“Hotel” from “Mad Dog”: the threat from “Javelins” in the Donbas TVD is underestimated. How to answer?
The last two meetings of the Trilateral Contact Group in Minsk, as well as the July telephone conference of the leaders of the Norman Four countries, confirmed the complete incapacity of all existing instruments of a political settlement of the situation in the Donbas theater of military operations. Thus, Kiev once again not only completely distanced itself from any dialogues with representatives of the republics of Novorossia regarding the ceasefire regime, but also secured good support from the US in planning the forthcoming attempt to conduct an offensive operation on several operational sectors at once. In previous works, we several times disclosed in detail the goals of bringing the strategic unmanned reconnaissance RQ-4A "Global Hawk" closer to Mariupol, all Azov territories of the Donetsk People's Republic and the northern part of the Kuban ... This is an informational part of the support of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the White House. At the same time, based on recent events, it can be said about the imminent entry into force of a new stage of material and technical support, which will eventually lead to large-scale escalation. A positive factor in this support can be considered the “turning on the green light” for the Ministry of Defense of the DPR to carry out a counter-offensive operation with the subsequent release of the major cities of the DPR occupied by the Ukrainian militants.
We are talking about the transfer to Kiev of short-range anti-tank missile systems FGM-148 "Javelin", which the US Department of Defense proposes in its recommendation to the White House the previous week. The initiator of the provocative idea was originally the special envoy of the US administration in Ukraine, Kurt Volker, who declared the “real war” in the Donbas and the possible transfer of anti-tank weapons to the Ukrainian Armed Forces (this news, in connection with the incorrect translation, was presented in the form of a possible transfer of the “independent” main combat tanks) Naturally, the "Javelins" are not "mothballed" MBT M1A1 "Abrams", but their appearance on the line of contact may indicate significant changes in the existing tactical environment. Even the brilliant tactical victories of the People’s Militia Corps of the DPR Ministry of Defense near Krasnogorovka (2-3 km pushing back the field fortified areas of the Armed Forces) and in the Mariupol direction (moving 1 km towards Vodyany) can be quickly “canceled” against the background of the delivery of 200-250 Javelin anti-tank systems "Ukrainian junta in the amount of 50 million dollars.
In your article “Commander” “You won't scare you with“ Dart ”” author Alexander Tsiganov argues that as an asymmetric response to the provision of a couple of hundreds of “Javelins” to the Ukrainian Armed Forces, you can transfer to the armies of Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics a certain number of wearable automated control systems anti-tank units "Commander-E". The proposal is very tempting, but let's plunge into the technical parameters of this complex. Alexander very clearly described the tactical aspects of the operation of the complex: the anti-tank battery advances to certain defensive lines and begins radio engineering, optical-electronic and visual reconnaissance of infantry / tank-hazard direction using portable radar, thermal sight with laser range finder attached to the Commander-E (LCD) and binoculars. Detected by the radar infantry, armored vehicles and artillery of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will instantly be displayed on the tactical map of the computerized control terminal of the complex. In favorable meteorological conditions, the range to the objects detected by the radar can be determined with an accuracy of ± 5-10 m using a laser range finder target indicator, unfavorable (fog , dust, smoke, snow and rain) - with an accuracy of 50-80 m using radar. According to the author, the coordinates will be instantly transferred to cannon artillery (“big uncles”), which will be able to destroy very large enemy forces even before they reached the lines of the Konkurs-M, Metis-M1 and Cornet-E ATGMs, which, in fact, controls the "Commander-E."
As a result, the exhausted remnants of the enemy's motorized rifle and infantry subunits, having come close to the positions of the Armed Forces of the LDNR on 2-3 km, should be suppressed using the above ATGM, snipers and machine-gunners. It looks very believable, but not so simple! The fact is that the all-weather core of the automated Commander’s ATGM battery control complex is a portable portable radar SBR-5М Fara-BP (1Л111М) operating in the J-band of centimeter waves (frequency around 15 GHz) at 27 watts. Fara-BP is capable of detecting a human target at a distance of 3-4 km, “tank” - 6 km, “SAU” - 7 km, “PU OTRK / ZRSK” - 8-9 km. Like any other radar station, the SBR-5М is a powerful emitter during operation, and it will not be difficult to detect that by means of passive radio-electronic reconnaissance (as we know, there are passive RTR Kolchuga stations at the disposal of the Armed Forces and are preparing for the release of Kolchuga-2 "). Will be able to detect the "Faro" and more simple mobile means of DER, available from the formations of the APU.
