Military Review

Russia, Turkey and Iran will divide Syria into three in Sochi

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November 22, 2017 in the Sochi residence of the President of Russia will be held historical a meeting. The leaders of Russia of Iran and Turkey will meet to agree and announce their vision of a new Middle East. Without the US and European "partners." They will simply be confronted with the fact, either to accept this plan, or ... to accept it later, after it becomes clear that they have no other choice.

Two years ago, this development could seem unthinkable. To determine the fate of the Middle East without Washington and Europe? And who? Three more recent irreconcilable rival in the region: Moscow, Ankara and Tehran? Brad is the same. But today it is almost a fait accompli.

Prelude

In October, a new war nearly broke out in the Middle East on 2017. Recent partners, and now opponents - the official government of Iraq and Iraqi Kurdistan - have moved from a verbal squabble to open hostilities.

Iraq openly supported Tehran, which placed at its disposal detachments of Shiite volunteers. In defense of the Kurds, after a pause, the United States spoke.



From the beginning of a large-scale war, this time the region was saved only by the flexibility of Washington’s position, which understood the weakness of its positions and, as a result, the pliability of the Kurds who had to leave Kirkuk and some other strategically important cities of the country.

However, the United States showed Iran teeth and outlined a red line, for which they do not intend to retreat.

Demarche of Riyadh

The end of October, the beginning of November, 2017, were held in constant political consultations between Ankara, Moscow and Tehran. Telephone and personal talks between the heads of state, enhanced work by diplomats of the three countries, consultations with other landmark countries in the region, and first of all Israel and Saudi Arabia.

Meanwhile, further events showed the determination of the anti-Iranian coalition consisting of the United States, Israel and Saudi Arabia to exacerbate and try in this way to seize the initiative from their opponents.

Russia, Turkey and Iran will divide Syria into three in Sochi


On November 4, the Prime Minister of Lebanon, while actually under house arrest in Riyadh, on the air of the Saudi channel Al-Arabiya, accused the Shiite movement Hezbollah and Iran of inciting hatred in Lebanon and the Arab world, and also declared that he had learned about preparing for his assassination. A day later, the State Minister for the Affairs of the Persian-Arab Gulf of Saudi Arabia Samer Al-Sabhan developed the theme:

"We will treat the government of Lebanon as a government declaring war over the Hezbollah militants."


It all sounded so absurd and wild that, firstly, Europeans who just believed in the possibility of a Middle East settlement were scared to death, and, secondly, showed how bad the free time and planning for the pro-American coalition was.

The Lebanese prime minister was finally able to free up thanks to the mediation of French President Emmanuel Macron, and the Saudis demarche forced Moscow, Tehran and Ankara to dramatically intensify the development of a unified position and action plan.

Meeting preparation



On November 13, the Turkish President urgently arrived in Sochi, where he met with Vladimir Putin.

On November 16, the Turkish side officially announced its agreement to the meeting of the big Middle East troika in Sochi (Russia, Iran, Turkey).



On November 19, a meeting took place between the foreign ministers of the three countries, who, according to them, fully agreed on key political issues.

On the same day, the Turkish President announced that before the summit there would be a meeting of the chiefs of the general staffs of the three countries.

So, in the courtyard 21 November. Tomorrow there should be a meeting that can decide the fate of the Middle East for decades to come.

What will be decided in Sochi

The most important issue is a political settlement in Syria. The leaders of the Middle East trio have already announced the holding of a congress of the peoples of Syria, as the most important part of this process.

But this event will be the basis of the settlement plan. The so-called option "A".

But the participation of a significant part of the so-called opposition and the Syrian Kurds, who are under the full control of the United States and are doing everything to thwart the Allied triune plan, has not yet been agreed upon.

Realizing that voluntarily part of the "peoples of Syria" will not sit down at the negotiating table, the chiefs of staff of the three countries agree on a plan "B", that is, military coercion of militants in Idlib and Damascus, as well as Kurdistan (if the need arises). The last moment is the most delicate (due to the position of Washington) and requires filigree interaction at the political and military level.

Plans "A" and "B" are the two main options for the development of events in Syria. So, we wait. We are waiting for what the leaders of the three countries will say tomorrow. And also we are waiting for the official Washington, Riyadh and Tel Aviv reaction to this. No matter how insulting it sounds for the "peoples of Syria", little depends on them in this process.
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  1. the most important
    the most important 21 November 2017 15: 06
    +4
    To know the opinion of Satanovsky and Bagdasarov on this issue. That's who knows everything about BV. When dividing BV, one must be on the lookout: it hurts the partners are not reliable ... I hope that an antidote is stored in all their tricks. Best of all, they understand only power ... and a good word should be said only after the demonstration of a big fist.
    1. vanavatny
      vanavatny 21 November 2017 15: 09
      +5
      soon learn about the possibilities of Russia in this regard
      1. maxim947
        maxim947 21 November 2017 16: 24
        +1
        be on the lookout: it hurts the partners are not reliable ...
        There are no others, the rest are even worse, so anyway you need to agree. And most of all I would like to hear specific decisions, not conversations in the future tense. But for this we need strong eggs, as if the Turks did not "subside"))
    2. Orel
      Orel 21 November 2017 15: 34
      +9
      Quote: the most important
      To know the opinion of Satanovsky and Bagdasarov on this issue.


