Military Review

Only in this way America will achieve peace in Ukraine (The National Interest. USA)

36
Only in this way America will achieve peace in Ukraine (The National Interest. USA)



The Trump administration has repeatedly stated its intention to become a peacemaker in Ukraine. The initiative would have a greater chance of success if Washington proposed a certain set of measures guaranteeing Ukraine’s neutral status and non-expansion of NATO.

It seems that Washington politicians simply can not live without an enemy. However, the “Russian threat” did not meet their expectations. Vladimir Putin is an unpleasant autocrat, but his kingdom is much more free than the kingdoms of American allies - Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Turkey. Washington even gives one of them attention, money and weapons.

History with the intervention of Moscow, everyone was unpleasantly surprised, but Washington has nothing to complain about. For that matter, the United States intervened in the elections in the 81 country. The Clinton administration has made every effort to successfully re-elect Boris Yeltsin in the 1996 year (which, however, unexpectedly for all led to the Putin presidency).

The Russian Federation is not an ideological rival. Putinism very few people like, except for Putin himself and his inner circle. Earlier, when Putin demonstrated his authoritarian ways, no one called him a communist. Rather, he simply did not like the way the West relates to Russia. He did not lead any particular anti-American policy. He is a king in the traditional sense of the word, who demands respect for his state and guarantees its security.

And this explains Russia's foreign policy. For example, Putin believes that the interests of Moscow should be for Syria a higher priority than the interests of America, since Syria is much closer to Russia in geographical terms and has been its military ally for many years.

More importantly, Russia intends to prevent Ukraine and Georgia from joining NATO. No one should be surprised by the fact that Moscow opposes the expansion of its historical adversary to its borders and the inclusion of territories that were once part of the Soviet Union and the Russian Empire. Ukraine and Georgia are not very fortunate, but Washington rarely allows “justice” to interfere with its security interests.

In addition to constant complaints from European countries, there is no evidence that Putin is planning aggressive actions. What is the use of it? More likely, he perfected the art of destabilizing states that decided to leave the dirtiest military work to the United States.

Only Europe, which has become completely dependent on America, can look so vulnerable in the face of an increasingly weaker Russia. In the aggregate, Europe is twelve times stronger than Russia in economic terms, three times as large as its population and is twice as powerful militarily. Moscow lost its superpower status about a quarter of a century ago. Today it is a regional military power with a weak economy and an obscure political course. Nuclear weapon gives Putin considerable weight in the international arena, but America also has it, and quite a lot, and even Europe has some reserves.

Washington and its allies continue to hold Russia under sanctions, although there is no practical benefit to this. Russia will not give up the Crimea without war. Supporting prolonged hostilities in the east of Ukraine, Moscow ensures that Kiev does not join NATO. Congress is convinced that American economic influence will allow them to reshape the rest of the world, but sanctions rarely forced nationalist governments to abandon their goals. This should be absolutely clear to the Americans, who would not have ceded to Russia (or to anyone else), if all had happened the other way around.

Improving relations with Moscow should be a primary task for the United States. Western politicians are eagerly awaiting Putin’s resignation, but he personifies the larger political forces in Russia. One can be almost completely sure that after him someone liberal in the Western sense of the word will come to power. There is no such person in his environment. And even in the opposition it is not. Those who are well acquainted with Alexei Navalny, the opposition leader, point out that he would be no less an autocratic and nationalist than Putin. Expecting change means expecting something that may never happen.

Nevertheless, everyone would have won if the conflict in Donbass ended, and the threats against Europe would dissipate. Russia can also help or hinder the West in other regions - in the Middle East, in particular, in Syria and Asia, and especially in North Korea. Other important issues are Afghanistan and the Arctic. If relations between the United States and Russia improve, Moscow will still seek its independent interests, but may be more inclined to take into account the problems of the allies.

The most important event may be the separation of Moscow from the People’s Republic of China (PRC). The most brilliant move by Richard Nixon was to establish relations with the PRC in order to balance the Soviet Union in this field. The policies of Presidents Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and especially Barack Obama led to the opposite: the unification of Moscow and Beijing. In fact, one of the only goals that bind the two governments is the determination to prevent US world domination. However, if America faces a military threat in the future, it is more likely to come from China than from Russia.

