The Iranian rocket plant in Banias was too tough for the Israeli Air Force. What does Tel Aviv fear? Details of the fight for Deir-ez-Zor
IMPORTANT DETAILS OF THE FUTURE ESCALATION MOMENTS AT THE SYRIAN MILITARY THEATER. MAJOR SNAP MORE AHEAD
Everything more interesting for detailed consideration news They continue to come from the extremely restless Syrian theater of operations, where the CAA has achieved significant tactical successes in several operational areas at once. As expected three or four months earlier, the Syrian army, with the support of the Russian Aerospace Forces, was able to “push” the defensive lines of ISIL in the eastern operational direction towards the province of Deir ez-Zor. In this case, the best result is observed at the junction of the provinces of Homs and Hama (50 km north of Palmyra), where the assault units of the Syrian Arab Army were able to liberate the cities of Salamia, Al-Shair and Itria, and then proceed to the formation of the Akerbat Cauldron. To do this, the Syrian army will need to cut off its "neck" in the area of gas fields Al-Shair. The assault "backbone" of the pro-government ATS forces in this area is represented by units of the Tiger Forces brigade. The exit of gas fields Al-Shair from the control of the caliphate will be extremely painful moment for the IG, since this sector is extremely rich in oil, the only energy source that keeps the entire terrorist group afloat.
Nevertheless, it is still very early to talk about the unconditional victory of the CAA over the IS and the opposition forces. The fact is that literally a couple of tens of kilometers north-west of the Salamia-Itria highway there is a solid group of opposition forces, for which the Al-Shair gas fields also have great economic importance. The militants of the Jabhat al-Nusra terrorist group, which had seized power in the province of Idlib and then renamed the organization Hayat Tahrir ash-Sham, are also located here. It is also extremely unpleasant that thousands of new militants from the opposition brigades Ahrar al-Sham, Islam Junda al-Sham and Al-Majah Ajand al-Sham joined the “new format” of radical “al-Nusra” . The new terrorist group also received the name "Jaish Hama" ("Army of Hama"). Literally immediately after the announcement of the creation of a new legion, the command of the former Jabhat al-Nusra set the task for the Army of Hama to retake all the positions left in the northern part of the province of the same name. A similar course of events takes place, because in case of transferring to the advanced formations of the IG additional heavy weapons from the province of Deir-ez-Zor, and taking into account the presence of the Army of Hama, a huge amount of CA and MRL, the divisions of the CAA and Tiger Force will not be easy to keep the defense of the Salamia-Itria highway, but let's hope for the best!
While the phase of the largest confrontation between the CAA and the IG for control over the Deir ez-Zor province is gradually approaching (this clash may become the most widespread for the entire military campaign in the SAR), in the southern regions of Essaouida and Damascus the powerful opposition continues to dominate VTS group, despite the tactical failure of the US military base and At-Tanfe. In particular, the Washington-backed group Asaud al-Sharqiyah intercepted the Syrian front-line fighter MiG-21, capturing the ejected pilot Major Ali Khalf. As for the province of Deir ez-Zor, the situation here is extremely ambiguous. If you look at a fresh tactical map of the Syrian theater of operations, you can note that the closest north-western grouping of CAA troops is located about 80 km from Deir ez-Zora (along the southern bank of the Euphrates River below in the province of Rakka).
At the same time, the advanced units of the Kurdish-Arab alliance "Democratic Forces of Syria" (SDF) and "Self-Defense Forces" are currently located only 35-40 km north of Deir ez-Zor. Consequently, with appropriate American support, the Kurds have every chance of reaching the strategically important city in the eastern part of the republic much faster than the SAA. The only problem for the YPG, SDF and the U.S. ILC / MTR units (most of which are being transferred from At-Tanf to the northwestern part of the SAR) will be the geographical location of Deir ez-Zora, whose main territory is located on the west bank of the Euphrates River. This will significantly complicate and delay the control of the city, even taking into account the presence of the army and military transport at the US Air Force aviation, because the presence of MANPADS in the IG has not been canceled.
