India and China: the path to peace is open
After two months of conflict in Doklam, when the parties took positions against each other, India and China agreed to withdraw their troops. If earlier experts suggested a nuclear war between China and India, now they say that no one needs a war. The success of the peaceful diplomacy of Beijing and New Delhi testifies in favor of the latter statement.
28 August it became known that India and China agreed to "speedily" withdraw troops in Doklam. This will be done after more than two months of confrontation.
“In recent weeks, India and China have maintained diplomatic contacts on the situation in Doklam. During these contacts, we had the opportunity to express our point of view and convey our concerns and interests ... On this basis, accelerated breeding of border guards at the confrontation site in Doklam was agreed, and it continues, ”the Foreign Ministry of India quotes. RIA News".
The agency recalls that at the end of June, a group of Indian border guards crossed the Sino-Indian border in the Sikkim state. The task was to stop work on the construction of a road in the Dunlan (Doklam) area, being conducted by the Chinese military.
According to the Indian side, it acted in coordination with the government of Bhutan. His goal New Delhi considers the prevention of changes in the status quo in the region, because the border issue is not resolved. Beijing, in turn, is convinced that this territory belongs to China. As a result, the military of China and India for more than two months took up positions opposite each other.
The long standoff of forces in the positions of the two countries was explained as follows.
According to the Chinese Foreign Ministry, India’s construction of a road near a non-demarcated section of the border shows a discrepancy between the words of New Delhi and its actions. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Hua Chunying, quoted by IA "REGNUM", speaking of the Indian plans to build a road near the western section of the Actual Control Line, stated that such plans radically change things.
A few days after the skirmish with the throwing of stones, Chinese and Indian border guards near Lake Bangong-Tso, the Indian Ministry of the Interior approved the construction of a separate road from the Marshimik-La pass to the Hot Spring village in the Indian region of Ladakh. The Indian Ministry of the Interior intends to build a road for the sake of access by security forces to observation points.
Hua Chuying, in connection with this, notes that India has invaded Chinese territory in order to prevent the construction of the road that China has been driving on its territory. She also said that the western part of the Indian-Chinese border is not demarcated, and the countries agreed to maintain peace on the border until the final consolidation of the demarcation. Building the military infrastructure near the western section of the Line of Actual Control will not contribute to maintaining peace and stability.
Mentioned Lake Bangong, recall, is located near the region of Aksai-Chin. He is controlled by Beijing and contested by New Delhi. This is one of those controversial parts of the border where the border is violated.
RIA News"telling about the tension on the plateau of Doklam, the site on the convergence of the borders of China, India and Bhutan, recalls the actions of China: Chinese workers began to lay a highway through the plateau, which caused Bhutan’s protest. Then, a few days later, the servicemen of India, with whom Bhutan had friendly relations, crossed the border and, as a result of a brief skirmish, forced the Chinese military out of Doklam. However, later in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China they reported that the site where construction was begun was again under the control of the Chinese military.
Speaking on the occasion of the 90 anniversary of the People’s Liberation Army of China, Comrade Xi Jinping said that Beijing remains a supporter of peace and will not become a conqueror, but will not allow anyone to take away a small part of the territory, the agency said.
Then the Chinese were able to turn the conflict-sensitive territorial issue into the economic side.
The cooperation of China and India can significantly help New Delhi in the fight against poverty and infrastructure development. Zhang Jianping, deputy chairman of the educational committee of the Research Institute of International Trade and Economic Cooperation under the Ministry of Commerce of China, called for overcoming the border issue in the Doklam Plateau region as a condition for this substantial assistance.
“India still has a long way to go in its development and fight against poverty, and cooperation with China can bring significant benefits to it. Our industry is very strong, China can relocate its production facilities to other countries, and India is a good direction for this, "- said 28 August Comrade Zhang Jianping.