The policy of building relationships with Moscow was complicated by the hype around the Trump campaign. And although there is very little evidence of these allegations, Congress began to strengthen the sanctions, reducing the likelihood of positive change. The Minsk agreements remain unfulfilled, but this is also Kiev’s fault, which refuses to make the promised changes to the Constitution.

The administration is going to send 20000 peacekeepers to the Donbass, where 10000 people have already died during the hostilities. The main goal is to oust the Russian troops, disarm the separatists and return the region to Ukraine, but with a greater share of independence.

It is likely that Moscow will agree to such conditions if Washington proposes to consider Russia's security problems. NATO still officially intends to admit Ukraine and Georgia into its ranks. The United States and its allies must declare that they do not plan to expand the alliance. If they have to start a war in the case of Russian aggression, they will not deploy troops and equipment in the heart of the former Soviet Union.

If the question of Ukraine joining NATO will be removed, Moscow will have no reason to support the conflict in the Donbas. Peaceful Ukraine will cease to pose a threat to Russia. Moscow will be able to rid itself of costly hostilities that aimlessly absorb resources and lives. Ukraine will be able to develop economically and politically at its discretion. Sanctions will be removed, the economic integration of Russia with Europe through Ukraine will begin.

Such an option would be a compromise, but it would be the most profitable for everyone. Of course, Kiev is free to do what it pleases, but other parties do the same, interfering in this war. America should not do the same, because its task is to defend against Russia and its nuclear weapons. Sanctions will not force Moscow to give up the Crimea and stop this geopolitical cataclysm, but sanctions force Moscow to resist the USA in all corners of the world.

Maybe Congress did not notice this, but Washington clearly can no longer dictate to other countries what to do. No one benefits from the conflict in Ukraine. Administration should be forward-thinking. NATO members must declare that the alliance will not expand.

Dag Bandou is a senior fellow at the Cato Institute; former presidential adviser Ronald Reagan; He is the author of several books, including Foreign Follies: America's New Global Empire.
Author:
Originator:
http://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-skeptics/here-how-america-can-bring-peace-ukraine-23178?page=2
Photos used:
Reuters
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  1. Mavrikiy
    Mavrikiy 22 November 2017 06: 00
    12
    Nevertheless, everyone would only have won if the conflict in the Donbass ended, and the threats against Europe disappeared. Russia can also help or hinder the West in other regions - in the Middle East, in particular in Syria and Asia, and especially in North Korea. Other important issues are Afghanistan and the Arctic.
    And here is the big letter, Fuck you guys. The conditions are either ours, or you will carry chestnuts out of the fire yourself, and we will toss up the coal so as not to get bored.
    If the issue of Ukraine’s joining NATO is removed, Moscow will have no reason to support the conflict in the Donbass. Peaceful Ukraine will cease to pose a threat to Russia.
    Interestingly, what are they drinking over the puddle?
    1. avia12005
      avia12005 22 November 2017 06: 32
      +6
      They not only drink, they also smoke ... drinks
      1. Rurikovich
        Rurikovich 22 November 2017 06: 40
        +5
        Quote: avia12005
        They not only drink, they also smoke.

        And they eat ... It also cripples well, if you boil them correctly wassat
      2. 210ox
        210ox 22 November 2017 07: 30
        +3
        This Daud Bandow is right in something ... Only one BUT! You can’t believe a word or a letter! And you will still be dragging Georgia or Ukraine by the ears ... For because WE are Russia .. AND WE live by morality, and in its charter, contrary to you as a staff member! And you can’t come to terms with it! As long as you exist, you will spoil us.
        Quote: avia12005
        They not only drink, they also smoke ... drinks
      3. askme
        askme 22 November 2017 23: 55
        0
        The administration is going to send 20000 peacekeepers to the Donbass, where 10000 people have already died during the hostilities. The main goal is to oust the Russian troops, disarm the separatists and return the region to Ukraine, but with a greater share of independence.