It is difficult to say how the Kurds and the American units of the ILC will behave when they meet with the CAA in the vicinity of Deir ez-Zor, but you need to be prepared for completely unpredictable moments. Anything can happen: from chilling and “decapitating” strikes by strategic RGM-109E CDs “Tomahawk Block IV” or OTBR ATACMS before “Super Hornets” or “Raptors” with dozens of cluster bombs on board. After all, we all are well aware that the Pentagon certainly does not plan to lose Deir ez-Zor, which can be turned into the capital of pro-American opposition forces in Syria. And the main point in the upcoming "muscle game" is a decent operation of the Russian Aerospace Force: in the battle for Deir-ez-Zor, statements in the style of "Tomahawk" were not detected due to the presence of radio horizon or the lack of A-50U aircraft; In the airspace over the province of Deir ez-Zor, all the necessary components of the Aerospace Forces will have to be present to protect the Syrian government forces from the attacks of the Allied Air Force coalition.
IRANIAN ROCKET PLANT IN THE SYRIAN BANIAS AND HYSTERI OF THE ISRAELI MEDIA: THE FIRST FEARS OF THE PRAISED HEL KHAVAVIR APPEARED
Oblique launch of OTBR “Fatech 110”
At the same time, with a huge amount of combat reports coming from the Syrian theater of operations almost every 2 - 3 hours, other interesting facts sometimes slip to some degree or other to determine the future combat potential of the army of a state exhausted by a long war, which should preserve its sovereignty during a long and difficult restoration of the political structure and a satisfactory economic background. In the list of such facts, you can safely include a publication posted on the Israeli information resource newsru.co.il. Referring to the pictures of commercial satellites, the source reports that on the coast of the Mediterranean Sea, near the town of Banias, the company is in full swing building a batch production of operational-tactical ballistic missiles of the Fatech 110 family.
Such conclusions were made on the basis of expert analysis and comparison of a digital photograph of a Syrian object with a similar object in Iran. Immediately on the Israeli and Western forums began a "hot" discussion with frightening assumptions about the use of new ballistic missiles. Fell about possible missile strikes against Israeli military-industrial strategic facilities and key air bases. And these fears are quite understandable, because it is Hel Helavir’s tactical aviation that, with enviable regularity, attacks the armed forces of Syria and Hezbollah, which, unlike the IDF, make a huge contribution to the destruction of the caliphate. It is quite clear that the presence of ISIS in the Middle East is extremely beneficial to Tel Aviv, since the regime of an “eternal large-scale counter-terrorist operation” in neighboring states will distract Tehran and Damascus from the “Israeli problem”.
This was openly declared by the Chief of Military Intelligence of the Israel Defense Forces Directorate, Major General Herzie Halevi at the 16 conference of Herzliya last year. The statement is extremely selfish, purely in the "Israeli style". In other words, people of neighboring states (Syria, Egypt, Lebanon, Iraq, etc.) must endure the atrocities of ISIL, so that Israel is not paid attention. Doesn't Halevi really want a lot? But it would not be more logical to simply build a more adequate foreign policy system of the Jewish state, not to “roar” at the defense projects of neighboring states, and not kill Palestinian children (I recall the incident in the Rafah refugee camp in 2004, when the IDF military killed the 4-19-year-old girl ).
Putting all these gloomy “links” into a single “chain”, one can say that after at least one more air attack on the Syrian army, it would not hurt, with the educational purpose, to launch 50 - 70 “Fateh 110” via AVB Ramat-David, then somehow with impunity everything happens. And you shouldn't be surprised here at all! Yes, naturally, the Iron Dome anti-missile system and the Barak-8 air defense system will be able to intercept most of these missiles, but this will be an excellent lesson that brings the postulate of unacceptable aggression towards the states that oppose the main target to hotheads in Tel Aviv. global threat to international terrorism.
As for the Iranian factory for the production of operational-tactical ballistic missiles in Banias, the publication of this information in the network indicates the inability of the Israeli Air Force to deliver a targeted missile-bombing attack using new-generation Spice-250 type bombs that the Israeli military experts presented as "the formidable killers of the C-300 complexes". If Hel Haavir had even the slightest technological opportunity to destroy a strategically important plant, they would have realized it a long time ago without any window-dressing at newsru.co.il and IsraelMedia. What is the reason? The fact is that the city of Banias is only 35 km from the point of logistics of the Russian Navy Tartus and at the same distance from the Hmeymim airbase. In the case of Tartus (from the southern air direction), Banias covers the C-300ВХNUMX anti-aircraft missile battery, which has a modernized two-stage 4М9МВ interceptor with a 82 km range, with HNMX interceptors with a 400 range, with HNTMX interceptors with a 400 range, with the 48 air defense missile interceptors with a 6 range, with the 250 air defense missile interceptors with a 1 range, with the 1 air defense missile system -C-27 “Triumph” missile system, which, in the current configuration with 2017HXNUMXDM missile defense, has a range of XNUMX km. Moreover, the plant itself is probably under the “anti-missile umbrella” of the PANSIR-СXNUMX or Tor-МXNUMX anti-aircraft defense missile system. As you understand, this plant is protected hundreds of times better than a CAA military facility hiding behind Damascus International Airport, which was attacked by Hel Haavir on the night of April XNUMX on XNUMX.