      For the public, the opinion would be: "Great Russia defeated everyone. Putin outplayed everyone", and for his own and over a glass of tea: "Why was it necessary to step into this pile of manure." laughing
      1. dSK
        dSK 21 November 2017 17: 18
        +1
        Hello Orel!
        Quote: Orel
        Putin outplayed everyone "

        November 21, 2017 08:00 Sochi. “Based on our meeting today, I will hold consultations with the leaders of those countries that I have already mentioned. Today we’ll have a conversation with Emir of Qatar, tomorrow with the President of the United States of America Donald Trump, then with the leaders of the countries of the region. You know that 22– A meeting of the so-called Erriyad opposition group is due to take place in Riyadh on November 23. And our representative, Mr. Lavrentyev, as my special representative will be present at the opening, closing and will participate in the press conference. You just spoke about the end of the military operation. I think the problem of terrorism is global in nature, of course, it’s still a long way to a complete victory over terrorism, but as far as our working together to counter terrorists on Syrian territory, this military operation is really ending."
        And begins work in the Donbas? hi
        1. Orel
          Orel 21 November 2017 17: 49
          +2
          Quote: dsk
          And begins work in the Donbas?


          We'll see. If all this gives at least some chance for peace, then I only welcome it.
    3. antivirus
      antivirus 21 November 2017 17: 09
      +1
      just don’t know the real
      we (the troika) will not decide everything, it will be necessary to share with the us and other neighbors.
      OIL-GAS AND REFINERY + PIPELINES OR CONTROL OF CITIES WITH PROM (?) POTENTIAL
      OR DR.
      the main thing is that there is not enough strength for complete control of all Syria
      Assad is still being traded (he is being traded). and the presence of Rosneft. and zap oil companies. and KSA and invisible Israel is present
      and transits.
      and consumption from anyone.
      and who will lend - "whose hand of salvation they will kiss"
    4. Krabik
      Krabik 21 November 2017 17: 25
      +3
      Satanovsky voices the point of view of Israel and it is not clear what it may be of interest to you.
    5. Alber
      Alber 21 November 2017 23: 36
      0
      Quote: the most important
      To know the opinion of Satanovsky and Bagdasarov on this issue. That's who knows everything about BV.

      Yeah, most of all ...
      Two cormorants standing each other
  2. aybolyt678
    aybolyt678 21 November 2017 15: 09
    +1
    There will be a meeting without the United States, then the United States will join someone and go and go! Moreover, they outlined the Red Line; in the United States, it tends to change and multiply.
  3. Dym71
    Dym71 21 November 2017 15: 22
    +2
    Russia, Turkey and Iran will divide Syria into three in Sochi

    The first photo to the news made me think though! Really Ilham Aliyev is already a tawoyt, this one? belay
  4. ul_vitalii
    ul_vitalii 21 November 2017 15: 26
    +6
    with w and So they will stick their sticks in the wheels, look for contradictions, act somewhere brazenly, and somewhere cautiously. Through the media we are provided with mud tubs.
  5. 100502
    100502 21 November 2017 15: 27
    +2
    The article is nonsense, the author is very fantasizing
    1. The comment was deleted.
      1. Tsoy
        Tsoy 21 November 2017 16: 35
        +3
        Quote: dmitry83l
        Maybe the site will begin to lay out more and nonsense Dushenova and other schizo. Stop turning the site into a political trash, political news from the site should be removed. Share news about weapons, the latest developments in the military-industrial complex, the history of weapons, the history of wars; You can also add articles about space, news of science and technology (including in the civilian sector), and for yellow politoty have their own sites


        I'm afraid you are late and since the year 14 IN is rapidly sliding into the abyss of graphomania, dreams, and not come true analysts' forecasts and other slag. You just take a look at the headlines ...
    2. Deck
      Deck 25 November 2017 18: 38
      0
      Right Yalta conference. Winners divide the world. Victory comrades! wink
  6. Eurodav
    Eurodav 21 November 2017 15: 49
    +2
    Quote: Orel
    Quote: the most important
    To know the opinion of Satanovsky and Bagdasarov on this issue.


