev direction, which is today the most active part of the work of Ukrainian artillery.

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  1. aszzz888
    aszzz888 18 December 2017 07: 09
    ... preparations are underway to complicate the situation before the presidential elections in Russia ... and the mericatos will stop at nothing ...
    1. svp67
      svp67 18 December 2017 10: 51
      Quote: aszzz888
      ... preparations are underway to complicate the situation before the presidential elections in Russia ... and the mericatos will stop at nothing ...

      Yes, and everyone understands this. The clearest signal about this will be the departure of Poroshenko and the appearance of the acting President of Ukraine. They do not come up with anything new, but act out the already worked out scenario. It is enough to recall that in fact, the hot phase of the Civil War in Ukraine began with the acting President - Turchinov
      1. The comment was deleted.
      2. GRF
        GRF 18 December 2017 16: 08
        The clearest signal is the work of transport saboteurs who delivered deadly gifts ...

        And our deepest condolences, the current situation ...
    2. GAF
      GAF 18 December 2017 16: 46
      Quote: aszzz888
      ... preparations are underway to complicate the situation before the presidential elections in Russia ... and the mericatos will stop at nothing ...

      "Partners" - amateurs to rewrite History in their favor. And every time they forget that Russia, in the presence of an external threat, is going to fist every time, hitting the forgetful. So even the most lazy or offended will go out and vote as they should in the case of a pile on Russia.
  2. Sergey-svs
    Sergey-svs 18 December 2017 07: 24
    Nightmares "Svidomo patriot":
    Mykola clung to the anti-tank rifle scope and his finger began to slowly pull the trigger. Two Russian “Almaty” crashed by him blazed nearby, pungent smoke fell into Mykola’s eyes, making it difficult to aim. “The main thing is to get into the barrel, then the shell will jam and explode before it can fly,” thought Mykola. With this thought, he pulled the trigger ... "Misfire," Mykola realized bitterly. This was the last cartridge. Mykola climbed out of the trench and rushed to the tank to destroy it with his hands. Somewhere in the distance, a sunny flare suddenly flashed. “Sniper,” Mykola realized, and threw himself to the ground. A bullet scratched his helmet, hit a stone standing behind his back, and ricocheted it, pierced a flask on Mykola's belt. A nasty sticky and warm slurry of American cocoa with a very unpleasant odor flowed down my leg ....
    - Mykola, quickly get up! You are in a dream again - crap!
    Mykola opened his eyes and saw his wife standing above him: - So I .... "Armata" knocked out .... Glory to Ukraine!
    - Yes, with your Glory - there’s nothing to breathe in the hut !!! lol
    laughing laughing laughing
    1. myobius59
      myobius59 18 December 2017 22: 35
      Not the guys you need- wassat wassat wassat-if judged by the photo.
  3. BecmepH
    BecmepH 18 December 2017 08: 19
    Even the amateur here is very clear that this is not a mere coincidence, but a pure regularity.
    Well, I don’t know ... I’m an amateur, but nothing is clear to me anyway. In my opinion, Ukraine itself does not care what it does. What laws, logic, etc. can we talk about Ukraine?
  4. 18 December 2017 10: 14
    Oh, and it’s getting a little hot in the Donbass ... It seems to me that on the go-ahead from across the ocean, dill will crawl on the offensive in 2018. And as soon as they get it “in the cabbage soup”, all of Europe will say that it’s the Kremlin’s hands. this will try to undermine the political situation in Russia before the election.
    1. Alber
      Alber 18 December 2017 13: 42
      Oh, and it’s getting a little hot in the Donbass ... It seems to me that on the go-ahead from across the ocean, dill will crawl on the offensive in 2018. And as soon as they get it “in the cabbage soup”, all of Europe will say that it’s the Kremlin’s hands. this will try to undermine the political situation in Russia before the election.

      The "God-chosen" will try to create their autonomy on the territory of present-day Ukraine ...
      Since it failed to create it in the Crimea
    2. Mih1974
      Mih1974 18 December 2017 17: 18
      All of the above is solved - strikes of calibers in Kiev: in the Soviet Union, on the Gestapo (SBU), on Turchinov’s personal estates (yes, I know Russian, but these scum are not worthy of a capital letter), giblets, avakov and etc. , by location (kazharmam) of the porn sector, etc !! good When 40-50 “callibers” turn into the dust of the habitat of the most degenerate, then for survivors one very “simple” choice will become urgent - either change yourself and stop being geeks or bring down the territory of the EU or the USA, now Russia is likely to be calibrated in the near future will not beat. tongue
      The whole subsequent screech to the EU, America, and in general in the "civilized world" - it can and should be denied, all sanctions that can be applied against Russia - WILL be applied as if "we are not behaving", which means that we can NOT make the situation worse. Moreover, such a blow will be a cold shower for everyone in the West who advocates a war with Russia or all kinds of “escalation” there. When the threat really begins to loom for their rudeness in Russia to raid the "caliber" into their own home - many have "enlightenment" and the understanding that "teasing a bear in a zoo in a cage and one on one in the forest - these are two big differences." bully good
      1. myobius59
        myobius59 18 December 2017 22: 40
        Well you give. But who will deal with such things !!. After all, as our beloved president says, we have brothers and sisters. . And then, according to our brothers and sisters, "Caliber"? No way ...
  5. ilik54
    ilik54 18 December 2017 10: 19
    In fact, Syria - this is now for us, as planetary Stalingrad - we will win in Syria, but they have already won, everyone will crawl to us on four wheels, and have already crawled. Strength is everywhere and everyone respects.
    Well, Ukraine ..., with Ukraine everything is simple - we are sitting on the riverbank waiting for the corpses of our enemies to swim by - they will devour themselves there and have already begun to devour.
    For three years, Putin and his team have been delaying nuclear war for the extermination of Slavs by Slavs for the joy of Am, Fritz and Geyropeans with their skillful actions.
    1. Alber
      Alber 18 December 2017 13: 44
      Quote: ilik54
      For three years, Putin and his team have been delaying nuclear war for the extermination of Slavs by Slavs for the joy of Am, Fritz and Geyropeans with their skillful actions.