As this Chinese expert clarified, India is now fighting poverty, and China is having success in this area. Therefore, Beijing can provide New Delhi with financial support, help assess the situation and plan programs. According to the expert, the most serious problems of the country remain poorly developed infrastructure, poverty, high unemployment. From these theses, the analyst went straight to the Doklam plateau, noting that China had already done everything, and therefore it was India’s turn.
Breeding the military, we note, can hardly be considered the road to peace. Too long smoldering border conflict between China and India. The recent stone throwing incident at Lake Bangong was just one of the recent incidents. Prior to that, Advisor to the Indian Prime Minister on National Security Ajit Doval visited the meeting in the framework of the BRICS in Beijing. At the talks, the parties decided that India and China would withdraw troops from the conflict zone. The arrangement New Delhi and Beijing have fulfilled, notes in his material for "Tapes.ru" candidate historical Sci., Researcher, IMEMO RAS Aleksey Kupriyanov. However, "an attack of peacefulness did not last long": soon India transferred parts of the 33rd corps to Sikkim and began to deploy two corps in Arunachal Pradesh. Pictures of equipment being transferred to Tibet immediately appeared on Chinese social networks.
But do two states want war? According to Kupriyanov, neither New Delhi nor Beijing wants a big war: the risk of pressing the “red button” is great.
The parties hardly need a “small border conflict”. In any outcome, "both sides will lose," the analyst believes.
The defeat will lead to the rejection of claims to regional leadership, for which India and China are fighting, and victory will mean "a surge of suspicion and accusations of expansionist plans and a desire to subjugate all the countries of the region."
The expert’s conclusion: given how much money and strength New Delhi and Beijing have invested over the past decades in bringing peace to the international community, the price of victory will be too high.
And still it is impossible to disregard the probability of an accidental escalation of a smoldering conflict, that is, contrary to the wishes of the parties. Fire confrontation can begin with a random shot.
In order to preserve the fragile peace, which is interrupted by stone-throwing and hand-to-hand, both Indian and Chinese military leaders hold border meetings, which are hastily organized, even with a hint of a possible incident.
28 August it became known that India and China agreed to "speedily" withdraw troops in Doklam. This will be done after more than two months of confrontation.
“In recent weeks, India and China have maintained diplomatic contacts on the situation in Doklam. During these contacts, we had the opportunity to express our point of view and convey our concerns and interests ... On this basis, accelerated breeding of border guards at the confrontation site in Doklam was agreed, and it continues, ”the Foreign Ministry of India quotes. RIA News".
The agency recalls that at the end of June, a group of Indian border guards crossed the Sino-Indian border in the Sikkim state. The task was to stop work on the construction of a road in the Dunlan (Doklam) area, being conducted by the Chinese military.
According to the Indian side, it acted in coordination with the government of Bhutan. His goal New Delhi considers the prevention of changes in the status quo in the region, because the border issue is not resolved. Beijing, in turn, is convinced that this territory belongs to China. As a result, the military of China and India for more than two months took up positions opposite each other.
The long standoff of forces in the positions of the two countries was explained as follows.
According to the Chinese Foreign Ministry, India’s construction of a road near a non-demarcated section of the border shows a discrepancy between the words of New Delhi and its actions. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Hua Chunying, quoted by IA "REGNUM", speaking of the Indian plans to build a road near the western section of the Actual Control Line, stated that such plans radically change things.
A few days after the skirmish with the throwing of stones, Chinese and Indian border guards near Lake Bangong-Tso, the Indian Ministry of the Interior approved the construction of a separate road from the Marshimik-La pass to the Hot Spring village in the Indian region of Ladakh. The Indian Ministry of the Interior intends to build a road for the sake of access by security forces to observation points.
Hua Chuying, in connection with this, notes that India has invaded Chinese territory in order to prevent the construction of the road that China has been driving on its territory. She also said that the western part of the Indian-Chinese border is not demarcated, and the countries agreed to maintain peace on the border until the final consolidation of the demarcation. Building the military infrastructure near the western section of the Line of Actual Control will not contribute to maintaining peace and stability.