        Well, just enchanting ......
    2. andrewkor
      andrewkor 22 November 2017 06: 36
      +5
      The USA did not fulfill a single agreement with Russia, and they are again trying to impose something, though through the mouth of an Expert!
    3. dSK
      dSK 22 November 2017 06: 45
      +8
      Russia intends to prevent Ukraine and Georgia from joining NATO.

      I read the modern "past": During the war in Yugoslavia there were volunteers from Russia and when journalists asked one young Siberian why he came, he replied: "If you do not stop the war here, it will come to Russia." soldier
    4. nickname7
      nickname7 22 November 2017 08: 35
      +4
      The states are peacekeepers, it's like letting a goat into the garden, guarding the cabbage. How are they going to create the world? Weapons to supply Ukraine, in addition to those five billion and Nuland cookies, as well as a bunch of non-profit organizations controlled by the West, who sow hatred and poison around the clock, they have no faith in these American cheaters. First you need to drive the "goat from the garden", and then you can talk about the world.
      1. dSK
        dSK 23 November 2017 00: 03
        +1
        Quote: nickname7
        you can talk about the world

        Hello Eugene! Today there was a message about the preparation of the next "humanitarian" convoy for the Donbas. According to expert estimates, in order to only "clear" the Donbas, you need 10 years, but to restore the destroyed? In addition to Russia, there is no one.
        History of the last decade: 2008 - South Ossetia and Abkhazia are protected (restoration of Tskhinval and annual subsidies to these regions ) 2014 - protection of the Crimea and its restoration (energy, water, roads, bridge, etc.) The population of Crimea is greater than Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Now the help to Donbas (more than 60 humcon convoys) and the population is greater than in the Crimea. Everything repeats: protection, then recovery. soldier
  2. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 22 November 2017 06: 42
    +3
    and is (Europe) twice as powerful militarily

    This was said and probably he was surprised. If Europe is twice as powerful militarily as Russia, then why bother about the possible "aggression" of Russia in the Baltic countries and even Poland? You are so powerful, but you are hiding behind the American missile defense and tanks that went into Eastern Europe. However, at the same time, for some reason, some of the planes cannot take off, and some of the tanks move (FRG). The glorious British fleet has sunk into oblivion and even pennants are not observed, the French imitate some kind of activity. In short, the usual Western propaganda and nothing more.
  3. samarin1969
    samarin1969 22 November 2017 06: 50
    +2
    On both sides of the ocean, people are unlikely to understand the author’s opus, including the author himself. ...
    "Such an option would be a compromise, but it would be the most profitable for everyone. Of course, Kiev is free to do whatever it pleases, but the other parties do the same, intervening in this war. America should not do the same, because its task - defend against Russia and its nuclear weapons. " - Chinese robots, do they write “analytics”? smile
  4. Cat Marquis
    Cat Marquis 22 November 2017 07: 00
    +8
    Administration should be far-sighted. NATO members must declare that the alliance will not expand.


    Yeah .... I remember that the infamous "Mikole-labeled" was also promised something similar .... The near-witted hack was led by this bullshit .... And where is NATO now and where is the USSR now?
  5. shinobi
    shinobi 22 November 2017 07: 23
    +5
    The author, analyzing the activities of his own government, seems to be a healthy person. As soon as he passes to Russia and its relations with former satellites, a blinkered ram. The complete absence is not just understanding where it is, but attempts to at least go beyond propaganda clichés.
    1. nickname7
      nickname7 22 November 2017 08: 42
      +1
      His task is not to analyze, but to hide and confuse. And the true goals and objectives can be learned from the official Western doctrines, which are in the public domain, but no one reads the doctrine, everyone listens to the chatter of "talking heads."
  6. Nemesis
    Nemesis 22 November 2017 07: 45
    +3
    The USA and Ukraine in the Donbass need the Kosovo option. For Russia, it is unacceptable ...
  7. Altona
    Altona 22 November 2017 07: 55
    +4
    Dag Bandou is a senior fellow at the Cato Institute; former presidential adviser Ronald Reagan; He is the author of several books, including Foreign Follies: America's New Global Empire.
    ------------------------------------
    It seems not a boy and not a loser. Wrote an article pulling paragraphs from cheap newspapers. Here you and “Putinism” without explanation what it is, as if the corrupt Clinton and the corrupt American oligarchs behind it are a phenomenon of a different order than “Putinism”. Apparently their "Putinism" is not considered. And the "destabilization of the states", as if everything is fine in Russia and the butterflies are around. Cherry on the cake, the desire to send 20 thousand American peacekeepers to the Donbass. Why not Russia send 20 thousand peacekeepers to Cuba, and to Nicaragua, for example. Some enchanting nonsense, pulled out of cheap statues.
    1. Monster_Fat
      Monster_Fat 22 November 2017 08: 33
      +6
      yanked out of cheap statues.