    For the public, the opinion would be: "Great Russia defeated everyone. Putin outplayed everyone", and for his own and over a glass of tea: "Why was it necessary to step into this pile of manure." laughing

    Two versions and both past, especially the second ...
  7. Stirbjorn
    Stirbjorn 21 November 2017 16: 07
    +1
    Two years ago, this development could seem unthinkable. To determine the fate of the Middle East without Washington and Europe? And who? Three more recent irreconcilable rival in the region: Moscow, Ankara and Tehran? Brad is the same. But today it is almost a fait accompli.
    American bases from Syria where the author offers to offer, which are located in the territories controlled by the Kurds? And the Kurds probably hold a quarter of Syria
  8. Wolka
    Wolka 21 November 2017 16: 55
    0
    we are waiting for provocations, the Yankees with the Anglo-Saxons just do not fall behind, how to give shit
  9. farik68
    farik68 21 November 2017 17: 06
    +3
    I can’t understand where does Ilham Aliyev pictured .... ???)))))
    1. shura7782
      shura7782 21 November 2017 17: 42
      0
      This is such a peculiar test of attentiveness. The strange thing is that there are already a lot of comments, but they don’t look at the first photo. Let's wait for more clever comments.
  10. VladGashek
    VladGashek 21 November 2017 19: 09
    0
    It is interesting why G. Aliyev is standing in the center in the photo. Not otherwise, he is the shadow cardinal of the upcoming meeting in Sochi. Apparently, the solution to the Syrian problem directly depends on the position of Azerbaijan.
    1. Paranoid50
      Paranoid50 21 November 2017 20: 31
      +2
      Quote: Vladgashek
      Not otherwise, he is a shadow cardinal

      Apparently, they decided not to bother with the photo, believing that "Azerbaijan and Turkey are twin brothers, who are more valuable to mother stories? ..." laughing
  11. Sergei 777
    Sergei 777 21 November 2017 19: 18
    +1
    Again we will sign secret protocols as with Ribentrop laughing
    But seriously, the main thing is that the borders of the future Syria should be correctly drawn. And then you get a mess like in Nagorno-Karabakh.
  12. steelmaker
    steelmaker 21 November 2017 20: 34
    +1
    Putin does not know how to share. How many debts have already forgiven during his reign! Pensioners will pay again.
  13. Fedya2017
    Fedya2017 21 November 2017 21: 03
    +2
    Putin already needs at least some victory in the "small victorious war" before the elections ... Therefore, he is trying to organize violent activity, with the participation of Turks and Iranians. It is unlikely that something worthwhile will come out of this, too different interests ...
    1. Shahno
      Shahno 21 November 2017 22: 19
      +1
      About a victorious war. This is one of the goals of this war. The image of the president ....
      1. ando_bor
        ando_bor 21 November 2017 23: 16
        0
        Quote: Shahno
        This is one of the goals of this war. The image of the president ....

        The main goal of this war — to punish the Americans and give them the clutches of their feet — to break their system of global dominance when anyone who did not obey them — was eliminated by any means, from elections to a direct military invasion.
        And this goal has been achieved, now it has become clear to everyone in the world that it is possible to send Americans, fly with nonsense to Russia and there will be nothing from the Americans.
        1. Shahno
          Shahno 21 November 2017 23: 25
          0
          You understand this is not a victory in the battle. Russia lost the battle, in the Cold War. But there is respect that the position of Russia at the moment, we are ready to fight, it is rather a psychological advantage.
          1. ando_bor
            ando_bor 22 November 2017 01: 58
            0
            Quote: Shahno
            Russia lost in the Cold War.

            The Communists lost because they were lying, - some words for kitchens are different for the streets, for which they paid, now the Americans are lying - it’s their turn to pay.
            But the Americans laughed, they fought with communism, and Russia rose on capitalism.
  14. Head Physician
    Head Physician 21 November 2017 22: 49
    15
    The skin is not yet killed
  15. shinobi
    shinobi 22 November 2017 04: 23
    0
    Those who control the Middle East control oil. In this scenario, Russia, the mediator between Iran and Turkey, wins anyway because it has connections with both. The USA flies out of the cage and in the long run generally with its role in the world. These will fight to the end . With Europe, not everything is clear yet.
  16. Mavrikiy
    Mavrikiy 22 November 2017 05: 42
    +1
    Russia, Turkey and Iran will divide Syria into three in Sochi
    Iran found in the photo, Russia, oddly enough, found ..... And "who is this powerful old man?" Not really Turkey ....... However, in the morning I do not understand.
  17. shurik-063
    shurik-063 22 November 2017 08: 27
    0
    Why is Aliyev standing in the photo instead of Erdogan?
    1. A. Privalov
      A. Privalov 22 November 2017 10: 55
      +2
      Quote: shurik-063
      Why is Aliyev standing in the photo instead of Erdogan?

      You're right. This is an old photo from the meeting in Baku from 8 August 2016 year. The author of the article either does not distinguish one from the other, or holds his readers for fools. fool
  18. Bogdan L.
    Bogdan L. 22 November 2017 10: 50
    0
    1) the headline is clearly fried: none of them are Syria share not going to.
    2) Putin will represent the position ... of Russia, oh, sorry, the common position of Russia and Syria. For this, Assad flew to Sochi. And there is not a word about this in the article.
    3) Obviously, Assad and Erdogan are not ready to meet in person yet, because Russia will represent Syria at the meeting on Syria.