Military Review

The Baltic States will respond to Putin’s cunning plan with their hard-wearing truth

84
To the tricky plan, supposedly born in the heads of Kremlin strategists, the Balts will oppose their homespun truth.




Michael Peck in a magazine "The National Interest" revealed the secrets of the Baltic court. It turns out that the gentlemen of the Baltic States intend to make the invasion of Putin’s hordes into the Baltic countries "as painful as possible!"

For this, the Baltic states will implement a “plan of defense against the invasion of Russia”: the whole society will be sent “to fight”.

About this plan say researchers from RAND Corporation. If Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania start a war, their civilian population will play a big role in the struggle.

Michael Peck quotes Marta Kepe and Jan Osburg. Experts believe that being small countries with a small strategic depth and limited human and economic resources, the three Baltic countries are increasingly applying the “common defense” approach to national security. The approach allows not only the support of the armed forces, but also the provision of civilians with the possibility of self-defense in the event of a conflict.

Three peoples total only 6,2 million people, of which about 22 thousand are soldiers. There are 450 artillery units, no tanksno planes. But Russia can put up 845.000 troops, of which three hundred thousand in the west. And this is "supported by 2.600 tanks, 5.500 artillery pieces and almost 1.400 combat aircraft." Expert conclusion: planning a normal conflict with Russia “would be pointless”.

Hence the unconventional decision: to make the life of the aggressor "as problematic as possible." This is an “asymmetric defense,” and its goal is to “break the will of the enemy,” so that in the end he refuses to “continue the aggression.”

The article also notes that the strategy of, for example, the defense of Lithuania was copied back in the 1990-s from the approach of Switzerland and the Scandinavian states, where common defense is understood as an approach to national defense, which includes not only the national armed forces and allied forces, but and the mobilization of "all national resources to defeat the invader, as well as the active resistance of every citizen." “Lithuanian strategic documents specifically refer to the concept of civil resistance,” the article states.

As for the remaining two republics, Estonia supports military conscription from the 1990s, and Lithuania restored the corresponding project in the 2016 year, although there are still “voluntary” armed forces in Latvia.

* * *


Even if the Russians, by virtue of some kind of "cunning plan", attacked three small countries, such a "civilian" strategy would hardly have worked perfectly. The fact is that in all three republics there is a large percentage of the Russian-speaking population, whose rights are constantly violated, and in Latvia there are even “non-citizens” than from time to time they are quietly outraged in the European Union. These people during the alleged conflict would be an internal "counter". It is not excluded that the theatrical fear of the authorities of the Baltic states is connected precisely with the internal adversary artificially nurtured by these very authorities, and not with the external one.

Observed and commented on Oleg Chuvakin
- especially for topwar.ru
Photos used:
http://www.globallookpress.com/
84 comments
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  1. 210ox
    210ox 23 October 2017 07: 51 New
    13
    There our whole army in the border areas will not fit .. What kind of 800? Is it for the sake or something. Well, the most painful thing for them can only be one. The Russian Army does not occupy them.
    1. Rey_ka
      Rey_ka 23 October 2017 07: 59 New
      +8
      So you can troll them: wherever in "Delphi" to give an announcement We are looking for the summer season (for example 2020) the place of cantonment of polite Russian troops in the amount of 300 thousand. INTIM DO NOT OFFER! "
      1. dik-nsk
        dik-nsk 23 October 2017 08: 20 New
        +8
        [quote] We are looking for the summer season (for example, 2020) the place of cantonment of polite Russian military personnel in the amount of 300 thousand. INTIM DO NOT OFFER! "[/ Quote of course, what kind of intimacy is there, otherwise a certain Colonel Anastasia from the next news will appear, horror))
        1. cniza
          cniza 23 October 2017 08: 42 New
          10
          They turned into waiters, Russia again did not show up for war. laughing
          1. LSA57
            LSA57 23 October 2017 08: 51 New
            +7
            Quote: cniza
            They turned into waiters