      And this is a new reality and you need to get used to it, there will be no other. Now no one does anything himself, doesn’t go anywhere, doesn’t get acquainted with the situation on the ground, doesn’t talk with the interlocutor looking into his eyes, etc., everything has been replaced by Internet “communication”, all “information” is drawn from the “web” and to it The basis is the "opinion". Thus, Internet rulers can control the “opinion” of billions of people around the world, imposing the right opinion on the right information. Have you noticed how, under various pretexts, they try to prevent Putin and Trump from meeting?
      1. dSK
        dSK 23 November 2017 00: 38
        +2
        If the issue of Ukraine’s joining NATO is removed, Moscow will have no reason to support the conflict in the Donbass. Peaceful Ukraine will cease to pose a threat to Russia. Moscow will be able to save itself from costly hostilities that aimlessly absorb resources and lives. Ukraine will be able to develop economically and politically at its discretion. Sanctions will be lifted, will begin the economic integration of Russia with Europe through Ukraine.

        The article may be voiced предложения on the "big deal" trump: Russia does not support Donbas - States do not drag Ukraine into NATO, lift “sanctions” from Russia and forgive Crimea (because they perfectly understand that Russia will never give up Crimea).
  8. BAI
    BAI 22 November 2017 09: 05
    +1
    If the issue of Ukraine’s joining NATO is removed, Moscow will have no reason to support the conflict in the Donbass.

    But who will believe them after Gorbachev? Do they really think that having deceived once, they will be able to do this and the second?
  9. novel66
    novel66 22 November 2017 09: 50
    +4
    the spirit of psakism proudly roars over congress. jen - for president!
  10. NordUral
    NordUral 22 November 2017 10: 58
    +1
    The administration is going to send 20000 peacekeepers to the Donbass, where 10000 people have already died during the hostilities. The main goal is to oust the Russian troops, disarm the separatists and return the region to Ukraine, but with a greater share of independence.


    Malbrooke was going on a campaign ... Well, well ...
  11. Boris63
    Boris63 22 November 2017 11: 05
    +2
    It's funny ... The heading is "America and Ukraine", and the text ... 90% about Putin and what he ... wants to "build" everyone ...
  12. iouris
    iouris 22 November 2017 11: 29
    +1
    Quote: "If the issue of Ukraine joining NATO is resolved, Moscow will have no reason to support the conflict in the Donbass." The end of the quote.
    Statehood of Ukraine for the United States is a way to destroy the USSR. To destroy the USSR means to destroy the military danger to the United States. The issue of Ukraine’s joining NATO will remain as long as NATO exists. NATO exists until it is finished off the USSR.
  13. Alexey RA
    Alexey RA 22 November 2017 11: 31
    +1
    The United States and its allies must announce that they do not plan to expand the alliance.


    If the issue of Ukraine’s joining NATO is removed, Moscow will have no reason to support the conflict in the Donbass. Peaceful Ukraine will cease to pose a threat to Russia.

