Military Review

How Arabs will punish America

32
The Arab world, indignant at the decision of Donald Trump to recognize Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, is talking about sanctions against the United States. Lebanon at a meeting of the League of Arab States called for a common policy and the introduction of preventive measures against the United States.


How Arabs will punish America


Agency Reuters An amazing message was conveyed from Cairo: in the Arab world, the question was raised about imposing economic sanctions against the United States.

The other day, Arab foreign ministers called on the United States to renounce the decision to recognize Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, saying that this step would lead to an increase in violence throughout the region.

The decision of President Donald Trump was "a dangerous violation of international law," has no legal force, and therefore is "invalid," the League of Arab States (LAS) said in a statement. This statement was issued following a meeting in Cairo, which was attended by all members of the Arab League.

Washington's recognition of Jerusalem as the capital of Israel cancels the long-standing US policy that the status of the city should be decided in negotiations with the Palestinians, since the latter want East Jerusalem to be recognized as the capital of their future state.

“The decision has no legal force ... it intensifies tensions, incites anger and threatens to plunge the region into even greater violence and chaos,” said the League of Arab States.

The Arab League noted that they would draw up a resolution for the US Security Council, which should reject the American decision.

Moreover, the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Lebanon, Mr. Gibran Basil, said at an emergency meeting that the Arab states should consider introducing economic sanctions against the United States and thereby prevent the US embassy from moving from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.

“Pre-emptive measures [should be] taken ... starting with diplomatic measures, then political and right up to economic and financial sanctions,” he listed the sanctions, but avoided specific details.

However, we note that in the final statement of the League of Arab States economic sanctions were not mentioned in any way. This is not surprising: the Arab states are experiencing far from the best of times because of the chaos in the region and because of the decline in world oil prices. Because of the last their egg capsules are empty.

On the other hand, the Arab monarchies are far from the allies of the United States, which were considered even during the time of Obama, the president, in which Washington’s ties with the Arab world began to weaken quickly. This was caused not only by the relatively cautious policy of B. Obama, after much deliberation, who refused to fully participate in the Syrian war of the United States, which was expected by other Persian Gulf monarchies, but also by the shale revolution in the United States, which reduced the US energy dependence on Arab oil-producing countries. In the 2017 year, it is possible with some degree of confidence to even talk about strengthening the relations of a number of Arab states with Moscow, which would look like a challenge with Obama. However, Moscow’s cooperation with Tehran in the Syrian struggle against IG (forbidden in the Russian Federation) does not promote the rapprochement of some monarchies with Russia, and therefore it’s not possible to talk about geopolitical “friendship”. Too different interests of the parties, often opposite.

As for the draft sanctions, it does not yet exist in principle. Will it appear? Hardly. The members of the Arab League, even if they come to a single agreement, are unlikely to be able to punish the United States in any way. Particularly ridiculous is the kind of “financial” punishment in Washington. What, the members of the Arab League suddenly willfully change the rules of the international game and begin to sell oil for rubles? Or even refuse to sell it, despite the long-term contracts? Or will they suddenly decide to quarrel with Trump, who considers Shiite Iran hated by many Sunnis as a terrorist state? Of course, there will be no sanctions. They love to row in the Middle East, but no one has canceled the dependence of these countries on oil and gas revenues.

Recall also that, discussing the decision of the United States, Secretary General of the League of Arab States A. Abul-Gate and Foreign Minister of Palestine R. Al-Maliki called on the international community to recognize East Jerusalem as the capital of the Palestinian state.

“The decision [of the United States] is reduced to the legalization of the occupation,” the Arabic website quoted the English-language website "RT". In his opinion, the Secretary General referred to Israel’s continued control over East Jerusalem after the 1967 war of the year. He added that the United States had undermined its role as a mediator in the Middle East peace process, in fact, supporting the calls made by the Palestinian minister to find a better mediator instead of America.

Earlier, United States Special Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley said that the United States in the peace process is trusted more than other 14 members of the UN Security Council. Haley even promised to “protect” Israel from “unjust” attacks made through the United Nations. She also said that her country “will not lecture to countries to which there is not enough confidence when it comes to a fair attitude to both Israelis and Palestinians.”