            they will wait a little while when the last able-bodied citizen escapes to the geyropu and themselves declare us out. and after 3 minutes they give up. Yes, they will demand that we, as "invaders," feed and support them
            1. cniza
              cniza 23 October 2017 08: 58 New
              +2
              No, let’s not even give “shovels” ourselves. lol
              1. LSA57
                LSA57 23 October 2017 09: 01 New
                +7
                Quote: cniza
                No, let’s not even give ourselves “shovels”

                you’ll wait from them .... the great-ukra for 25 years have already forgotten how they look. it’s easier for them to wash the toilet in geyrop
              2. Jedi
                Jedi 23 October 2017 09: 05 New
                +6
                Victor, welcome! hi The Balts, apparently, were inspired by the role of partisans in the Second World War. We decided "it was a ride in Belarus, but what are we worse?" lol
                1. cniza
                  cniza 23 October 2017 09: 09 New
                  +3
                  Good time Max! hi , they don’t have European values, let them rush with them now.
                  1. Jedi
                    Jedi 23 October 2017 09: 11 New
                    +6
                    This is probably why the article refers to the strategy of Switzerland and Scandinavia - they say, we are on our own. wink
                    1. cniza
                      cniza 23 October 2017 09: 13 New
                      +3
                      They have a slave strategy and whatever they do, they turn out "bad servants."
                      1. Jedi
                        Jedi 23 October 2017 09: 15 New
                        +7
                        I wonder how all this Russophobic paranoia will end: fatal for the patient with an outcome or recovery?
                    2. cniza
                      cniza 23 October 2017 09: 17 New
                      +4
                      Quote: Jedi
                      I wonder how all this Russophobic paranoia will end: fatal for the patient with an outcome or recovery?


                      If you look at History, you will come with an outstretched hand and assurances of love and friendship ...
                      1. Jedi
                        Jedi 23 October 2017 09: 24 New
                        +4
                        So I am inclined to this option.
                      2. andj61
                        andj61 23 October 2017 09: 39 New
                        +2
                        Quote: Jedi
                        I wonder how all this Russophobic paranoia will end: fatal for the patient with an outcome or recovery?

                        Yes, nothing will end. Russophobia is still in demand and is successfully sold on the foreign market - this is the leadership of the Baltic states and is doing this with its small business. request This will continue until demand for ostentatious Russophobia runs out, and this moment is beyond the scope of possible forecasting! bully hi
                      3. free_flier
                        free_flier 24 October 2017 00: 02 New
                        +1
                        the spiral of history she is so ...
                    3. cniza
                      cniza 23 October 2017 09: 25 New
                      +1
                      Quote: Jedi
                      So I am inclined to this option.


                      And by definition, there can be nothing else; the West does not need them.
                    4. BMP-2
                      BMP-2 23 October 2017 16: 18 New
                      +1
                      The Baltic states are Switzerland, only without money, without cheese, without hours, without four official languages ​​... well, and without everything else that exists in Switzerland. laughing
            2. Orionvit
              Orionvit 23 October 2017 10: 16 New
              +1
              Quote: LSA57
              Yes, they will demand that we, as "invaders," feed and support them

              In fact, the invaders are always trying to clear the occupied territory. True, the Russians have never done this, but "non-citizens" can recall all the humiliation. Then the "orphan tears" will pour out to the Balts.
              1. LSA57
                LSA57 23 October 2017 10: 50 New
                +4
                Quote: Orionvit
                In fact, the invaders are always trying to clear the occupied territory.

                so this is by our logic
                1. Orionvit
                  Orionvit 23 October 2017 11: 25 New
                  0
                  Quote: LSA57
                  so this is by our logic

                  And according to your logic, the invaders are occupying foreign territories to feed the local population? Give at least one example. In addition to the Russians, no one in the world was involved in this.
                  1. LSA57
                    LSA57 23 October 2017 12: 13 New
                    +5
                    Quote: Orionvit
                    And according to your logic, the invaders are occupying foreign territories to feed the local population?