What can happen after this is approximately clear: the coordinates of the detected Commander-E positions will be given to the battery of the nearest ACS, after which a very powerful massive artillery strike will follow. In other words, after activating the active mode of the Fara-BP radar, the Commander’s operators will have to “make legs” from a position. More or less safe operation of the calculation will be achieved only while working with a laser range finder-target designator in excellent weather conditions, when the measurement range can reach 30 km (at such a distance, not every SAU that is in service with the Armed Forces of Ukraine will reach the distance). However, this distance at the DDC can only be achieved by deploying the Commander-E automated complex at a dominant height relative to the enemy, providing a larger optical horizon. Despite the fact that Komandirsha-E is not able to completely hide its location from enemy DER vehicles, in a fleeting anti-tank battle with the help of this complex, a decent amount of enemy armored tehniks can be struck. But to call "Commander-E" asymmetric response "Javelin" can not be.
In particular, despite the less effective work in difficult meteorological conditions due to the infrared homing head, in good meteorological conditions, the FGM-148 ATGM demonstrate very good fighting qualities, which the Metis and Competition-M attached to the Commander does not have and Kornet-E. We are talking about shooting in the “shot-forgotten” mode, as well as the possibility of a quick position change due to the absence of a semi-automatic laser homing system. Moreover, a rocket with a 45-degree diving angle at a target is capable of destroying any type of tank into the weakened sections of upper-armor armor plates if the tanks are not equipped with active protection complexes (KAZ) and Relic-type tandem dynamic protection systems. Alas, the “Commander-E” from this anti-tank weapon, especially during the upcoming city battles for Volnovakha or Mariupol, is unlikely to be able to save the motorized rifle units of the People’s Militia of the DPR. It requires a qualitatively different, integrated approach.
Yes, the Commander-E complex is also needed by the republics for creating powerful anti-tank defense lines, as well as for creating assault bones, which are cleaning the occupied cities from the APU armored units. But first of all, it is necessary to think about creating individual protection for at least 1 / 3 of the tank fleet of the Armed Forces of the LDNR from the Javelin ATGM. It can be based on the KAZ Arena, whose protective ammunition intercepts FGM-148 at a distance of several meters from the tank. ATGM FGM-148 is quite possible to confuse infrared traps, because IKGSN operating in the wavelength range 8-12 microns, has a very low resolution of the matrix photodetector 64x64 element, which is much worse than GOS URVV type AIM-9X (128x128 elements ). Moreover, it is possible to reduce the efficiency of a given GOS by reducing the infrared signature of a hidden unit with a working power plant. Reducing IR-visibility can be implemented in two ways - equipping a unit with a specialized Cape masculine complex (3 -fold reduction of infrared visibility and 7 -fold ESR reduction), as well as installing a camouflage complex of handicraft production, which was described in the newspaper article "Soviet physicist". Using sheets represented by 30 layers of food foil, a similar number of layers of cellophane between the foil, and a thick-sized carriage between the sheets and the masked object, it was possible to create a screen packet that reduces the infrared signature of the masked object more than 10 times. The method is very simple and inexpensive.
As you can see, it is quite possible to “put on blades” the operator “Javelina”. But this will be required only at the moment of close clashes with the Ukrainian militants in the vicinity of the liberated cities and in the immediate vicinity of their field fortifications. The main role before conducting offensive and counter-offensive operations by the armed forces of Novorossia on the Donbass theater will be played by the classic artillery preparation, the accuracy of which will determine the success of further actions. And accuracy can only be ensured by one thing - adjustable artillery shells and mines, the list of which includes: 152-mm shot of ZOF 75 "Centimeter-M" for ACS "Acacia", "Hyacinth-S", "Msta-S" (including towed variants "B") with a range of 18 km, 122-mm corrected projectile Kitolov-2M (for D-30 howitzers and SAU "Gvozdika") and a range of 12 km, and also 120-mm corrected mine KM-8 "Edge »With a range of 9 km (for mortars 2B11).
These precision-guided munitions can be considered the most appropriate response to the sale of the Javelin complexes to the Kiev Nazi regime, since in the very first hours of using unique Tula shells all the main artillery units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be eliminated from the theaters of the republics “new horizons”.
Information sources:
http://fakty.ictv.ua/ru/ukraine/20170804-pentagon-prosyt-trampa-nadaty-ukrayini-javelin-na-50-mln-nbc/
https://tsargrad.tv/articles/komandirshu-drotikom-ne-ispugaesh_77981
http://www.russianarms.ru/forum/index.php?topic=4570.0
http://army-news.ru/2015/08/spasut-li-xuntu-1240-dzhavelinov/
Information