As we know, the high-precision small-sized "smart" bomb "Spice-250" (analogue of GBU-39/53 SDB / II) has a gliding range of about 100 km when dropped from a high altitude. Therefore, to strike at the plant from the southern air direction, the Israeli F-15I "Ra'am" or F-35I "Adir" will need to approach the C-300V4 battery at a distance of only 65 km! At the same time, at the time of the "Spice-250" release, the flight altitude should be about 10 km. This means that both "Raam" and the vaunted stealthy "Adir" will be immediately intercepted. In particular, the F-35I with its RCS of 0,2 m2 can be detected by the 9S15M2 Obzor-3 radar detector at a distance of about 150 km, the F-15I with an RCS of more than 5 m2 - at a distance of 330 kilometers and more. What is even more interesting, the EPR of the advertised "Spies" is far from "zero" and is within 0,02 m2: the 9S32M multifunctional Anteyevsky radar is capable of "capturing" and destroying such targets at a distance of 50 - 70 km. As you can see, it is unlikely that Israeli fighters will be able to approach the Iranian rocket plant in Banias at medium and high altitudes unnoticed, let alone strike a blow.
And what can be said about the effectiveness of the low-altitude tactics used by Hel Haavir, which was used during the pinpoint attack of the Israeli F-16A on the Ozirak nuclear reactor in the course of the air operation Opera (Babylon). In our case, this tactic does not allow the Jewish state to succeed in the destruction of the plant in Banias. If, during Babylon (back in 1981), the C-125 Neva and Kvadrat anti-aircraft missile divisions covering Ozirak worked on targets at heights of at least 40 and 100, respectively, the Three Hundred and Four Hundred "Destroy targets near the surface at altitudes around 7 - 10 m. At the same time, the range of ultra-low-altitude targets at C-300B4 and C-400 reaches 35 km due to an increase in radio horizon. At Antey, this is achieved by placing 9А83М 12 - meter masts with radar and illumination and guidance at PU, at Triumph - universal 25 / 40-meter towers 40В6М / МD, on which the antenna post of the radar is used, and the headlines.
Even if Israeli attack fighters have enough time to descend abruptly and “hide” from the Antey radar between the ridges of the coastal mountain range Jebel Ansariy, 9M82MB anti-aircraft guided missiles can still reach the aggressor, since they are equipped with an active radar homing head, which detects and “ captures targets regardless of the presence of the backlight channel from the battery on-load tap-changer. That is why we learned about the new military-industrial facility in Banias in such a plaintive form from the Israeli media.
It will be quite difficult to overestimate the future contribution of the new Iranian plant to the defense capability of the Syrian Armed Forces, since several production lines will be able to be located at once in its branches. First of all, this is an assembly complex of regular operational-tactical ballistic missiles Fatech 110, which have a range of 300 km. Dozens of such short-range BRs would have an excellent deterrent effect on the IDF if they planned new attacks on the Syrian Arab Republic. Secondly, this is a mass production of more advanced modifications of the Fatech 110 family with the names Fatech 313 and Zolfaghar; the radius of their action should be 500 and 750 km, respectively, while the march airspeed can reach 5 - 5,5M. It will be more difficult to intercept them than the Iraqi SCUDs, but all potentially dangerous military installations of the Western coalition in Jordan, Cyprus and Turkey will be within effective radius of fire.
Information sources:
http://www.timesofisrael.com/iran-building-missile-factory-in-syria-report/
http://rbase.new-factoria.ru/missile/wobb/c300v/c300v.shtml
http://www.airwar.ru/enc/fighter/x35.html
Information