                    Well, I !!!!!! fool fool wanted to say in theirs. but it turned out that. real lack of sleep sad
                    1. Orionvit
                      Orionvit 23 October 2017 14: 17 New
                      0
                      real lack of sleep
                      It’s nothing, it happens.
          2. Slovak
            Slovak 23 October 2017 20: 11 New
            0
            Interestingly, these great strategists do not assume that the aggressor (if it does appear), to whom the locals create maximum discomfort, can they simply be collected in one section of the area surrounded by a thorn, or sent to the development of forest and rocky sections of the northern area? The problem is solved very simply and quickly.
        2. Monos
          Monos 23 October 2017 08: 44 New
          12
          the whole society will be sent "to fight."

          It was already, "forest brothers" were called. Not impressed.
          The Russian "aggression" and "occupation" must also be earned. The Baltic states have not yet earned.
      2. Pete mitchell
        Pete mitchell 23 October 2017 11: 59 New
        +5
        Quote: Rey_ka
        ..300 thousand. INTIM DO NOT OFFER! "

        Well, you FIG post such a number of polite
    2. Uncle lee
      Uncle lee 23 October 2017 08: 03 New
      +7
      Quote: 210ox
      The Russian Army does not occupy them.

      What are you saying, sadyuga! They sleep and see when they are occupied! crying
      1. Ushly_bashkort
        Ushly_bashkort 23 October 2017 08: 06 New
        +2
        Already flowers are being grown, loaves are being baked, streets are being torn to shine, just in case the plan to oppose the bloody Terran fails laughing
        1. LSA57
          LSA57 23 October 2017 08: 53 New
          +9
          Quote: Ushly_bashkort
          Already flowers are being grown, loaves are being baked, streets are being dragged

          quietly buy Russian flags, St. George ribbons, full-length portraits of GDP
          1. Ushly_bashkort
            Ushly_bashkort 23 October 2017 09: 45 New
            +1
            The main thing is that the monuments to Soviet soldiers put back!
            1. LSA57
              LSA57 23 October 2017 10: 51 New
              +5
              Quote: Ushly_bashkort
              The main thing is that the monuments to Soviet soldiers put back!

              2 times larger
      2. Siberia 9444
        Siberia 9444 23 October 2017 08: 07 New
        +3
        The Russian-speaking population themselves will open all doors for us hi
        1. LSA57
          LSA57 23 October 2017 08: 54 New
          +5
          Quote: Siberia 9444
          The Russian-speaking population themselves will open all doors for us

          and then they themselves will be a minority and non-citizens
        2. pjbunny
          pjbunny 23 October 2017 09: 03 New
          0
          oh oh. young people in the brain hammered a lot of things during this time. the older generation can still do something, but .... and nobody will especially meet with flowers. it is their homeland, no matter how they belong to power. Yes, and in the composition of the Russian Federation they have no special desire. to earn money is the maximum they need. Well, have time to get citizenship before the pension itself. the title is a little deduced from the story, yes, but it will not happen so quickly. I travel to Riga and Tallinn several times a year, the sight of a person who comes and communicates with the population and relatives.
          1. Orionvit
            Orionvit 23 October 2017 10: 44 New
            0
            Quote: pjbunny
            nobody will especially meet with flowers. this is their homeland

            Let them then return the money that was paid for by their Peter the Great, and which the "hateful" Communists invested in them.
          2. Petrucho
            Petrucho 24 October 2017 09: 33 New
            0
            This misunderstanding is not our homeland. Our homeland is the Soviet Union!
    3. Finches
      Finches 23 October 2017 08: 15 New
      +8
      Reasoning from the category - "The children argued at school what is the fastest in the world. Tanya says: - The fastest word - said, but you won’t get it back! Vanya says: - The fastest light! Just turned it on, but it’s already on! there was diarrhea, so I did not have time to say a word, nor turn on the light. " laughing