As a result, the general criticism of the decision of Washington at an emergency meeting of the Security Council was ignored by the American side.

Russian experts do not believe the formidable statements of some participants of the Arab League. At the same time, the very fact of such statements from the Arab world shows how rapidly relations between the United States and their Middle Eastern allies are deteriorating.

“The very fact that tough actions are being discussed is bad news for Washington ", - said in an interview with the newspaper "Sight" Dmitry Abzalov, President of the Center for Strategic Communications.

However, in his opinion, if any actions are taken, they will be of a diplomatic nature: “For example, you can limit your diplomatic missions in the United States. Or, on the contrary, to limit the activities of American diplomatic missions in the territory of countries that adhere to this position. ” Or there is such an option: "You can support Palestine and, for example, announce the transfer of the embassy to the eastern part of Jerusalem, which Palestine considers its own."

On the territory of the Middle East is located a significant part of the US military bases, recalls Abzalov. And here, too, some measures are possible: "There is an opportunity, for example, to complicate their functioning, for example, rent increases, restrictions on the activities of military personnel in these countries."

In general, it will become more difficult for Americans to engage in dialogue with Arab states, especially on controversial issues. The Arab world will try to use the current situation to strengthen its negotiating positions, Abzalov said. According to him, apart from the Arab countries, Turkey will also take advantage of this moment, which has a number of contradictions with the United States.

At the same time, the Arabs are unlikely to go on a boycott like the one that was declared against the United States in 1973, when the OPEC countries, as well as Syria and Egypt, really imposed sanctions against the United States and its allies as a response to Washington’s support of Israel’s so-called doomsday war.

Today, the Arabs are not interested in the collapse of the oil market. And the dependence of the Arab monarchies on the United States is too great to talk about the sanctions opposition. In addition, there is no war, there is only local unrest. And Mr. Trump in the White House, surrounded by advisers, is well aware that the situation will remain under the control of the United States and Israel. In the Arab League this is also understood. Not without reason, the proposal of Lebanon on sanctions up to the financial did not even fall into the final statement of the Arab League. The "clean" sheet of the communique shows that the Arab world will not issue any such sanctions to Washington. Not by strongons with hegemon!

At the same time, Trump’s decision has already brought suffering and pain to the region.

A week ago, unrest and demonstrations of Palestinians began in Jerusalem against the US decision to recognize the city as the capital of Israel. Collisions occurred and in Hebron, Bethlehem, and other cities in the West Bank. The Israeli police used tear gas, rubber bullets and sound grenades. According to Reuters, more than thirty people were injured.

Since December 7, Palestinians have been on strike, schools and shops have been closed. The Hamas leader called on the Palestinians for a new intifada.

There is a dark symbolism of dates: December 9 was fulfilled thirty years since the beginning of the first Palestinian intifada. 1987 to 1993 More than two thousand Palestinians and one hundred and eleven Israelis died in the battles for the separation of Palestine from Israel.

And now the region is hot again.

Observed and commented on Oleg Chuvakin
- especially for topwar.ru
32 comments
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  1. Chertt
    Chertt 15 December 2017 11: 06 New
    +3
    There are two points of view today. Donald Trump is simply "weak in the head", and acts reflexively. And the second one, (Donya Trump) He is so cunning that he simply cannot be understood
    1. Naum
      Naum 15 December 2017 14: 35 New
      +3
      He is not a politician. No excerpts. First acts, then thinks. Isister Melania - will bomb the air base in Syria ...
      1. Troll
        Troll 15 December 2017 19: 58 New
        +1
        Trump is a politician, but not a diplomat.
    2. Maki Avellevich
      Maki Avellevich 16 December 2017 09: 21 New
      +4
      Quote: Chertt
      There are two points of view today. Donald Trump is simply "weak in the head", and acts reflexively. And the second one, (Donya Trump) He is so cunning that he simply cannot be understood


      Do you think that the president in America is the king, that he wants something and orders?
      he is only the face of the economic forces that put him, no more no less
      1. Chertt
        Chertt 16 December 2017 09: 31 New
        +2
        Quote: Maki Avellievich
        he is only the face of the economic forces that put him

