The law on the special status of Donbass prolonged by the Rada becomes insignificant in its meaning. Berlin’s statement about Kiev’s “commitment to the existing agreements” is also null and void. After all, the special status of Donbass will be granted after its “release” of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The status of the Crimea does not say anything anywhere.
In fact, this is the announcement by Bandera of the war not only to the Donbas, but also to Russia, that war, to which Russia did not appear in the 2014 year. But without a formal declaration of war and the start of hostilities. The plenipotentiary from the USA, Kurt Volker, allegedly against the resumption of hostilities in the Donbas, he said to our prankers, but, apparently, he lied, for he called the law on reintegration "a tough step towards peace", and again he lied. Compare: our plenipotentiary in Minsk, Boris Gryzlov, called the law adopted by the Rada "completely contrary to the Minsk agreements, blocking the Minsk process."
In fact, the Bandera “reintegration of Donbass” is a denunciation of the Minsk agreements, without a formal statement about this. And the legislative preparation of the “Croatian” scenario of force-cleaning of Donbass from anti-fascists. In fact, Kiev puts a fat cross on the peacekeepers, I remind you, I predicted in my previous articles: there will be no peacekeepers in the Donbas. Because peacekeepers interfere with American plans to resume the war in the Donbas.
Perhaps Poroshenko’s ridiculous initiative about peacekeepers, obviously not coordinated with Washington, was the drop that overwhelmed some kind of patience in the State Department, and Poroshenko was at the mercy of the Ukrainian Nazis. Therefore, they lost all fear, and staged a fight with a smoke screen in the Verkhovna Rada: the law on the “aggressor country” is not sufficiently radical for them. Only "political prostitutes" from Oppoblok helped Poroshenko to push this law through the Rada.
How will Moscow and other guarantors of the Minsk agreements react to all this? Berlin and Paris are unlikely to support the law on the "reintegration of Donbass", but they will not be convicted, they will be silent, once Kurt Volker took the floor. They are already silent.
Russia has many options, how can Kiev respond to the rejection of the Minsk agreements. You can suspend the Big Treaty of Friendship with Ukraine (what kind of friendship is there?) And terminate any of its provisions, which would be tantamount to sanctions. You can force the recognition of the Novorossiysk republics. However, most likely, Russia will ignore this situation as much as possible. Russia has nowhere to hurry, and she will do what she can do well - pull on Minsk rubber. Because the Minsk process of Russia is profitable, it will not tear it. Bandera will do this, right up to the official statement about the denunciation of the Minsk agreements and the resumption of the war in the Donbas.
In the ukropress was information that advised the law on reintegration of American advisers. This means that Washington set out to disrupt a separate Minsk peace between Europe and Russia. And, if possible, to unleash a war in the Donbas, with the involvement of Russia in it. All legal obstacles to the start of the war in the Donbas by this law are removed, and the “Croatian scenario”, already run-in by the Americans, is being prepared. The breakdown of the Minsk agreements and the new war in the Donbas with the “Russian aggression” has one real goal - to stop the Russian gas transit through Ukraine to Europe. As if as a result of military force majeure. Everyone understands this, which is why Nord Stream - 1 is loaded on 100%, and gas supplies through Ukraine are breaking all records now.
Official Kiev also wants to frustrate the Minsk agreements, but does not really want to fight; he would like to push through some other format of negotiations with Moscow, even Geneva, even Budapest, without DNR and LC, but with the participation of Poland, for example. To that end, Surkov 7 of October in Belgrade at a meeting with Walker "stressed the need to implement the Minsk agreements with the crucial role of the" Norman format "and the contact group." Volker allegedly agreed with this, and I think he lied again: Volker could not denounce the Minsk agreements, and was forced to support them, and Surkov, and Moscow, simply mock Walker, taking advantage of his helplessness.
The point about the war becomes the main in Kiev. The “war party” is demanding a war in the Donbass tomorrow, the head of the NSDC Turchinov, behind him is the chief of the MVD Avakov with the Nazi “Azov”, even demanding Poroshenko’s decree on the introduction of the APU to the Donbass. Just an ultimatum to President Poroshenko. The field commander of "Azov" Biletsky led to the Rada of his brothers with posters: "Break the Minsk Treaty". Apparently, on October 17, the Nazis of all stripes will demand from the Rada and Poroshenko the official denunciation of the Minsk agreements. And, as a result, the war in the Donbass, and even declare war on Russia.
Poroshenko hesitates, he has long been trying to play the role of the Bandera Fuhrer, does not deny anyone anything in Russophobia, and does not oppose the war, because it removes the demands of extraordinary elections: what are the elections during the war? But he is afraid that the war will get out of control, and Russia may somehow respond asymmetrically. And for gas transit to Europe is afraid.
Another problem Poroshenko: how to start a war in the Donbas? And even: how to make the APU attack? The head of the General Staff, Viktor Muzhenko, clearly does not want to attack: he cannot speak directly about this, therefore he speaks of great losses in the event of an attack on the Donbass. Will discuss his resignation with the president after October 25. If Muzhenko himself publicizes such things, then he leaves, because he does not want to take responsibility.
Defense Minister Poltorak also allegedly filed a resignation report after he made a statement about the need to disarm the Nazi battalions. Muzhenko and Poltorak simultaneously resign! Anticipate the defeat of the APU? Very soon the ammunition depots in Kalinovka exploded, and before that in Balakliya, so that the generals can cite a good reason: the shells are dumb!
Objectively, the Nazis and Volker put Poroshenko in a dilemma: either he resumes the war in the Donbass, or he, in one way or another, is demolished in Kiev. American agent Saakashvili will arrive in Kiev on October 17 with the requirement of impeachment, the Nazi battalions will demand the denunciation of the Minsk agreements and provide extras, possibly armed. If Poroshenko denounces Minsk and agrees to start a war, he will be left alone: it is logical for the “parties of war” to wait for the results of the military campaign, there is no point in taking responsibility for unpredictable results. The only question to which there is no answer today is: will Russia come to war this time?