      1. LSA57
        LSA57 23 October 2017 08: 56 New
        +5
        Quote: Finches
        I had diarrhea here, so I didn’t manage to say a word or turn on the light. "

        it seems they have such verbal diarrhea from the age of 91 does not stop
    4. stolz
      stolz 23 October 2017 09: 23 New
      +1
      I remember that they already tried to make life difficult for the Russians before the 90s, when my pregnant wife did not want to give way to the tram. I alone managed to call the entire tram to order, explain what they were wrong about and no one dared to utter a word.
      1. novel66
        novel66 23 October 2017 09: 37 New
        +4
        that's why they are now Russian and do not like laughing
        1. LSA57
          LSA57 23 October 2017 10: 53 New
          +5
          Quote: novel xnumx
          that's why they are NOW Russian and don’t like

          they never loved us
    5. bald
      bald 23 October 2017 09: 35 New
      +1
      Most likely, this is the case on the subconscious (the Russian Army does not occupy them.), Because then everything will return to them - the factories will start working, there will be jobs, a financial freebie, pulling the already meager budget for the Army and much more.
      1. Lycan
        Lycan 23 October 2017 11: 16 New
        +1
        Quote: bald
        factories will work, jobs will appear, financial freebie

        But there is no way to allow such a thing!
        Where is the logic? And the fact that it will come to understand that only Russia is able to provide a more or less balanced economic activity (of course, if it needs this region) and progressive development. In this case, you have to accept the fact that the Balts themselves besides classical private business activities they will not be able to give anything to the country. And where capitalism leads - we all know - crises, sweatshops exploitation, impoverishment and "man to man - the wolf."
        1. bald
          bald 23 October 2017 11: 23 New
          0
          But there is no logic - ordinary obstinacy, well, let them "exist" further.
    6. Basil50
      Basil50 23 October 2017 10: 13 New
      +2
      In the article, as with politicians, everything is too smooth. The author streamlined and without details described future hostilities.
      In fact, they are planning their war in the style of Chechnya. This is when women and children are pushed forward and shot from behind their backs. And while shouting about rights and respect. Or take hostages and hide behind them.
    7. Felix99
      Felix99 23 October 2017 12: 12 New
      0
      So Switzerland hopes to retain the troops of the NATO countries that surround it. It turns out that Switzerland is our strategic partner.
  2. Rey_ka
    Rey_ka 23 October 2017 07: 56 New
    +1
    It is unlikely that now someone from today's youth will be able to transfer what the generation of the 40s suffered. "yes there were people in our time"
  3. Retvizan 8
    Retvizan 8 23 October 2017 08: 04 New
    +3
    Faster die from their anger than from Russian acupation.
  4. Masya masya
    Masya masya 23 October 2017 08: 09 New
    +4
    giving civilians self-defense in case of conflict

    The salvation of drowning, the work of the drowning themselves ... wink
  5. aszzz888
    aszzz888 23 October 2017 08: 10 New
    0
    Experts believe that, being small countries with a small strategic depth and limited human and economic resources, the three Baltic countries are increasingly adopting a “common defense” approach to national security.

    ... so that the trials go one after another !!! ... well, no, bully for them their shirt is closer to the body ...
  6. Sergey-svs
    Sergey-svs 23 October 2017 08: 10 New
    +3
    ... About such a plan say researchers from RAND Corporation. If Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania start a war, their civilian population will play a big role in the struggle ...
    .... where common defense is understood as an approach to national defense, which includes not only national forces and allied forces, but also the mobilization of "all national resources to defeat the invader, as well as the active resistance of every citizen."

    Bullshit! yes And researchers from the RAND Corporation need less smoke than ganjubas, and more to study the historical materiel! lol Seeing our tanks, Dahl and her kind, of course, immediately run far beyond the "puddle", and the abandoned, without their democratic leadership, civilians will throw flowers to pick up joys to meet the liberators! laughing
    1. LSA57
      LSA57 23 October 2017 08: 58 New
      +4
      Quote: Sergey-svs
      Seeing our tanks, Dahl and her kind, of course, immediately run far beyond the "puddle",