      Nevertheless, fratricidal acts continue to the joy of the Jews who started this genocide
    2. boriz
      boriz 18 December 2017 14: 09
      As long as Ukraine is planned for a spare site for the state of Israel (the situation with the existing state has clearly reached an impasse), there will be no nuclear war. Slowly freeing the territory from the unwanted population.
      But if these plans obviously collapse, then the guard. Nobody will throw bombs and missiles. Another Chernobyl will happen (or Fukushima, it is still unknown what is worse), for example, at the Zaporizhzhya NPP. And maybe not only on it. Blame either stupid Ukrainians, or evil Muscovite saboteurs. Nobody will even listen to the fact that we never need such sabotage. Zasrat territory to the Slavs did not get.
      1. Mih1974
        Mih1974 18 December 2017 17: 21
        The United States and Izrail warned "unofficially" of this that God forbid what happens at nuclear power plants in Ukraine, we will not understand it and YOU will completely unknown terroristswill also explode the nuclear power plant " am good
  6. shinobi
    shinobi 18 December 2017 11: 12
    Well, I don’t know, everything here is just not so obvious. In my opinion, here the kakly are engaged in amateur activities. Trump isn’t in ruin now, he has the Korean Crisis, the consequences of which will be much more noticeable on a global scale no matter what turn it takes, and that's what they are trying to provoke the Russian Federation so that the stripes can keep up. By the way, for the same reason, Russia will not make sharp movements . Before the election, at least.
    1. Mih1974
      Mih1974 18 December 2017 17: 31
      In Korea there will be - NOTHING. From the word - It’s completely (nothing), for the simple reason that it’s safe and even “hollywood” for everyone to bomb Liivia, Iran, Iraq, Uranus, but Korea’s village, as if they were trying to grind it into powder in the first attack , all the same, it can drive one or two warheads to South Korea or even to Japia. negative But this is for merikos - not at all acceptable. Moreover, in addition to the death of the Americans at the bases in Japia and South Korea, for which the prezik will still have to report, it is much more dangerous that China can react in ANY way. Maybe even China will come out on the side of the village of Korea and first take down both South Korea and Japiya (well, that is, completely, with nuclear weapons) because China has had a tooth on them for a long time at the genetic level. And also under the guise of such lawlessness - it will capture Taiwan !! After this - America generally flies like a traffic jam from Asia, the Indian Ocean and is driven to its mainland. Because the response to attack the territory of China, the mericases - DO NOT, because it is bad to fight the expeditionary corps in a foreign country with the Chinese - but this is NOT an attack on the territory of China which could even put a nuclear warhead into America itself! Moreover, there is an option that looking at all these outrages, and Russia after China’s strike, it will decide what is “bad” to do, for example, to crush US bases in the EU into dust, to beat or even bend satellite hardening, and after all for explosions near our borders we can be offended and we will also bomb, for example, Canada. And that Canada is supplying weapons to Ukria, which means it is against the Russian people, “we’ll give her a whack on her horns”, and that it will be right on the border with the United States, well, so - you bomb us Korea on the border, we’re your Canada . tongue tongue
      So there’s nothing real in Korea. Mattresses will flash.
  7. mintai_kot
    mintai_kot 18 December 2017 13: 50
    Why are all the channels of information about artduels in the Debaltsevsky direction silent! Such a density of fire on the positions of the LDNR troops was not 2015 !!!
    1. Genry
      Genry 18 December 2017 14: 17
      It’s immediately obvious that you didn’t watch the videos of the coordinator of the GCD - Evgeny Fedorov. He clearly says that the media are controlled by liberals who are sympathetic to the United States.
      1. Mih1974
        Mih1974 18 December 2017 17: 35
        In this video, especially after Putin’s words, the question immediately arises - now you are the President of the country and YOU not only trusted, but also continue to allow this uprooting, and maybe still the CIA agent to head the “national news channel” am so who is here with us, and who is the Traitor?
        1. Genry
          Genry 19 December 2017 19: 15
          Quote: Mih1974
          so who is here with us, and who is the Traitor?

          I suspect you!
          What powers of the President allow someone to remove or appoint? Where is it in Costituti?
          And when, like you, they say that you need to change the Constitution, where to give the President real powers, and not just sign other people's papers (he can refuse only a couple of times), where he can give instructions to the ministers, and not tear them down ... where Your support in this matter, but do you even understand this somehow?
  8. Antares
    Antares 18 December 2017 14: 59
    existing versions and not so welcoming.
    But Syria with the conflict in the south-east of Ukraine is not the same thing.
    Syria burned long before Russian troops. And she didn’t care. When it was possible a little blood. It was not interesting.
    And now it’s the same thing. And the world is still the whole globe.
  9. The comment was deleted.
  10. core
    core 18 December 2017 22: 17
  11. nickname7
    nickname7 23 December 2017 18: 40
    Maybe escalation. It can’t, but it will be, sooner or later, for which cookies and bucks created this puppet and pro-Western regime, in the quarantine zone 404. America will fight with Russia, until the last Ukrainian.