    That is, according to the Americans, the conflict in Ukraine began due to the fact that Ukraine decided to join NATO? belay
  14. igordok
    igordok 22 November 2017 11: 48
    +1
    An error crept into the title of the article.
    Only so America will finish Xia peace on Ukraine e (The National Interest. USA)
  15. The Siberian barber
    The Siberian barber 22 November 2017 12: 51
    +2
    ... "and the horses mixed up, people" .. Even Navalny "stuck" in his opus)))
    What time is puffed up, hearty?)
  16. savage1976
    savage1976 22 November 2017 16: 05
    0
    Already stated enough. You can rip off once, but then do not count on faith and friendship. Now only a rope with soap for Nata.
  17. Handbrake
    Handbrake 22 November 2017 19: 19
    0
    A funny little article, all but one heap, Russia is a powerful country, but weak, but with nuclear weapons, but the aggressor is in khokhlo # $% & and in general everywhere. In general, a weakling, stupid, dangerous country. But so that she does not break the wood, it is necessary to be friends with her, but to keep for an idiot. In general, a waste.
    The opinion of a compatriot is simply amazing.
    "And your goods are so-so ... rubbish and not goods" (C) three heroes on distant shores.
  18. Awaz
    Awaz 22 November 2017 19: 39
    0
    Only Russia and the USSR have experience in resolving conflicts peacefully. All other "peacekeepers" only exacerbate any conflict where they intervene. The USSR, even in Afghanistan, would restore order with minimal losses on both sides if the conflict had not been set on fire from the side.
  19. izya top
    izya top 22 November 2017 21: 21
    0
    as I understand it, this is the main message
    Washington and its allies continue to keep Russia under sanctions, although this is of no practical use.
    that is, sanctions must be lifted, all the same, Russia is no match for us.
    bad game, but at least keep mine request
  20. Berkut-UA
    Berkut-UA 22 November 2017 21: 51
    0
    Quote: andrewkor
    The USA did not fulfill a single agreement with Russia, and they are again trying to impose something, though through the mouth of an Expert!

    So you are not being fooled by all THIS.
    You understand that now in the USA the situation inside the country is not the same as always.
    If you used to say that only in one country in the world there can be no percussions, since there is no American Embassy. Now, the USA stubbornly follows the road of the beginning of the Maidan in its own country.
    After all, you see maydanutykh politicians in the US Congress, who, because of their bestial hatred of other countries and primarily Russia, have limited their president in his activities.
    They force Trump to sign new sanctions against Russia, they rejected all the agreements agreed upon at the first meeting between Putin and Trump. Even related to safety.
    It is the majority of Congress that is trying to impeach Trump, although he did not lie under oath and did not listen to the headquarters of the Democratic Party. And the military countries, calling their own Commander-in-Chief an idiot, are about to rob him of a nuclear suitcase.
    Tell me - in what other country of the world is this possible? Even in Congo, Guatemala, or Burkina Faso, the president has more influence over society than in the current United States.
    And you don’t have to do anything .... They themselves invent horror stories .... believe in them and become maidanutny like ragul on-not-in-so-called Ukraine
  21. Prutkov
    Prutkov 22 November 2017 22: 21
    0
    In fact, the neutral status of Ukraine under the current leadership is beneficial to the Americans. This gives them the opportunity to use the airspace of Ukraine as Israel does over Lebanon. If you look at the map, you can see that the southern and southwestern directions are covered by bases in Syria and Crimea. The western direction is covered by Belarus and Kaliningrad. The northern direction is strengthening strongly. There is only one gap - "neutral" Ukraine.
  22. Pissarro
    Pissarro 23 November 2017 02: 58
    0
    In short, the author suggests concluding an agreement with Russia, according to which Russia allows Ukraine to genocide the Donbass, and in return receives verbal promises not to include Ukraine in NATO. Designed for sucker
  23. MadCat
    MadCat 23 November 2017 06: 13
    +1
    The National Interest. USA

    This is exactly the same "USA" as Russia today.
  24. Dmitry Fedorov
    Dmitry Fedorov 24 November 2017 11: 07
    0
    "Few people like Putinism except Putin himself and his inner circle."

    In fact, Putinism is independence and freedom.
    Everyone needs Putinism.
  25. Dmitry Fedorov
    Dmitry Fedorov 24 November 2017 11: 09
    0
    If the issue of Ukraine’s joining NATO is removed, Moscow will have no reason to support the conflict in the Donbass.

    Who will believe them? They can return to this in a couple of years.
    They have no faith.