Did the Mlado-Europeans find a weak spot in Russia? Bite will be, and we will answer?
Attempts to bite Russia through the forcing of military hysteria at the borders led to the opposite result. The Baltic countries, Romania, Poland and others like them, who have never been targets for Russian missiles, after being subjected to moral pressure, became hostages of Russian-American relations. Now it became clear that in the event of an aggravation of the conflict, it is these peoples who will be the first to be destroyed. Not countries, but peoples. This is in the old days "at the lackeys of the forelocks cracked." Today, "slaves" just sweep away from the face of the earth or those or others.
The “old Europe” was also in a more delicate situation. Familiar to the European average person perception of the world destroyed the most shameless way. The Germans, who considered themselves leaders of European politics, saw their overseas partner’s attitude towards their own country. They saw how their government "worn out" after the exposure of American spies in Germany. Europe saw how Trump, not particularly observing the diplomatic polite, put in place both France and the United Kingdom. “Independence and partnership” in real life turned out to be just a modernized occupation.
Out of habit, Western politicians continue to blame Russia for everything. It is difficult to recognize that their own policies have led their countries to the actual loss of independence. And they cannot hit Russia. Attempts to introduce economic sanctions led to internal problems with their own business. Nato with his army? Everyone already understands that this is the US Army. Therefore, there are periodic conversations about the "European army." The blockade of Kaliningrad? Alas, even a rather weak Baltic fleet of Russia will not allow this. Especially in conjunction with the "Caliber" and other "Bastions".
So where is the exit? Where does Russia really have a weak spot? Where can you put pressure not on Russia's allies, but on Russians? There is such a place! Transnistria. More precisely, the Transdniestrian Moldavian Republic. It is a small republic on the Dniester with a population of just over half a million people, of whom 200 thousands are Russians. Citizens of the Russian Federation! Republic, which for a quarter of a century has achieved some success in state building. Probably the most successful republic of all unrecognized republics.
At the same time, the PMR is the only republic that has no borders with Russia. All the rest, Abkhazia, Nagorno-Karabakh, South Ossetia, the LC, the DNI, border on the union state. A PMR is surrounded (since 2014) by hostile states. Moldova and Ukraine.
It is this republic that today began to "spread rot" seriously. For Moldova, the issue of PMR has always been acute. With the loss of part of its own territory is really difficult to accept. However, before the 2014, Moldovans quite adequately treated the new state. Economic ties were established. Functioned financial system. The Transnistrian Republic exported its products through Moldovan ports and border points. Today the situation has changed completely. Moldova and Ukraine have actually declared a blockade of the PMR. All citizens of the PMR, as well as the Russian peacekeeping contingent, were taken hostage. The supply of the republic and peacekeepers today is extremely difficult. Even the rotation of the MC sharply complicated. Yesterday, the Moldovan Parliament adopted a resolution on the withdrawal of Russian MCs from the territory of Transnistria.
The rhetoric of Kiev and Chisinau today look quite decently. As soon as the Russians leave, universal peace will come to Moldova. All the demands of Transnistrians will be fulfilled, and the republic itself will join the country as a subject of the federation. But in fact? Not many people remember the once famous "Kozak plan." But then the conflict was actually resolved. Tiraspol and Chisinau agreed on the federalization of the country. It was appointed the day of signing the contract. So what? On a call from the EU, the authorities of Moldova literally refused to sign the day before.
Today, one often hears the name of the new Moldovan president, Dodon, with the prefix "pro-Russian," "sympathetic to the Kremlin," etc. From the outside it may seem that such a president will turn the vector of the Moldovan policy towards Russia. However, it is clear to everyone that Dodon cannot do anything serious. Exactly for the same reason as Tiraspol. Moldova is "clamped" between Ukraine and Romania. This means that any rapprochement in Russia will cause a “color revolution”. Dodona is simply "swept away" by the technology already developed in Ukraine.
There is one more fact that may seem strange for a person who does not really understand the nuances of the Moldovan policy. Tiraspol does not trust Moscow and Dodona personally! The fact of Moscow’s support for Dodon is not disputed. Therefore, the authorities of Transnistria are “nervous”. As if Russia did not give the Transdnistrian Moldavian Republic of Moldova as part of the investment in Dodona. Is there a reason for these thoughts, I do not know. On the example of the rhetoric of the Russian president regarding the LDNR (this is part of Ukraine), there are legitimate doubts ...
Liberal media have already launched a campaign to "drain" the PMR. According to them, this territory has no strategic significance. Ballast for Russia. And all the problems arose because of the huge army warehouses that remained from the Soviet Union. And the Russians? Have you seen these Russians? Each in his pocket for two or three or four passports. Moldavian, Russian, Romanian, Transnistrian ... Such non-patriotic Russians.