        You underestimate the power of personality in history. Take President F. D. Roosevelt and G. Tumen, who replaced him. Roosevelt, if he had survived, would never have bombed Hiroshima
        1. Maki Avellevich
          Maki Avellevich 16 December 2017 09: 55 New
          +4
          Quote: Chertt
          Roosevelt, if he had survived, would never have bombed Hiroshima


          not sure what the USSR would strain?

          yes, I’m sure that when the Tsar / King / President / etc conducts a policy that runs counter to the policy of the country's elites, this often ends in tears for the leader.
          there are many examples in history.
          who fell from a horse, who was pierced with a file, and who earned a headache while riding in an open car.
          ps we had a case when Prime got three bullets in the back. (say one of them in the chest)
  2. andrej-shironov
    andrej-shironov 15 December 2017 11: 26 New
    +9
    No way! Arabs, in principle, are not able to punish anyone except Europe.
    1. turbris
      turbris 15 December 2017 12: 03 New
      +4
      andrej-shironov - here I agree with you, they will not punish anyone, make noise and die down, quarreling with the hegemon is too dangerous.
      1. Grandfather
        Grandfather 15 December 2017 13: 07 New
        +3
        Quote: andrej-shironov
        No way! Arabs, in principle, are not able to punish anyone except Europe.

        more precisely, they can only punish German women ...
        1. Lexus
          Lexus 15 December 2017 14: 47 New
          +3
          Dastkastary Today, 13:07 ↑ New
          Quote: andrej-shironov
          No way! Arabs, in principle, are not able to punish anyone except Europe.
          more precisely, they can only punish German women ...

          Poor arabs laughing

      2. andrej-shironov
        andrej-shironov 15 December 2017 15: 41 New
        +2
        But Turbris, to be honest, the hunt so that they punished the United States !!!
    2. igor67
      igor67 15 December 2017 17: 02 New
      +3
      Quote: andrej-shironov
      No way! Arabs, in principle, are not able to punish anyone except Europe.

      Lebanese can punish the United States only by abandoning the millions of dollars they receive from the United States and military supplies, an article was published yesterday or the day before in Lebanon, and Lebanon received military assistance worth 1.5 billion ..
  3. Horseman without a head
    Horseman without a head 15 December 2017 19: 53 New
    26
    And whose capital is Jerusalem but Israel?
    Only - the kingdom of Jerusalem of the crusaders or the kingdom of Judea laughing . And better - the Roman (Byzantine) province.
    By love, may Jerusalem be better Israeli than Arab. good
    1. boboss
      boboss 16 December 2017 16: 55 New
      +2
      ...... the center of the three religions ....
  4. Troll
    Troll 15 December 2017 20: 04 New
    +4
    Russia recognized in April west Jerusalem is the capital of Israel. And everyone accepted this completely normal, but Trump either because of stupidity or if by intent he “forgot” this word.
    East Jerusalem is a Palestinian city.
    1. Maki Avellevich
      Maki Avellevich 16 December 2017 09: 23 New
      +5
      Quote: Troll
      East Jerusalem is a Palestinian city.


      East Berlin soon
  5. groks
    groks 15 December 2017 20: 08 New
    +1
    What can the Arabs do? Reduce production / sale. Which will automatically raise prices. Oil and gas projects in the USA and Canada will at least achieve self-sufficiency. The Germans will begin to build windmills even more fun. Traditionally, gasoline will rise in price in our country.
    But it is not known - how much are the Arabs masters of their oil? What did TNK grab there, more precisely - is there anything else there besides TNCs.
    Act on emotions, politicians of this level simply can not. Already the main line will be maintained, even if everything is said in your own words. This is about trump. Most likely, there is an earpiece in the ear - so as not to accidentally agree before TMV. Mental abilities do not matter - proved by Bush Jr.
    So what happens? Trump said that the Arabs could say, and what will happen next ....
    1. NF68
      NF68 15 December 2017 20: 30 New
      +4
      Quote: groks
      The Germans will begin to build windmills even more fun.