Mentioned Lake Bangong, recall, is located near the region of Aksai-Chin. He is controlled by Beijing and contested by New Delhi. This is one of those controversial parts of the border where the border is violated.
RIA News"telling about the tension on the plateau of Doklam, the site on the convergence of the borders of China, India and Bhutan, recalls the actions of China: Chinese workers began to lay a highway through the plateau, which caused Bhutan’s protest. Then, a few days later, the servicemen of India, with whom Bhutan had friendly relations, crossed the border and, as a result of a brief skirmish, forced the Chinese military out of Doklam. However, later in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China they reported that the site where construction was begun was again under the control of the Chinese military.
Speaking on the occasion of the 90 anniversary of the People’s Liberation Army of China, Comrade Xi Jinping said that Beijing remains a supporter of peace and will not become a conqueror, but will not allow anyone to take away a small part of the territory, the agency said.
Then the Chinese were able to turn the conflict-sensitive territorial issue into the economic side.
The cooperation of China and India can significantly help New Delhi in the fight against poverty and infrastructure development. Zhang Jianping, deputy chairman of the educational committee of the Research Institute of International Trade and Economic Cooperation under the Ministry of Commerce of China, called for overcoming the border issue in the Doklam Plateau region as a condition for this substantial assistance.
“India still has a long way to go in its development and fight against poverty, and cooperation with China can bring significant benefits to it. Our industry is very strong, China can relocate its production facilities to other countries, and India is a good direction for this, "- said 28 August Comrade Zhang Jianping.
As this Chinese expert clarified, India is now fighting poverty, and China is having success in this area. Therefore, Beijing can provide New Delhi with financial support, help assess the situation and plan programs. According to the expert, the most serious problems of the country remain poorly developed infrastructure, poverty, high unemployment. From these theses, the analyst went straight to the Doklam plateau, noting that China had already done everything, and therefore it was India’s turn.
“I believe that if India can resolve the issue at the border, since China has already done everything that it could and has shown enough restraint. I also hope that the upcoming BRICS summit will help in resolving this problem through diplomatic and peaceful means. ”
Breeding the military, we note, can hardly be considered the road to peace. Too long smoldering border conflict between China and India. The recent stone throwing incident at Lake Bangong was just one of the recent incidents. Prior to that, Advisor to the Indian Prime Minister on National Security Ajit Doval visited the meeting in the framework of the BRICS in Beijing. At the talks, the parties decided that India and China would withdraw troops from the conflict zone. The arrangement New Delhi and Beijing have fulfilled, notes in his material for "Tapes.ru" candidate historical Sci., Researcher, IMEMO RAS Aleksey Kupriyanov. However, "an attack of peacefulness did not last long": soon India transferred parts of the 33rd corps to Sikkim and began to deploy two corps in Arunachal Pradesh. Pictures of equipment being transferred to Tibet immediately appeared on Chinese social networks.
But do two states want war? According to Kupriyanov, neither New Delhi nor Beijing wants a big war: the risk of pressing the “red button” is great.
The parties hardly need a “small border conflict”. In any outcome, "both sides will lose," the analyst believes.
The defeat will lead to the rejection of claims to regional leadership, for which India and China are fighting, and victory will mean "a surge of suspicion and accusations of expansionist plans and a desire to subjugate all the countries of the region."
The expert’s conclusion: given how much money and strength New Delhi and Beijing have invested over the past decades in bringing peace to the international community, the price of victory will be too high.
And still it is impossible to disregard the probability of an accidental escalation of a smoldering conflict, that is, contrary to the wishes of the parties. Fire confrontation can begin with a random shot.
In order to preserve the fragile peace, which is interrupted by stone-throwing and hand-to-hand, both Indian and Chinese military leaders hold border meetings, which are hastily organized, even with a hint of a possible incident.
Observed and commented on Oleg Chuvakin
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