By the way, on this occasion I want to express my own opinion. If citizens of the TMR had only Russian passports, would they have lived easier in the conditions in which they live? Patriotism must necessarily be with a touch of suffering? And the economy would be easier to develop? Especially in terms of sanctions ... Would it be easier to build relationships with European business?
If to speak as a whole, it turns out really difficult situation. We can not answer the equivalent of Chisinau. For Russian diplomacy, the room for maneuver has been significantly reduced. We must constantly think about how our actions will affect the PMR.
What is the purpose of the blockade of Transnistria? Why do the authorities of Moldova and Ukraine today go to any provocation to increase the pressure on the republic?
The goal is one and it is understandable to most sensible people. Kiev and Chisinau simply need to create a conflict in the region. Moreover, the conflict in which Russia must necessarily be drawn. And farther down the track. "Imperial ambitions", "aggressor country", "Putin's desire to recreate the USSR" and so on. Simply put, Russia will be appointed responsible for the war. Responsibility will be political (the creation of a pro-Russian separatist region), and military (peacekeepers, willy-nilly, will be involved in the war).
In addition to Ukraine and Moldova, the NATO countries are already involved in creating a hotbed of tension in Transnistria. American military facilities will be built in Moldova. and the conflict itself will allow, according to the scenario worked out in the Baltic States and Poland, to place parts of NATO on the territory of Moldova and Ukraine, and the NATO fleet in their ports. Thus completely close the western border of Russia.
Further more. In the case of the implementation of an already implemented plan, the next goal will be the complete ousting of Russia from the Black Sea. The rejection of the Crimea and the deployment of the NATO base in Georgia. For action against Russia in the Caucasus. Readers who have studied history a little more than the level of high school, already realized where the wind is blowing from. But more on that below.
And now a little more specifically about what we expect in the near future. How the West will destabilize the PMR. In principle, this is not particularly important, but it’s worth voicing. So, the economic and transport blockade will be tightened to the maximum. Tiraspol will “choke” hard. Hunger, cold ... All that today is necessary for the residents of the republic. I'm not afraid of this comparison, but it will be Leningrad 21 century.
Further, the NATO facilities already mentioned by me near the territory of the Transdniestrian Moldavian Republic. Their construction will be intensified. Moreover, they will build in such a way as to maximally neutralize the defense structures of Transnistrians. And finally, you should be ready for sabotage war. Fully admit sabotage and even terrorist acts in the near future. The objects of sabotage will be those 2000 military personnel who serve in the IS. The most likely performers will be the eastern neighbors of the PMR.
Do we have any levers of influence on the situation? Can Russia prevent negative developments? Or are those who propose to stop fighting for this republic right?
It seems to me that we can do exactly the same as the West does with Russia in Transnistria. We used to answer where we have already been hit. And why? Any boy knows that in a street fight, one must not only defend himself, but also attack. Otherwise you will be beaten. And no appeal to the passers-by will not help. Only own fists, strength and courage ...
Who is the "weak link" in the anti-Russian coalition today? Who really fears the emergence of "hot spots" at their borders? "Old" Europe. It is for Germany, France, Austria, Italy that this will be the strongest blow to the entire political and economic system. So why not work our diplomats? Indeed, in practical terms, the emergence of such hot spots along the eastern border of the EU is quite possible. From Donbass to the Balkan Peninsula. Oh, and think in European capitals!
In parallel, it is necessary to work with the "new Europeans". It is clear that Poles, Romanians and Balts will stand up for the war in alliance with the United States. We must constantly be reminded of our ability to destroy these countries. Stop talking only about defense. For the words, too, must be answered. I think the people of these countries will ask from their governments for anti-Russian rhetoric very quickly. Who wants to be targeted?
Further. What is most afraid of Kiev and its owners? And he is afraid of recognition of the LC and the DNI! It means that it is necessary to warn the neighbors that in the event of a worsening of the situation in the Transnistrian Moldavian Republic, Russia will automatically recognize these republics and conclude an agreement on mutual assistance. Let them think ...
And the last. For some reason we forgot about Turkey. But recently she showed her own importance for this region. Remember the overlapping straits? Today we are in fairly friendly relations with this country. Why not negotiate on the Syrian and Iraqi issues? Why not talk about the Balkans? I think there is no need even in some concessions. It is enough just not to interfere ...
We are used to the fact that there is no war in this region. We forgot, and the young readers did not know about the massacre that was unleashed on Transnistrian land. That's the way human memory is. Today and there "the smell of fried." I promised above to reveal the "secret" of the new plan for the destruction of Russia through Transnistria.
And there is no plan. There is a story. The history of wars. In particular, what I wrote about, the West has already tried to implement in the Crimean (Eastern) War. The initial data and the strategic objectives are the same. True, one of the main participants has not yet decided on enemies and friends ... But we also studied history. And the conclusions made.
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