      Where is even more fun then? This kindness and as mushrooms after rain. It would be better to build high-voltage power lines faster.
      1. groks
        groks 15 December 2017 21: 10 New
        +1
        And will there be subsidies and subsidies for power lines, like windmills?
        1. NF68
          NF68 15 December 2017 21: 15 New
          +4
          But the devil knows them. They write so much about this and say that I’m already tired of delving into the details regarding what they offer there. But at this time, the main problem is not in windmills and not even in power lines that also need to be built, but in the fact that so far there are no real ideas on how to create / preserve already generated electricity.
          1. groks
            groks 15 December 2017 21: 44 New
            +2
            If you poke a fairly large country with wind turbines with a significant margin and if you do not spare money for power electronics, then the problem of accumulation is somewhat smoothed out. At least it will blow somewhere. It is not suitable for the Russian Federation, since we have sufficient wind only along the coast of the Arctic.
    2. Maki Avellevich
      Maki Avellevich 16 December 2017 09: 25 New
      +2
      Quote: groks
      What can the Arabs do? Reduce production / sale. Which will automatically raise prices.


      not this way. the price of oil depends more on the Fichers than on the real demand for it.
      to whom Fichers are submissive he dances a girl.
      1. groks
        groks 16 December 2017 09: 28 New
        +1
        Of course. But even a rumor about a decrease in production will cause a rise in prices.
  6. MOSKVITYANIN
    MOSKVITYANIN 16 December 2017 02: 37 New
    +2
    The Arab world, outraged by the decision of Donald Trump to recognize Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, is talking about sanctions against the United States. Lebanon at a meeting League of Arab States called for a unified policy and preventive measures against the United States.

    A "sharashkin office", uncontrolled by the Arabs themselves ....
    League of Arab States (LAS) suspended on Saturday, November 12, Syria's membership in the pan-Arab organization due to violations by Damascus of the provisions of the Arab plan to resolve the Syrian crisis, which provides for the renunciation of the use of force against protests, the withdrawal of troops from cities, the release of arrested participants in street processions and the earliest possible entry into dialogue with the opposition.

    https://rg.ru/2011/11/14/lavrov-siriya-anons.html
    What the senior comrades from the State Department and the Foreign Office say, these figures from the Arab League will do ...
  7. fa2998
    fa2998 16 December 2017 07: 54 New
    +1
    Quote: andrej-shironov
    No way! Arabs, in principle, are not able to punish anyone except Europe.

    If the Arabs are dissatisfied with the behavior of the United States, DO NOT sell them oil, let them get by! But the Arabs do not have unity, some are outraged, others remain strategic partners of the Americans. hi
    1. Maki Avellevich
      Maki Avellevich 16 December 2017 10: 00 New
      +2
      Quote: fa2998
      If the Arabs are dissatisfied with the behavior of the United States, DO NOT sell them oil, let them get by! But the Arabs do not have unity, some are outraged, others remain strategic partners of the Americans.


      as old as the world. dīvide et īmpera. translated for workers - divide and have
      1. MOSKVITYANIN
        MOSKVITYANIN 16 December 2017 15: 32 New
        +1
        You as a friend of SA is better known ....
  8. The comment was deleted.
    1. groks
      groks 16 December 2017 19: 55 New
      +3
      differences between Jews and people

      BER in marasmic expression? Or just a fascist?
  9. Penzyac
    Penzyac 16 December 2017 16: 42 New
    +1
    Quote: Maki Avellevich
    Quote: Troll
    East Jerusalem is a Palestinian city.


    East Berlin soon

    No, if Berlin, then rather a tolerant western ...
  10. Awak
    Awak 16 December 2017 17: 07 New
    +2
    Arabs punish the United States? Hehe. What, striped flags will burn more than one at a time?)
  11. Abram
    Abram 16 December 2017 17: 19 New
    +3
    Yerusalim has always been Yerushalaim in the territory of Israel. So I think of Crimea, which has always been in the territory of Russia.
    1. MOSKVITYANIN
      MOSKVITYANIN 16 December 2017 18: 36 New
      +2
      Quote: Abram
      Yerusalim has always been Yerushalaim in the territory of Israel. So I think of Crimea, which has always been in the territory of Russia.

      If Israel was created in 1947, how was Jerusalem ALWAYS a part of Israel? Go teach your mother a part in some Sofia state library or use Google, but I think it won’t help, because ...... it has never helped ...