      no, most likely they’ll quickly change hands in a jump. they don’t get used to such tricks
  7. grandfather Mih
    grandfather Mih 23 October 2017 08: 22 New
    +1
    Cho just do not come up with to get horny. Does Hodor seem to be watching from Rothschild? So why not deepen the sea? In a lard of years there will be a “historical” excitement: an ancient nation! And you don’t need to steal anything. All will give. Already tepericha. Perspective! And then: “I saw Russian soldiers! Aggressors!” - and, well, wring their pens. Victim of kaby. Voyeurs.
  8. wolfkill
    wolfkill 23 October 2017 08: 30 New
    +1
    And they don’t think that our soldiers, even in case of national resistance, will not start acting more aggressive, so to speak, there are grenade throwers in every window and so on
  9. Zhelezyakin
    Zhelezyakin 23 October 2017 08: 40 New
    +5
    Similar news filled Ascomin's order. Already laughing is not decent. Such statements by the Baltic ’leaders only refer to events taking place to this day in or in Ukraine. There is only one handwriting, which means that the same people rule ...
  10. Humpty
    Humpty 23 October 2017 08: 52 New
    +2
    I propose a method, instead of Russian soldiers (whom they really want to see), flood the Baltic states with Central Asian migrant workers armed with an aesthetic expression and excessive salivation.
    1. Alexander Abdrakhmanov
      Alexander Abdrakhmanov 23 October 2017 12: 52 New
      0
      Who will go to work with them. They changed the country for unemployment a long time ago. They themselves cannot find work, they are leaving to work further in Europe.
  11. polkovnik manuch
    polkovnik manuch 23 October 2017 08: 53 New
    0
    I would like to answer with the words of the famous fabulist Krylov: “And you friends, don’t get into musicians. It's nonsense that Russia is going to occupy the Baltic states. Why? We are building our ports, we have extended the pipeline, join the consortium, buy gas! We have enough of our own shales, like sprat.
  12. pvv113
    pvv113 23 October 2017 08: 56 New
    +1
    To this end, the Baltic States will implement a “plan of defense against Russian invasion”

    The Baltic states are megalomania. They expect that Russia will come down to attention to them
  13. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 23 October 2017 08: 57 New
    0
    Putin's hordes invade the Baltic countries "As painful as possible!"

    As I understand it, the Balts want to make painful for themselves, because have long suffered political masochism and receive not only EU money for this, but also personal satisfaction.
  14. Stas Snezhin
    Stas Snezhin 23 October 2017 09: 04 New
    0
    Here, we would live peacefully, go about our own business, and we wouldn’t come up with our own problems. And then they invent it themselves, and then they mock and complain ..
  15. The comment was deleted.
    1. The comment was deleted.
  16. screw cutter
    screw cutter 23 October 2017 09: 30 New
    +1
    “make the aggressor’s life as problematic as possible”. As I understand it, do a bunch on the rug at the threshold of the aggressor every morning? How do they imagine a guerrilla war if there are practically no forests left, and what remains is thinned so much that you can see for half a kilometer There is no small-scale industry for the production of ammunition, there aren’t even old machines that you can make something for, they’ve handed over all the scrap metal. Your farmland is also not enough, you won’t be full of rape, but again where to get the fuel?
    1. warks
      warks 24 October 2017 06: 10 New
      0
      They will throw sprats.
  17. novel66
    novel66 23 October 2017 09: 40 New
    +4
    but I didn’t understand - but what will the NATO guys not protect them? promised after all!
  18. Topotun
    Topotun 23 October 2017 09: 41 New
    +2
    Yes, on the fix they surrendered to us? Hang them on the neck again? There are enough problems.
  19. Lelek
    Lelek 23 October 2017 10: 25 New
    +1
    (... make the life of the aggressor "as problematic as possible." This is an "asymmetric defense", and its goal is to "break the will of the enemy," so that he finally refuses "to continue aggression.")

    The phrase came from the brothel of the brothel (I don’t remember the name of the French film) before the Nazis captured the city: “Girls, if the Boshis will take us prisoner, it will cost them a lot.” How they reap in their aspirations - this brothel and the Baltic states. bully
  20. Vasya Vassin
    Vasya Vassin 23 October 2017 10: 36 New
    0
    I look at them there are hidden hopes that the foot of our soldier will enter their swamp and leave behind: restored factories, industry, culture, equipped territories? Do not wait! Sit still croaking in your puddle!
  21. Orionvit
    Orionvit 23 October 2017 10: 37 New
    0
    Quote: andj61
    Russophobia is still in demand and successfully sold on the foreign market.

    In your opinion, if the states get bogged down in their problems and the demand for Russophobia falls, everything will fall into place? You forgot about the new generation, which grew up in the Baltic states, in Ukraine and in other "young democracies", which was brought up in an atmosphere of hatred for everything Russian, and which sincerely hates Russia and the Russians. What do you want to do with these? These for their Russophobia do not take money, they hate us "honestly."
  22. stolz
    stolz 23 October 2017 10: 55 New
    0
    Quote: novel xnumx
    that's why they are now Russian and do not like:

    And what kind of person are you, if you act as a lawyer and defender of these small, but very "formidable" and barking Baltic mongrels?
  23. Berkut24
    Berkut24 23 October 2017 10: 56 New
    0
    To do this, in the Baltic states will be implemented a "plan of defense against Russian invasion": the whole society will be sent "to fight"

    The whole able-bodied society of the Baltic countries has already gone to the struggle for their own survival to earn money in the EU countries. There are old ones who remember how they lived in the window of the USSR, small ones who so far will not go to war and Russian stateless people who have nothing to lose but can gain. National minorities are also not very happy ... The population may behave in a completely different way than Western experts plan.
  24. Will
    Will 23 October 2017 12: 34 New
    0
    Balts and the USA
  25. Stinger
    Stinger 23 October 2017 16: 21 New
    0
    We cannot cope with such a strategy. It’s time to give up, otherwise they will break the will of the aggressor asymmetrically!
  26. Sergey Troshin
    Sergey Troshin 23 October 2017 17: 01 New
    +1
    But did the Balts at least once in their history successfully resist someone?
  27. Tektor
    Tektor 23 October 2017 18: 35 New
    0
    I wouldn’t even meddle in the Baltic states: I would introduce a flight ban and restrict import / export, and that’s all.
  28. Altona
    Altona 23 October 2017 20: 28 New
    0
    Of these three "countries", normal citizens have long been fleeing; only such Russophobic paranoids remain.
  29. CAT BAIYUN
    CAT BAIYUN 23 October 2017 21: 46 New
    +5
    No, really. I have a suggestion: until all the monuments are restored, Russia will not capture them. As soon as they restore and report back - that, they say, dear oppressors, we have restored everything - from then you can think. In the meantime, take care not to worry. laughing
  30. Wolka
    Wolka 24 October 2017 05: 30 New
    0
    nothing more than another concussion due to indigestion ...
  31. warks
    warks 24 October 2017 06: 05 New
    0
    Well, who the hell are they for?
  32. warks
    warks 24 October 2017 06: 13 New
    0
    The main tanker, Alconafter, and even then Russian, sort of.
  33. Irbenwolf
    Irbenwolf 24 October 2017 08: 53 New
    0
    "Aggressor" very effectively dealt with this partisanism in the past. There are no mountains here - there is nowhere to hide. What is this “doctrine" about?
  34. qwests
    qwests 24 October 2017 10: 41 New
    0
    Baltic General Staff laid out cards ..... peaks - trump cards ...
  35. Vladimir dronov
    Vladimir dronov 24 October 2017 18: 05 New
    +1
    And yet, what do they smoke there?
  36. Mikhail Youzhny
    Mikhail Youzhny 24 October 2017 18: 49 New
    0
    Will the Russians come to war?)
    1. Bubarius
      Bubarius 24 October 2017 21: 03 New
      0
      What for? A wolf shouts there indicatively, and shows it to the whole world that it is necessary to place more American divisions there. Fools are only those who shout, although they are also not free. So it’s not funny, their testimony of Russophobia has a clear purpose.